Too good to check: Could Obama lose … Illinois?

posted at 2:01 pm on August 20, 2012 by Ed Morrissey

Look, I’m a pretty sunny optimist, but this stretches even my credulity.  A pollster in Illinois believes that Mitt Romney can win Barack Obama’s home state, thanks to a mediocre performance in Cook County by the incumbent, and outright hostility outstate:

A poll conducted by Illinois-based pollster and political strategist Michael McKeon found Obama leading Republican Mitt Romney by 49 percent to 37 percent in Cook County, the home of Chicago. That puts him ahead by a far thinner margin than expected in a county he should be winning handsomely.

Cook is the most Democratic leaning county in the state. It is also the most populous. …

According to the poll, which surveyed 629 registered voters last week, Obama’s problems are not in Chicago proper, but in suburban Cook County.

In the city of Chicago itself, he retains a 60-29 lead over Romney. But the Republican challenger leads 45-38 in the surrounding areas. Across the county as a whole, Romney leads 43-31 among independent voters, a crucial voting bloc. Romney also holds a 44-38 lead among male voters, and a 53-40 lead among white voters.

Who’s Michael McKeon?  He’s been around Illinois for decades and runs McKeon and Associates [see update II].  The data on the poll isn’t provided by either The DC or by McKeon’s website, so it’s impossible to vet this more closely.  Suffice it to say that a relatively new pollster can still produce sterling results, but we don’t have much of a track record by which to compare this poll, nor any other recent Illinois polling.

If this poll is accurate, it would obviously be embarrassing to Obama to have to spend a lot of money and attention on his own home state.  Republicans nearly won the gubernatorial election after the conviction of Rod Blagojevich, and Mark Kirk won the open Senate seat in 2010, but the state GOP still needs to do a lot of work to make themselves competitive in the Land of Lincoln.  If Obama really ended up losing Illinois, it would almost certainly be because of a national landslide that would make Illinois a historical footnote.

On the other hand, Democratic pollster PPP warns that Romney has taken a slight lead in Wisconsin — and that might indicate an overall heartland problem for Obama:

We’ll see more when PPP releases the results tomorrow.

Update: From a reader in Chicago via e-mail:

[A]bout a week or two ago I started to see Obama commercials running in the Chicago area and thought to myself, what a waste of money.  Why is Obama spending money on ad buys in a state he has no chance of losing?  Hmmm.

Sometimes, campaigns run ads to stoke fundraising efforts … but still

Update II: My friend Michael Flynn at Breitbart tells me I have the wrong Michael McKeon — it’s not the one from Mercury, but from longtime Illinois institution McKeon and Associates.  I’ve corrected the post above.

Update III: Other readers think that the ads in Chicago are probably aimed at the area in southern Wisconsin (and maybe western Indiana?) that rely on Chicago broadcast stations.

 

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The ultimate Schadenfreude!

Schadenfreude on August 20, 2012 at 2:03 PM

That would be awesome. I’d like to see him slink back to Hyde Park in Chicago and fade from memory.

TXMomof3 on August 20, 2012 at 2:04 PM

He’s so desperate that he just held a press conference and he will, being a degenerate, always, campaign in the vicinity of the R convention, contrary to past traditions.

He has made the land into an indecent latrine in all regards.

Schadenfreude on August 20, 2012 at 2:05 PM

I have a few fences to mend back in Tennessee, both literally, and figuratively….

/Algore after his loss of his homestate in 2000.

ted c on August 20, 2012 at 2:05 PM

Bush lost Illinois by 12% in 2000 and 10% in 2004. McCain lost by 25% in 2008. It would take a miracle for a 25+ point swing this year, but stranger things have happened.

steebo77 on August 20, 2012 at 2:06 PM

How ya doin’ Chicago! How ’bout them Packers!

- Stupid Joe

OhEssYouCowboys on August 20, 2012 at 2:06 PM

Psaki was responding to a reporter who had noted that “Traditionally, Presidents kind of stay low during the opposition’s conventions” and asked, “Is he trying to steal some thunder next week with his own campaign trips?”

In all ways he is a degenerate, a desperate one now.

Schadenfreude on August 20, 2012 at 2:06 PM

OT: Kabuki theater at White House…

d1carter on August 20, 2012 at 2:06 PM

This is such a ridiculous article. Obama is no where close to loosing Illinois.

Listen, 2 years ago, out of 110 counties here in Illinois, Governor Quinn won the election by winning only 3…..that’s right 3, of those counties. One of those counties was Cook county, home of Chicago…one of the other counties was St Louis county.

We have over 13 million that live in this state….10 million live in Chicago and it’s collar counties alone…..3 million live in the whole rest of the state, the “downstate” area.

Trust me, Obama will never, ever “loose” this state.

tencole on August 20, 2012 at 2:06 PM

Don’t believe any polls this year. People lie to pollsters like never before, to protect themselves.

Schadenfreude on August 20, 2012 at 2:07 PM

You’d think that those Chicago slackers would be singing hosannas as they were swinging hammers and building venues for those 2016 Chicago Olympi…….er, wait a sec…

ted c on August 20, 2012 at 2:07 PM

Not gonna happen, but this may spook him into spending more time in Illinois campaigning and having Rahm ensure the dead rise and vote Dem this November.

teke184 on August 20, 2012 at 2:08 PM

I eagerly await the premiere of former President Obama’s talk show next year on MSNBC. He could review the day’s news, and how it affects his life.

DarthBrooks on August 20, 2012 at 2:09 PM

I fear that so many people will be on welfare that eventually we become a Banana Republic.

Oil Can on August 20, 2012 at 2:09 PM

The rumble that we natives heard by putting our ears to the ground is an approaching stampede. It’s getting close enough that even the pollsters are picking up the sound.

MaxMBJ on August 20, 2012 at 2:09 PM

It pains me to say it… but I don’t see it happening. If you look at Illinois’ historical Political Inclination Quotient over the past 32 years…

http://piqscore.com/illinois/

… it’s consistently Blue (PIQ-46), even in years where the Perot Factor is included.

These are the Jackalopes who gave us BHO; you can’t underestimate just how stupid they’ll get in an election year.

VastRightWingConspirator on August 20, 2012 at 2:09 PM

I was born in Illinois but I only admit that under cover of anonymity.

Extrafishy on August 20, 2012 at 2:10 PM

Illinois has way too many dead voters for a Democrat to lose the state.

natasha333 on August 20, 2012 at 2:10 PM

I am hopeful, at least for Pres. Blightbringer having to liquidate campaign funds in his own backyard. Reading thru comments at D.C. site, interesting to read “All 12 members of my family and extended family voted for B.O. in ’08 and we all vote R/R in 2012″…

Tide is a turning.

hillsoftx on August 20, 2012 at 2:10 PM

Trust me, Obama will never, ever “loose” this state.

What?

vityas on August 20, 2012 at 2:11 PM

Intade still has him as a 60% or so favorite over Governor Romney.

Every raving supported I know is at least tepid toward him.

An oddsmaker in London told me that if the Republicans find a Reagan with a plan, coolness and some specifics, LBJ’s landslide will look like a close race. (He is conservative.)

I told him fat chance of that.

IlikedAUH2O on August 20, 2012 at 2:11 PM

From Washington Post a few days ago

He still walks the same streets here as his old acquaintance Barack Obama once did. That is about all they have in common anymore. At 50, Chicago activist Mark Allen lives with his parents, barely able to pay his bills. The head of a small, community-assistance organization called Black Wall Street Chicago, Allen regards his personal survival alone as a small victory, grateful he can pay the rent on his modest office space, aware he is doing better than many on this city’s restive South Side.

“Things haven’t gone the way we’d hoped after Barack got elected,” he says. Surveys place unemployment rates above 25 percent here, and indications are that South Side residents such as Allen aren’t nearly as passionate about the 2012 election as they were during Obama’s trailblazing 2008 campaign.

William Amos on August 20, 2012 at 2:11 PM

Nothing was more disgusting than to drive in Chicago, right after the 2008 election and to see the black/white pictures of Mao, er Obama, affixed to all the light posts.

It was like China in the least, N. Korea in the worst.

Schadenfreude on August 20, 2012 at 2:12 PM

I eagerly await the premiere of former President Obama’s talk show next year on MSNBC. He could review the day’s news, and how it affects his life.

DarthBrooks on August 20, 2012 at 2:09 PM

BitterRoots by Barack or
How to suceed in Havard without really trying.

Oil Can on August 20, 2012 at 2:13 PM

Hey, dead voters don’t answer the phone, so that poll doesn’t reflect them.

Carol in Austin on August 20, 2012 at 2:13 PM

OT: Kabuki theater at White House…

d1carter on August 20, 2012 at 2:06 PM

You mean he actually took questions from the press, beyond those of what superpower he’d want?

And, it’d be nice if Romney rode a landslide big enough to carry IL, but I’d rather focus on WI, PA, MI, etc.

changer1701 on August 20, 2012 at 2:14 PM

pipe dream.

Bensonofben on August 20, 2012 at 2:14 PM

Legitimately? Sure, Romney could win. But Chicago politics dictates much ballot stuffing. No way that it doesn’t go Dem.

Book on August 20, 2012 at 2:14 PM

How ya doin’ Chicago! How ’bout them Packers!

- Stupid Joe

OhEssYouCowboys on August 20, 2012 at 2:06 PM

Heh. I could see that.

22044 on August 20, 2012 at 2:15 PM

A poll in Illinois that did not include talking to dead voters is inaccurate.

bayview on August 20, 2012 at 2:15 PM

Trust me, Obama will never, ever “loose” this state.

tencole on August 20, 2012 at 2:06 PM

Yup. Boxes of ballots will be discovered with precisely the number of Democrat votes needed (plus one hundred) for Obama to win. Look at Quinn’s election results.

And, please, can Obama retire to anywhere in Hawaii rather than Chicago? Sorry, Kini.

Fallon on August 20, 2012 at 2:16 PM

You mean he actually took questions from the press, beyond those of what superpower he’d want?

And, it’d be nice if Romney rode a landslide big enough to carry IL, but I’d rather focus on WI, PA, MI, etc.

changer1701 on August 20, 2012 at 2:14 PM

It was called entirely for 2 reasons:

1) to fight the idea that he’s been hiding from the press
2) to allow him to go on the record condemning Todd Akin and painting Republicans as extremists

steebo77 on August 20, 2012 at 2:17 PM

“Things haven’t gone the way we’d hoped after Barack got elected,” he says. Surveys place unemployment rates above 25 percent here, and indications are that South Side residents such as Allen aren’t nearly as passionate about the 2012 election as they were during Obama’s trailblazing 2008 campaign.”

How very, very sad that anyone actually believed for one second that Obama cared about anyone other than himself.

natasha333 on August 20, 2012 at 2:17 PM

Not if the trunk of my Lincoln can help it….!
/SEN Franken

ted c on August 20, 2012 at 2:17 PM

What is also important isnt just the Electoral votes. If Democrats dont turn out in numbers then Obama wont win the popular vote. If California and Illinois and NY democratic turnout is low then Obama is sunk.

William Amos on August 20, 2012 at 2:18 PM

You mean he actually took questions from the press, beyond those of what superpower he’d want?

changer1701 on August 20, 2012 at 2:14 PM

He sure did … NBABCBS top of the hour news breathlessly told me how, in response to criticism that he doesn’t take tough questions, he took four during this press event.

By my calculations, that only leaves him 8,927 short of the number Bush took at this point in his term.

Lost in Jersey on August 20, 2012 at 2:20 PM

6 dead, 36 wounded in shootings since Friday evening

Defend it King Obama.

JPeterman on August 20, 2012 at 2:20 PM

You mean he actually took questions from the press, beyond those of what superpower he’d want?

changer1701 on August 20, 2012 at 2:14 PM

Only to try to smooth over the hurt feelings in the press caused by Stephanie Cutter’s comments yesterday morning.

Check out the headline at DRUDGE

OBAMA DENIES ROMNEY FELONY SMEAR

Yeah, he really said that.

Flora Duh on August 20, 2012 at 2:20 PM

For those who are thinking that Obama has a chance to “loose” Illinois…..or rather Mitt has a chance to “win” it.

http://illinoisreview.typepad.com/illinoisreview/2012/08/illinois-powerful-and-lively-capitol-media-.html#more

tencole on August 20, 2012 at 2:20 PM

“…found Obama leading Republican Mitt Romney by 49 percent to 37 percent in Cook County..”

…but when you include DEAD PEOPLE, who ALWAYS vote EXCLUSIVELY for d-cRAT socialists, OBOZO gets 90% to Romney’s 10%.

TeaPartyNation on August 20, 2012 at 2:21 PM

Mark Kirk won the open Senate seat in 2010

…by a narrow margin against a pretty much openly acknowledged mob banker. Sad to say, my state is not going to vote against Obama. No way.

jwolf on August 20, 2012 at 2:21 PM

Four years ago in Chicago, Obama bumper stickers and signs were all over the place. This election cycle, they are scarce.

He probably still will win Illinois, but the margin will be much less.

aurelius on August 20, 2012 at 2:22 PM

But … but … people told me Ryan was a worse choice than Palin …

matd on August 20, 2012 at 2:23 PM

It is interesting that Illinois went Republican 6 straight Presidential elections from 1968-1988.

Bitter Clinger on August 20, 2012 at 2:24 PM

That would be awesome. I’d like to see him slink back to Hyde Park in Chicago Indonesia and fade from memory.

TXMomof3 on August 20, 2012 at 2:04 PM

FIFY

freedomfirst on August 20, 2012 at 2:27 PM

When they report Obama is leading in NC or OH, it is meant to excite the base… the same can be said here (only using reverse psychology). Of course, the latter is a more drastic way to get the base to start working and suggests more fear… but I don’t believe there is a snowball’s chance against the Kraken that he loses IL.

mankai on August 20, 2012 at 2:27 PM

Could Obama lose … Illinois?

RACISTS!!!!!!

That would be awesome. I’d like to see him slink back to Hyde Park in Chicago and fade from memory.

TXMomof3 on August 20, 2012 at 2:04 PM

Even if/when he loses the election, he wont go away. His ego will demand that he remain relevant somehow. He’ll get a gig at the U.N. or something as President of the World or whatever.

Yakko77 on August 20, 2012 at 2:27 PM

As the eternal optimist I will tell you that there is no way Illinois going to go for Romney…

mnjg on August 20, 2012 at 2:28 PM

Chicago is a mess right now and Rahm is not the answer. His close connections to obozo could (a little wishful thinking here) deflate the vote totals.

Flange on August 20, 2012 at 2:29 PM

Got a question re: PPP Polling. I read one of their write ups last week and noticed that I could not determine the D/R/I ratio, they did have a Female/Male ration of 54/46…ie. F+8. Was wondering if women really out-vote men that much and with the known gennder gap (Romney way ahead with men), could a F+8 poll be criticized as skewed. With new numbers for PPP coming out tomorrow, I thought I’d ask so I know how to read them!

seven_of_8 on August 20, 2012 at 2:29 PM

tencole on August 20, 2012 at 2:20 PM

loose: unchained, unfettered, unsecured, untight. In a sentence, “Dad, my tooth is loose.”

lose: to suffer a loss, the opposite of win, the thing that the Jets do. In a sentence, “Dad, I think I am going to lose my loose tooth.”

ted c on August 20, 2012 at 2:30 PM

Obama Only Ahead By 12 Points In Chicago?
Update: PPP Says Romney/Ryan Is Ahead in Wisconsin
—Ace

ted c on August 20, 2012 at 2:33 PM

Intade still has him as a 60% or so favorite over Governor Romney.

Does anyone know if there is a statiscal analysis of Intrade’s accuracy 3 months out compared to actual election results?

MessesWithTexas on August 20, 2012 at 2:34 PM

For Obama to lose Illinois then 33% of the “White Voters” who voted for him in 2008 need to switch and vote for Romney in 2012. This is an impossibility.

mnjg on August 20, 2012 at 2:34 PM

In the end I think Obama wins Illinois by 15.

22044 on August 20, 2012 at 2:35 PM

Obama probably won’t lose Illinois. Not only would this poll have to be correct, but Romney would have to probably improve on those numbers by an additional 3-4 points to have a realistic shot of making up the difference elsewhere.

That said, its, “plausible,” it probably won’t happen, but realistically could happen.

This and the PPP Wisconsin poll, heavily suggests that Obama has a midwest problem. Now I’m actually a bit curious to see a good poll out of Minnesota.

WolvenOne on August 20, 2012 at 2:35 PM

It wouldn’t surprise me if he lost NY. gas price is at $4.20, People have had it with this regime.

jaboba on August 20, 2012 at 2:35 PM

This is just a very bad poll. Don’t lose too much time with this. Call Akin asking him to withdraw. Call Huckabee.

joana on August 20, 2012 at 2:35 PM

The very bad poll is the Cook County one. The WI poll seems decent enough: I think Romney has a 3 points lead in there right now.

joana on August 20, 2012 at 2:36 PM

Could Obama lose … Illinois?

Probably not, but he’s already been advertising here for quite some time.

Lightswitch on August 20, 2012 at 2:37 PM

How ya doin’ Chicago! How ’bout them Packers!

- Stupid Joe

OhEssYouCowboys on August 20, 2012 at 2:06 PM

Speaking of Chicago football…
I know it was a meaningless preseason game, but Da Bears did everything in their power to lose that game this weekend. Apparently, Robbie Gould didn’t get the memo.

Extrafishy on August 20, 2012 at 2:38 PM

Too good to check: Could Obama lose … Illinois?

White House to Rahm — find us more dead voters.

CJ on August 20, 2012 at 2:40 PM

I know it was a meaningless preseason game, but Da Bears did everything in their power to lose that game this weekend. Apparently, Robbie Gould didn’t get the memo.

Extrafishy on August 20, 2012 at 2:38 PM

It turns out that I’m a cubs fan too! Love catching them bears games at kamminsky park and the pitcher on that bulls team!
/#1 Sports Fan.

ted c on August 20, 2012 at 2:40 PM

We won’t win IL but a buddy was in Chicago last week and was stunned to see the huge number of Romney bumper stickers and all the negative talk about the Unicorn Prince.

The Opinionator on August 20, 2012 at 2:41 PM

Who cares; this is “pre-Akin.”

It’s all gone now.

Pythagoras on August 20, 2012 at 2:42 PM

Does anyone know if there is a statiscal analysis of Intrade’s accuracy 3 months out compared to actual election results?

MessesWithTexas on August 20, 2012 at 2:34 PM

Intrade follow media polls nothing less and nothing more. They do not have any secret information about the elections… Some people need to stop making Intrade as some sort of the Orcale of Delphi when it comes to elections predictions…

mnjg on August 20, 2012 at 2:44 PM

It wouldn’t surprise me if he lost NY. gas price is at $4.20, People have had it with this regime.

jaboba on August 20, 2012 at 2:35 PM

Yeah but if you live in NYC you don’t have a car, think Bloomberg is a wuss for not going all the way with his agenda, and think Obama is the greatest President ever. So long as he has the support of NYC, the rest of the state doesn’t matter.

Happy Nomad on August 20, 2012 at 2:44 PM

Who cares; this is “pre-Akin.”

It’s all gone now.

Pythagoras on August 20, 2012 at 2:42 PM

So you think that a stupid candidate for Senate seat who has been denounced by the Republican Party and the Romney campaign is going to have such an impact on the Presidential race? Seriously go and change you pants because your smell is stinking the place…

mnjg on August 20, 2012 at 2:46 PM

I was born in Illinois but I only admit that under cover of anonymity.

Extrafishy on August 20, 2012 at 2:10 PM

Nice to know I’m not the only one.

My parents worked there for a number of years. We left there when I was six. I have no relatives or cultural ties to the area — just a birth certificate that says Cook Co., IL. It’s almost enough to make me want to create a birth certificate that’s more to my liking. I’ve heard rumors it can be done sometimes…

CJ on August 20, 2012 at 2:52 PM

Don’t think it can’t happen. Just because conservatives aren’t out at rallies in IL doesn’t mean they won’t be heard at the polls in November. There are 45 counties that voted for Obama in 2008 that went red in 2010. Obama could easily lose IL with switched indies and white libs, heavy conservative/republican turnout–especially outside Chicago and downstate–and a large stay-at-home in urban crook county. IL is a state in deep do-do largely due to the corrupt Dooms who’ve been in power way too long and people are fed up. Funny, Illinoisans voted Republicans into the treaurer’s and comptroller’s offices in 2010–think there’s a message there?

stukinIL4now on August 20, 2012 at 2:58 PM

I got a call from PPP last week. I think I skewed the statistics, though, because I’m voting mostly straight Republican and said yes to allowing gay marriage and paying an extra 14 cents for pizza to pay for health benefits.

Which is why I am an independent, not a Republican.

Meryl Yourish on August 20, 2012 at 3:09 PM

Update III: Other readers think that the ads in Chicago are probably aimed at the area in southern Wisconsin (and maybe western Indiana?) that rely on Chicago broadcast stations.

Last I heard Obama was behind by 16 here in Indiana.

Terrye on August 20, 2012 at 3:13 PM

Truly, Obama has the potential to lose all 57 states.

Mutnodjmet on August 20, 2012 at 3:13 PM

In the city of Chicago itself, he retains a 60-29 lead over Romney.

I don’t believe this. I doubt Romney will get much more than 20% of the vote in Chicago, and the rest will vote Dem. Chicago is Obama’s home town. Obama’s former Chief of Staff is the mayor, for chrissakes. The mayor in a city that does not have a general election because the GOP does not bother putting up a candidate, probably because no Republican would waste their time running.

Also, in 2008 Obama got 62% of the vote in Illinois to McCain’s 37%.

You have to be smoking some of Obama’s Hopium to seriously think Romney might take Illinois.

farsighted on August 20, 2012 at 3:15 PM

That would be awesome. I’d like to see him slink back to Hyde Park in Chicago Indonesia and fade from memory.

TXMomof3 on August 20, 2012 at 2:04 PM

FIFY

freedomfirst on August 20, 2012 at 2:27 PM

Actually I was thinking that he could slink pack to Pakistan, I hear their is a ready made, <a href="View Osama bin Laden Compound in a larger map”>and currently vacant compound in Abbottabad that has his name all over it.

SWalker on August 20, 2012 at 3:15 PM

“Nobody accused Mr. Romney of being a felon,” President Obama said during a rare conversation with the White House press corps today.

What a degenerate Liar!!!

Schadenfreude on August 20, 2012 at 3:16 PM

I was born in Illinois but I only admit that under cover of anonymity.
Extrafishy on August 20, 2012 at 2:10 PM

I feel your pain. I was born and raised in Cook county. I moved away 35 years ago. I still have family in the area, some of whom voted for this incompetent – affirmative action – failure in the whitehouse.

Shameful.

jbh45 on August 20, 2012 at 3:19 PM

In 2008 Obama took Cook County by 76% to McCain’s 23%. This means Obama did much better in Chicago itself. So a poll showing Obama over Romney by only 60-29 in Chicago itself is laughable.

I am trying to find 2008 election results for Chicago itself.

farsighted on August 20, 2012 at 3:23 PM

So you think that a stupid candidate for Senate seat who has been denounced by the Republican Party and the Romney campaign is going to have such an impact on the Presidential race? Seriously go and change you pants because your smell is stinking the place…

If Akin resigns TODAY, we’ll do fine. Otherwise, you get a lot smarter (albeit painfully) in November.

There’s a reason why so many experienced politicians are calling for him to step down. They understand something you don’t.

Pythagoras on August 20, 2012 at 3:26 PM

This stuff is like the Ulsterman report- alot more fun than believable.

But what’s interesting is that a few weeks back Ulsterman’s “White House Insider” said in July, Romney took an internal poll of a blue state they had no business bothering with and he came out ahead. So they took another thinking it was crap, and it came out even redder.

Hmm….

Chuck Schick on August 20, 2012 at 3:30 PM

Sonda to me like Obama couldn’t “organize” the corner of Lake Shore Dr. and Rooseveld Rd. anymore, let alone Chicago. Maybe someone will let him clean toilets at the Saul Alinsky Museum & Bed ‘n’ Breakfast when we throw him out.

Glenn Jericho on August 20, 2012 at 3:31 PM

Don’t believe any polls this year. People lie to pollsters like never before, to protect themselves.

Schadenfreude on August 20, 2012 at 2:07 PM

Probably a good dollop of the Bradley Effect in there, too.

iurockhead on August 20, 2012 at 3:35 PM

Last I heard Obama was behind by 16 here in Indiana.

Terrye on August 20, 2012 at 3:13 PM

Yeah, Indiana ain’t happening for O this year. Must be aimed at Wisconsin. They are nervous.

Missy on August 20, 2012 at 3:43 PM

I don’t believe it…

If Obama loses Illinois then Lincoln will jump out of his grave and dance around Oak Ridge Cemetery…

William Eaton on August 20, 2012 at 3:59 PM

Update III: Other readers think that the ads in Chicago are probably aimed at the area in southern Wisconsin (and maybe western Indiana?) that rely on Chicago broadcast stations.

And also lower Michigan, perhaps?

Del Dolemonte on August 20, 2012 at 4:00 PM

I have a few fences to mend back in Tennessee, both literally, and figuratively….

/Algore after his loss of his homestate in 2000.

ted c on August 20, 2012 at 2:05 PM

If Al had won his own state in 2000, he would have never needed to win Florida. That’s still gotta eat him up inside.

Del Dolemonte on August 20, 2012 at 4:01 PM

Nothing was more disgusting than to drive in Chicago, right after the 2008 election and to see the black/white pictures of Mao, er Obama, affixed to all the light posts.

It was like China in the least, N. Korea in the worst.

Schadenfreude on August 20, 2012 at 2:12 PM

We’re well on our way there. Over the past 4 years my work’s taken me into many strangers’ homes, and in some of them I have been absolutely amazed to see O’bama Shrines. And these folks are all white. Never seen anything like it in my nearly 40 years in business.

And on Facebook, a few of my Looney Left friends “like” a FB page with this title: “I Love Waking Up Knowing That Barack O’bama is President.”

Wouldn’t this imply that the first thing these utterly clueless Democrat getalifers do in the morning is to be thankful for their Dear Leader? Pyongyang, here we come!

Del Dolemonte on August 20, 2012 at 4:06 PM

My little personal reminder about spelling loose/lose:

Lose lost an “o”.

Typicalwhitewoman on August 20, 2012 at 4:51 PM

Update III: Other readers think that the ads in Chicago are probably aimed at the area in southern Wisconsin (and maybe western Indiana?) that rely on Chicago broadcast stations.

I live in southeastern Wi. which happens to be Paul Ryan’s district.
I live approximately 7 miles from the Il. border and I am in neither antenna nor cable range of Chicago. Our local programming comes from Milwaukee which is much closer than Chicago. Even if they were trying to influence the Kenosha area which is 40 miles east of me and some 50 miles north of Chicago and still part of Ryan’s district, it would even then make more sense to buy add space out of Milwaukee as it is less expensive and less 35 miles away.

P. Monk on August 20, 2012 at 4:52 PM

Obama can’t lose Illinois.

The Cook County Democrats will manufacture as many votes as they need. It’s just how things are done.

JEM on August 20, 2012 at 5:05 PM

Could Obama lose … Illinois?

Ed, silly boy! NOT AS LONG AS DEAD PEOPLE CAN STILL VOTE.

GarandFan on August 20, 2012 at 5:12 PM

I’m in Los Angeles and saw quite a few Obama ads during the Olympics. I assumed that they were national spots, playing for the whole country.

hisfrogness on August 20, 2012 at 5:27 PM

The new MU poll for WI will be out on Wednesday. They nailed the Walker recall and the GOP Senate primary, so if they show Romney in the lead, then WI is in play.

gumbyandpokey on August 20, 2012 at 5:30 PM

Cook County going to a Republican is like water not being wet. Cook County is where dead Liberals are born.

MrX on August 20, 2012 at 5:34 PM

The Cook County Democrats will manufacture as many votes as they need. It’s just how things are done.

JEM on August 20, 2012 at 5:05 PM

They had to manufacture so many in 1960 that the Chicago voter turnout was 86%, a number not seen before or since.

Missy on August 20, 2012 at 5:39 PM

The new MU poll for WI will be out on Wednesday. They nailed the Walker recall and the GOP Senate primary, so if they show Romney in the lead, then WI is in play.

gumbyandpokey on August 20, 2012 at 5:30 PM

Just like Obama was surging in Rasmussen, right?

Chuck Schick on August 20, 2012 at 7:22 PM

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