This just in: Bain attack still not working

posted at 11:21 am on July 10, 2012 by Ed Morrissey

Two analyses from the flawed WaPo/ABC poll, as well as spending in swing states, deliver grim news to Team Obama this morning.  Their main line of attack in which they hope to paint Mitt Romney as an uber-rich vampire capitalist clearly isn’t moving the needle among voters — and that’s true despite an overwhelming spending advantage Barack Obama has enjoyed in the early going.  Unless they can come up with a better argument, Romney’s fundraising will shortly put them in a very big hole.

First, the WaPo’s Chris Cillizza notes that the spending strength of Team O has a serious downside, considering the results:

What’s clear from a broad analysis of ad spending in the swing states is that conservative super PACs are supplementing Romney in a way that is keeping him very much in the game. (A new Gallup/USA Today poll of 12 swing states shows Obama at 47 percent to Romney’s 45 percent.)

And now, with word of Romney’s massive June fundraising — $106 million collected — it seems likely that Romney will not only be able to equal Obama on air but, with an assist from the Republican super PACs, over take him between now and November 6.

And that’s a very scary proposition if you are on the Democratic side of the aisle.

That probably won’t take place until after Labor Day, but that’s precisely when it matters.  Romney has held back on massive ad campaigns — not entirely, but not to the extent that Obama has — while he gathers his fiscal strength.  This far out, it’s questionable whether an advertising blitz will even reach voters effectively, as they tend to tune out the television while going on vacations and engaging in other summer activities.

In this case, we can see how effective a massive summer campaign is, too, since Obama has conducted one.  National Journal’s Josh Kraushaar looks at the WaPo/ABC poll and declares it nothing more than a wash, a way to mark time:

Two things have become clear in the presidential race over the past month. One, it’s evident that President Obama’s campaign team believes, with good justification, that attacking Romney’s record at Bain Capital to portray him as a wealthy, out-of-touch millionaire is their most effective line of attack. Second, it’s becoming clear that the attacks are doing more to buy the Obama campaign time than seriously change the trajectory of the race.

For all the attention paid to the effectiveness of President Obama’s Bain-themed attacks, it’s remarkable how Obama has been stuck right around 47 percent for a very long time.  As the Washington Post‘s Chris Cillizza documented, the president’s team has handily outspent Romney and his allied super PACs, pouring in $91 million into eight swing states in an early spending barrage intended to make Romney seem an unacceptable challenger.  But for all that effort, the numbers haven’t moved much at all: The latest ABC News/Washington Post poll out today shows the race deadlocked at 47 percent. Yesterday’s USA Today/Gallup swing state poll showed Obama statistically tied with Romney, the exact same result the survey showed one month ago.

In other words, Team Obama spent a lot of money — an overwhelming amount — and it changed nothing about his standing in the race.  Meanwhile, Romney saved his money and will have a big funding advantage in the post-Labor Day environment, while Obama struggles to raise funds.  While Kraushaar thinks that Bain attacks are the most promising of Obama’s strategies, clearly they haven’t done anything even when Obama has had the stage to himself, after two full months of deploying this strategy.  Even the WaPo/ABC poll shows that half of voters don’t care, and only 24% in a sample with 33% being Democrats think it constitutes a reason to vote against Romney.

If that’s the best option for Obama, he’s in deep trouble.  Kraushaar thinks so, too:

They’ve gotten their first impressions from the early Obama television ads, but Romney will have his chance to tout his positives with the August convention and upcoming debates.  There’s a reason why the Obama campaign is trying to disqualify Romney early on. Because if they don’t score an early knockout, it becomes harder to win over the late deciders as the election approaches.

If class warfare is all they have, they’re going to fail, and fail badly.


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This far out, it’s questionable whether an advertising blitz will even reach voters effectively, as they tend to tune out the television while going on vacations and engaging in other summer activities.

Would seem to make sense, but… remember the summer swift-boating of John Kerry. That happened over the summer of ’04. And that’s what sunk him. People will be influenced by ads, regardless of whether they are thinking about or are on vacation.

anotherJoe on July 10, 2012 at 1:03 PM

Several top Obama donors said privately that Mr. Obama’s attacks on Mr. Romney’s private equity career, the president’s handling of White House relations with business leaders and his criticisms of tax rates for the wealthy had made it harder for some of his allies to raise money on Mr. Obama’s behalf from the financial sector and other industries.

“He will not have the same level of support from the business community as last time — either in endorsements, money or support,” said one Obama backer who declined to be identified because of his relationship with the campaign. “That’s clear.”

Mr. Peebles, the Obama fund-raiser, echoed objections among some other Democrats, many with ties to the financial industry, over what he said were unreasonable attacks on the wealthy by the Obama campaign.

“I just got back from Rhode Island on my boat,” Mr. Peebles said, referring to criticism of Mr. Romney’s much-photographed vacation boating last week on New Hampshire’s Lake Winnipesaukee. “I can hold 12 people on my boat. I don’t feel that I’m out of touch with Americans or that I am a bad person. I find it offensive, and I’m a supporter.”

Don’t forget the jets.

Schadenfreude on July 10, 2012 at 1:06 PM

Obama has done plenty of “outsourcing” of his own. The Obama administration has handed billions of dollars in stimulus grants and federal “green energy” loans to companies like SunPower, ABB, Inc., GE, Fisker, etc., that have taken this U.S. taxpayer money and used it to create jobs in places like Mexico and China.

We should be more concerned about what Obama has been doing with our money than with what Mitt Romney did with his and his investors’ money. And at least Romney’s investments were successful and made him and his investors rich, which is a hell of a lot more than we can say about Obama’s “investments” with our money.

AZCoyote on July 10, 2012 at 11:49 AM

Not to forget the even more important outsourcing done by GM which was bailed out with 30 billion dollars of tax payers money… Did GM bring back their factories from overseas to the US after the Obama bailout? Of course not. In fact they expanded their factories in China… Also after it has been bailed out with billions of dollars Chrsyler is now owned by FIAT the Italian automaker… The GM Chrysler Bailout and their immense outsourcing would destroy Obama on his outsourcing attack on Romney which by the way was proven to be a lie by no other than the Washington Post.
Obama and his campaign are too stupid to realize how weak they are on this issue…

mnjg on July 10, 2012 at 1:06 PM

Unless Barry Hussein Soetoro is training his lawyers in Iranian style election rigging it won’t matter. And it’s just more money wasted.

And that still won’t work… I can’t imagine the American Electorate sitting idly by while a 5%+ electoral victory is wiped out by fraud that would have to be so blatant that it would be obvious even to Maureen Dowd.

wildcat72 on July 10, 2012 at 12:51 PM

you are probably right about that…I wouldn’t put it beyond Barry to try election rigging a la ex communist regimes or Iran/Middle East, but I don’t think the system is so designed to help his crooked attempts, even if he manages some ‘rigging’, it wouldn’t be large scale, but more like the typical dim shenanigans…that’s why I said it’d better not be (too) close…besides there are tonnes of con ‘vigilantes’, watching the swing states closely, plus think all the GOP governors and state attorney generals, Barry can try, but it’s at his own peril…his lawyers though will fight tooth and nail to put him over the finish line…

jimver on July 10, 2012 at 1:07 PM

Rough sledding for Obama from here on out (as if it wasn’t already). His campaign took a gamble, tried to blow Romney out of the water early with 3 to 1 or 4 to 1 expenditures on negative tv ads to saturate the swing state airwaves. As the post indicates, it bought Obama nothing but a statistical tie.

But it cost him plenty

Obama has gone from a 10 to 1 cash advantage over Romney at the end of the primaries to a 2 to 1 advantage at the end of May, which what the media continues to tout. But Obama won’t release the cash on hand number for end of June, after the ad-buying spree in June that gained him nothing. During the same month, and for the second month in a row, Romney out-raised him ($106 million vs. $71 million) and spent a lot less.

Obama had $110 million cash on hand at the end of May. Raised $71 million. So total spending cash for June, $181 million. How much of that did he spend? If he spent at the rate he spent in May, he blew through roughly $112 million. Leaving him with $69 million cash on hand at the end of June. No wonder his campaign refuses to release the real number, if my guesstimate is anywhere close to it.

This means the Romney and Obama campaigns have now switched positions, financially. The Romney campaign begins July with $106 million cash on hand, Obama may have about 2/3rds that amount. Even at parity, Romney is likely to continue out-raising and under-spending Obama until spending actually matters, in September-October. Like he does in every other economic endeavor, Obama spends and spends and has nothing to show for it. Soon we’ll see how Romney handles his new spending advantage.

Which the media simply can’t bring itself to consider.

de rigueur on July 10, 2012 at 1:12 PM

Thanks for letting us know the Bain ads aren’t working Ed. Team O should stop running them any second from now.

Uppereastside on July 10, 2012 at 1:12 PM

upper,
I guess you skipped the post.

rob verdi on July 10, 2012 at 1:14 PM

A certain lamp sailsman went from house to house selling his lamps. Each person he talked to had their own lamp and were not interested in seeing a new lamp.

The salesman always asked if he could see their lamp as he had an interest in light emitting devices. People were always willing to show the lamps that they were so proud of. After seeing their lamps and commenting on how good their lamps were, he asked if he could show his lamp. As a courtesy most agreed.

He set up the lamp, trimed the wick, cleaned the lens lit the lamp. It glowed very bright. He didn’t have to sell anything. He didn’t have to criticize. The quality of his goods were self evident.

Why does Obama feel the need to blow out Romney’s lamp? Is Obama’s lamp so dim that it cannot be seen if there is another light in the room?

The Rock on July 10, 2012 at 1:16 PM

Thanks for letting us know the Bain ads aren’t working Ed. Team O should stop running them any second from now.

Uppereastside on July 10, 2012 at 1:12 PM

Don’t cry, little fella. It’s unseemly.

kingsjester on July 10, 2012 at 1:17 PM

Soon we’ll see how Romney handles his new spending advantage.

Which the media simply can’t bring itself to consider.

de rigueur on July 10, 2012 at 1:12 PM

two words: Death Star…the media will wake up ‘the day after’ with a bitter taste in their mouth and desolation in their collective leftist soul, watching helplessly Romney’s inauguration speech…the question in their minds: ‘when did this all happen, and most importantly, how did we let it happen’ :-)…

jimver on July 10, 2012 at 1:18 PM

Uppereastside on July 10, 2012 at 1:12 PM

Don’t let your Huggies get all wadded up…Besides, with Team O, you know their Smart Power isn’t all that…

BlaxPac on July 10, 2012 at 1:18 PM

Thanks for letting us know the Bain ads aren’t working Ed. Team O should stop running them any second from now.

Uppereastside on July 10, 2012 at 1:12 PM

oh, no, heck, they shouldn’t…double down on stupid is what left does best :-)…

jimver on July 10, 2012 at 1:19 PM

Thanks for letting us know the Bain ads aren’t working Ed. Team O should stop running them any second from now.

Uppereastside on July 10, 2012 at 1:12 PM

No, no! Keep blowing through the campaign funds, Team O! You’ve totally blown your 10 to 1 cash advantage over Romney at the end of the primaries (with Romney in debt) to 2 to 1 at the end of May to something like parity or even well below Romney at the end of June.

Romney has $106 million cash on hand at the end of June; Team O won’t release its end of June numbers, but only had $110 million cash on hand at the end of May, before continuing its 3 or 4 to 1 spending spree over Romney.

O has blown one of the biggest financial advantages over an opponent in history. Keep spending for poll parity, Team O! Keynesian campaigning at its finest!

de rigueur on July 10, 2012 at 1:24 PM

Thanks for letting us know the Bain ads aren’t working Ed. Team O should stop running them any second from now.

Uppereastside on July 10, 2012 at 1:12 PM

You should guys should run far more Bain ads. Make sure they have big name stars and lots of car chases and explosions. And have Scorsese direct them. he does a nice job.

Chuck Schick on July 10, 2012 at 1:24 PM

Thanks for letting us know the Bain ads aren’t working Ed. Team O should stop running them any second from now.

Uppereastside on July 10, 2012 at 1:12 PM

You mad, bro? Don’t be mad.

Here’s a tissue.

ICanSeeNovFromMyHouse on July 10, 2012 at 1:25 PM

ICanSeeNovFromMyHouse on July 10, 2012 at 1:25 PM

Love the moniker!!..:)

Dire Straits on July 10, 2012 at 1:30 PM

Thanks for letting us know the Bain ads aren’t working Ed. Team O should stop running them any second from now.

Uppereastside on July 10, 2012 at 1:12 PM

The beautiful thing is that they will continue, right? Bring it on.

Aristophanes once wrote, roughly translated; “Youth ages, immaturity is outgrown, ignorance can be educated, and drunkenness sobered, but STUPID lasts forever

And the liberal left is trapped forever in their fantasies, unable to cope with reality.

How does it feel to be “stuck on stupid” with no way out?

Cody1991 on July 10, 2012 at 1:35 PM

…just his mouth…day after day after day after day after day after day…and of course…presented daily by the pussyfied press..

KOOLAID2 on July 10, 2012 at 11:28 AM

..the Pant-tard POTUS and the knee-pad media are going to munch the big green weenie so hard in this election. Dems: gasping and sprawling, previously questionable rep shattered; MSM: zero creds for four decades; The Boy King: cast out on his asss; ridiculed, reviled, and rejected by all who he has been giving bend-overs/reach-arounds to these past four years!

“Can’t I just eat my waffles, sweetie?”

The War Planner on July 10, 2012 at 1:36 PM

Romney up 3 in Rasmussen, tied in Gallup.

theperfecteconomist on July 10, 2012 at 1:36 PM

In other words, Team Obama spent a lot of money — an overwhelming amount — and it changed nothing about his standing in the race.

..Obama Campaign: the stupidity returns in spades!

The War Planner on July 10, 2012 at 1:37 PM

Thanks for letting us know the Bain ads aren’t working Ed. Team O should stop running them any second from now.

Uppereastside on July 10, 2012 at 1:12 PM

No no, they are working great. They should double the number of ad buys!

JusDreamin on July 10, 2012 at 1:40 PM

Oops!

Dem. Chair Invested in Swiss Banks, Foreign Drug Companies, and the State Bank of India
http://www.weeklystandard.com/blogs/dem-chair-invested-swiss-banks-foreign-drug-companies-and-state-bank-india_648350.html

Disclosure forms reveal that Democratic National Committee chair Debbie Wasserman Schultz, a member of Congress from Florida, previously held funds with investments in Swiss banks, foreign drug companies, and the state bank of India. This revelation comes mere days after the Democratic chair attacked presumptive Republican presidential candidate Mitt Romney for holding money in Swiss bank accounts in the past.

Chip on July 10, 2012 at 1:42 PM

Chip on July 10, 2012 at 1:42 PM

heh, hypocrisy, thy name is DWS…

jimver on July 10, 2012 at 1:47 PM

Chip on July 10, 2012 at 1:42 PM

Heh. Beginning to wonder if there is a single Obama campaign sally– starting with dogs and wars on women– that can’t be countered hilariously with an embarrassing tu quoque.

de rigueur on July 10, 2012 at 1:54 PM

Another point on if it’s good to postpone ad spending…
There will be so many ads running in the last two months of the election, that there is much to be said for going ahead and taking advantage of an ad space that is not completely over-saturated with political ads.
Obama himself gained such a windfall of donations from the Liberation Theology advocates, that at the end he was throwing huge amounts of $ in massive shotgun ad buys (like running ads across multiple cable stations nationally, just blanketing the airwaves). Though obviously O won, at the end of the campaign his $ were spent hurriedly and, to some degree, ineffectually.

If we can count on Mitt to keep raising more and more $, he shouldn’t then be “husbanding” his resources. Not at all. Time is limited. Start spending the dough now!

anotherJoe on July 10, 2012 at 1:54 PM

This ain’t Romney’s first rodeo.. He is a seasoned businessman who knows how to plan and get results.

Let the adolescent shoot his wad, from the looks of the attacks the boy king has very little to go on…

Oh I know, he’s holding back all the dynamite stuff for later like running on his stellar record in office, you know minor stuff like the economy and jobs for Americans.. amnesty for illegals… Obama Tax..

I believe support for the Composite Man (obama) is much softer than the msm wants to admit…

I predict a huge Conservative turnout in November and I think it’s pink slip time for boy wonder…

RockyJ. on July 10, 2012 at 1:58 PM

Oops!

Dem. Chair Invested in Swiss Banks, Foreign Drug Companies, and the State Bank of India
http://www.weeklystandard.com/blogs/dem-chair-invested-swiss-banks-foreign-drug-companies-and-state-bank-india_648350.html

Disclosure forms reveal that Democratic National Committee chair Debbie Wasserman Schultz, a member of Congress from Florida, previously held funds with investments in Swiss banks, foreign drug companies, and the state bank of India. This revelation comes mere days after the Democratic chair attacked presumptive Republican presidential candidate Mitt Romney for holding money in Swiss bank accounts in the past.

Chip on July 10, 2012 at 1:42 PM

I’d say “ouch, that’s gonna leave a mark”, but on her no one would notice.

slickwillie2001 on July 10, 2012 at 2:02 PM

At this point, everyone knows who they are going to vote for. The only undecided, are the ones who haven’t decided if they are going to bother to vote. Anti-Obama people don’t need to hear anything negative about Obama because we already know it, however, it would be great if we knew what the man we are giving our anti-Obama vote to has planned, and I’m sure the other side feels the same about Obama. Negative campaigning worked great during the primaries because there was a real choice to be made, however, Romney would do much better with his own version of hope and change to get a little enthusiasm going.

lea on July 10, 2012 at 2:08 PM

Anyone really believe that the current tact of calling Romney the most secretive is going to fly, coming from a guy who spent millions of dollars hiding his past… please…

Americans have too much access to the truth today, The leftist style propaganda is not what it was back in the 50′s and 60′s…
The Alinskyites are failing… Their lie’s can’t stand the new medias influence..

The Romney campaign has the material provided by Obama himself to hammer the boy wonder into dust..

RockyJ. on July 10, 2012 at 2:11 PM

I think a lot of people actually mute the TV when these ads come on.

Terrye on July 10, 2012 at 2:21 PM

At this point, everyone knows who they are going to vote for. The only undecided, are the ones who haven’t decided if they are going to bother to vote. Anti-Obama people don’t need to hear anything negative about Obama because we already know it, however, it would be great if we knew what the man we are giving our anti-Obama vote to has planned, and I’m sure the other side feels the same about Obama. Negative campaigning worked great during the primaries because there was a real choice to be made, however, Romney would do much better with his own version of hope and change to get a little enthusiasm going.

lea on July 10, 2012 at 2:08 PM

I couldn’t agree with this point anymore.

KMC1 on July 10, 2012 at 2:34 PM

Progressivism, Propaganda & Pretending

http://predicthistunpredictpast.blogspot.com/2012/07/progressivism-propaganda-pretending.html

M2RB: Eric Clapton

Resist We Much on July 10, 2012 at 2:34 PM

lea on July 10, 2012 at 2:08 PM

I think you’ve got it about right, and that Romney knows this. I hope.

Rassmussen has been polling pretty consistently (corroborated by Jay Cost in his articles) that Obama and Romney are at rough parity, 45-45 (Jay Cost says each party has a 45% floor), with about 10% “other” and “undecided.” The undecideds are polling somewhere between 4%-6% and historically tend to break for a candidate at the last minute. Almost literally the last minute. The final week. The weekend before the election. (And, historically, they tend to break for the challenger.)

Although they both need to shore up their “floors,” ultimately both Obama and Romney are playing for that same narrow percentage of undecideds. (Well, Obama also has an unmotivated base problem.) Obama, brilliant campaigner that he is, blew through a lot of cash with negative campaign ad buys in the swing states in a pre-emptive effort to scoop up the undecideds in April-June. He remains at rough parity with Romney. Gallup and others have revealed that the effort actually did little more than to strengthen his own base at the margins… more of a get-out-the-vote effort as it turned out.

Romney is conserving his cash (while building a bigger war chest than Obama, which will have its own psychological effect on the Obama campaign and the media in the closing months of the campaign) and will use it when it will actually make a difference. After the convention and closer to the election.

We’d all like to feel a lot more hopeful about Romney, but most of us are going to vote for him anyway, just to get rid of Obama and start changing things (as J. E. Dyer correctly divined, I believe, in her excellent post yesterday). Romney’s ad expenditures will be aimed at snagging those undecideds, maybe turn a few currently-Obama-committeds, and at the very least depress the turn-out for Obama. And, let’s hope, motivating the rest of us a little to do what I, for one, have been grimly determined to do since January 2009.

de rigueur on July 10, 2012 at 2:46 PM

If you take the RCP map and only look at recent LV we are currently tied – with Iowa as tied.

Romney is getting outspent at least 3-1 by an incumbent and he is tied in July.

Zomcon JEM on July 10, 2012 at 3:15 PM

Because if they don’t score an early knockout, it becomes harder to win over the late deciders as the election approaches.

That’s the main disadvantage of being the incumbent. People who are undecided have basically already decided against you. The new guy has a much better chance of winning them over, while you have to basically rehabilitate your image with them.

hawksruleva on July 10, 2012 at 3:25 PM

How long before Obama starts touting a government plan to create and air campaign ads for Obama 2012? It’ll put a lot of cameramen, actors, and producers to work, after all…

hawksruleva on July 10, 2012 at 3:31 PM

Thanks for letting us know the Bain ads aren’t working Ed. Team O should stop running them any second from now.

Uppereastside on July 10, 2012 at 1:12 PM

Team Zero has been running those ads in Massachusetts of all places. Massachusetts.

Doesn’t that concern you in the least?

Del Dolemonte on July 10, 2012 at 3:31 PM

Massachussetts? Is that to help Warren? Hell, Rasmussen has Obama up 20!

Zomcon JEM on July 10, 2012 at 3:37 PM

How long before Obama starts touting a government plan to create and air campaign ads for Obama 2012? It’ll put a lot of cameramen, actors, and producers to work, after all…

hawksruleva on July 10, 2012 at 3:31 PM

He’s done something like it before.

de rigueur on July 10, 2012 at 3:46 PM

This just in:

Kudos: Fox News commentator Mary Katharine Ham joins Hot Air as editor-at-large

Posted at 3:11 pm on July 10, 2012 by Twitchy Staff

HAMMER TIME!!!

I loves me some Mary Katharine Ham!
http://hotair.com/?s=Mary+Katharine+Ham+

ITguy on July 10, 2012 at 4:00 PM

The Romney campaign has the material provided by Obama himself to hammer the boy wonder into dust..

RockyJ. on July 10, 2012 at 2:11 PM

That is beautiful!

+1

HomeoftheBrave on July 10, 2012 at 4:05 PM

This just in: Bain attack still not working

Yet then there’s also this.

The president’s ads, hitting Romney for his lackluster performance as governor in Massachusetts and his career in “vulture capitalism,” are far more effective at changing the minds of persuadable voters than those of the Romney campaign, according to a poll by USA Today. These changes are at the margins — only 1 in 12 voters admit that the political ads they’ve seen so far have changed their mind about whom to vote for. But in a campaign this close the margins matter. And among this group of persuadeables, it’s not even close: They have swung for Obama over Romney 76 to 16

Stoic Patriot on July 10, 2012 at 4:33 PM

Del Dolemonte on July 10, 2012 at 3:31 PM

Massachussetts? Is that to help Warren? Hell, Rasmussen has Obama up 20!

Zomcon JEM on July 10, 2012 at 3:37 PM

No, I don’t think the ads mention her at all, but I will watch tonight to see if they run it again.

But the Boston stations also have viewers in Rhode Island and CT as well as in southern VT, NH and Maine. Obviously those people are part of the target audience.

Del Dolemonte on July 10, 2012 at 4:40 PM

Stoic Patriot on July 10, 2012 at 4:33 PM

Rolling Stoned?

Del Dolemonte on July 10, 2012 at 4:41 PM

Rolling Stoned?

Del Dolemonte on July 10, 2012 at 4:41 PM

No, USA Today. Rolling Stone may mention it, but USA Today ran the poll and you can find the same story in other outlets too.

Stoic Patriot on July 10, 2012 at 4:47 PM

I couldn’t agree with this point anymore.

KMC1 on July 10, 2012 at 2:34 PM

I hope you meant “any more”.

riddick on July 10, 2012 at 4:49 PM

Stoic Patriot on July 10, 2012 at 4:33 PM

I’ve been saying this exact thing for weeks now, main reason Hussein camp wanted Romney all along since his record in MA is so well documented by now.

Romney camp really needs to re-think their approach and pronto if they want to convince “independents” to change their votes from 2008. And the new approach better be drastic.

riddick on July 10, 2012 at 4:54 PM

Team Zero has been running those ads in Massachusetts of all places. Massachusetts.

Doesn’t that concern you in the least?

Del Dolemonte on July 10, 2012 at 3:31 PM

.
UES has not the wit nor the ambition to reach for thoughts requiring effort of any sort.

While many people might think the best information one could have regarding an opponent would be their opponent’s internal polling, it is far better to track where your opponent is spending their money. Candidates have been known to dismiss internal polling and sometimes their campaign teams may downplay them as well.

WHERE the money gets spent tells you far more. If your opponent is spending money “preaching to the choir” four months before the election …

… the serious people in his campaign know they are facing a major blowout due to a lack of turnout from the base.

The Bain and outsourcing ads are NOT targeted at independents …

… they are targeted at Obama’s base.

PolAgnostic on July 10, 2012 at 5:12 PM

Has Ojesus peaked?

Well, if you define peaked as constantly galloping down an unending nightmarish avalanche of car-sized boulders of burning coal, then yeah, the dude has peaked.

The real question is:

How low can he go?

hillbillyjim on July 12, 2012 at 5:49 PM

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