New poll shows Romney edging Obama in Michigan

posted at 3:21 pm on July 25, 2012 by Ed Morrissey

The race in Michigan looks slightly worse for Barack Obama after two recent polls cited by the Detroit News this morning.  In the first, a poll by Mitchell Research and Communications, Romney has a slight lead over Obama, 45/44.  That’s a slight change from last month’s poll by MRC, which showed Obama edging Romney:

A survey by Mitchell Research & Communications showed the race is a statistical dead heat between President Barack Obama and presumptive Republican challenger Mitt Romney, with Romney leading, 45 percent to Obama’s 44 percent. …

Also last month, the Mitchell survey showed Obama in front, 47 percent to 46 percent.

“Mitt Romney’s home state continues to look as though it is going to be a battleground state this year,” said Steve Mitchell of Mitchell Research & Communications.

The results are consistent with other polls showing Romney closing the gap since becoming the presumptive GOP candidate. Obama once had a commanding lead in Michigan, as much as double figures in one May poll.

Not any longer.  The RCP average for polls in Michigan over the last six weeks shows an average gap of just 1.7 points — and Obama at 45.5%.  That’s very low for an incumbent Democratic President, especially one in a union-heavy state like Michigan.  In 2012, Obama’s average in Michigan state polls has never been higher than 51 points, and hasn’t been above the “magic” 50% level needed for incumbents since May 11th — more than two months ago.

The Mitchell poll doesn’t have the crosstabs or sample data, so it’s impossible to analyze further — but the results don’t look like an outlier, especially when looking at the trend from RCP.  Rasmussen’s latest Michigan poll released yesterday gives Obama better news — but also shows Romney with momentum:

The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Michigan Voters shows Obama with 48% support to Romney’s 42%. Five percent (5%) favor some other candidate in the race, and four percent (4%) are undecided. …

As is generally the case nationally, Obama leads among female voters and younger voters in Michigan. Romney is ahead among male voters and those who are older.

The Republican has a 44% to 36% lead among voters in the state who are not affiliated with either of the major parties. Romney is well ahead among voters who are married, while Obama earns overwhelming support from those who are not married.

This does have the sample data, with a D/R/I of 37/33/30 in likely voters.  In 2008, a big Democratic wave election, the exit polls showed a D+12, 41/29/29, and no exit polls exist for the 2010 midterms in Michigan.  A D+4 may be a little optimistic — or perhaps not; voters in Michigan elected a Republican governor in 2010, and the state has more Republicans (9) than Democrats (6) in their House delegation.

Nevertheless, in 2008, Obama won Michigan by 17 points and didn’t have to spend much effort or resources in keeping the state solidly blue.  That’s not going to be the case this year, and even his lead in this poll looks shaky at best.  He’s no longer getting 50% of the vote, as he was in Rasmussen’s June poll, and the gap has narrowed to six points, closer to the MoE.

The keys here are presidential approval, economic outlook, and the perception of each candidate in delivering change.  Obama does reasonably well on the first, with a 53/46 approval rating — weak for a Democratic state, but positive.  He only gets a 48/50 from independents, though, and a poor showing of 42/58 among seniors.  Only 5% think the current economy is good (no one thinks it’s “excellent”), while 92% believe it to be fair or poor — with almost a majority of 48% saying it’s poor.  Forty-three percent think the economy is getting worse, while only 29% believe it’s improving.   Voters are closely split as to whether Romney would improve things (35% say yes, 37% say he’d make it worse), but the split is more significant on Obama (33/41).  With independents, the split is far more significant on Obama (19/48), while Romney improves slightly to 33/31.

If independents play a larger role in this election, and the economy continues to decline, Obama could wind up losing Michigan — and that would be a death knell to his re-election hopes.  Regardless, it’s now clear that Obama will have to campaign hard in Michigan just to play defense, and that will mean shifting resources from states like Ohio and Virginia that Republicans have to win back this year to beat him.

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Now that is “hope and change” I can get behind.

Webrider on July 25, 2012 at 3:22 PM

The more money Obama is forced to spend defending states he took last time, the less likely he is to win.

Lay the hammer.

Just remind Obama: “You’re the President? You didn’t earn that. Someone else did it for you.”

Washington Nearsider on July 25, 2012 at 3:23 PM

And PPP released one today that had Obama up by 14(!). Overall I’d guess that Obama is actually leading in the 3-5 point range. One thing is for sure though: if these pollsters don’t figure out their voter screens, somebody is going to end up with a lot of egg on their face come November.

LukeinNE on July 25, 2012 at 3:23 PM

This poll is incorrect.

It does not include the dead, felons, illegal aliens and pets with human names. Factor those in and the dems win by a landslide.

acyl72 on July 25, 2012 at 3:23 PM

Please don’t get me excited about Michigan. Damn, if Mittens can take that, the election will be called(well, by FoxNews at least) before we even get to the states in the Mountain Time Zone.

Doughboy on July 25, 2012 at 3:24 PM

inthemiddle sure will be sad after bragging yesterday in the thread about a poll that showed Obama up in Mich 49-43 with a D+11 sample. Somehow I doubt we’ll see him/her here.

Scrappy on July 25, 2012 at 3:26 PM

Uh, how many times do I, uh, have to tell these, uh, imbeciles that I, uh, didn’t, uh, mean what I said? They, uh, didn’t, uh, did, uh, did, uh, hmmmmmmmm, didn’nt, uh, no, did, uh, yes, uh, did do it, uh, on their own.

- Barack Obamuh

OhEssYouCowboys on July 25, 2012 at 3:27 PM

Rasmussen > Detroit News(?)

Nice try, though.

inthemiddle on July 25, 2012 at 3:27 PM

Scrappy on July 25, 2012 at 3:26 PM

Called your bluff, chump.

inthemiddle on July 25, 2012 at 3:28 PM

And PPP released one today that had Obama up by 14(!). Overall I’d guess that Obama is actually leading in the 3-5 point range. One thing is for sure though: if these pollsters don’t figure out their voter screens, somebody is going to end up with a lot of egg on their face come November.

LukeinNE on July 25, 2012 at 3:23 PM

The poll has a D+12 advantage and is of registered not even likely voters.

PPP did this poll for one reason only, to statistically skew the RCP running average in an attempt to keep the SS Obama afloat on the poll averages.

Skwor on July 25, 2012 at 3:29 PM

Obama up by 14 in MICHIGAN via PPP today.

I guess HA only quotes ones that give them false hope!

inthemiddle on July 25, 2012 at 3:29 PM

Obama up by 14 in MICHIGAN via PPP today.

I guess HA only quotes ones that give them false hope!

inthemiddle on July 25, 2012 at 3:29 PM

You’re right. It’s not like that BS NBC/WSJ poll with a D+11 sample got its own thread on HA yesterday….oh wait.

Doughboy on July 25, 2012 at 3:31 PM

Rasmussen > Detroit News(?)

Nice try, though.

inthemiddle on July 25, 2012 at 3:27 PM

Please now you are not even trying to be a competent troll! Detroit news as a reliable source? Not even Al Capone would try to sell that propaganda.

Skwor on July 25, 2012 at 3:31 PM

OT — The House passes Ron Paul’s “Audit the fed” bill by a huge majority…bipartisanship, big time. 327-98.

OK…back to Michigan.

Purely anecdotal, but I spend a good bit of time in Pure Michigan, and from what I gather from locals, business people, a lot of retirees, Obama is not at all well-liked. He is carrying, for now, the Detroit-Ann Arbor-Flint corridor, but since Detroit is weeks away from bankruptcy, and Flint has been for a while…Ann Arbor’s being the home to a huge number of liberals…well, the rest of the state certainly isn’t going to hop on the Obama bandwagon anytime soon. They did that once…and ended up with what?

coldwarrior on July 25, 2012 at 3:32 PM

Obama up by 14 in MICHIGAN via PPP today.

I guess HA only quotes ones that give them false hope!

inthemiddle on July 25, 2012 at 3:29 PM

LMAO….hahahah….ohohoho..please make it stop!!. Did you even read the poll above yours? PPP used a d+12 and likely voters, please share what you are smoking, don’t be a Bogart dude!

Skwor on July 25, 2012 at 3:33 PM

Miltmentum!

MikeinPRCA on July 25, 2012 at 3:34 PM

Obama up by 14 in MICHIGAN via PPP today.

I guess HA only quotes ones that give them false hope!

inthemiddle on July 25, 2012 at 3:29 PM

Slow down turdball, if you smoke up all your crack today you will be forced to face reality before Nov.

SWalker on July 25, 2012 at 3:34 PM

Proposed schedule of debates:

October 3, 2012
Location: University of Denver in Denver, Colorado

October 11, 2012
Vice Presidential
Location: Centre College in Danville, Kentucky

October 16, 2012
Location: Hofstra University in Hempstead, New York

October 22, 2012
Location: Lynn University in Boca Raton, Florida

No teleprompter allowed.

bayview on July 25, 2012 at 3:34 PM

Oops meant registered not likely voters

Skwor on July 25, 2012 at 3:34 PM

Momentumney.

Akzed on July 25, 2012 at 3:35 PM

Obama up by 14 in MICHIGAN via PPP today.

I guess HA only quotes ones that give them false hope!

inthemiddle on July 25, 2012 at 3:29 PM

No one takes PPP seriously.

Chuck Schick on July 25, 2012 at 3:35 PM

That’s very low for an incumbent Democratic President, especially one in a union-heavy state like Michigan. In 2012, Obama’s average in Michigan state polls has never been higher than 51 points, and hasn’t been above the “magic” 50% level needed for incumbents since May 11th — more than two months ago.

Hmm … maybe the unions noticed the national party slowly stepping back — skulking — off the podium during all that Walker business? Maybe there is some friction at home?

N’est-ce pas?

Axe on July 25, 2012 at 3:35 PM

Scrappy on July 25, 2012 at 3:26 PM

Look what you did…now there’s more vomit on the Hot Gas site.

22044 on July 25, 2012 at 3:36 PM

OT — The House passes Ron Paul’s “Audit the fed” bill by a huge majority…bipartisanship, big time. 327-98.

coldwarrior on July 25, 2012 at 3:32 PM

Utterly and completely meaningless and empty gesture and everyone who voted for it knows it. That bill is deader in the Senate than Nancy Pelosi’s conscience.

SWalker on July 25, 2012 at 3:36 PM

Mittmentum!

OxyCon on July 25, 2012 at 3:37 PM

Called your bluff, chump.

inthemiddle on July 25, 2012 at 3:28 PM

Bluff? It was a prediction about your cowardly nature.

Congrats, You’re not quite as cowardly as I thought you would be. So now your challenge is to not be a complete hypocrite to everything you said yesterday. Again, I doubt you can manage it.

Scrappy on July 25, 2012 at 3:38 PM

meh, wake me up when september ends gets here.

LtGenRob on July 25, 2012 at 3:39 PM

Someone said PA & Michigan could be improved with Condi Rice as VP. Seems a stretch, but also the only issue conservatives would agree with her on is foreign policy, and they’d be against her on most everything else. Kind of like having an Obama, but more aggressive on foreign policy. Actually, wait… most of us wouldn’t agree with her on foreign policy. No more neocons, as they say.

If she ever became prez because of mishap or whatever, then it would be like when President William Harrison in 1841 died, who had lasted only a month as prez, and had John Tyler as vp. John Tyler “balanced” the ticket, but was virtually a member of the opposing Democrat party as far as his views. So, upon Tyler’s inauguration, nearly the whole Harrison team was dismissed. Over the next 4 years the whigs would certainly rue the day that they selected Tyler as VP!

anotherJoe on July 25, 2012 at 3:40 PM

Hmm … maybe the unions noticed the national party slowly stepping back — skulking — off the podium during all that Walker business? Maybe there is some friction at home?

N’est-ce pas?

Axe on July 25, 2012 at 3:35 PM

ROTFLMAO… Just wait until the Unions get a good look at Rand Paul’s National Right to Work Bill, that will basically take Wisconsins new you don’t ave to pay your union dues if you don’t want to law and make it national.

SWalker on July 25, 2012 at 3:40 PM

Both polls are well in line with each other. Rasmussen in June had Obama by 8; Mitchell had Obama by 1. Both have shifted two points in Romney’s favor. Somebody’s model is a little off from the other’s but both are showing the same trend.

PPP meanwhile had Obama by 14, and continue to have Obama by 14, proving that they care more about creating their own narrative and screwing with the RCP average than maintaining any sort of credibility for themselves.

Gingotts on July 25, 2012 at 3:41 PM

Obamuh, pacing back and forth, prior to every speech, from now to election night:

Did, uh, do it on their own. Did do it, uh, on their own. Uh, did do it on their own. Did to it on their, uh, own …

OhEssYouCowboys on July 25, 2012 at 3:41 PM

SWalker on July 25, 2012 at 3:36 PM

Sadly true.

Were not for that nasty old Republican Senate Majority Leader, Harry Reid…

[BTW, ever take a look at how much value the dollar has lost since the Fed was formed? Can't wait for the next Quantitative easing. That should really shore up the dollar. Weimar, here we come.]

coldwarrior on July 25, 2012 at 3:42 PM

*yawn* Didn’t we go through this same thing about a month ago?

ddrintn on July 25, 2012 at 3:43 PM

The strength of the unions is significantly diminished in Michigan, primarily because of reductions in force, but also because Lansing has taken a much less pro-union stance since 2010. Most of the state is still struggling (in too many cases, unsuccessfully) to hold things together after Granholm’s disastrous tenure, followed by the downturn of 2008. And the Tea Party has made strong inroads here.

If Michigan was ever going to go red, this would be the year.

Dee2008 on July 25, 2012 at 3:44 PM

Bluff? It was a prediction about your cowardly nature.

Congrats, You’re not quite as cowardly as I thought you would be. So now your challenge is to not be a complete hypocrite to everything you said yesterday. Again, I doubt you can manage it.

Scrappy on July 25, 2012 at 3:38 PM

With all due respect, your error here was to mistake the nature of trolls. They crave punishment. If such were too cowardly to show their faces in threads like these to spew their nonsense, they wouldn’t have left Kos to come over here in the first place.

Gingotts on July 25, 2012 at 3:44 PM

Someone said PA & Michigan could be improved with Condi Rice as VP.

anotherJoe on July 25, 2012 at 3:40 PM

The Progressive RINO’s are desperately scrambling to avoid being thrown out of the GOP, or as most of us conservatives prefer to express it, to avoid being exposed as the Progressive Marxist Democrats pretending to be Republicans.

SWalker on July 25, 2012 at 3:44 PM

Inthemiddle?

cmsinaz on July 25, 2012 at 3:44 PM

PPP poll is RV. Sample size 579

Democrat ………… 32%
Republican…………28%
Independent/Other…..40%

Not as skewed at first glance, unless Independents are Democrats too cheap to make political contributions.

bayview on July 25, 2012 at 3:44 PM

Willard needs to worry about traditional red states like Virginia and North Carolina staying in the Obama column.

Salahuddin on July 25, 2012 at 3:44 PM

Goebbels smiles at the Muenchhausean artist.

Schadenfreude on July 25, 2012 at 3:44 PM

Inthemiddle?

cmsinaz on July 25, 2012 at 3:44 PM

“True polls reflect that negative ads work. Carry on, my president” — inthemiddle

Schadenfreude on July 25, 2012 at 3:45 PM

That should really shore up the dollar. Weimar, here we come.]

coldwarrior on July 25, 2012 at 3:42 PM

Except, nobody in America will have enough worthless paper to fill their wheelbarrows, when they go to buy some bread.

Right where Zero wants us.

OhEssYouCowboys on July 25, 2012 at 3:46 PM

anotherJoe on July 25, 2012 at 3:40 PM

Condi does not want the job. She wants to replace that pantywaist Roger Goodell as Commissioner of the NFL.

Del Dolemonte on July 25, 2012 at 3:48 PM

Gingotts on July 25, 2012 at 3:44 PM

I suppose you’re right.

Scrappy on July 25, 2012 at 3:49 PM

New poll shows Romney edging Obama in Michigan

…problem is the Detroit News shows different results…and I call them the Nixon News…the more conservative paper versus the Free Press which is a left wing union socialist mouthpiece.
I’m afraid the short attention span and braincells that do not readily regenerate will prove to be an uphill climb for Republicans.
This is the state that kept Jenny Grandmole as govenor for 8 years… just to cut ribbons and blow smoke up everyone’s rectal passages.

KOOLAID2 on July 25, 2012 at 3:49 PM

“True polls trolls reflect that negative ads work. Carry on, my president” — inthemiddle

Schadenfreude on July 25, 2012 at 3:45 PM

;O)

OhEssYouCowboys on July 25, 2012 at 3:50 PM

Paging DannoJyd…

Alberta_Patriot on July 25, 2012 at 3:52 PM

Anyone who votes for Obama this fall is going to have to be absolutely nuts. It would be just insane.

crosspatch on July 25, 2012 at 3:52 PM

The last Mitchell poll showed Obama leading by only 1, it also had black voters supporting Obama at around 70%. This current Mitchell poll shows Obama losing to Romney, but according to the article, shows Obama even with white voters and winning senior citizens. To call the Mitchell poll cray-cray is a vast understatement.

libfreeordie on July 25, 2012 at 3:54 PM

Schadenfreude
:)

cmsinaz on July 25, 2012 at 3:58 PM

inthemiddle is lowerbackside’s alter ego.

chemman on July 25, 2012 at 3:58 PM

Anyone who votes for Obama this fall is going to have to be absolutely nuts. It would be just insane.

crosspatch on July 25, 2012 at 3:52 PM

It’s going to be close. Half of the registered voters are dyed-in-the-wool, non-apologetic, wild-eyed, frothing-at-the-mouth, table-pounding Communists, who know – and want – nothing more than to serve, and sacrifice their labors to, their man-god Marxist.

OhEssYouCowboys on July 25, 2012 at 4:00 PM

Look what you did…now there’s more vomit on the Hot Gas site.

22044 on July 25, 2012 at 3:36 PM

Nah, it’s the ‘delicious’ smell of decaying leftists.

Schadenfreude on July 25, 2012 at 4:02 PM

Nah, can’t be. The one poll is only one percentage point in Romney’s favor so according to the measuring standards of Axelstooge and the campaign, I’m sure they’ll insist that Obama is still leading. If he’s ahead, he’s ahead, and if he’s behind by only a few or more, he’s still ahead. Funny though, according to Nate Silver from a headline post at HA this am, Bammie has a bigger lead in the battleground state polls than in national polls and Michigan is one of those. Polls–can’t take ‘em seriously.

stukinIL4now on July 25, 2012 at 4:04 PM

Look what you did…now there’s more vomit on the Hot Gas site.

22044 on July 25, 2012 at 3:36 PM

No worries, they won’t.

NC is already lost to you, for those leftist, unlike you, who can see.

McDonnell might be the VP for Mitt and that should give you an acid stomac.

Schadenfreude on July 25, 2012 at 4:06 PM

Sorry, 22044, had the wrong item in ‘memory’.

Willard needs to worry about traditional red states like Virginia and North Carolina staying in the Obama column.

Salahuddin on July 25, 2012 at 3:44 PM

No worries, they won’t.

NC is already lost to you, for those leftist, unlike you, who can see.

McDonnell might be the VP for Mitt and that should give you an acid stomac.

Schadenfreude on July 25, 2012 at 4:07 PM

Now that is “hope and change” I can get behind.

Webrider on July 25, 2012 at 3:22 PM

+ 100..Hear!..Hear!..Sounds good..:)

Dire Straits on July 25, 2012 at 4:10 PM

Look what you did…now there’s more vomit on the Hot Gas site.

22044 on July 25, 2012 at 3:36 PM

Nah, it’s the ‘delicious’ smell of decaying leftists.

Schadenfreude on July 25, 2012 at 4:02 PM

Is it me, or am I hallucinating…have I just seen libfree handle on this thread…what gives…is she back by popular demand? :)…

jimver on July 25, 2012 at 4:14 PM

Sorry, 22044, had the wrong item in ‘memory’.

Schadenfreude on July 25, 2012 at 4:07 PM

No worries friend.

22044 on July 25, 2012 at 4:20 PM

PPP poll is RV. Sample size 579

Democrat ………… 32%
Republican…………28%
Independent/Other…..40%

Not as skewed at first glance, unless Independents are Democrats too cheap to make political contributions.

I think you missed the weighting of the sample.

Skwor on July 25, 2012 at 4:23 PM

No worries friend.

22044 on July 25, 2012 at 4:20 PM

Back at you. Be well.

Schadenfreude on July 25, 2012 at 4:33 PM

libfreeordie on July 25, 2012 at 3:54 PM

You have no self-discipline. Go back to where you said you were going.

Work on your self-control, you undisciplined leftist moocher/looter, all in one.

Schadenfreude on July 25, 2012 at 4:35 PM

is she back by popular demand? :)…

jimver on July 25, 2012 at 4:14 PM

No, it’s not you. Also, it’s a “he” who’s as short/tiny as a she, black gay who mooches/loots off of you and the system. Despise and starve him.

Schadenfreude on July 25, 2012 at 4:37 PM

As an eternal optimist and someone who likes to crunch numbers I still doubt that Romney can carry Michigan. In order for Romney to carry Michigan around 25% of the White voters who voted for Obama in 2008 need to leave Obama in 2012 and vote for Romney. Is it possible? Yes but highly improbable. The same goes for Pennsylvania.

On the other hand, a much more possible scenario, is that in Florida, Ohio, Virginia, North Carolina, Iowa, Indiana, New Hampshire, Colorado, and Minnesota all what it takes is for 15% of the White voters who voted for Obama in 2008 to leave him in 2012 and vote for Romney then Romney would win all these states and win the Presidency. In fact he can still win even if he loses Virginia and Minnesota, or even if he loses New Hampshire, Colorado, and Minnesota.

The above scenarios are also based that Blacks and Hispanics vote for Obama in 2012 in the same percentage they voted for him in 2008.

mnjg on July 25, 2012 at 4:39 PM

No teleprompter allowed.

Who needs a teleprompter when you have corrupt moderators?

eyedoc on July 25, 2012 at 4:49 PM

mnjg on July 25, 2012 at 4:39 PM

Don’t forget this too. It isn’t just about who switches their vote. It is about who bothers to show and who doesn’t. This will be a dramatic turnaround from 2008.

Gingotts on July 25, 2012 at 4:50 PM

Proposed schedule of debates:

October 3, 2012
Location: University of Denver in Denver, Colorado

October 11, 2012
Vice Presidential
Location: Centre College in Danville, Kentucky

October 16, 2012
Location: Hofstra University in Hempstead, New York

October 22, 2012
Location: Lynn University in Boca Raton, Florida

No teleprompter allowed.

bayview on July 25, 2012 at 3:34 PM

Wow, not one location west of the Rockies. Guess they figure by the time the count gets to the west on election night, it will already be over.

Difficultas_Est_Imperium on July 25, 2012 at 4:54 PM

Funny. No mention of the PPP poll also released today that showed Obama by 14 in Michigan. So in a recent period of time we have 3 polls:

Romney: +1
Obama: +6
Obama: +14

I’d bank on Rasmussen’s, where Obama’s at +6 for what’s most likely.

Stoic Patriot on July 25, 2012 at 4:57 PM

Michigan has fared so well under Democratic rule. Just look how much Detroit has grown!

GarandFan on July 25, 2012 at 5:09 PM

LMAO….hahahah….ohohoho..please make it stop!!. Did you even read the poll above yours? PPP used a d+12 and likely voters, please share what you are smoking, don’t be a Bogart dude!

Skwor on July 25, 2012 at 3:33 PM

Tell inthemiddleofobamasbuttcheeks that PPP is one of the least reliable of the pollsters, not quite as bad as the worst, -Pew, but almost.

slickwillie2001 on July 25, 2012 at 5:09 PM

is she back by popular demand? :)…

jimver on July 25, 2012 at 4:14 PM

No, it’s not you. Also, it’s a “he” who’s as short/tiny as a she, black gay who mooches/loots off of you and the system. Despise and starve him.

Schadenfreude on July 25, 2012 at 4:37 PM

Oh, that explains…I was basing my assumption that ‘he’ is a she on a post where libfree said something like:’my boyfriend this…or that’ …my bad :)….well, they are all a bunch of faceless, hermaphrodite trolls who take turns writing under those handles, but I wasn’t expecting this one back so soon…not that I mind…

jimver on July 25, 2012 at 5:10 PM

Funny. No mention of the PPP poll also released today that showed Obama by 14 in Michigan.

Stoic Patriot on July 25, 2012 at 4:57 PM

Long ago, PPP was cited quite frequently here to show how electable Romney is and how despised Palin was. I guess they’ve outlived their usefulness.

ddrintn on July 25, 2012 at 5:18 PM

Michigan has fared so well under Democratic rule. Just look how much Detroit has grown!
GarandFan on July 25, 2012 at 5:09 PM

Mitt tried to tell that to the NAACP crowd in so many words but they panned him and then got ticked off because they looked like a bunch of mooching racists for their response and then they said Mitt was gunning for the boos. ok, whatever, but I’ll be surprised if the mooching racist of Detwa and the eastern half of MI doesn’t pull BO across the finish line to win those electoral votes.

gracie on July 25, 2012 at 5:27 PM

No teleprompter allowed.

Oblamer will get a TV evangelist styled earpiece so Axleturd can yell “tax return”, “Bain”, “jet ski”, “Ann’s horseys”, “you tried hard”, blah,blah..

hillsoftx on July 25, 2012 at 5:30 PM

This is the state that kept Jenny Grandmole as govenor for 8 years… just to cut ribbons and blow smoke up everyone’s rectal passages.

KOOLAID2 on July 25, 2012 at 3:49 PM

I’m a glass half full kind of person. I lived through the last two Michigan Presidential cycles and the fact that there is any hope the state is in play is a hopeful sign.

BTW, you clearly forgot Granholm’s most significant accomplishment. Putting up signs to indicate which cities were “cool.”

Happy Nomad on July 25, 2012 at 5:55 PM

Funny. No mention of the PPP poll also released today that showed Obama by 14 in Michigan.

Stoic Patriot on July 25, 2012 at 4:57 PM

Really scroll up dummy.

ITM SMD.

CW on July 25, 2012 at 6:12 PM

ANY EFFING DUMBASS including Ddrintintin and Stoid the dimwit can look at RCP and tell that the PPP is an OUTLIER.

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/president/mi/michigan_romney_vs_obama-1811.html

Obama could not ask for a better set of tools.

CW on July 25, 2012 at 6:13 PM

Quite amusing seeing some commenters bash the poll’s credibility by saying that the Detroit News is not credible.

Problem with that argument is that the poll was not conducted by the Detroit News. It was conducted by Mitchell Research and Communications.

Bash the credibility of Detroit News all day long if you want, but it changes nothing about whether or not the polling agency is credible or not. Unfortunately, I myself have no opinion either way as I know nothing about this agency.

Varchild on July 25, 2012 at 6:17 PM

ANY EFFING DUMBASS including Ddrintintin and Stoid the dimwit can look at RCP and tell that the PPP is an OUTLIER.

CW on July 25, 2012 at 6:13 PM

.
Angryed hardest hit, in abstentia.

FlaMurph on July 25, 2012 at 6:27 PM

OK peeps, I have been telling y’all for weeks that Michigan is in play here. We went VERY RED at the state and local level in 2010. We got very favorable redistricting because the state was in GOP control for the first time in decades after a census. The seat we lost was a Dem seat and 2 long time incumbent congressional Dems have to run in a primary against each other. All good news.

The fiscally conservative, social moderate GOP governor is a businessman who has never held elective office before and treaded carefully on the public union issue. He got some reforms done, but did not go scorched earth while the surrounding states were dealing with fleabagging dems and unionists gone wild.

Meanwhile, we got our fiscal house in order, all of the cities outside of the SE part of the state are in good shape with the exception of Benton Harbor and Muskegon, long time Dem cesspools. No one west of the Detroit area has any interest in bailing out the city and the governor is not going to saddle us with Detroit’s money problem.

Obama’s “save” of the auto industry cratered union jobs here. Plants closed by the dozens. Dealerships were screwed out of their franchise contracts by the hundreds. So we no longer have a high concentration of union jobs here. All of those people are out of work, out of their 99 weeks of funemployment, and no longer funding union election campaigns.

No one outside of the hard core lefty 35 to 40% of the electorate here even LIKES this guy. That doesn’t mean they like Romney that much better, but the voters here cleaned house in 2010.

In 2010, some of the stronger tea party House members were sent to DC and did not betray us in the important fiscal votes. I got redistricted from Justin Amash (strong tea partier guy) over to Hoekstra’s old district in this census cycle. I received my absentee ballot today and noticed the Dems did not even field opponents for half of the offices in the primary in 2 weeks, including the Congressional seat.

2 term idiot Debbie “Spenditnow” may lose her seat. Pete Hoekstra has a tea party opponent in the GOP primary and the Grand Rapids chamber even endorsed the tea party opponent. It is going to be interesting to see who wins the primary. Hoekstra has better name recognition, but the tea party guy is a businessman who has a good track record.

If Obama carries Michigan, he is going to have to divert a lot of resources and money from other swing states so either or, it is a win for the country because Michigan could be critical to Obama’s defeat – either outright Romney takes the state, or Obama loses resources from other states to hold onto our 17 electoral votes.

I am excited. There were a LOT of Obama signs in the ethnic neighborhood storefronts. These businesses no longer have those signs displayed in their windows anymore, or those businesses did not survive the Obama economy.

Michigan went for Reagan, so it is not necessarily a lefty automatic blue state. Frankly, I think we went very red at the state and local level in 2010 and probably can turn pink in the 2012 presidential election. By the time 2016 rolls around, we could be in the solid red state area by then.

I don’t even necessarily LIKE Romney, but I am excited about the fact he can beat Obama here.

karenhasfreedom on July 25, 2012 at 6:55 PM