Seven Paul Ryan poll results that might surprise you
posted at 2:41 pm on August 13, 2012 by Mary Katharine Ham
Take that, Buzzfeed.
The poll result making the rounds right now, finds Paul Ryan is a less popular VP pick than Palin or Cheney (and we all know how many favors that did them in the media), but here are few others that buck the narrative.
Moving in the right direction, from an ABC/Washington Post comparing reaction to Ryan before and after he was added to the ticket:
In weekend interviews 38 percent responded favorably to Ryan joining the Republican ticket, up from 23 percent in pre-selection interviews last week. Positive views rose among independents as well as among Republicans, and among women. And Ryan was notably well-received among senior citizens – a group of interest given his plan to reshape Medicare.
Swing-state seniors, from the Democractic Public Policy Polling’s Ohio poll, released today:
Ryan’s favorability numbers in Ohio are actually *best* with seniors at 38/29
Oldies but goodies, from a Rasmussen poll:
A recent Rasmussen poll showed that 31 percent of likely senior voters gave Ryan a “very favorable” rating, compared with 21 percent of all legal-age voters giving him that rating. Just 16 percent of seniors gave him a “very unfavorable” rating.
The brats & beer vote, also from PPP polling in July:
One thing that could make the state look like much more of a toss up is if Romney chooses Paul Ryan as his running mate. Ryan has a pretty solid 44/39 favorability rating and if he was on the ticket Obama’s lead would decline all the way to 47/46. Ryan’s presence has the effect of further unifying the GOP base around Romney and also helping to bring some more independent voters into the fold.
A Wall Street Journal/NBC poll from June 2011 asked Americans if they would be more likely or less likely to vote for a candidate who “supports changing Medicare for those under 55 to a system where people choose their insurance from a list of private health plans and the government pays a fixed amount, sometimes called a voucher, towards that cost.” Thirty-eight percent of Americans said they were more likely to vote for a candidate who supports such a reform reform, while 37 percent said they were less likely to vote for that candidate. Eighteen percent said it made “no difference” in determining their vote, and 7 percent were not sure.
Gauging senioritis, from an April 2011 Gallup poll:
The poll finds 48 percent of seniors (those 65 and over) support Ryan’s plan over President Obama’s plan, while 42 percent back the president.
That’s the highest total among the age groups tested – a 47 percent plurality between the ages of 50 and 64 backed Ryan, and a 45 percent plurality of those between 30-49 backed Ryan. But young voters overwhelmingly sided with Obama by a 23-point margin, 53 to 30 percent.
And, finally, Democrat polling outfit Democracy Corps polled how voters respond to something akin to Ryan’s own description of his plan. The result? 52-37 in favor of the plan. Granted, that poll result assumes Ryan’s explanation of his plan breaks through with voters, but his ability to explain is part of why he was added to the ticket.
I was in Colorado this weekend and kept hearing from folks who are looking for distillations of election issues in one place, so they can take those messages to their friends and family. So, here you go. Some of the best work from political obsessives on the facts of a Ryan pick and the fights to come. The Top 5 Top 5 lists on Paul Ryan. Like I said, take that, Buzzfeed:
From the Free Beacon: The Top 5 outrageous Democrat attacks on Ryan’s plan
From Townhall‘s Guy Benson: Top five facts you need to refute Politifact’s Lie of the Year— that Rep. Paul Ryan’s plan kills Medicare.
The top four search results for Rep. Paul Ryan over the weekend. Awww, yeah.
Via the Washington Post‘s Chris Cillizza, the top five telling details from The New Yorker’s 6,000-word profile on Ryan.
Update: More counterintuition, from Roll Call.
Democrats say presumptive GOP vice presidential nominee Rep. Paul Ryan is a senior citizen’s worst nightmare, but retirees seem to have no problem writing him checks.
One of the most prolific fundraisers in Congress, Ryan has drawn nearly $400,000 from retirees this election cycle, dramatically outperforming most House lawmakers, according to data collected by the Center for Responsive Politics.