Rasmussen: McMahon leads in CT, 49/46

posted at 2:01 pm on August 22, 2012 by Ed Morrissey

There’s no way that Republicans can lose a Senate race in Missouri while winning two in Massachusetts and Connecticut … right?  Would Spock have to wear a goatee in that universe?  Rasmussen’s new poll in the Nutmeg State shows Republican nominee Linda McMahon out to a slight lead over Democratic nominee Chris Murphy in their first look at the general election race for Joe Lieberman’s US Senate seat:

Former wrestling executive Linda McMahon holds a narrow lead over Democratic Congressman Chris Murphy in Rasmussen Reports’ first look at Connecticut’s U.S. Senate race.

A new telephone survey of Likely Voters in Connecticut shows McMahon with 49% of the vote to Murphy’s 46%.  One percent (1%) prefer some other candidate, and five percent (5%) are undecided.

McMahon will surely make Murphy’s support for ObamaCare a big issue in the election, but Rasmussen sees that as more of a push:

Murphy voted in favor of President Obama’s health care reform law and has publicly stated that the law will save money on Medicare. When it comes to the future of Medicare, 44% of Connecticut voters are scared more by the president’s health care law than the reform proposal by Mitt Romney’s running mate Paul Ryan. But just as many (43%) say they are more scared of Ryan’s proposal on Medicare. Connecticut voters are more evenly divided on the question than voters are nationwide.

Eighty percent (80%) of Connecticut voters who fear the health care law’s impact on Medicare more support McMahon. Murphy is backed by 77% of those who fear Ryan’s plan for Medicare more.

This can’t be right, can it?  Rasmussen must be using a Republican-friendly sample, people will assume … but they’d be wrong.  In fact, the sample D/R/I (46/32/22) more closely resembles the 2008 Democratic wave exit polls (43/27/31) than the 2010 exit polls (39/28/33) for Connecticut.  Remember that Republicans lost the Senate seat in 2010 even with the narrower gap in turnout, too.  Murphy has a seven-point lead among women, which Rasmussen oversamples (56/44) in comparison to 2008 (53/47) and 2010 (49/51).  The poll sample, if anything, might be tilted a little in Murphy’s favor.

So how does McMahon get her lead?  She has a 24-point margin among independents, 55/31, for one thing.  McMahon only trails by nine among voters under 40 (40/49), but gets a majority of the other two age demos, including an 18-point lead among seniors.  Both candidates are seen favorably by voters, but McMahon’s 54/43 is slightly better than Murphy’s 50/41.  Among independents, though, McMahon again far outpaces Murphy, with a 57/36 compared to Murphy’s 38/46 — and only 6% of independents view Murphy “very favorably,” as opposed to 23% for McMahon.

The big difference, besides the obvious advantage among independents, is probably the economy.  Democrats will be on defense, especially Murphy, who currently has a seat in the House.  Only 5% of voters rate the economy as “good,” with no one rating it excellent.  A majority of 57% rate it “poor,” and another 37% only rate it “fair.”  That will not help an incumbent, not even in Connecticut.

If McMahon can maintain her advantage over Murphy, the GOP may get an unexpected pickup to make up for the now-expected loss in Missouri.  It might also force Obama to spend some resources to make sure McMahon doesn’t drive enough turnout to have Connecticut voters thinking about change at the very top of the ticket, too.


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RINO-NAMI !!

That’s the east coast republican version of a TEANAMI!

PappyD61 on August 22, 2012 at 2:03 PM

There’s no way that Republicans can lose a Senate race in Missouri while winning two in Massachusetts and Connecticut … right? Would Spock have to wear a goatee in that universe?

Does that mean we live in the Empire?

Doughboy on August 22, 2012 at 2:03 PM

If McMahon can maintain her advantage over Murphy, the GOP may get an unexpected pickup to make up for the now-expected loss in Missouri.

Even if, through miracles, this would happen, I’d still hate to ‘keep’ McCaskill.

She is the harlot of the Senate and must go! No one lied more to the people than she, except for Obama.

Out, out, out. She must be the Blanche Lincoln of 2010.

McCaskill must go!!!

Schadenfreude on August 22, 2012 at 2:04 PM

You mean there’s hope for my native state?

Rufus on August 22, 2012 at 2:05 PM

Don’t take anything for granted and don’t celebrate until Nov. 6, 2012.

Schadenfreude on August 22, 2012 at 2:08 PM

McMahon only trails by nine among voters under 40 (40/49), but gets a majority of the other two age demos, including an 18-point lead among seniors.

Are seniors starting to wise up too the Obama administrations slow destruction of Medicare? If seniors go big for Romney any type of landslide result for RR is possible.

NotCoach on August 22, 2012 at 2:08 PM

All of these poll threads are getting ridiculous. But, I have to admit, I want to see the latest for the voters in Guam.

Poll results change faster than Michelle Obamuh’s wardrobe.

OhEssYouCowboys on August 22, 2012 at 2:08 PM

Smack Down!!!

bayview on August 22, 2012 at 2:08 PM

I want this to happen, but only because I want to see HHH hit Harry Reid with a sledgehammer…

PetecminMd on August 22, 2012 at 2:08 PM

I’ve mentioned this before but I’ve been seeing a lot of pro-Ø/anti-Romney ads on our cable stations like TNT here in the forgotten SouthEast corner of CT. I don’t know if they do national buys, or if this is indeed regional, but I really don’t remember seeing that many presidential ads in ’08, and certainly not this early in the season, which would lead me to believe that Team Ø is worried.

CT may be “reliably Democrat” at the national and state level, but we’ve sent republicans (OK, they’re more like RINOs, but this is New England) in the not too distant past, and at the local level we have a lot of Republican run towns.

LibraryGryffon on August 22, 2012 at 2:08 PM

There’s no way that Republicans can lose a Senate race in Missouri while winning two in Massachusetts and Connecticut … right?

Sigh…

Scott Brown, you’re our only hope!

aryeung on August 22, 2012 at 2:08 PM

Does that mean we live in the Empire?

Doughboy on August 22, 2012 at 2:03 PM

I for one welcome the Terran Overlords and their Empire. Also like Terran Spock I prefer to remain a lesser target.

One big plus of the empire, they suffer no liberals!

Skwor on August 22, 2012 at 2:08 PM

Even if, through miracles, this would happen, I’d still hate to ‘keep’ McCaskill.

She is the harlot of the Senate and must go! No one lied more to the people than she, except for Obama.

Out, out, out. She must be the Blanche Lincoln of 2010.

McCaskill must go!!!

Schadenfreude on August 22, 2012 at 2:04 PM

Agreed. I was so looking forward to seeing her go into early retirement. Could still happen.

changer1701 on August 22, 2012 at 2:09 PM

It is really important to note that her opponent in 2010 was Richard Blumenthal, whose popularity in Connecticut was difficult to overstate.

She’s got a better shot this time, and she’s definitely learned to campaign at the ground level.

KingGold on August 22, 2012 at 2:09 PM

I have to admit that Linda McMahon actually ran a decent campaign last time around, at least as far I could see from out of state. That moment in the debate where she stumped Bloomin Idiot over a simple question about how to create jobs was absolutely brilliant. As much as I still don’t like Vince, I’d like to see her win this time out.

Doughboy on August 22, 2012 at 2:09 PM

Does that mean we live in the Empire?

Doughboy on August 22, 2012 at 2:03 PM

That might be preferable to the United Federation of Communist Planets.

NotCoach on August 22, 2012 at 2:09 PM

If McMahon is this competitive, then maybe she can buoy Romney’s chances somewhat in the Nutmeg State. With recent polling, my model puts the state at Obama +8. Maybe Team Zero will be forced to commit some unanticipated resources here, making Romney more competitive in other, truer swing states (like the Upper Midwest).

steebo77 on August 22, 2012 at 2:10 PM

….praise the lawd…pass the ammunition!

KOOLAID2 on August 22, 2012 at 2:10 PM

In a wave election, anything is possible. That’s why we need to focus on the important issues.

njrob on August 22, 2012 at 2:11 PM

I am Vaal.

- Barack Obamuh

OhEssYouCowboys on August 22, 2012 at 2:11 PM

All of these poll threads are getting ridiculous. But, I have to admit, I want to see the latest for the voters in Guam.

Poll results change faster than Michelle Obamuh’s wardrobe.

OhEssYouCowboys on August 22, 2012 at 2:08 PM

Want another one? Holder just sued Gallup Polling.

Del Dolemonte on August 22, 2012 at 2:11 PM

Maybe they could swap Huckabee-Akin for McMahon as speaker at rino-fest convention to blunt the DNC war on women shtick.

the_nile on August 22, 2012 at 2:12 PM

I love Connecticut. The first time I entered the state from the west on the interstate, I was met by a truly humongous Union Carbide sign. It wasn’t a billboard, it was a gigantic sign that seemed to proclaim one was entering Union Carbide country.

Almost hidden behind it was a small sign beside the road offering a friendly “Welcome to Connecticut.”

That was in 1981. Lot of good eateries and nice recreation areas. The people were a lot friendlier than in Rhode Island and Massachusetts. Of course, wherever we Naval Officer candidates went on the weekend, once we were let off our leash, we all exuded the Naval Officer Candidate vibe. That sometimes made the locals wary of us around Newport or out on the Cape.

Good luck to McMahon.

J.E. Dyer on August 22, 2012 at 2:12 PM

Chris Murphy’s only hope is to have Joe Biden come in and campaign with him…of course Joe is tied up fixing the economy and creating peace int he middle east, while turning back global warming…Joe is the dems only hope.

right2bright on August 22, 2012 at 2:12 PM

Isn’t it time for another Pew obama +10 poll?

crash72 on August 22, 2012 at 2:12 PM

Don’t take anything for granted and don’t celebrate until Nov. 6, 2012.

Schadenfreude on August 22, 2012 at 2:08 PM

Worth repeating!

Do not under estimate the gutter scum. We will be fighting bare knuckle people.

McMahon..drop kick Murphy and keep him on the mat.

bazil9 on August 22, 2012 at 2:12 PM

Hey, Delaware Republicans. We all wouldn’t be so stressed had you guys not royally screwed us in 2010 w/ Christine O’Donnell. ;)

Now we have to rely more on McMahon than on Akin in our attempts to take back the Senate. Nice.

nicktjacob on August 22, 2012 at 2:13 PM

From Jim Geraghty.

Argh. What are the National Republican Senatorial Committee, and grassroots Republicans and conservative supposed to do, now that Todd Akin has exponentially complicated the effort to defeat Sen. Claire McCaskill in Missouri, and win the three (or four, if Romney doesn’t win) seats needed to take over the Senate?

All they have is Nebraska, where State Senator Deb Fischer holds an 18-point lead over Democrat Bob Kerrey in a seat where incumbent Democrat Ben Nelson is retiring, and North Dakota, where Rick Berg is up 9 on in a seat where incumbent Democrat Kent Conrad is retiring…

and Montana, where Rep. Denny Rehberg has a small but consistent lead over incumbent Jon Tester…

and Wisconsin, where Tommy Thompson has an increasing lead over Tammy Baldwin to fill the Senate seat occupied by the retiring Herb Kohl…

…but they have to make up the likely loss in Maine, where either a Democrat or Democrat-leaning Independent are likely to replace Sen. Olympia Snowe… they need to keep Sen. Scott Brown in office in Massachusetts where the latest poll has him… er, only up by 5…

… and they have to hold Indiana in a presidential year, when Rasmussen has Mourdock slightly ahead… and make sure that Sen. Dean Heller keeps his consistent lead in Nevada…

and… hey, wait a minute… Connie Mack looks pretty competitive against incumbent Democrat Bill Nelson in Florida… George Allen remains neck-and-neck with Tim Kaine in Virginia…

… what’s this? Could incumbent Democrat Sen. Sherrod Brown really be tied with GOP challenger Josh Mandel in Ohio, as Rasmussen suggests? And what’s this eye-popping suggestion that in Connecticut, “Former wrestling executive Linda McMahon holds a narrow lead over Democratic Congressman Chris Murphy in Rasmussen Reports’ first look at Connecticut’s U.S. Senate race. A new telephone survey of Likely Voters in Connecticut shows McMahon with 49 percent of the vote to Murphy’s 46 percent…”

Gee, suddenly the outlook for Republicans in the Senate races doesn’t look so bad anymore, does it? Source

And I just saw this a few minutes ago:

Fox 2 Poll: Hoekstra leads Stabenow in Senate race

Flora Duh on August 22, 2012 at 2:14 PM

Just yesterday I talked about this race here and said Linda was running a much better campaign this time around and doing much better than people were assuming and expecting.

Linda is a very intelligent person. She learned from her mistakes 2 years ago. She has a couple of excellent campaign operatives with her. The negative ads are very good and you see people using the “Linda!” t-shirts everywhere around.

I don’t think she’s ahead right now nor would I project here to be the favourite to win in November, but I’m confident she’s pretty close and ready to jump on the opportunity if Murphy doesn’t step up his game. I’d say Murphy is ahead by no more than a couple of points right now.

Plus, mind you Romney is an excellent fit for Connecticut, especially with Obama waging his war on success and threatening to raise people’s taxes. I think there are many socially liberal voters who will vote Romney/Linda this time around.

I believe we also have a chance in CT-5. The primary didn’t went too well as the stronger Democrat won, but this is a district that Romney and Linda should win and where our candidate is a fairly popular state legislator (albeit a moderate NE Republican).

joana on August 22, 2012 at 2:14 PM

Don’t take anything for granted and don’t celebrate until Nov. 6, 2012.

Schadenfreude on August 22, 2012 at 2:08 PM

Don’t take anything for granted and don’t celebrate until Nov. 6, 2012 Jan. 20, 2013. There’s no telling how much damage a spiteful, communist loser will do in 74 days.

mapper on August 22, 2012 at 2:18 PM

Even if, through miracles, this would happen, I’d still hate to ‘keep’ McCaskill.

She is the harlot of the Senate and must go! No one lied more to the people than she, except for Obama.

Out, out, out. She must be the Blanche Lincoln of 2010.

McCaskill must go!!!

Schadenfreude on August 22, 2012 at 2:04 PM

She’s the harlot??

And here I thought that role was filled by Mary Landrieu?

ToddPA on August 22, 2012 at 2:18 PM

I’ve seen McMahon interviewed…she’s no dummy.

Come on Connecticut!

ToddPA on August 22, 2012 at 2:19 PM

Is she a conservative, or just a republican? Inquiring minds want to know.

Don L on August 22, 2012 at 2:19 PM

Would Spock have to wear a goatee in that universe?
posted at 2:01 pm on August 22, 2012 by Ed Morrissey

Link or it didn’t happen.

Paul-Cincy on August 22, 2012 at 2:20 PM

Hey, Delaware Republicans. We all wouldn’t be so stressed had you guys not royally screwed us in 2010 w/ Christine O’Donnell. ;)

Now we have to rely more on McMahon than on Akin in our attempts to take back the Senate. Nice.

nicktjacob on August 22, 2012 at 2:13 PM

let it go, dude. let.it.go.

Lost in Jersey on August 22, 2012 at 2:22 PM

Wonder how Wendy Long is polling against Kirsten Gillibrand in NY…

piglet on August 22, 2012 at 2:22 PM

Smackdown!

Wonder how Wendy Long is polling against Kirsten Gillibrand in NY…

piglet on August 22, 2012 at 2:22 PM

New York Senate
Long vs. Gillibrand Siena Gillibrand 65, Long 22 Gillibrand +43

blammm on August 22, 2012 at 2:24 PM

Is she a conservative, or just a republican? Inquiring minds want to know.

Don L on August 22, 2012 at 2:19 PM

I forget if she’s pro-life or not, but there’s no doubt she’s a hardcore fiscal conservative. I’m certain that’ll be her focus in the campaign just like it was in 2010.

Doughboy on August 22, 2012 at 2:24 PM

New York Senate
Long vs. Gillibrand Siena Gillibrand 65, Long 22 Gillibrand +43

blammm on August 22, 2012 at 2:24 PM

Yeah, I just looked that up. Ugly.

piglet on August 22, 2012 at 2:26 PM

Is she a conservative, or just a republican? Inquiring minds want to know.

Don L on August 22, 2012 at 2:19 PM

Christine O’Donnell voter, eh?

Please go away.

nicktjacob on August 22, 2012 at 2:26 PM

Yeah, I just looked that up. Ugly.

piglet on August 22, 2012 at 2:26 PM

We threw that race away the instant we nominated Wendy Long. With Bob Turner, we might have had an outside chance. As it stands, that race is gone.

KingGold on August 22, 2012 at 2:28 PM

let it go, dude. let.it.go.

Lost in Jersey on August 22, 2012 at 2:22 PM

It’s almost impossible.

Every poll had Castle handily beating Coons, and every poll also had Coons handily beating O’Donnell.

And we nominated O’Donnell. Amazing.

nicktjacob on August 22, 2012 at 2:28 PM

I forget if she’s pro-life or not, but there’s no doubt she’s a hardcore fiscal conservative. I’m certain that’ll be her focus in the campaign just like it was in 2010.

Doughboy on August 22, 2012 at 2:24 PM

She’s pro-choice. And that doesn’t mean a damn thing right now.

Anybody who would abandon her efforts to take a Dem seat because of that should just go away.

KingGold on August 22, 2012 at 2:30 PM

Pelosi is nostalgic.

Schadenfreude on August 22, 2012 at 2:33 PM

It’s almost impossible.

Every poll had Castle handily beating Coons, and every poll also had Coons handily beating O’Donnell.

And we nominated O’Donnell. Amazing.

nicktjacob on August 22, 2012 at 2:28 PM

What’s amazing is you still whining about this like
a little girl who’s had too much Halloween candy.

ToddPA on August 22, 2012 at 2:34 PM

KingGold on August 22, 2012 at 2:30 PM

Preach.

nicktjacob on August 22, 2012 at 2:35 PM

O/T

And so the Mormon attacks begin.

“There is a sickness out there in the Republican Party, and I’m not kidding. Maybe they don’t like their moms or their first wives. I don’t know what it is.” – Barbara Boxer 8/21/2012

jazzmo on August 22, 2012 at 2:35 PM

I am optimistic about the senate, and I want to contribute to all Republican senate candidates where there is a reasonable chance that my contributions can help. I think that the senate lists of Legal Insurrection and Ace are too limited. Perhaps Jim Geraghty’s list set forth in Flora Duh’s email, plus Hoekstra, constitutes the list I am looking for.

GaltBlvnAtty on August 22, 2012 at 2:35 PM

What’s amazing is you still whining about this like
a little girl who’s had too much Halloween candy.

ToddPA on August 22, 2012 at 2:34 PM

You don’t want to take back the Senate?

Awesome, dude. Awesome.

nicktjacob on August 22, 2012 at 2:35 PM

Good for her.

gophergirl on August 22, 2012 at 2:35 PM

Hey, Delaware Republicans. We all wouldn’t be so stressed had you guys not royally screwed us in 2010 w/ Christine O’Donnell. ;)

Now we have to rely more on McMahon than on Akin in our attempts to take back the Senate. Nice.

nicktjacob on August 22, 2012 at 2:13 PM

You would have been screwed with Mike Castle anyway. Do you think he’d vote to repeal 0bamacare? Heck, Mr. Fence Sitter split his vote on the Clinton impeachment right down the middle (yes on 2 charges, no on the other 2). Just to be “safe.”

So don’t blame us for wanting to give a real conservative a chance.

UltimateBob on August 22, 2012 at 2:37 PM

And so the Mormon attacks begin.

“There is a sickness out there in the Republican Party, and I’m not kidding. Maybe they don’t like their moms or their first wives. I don’t know what it is.” – Barbara Boxer 8/21/2012

jazzmo on August 22, 2012 at 2:35 PM

I didn’t see that as a Mormon attack. If it were, wouldn’t she have said many wives?

changer1701 on August 22, 2012 at 2:38 PM

You don’t want to take back the Senate?

Awesome, dude. Awesome.

nicktjacob on August 22, 2012 at 2:35 PM

Do you have a Learning Disability??

I’m all in for McMahon….a poster told you to “let it go”

You puking and moaning about a race from 2 effing years ago
is really old.

ToddPA on August 22, 2012 at 2:39 PM

Schadenfreude on August 22, 2012 at 2:08 PM

Actually, until January 20, 2013. I distrust mightily what Obamao will do even if he loses the election. As a lame duck, this THING in the White House is capable of virtually anything. He has shown it time and again.

PJ Emeritus on August 22, 2012 at 2:39 PM

Obama dropped from 50/45 to 49/46 in WI in latest Marquette. He now has to defend a state he won by 14 in 2008.

Chuck Schick on August 22, 2012 at 2:39 PM

Flora Duh’s “comment,” not “email.”
Sorry.

GaltBlvnAtty on August 22, 2012 at 2:39 PM

Do you think he’d vote to repeal 0bamacare?

UltimateBob on August 22, 2012 at 2:37 PM

What, just because he said he’d vote to repeal it, and voted against it in the House at the time?

No, let’s just defer to your super-awesome mind-reading abilities. How’s the Bearded Marxist working out for you?

KingGold on August 22, 2012 at 2:40 PM

This means Hawaii, Michigan, and West Virginia should be in play!

SouthernGent on August 22, 2012 at 2:40 PM

I didn’t see that as a Mormon attack. If it were, wouldn’t she have said many wives?

changer1701 on August 22, 2012 at 2:38 PM

If it’s not a mormon attack referencing polygamy, why would she say “first wives”? What does she mean by “first”?

jazzmo on August 22, 2012 at 2:41 PM

What’s amazing is you still whining about this like
a little girl who’s had too much Halloween candy.

ToddPA on August 22, 2012 at 2:34 PM

He’s like those people who you still see driving around with Kerry/Edwards bumper stickers on their cars.

UltimateBob on August 22, 2012 at 2:41 PM

You would have been screwed with Mike Castle anyway. Do you think he’d vote to repeal 0bamacare? Heck, Mr. Fence Sitter split his vote on the Clinton impeachment right down the middle (yes on 2 charges, no on the other 2). Just to be “safe.”

So don’t blame us for wanting to give a real conservative a chance.

UltimateBob on August 22, 2012 at 2:37 PM

Well I’m no Mike Castle fan and I don’t think he was a shoo-in to beat Coons, but dude would’ve voted to repeal Obamacare. That much we know. Everything else(Dodd-Frank, crap-and-betrayed, taxes) we can’t be certain, but every single Republican either in the Senate or running for it was on record saying they wanted to overturn that law.

Doughboy on August 22, 2012 at 2:41 PM

KingGold on August 22, 2012 at 2:40 PM

Don’t you think it’s about time to scrape that Mike Castle for US Senate bumper sticker off your car and get on with life?

UltimateBob on August 22, 2012 at 2:43 PM

There’s no way that Republicans can lose a Senate race in Missouri while winning two in Massachusetts and Connecticut … right?

That can’t be. We just experienced the Full Retard Apocalypse over Akin.

faraway on August 22, 2012 at 2:44 PM

Don’t you think it’s about time to scrape that Mike Castle for US Senate bumper sticker off your car and get on with life?

UltimateBob on August 22, 2012 at 2:43 PM

Don’t you think it’s time to finally admit that you foisted a terrible candidate on us in the name of “conservatism?”

KingGold on August 22, 2012 at 2:46 PM

Got to fly her hubby a few weeks ago. Nice guy out of the ring. :)

Hawkerflyer on August 22, 2012 at 2:46 PM

It is really important to note that her opponent in 2010 was Richard Blumenthal, whose popularity in Connecticut was difficult to overstate.

She’s got a better shot this time, and she’s definitely learned to campaign at the ground level.

KingGold on August 22, 2012 at 2:09 PM

Agreed. Tricky Dick Blumenarsethal was State Attorney General for decades, whereas Chris Murphy was only a Congressman for 2 terms, having very narrowly beat Rob Simmons for CT-2 in 2008.

McMahon lost badly in 2010 while the Republicans only narrowly lost the Governor’s race, but new Governor Dannel Pee Malloy is not very popular with his massive tax hikes and high unemployment, while the unions get huge perks. Prior to 2010, CT had two Republican Governors for 16 years (John Rowland and Jodi Rell), who consistently vetoed tax increases from the Dem-dominated State Legislature and kept the state budget in balance. Now that the greedy taxers have free reign, CT voters are probably having buyer’s remorse…

McMahon is pro-life, although she downplays social issues and concentrates on her fiscal conservative, pro-business and job-creation platform. Such a platform will probably play better in 2012 (an election about the economy, with Mitt Romney on top of the ballot) and high unemployment and high taxation than it did in 2010.

As for the Rasmussen poll sample, voter registration in CT is about 33% D, 22% R, and 45% I. If McMahon can win Indies by 24%, that might overcome the Democrat turnout advantage.

Steve Z on August 22, 2012 at 2:47 PM

Well I’m no Mike Castle fan and I don’t think he was a shoo-in to beat Coons, but dude would’ve voted to repeal Obamacare. That much we know.

Doughboy on August 22, 2012 at 2:41 PM

We all believed John Roberts would rule it unconstitutional, too.

UltimateBob on August 22, 2012 at 2:47 PM

I want this to happen, but only because I want to see HHH hit Harry Reid with a sledgehammer…

PetecminMd on August 22, 2012 at 2:08 PM

Heh. Then pedigree his azz. :)

Linda has a legit shot to win here, she’s not a dope – rasslin’ or no rasslin’.

Murphy, on the other hand, is a dope.

I’m not writing off MO yet, either – Akin will go as soon as he realizes the money’s gone (which won’t be long), or someone will go Independent to keep McCasket out.

ICanSeeNovFromMyHouse on August 22, 2012 at 2:49 PM

Don’t you think it’s time to finally admit that you foisted a terrible candidate on us in the name of “conservatism?”

KingGold on August 22, 2012 at 2:46 PM

Why not whine about McCain or Dole? Check your calender, it’s 2012.

NotCoach on August 22, 2012 at 2:51 PM

McMahon is pro-life

Steve Z on August 22, 2012 at 2:47 PM

No. Unless she’s suddenly flipflopped, she’s pro-choice and opposes federal funding for abortion, and, as far as I know, partial birth abortion.

KingGold on August 22, 2012 at 2:52 PM

Don’t you think it’s time to finally admit that you foisted a terrible candidate on us in the name of “RINOism?”

KingGold on August 22, 2012 at 2:46 PM

FIFY

faraway on August 22, 2012 at 2:52 PM

And so the Mormon attacks begin.

“There is a sickness out there in the Republican Party, and I’m not kidding. Maybe they don’t like their moms or their first wives. I don’t know what it is.” – Barbara Boxer 8/21/2012

jazzmo on August 22, 2012 at 2:35 PM

Mitt Romney is still married to his first wife, and Paul Ryan took his mother on the campaign trail with him. What is Babsie babbling about? If this is meant as a dig against Mormons, why did Romney choose a self-proclaimed “deer-hunting Catholic” as his running mate?

Steve Z on August 22, 2012 at 2:53 PM

Why not whine about McCain or Dole? Check your calender, it’s 2012.

NotCoach on August 22, 2012 at 2:51 PM

How about True Conservative Todd Akin? Is that too long ago, or are TrueCons disavowing him because Palin opted to go with the woman candidate?

KingGold on August 22, 2012 at 2:53 PM

One step closer to life immitating art (if you can call “Idiocracy” art)… I wonder what her theme music would be when she walks into the Senate…

Tremor on August 22, 2012 at 2:55 PM

This more than Eastcoast- Midwest bizzarro world stuff…

Didnt this gal lose to the guy that was an admitted LIAR- serving in Viet nam or something and beat this gal by 10pts ?? in the 2010 Republican shellacking midterms ?

Whats going on… a sympathy vote for her ?

FlaMurph on August 22, 2012 at 2:56 PM

If A lying liberal can’t be ousted in Missouri, for gosh sakes, even if the Pub. candidate did misspeak, the Pub. brand is past it’s sell by date. Dems. lie, misspeak,cover up,steal,cheat on taxes, have sex with intern in oval office,and do all kinds of scum bag things and rarely if ever suffer any consequences and are never held accountable. Let a Pub. say McCCACA, or that some reported rapes are not always really rapes, (remember Duke Lacrosse players)or say something at a birthday party for a hundred year old Sen., and they are drummed out of politics. When are we going to quit this crap of throwing our candidates under the bus? Defend the candidate. Lie about what he/she said. Do the same thing the Dems. do. The public has a short memory. This story will be old news in a week or two. Dems. understand that when their candidates are involved. We are so stoooooopid.

they lie on August 22, 2012 at 2:57 PM

Would Spock have to wear a goatee in that universe?

Morrissey needs a bio and glossary tab somewhere on HotAir.

InterestedObserver on August 22, 2012 at 3:00 PM

How about True Conservative Todd Akin? Is that too long ago, or are TrueCons disavowing him because Palin opted to go with the woman candidate?

KingGold on August 22, 2012 at 2:53 PM

King, you need to abdicate.

faraway on August 22, 2012 at 3:03 PM

Here in SW CT, there are lots of Republican Conservatives that will vote for Linda.

Many (but not all) of my CT neighbors regret their Obie vote, but Blumenthal, as will Murphy, tapped into Bridgeport and New Haven, where there are lots and lots of Bambots on the welfare dole. Blumenthal also was a long-time CT Atty Gen with lots of name recognition who was always going to be a huge favorite in CT.

Linda has buckets of money, and is running some hard hitting ads. Heck, I got a robocall from a little old lady voice about how Obama has already robbed Medicare of $716 billion…and that was the VERY DAY after she won the primary!!!

It’s a long shot in deep blue CT, but McMahon is a fiercely aggressive candidate who is ready to spend $$$.

It sure would be nice to go to the polls and maybe win, for a change, in this very blue state.

marybel on August 22, 2012 at 1:13 PM

marybel on August 22, 2012 at 3:05 PM

I am optimistic about the senate, and I want to contribute to all Republican senate candidates where there is a reasonable chance that my contributions can help. I think that the senate lists of Legal Insurrection and Ace are too limited. Perhaps Jim Geraghty’s list set forth in Flora Duh’s email, plus Hoekstra, constitutes the list I am looking for.

GaltBlvnAtty on August 22, 2012 at 2:35 PM

My priorities:

1 – Scott Brown, MA: it’s an incredible expensive race and one where Super PACs can’t play, Romney/Ryan won’t have a campaign and the state party is non-existent. Brown will have to solely rely on his how fundraising and the Harvard Indian has been beating fundraising records.

2 – Connie Mack, FL: I’ve been shocked at how bad Mack’s fundraising has been. Fortunately Nelson is a very weak incumbent and Mack still has a good chance of overtaking this thing. I believe Romney will win Florida and there’s no reason why Nelson should be able to over-perform Obama by more than 2 points. After six years in congress, his favourables are still in the high 30s, low 40s: most people simply don’t care about this guy. He probably has the lowest name ID of any 6-year senator ever. If Mack has the money to go on the airwaves and attack Nelson, he should have a good chance of pulling this out. Sadly, the CoH disparity is $10M to $2M – Mack needs to make up as much of that gap as possible and soon.

3 – George Allen, VA: This is going to be an extremely close race to the end. Both sides are going to spend and need astronomical amounts of money. It’d be at the top of my list if it wasn’t for the fact that SuperPACs and the presidential campaigns are going to spend so much money in VA this year.

4 – Heather Wilson, NM: This is one of my sleeper races. Polls have been showing this race much closer than the place CW has it. Heather is a great campaigner and while the fundamentals of the state may be against her, especially in a presidential year, she’ll always make this close. Having the money for a good GOTV operation may be the difference here.

5 – Tommy Thompson, WI: He should win this easily but he’ll need some money to fight the huge chestwar of liberal grassroots/LBGT hero Tammy Baldwin of Madison.

6 – Dean Heller, NV: Heller is the overwhelming favourite against his corrupt opponent from the big city and should win this easily especially after the lasts developments. However, Nevada in a presidential year can be complicated due to all those low-info latinos voting straight democrat ticket, so it’s important he doesn’t lack the resources to pull this away.

MT and ND are important races where you can donate, but those are relatively cheap states where Karl Rove can dominate the airwaves by himself and our candidates are relatively well-funded. I think the bad numbers from Indiana are just fools gold for the Democrats – bitter Lugar supporters. Lingle has plenty of cash to fight her desperate race. We’ll need to wait for Missouri, that might become the priority.

………

Have you ever thought about donating to House races?

Plus, if you’re planning to contribute a sizeable amount, a few hundred dollars or more, do more than a click on the internet. Pick a candidate near you, attend a fundraise event, take a photo and make some contacts. Who knows when it’s your time to ask for money on behalf of a family member or close friend.

joana on August 22, 2012 at 3:06 PM

Can ya SMEEEEEEEEEELLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLL …… what THE. GOP. is COOKIN?

NY Conservative on August 22, 2012 at 3:06 PM

Woo Hoo you go Linda. Gotta see you in the heads up debate with this Murph dude. Rip him a new one.

jake49 on August 22, 2012 at 3:09 PM

If McMahon is this competitive, then maybe she can buoy Romney’s chances somewhat in the Nutmeg State. With recent polling, my model puts the state at Obama +8. Maybe Team Zero will be forced to commit some unanticipated resources here, making Romney more competitive in other, truer swing states (like the Upper Midwest).

steebo77 on August 22, 2012 at 2:10 PM

Don’t know if you’ve seen Carl Rove’s electoral college map recently but CT is showing pale blue. There’s a lot us that don’t care very much for President Jugears and we all intend to vote! McMahon defeated that RINO Shays in the primary and now faces Murphy. The sleaze of the House. In his tenure in Congress Cris Murphy has voted strict party line, when he’s even bothered to show up.

Boats48 on August 22, 2012 at 3:10 PM

Reverse coattails don’t exist.

joana on August 22, 2012 at 3:11 PM

Sounds like this race hinges on how well Romney can make his economic case. Would love to see McMahon in.

paul1149 on August 22, 2012 at 3:16 PM

How about True Conservative Todd Akin? Is that too long ago, or are TrueCons disavowing him because Palin opted to go with the woman candidate?

KingGold on August 22, 2012 at 2:53 PM

No, that’s not past history. You can b!tch about Akin if you want.

NotCoach on August 22, 2012 at 3:18 PM

To watch Harry Reid hand the gavel over to a Republican.

Talk about a great thought.

itsspideyman on August 22, 2012 at 3:22 PM

whereas Chris Murphy was only a Congressman for 2 terms, having very narrowly beat Rob Simmons for CT-2 in 2008.

I think Chris Murphy was CT-5. I live in CT-2 and the one that beat Simmons was Joe Courtney.

pipandbaby on August 22, 2012 at 3:33 PM

Mitch McConnell, April 2009

“And we should be concerned that, as a result of all this, the Republican Party seems to be slipping into a position of being more of a regional party than a national one.”

Heh.

Robert_Paulson on August 22, 2012 at 3:34 PM

Murphy is my congressman in CT-5. He is constantly sending me junk mail about ‘Buy American First’. I think he’s clueless about the causes of the bad economy in CT-5. He may be a party hack, but thats just a guess.

steveracer on August 22, 2012 at 3:42 PM

joana on August 22, 2012 at 3:06 PM

Thanks for the additional names and thoughts.

GaltBlvnAtty on August 22, 2012 at 3:53 PM

“Whatcha gonna do when the McMahon runs wild on you, brother?!”

fortcoins on August 22, 2012 at 3:56 PM

The Democrats will be legimately raped if they lose MA and CN.

pedestrian on August 22, 2012 at 4:05 PM

Morrissey needs a bio and glossary tab somewhere on HotAir.

InterestedObserver on August 22, 2012 at 3:00 PM

This is such a common reference it’s useful to know:

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mirror,_Mirror_(Star_Trek:_The_Original_Series)

for a short clip: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_oOqQ38XLv8

pedestrian on August 22, 2012 at 4:10 PM

Lol! Breaking News! Dems Rush to do a D+57 poll to refute your Biased POLL!

God Bless America!

paratisi on August 22, 2012 at 4:12 PM

As a member of the endangered Republican species in CT, I’ll believe it when I see it. This state is deep union blue.

Having said that, maybe even Democrats have a limit to how much failed socialism they can stomach. One can dream, I guess.

jnelchef on August 22, 2012 at 4:20 PM

linda is a big phony, but for as long as she has been running for office she has been a font of tea party tropes. she’s a phony tea partier, a phony anti-rino but not a real rino.

i think if she were located in chicago or cleveland or oakland or someplace like that, she’d be spewing occupy tropes and pretending to be the candidate for the so-called 99%. she’s an ambitious p.t. barnum type who chases populist currents. if elected to office, her only prerogative will be to broaden and preserve her access to power.

i have never been the recipient of a more expensive direct-mail campaign in my life. i’m talking gatefolds and custom diecuts with full-color, dyesub on 60lb cardstock. the whole nine.

eh on August 22, 2012 at 4:26 PM

in other words, you can smell the expectation of profit wafting up from the pages.

eh on August 22, 2012 at 4:27 PM

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