Pennsylvania in play?

posted at 4:01 pm on July 17, 2012 by Ed Morrissey

Republicans haven’t won Pennsylvania since the 1988 election.  Democrats can’t win the White House without it.  Most people assume that Barack Obama will ride a huge popular-vote margin in Philadelphia to a Keystone State victory in November.  Two different media outlets working on analyses of different trends think the state may be in play for Mitt Romney, however, which would put Obama’s re-election chances in grave peril.

CBS’ Brian Montopoli writes that Obama can’t count on a winning margin in Philadelphia being enough this time around:

President Obama won Pennsylvania by more than 620,000 votes in the 2008 election, largely on the strength of his performance in and around Philadelphia: He won Philadelphia County by nearly 480,000 votes and the surrounding swing areas by roughly another 200,000 votes. His performance in the region, which holds about 40 percent of the state population, made what happened in the rest of the state close to irrelevant.

Yet after nearly four years in office, there are big questions over whether Mr. Obama can even come close to repeating that performance. It appears unlikely that African-Americans and young voters, who powered Mr. Obama’s big margins in 2008, will come out in the same numbers that they did last time around; a Pew Research Center last month found that, nationally, 60 percent of younger voters are giving a lot of thought to the election, a drop from 71 percent in 2008. A drop in voter enthusiasm in places like Philadelphia County – which is 44 percent African-American – puts the state’s 20 electoral votes very much in play.

The problem for Obama in 2012 is very much the same as it was in the 2008 Democratic primary, which Obama himself diagnosed as people who bitterly cling to their guns and Bibles:

Mr. Obama wasn’t supposed to lose Beaver and the counties around it, steel-industry strongholds full of working-class, unionized white voters who have long leaned Democratic. Yet he alienated many in the 2008 cycle when it was revealed he had claimed that working-class voters in Pennsylvania “cling to guns or religion” as a result of economic hardship. The comment prompted one man at an Obama rally in Beaver to show up with a fully-loaded gun prominently displayed in a holster.

“The social values of Democrats in western Pennsylvania tend to be different than the social values back east,” said Delano. “They tend to be conservative. We like our guns very much – we love our guns. We grew up hunting. Some tend to be Bible thumpers. And candidate Obama was dissing people for their religion and their guns.”

They do tend toward populism on fiscal matters, though, which gives Obama an opening.  However, that might not be enough, since four years of Obama’s populism has hardly improved lives in Pennsylvania.  A jump in the nominal jobless rate might doom Obama for good among those voters, National Journal’s Beth Reinhard reports:

Just six weeks ago, conventional wisdom was that Pennsylvania was off the table. Mitt Romney’s campaign didn’t list it as a top target, and his state chairman said the GOP nominee himself was skeptical he could win there. A Republican nominee hasn’t won the state since 1988 and it didn’t look like 2012 would be any different.

Today the picture does look different. The Rust Belt has been getting a lot of attention from both campaigns as they court white, blue-collar voters. Romney is holding a rally in Irwin, PA, Tuesday afternoon, and President Obama’s campaign announced it is running a tough new anti-Romney ad exclusively in the state. Pro-Romney super PACs are also spending money there.

What gives? Well for one thing, unemployment in the state rose in June to 7.6 percent from 7.4 percent.

Team Romney sent Rick Santorum out to woo voters in the western part of the state, a natural fit for the erstwhile contender, as well as an opportunity to apply some influence on Romney’s messaging. If Santorum can help deliver a win for Romney, his stock in the GOP will soar — and put him solidly in place for a Cabinet post in a Romney administration, if not a chance to run for the top spot again down the road.

It might not take a win in Pennsylvania to boost Romney’s chances, either.  Obama won the state by eleven points in 2008, and until now the fight with Romney didn’t look to be much of a challenge in the state.  If Obama has to fight it out with Romney to hold a state he took by better than his national popular vote margin, it will force Team Obama to spend resources that might otherwise go to swing states like Ohio, Florida, Virginia, and even Wisconsin and Iowa, which already seem more competitive than Pennsylvania.

I’d still consider a win in Pennsylvania a long shot for Romney, but a tantalizing target.  I’d expect to see a bigger push there than what Team Romney hinted earlier this spring.


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Chuck Schick on July 17, 2012 at 4:04 PM

Why is anyone voting for the Complainer-in-Chief?

rbj on July 17, 2012 at 4:05 PM

Keep up the good work Obama and California will be in play!

ObamatheMessiah on July 17, 2012 at 4:06 PM

I’m a, uh, Philadelphia Steelers fan.

- Barack Obamuh

OhEssYouCowboys on July 17, 2012 at 4:06 PM

I’ll wait for the “exit polls” to get too excited, but in the meantime: “ohplease, ohplease, ohplease, ohplease, ohplease, ohplease”

LtGenRob on July 17, 2012 at 4:07 PM

Speaking of the Keystone State:

Romney Knocks It Out of the Park
http://www.powerlineblog.com/archives/2012/07/romney-knocks-it-out-of-the-park.php

By all accounts, Mitt Romney was sensational today in Pennsylvania. His theme was Barack Obama’s revelatory “you didn’t build that” speech. Over the lunch hour (here in the Midwest), Twitter was burning up with commentary from those who were watching Romney’s speech live. The commentary was unanimously euphoric. Romney spoke without teleprompter or notes, something Obama rarely does without getting into trouble. He was, everyone agreed, passionate and articulate. It seems that Obama’s attack on entrepreneurs and job creators, and his baldly stated conviction that everyone owes everything to government, was the spark that Romney needed. It will see how his speech is reported on tonight.

Chip on July 17, 2012 at 4:07 PM

This is just the beginning of the end… Obama is going to lose by a landslide come November. The pebbles are starting to shift ever so slightly. Obama can’t get above 50% in any swing state… that’s TERRIBLE and no one seems to be noticing yet.

Landslide coming.

johnmackeygreene on July 17, 2012 at 4:07 PM

I hope all 57 states are in play…

RedInMD on July 17, 2012 at 4:08 PM

Not if the New Black Panthers have anything to say about it.

Left Coast Right Mind on July 17, 2012 at 4:09 PM

Give this a listen, Romney Today in Irwin Pennsylvania..

Sure doesn’t sound like Romney has given up on Pennsylvania to me..

http://www.therightscoop.com/soon-watch-romney-live-in-irwin-pennsylvania/

Michelle Malkin said this was great. See for yourself.

RockyJ. on July 17, 2012 at 4:09 PM

Oh gee, maybe COAL matters to people.

“Under my plan of a cap and trade system, electricity rates would necessarily skyrocket.” -BHO

nobar on July 17, 2012 at 4:09 PM

Spend that money in PA bho/team, spend gobs and gobs of it! I want so much money and time from bho going to ‘in play’ states, he gets my so hope for meltdown! The wonderful news bho is going off totus, that should do him in for some gosh wonderful gaffe?
L

letget on July 17, 2012 at 4:10 PM

The voters in Pennsylvania are turning into a bunch of racists!

Deano1952 on July 17, 2012 at 4:10 PM

I’m a, uh, Philadelphia Steelers fan.

- Barack Obamuh

OhEssYouCowboys on July 17, 2012 at 4:06 PM

That sounds about his sissy a$$ speed..

RockyJ. on July 17, 2012 at 4:11 PM

“If you were born, you din’t do that by yourself – your mother and father, and the government, had something to do with it” –Obama to the clingers

Schadenfreude on July 17, 2012 at 4:11 PM

Every week, from now until election day, another state will drift from purple to light red. On election day all these swing states will be glowing red-hot baby!

All barack has to do is open his mouth and he alienates one group or another. People are beginning to realize that he is an empty-suit,a Marxist and a moron.

DuctTapeMyBrain on July 17, 2012 at 4:11 PM

Keep up the good work Obama and California Illinois will be in play!

ObamatheMessiah on July 17, 2012 at 4:06 PM

FIFY

Deano1952 on July 17, 2012 at 4:11 PM

“I am the creator of all things” — Obama 2012

Schadenfreude on July 17, 2012 at 4:11 PM

http://www.c-span.org/Campaign2012/Events/Mitt-Romney-Meets-with-Voters-in-Pennsylvania/10737432378-1/

Here is Romney’s rally in Pennsylvania today. I’ve been as hard on him as anybody the past few weeks, but I’m very encouraged by the speech he gave today. I hope this is indicative of the direction he’s going in with the campaign. Spend the 30 minutes and watch the whole thing.

Mark1971 on July 17, 2012 at 4:11 PM

Is this “PA is in play!” story being recycled from 2008 or from 3 months ago? Either way, it’s about as likely to happen as Mitt Romney making up his mind on any single issue.

inthemiddle on July 17, 2012 at 4:12 PM

PA will be like the US in general. The rural areas will go R. The cities will go D. The suburbs will go from blue to red as you go from the cities outward.

Only way Romney will win is if you get the cities and inner belt suburbs so disgusted they do not show up to vote.

Nathan_OH on July 17, 2012 at 4:12 PM

Stop the silliness! Dems own Pennsylvania. Reliable old Ed Rendell will turn out as many “overlooked” ballots from Philly as he needs to offset any gains in the rest of the state.

That said, let’s keep pretending there might be something to it–at least President Zero might have to spend more money in PA than he planned to, giving us a shot at a real state.

2ndMAW68 on July 17, 2012 at 4:12 PM

put Obama’s re-election chances in grave peril.

is there any other kind?
/COL Nathan R. Jessup

ted c on July 17, 2012 at 4:12 PM

OK. Let’s just get something straight. Santorum will never be the GOP nominee. That is all.

JoeShmoe99 on July 17, 2012 at 4:14 PM

Let’s face it, PA all comes down to the Philly pet-and-graveyard turnout.

JEM on July 17, 2012 at 4:14 PM

O’Butthead picked the wrong day to channel his Inner Fauxcahontas.

This was a “Joe the Plumber”, “lift the kimono” moment, and if people don’t get it by now that this guy is a dangerously incompetent Marxist jacka$$, they never will.

ICanSeeNovFromMyHouse on July 17, 2012 at 4:15 PM

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/video/2012/07/17/romney_i_vote_for_free_people_and_free_markets.html

I can’t watch YouTube at work, but this 3-minute clip over at RCP of Romney’s speech in PA today is terrific. Just do this for 3 1/2 months(and especially hammer Obama on this at the convention and debates) and Romney’s a shoo-in.

Doughboy on July 17, 2012 at 4:15 PM

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/president/pa/pennsylvania_romney_vs_obama-1891.html

FWIW

RedNewEnglander on July 17, 2012 at 4:06 PM

Romney almost certainly won’t take Pennsylvania. The proof is in the polling. He’d be better off concentrating on VA, NC, OH, and MI.

Stoic Patriot on July 17, 2012 at 4:16 PM

Keep up the good work Obama and California will be in play!

ObamatheMessiah on July 17, 2012 at 4:06 PM

Oh, California is already in play. A third of Californians are practicing Catholics, do not get this part phucked up. Obama is not going to get the Catholic vote in California, and at least a full quarter of California’s African-American’s are going to stay home over Obama’s Gay Marriage position. (for those who are unaware or willfully ignorant, it was California’s African-American community that pushed the hardest for Prop 8, and they are pissed off that a homosexual activist judge overturned prop 8 and that Obama has come out in support of Gay Marriage)

Yes, although the Fifth Column Treasonous Media is not telling you the truth, and in fact will try as hard as they can to deceive you about it, California most definitely is in play in 2012.

SWalker on July 17, 2012 at 4:16 PM

Obama welcomes this excuse to escape Me-Chelle and eat some cheesesteaks.

rayra on July 17, 2012 at 4:16 PM

Is this “PA is in play!” story being recycled from 2008 or from 3 months ago? Either way, it’s about as likely to happen as Mitt Romney making up his mind on any single issue.

inthemiddle on July 17, 2012 at 4:12 PM

You’re right. What a pipe dream.

Sincerely,
Sen. Scott Brown(R-MA)

Doughboy on July 17, 2012 at 4:17 PM

MESSAGE TO MITT campaign!!!

Get off your arses and fight for this country!!!!

Take the freaking gloves off!!!

Pound him all Summer long and the money will come. Mammy and I aren’t giving you any more money UNLESS YOU GET AFTER HIM!!!

PappyD61 on July 17, 2012 at 4:20 PM

Let’s face it, PA all comes down to the Philly pet-and-graveyard turnout.

JEM on July 17, 2012 at 4:14 PM

Yes it does. But this year there’s a new fly in Philthadelphia’s ointment: Voter ID law

petefrt on July 17, 2012 at 4:21 PM

I really don’t think most states are ‘off the table’ because dissatisfaction with the current administration is widespread and promises of ‘Hope and Change’ and chanting ‘Yes we can’ isn’t going to persuade voters that they are better off after four years of the broken promises of the last ‘Hope and change’ campaign.

thatsafactjack on July 17, 2012 at 4:22 PM

Is this “PA is in play!” story being recycled from 2008 or from 3 months ago? Either way, it’s about as likely to happen as Mitt Romney making up his mind on any single issue.

inthemiddle on July 17, 2012 at 4:12 PM

Keep repeating that, sweetheart.

Just remember to click your heels and chant “there’s no place like home” when you’re doing it.

ICanSeeNovFromMyHouse on July 17, 2012 at 4:22 PM

Give this a listen, Romney Today in Irwin Pennsylvania..

Sure doesn’t sound like Romney has given up on Pennsylvania to me..

http://www.therightscoop.com/soon-watch-romney-live-in-irwin-pennsylvania/

Michelle Malkin said this was great. See for yourself.

RockyJ. on July 17, 2012 at 4:09 PM

I saw Malkin’s post on Facebook. Yes, she really liked Romney’s speech.

Speaking of Facebook, check out Skyline Chili’s page. Apparently 0bama stopped in there for lunch yesterday and ordered a 4-way and two Coneys to go. The comments were at least 80% anti-0bama, and that was after the page administrator had deleted a lot of them (according to what people were saying).

Just going by that, I think 0bama is going to be crushed by Romney in Ohio. It’s going to be fun to watch.

UltimateBob on July 17, 2012 at 4:23 PM

Pennsylvania is Alabama with Philly and Pittsburgh at either end.

Akzed on July 17, 2012 at 4:23 PM

inthemiddle on July 17, 2012 at 4:12 PM

The only thing you are in the middle of is your messiah’s cheeks. And I don’t mean the one’s on his face.

BeachBum on July 17, 2012 at 4:23 PM

Romney almost certainly won’t take Pennsylvania. The proof is in the polling. He’d be better off concentrating on VA, NC, OH, and MI.

Stoic Patriot on July 17, 2012 at 4:16 PM

You do realize the EC math is against Romney big time, right? Obama just has to carry the usual Dem suspects and ONE of those states you listed and he’d win. Romney pretty much has to win all four. Obama is ahead in all four states. Doesn’t look sunny for your side, huh?

inthemiddle on July 17, 2012 at 4:24 PM

By summer Obama will be whiter than his own mother and more Christian than Jesus Christ.

He needs the “clingers” back, but won’t get them. They opened their eyes and what they saw was horrific.

Schadenfreude on July 17, 2012 at 4:24 PM

Equally believable headline: Utah in play for Obama?

inthemiddle on July 17, 2012 at 4:25 PM

inthemiddle on July 17, 2012 at 4:24 PM

You do realize that continuing to smoke crack will eventually have fatal consequences, right?

SWalker on July 17, 2012 at 4:26 PM

Doesn’t look sunny for your side, huh?

inthemiddle on July 17, 2012 at 4:24 PM

You can buy lottery tickets based on this – never in the history of the land have potential voters lied so much to the pollsters.

You can also buy diapers and Kleenex while you’re at it.

Doesn’t mean that Mitt can’t or won’t blow this historical chance, but your champagne is bubbling way too early.

Schadenfreude on July 17, 2012 at 4:26 PM

Only way Romney will win is if you get the cities and inner belt suburbs so disgusted they do not show up to vote.

Nathan_OH on July 17, 2012 at 4:12 PM
Stop the silliness! Dems own Pennsylvania. Reliable old Ed Rendell will turn out as many “overlooked” ballots from Philly as he needs to offset any gains in the rest of the state.

That said, let’s keep pretending there might be something to it–at least President Zero might have to spend more money in PA than he planned to, giving us a shot at a real state.

2ndMAW68 on July 17, 2012 at 4:12 PM

PA has voter ID now. It is being challenged, but it is pretty much like Indiana’s, which SCOTUS ok’d.

Wethal on July 17, 2012 at 4:26 PM

By summer Obama will be whiter than his own mother and more Christian than Jesus Christ.

He needs the “clingers” back, but won’t get them. They opened their eyes and what they saw was horrific.

Schadenfreude on July 17, 2012 at 4:24 PM

When people get nervous and angry, the mask starts to slip on these types of things. Telling.

I’m also pretty sure mid-late July is already “summer” by any definition.

inthemiddle on July 17, 2012 at 4:26 PM

Massachusetts will be in play before this is over.

(Yeah, go ahead and laugh – We elected Mitt once before, we elected Ronny twice, and Scott is running against a full blown socialist. And we’re not exactly doing all that well economically, either)

turfmann on July 17, 2012 at 4:27 PM

Equally believable headline: Utah in play for Obama?

inthemiddle on July 17, 2012 at 4:25 PM

No, because Romney did not destroy UT.

Your brain needs treatment. It’s malfunctioning.

Schadenfreude on July 17, 2012 at 4:27 PM

Romney just wants to be President. Obama wants to be King. This is the chief difference between Romney and Obama.

VorDaj on July 17, 2012 at 4:27 PM

“If you were born, you din’t do that by yourself – your mother and father, and the government, had something to do with it” –Obama to the clingers

Schadenfreude on July 17, 2012 at 4:11 PM

Little Bammie’s Obamacare Death Panel: that’s not your body, you didn’t develop all on your own…

That leads to: those aren’t your organs, someone else needs them more than you do. You’ve had a good life…

slickwillie2001 on July 17, 2012 at 4:28 PM

OhEssYouCowboys on July 17, 2012 at 4:06 PM

heh

cmsinaz on July 17, 2012 at 4:28 PM

Obama is foriegn and alien to America and is as mad as Hitler.

VorDaj on July 17, 2012 at 4:29 PM

Not if the New Black Panthers have anything to say about it.

Left Coast Right Mind on July 17, 2012 at 4:09 PM

That’s OK cuz it’s black panther season here in PA starting in November….Open season, no bag limit….I think I’ll bait them in with some air jordens.

SHARPTOOTH on July 17, 2012 at 4:29 PM

also pretty sure mid-late July is already “summer” by any definition.

inthemiddle on July 17, 2012 at 4:26 PM

It is. Should have said “late” summer. On your insinuated racism, no one is more racist than the leftists, for two reasons:

1. They expect so little, if anything from their first black president, and

2. They keep the minorities and the poor in modern day plantations, exploited for power and votes only, uneducated, underdeveloped, in misery, while they live better than kings and emperors.

Schadenfreude on July 17, 2012 at 4:30 PM

Well you just wait until those Keystoners see those tax returns.

Whoa buddy – they’ll run back to Obie and beg for his forgiveness for ever doubting the One’s ability to manage himself out of a paper bag.

FlaMurph on July 17, 2012 at 4:30 PM

Romney just wants to be President. Obama wants to be King believes he is God. This is the chief difference between Romney and Obama.

VorDaj on July 17, 2012 at 4:27 PM

FIFY.

nobar on July 17, 2012 at 4:30 PM

Is this “PA is in play!” story being recycled from 2008 or from 3 months ago? Either way, it’s about as likely to happen as Mitt Romney making up his mind on any single issue.

inthemiddle on July 17, 2012 at 4:12 PM

is this Idio..inthemiddle being recycled from Grow Fins
extracts, or does it have a purpose?

ToddPA on July 17, 2012 at 4:30 PM

Obama is foriegn and alien to America and is as mad as Hitler.

VorDaj on July 17, 2012 at 4:29 PM

And hates his country.

Schadenfreude on July 17, 2012 at 4:30 PM

Is this “PA is in play!” story being recycled from 2008 or from 3 months ago? Either way, it’s about as likely to happen as Mitt Romney making up his mind on any single issue.

inthemiddle on July 17, 2012 at 4:12 PM

Refresh our memory on your WI recall prediction…

hillsoftx on July 17, 2012 at 4:31 PM

Coal.

GarandFan on July 17, 2012 at 4:31 PM

The Philly burbs are the purple area, and the GOP took back two Philly burb House (Delco & Bucks) seats in 2010 that it lost in 2006.

PA has one less electoral vote, so the GOP legislature ocmbined Murtha’s old district with another Dem’s out west. Heh.

And the only other big race is the Senate, where Junion Casey is defending his senate seat for the first time.

Junior has to explain why he supported Obamacare, and the HHS mandate, while claiming to be “pro-life,” as well as why he votes with “Kill Coal” Biden & Obama. Junior’s opponent is a former coal company executive who worked his way up in the company.

Wethal on July 17, 2012 at 4:31 PM

“If you were born, you din’t do that by yourself – your mother and father, and the government, had something to do with it” –Obama to the clingers

Schadenfreude on July 17, 2012 at 4:11 PM

To Insane Hussein everything comes from the state, which is now him, and without it, and him, individuals would be nothing and have nothing, when in fact the state gets everything it has from individuals and would be nothing, and have nothing, without them. Obama is quite mad – on the level of a rabid dog. He should be locked up in a mental institution.

VorDaj on July 17, 2012 at 4:32 PM

I’ve lived here all my life….he’ll get slaughtered
here…UNLESS the Philly precincts deliver 120% voter
turnout….

ToddPA on July 17, 2012 at 4:32 PM

Reagan Romney Democrats ???

FlaMurph on July 17, 2012 at 4:33 PM

Folks in western Pa. can easily get along with folks from Eastex pretty well. Football, oil bidness, hunting and rednecks flourish all around.

DanMan on July 17, 2012 at 4:33 PM

Awesome speech today in Irwin. Best of the year so far. PA is not only in play, but I know a lot of people in western PA who voted for obama are fed up with him, and won’t vote for him again.

Paddington on July 17, 2012 at 4:33 PM

Yeah, I’m gonna cheerlead again for PA.

Debbie Whatshername was heckled IN A SYNAGOGUE in suburban Philly last night, after trying to tell the audience how Obama is such a great friend of Israel. A Dem state senator was booed at the same event after he trashed Justice Scalia. There are a huge number of very pro-Israel Jews here that will not be voting for Obama.

Philadelphia and its suburbs are also heavily Catholic.
The new Archbishop is VERY political and churchea have been activated by the Obamacare contraception mandate.

on the other hand, the groups Obama is pandering to, eg. Hispanics, gays, and government workers, are not very prevalent in Philly.
And there won’t be any dead people voting: PA has a new voter ID law in effect this election.

rockmom on July 17, 2012 at 4:34 PM

inthemiddle on July 17, 2012 at 4:12 PM

The Pucker is strong in this one.

CurtZHP on July 17, 2012 at 4:34 PM

You do realize the EC math is against Romney big time, right? Obama just has to carry the usual Dem suspects and ONE of those states you listed and he’d win. Romney pretty much has to win all four. Obama is ahead in all four states. Doesn’t look sunny for your side, huh?

inthemiddle on July 17, 2012 at 4:24 PM

1.) I’m not voting for Romney, I’m voting for Virgil Goode. It didn’t look sunny for my side once the GOP primary was over.

2.) Yes, the EC math is against Romney big time. At the same time, if he’s going to spend money in PA, he might as well spend money in NJ. His chances are basically just as good of carrying it.

Romney needs all of McCain’s states, plus FL, OH, IN, NC, and VA. If I were a Romney advisor, I’d also say to go after MI, IA, and maybe WI.

Romney is an awful fit for PA. PA has a history of being socially conservative (where Romney has no cred), and economically liberal (which Mr. Tax-Cutter-Extraordinaire won’t appeal to). Playing in PA is just stupid.

Stoic Patriot on July 17, 2012 at 4:35 PM


This is just the beginning of the end… Obama is going to lose by a landslide come November. The pebbles are starting to shift ever so slightly. Obama can’t get above 50% in any swing state… that’s TERRIBLE and no one seems to be noticing yet.

Landslide coming.

johnmackeygreene on July 17, 2012 at 4:07 PM

From your mouth to God’s ear. I can still say God can’t I?

Natebo on July 17, 2012 at 4:35 PM

He should be locked up in a mental institution.

VorDaj on July 17, 2012 at 4:32 PM

Before he completely destroys the land.

Schadenfreude on July 17, 2012 at 4:36 PM

Is this “PA is in play!” story being recycled from 2008 or from 3 months ago? Either way, it’s about as likely to happen as Mitt Romney making up his mind on any single issue.

inthemiddle on July 17, 2012 at 4:12 PM

You’re right, let’s re-elect the “stay the course” president.

Even if the “course” has hit an iceberg and people are running for the lifeboats. Let’s give him four more years to see if the rescue ships arrive in time.

NoDonkey on July 17, 2012 at 4:38 PM

No worries, the Dems have enough dead voters and ballots (just waiting to be found) to make up any deficiency in legitimate votes.

We don’t need no stinking voter ID laws to keep the Repubs honest.

Gunlock Bill on July 17, 2012 at 4:38 PM

Are the coal makers and the as and oil rig workers in PA outnumbered by the Libs and their parasitic classes on PA’s “coasts”, Philly and Pittsburgh? Yes.

Will the Libs and parasites connect the dots between a thriving energy sector and their own well-being? No.

Charlemagne on July 17, 2012 at 4:39 PM

Who knows….I kinda doubt it, but you never know.
One thing: If Obama feels the heat in PA, it’s a sign that the bigger picture ain’t so good for him.

oh, btw, we’ve got 4 more awful jobs reports to go…

B Man on July 17, 2012 at 4:39 PM

Darn iPad.

…Coal miners and the gas and oil rig workers…

Charlemagne on July 17, 2012 at 4:40 PM

Obama’s war on coal will ‘pay off’.

Schadenfreude on July 17, 2012 at 4:40 PM

After watching that speech today, I’m going to contribute to Romney’s campaign again. I can’t wait till Nov. 6th!

Paddington on July 17, 2012 at 4:46 PM

Delusional Prsident declared Texas “battleground state”, heh.

Schadenfreude on July 17, 2012 at 4:35 PM

He’ll be lucky to get 25% in Texas.

txsurveyor on July 17, 2012 at 4:46 PM

Obama: “You Are Nothing Without Government!!”

http://predicthistunpredictpast.blogspot.com/2012/07/obama-you-are-nothing-without.html

M2RB: Olive

Resist We Much on July 17, 2012 at 4:48 PM

I was just back in PA. Unhappiness abounds w/the One. I think Dems may just sit home this Nov. IMO.

JAM on July 17, 2012 at 4:48 PM

I am very optimistic about Romney winning the elections but I am not that optimisitic about him winning Pennsylvania.

According to an election prediction program I wrote, at least 22% of the WHITE voters who voted for Obama in 2008 in Pennsylvania need to leave him and vote for Romney in 2012… Although it is not impossible it can be very hard for this to happen. The same goes for Michigan. Of course assuming that Obama would have the same percentage of the black and Hispanic voters in 2012 that he got in 2008

However in the other battleground states, Florida, Ohio, Virginia, North Carolina, Indiana, Colorado, New Hampshire, and Minnesotta, all what it takes is 15% of the WHITE voters who voted for Obama in 2008 in these states to vote for Romney in 2012 and Romney is going to win all these states and win the elections, in fact even if Romney loses Virginia and Minnesotta, Or Minnesotta/Colrado/New Hampshire he would still win the elections. This is also assuming that in all these states Obama would have the same percentage of the black and Hispanic voters in 2012 that he got in 2008.

mnjg on July 17, 2012 at 4:49 PM

1.) I’m not voting for Romney, I’m voting for O’bama.

Stoic Patriot on July 17, 2012 at 4:35 PM

FIFY

Del Dolemonte on July 17, 2012 at 4:51 PM

I forgot to ad Iowa to the list of the battleground states that Romney would win if only 15% of the WHITE voters who voted for Obama in 2008 would vote for Romney in 2012…

mnjg on July 17, 2012 at 4:53 PM

mnjg on July 17, 2012 at 4:49 PM

Interesting. I would think something else to consider would be how many Republicans voted for obama in 2008 in PA.

Paddington on July 17, 2012 at 4:53 PM

Keep up the good work Obama and California will be in play!

ObamatheMessiah on July 17, 2012 at 4:06 PM

[swoons]

Mary in LA on July 17, 2012 at 4:53 PM

Are the coal makers and the as and oil rig workers in PA outnumbered by the Libs and their parasitic classes on PA’s “coasts”, Philly and Pittsburgh? Yes.

Will the Libs and parasites connect the dots between a thriving energy sector and their own well-being? No.

Charlemagne on July 17, 2012 at 4:39 PM

Outnumbered?

Perhaps if only because the libs and parasites tend to abort their young, while those who cling to guns and God also like to cling to their children, whom they consider a blessing, not a “punishment.”.

Wethal on July 17, 2012 at 4:58 PM

Scranton!!

SouthernGent on July 17, 2012 at 4:58 PM

Star of Pro-Obama Super PAC Ad Unleashed: ‘Obama Is a Jerk, a Pantywaist, a Lightweight, a Blowhard’

“I could really care less about Obama,” Donnie Box says of President Obama, according to In These Times. “I think Obama is a jerk, a pantywaist, a lightweight, a blowhard. He hasn’t done a g^ddamn thing that he said he would do. When he had a Democratic Senate and Democratic Congress, he didn’t do a damn thing. He doesn’t have the guts to say what’s on his mind.”

Box, In These Times reports, won’t be voting for Obama.

Here’s the pro-Obama, anti-Bain Capital ad Box appeared in:

http://www.weeklystandard.com/blogs/star-pro-obama-super-pac-ad-unleashed-obama-jerk-pantywaist-lightweight-blowhard_648688.html

Resist We Much on July 17, 2012 at 4:59 PM

Don’t forget, the new voter ID law that goes into effect in PA will shave off quite a bit of the fraud margin in Philadelphia.

Pennsylvania has a Republican Governor and a Republican state legislature, Romney can most certainly win there, especially with a President that’s hellbent on destroying the coal industry.

Presidents almost always get their approval rating on Election Day. Every single state where Bush was under 50%, he lost. Obama is nowhere near being over 50% in PA.

BradTank on July 17, 2012 at 4:59 PM

Total pipe dream. Our only chance was the state changing it’s Electoral Vote system to congressional district apportionment.

cdog0613 on July 17, 2012 at 5:04 PM

Delusional Prsident declared Texas “battleground state”, heh.

Schadenfreude on July 17, 2012 at 4:35 PM

Heh. Not quite, Barky, but I certainly believe that if you try really hard you can put New York and Maryland into play.

Gingotts on July 17, 2012 at 5:04 PM

It is. Should have said “late” summer. On your insinuated racism, no one is more racist than the leftists, for two reasons:

1. They expect so little, if anything from their first black president, and

2. They keep the minorities and the poor in modern day plantations, exploited for power and votes only, uneducated, underdeveloped, in misery, while they live better than kings and emperors.

Schadenfreude on July 17, 2012 at 4:30 PM

Excellent post. I am sure that inthemiddle is one of these racist who lives in lilly white neighborood making sure that all the “poor blacks” he cares about remain poor, remain uneducated, kill each others, remain on drugs, remain far away from his (inthemiddle) neighborhood, and of course vote for liberals in exchange for the welfare check. There is no one more criminal and more racist than liberals who have destroyed the majority of the black society in order for them to gain their votes in exchange for a welfare check…This is evil…

mnjg on July 17, 2012 at 5:05 PM

Interesting. I would think something else to consider would be how many Republicans voted for obama in 2008 in PA.

Paddington on July 17, 2012 at 4:53 PM

That is a good question… I do not know the answer for this… However it all depends on the White voters in the suburbs of Philadelphia and Pittsburg…Can we get 22% of those white suburban voters who voted for Obama in Pennsylvania in 2008 to vote for Romney in 2012?…

mnjg on July 17, 2012 at 5:07 PM

Michelle Malkin said this was great. See for yourself.

RockyJ. on July 17, 2012 at 4:09 PM

Thanks for posting that link! Excellent speech. He covers a lot of bases.

Most of all I like the words of optimism and encouragement to the people. Things are rough out here, and I’m glad to see Romney get it and take his message to the people in very specific terms.

Cody1991 on July 17, 2012 at 5:10 PM

Why is anyone voting for the Complainer-in-Chief?

rbj on July 17, 2012 at 4:05 PM

…that’s an easy one!…I have one of those red button thingys that says “EASY” on it I got from an office supply company Romney turned around. As soon as I saw your question I slapped my palm on it and it said “That’s Easy!”….answer…
…STUPIDITY!…

KOOLAID2 on July 17, 2012 at 5:11 PM

Can we get 22% of those white suburban voters who voted for Obama in Pennsylvania in 2008 to vote for Romney in 2012?

…mnjg on July 17, 2012 at 5:07 PM

I think we can for sure. I know several who even defended obama at first (no one want to admit they made a mistake) , but no more.

Paddington on July 17, 2012 at 5:11 PM

OT

I saw Romney’s SPEECH in Irwin, PA and have to admit he’s starting to sound like one of us joe 6packers. He did it solo for the whole speech without a teleprompter. Bless you, Mittens.

timberline on July 17, 2012 at 5:17 PM

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