Quotes of the day

posted at 11:00 pm on July 11, 2012 by Allahpundit

The new Quinnipiac University and ABC/Washington Post national surveys out this week converge on one key conclusion: as the election nears, President Obama is sinking to historic lows among the group most consistently hostile to him.

Throughout his career on the national stage, Obama has struggled among white men without a college education. But in these latest surveys, he has fallen to a level of support among them lower than any Democratic nominee has attracted in any election since 1980, according to an upcoming National Journal analysis of exit polls from presidential elections.

Though pollsters at each organization caution that the margins of error are substantial when looking at subgroups such as this, each poll shows erosion within that margin of error for Obama with these working-class white men. The new Quinnipiac poll shows Obama attracting just 29 percent of non-college white men, down from 32 percent in their most recent national survey in April, according to figures provided by Douglas Schwartz, April Radocchio and Ralph Hansen of Quinnipiac. The ABC/Washington Post survey found Obama drawing just 28 percent of non-college white men, down from 34 percent in their May survey, according to figures provided by ABC Pollster Gary Langer. Romney drew 56 percent of the non-college white men in Quinnipiac and 65 percent in the ABC/Washington Post survey.

***

Digging into the crosstabs of our ABC/Washington Post poll it’s clear that Obama has a significant problem with independent voters. On every measure, independents are significantly more disappointed with the president and more open to a Mitt Romney message.

While 45 percent of voters overall say they approve of Obama’s handling of the economy, just 37 percent of independents believe that. Obama has a 12 point advantage among all voters on the issue of “who has presented a clearer plan for dealing with the economy – Obama or Romney?” But among independents that flips to an eight point advantage for Romney.

Even on the issue of Romney’s record in business, independent voters are more sympathetic to the Republican. Among all voters, more thought that Romney in his work as a corporate investor did more to cut jobs than create them (42 percent to 36 percent). But among independents, that flips to a six point advantage for Romney – 43-37 percent.

***

GlobeScan, a market-research firm, released a 23-country study last week showing that 58 percent of U.S. citizens “strongly agree” or “somewhat agree” that the rich deserve their wealth — a slight increase from a similar survey in 2008.

The findings come at a time when tax cuts for the rich, Mitt Romney’s wealth and Occupy Wall Street have all been hot topics in the 2012 campaign cycle…

The United States was one of only six countries surveyed where a majority thought the rich deserved their wealth. It ranked number three, with only Australia and Canada having more favorable views toward the rich. In Greece, just nine percent thought so.

***

[A] big chunk of President Obama’s 9.5 million-vote advantage [in 2008] is probably gone. Let’s break this down. According to exit polls, 44.8 million Republicans showed up to vote in 2004 while only 41.4 million did in 2008. Almost all those 3.4 million Republicans who stayed home have been energized by Mr. Obama’s agenda and are now eager to vote against him.

Gallup found in April that Republicans were five points more likely to vote than Democrats. More recent measures, including by the Pew Research Center in June, show Republican voters displaying more intense interest than Democrats. If 2008 stay-at-home Republicans vote, Mr. Obama’s margin would shrink by more than one-third (to 6.1 million). Similarly, the 2.4 million veterans who voted in 2004 but did not in 2008 could turn out in 2012. Mr. McCain’s winning margin among vets was 10 points…

According to the exit polls, Mr. Obama won independents by eight points in 2008 (52% vs. 44% for Mr. McCain). But the July 1 CNN/Opinion Research poll showed Mr. Romney winning independents by seven points, 49% to 42%. The June 24 Gallup poll found Mr. Romney up by one among independents, 43% to 42%. Independents will shift back and forth, but if they split 49% to 49% (with the rest going to minor candidates), then Mr. Obama’s vote total would be shaved by 1.1 million and Mr. Romney’s would grow by an equal amount, cutting the president’s margin to 1.4 million…

Finally, Mr. Obama faces real challenges in generating the turnout he needs from blacks, Hispanics and young people.

***

After the back-to-back debacles of 1980 and 1984, the Democratic party essentially rebuilt its core coalition. Since 1988 the party has not fallen below 46 percent of the two party vote, either in the presidential contest or the national House race. That looks to be the core Democratic base of support in this country.

If we go by his job approval, this is roughly all President Obama is holding at the moment. He pulls in a little bit more in most polls most of the time, but not very much. The most recent read from the RealClearPolitics average of polls has him at 46.8 percent approval. (And the bulk of those polls are either polls of adults or registered voters, which tend to be more favorable to Democrats than the actual electorate.)…

Obviously, things could pan out differently. The president’s job approval rating could improve, moving him above that magic line of 50 percent. Alternatively, the campaign this season could go so well for Obama that he does what few incumbents before him have managed, and win a substantial share of those who disapprove of his job performance.

But with the economic outlook looking increasingly glum, and with Mitt Romney being well financed and reasonably acceptable, this president is probably going to struggle to get above 50 percent.


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PS..Now If I can find that VCR copy of Red Dawn..:)

Dire Straits on July 12, 2012 at 2:06 AM

Trade you Labyrinth and … The Hunt for Red October for … You got Pale Rider or something? :)

Axe on July 12, 2012 at 2:13 AM

… Evening’s gone horribly awry.

… I remember shopping at Amazon for a few miscellaneous supplies. Now I’m petting kittens and watching Mary Tyler Moore open to the crooning of Sammy Davis Jr.

… World. Dangerous.

Axe on July 12, 2012 at 2:10 AM

Lest you forget– this whole interweb was created by Satan!

Goodnight all! :D

cynccook on July 12, 2012 at 2:13 AM

Do you want 50 lashes with a wet noodle./!?!?

Bmore on July 12, 2012 at 1:57 AM

LOL

Axe on July 12, 2012 at 2:14 AM

Goodnight all! :D

cynccook on July 12, 2012 at 2:13 AM

Night.

Axe on July 12, 2012 at 2:15 AM

You got Pale Rider or something? :)

Axe on July 12, 2012 at 2:13 AM

I used to receive royalties from that movie, for something I recorded that got used on the sound track. To this day I still don’t know what it was or where it was… :O

SWalker on July 12, 2012 at 2:18 AM

… Evening’s gone horribly awry.

… I remember shopping at Amazon for a few miscellaneous supplies. Now I’m petting kittens and watching Mary Tyler Moore open to the crooning of Sammy Davis Jr.

… World. Dangerous.

Axe on July 12, 2012 at 2:10 AM

Hüsker Dü doing the MTM theme: Love Is All Around

Not their best cover, imo – I like this one better: Eight Miles High

Bizarro No. 1 on July 12, 2012 at 2:18 AM

Axe on July 12, 2012 at 2:10 AM

Life will take you places you never thought you’d go. LOL! True story.

Bmore on July 12, 2012 at 2:20 AM

Good Night Cyndy, Pleasant Dreams.

Bmore on July 12, 2012 at 2:21 AM

Bizarro No. 1 on July 12, 2012 at 2:10 AM

Good tune!..:)

PS..Dave gave it a thumbs up!..:)

Dire Straits on July 12, 2012 at 2:23 AM

Of course I was tempted to go with this True Story.

Bmore on July 12, 2012 at 2:23 AM

One last True Story to consider.

Good Night All.

Bmore on July 12, 2012 at 2:25 AM

Bmore on July 12, 2012 at 2:12 AM

Nice!..Dead Heads unite!..:)

Dire Straits on July 12, 2012 at 2:25 AM

Trade you Labyrinth and … The Hunt for Red October for … You got Pale Rider or something? :)

Axe on July 12, 2012 at 2:13 AM

Since I referenced The Byrds, albeit indirectly, I’ll post this great one by them: Ballad Of Easy Rider

This is another great one by them, in a similar vein: I Wasn’t Born To Follow

Bizarro No. 1 on July 12, 2012 at 2:27 AM

You got Pale Rider or something? :)

Axe on July 12, 2012 at 2:13 AM

lolz..I think I have Outlaw Josey Wales..:)

PS..But I couldn’t trade that!..:)

Dire Straits on July 12, 2012 at 2:28 AM

Do you want 50 lashes with a wet noodle./!?!?

Bmore on July 12, 2012 at 1:57 AM

LoLz..:)

Dire Straits on July 12, 2012 at 2:30 AM

Dire Straits QOTD song. Trouble.

Bmore on July 12, 2012 at 2:12 AM

Lindsey Buckingham – Trouble

Bizarro No. 1 on July 12, 2012 at 2:31 AM

I used to receive royalties from that movie, for something I recorded that got used on the sound track. To this day I still don’t know what it was or where it was… :O

SWalker on July 12, 2012 at 2:18 AM

That’s … well, you probably know how cool that is. :)

Axe on July 12, 2012 at 2:32 AM

Bmore on July 12, 2012 at 2:25 AM

Night Bmore

Axe on July 12, 2012 at 2:33 AM

I used to receive royalties from that movie, for something I recorded that got used on the sound track. To this day I still don’t know what it was or where it was… :O

SWalker on July 12, 2012 at 2:18 AM

That’s … well, you probably know how cool that is. :)

Axe on July 12, 2012 at 2:32 AM

It would have been even cooler if my ASCAP payment schedule had told me exactly what they were paying me for, but on the other hand, a check 4 times a year for ten years is pretty damned cool to, even if you really aren’t sure what your getting paid for.

SWalker on July 12, 2012 at 2:38 AM

For Disco Dire, who’ll “take you to the disco”:

Rockin’ Rollin’ Disco King

Bizarro No. 1 on July 12, 2012 at 2:49 AM

Hide your heart…and your bell bottoms…

Gohawgs on July 12, 2012 at 2:55 AM

The start of all Metallica concerts

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kQrvb3i1q-E&feature=related

Cindy Munford on July 12, 2012 at 3:06 AM

Guess Who is playing lead…

Gohawgs on July 12, 2012 at 3:08 AM

olz..I had a Star Wars hat!!..:)

PS..Now If I can find that VCR copy of Red Dawn..:)

Dire Straits on July 12, 2012 at 2:06 AM

lol

If you can’t find your VCR copy, eBay, Amazon, and/or a pawn shop could help you! :)

Bizarro No. 1 on July 12, 2012 at 3:11 AM

Hey Bmore,

A little help while you’re eating breakfast

Gohawgs on July 12, 2012 at 3:26 AM

Squared away.

– Night guys!

… and … Morning guys!

Axe on July 12, 2012 at 3:48 AM

The Obamas are getting desperate. My take.

kingsjester on July 12, 2012 at 6:38 AM

getting my hopes up with all these quotes….

cmsinaz on July 12, 2012 at 6:47 AM

kingsjester on July 12, 2012 at 6:38 AM

oh yeah….forget hopey/changey….desperate/at whatever cost

cmsinaz on July 12, 2012 at 6:49 AM

cmsinaz on July 12, 2012 at 6:49 AM

Trying to win back their peeps.

kingsjester on July 12, 2012 at 6:56 AM

kingsjester on July 12, 2012 at 6:56 AM

yup

multiply yourselves????

cmsinaz on July 12, 2012 at 6:58 AM

cmsinaz on July 12, 2012 at 6:58 AM

Moochelle was telling them to vote multiple times…or bring a bunch of illegals to the voting booths…I’m not sure.

kingsjester on July 12, 2012 at 7:04 AM

morning joe following the protocol to only show the booing….

pathetic

cmsinaz on July 12, 2012 at 7:08 AM

kingsjester on July 12, 2012 at 7:04 AM

heh

cmsinaz on July 12, 2012 at 7:08 AM

color me shocked, jonathan capehart giving kudos to mitt for attending and reminding the folks there that he got a standing ovation and got plenty more applause than that one boo….

cmsinaz on July 12, 2012 at 7:11 AM

followed by the rest of the crew bringing up rush and the boo that will ‘haunt’ him…

pathetic, can’t even give him credit…

cmsinaz on July 12, 2012 at 7:13 AM

cmsinaz on July 12, 2012 at 7:13 AM

When you watch that MSNBC crap, do you have one of those sponge bricks handy to toss at the screen? If not, I think you need one! :)

Bizarro No. 1 on July 12, 2012 at 7:16 AM

Bizarro No. 1 on July 12, 2012 at 7:16 AM

i’ll pick one up today :)

cmsinaz on July 12, 2012 at 7:18 AM

The Obamas are getting desperate. My take.

kingsjester on July 12, 2012 at 6:38 AM

They should stay the hell off my front porch. Just ask the guy who knocked on my door with the anti-fracking petition.

Naturally Curly on July 12, 2012 at 7:21 AM

front page of the arizona republic

‘romney speech draws jeers’…pretty lib paper here as you can see

how about the rest of you?

cmsinaz on July 12, 2012 at 7:29 AM

roney calling obama a liar yet? oh, nevermind, its the boo strategy…..not till after halloween.

renalin on July 12, 2012 at 7:29 AM

The Memphis CBS affiliate ran the story as a negative for Romney, also.

kingsjester on July 12, 2012 at 7:32 AM

i’ll pick one up today :)

cmsinaz on July 12, 2012 at 7:18 AM

lol :)

I have a good friend who’s not very political, but he watches Maddow, and used to watch Olberwomann, because their insanity fascinated him so much! What you and he are able to do is above my pay grade.

For me, it’s bad enough listening to the Lefty loons when they go on Fox – I actively avoid watching them elsewhere!

Bizarro No. 1 on July 12, 2012 at 7:35 AM

roney calling obama a liar yet? oh, nevermind, its the boo strategy…..not till after halloween.

renalin on July 12, 2012 at 7:29 AM

Bless your heart.

Yes, yes he has.

Romney Fights Back With New Ad: Obama ‘Lied’ on Outsourcing Attacks

Flora Duh on July 12, 2012 at 7:43 AM


romney speech draws jeers’…pretty lib paper here as you can see

how about the rest of you?

cmsinaz on July 12, 2012 at 7:29 AM

cms, I stopped taking the Houston Barnicle years ago. It’s always been a yellow rag and every story is always about some poor illegal who didn’t mean to get drunk and run over the cop. I wanted to go protest at the convention since it wasn’t too far from work, but I have to put in 12 hour days so I can buy free cell phones for Obama’s “people”.

TxAnn56 on July 12, 2012 at 7:53 AM

front page of the arizona republic

‘romney speech draws jeers’…pretty lib paper here as you can see

how about the rest of you?

cmsinaz on July 12, 2012 at 7:29 AM

Front page of the online version of the Orlando Sentinel the top headline is:

Eatonville church wins first lady Michelle Obama’s fitness-video challenge

In a box at the right side of the page under “Top Videos”

NAACP boos Romney on ‘Obamacare’ repeal

I can’t find the speech mentioned anywhere in the online version of The Miami Herald.

Flora Duh on July 12, 2012 at 7:57 AM

Bizarro No. 1 on July 12, 2012 at 7:35 AM

:) i can tolerate morning joe…tingles? only when I know it’s been a bad day for dear leader and i like to see him squirm trying to defend the idiot in chief…

cmsinaz on July 12, 2012 at 7:58 AM

OT: Does anybody know why Drudge has gone black/white photos only this week? Is there some significance?

TitularHead on July 12, 2012 at 7:59 AM

Flora Duh on July 12, 2012 at 7:43 AM

so glad that he is moving forward with that…gotta fight fire with fire…dear leader and his crew have no problem calling the gop liars…

cmsinaz on July 12, 2012 at 8:00 AM

TxAnn56 on July 12, 2012 at 7:53 AM

ditto or a hit piece on sheriff joe arpaio

Flora Duh on July 12, 2012 at 7:57 AM

i guess they got their WH email blast

cmsinaz on July 12, 2012 at 8:01 AM

OT: Does anybody know why Drudge has gone black/white photos only this week? Is there some significance?

TitularHead on July 12, 2012 at 7:59 AM

That’s a question I’ve seen asked numerous times here and on Twitter. As far as I know, there’s been no answer to it.

Flora Duh on July 12, 2012 at 8:03 AM

Flora Duh on July 12, 2012 at 8:03 AM

Thanks. Just wanted to make sure I wasn’t missing something obvious.

TitularHead on July 12, 2012 at 8:05 AM

OT: Does anybody know why Drudge has gone black/white photos only this week? Is there some significance?

TitularHead on July 12, 2012 at 7:59 AM

The only thing I can think of is that it reminds people of the photos you see of the Depression with people standing in line at the soup kitchens. Sometimes B&W photos look a little more ominous than color, maybe his way of warning people. With Drudge, there’s always a method to his madness.

TxAnn56 on July 12, 2012 at 8:11 AM

A new Quinnipiac University poll shows why Barack Obama has been so reluctant to talk about his health care plan this summer.

55% of voters say ObamaCare is a tax, while only 36% say it’s not. That’s a nearly 20% gap and a huge political liability.

http://gop12.thehill.com/2012/07/quinnipiac-most-think-obamacare-is-tax.html

Flora Duh on July 12, 2012 at 8:17 AM

I can’t find the speech mentioned anywhere in the online version of The Miami Herald.

Flora Duh on July 12, 2012 at 7:57 AM

I had to do a search to find it. The headline says he was booed for mentioning Obamacare. No mention in the article of the fact that he got a standing ovation. And, of course, they had to mention the Mormon church’s “complicated racial history.”

Syzygy on July 12, 2012 at 8:18 AM

And, of course, they had to mention the Mormon church’s “complicated racial history.”

Syzygy on July 12, 2012 at 8:18 AM

Of course they did. The story just wouldn’t have been complete without it. /

Flora Duh on July 12, 2012 at 8:22 AM

:) i can tolerate morning joe…tingles? only when I know it’s been a bad day for dear leader and i like to see him squirm trying to defend the idiot in chief…

cmsinaz on July 12, 2012 at 7:58 AM

I like your reasoning about Matthews. I just cannot stomach Scarborough under any circumstances, however – he’s too much of a middle-of-the-road Republican dingbat like Meghan McCain and the two Davids for me…

Bizarro No. 1 on July 12, 2012 at 8:38 AM

Good point bizarro

cmsinaz on July 12, 2012 at 8:42 AM

When you watch that MSNBC crap, do you have one of those sponge bricks handy to toss at the screen?

Bizarro No. 1 on July 12, 2012 at 7:16 AM

Dearfoam slippers are good for more than just the feet!

lynncgb on July 12, 2012 at 9:10 AM

Let’s break this down. According to exit polls, 44.8 million Republicans showed up to vote in 2004 while only 41.4 million did in 2008. Almost all those 3.4 million Republicans who stayed home have been energized by Mr. Obama’s agenda and are now eager to vote against him.

CC: DDRNTN

Buy Danish on July 12, 2012 at 9:11 AM

Dearfoam slippers are good for more than just the feet!

lynncgb on July 12, 2012 at 9:10 AM

lol :)

Bizarro No. 1 on July 12, 2012 at 10:40 AM

Gohawgs, message delivered.

jeez – the typos are flowing this morning!

cane_loader on July 12, 2012 at 12:14 PM

cane_loader, Gohawgs asked me to relay this message to you. He will be down your way end of month and wants to come see you to help on the rebuilding. Last nights QOTD here.

Bmore on July 12, 2012 at 12:17 PM

Bmore on July 12, 2012 at 12:19 PM

Gohawgs, in case I miss you at this evenings QOTD and you happen to see this, cane_loader needs a throw away email address to send you his contact info. Do you have one?

Bmore on July 12, 2012 at 3:21 PM

Bmore on July 12, 2012 at 3:21 PM

cane_loader, along with most anyone else, can reach me through kj’s blog

Gohawgs on July 12, 2012 at 10:21 PM

Bmore on July 12, 2012 at 3:21 PM

And, thanks Bmore…

Gohawgs on July 12, 2012 at 10:21 PM

Bmore on July 12, 2012 at 3:21 PM

cane_loader, along with most anyone else, can reach me through kj’s blog…

Gohawgs on July 12, 2012 at 10:21 PM

No problem, I’ll advise him of that when I see him again.

Bmore on July 12, 2012 at 10:30 PM

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