This just in: Bain attack still not working

posted at 11:21 am on July 10, 2012 by Ed Morrissey

Two analyses from the flawed WaPo/ABC poll, as well as spending in swing states, deliver grim news to Team Obama this morning.  Their main line of attack in which they hope to paint Mitt Romney as an uber-rich vampire capitalist clearly isn’t moving the needle among voters — and that’s true despite an overwhelming spending advantage Barack Obama has enjoyed in the early going.  Unless they can come up with a better argument, Romney’s fundraising will shortly put them in a very big hole.

First, the WaPo’s Chris Cillizza notes that the spending strength of Team O has a serious downside, considering the results:

What’s clear from a broad analysis of ad spending in the swing states is that conservative super PACs are supplementing Romney in a way that is keeping him very much in the game. (A new Gallup/USA Today poll of 12 swing states shows Obama at 47 percent to Romney’s 45 percent.)

And now, with word of Romney’s massive June fundraising — $106 million collected — it seems likely that Romney will not only be able to equal Obama on air but, with an assist from the Republican super PACs, over take him between now and November 6.

And that’s a very scary proposition if you are on the Democratic side of the aisle.

That probably won’t take place until after Labor Day, but that’s precisely when it matters.  Romney has held back on massive ad campaigns — not entirely, but not to the extent that Obama has — while he gathers his fiscal strength.  This far out, it’s questionable whether an advertising blitz will even reach voters effectively, as they tend to tune out the television while going on vacations and engaging in other summer activities.

In this case, we can see how effective a massive summer campaign is, too, since Obama has conducted one.  National Journal’s Josh Kraushaar looks at the WaPo/ABC poll and declares it nothing more than a wash, a way to mark time:

Two things have become clear in the presidential race over the past month. One, it’s evident that President Obama’s campaign team believes, with good justification, that attacking Romney’s record at Bain Capital to portray him as a wealthy, out-of-touch millionaire is their most effective line of attack. Second, it’s becoming clear that the attacks are doing more to buy the Obama campaign time than seriously change the trajectory of the race.

For all the attention paid to the effectiveness of President Obama’s Bain-themed attacks, it’s remarkable how Obama has been stuck right around 47 percent for a very long time.  As the Washington Post‘s Chris Cillizza documented, the president’s team has handily outspent Romney and his allied super PACs, pouring in $91 million into eight swing states in an early spending barrage intended to make Romney seem an unacceptable challenger.  But for all that effort, the numbers haven’t moved much at all: The latest ABC News/Washington Post poll out today shows the race deadlocked at 47 percent. Yesterday’s USA Today/Gallup swing state poll showed Obama statistically tied with Romney, the exact same result the survey showed one month ago.

In other words, Team Obama spent a lot of money — an overwhelming amount — and it changed nothing about his standing in the race.  Meanwhile, Romney saved his money and will have a big funding advantage in the post-Labor Day environment, while Obama struggles to raise funds.  While Kraushaar thinks that Bain attacks are the most promising of Obama’s strategies, clearly they haven’t done anything even when Obama has had the stage to himself, after two full months of deploying this strategy.  Even the WaPo/ABC poll shows that half of voters don’t care, and only 24% in a sample with 33% being Democrats think it constitutes a reason to vote against Romney.

If that’s the best option for Obama, he’s in deep trouble.  Kraushaar thinks so, too:

They’ve gotten their first impressions from the early Obama television ads, but Romney will have his chance to tout his positives with the August convention and upcoming debates.  There’s a reason why the Obama campaign is trying to disqualify Romney early on. Because if they don’t score an early knockout, it becomes harder to win over the late deciders as the election approaches.

If class warfare is all they have, they’re going to fail, and fail badly.


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Nothing he does works…

PatriotRider on July 10, 2012 at 11:24 AM

This just in: Bain attack still not working

But he gets a ribbon for tryin’ real hard.

Cicero43 on July 10, 2012 at 11:25 AM

At what point does the teleprompter abandon him?

Oil Can on July 10, 2012 at 11:25 AM

This just in: Obooboo is an idiot. Film at 11.

msupertas on July 10, 2012 at 11:26 AM

Attack Bain all you want, but Obama has outsourced more people to Welfare and Disability than any other President in history.

RADIOONE on July 10, 2012 at 11:26 AM

$91 million for ads that basically say “Rombo sucks more than I do”, now there’s that vaunted economic acumen of Barky at work again.

Bishop on July 10, 2012 at 11:26 AM

Nothing he does works…

PatriotRider on July 10, 2012 at 11:24 AM

…just his mouth…day after day after day after day after day after day…and of course…presented daily by the pussyfied press..

KOOLAID2 on July 10, 2012 at 11:28 AM

I have a hard time believing there are any undecideds left at this point anyway.

KMC1 on July 10, 2012 at 11:29 AM

At what point does the teleprompter abandon him?

Oil Can on July 10, 2012 at 11:25 AM

Well..since it was made it China….any day now.

HumpBot Salvation on July 10, 2012 at 11:29 AM

The wheels are starting to come off. Tax cutter to tax raiser, he can do it all!

LeftCoastRight on July 10, 2012 at 11:29 AM

(A new Gallup/USA Today poll of 12 swing states shows Obama at 47 percent to Romney’s 45 percent.)

….banging my head on the desk…banging my head on the desk…banging my head on the desk!

KOOLAID2 on July 10, 2012 at 11:31 AM

And just to pile on, Peter Kirsanow a few minutes ago on The Corner wrote:

…Obama’s budget for Florida alone was $39 million compared to McCain’s $13.1 million, yet Obama – the inspiring, possibly first black president, blank slate, transcendent agent of Hope and Change — beat McCain by just 2.8 percent in the state.

Obama doesn’t get much bang for his buck as it is…sweet!

cartooner on July 10, 2012 at 11:31 AM

“I hope he fails”

Mord on July 10, 2012 at 11:32 AM

Attack Bain all you want, but Obama has outsourced more people to Welfare and Disability than any other President in history.

RADIOONE on July 10, 2012 at 11:26 AM

24/7/365 until election day.

VegasRick on July 10, 2012 at 11:32 AM

I think it’s working at the margins: (1) it’s preventing Romney from getting ahead – in this economy he should have 5-7+% lead and (2) it’s having a marginal effect on independent voters who, I think, may be reluctant to switch to Romney. This may solidy their reluctance.

If it’s going to be a very close race – and I think it is – a 2-3% benefit with these attacks makes all the difference in the world.

It seems to me that the public clearly wants to vote Obama out of office. But they’re not quite sure they want to vote Romney in.

Question: Shouldn’t Romney be leading right now? He’s not and there’s a reason for it.

SteveMG on July 10, 2012 at 11:32 AM

I’m wondering when the lefties start putting our houses up on YouTube. This mess is going to get worse before it gets better, and if anyone can make a mess worse it’s the left.

Bishop on July 10, 2012 at 11:33 AM

Bain attack America still not working

faraway on July 10, 2012 at 11:34 AM

Nothing he does works…

PatriotRider on July 10, 2012 at 11:24 AM

…his mouth always works!

KOOLAID2 on July 10, 2012 at 11:34 AM

Question: Shouldn’t Romney be leading right now? He’s not and there’s a reason for it.

SteveMG on July 10, 2012 at 11:32 AM

It’s called skewed polling.

VegasRick on July 10, 2012 at 11:34 AM

I’m so happy that I don’t live in a swing state (Missouri). My wife and I went back to Ohio to visit family and to do some errands last week and wow, I was so sick of seeing the stupid lying Obama ads that I literally just mentally tuned them out by Wednesday. I knew they were on, but I stopped listening and didn’t hear them.

MobileVideoEngineer on July 10, 2012 at 11:35 AM

Jodh Kraushaar is probably the most unbiased reporter covering this election. I recommend that everyone on Twitter follow him, and sign up for the free emails from National Journal. It’s refreshing to read straight coverage wihtout spin from either side.

Also, keep in mind that that “swing state” poll being trumpted by some Democtrats as proff these ads are working includes Pennsylvania and New Mexico as swing states! The ads aren’t even showing in PA. And inlcuding these lean-Democrat states in the poll almost certainly produces a biased result that favors Obama.

The media are doing everything they can to convince us that this is still a close race and Obama has a good chance to win. Don’t believe them.

rockmom on July 10, 2012 at 11:35 AM

Chuck todd spinning for dear leader…. their campaign and superpacs are focusing on one issue -mitt , while mitt campaign is not insync with their super pacs…their messaging is all over the place

What a crock

cmsinaz on July 10, 2012 at 11:36 AM

Check out the approval/disapproval questions, and the right track wrong track question in the poll.

Disapproval of Obama across all questions, and right track wrong track is almost 2-to-1 negative.

If these numbers hold up, at D+9, this is a preview of an electoral disaster for the Dems.

JohnGalt23 on July 10, 2012 at 11:36 AM

Because not only is it petty and false and people know it but voters have a good idea who they want to vote for, more so than polls show.

Its later than you think.

Speakup on July 10, 2012 at 11:36 AM

Maybe the Obama campaign will have to consider that people might be looking to vote for someone that has shown some level of success in life. You know, like, our economy sucks and it might take more than a peevish, egocentric, race-baiting, blame projecting loser to turn it around. A lot of Democrats are passing on the convention. I wonder if Obama would consider it as well.

DaveDief on July 10, 2012 at 11:36 AM

Question: Shouldn’t Romney be leading right now? He’s not and there’s a reason for it.

SteveMG on July 10, 2012 at 11:32 AM

Shouldn’t Reagan have been leading Carter at this point in their race in 1980? No, I don;’t think Romney is Reagan, but incumbency is a powerful thing. Plus, he’s got the media in his back pocket.

changer1701 on July 10, 2012 at 11:37 AM

Question: Shouldn’t Romney be leading right now? He’s not and there’s a reason for it.

SteveMG on July 10, 2012 at 11:32 AM

At this point in 1980 Carter had a decisive lead over Ronald Reagan and he was Well Above 50% in the polling.

How did that work out again?

jaydee_007 on July 10, 2012 at 11:38 AM

This election isn’t even going to be close. Better just give up and start taking more vacays, Barry.

Count it!

wildcat72 on July 10, 2012 at 11:40 AM

Barack Obama is a liar.

Kataklysmic on July 10, 2012 at 11:40 AM

Barack Obama is a liar.

Kataklysmic on July 10, 2012 at 11:40 AM

He wouldn’t know the truth if it bit him like a dog. Which he’d then proceed to eat.

wildcat72 on July 10, 2012 at 11:42 AM

Hey O! You know what might work? Smaller government, less regulation, lower taxes, more domestic energy production, ending ObamaCare and dialing back the arrogance and division.

You could win with those policies, and heck…you don’t really care what it takes to win just so long as you do win, now do you?

MTF on July 10, 2012 at 11:42 AM

Attack Bain all you want, but Obama has outsourced more people to Welfare and Disability than any other President in history.

RADIOONE on July 10, 2012 at 11:26 AM

Interesting twist there. Romney campaign ad team take note.

slickwillie2001 on July 10, 2012 at 11:44 AM

Obama thinks that middle-class voters don’t like rich people. What he doesn’t realize is that voters are much more accepting of a rich person who’s committed to helping THEM attain wealth as well.

VastRightWingConspirator on July 10, 2012 at 11:45 AM

I have a hard time believing there are any undecideds left at this point anyway.

KMC1 on July 10, 2012 at 11:29 AM

That makes for an interesting question, and this example of massive unopposed spending not making a difference would support that conclusion.
But that October surprise? I’m sure with these results the ChiTown gang is brainstorming as we speak.

JusDreamin on July 10, 2012 at 11:45 AM

If class warfare is all they have…

Well, they can always fallback on racism.

Say, when’s that Zimmerman trial going to be set?

Droopy on July 10, 2012 at 11:46 AM

That makes for an interesting question, and this example of massive unopposed spending not making a difference would support that conclusion.
But that October surprise? I’m sure with these results the ChiTown gang is brainstorming as we speak.

JusDreamin on July 10, 2012 at 11:45 AM

At this point the only October Surprise Barry could try that might be effective is a “surprise” nuking of all the populations in the red states so we are, thus, dead and can’t vote… for anyone other than democrats that is.

wildcat72 on July 10, 2012 at 11:47 AM

“I hope he fails”

Mord on July 10, 2012 at 11:32 AM

…Hi Rush!…RACIST!

KOOLAID2 on July 10, 2012 at 11:48 AM

Attack Bain all you want, but Obama has outsourced more people to Welfare and Disability than any other President in history.

RADIOONE on July 10, 2012 at 11:26 AM

Obama has done plenty of “outsourcing” of his own. The Obama administration has handed billions of dollars in stimulus grants and federal “green energy” loans to companies like SunPower, ABB, Inc., GE, Fisker, etc., that have taken this U.S. taxpayer money and used it to create jobs in places like Mexico and China.

We should be more concerned about what Obama has been doing with our money than with what Mitt Romney did with his and his investors’ money. And at least Romney’s investments were successful and made him and his investors rich, which is a hell of a lot more than we can say about Obama’s “investments” with our money.

AZCoyote on July 10, 2012 at 11:49 AM

In other words, Team Obama spent a lot of money — an overwhelming amount — and it changed nothing about his standing in the race. Meanwhile, Romney saved his money and will have a big funding advantage in the post-Labor Day environment, while Obama struggles to raise funds.

As I’ve always known, Obama is the Grasshopper and Romney is the Ant.

Dark Star on July 10, 2012 at 11:49 AM

I did some calculations to predict the outcome of the 2012 Presidential elections. My calculations were based on the following data and assumptions:

1. Vote by Race.

2. Use the same percentage of participation of each racial group based on the 2008 exit poll data (I used the exit poll data from CNN)

3. Assume that the percentage of Blacks voting for Obama in 2012 is the same as in 2008 and voting for Romney is the same as McCain in 2008.

4. Assume that the percentage of Hispanics voting for Obama in 2012 is the same as in 2008 and voting for Romney is the same as McCain in 2008.

5. Assume that in 2012 Obama would lose 15% of the White voters who voted for him in 2008 and they would be voting for Romney.
Let us start with the 13 Battleground States:

Florida: Romney 51%, Obama 47%, Others 2%, Romney wins
Ohio: Romney 51%, Obama 47%, Others 2%, Romney wins
North Carolina: Romney 52%, Obama 47%, Others 1%, Romney wins
Virginia: Romney 50.5%, Obama 48.5%, Others 1%, Romney wins
Indiana: Romney 54%, Obama 44%, Others 2%, Romney wins
Colorado: Romney 51%, Obama 48%, Others 1%, Romney wins
Iowa: Romney 52%, Obama 47%, Others 1%, Romney wins
New Hampshire: Romney 51%, Obama 48%, Others 1%, Romney wins
Minnesota: Romney 50%, Obama 49%, Others 1% Romney wins

Nevada: Romney 48%, Obama 51%, Others 1%, Obama wins
Pennsylvania: Romney 47%, Obama 52%, Others 1%, Obama wins
Michigan: Romney 47%, Obama 52%, Others 1%, Obama wins
Wisconsin: Romney 49%, Obama 50%, Others 1%, Obama wins

Based on the above Romney would win the elections by winning the Electoral College Vote 295 versus 243 for Obama. Romney can still win the elections even if he loses Colorado, New Hampshire, and Minnesota and in this case it would 272 Electoral votes for Romney and 266 for Obama. Romney can still win the elections even if he loses Virginia and Minnesota, and in this case it would also be 272 Electoral votes for Romney and 266 for Obama.
For the national vote if I follow the same assumption and data then Romney would get 50.5% to Obama 48.5% and 1% for Others.

In my opinion it would be very hard for Romney to win Pennsylvania and Michigan because for this to happen Obama has to lose approximately 22% to 25% of the White voters who voted for him in 2008 in these two states. That may be a very improbable scenario because of the heavy union White votes in both of these states.

Also it seems that Marco Rubio may be Romney best VP choice because it will make the win in Florida almost a certainty and it may help a lot in the Hispanic votes of the two other battleground states with heavy Hispanic population Colorado and Nevada. If Romney can win 35% of the Hispanic vote in Nevada instead of my current projection of 22% which is based on the 2008 exit polls then Romney would win Nevada by 50% to Obama 49.5%.

Conclusion:

It is going to be a very close elections and it all depends on how many Whites voters who voted for Obama in 2008 would leave him and vote for Romney. For Obama to lose the elections at least 14% to 15% of the Whites voters who voted for him in 2008 should vote for Romney in 2012.

mnjg on July 10, 2012 at 11:50 AM

So let me get this straight. Their polling is flawed, but their punditry is great! Embarrassing.

Professional wishcasting for fun and profit.

A completely defined president against a completely undefined challenger who still can’t get a lead nationally in anything other than the partisan Rasmussen tracker. And you think they are worried?

But gas prices! Wait-But Obamacare! Wait- But jobs! But still behind.

Mitt’s already the swiss bank account dressage horses out sourcing business liquidating candidate. Then the convention and it’s nothing but I hate Obama in the placards in Tampa. Just like this site, and it won’t be enough.

tommyhawk on July 10, 2012 at 11:51 AM

Maybe the Obama campaign will have to consider that people might be looking to vote for someone that has shown some level of success in life. You know, like, our economy sucks and it might take more than a peevish, egocentric, race-baiting, blame projecting loser to turn it around. A lot of Democrats are passing on the convention. I wonder if Obama would consider it as well.

DaveDief on July 10, 2012 at 11:36 AM

At this point there isn’t much difference between voting for BO and Al Sharpton for those who insist on voting for a Dem candidate. They both are equal intellectually and in outlook. BO is simply more “presentable.” Some still think he’s a better speaker, but even there I can’t see much difference.

Good point about Dems avoiding the convention. The next four months are going to be grueling for BO, and it will be a test of what ever will he has to keep going. G.H. Bush did it knowing that he wouldn’t win. I wonder if the Punk has that much fortitude.

Cody1991 on July 10, 2012 at 11:52 AM

Here’s Ace’s take from Ace of Spades HQ. Makes sense to me:

My theory (which I’ve written about a lot) is that late-deciding voters actually are not so late deciding. They are simply very late about admitting they’ve decided. Because they tend to be disinterested in politics, they know they haven’t done their homework, and thus hold off on making an acknowledged decision until they get all the “facts” — until they’ve done their homework — which they never actually do.

natasha333 on July 10, 2012 at 11:53 AM

“In other words, Team Obama spent a lot of money — an overwhelming amount — and it changed nothing about his standing in the race.”

But Romney has a Swiss bank account…

… or something!

Seven Percent Solution on July 10, 2012 at 11:53 AM

I get the impression that Team Romney is playing rope-a-dope with Team SCOAMF. And perhaps more effectively than we’re giving Romney credit for…

swanzoid on July 10, 2012 at 11:55 AM

In other shocking news, The Fifth Column Treasonous Media are a bunch of big fat liars…. Oh, wait, that’s neither shocking nor news…

SWalker on July 10, 2012 at 11:56 AM

tommyhawk,
the incumbent president can’t break 50, but thanks for your concern.

rob verdi on July 10, 2012 at 11:56 AM

Liberals on Morning Joe this AM said Romney isn’t really that demonizable–can’t really think of him as an ogre.

MaggiePoo on July 10, 2012 at 11:56 AM

This just in: Bain attack still not working

But he gets a ribbon for tryin’ real hard.

Cicero43 on July 10, 2012 at 11:25 AM

That’s a Peace Prize, baby.

swinia sutki on July 10, 2012 at 11:57 AM

Slightly off-topic?

Why is Drudge in black and white today?

SouthernGent on July 10, 2012 at 11:57 AM

That’s a Peace Prize, baby.

swinia sutki on July 10, 2012 at 11:57 AM

The Nobel Peace Prize has been completely beclowned.

wildcat72 on July 10, 2012 at 12:00 PM

tommyhawk on July 10, 2012 at 11:51 AM

Denial — the first stage of grief.

Dark Star on July 10, 2012 at 12:00 PM

Trolls must be waiting for Axe to send them their T.P. (Talking Points/Toilet Paper).

Del Dolemonte on July 10, 2012 at 12:00 PM

A lot of Democrats are passing on the convention. I wonder if Obama would consider it as well.

DaveDief on July 10, 2012 at 11:36 AM

Pass on the convention?? Don’t say that. What will all the skanky whores do…besides go back to Congress?

swinia sutki on July 10, 2012 at 12:00 PM

One thing the polls can’t factor in is how our military personnel overseas will lean. Usually they’ll go for the GOP candidate, which might make a difference for results in their respective home states.

I don’t know the total number of those deployed, but I know an aircraft carrier all by itself has 5500 crew aboard. We have eleven of them. Add in all the other ships, plus the bases worldwide, and there’s a large segment of the American population the polls can’t take into account (even correcting for the number of servicemen and -women who won’t be voting).

Liam on July 10, 2012 at 12:01 PM

tommyhawk on July 10, 2012 at 11:51 AM

Ron Paul is God.

Del Dolemonte on July 10, 2012 at 12:01 PM

Liberals on Morning Joe this AM said Romney isn’t really that demonizable–can’t really think of him as an ogre.

MaggiePoo on July 10, 2012 at 11:56 AM

It’s like asking people to have a visceral reaction to vanilla ice cream.

Only the truly deluded Obots are buying the “Never mind 41 months of more than 8% unemployment & national policies that are a total disaster, at least Obama doesn’t have a Swiss bank account!” rationale.

Dark Star on July 10, 2012 at 12:03 PM

Trolls must be waiting for Axe to send them their T.P. (Talking Points/Toilet Paper).

Del Dolemonte on July 10, 2012 at 12:00 PM

AX EL ROD

Axe on July 10, 2012 at 12:04 PM

This is starting to look like King Midas vs. the Anti-Midas.

(And NO, Ron Paul is NOT God.)

Yiwen on July 10, 2012 at 12:04 PM

A completely defined president

tommyhawk on July 10, 2012 at 11:51 AM

Well, you are correct on at least one count.

Kataklysmic on July 10, 2012 at 12:05 PM

Why is Drudge in black and white today?

SouthernGent on July 10, 2012 at 11:57 AM

Hope you get an answer to this. :)

Axe on July 10, 2012 at 12:05 PM

Romney has held back on massive ad campaigns — not entirely, but not to the extent that Obama has — while he gathers his fiscal strength

The fiscal contrasts between right n left even show up in how they spend their campaign $$$…at the rate their going Barry`ll need a bailout long before 11/6, while Romney saves and spends his $$$ prudently and wisely.

NY Conservative on July 10, 2012 at 12:05 PM

Are the attack ads not working or are other issues (economy, energy,etc.) having a greater effect?

bw222 on July 10, 2012 at 12:07 PM

tommyhawk on July 10, 2012 at 11:51 AM

UpperEastSide, izzdat you?

BlaxPac on July 10, 2012 at 12:07 PM

Now I get why Obumbler’s mad and complaining that he’s being outspent. He’s outspending but he’s not gaining which means it’s having no effect so that’s like being outspent even though Romney hasn’t expended a dime. It’s like the old double-negative. And for once the tell a lie long enough and people believe it strategy is also fizzling bcuz it looks like people are just tuning out the Bain stuff.

stukinIL4now on July 10, 2012 at 12:08 PM

tommyhawk on July 10, 2012 at 11:51 AM

Do you like to gamble, tommy? Gamble money, on the outcome of political contests?

JohnGalt23 on July 10, 2012 at 12:09 PM

…at the rate their going Barry`ll need a bailout long before 11/6, while Romney saves and spends his $$$ prudently and wisely.

NY Conservative on July 10, 2012 at 12:05 PM

It’s what they do……..

VegasRick on July 10, 2012 at 12:10 PM

Lsm continue with the bain attacks are working look at all these polls that say so

Gotta make mitt as evil as possible

cmsinaz on July 10, 2012 at 12:12 PM

UpperEastSide, izzdat you?

BlaxPac on July 10, 2012 at 12:07 PM

Nah, I don’t know how he manages to pull it off..but tommysquaw is even dumber than upper. Just a garden variety mouth-breather…dependent on gov’t cheese and DWS to provide him with talking points to regurgitate.

We need better quality trolls around here.

HumpBot Salvation on July 10, 2012 at 12:14 PM

Off topic, or not…not new either, but true

A LAWYER WITH A BRIEFCASE CAN STEAL MORE THAN A THOUSAND MEN WITH GUNS.

This is very interesting! I never thought about it this way.

The Lawyers’ Party, By Bruce Walker

The Democratic Party has become the Lawyers Party.

Barack Obama is a lawyer. Michelle Obama is a lawyer.

Hillary Clinton is a lawyer. Bill Clinton is a lawyer.

John Edwards is a lawyer. Elizabeth Edwards was a lawyer.

Every Democrat nominee since 1984 went to law school (although Gore did not graduate).

Every Democrat vice presidential nominee since 1976, except for Lloyd Bentsen, went to law school.

Look at leaders of the Democrat Party in Congress:

Harry Reid is a lawyer. Nancy Pelosi is a lawyer.

The Republican Party is different.

President Bush is a businessman.

Vice President Cheney is a businessman.

The leaders of the Republican Revolution:

Newt Gingrich was a history professor.

Tom Delay was an exterminator. Dick Armey was an economist.

House Minority Leader Boehner was a plastic manufacturer.

The former Senate Majority Leader Bill Frist is a heart surgeon.

Who was the last Republican president who was a lawyer? Gerald Ford, who left office 31 years ago and who barely won the Republican nomination as a sitting president, running against Ronald Reagan in 1976.

The Republican Party is made up of real people doing real work, who are often the targets of lawyers.

The Democrat Party is made up of lawyers. Democrats mock and scorn men who create wealth, like Bush and Cheney, or who heal the sick, likeFrist, or who immerse themselves in history, like Gingrich. The Lawyers Party sees these sorts of people, who provide goods and services that people want, as the enemies of America .. And, so we have seen the procession of official enemies, in the eyes of the Lawyers Party, grow.

Against whom do Hillary and Obama rail?….Pharmaceutical companies, oil companies, hospitals, manufacturers, fast food restaurant chains, large retail businesses, bankers, and anyone producing anything of value in our nation. This is the natural consequence of viewing everything through the eyes of lawyers. Lawyers solve problems by successfully representing their clients, in this case the American people. Lawyers seek to have new laws passed, they seek to win lawsuits, they press appellate courts to overturn precedent, and lawyers always parse language to favor their side.

Confined to the narrow practice of law, that is fine. But it is an awful way to govern a great nation. When politicians as lawyers begin to view some Americans as clients and other Americans as opposing parties, then the role of the legal system in our life becomes all-consuming. Some Americans become adverse parties of our very government. We are not all litigants in some vast social class-action suit. We are citizens of a republic that promises us a great deal of freedom from laws, from courts, and from lawyers.

Today, we are drowning in laws; we are contorted by judicial decisions; we are driven to distraction by omnipresent lawyers in all parts of our once private lives. America has a place for laws and lawyers, but that place is modest and reasonable, not vast and unchecked. When the most important decision for our next president is whom he will appoint to the Supreme Court, the role of lawyers and the law in America is too big.

When House Democrats sue America in order to hamstring our efforts to learn what our enemies are planning to do to us, then the role of litigation in America has become crushing.

Perhaps Americans will understand that change cannot be brought to our nation by those lawyers who already largely dictate American society and business. Perhaps Americans will see that hope does not come from the mouths of lawyers but from personal dreams nourished by hard work. Perhaps Americans will embrace the truth that more lawyers with more power will only make our problems worse.

The United States has 5% of the world’s population and 66% of the world’s lawyers! Tort (Legal) reform legislation has been introduced in congress several times in the last several years to limit punitive damages in ridiculous lawsuits such as spilling hot coffee on yourself and suing the establishment that sold it to you and also to limit punitive damages in huge medical malpractice lawsuits. This legislation has continually been blocked from even being voted on by the Democrat Party. When you see that 97%of the political contributions from the American Trial Lawyers Association go to the Democrat Party, then you realize who is responsible for our medical and product costs being so high!

Schadenfreude on July 10, 2012 at 12:16 PM

The fiscal contrasts between right n left even show up in how they spend their campaign $$$…at the rate their going Barry`ll need a bailout long before 11/6, while Romney saves and spends his $$$ prudently and wisely.

NY Conservative on July 10, 2012 at 12:05 PM

yep, it’s almost caricatural (or cartoonish), the profligate Obama spending people’s money in a frenzy with no visible result and likely to get him/his campaign into bankruptcy, and Romney, the responsible investor who ponders carefully the feasibility and viability of a plan/project before throwing money at it …

jimver on July 10, 2012 at 12:17 PM

I don’t even know if it’s true or not, but the narrative that has been set about the Bain attacks is that they aren’t working. That represents a sea change in the Obama campaign’s and the Obamamedia’s ability to set narratives. It’s bad enough that the attack ads aren’t working, but voters are being told — emphatically — how spectacularly they aren’t working! It’s amazing! If the Obama camp can’t send lie around the world anymore, well, Barry’s pretty much crispy toast.

Rational Thought on July 10, 2012 at 12:17 PM

We need better quality trolls around here.

HumpBot Salvation on July 10, 2012 at 12:14 PM

Minimum wage with a dash of stale “hope and change” doesn’t cut it – not even for a deranged leftist troll.

Reality is such a beotch, eh?

Cody1991 on July 10, 2012 at 12:20 PM

they tend to tune out the television while going on vacations and engaging in other summer activities.

Exactly! Most voters don’t start paying attention until after labor day.

And given some of the insipid moments in the run-up so far, who can blame them?

GarandFan on July 10, 2012 at 12:20 PM

One thing the polls can’t factor in is how our military personnel overseas will lean. Usually they’ll go for the GOP candidate, which might make a difference for results in their respective home states.

I don’t know the total number of those deployed, but I know an aircraft carrier all by itself has 5500 crew aboard. We have eleven of them. Add in all the other ships, plus the bases worldwide, and there’s a large segment of the American population the polls can’t take into account (even correcting for the number of servicemen and -women who won’t be voting).

Liam on July 10, 2012 at 12:01 PM

Democratics have a well-oiled machine for eliminating military ballots, whether it’s pre-election, simply by printing them late for example, or after the fact by nitpicking over postmarks. Who knows what their greedy union friends in the post office are up to.

They’ve been doing this for twenty years and they are pretty good at it.

slickwillie2001 on July 10, 2012 at 12:21 PM

Nah, I don’t know how he manages to pull it off..but tommysquaw is even dumber than upper. Just a garden variety mouth-breather…dependent on gov’t cheese and DWS to provide him with talking points to regurgitate.

We need better quality trolls around here.

HumpBot Salvation on July 10, 2012 at 12:14 PM

And that’s whats so sad…I probably could find better marionettes on Kos, Huffy, or even LGF….

BlaxPac on July 10, 2012 at 12:21 PM

Solid B+.

As a President he ranks right up there with Lincoln and Michael Douglas.

CorporatePiggy on July 10, 2012 at 12:22 PM

I have a hard time believing there are any undecideds left at this point anyway.

KMC1 on July 10, 2012 at 11:29 AM

That makes for an interesting question, and this example of massive unopposed spending not making a difference would support that conclusion.
But that October surprise? I’m sure with these results the ChiTown gang is brainstorming as we speak.

JusDreamin on July 10, 2012 at 11:45 AM

This why I generally don’t pay any attention to polling.

However, if we forget about the old ACORN, and the union groups who will stop at nothing to try and keep the gravy flowing, it will be at our own peril. Obozo knows this is going to be a tight race (something I frankly can’t wrap my head around) and he’s as shrewd and underhanded as they come, so nothing is inconceivable in my mind.

KMC1 on July 10, 2012 at 12:23 PM

Conclusion:

It is going to be a very close elections and it all depends on how many Whites voters who voted for Obama in 2008 would leave him and vote for Romney. For Obama to lose the elections at least 14% to 15% of the Whites voters who voted for him in 2008 should vote for Romney in 2012.

mnjg on July 10, 2012 at 11:50 AM

Interesting analysis, and I think you’d agree that the picture’s even brighter for Romney, if your understandably conservative assumptions were tweaked a bit. You’ve assumed the same voting participation, by race, as in 2008 for both McCain and Obama. The white voter intensity AGAINST Obama is much higher than it was in 2008, since not as much was known about him and what he would do back then. Also, while Romney doesn’t necessarily inspire conservatives, we shouldn’t forget that McCain outright declared war on us, giving us Palin in an attempt to assuage us. A lot of conservatives and independents leaning conservative decided to stay home in 2008, but I don’t think they will this year, not because Romney’s much better but they know we have to get Obama out of there.

Factoring those things in would significantly reduce the number of white votes needed to be switched from Obama to Romney.

Excellent analysis anyway.

TXUS on July 10, 2012 at 12:25 PM

(A new Gallup/USA Today poll of 12 swing states shows Obama at 47 percent to Romney’s 45 percent.)

….banging my head on the desk…banging my head on the desk…banging my head on the desk!

KOOLAID2 on July 10, 2012 at 11:31 AM

Well, as National Journal reports, Obama just dropped a near 100 million dollar neutron anti Romney ad bomb onto the swing states, resulting in a measly 2 percent within margin of error bump for Obama. What’s the math on that….nearly 50 million per margin of error percentage point for Obama…among registered voters?

I think Romney would take that result any day of the week.

Cavalry on July 10, 2012 at 12:25 PM

This argument is working only with their hardcore base of union faithful and government dependents.

southsideironworks on July 10, 2012 at 12:27 PM

The United States has 5% of the world’s population and 66% of the world’s lawyers!

Schadenfreude on July 10, 2012 at 12:16 PM

wow, I had no idea…no wonder we’re where we are, the lawyer ‘class’ plagues the system like a pest…

jimver on July 10, 2012 at 12:28 PM

This argument is working only with their hardcore base of union faithful and government dependents.

southsideironworks on July 10, 2012 at 12:27 PM

I am starting to think this way also!..:)

Dire Straits on July 10, 2012 at 12:29 PM

The Rolling Average of Obama’s Popularity over at Real Clear Politics has him down.
Approve Disapprove Difference
RCP Average 6/20 – 7/9 — 46.8 48.8 -2.0
ABC News/Wash Post 7/5 – 7/8 1003 A 47 49 -2
Rasmussen Reports 7/7 – 7/9 1500 LV 45 53 -8
Gallup 7/6 – 7/8 1500 A 45 46 -1
CNN/Opinion Research 6/28 – 7/1 1390 RV 50 49 +1
Newsweek/Daily Beast 6/28 – 6/28 600 LV 45 54 -9
Democracy Corps (D) 6/23 – 6/27 1000 LV 47 48 -1

People are on Vacation now. They are getting their politics from family and friends. That’s where we need to focus right now: word of mouth.

The Democrats (and the media) know they need to keep these polls close. Many voters just want to vote for whomever they percieve is going to be “the Winner” whether they agree with their platform or not. No one likes to say they voted for a loser.

GadsdenRattlers on July 10, 2012 at 12:31 PM

Axe on July 10, 2012 at 12:14 PM

yepper..

cmsinaz on July 10, 2012 at 12:33 PM

Again, this is why you don’t dump $100M worth of negative ads into the middle of summer. Romney is playing it smart.

You can’t get some to understand this, though. They get all panicky very easy.

Moesart on July 10, 2012 at 12:35 PM

However, if we forget about the old ACORN, and the union groups who will stop at nothing to try and keep the gravy flowing, it will be at our own peril. Obozo knows this is going to be a tight race (something I frankly can’t wrap my head around) and he’s as shrewd and underhanded as they come, so nothing is inconceivable in my mind.

KMC1 on July 10, 2012 at 12:23 PM

yep, watch that army of lawyers training on the WH lawn for the ‘legal marathon’ of the D day aftermath :-)…ad the media arm (or army :-) to that, it’d better not be too close, coz if it is they will stop at nothing to give us Barry, alas, again :(

jimver on July 10, 2012 at 12:35 PM

That probably won’t take place until after Labor Day, but that’s precisely when it matters. Romney has held back on massive ad campaigns — not entirely, but not to the extent that Obama has — while he gathers his fiscal strength. This far out, it’s questionable whether an advertising blitz will even reach voters effectively, as they tend to tune out the television while going on vacations and engaging in other summer activities.

Wait, so the guy who created a successful business by anticipating the future is spending his money more wisely than the guy who’s never worked in the private sector a day in his life and doesn’t understand wealth creation?

Who would have guessed?

cpaulus on July 10, 2012 at 12:36 PM

Ummmm…ahhhhh…ummmm…Nope. I got nothin.

timberline on July 10, 2012 at 12:39 PM

Ummmm…ahhhhh…ummmm….tax the rich. I got somethin’.

timberline on July 10, 2012 at 12:39 PM

FIFY :-)

jimver on July 10, 2012 at 12:45 PM

Wait, so the guy who created a successful business by anticipating the future is spending his money more wisely than the guy who’s never worked in the private sector a day in his life and doesn’t understand wealth creation?

Who would have guessed?

cpaulus on July 10, 2012 at 12:36 PM

Obama’s been spending more than he’s bringing in, IN JUNE and it hasn’t moved the needle much at all for him and there is still only bad news for him to come with further employment and economic reports which will only be even worse due to Taxmageddon.

I fully expect that come September and October Romney has the lead AND lots more in the bank than the Kenyan dog-eater.

wildcat72 on July 10, 2012 at 12:48 PM

Campaigning is the only thing our benevolent god-king knows how to do, and given the utter destruction his surrogates wrought on his challengers up to now (to the point that every challenger he’s faced has had to withdraw and be replaced by essentially a placeholder or was so damaged and didn’t bother), he doesn’t even do that well. This really is the first time he’s had a both a challenger and a record, and he’s flailing around like a chicken with its head cut off.

crazy_legs on July 10, 2012 at 12:48 PM

cmsinaz on July 10, 2012 at 12:33 PM

El Rushbo is on a roll today!..:)

PS..Good to see you!..:)

Dire Straits on July 10, 2012 at 12:50 PM

yep, watch that army of lawyers training on the WH lawn for the ‘legal marathon’ of the D day aftermath :-)…ad the media arm (or army :-) to that, it’d better not be too close, coz if it is they will stop at nothing to give us Barry, alas, again :(

jimver on July 10, 2012 at 12:35 PM

It’s not going to be close.

Romney’s going to win something north of 300 electoral votes and the popular vote by at least 5%.

Unless Barry Hussein Soetoro is training his lawyers in Iranian style election rigging it won’t matter. And it’s just more money wasted.

And that still won’t work… I can’t imagine the American Electorate sitting idly by while a 5%+ electoral victory is wiped out by fraud that would have to be so blatant that it would be obvious even to Maureen Dowd.

wildcat72 on July 10, 2012 at 12:51 PM

For Obama to lose the elections at least 14% to 15% of the Whites voters who voted for him in 2008 should vote for Romney in 2012.

mnjg on July 10, 2012 at 11:50 AM

that percentage represents pretty much the indies and some Reps that voted for him in 2008…so far the indies seem inclined to Romney, and there’s that infamous percentage of ‘undecided’ indies (about 10% of the indies) that Ed characterized as ‘low information voters’ that are probably going to be the decisive factor, sadly enough…so, in a way it’s better that Romney is not depleting his campign money now, since the low information voters are known to have a short span of attention, right now it’s all about Tom Cruise;s divorce for them, so their attention is pretty monopolized :-)…

jimver on July 10, 2012 at 12:55 PM

mnjg on July 10, 2012 at 11:50 AM

TXUS on July 10, 2012 at 12:25 PM

I’d like to offer a slight take on this: I do think contrary to popular belief, that the turnout from the Black & Hispanic voter block (i include all voters of ages & economic stripes) will not be as monolithic as it was in 2008.

The number of voters will probably be smaller, but i do see an increase of those votes will go for Romney and a 3rd party.

This is informal of course; more people that i know that are Democrats and voted for Obama in 08, less of them are willing to vote for him this time around simply based on the economy….or lack thereof.

BlaxPac on July 10, 2012 at 12:55 PM

Interesting analysis, and I think you’d agree that the picture’s even brighter for Romney, if your understandably conservative assumptions were tweaked a bit. You’ve assumed the same voting participation, by race, as in 2008 for both McCain and Obama. The white voter intensity AGAINST Obama is much higher than it was in 2008, since not as much was known about him and what he would do back then. Also, while Romney doesn’t necessarily inspire conservatives, we shouldn’t forget that McCain outright declared war on us, giving us Palin in an attempt to assuage us. A lot of conservatives and independents leaning conservative decided to stay home in 2008, but I don’t think they will this year, not because Romney’s much better but they know we have to get Obama out of there.

Factoring those things in would significantly reduce the number of white votes needed to be switched from Obama to Romney.

Excellent analysis anyway.

TXUS on July 10, 2012 at 12:25 PM

Thanks. I totally agree that if the White Voters participation in 2012 is going to be higher than in 2008, and that is a high possibility, then it would take less than 15% of white voters who voted for Obama in 2008 to switch and vote for Romney in order to cause Obama loses the elections.

mnjg on July 10, 2012 at 12:57 PM

But he gets a ribbon for tryin’ real hard.

Cicero43 on July 10, 2012 at 11:25 AM

Barack Obama is truly the preezy of the millineal generation. He gets Nobel Peace Prizes for, ummm, uhhh, ahhh, what did he get it for again?

wildcat72 on July 10, 2012 at 12:58 PM

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