Quotes of the day

posted at 10:35 pm on July 9, 2012 by Allahpundit

Conservatives are asking a vital question with more and more urgency as the election campaign progresses: Why isn’t President Obama doing worse?

The answer favored by political professionals is that Obama is playing a mediocre hand well, while his GOP rival Mitt Romney is failing to leverage his strong hand — particularly on the economy…

Obama and his campaign team have rarely missed a trick, whether changing the subject of debate to immigration with his unexpected announcement on deportations, or using expiring student loan interest rates as a cudgel against congressional Republicans.

“Romney has got to get out there with more of a vision, and stay very disciplined and very focused,” Republican consultant Matt Mackowiak told The Hill. “The margin for error for Romney is very small. They’ve got to play error-free baseball from here on out.”

***

One of the first rules of politics is to define yourself before your opponent does it for you.

The Obama campaign has made this its mantra with a relentless focus on making Mitt Romney out to be something of a cross between Gordon Gekko and George W. Bush…

The real question is when will we see Romney start to define himself on his terms?

Voters are hungry to understand who Romney is, but they are interested in more than just the balance sheet profile. Voters want to take a measure of the man they vote to be the leader of the free world. Who is he? What are his values? Rounding out that profile before Obama fills it in for him will be the Romney challenge this summer.

***

Okay, the three stools of Ronald Reagan: Defeat the communists. Check. Lower American taxes to revive the economy. Check. Rebuild the military. Check. Three things. Now, what’s Romney running on? Romney’s running on one thing, and he’d better change it. (interruption) No, he’s not doing that. He’s not running on, “I’m not Obama.” He’s running on the economy, and he’s gotta get tougher than that. He’s got to branch out. The economy speaks for itself.

But there’s also the question here: How many people really care about that? We’ve got three years. Nobody’s demanding this guy be thrown out? Well, other than us, but is there a national clamor? Folks, 30 or 40 years ago with the same identical economic circumstances, there would be such anger and outrage in this country that the incumbent wouldn’t even dare run again, and that’s not that long ago…

I’m not saying it’s over. But Romney is gonna have to start treating Obama the same way he did Newt and Santorum, folks. He’s gonna have to do that. We are dealing with something new. Romney has got to realize that running a campaign on traditional American values is not enough, sad to say. That’s the hard, cold reality. Simply running around and telling people he’s gonna fix the economy isn’t enough.

What? What are you gonna do with the economy? Yeah, we all know it stinks. What are you gonna do? What’s the plan? (interruption) Okay, his economic plan has 59 points? Can you tell me three of them? (interruption) You can’t. Okay, so don’t tell me it’s 59 points. He may as well have zero if you can’t tell me what any of them are. Big whoop.

***

Should Romney be doing better than this? It’s hard to say with certainty. Conservatives will remind us that Reagan trailed Carter at this point and crushed him. But 1980 was the stone age compared to today’s political and media culture. Voters have so much more information now than they did then–people barely knew what a jobs report was in 1980. So there really are no parallels. Maybe to some extent 2004, when Bush never polled above 50 percent approval all year–except in November, when people had to choose between him and this other flesh-and-blood guy they didn’t like all that much and chose him by 51 percent.

I take Kristol’s point to be that Romney needs to be more specific, and I suppose he does. But I think he has a bigger problem than the specifics. He’s just not a very likeable guy, as I’ve written. I really do think that a likeable guy who didn’t pander so shamelessly and weakly to his party’s radicals and seemed more at ease and empathetic would be six points ahead.

***

It is important to remember that Team Romney will use the Republican National Convention to introduce him to the public. Of course, the Bain attacks are eventually going to damage his reputation, at least a little bit – but Romney has a solid and compelling story to tell. He saved the Olympics. He was a pragmatic governor in deep blue Massachusetts. He’s a loyal family man. And so on. Voters are going to have all the facts about Romney come November – the positive and the negative.

It makes sense for Romney to hold off until the Republican convention to do that, as that will be the time when voters start becoming engaged. By the same token, it is not at all clear that Team Obama is making the right choice to go after Romney so early. If voters are not paying much attention, these attacks might be played out by the fall without ever having had their full effect. Again, the Gallup poll suggests that they have not made much of an impact just yet, and so also does Team Romney’s silence. If the campaign thought the Obama ads were having an impact in Ohio, for instance, they’d surely be on the air responding to them.

So, what does all this mean? Well, I’ll put it this way. InTrade has the odds of Obama winning at 56 percent. Nate Silver has it at 67 percent. Both of those odds look far too high to me. If I were trading futures contracts on this election, I’d sell at both prices. This president is in deep trouble.

***

Via the Daily Caller.

***

Via the Daily Caller.


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kim roy on July 10, 2012 at 2:44 AM

Good and tired here. But as is so often the case, not yet ready to lay my head down.

novaculus on July 10, 2012 at 2:51 AM

RE: Romney bus. Only going to get uglier as they get more and more desperate. Very very sad and only reinforces that the adults need to take over.

kim roy on July 10, 2012 at 2:51 AM

Flora Duh on July 10, 2012 at 2:47 AM

G’night Flora. Tomorrow we’ll find a place to chat about those indictments that were unsealed today.

novaculus on July 10, 2012 at 2:52 AM

novaculus on July 10, 2012 at 2:51 AM

Well, I’m going to give it a try. Hope you can when you go to bed.

Take care all… Good night.

kim roy on July 10, 2012 at 2:54 AM

…only reinforces that the adults need to take over.

kim roy on July 10, 2012 at 2:51 AM

By age alone, I suspect those responsible were adults. Their tactics, petty as they are, mirror the style of Democrats from Preezie Choombro, Axelrod, and Rahm Emmanuel, right on down the line to the meanest of the South Side ward heelers.

novaculus on July 10, 2012 at 3:02 AM

kim roy on July 10, 2012 at 2:54 AM

A couple more bourbons and I’ll just lay my head down, right here on the bar.

novaculus on July 10, 2012 at 3:03 AM

Glad you liked it, pal. I linked a Trower song above, did you catch that one?

novaculus on July 10, 2012 at 2:50 AM

Found it!..Very nice!..:)

Dire Straits on July 10, 2012 at 3:07 AM

For anyone still up and interested, I think we’re about to get a real shock when the Obama campaign releases its campaign spending numbers and cash on hand for June. Romney’s campaign has done so already, and he and the RNC have about $160 million cash on hand at the end of June.

The Obama campaign has a huge burn rate, so that he’s already depleted his power of 10 cash advantage over Romney at the end of the primaries. At the end of May, Obama reported $110 million cash on hand. So why hasn’t he told us about June yet?

I did some number crunching on what information I could find. We know that Obama way under-performed Romney in June fund-raising (and May fund-raising before that), and report June fund raising of $71 million. So, we can say that the Obama campaign had ab out $181 million in spending money through June.

What we don’t know is what he spent, but here’s my guess. I got a figure of $149 million in spending for April through May from Geraghty’s NRO article, and from other news reports the cryptic datum that Obama spent 3 times the amount in May what he spent in April. Which I calculate to be $112 million expenditure in May.

$181 million minus $112 million leaves $69 million, which I estimate to be Obama’s cash on hand at the end of June, pending his release of the actual numbers. But I begin to see why he’s delayed releasing them. Because if he’s down to $69 million cash on hand vs. Romney’s $160 million cash on hand, his campaign is in far more serious trouble than he wants anyone to know.

He’s blown through millions on negative tv ads, 3 times as many as Romney, in the swing states, and has a statistical tie in the polls to show for it. Romney is not only out-fund raising him, but is poised to outspend him on the same scale as Obama outspent McCain. And Romney has not yet begun to spend.

Somebody check my math in the morning.

de rigueur on July 10, 2012 at 4:00 AM

Left out one important step in the argument above: I ASSUME that Obama spent at the same rate in June that he spent in May, i.e., around $112 million.

$181 (cash on hand in May plus June fund raising) minus $112 (assuming roughly the same amount spent in June as in May) = $69 million cash on hand at the end of June.

Romney’s campaign has reported $160 million cash on hand at the end of June. I’m guessing the campaigns are at least at financial parity, and more likely Romney is beginning to outstrip Obama in campaign funds. Read somewhere the Romney camp expects to raise $800 million by the election, and they’re on track to do so. Obama appears to be going off the rails.

Sorry for any confusion in previous post.

de rigueur on July 10, 2012 at 4:06 AM

But there’s also the question here: How many people really care about that? We’ve got three years. Nobody’s demanding this guy be thrown out? Well, other than us, but is there a national clamor? Folks, 30 or 40 years ago with the same identical economic circumstances, there would be such anger and outrage in this country that the incumbent wouldn’t even dare run again, and that’s not that long ago…

30 or 40 years ago, the idea of a third rate junior Senator from Chicago with no legislative or personal accomplishments thinking he deserves to be the President of the United States might still have been recognized as the arrogance and insult to the intelligence that it is.

Cleombrotus on July 10, 2012 at 4:33 AM

If Romney was as smart as some think he is, he’ll be consulting with Palin on how to go after Obama.

Cleombrotus on July 10, 2012 at 5:01 AM

What does Romney need to shift the focus and yet still keep it on the economy?

Simple.

Say something like the following: ‘I will carry through with the uncompleted task that Ronald Reagan set before us, which goes far beyond tax cuts but to cut the size, scope and power of the federal government and get it out of regulating our economy, our businesses, our homes, our schools, our pocketbooks and our bedrooms.’

A quick set of proposals of parts of the government that are counter-productive, supernumerary to State powers and thusly something that States don’t need help on, and a large bone to the Ron Paul faction of putting him in charge of doing a thorough audit of the Federal Reserve, including naming all the banks taking part in it. Some nice words on mending fences with our traditional allies and cutting off approval to those who support tyranny across the Middle East and the world would be nice, too… he doesn’t need much more than that.

The economy, the threat to the economy and building up our traditional allies with strong trade and military cooperation requiring equal participation in the way of spending percentages by our allies so that the US isn’t carrying the world’s defense load just might be a very winning platform that is easy to sell, appeals broadly, and lets the world know that it is time to start getting a realistic handle on defending yourselves.

Won’t happen, but a man can dream.

ajacksonian on July 10, 2012 at 6:28 AM

Good morning!

i guess dan senor is the token gop guy on morning joe this week with joe not there…

he does real good against the libs….

cmsinaz on July 10, 2012 at 6:45 AM

Romney needs to man up. Period.

kingsjester on July 10, 2012 at 6:46 AM

kingsjester on July 10, 2012 at 6:46 AM

yup…time to go for the jugular towards mr thin skin in chief

cmsinaz on July 10, 2012 at 6:53 AM

Hot Air/Conservative media silence on the Libor scandal shows who the right really looks out for. Meanwhile there was wall to wall ACORN-gate coverage.

libfreeordie on July 10, 2012 at 7:01 AM

libfreeordie on July 10, 2012 at 7:01 AM

Because, at this point, no one believes what you 21%ers (Libs) have to say, after you’ve been ruining the country, since you got in power in Congress in 2007.

kingsjester on July 10, 2012 at 7:03 AM

Hot Air/Conservative media silence on the Libor scandal shows who the right really looks out for. Meanwhile there was wall to wall ACORN-gate coverage.

libfreeordie on July 10, 2012 at 7:01 AM

yeah Riiiiight you are Anthony Weiner!… their like the alphabet networks…that’s why F & F was so well known by the American public over a year ago/

KOOLAID2 on July 10, 2012 at 7:16 AM

morning joe touting a new wapo poll, I wonder how skewed it is….

cmsinaz on July 10, 2012 at 7:16 AM

yeah Riiiiight you are Anthony Weiner!… their like the alphabet networks…that’s why F & F was so well known by the American public over a year ago/

KOOLAID2 on July 10, 2012 at 7:16 AM

Beat me to it.

Libfree is SCUM.

CW on July 10, 2012 at 7:18 AM

Libfree—

And with all that regulation…oh and THEY KNEW:

http://www.forbes.com/sites/timworstall/2012/07/08/libor-scandal-the-smoking-gun-showing-the-authorities-knew/

You’re scum.

CW on July 10, 2012 at 7:20 AM

mika must have gotten an email from valerie, she keeps saying mitt needs to show his tax returns, ad nauseum…

cmsinaz on July 10, 2012 at 7:20 AM

Romney………..GO FOR THE JUGULAR!!!!……duh,

PappyD61 on July 10, 2012 at 7:31 AM

Apparently when banks engage in fraud it isn’t their fault, its the fault of regulators for not being able to see through the lies. Conservatism. Just like it isn’t the fault of a murderer when she/he kills someone. Its the fault of the police for not catching them before hand.

libfreeordie on July 10, 2012 at 7:53 AM

The WSJ has covered the “Libor scandal” extremely well.

McDuck on July 10, 2012 at 8:00 AM

just woke up. have mitts ads calling obama a liar started playing yet?

renalin on July 10, 2012 at 8:01 AM

morning joe touting a new wapo poll, I wonder how skewed it is….

cmsinaz on July 10, 2012 at 7:16 AM

http://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/president-obama-mitt-romney-deadlocked-in-race-poll-finds/2012/07/09/gJQAaJwdZW_story.html?tid=pm_politics_pop

Tied at 47% each.

Compared with February, more people in the eight states identified as “toss­ups” by The Washington Post now say Romney did more to cut than create jobs in the United States when he worked as a corporate investor before entering politics. And twice as many swing-state voters consider Romney’s work in buying and restructuring companies a reason to oppose, rather than to support, his candidacy. Just over half of all voters say that work is not a big factor for them.

RV poll
33D 24R 35I 9 points oversampling of D

bayview on July 10, 2012 at 8:01 AM

bayview on July 10, 2012 at 8:01 AM

thanks buddy

cmsinaz on July 10, 2012 at 8:04 AM

bayview on July 10, 2012 at 8:01 AM

actually is 36I, typo.
What was unsiad was

http://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/presidential-election-campaigning-sways-few/2012/07/09/gJQAJhANZW_graphic.html
The spreads went like this in the last 3 polls done by WaPo
O R
1. 51 44
2 49 46
Today 47 47
Still more reason foe Barry to rejoice?

bayview on July 10, 2012 at 8:08 AM

Still more reason foe Barry to rejoice?

bayview on July 10, 2012 at 8:08 AM

heh

cmsinaz on July 10, 2012 at 8:13 AM

Apparently when banks engage in fraud it isn’t their fault, its the fault of regulators for not being able to see through the lies. Conservatism. Just like it isn’t the fault of a murderer when she/he kills someone. Its the fault of the police for not catching them before hand.

libfreeordie on July 10, 2012 at 7:53 AM

Since ANYTHING the left does to further its agenda seems to be okay by you, I’m curious what it is about this particular story that has your knickers in a wad this morning. There is a line you think it’s not okay to cross? I’m shocked.

Night Owl on July 10, 2012 at 8:16 AM

I think it would help if no it all pundits would say what is right with Romney not just what is wrong. The guy is smart and knows what he is doing. It should be simple. He is the smart guy in the room.

tomas on July 10, 2012 at 8:37 AM

McDuck and Night Owl, what strikes me as odd is that ACORN entered the conservative outrage machine. It was covered on EVERY conservative blog, radio show and all over Fox News. Everyone in the conservative world can talk in detail about ACORN-gate. But not the same for Libor, which is significantly more harmful to the U.S. economy than anything ACORN has ever done. The mismatch in coverage reveals something deeply flawed within American conservatism.

libfreeordie on July 10, 2012 at 8:39 AM

libfreeordie on July 10, 2012 at 8:39 AM

Let’s talk about the murder of Brian Terry and the ICE agent in Mexico. Let’s talk about the first AG in American History to be found in contempt of Congress. Heck, let’s talk about Monica Lewinski turning 50 the other day.

You sanctimonious hypocrite. Get the log out of your own eye, before you try to get the splinter out of ours.

kingsjester on July 10, 2012 at 8:42 AM

Hot Air/Conservative media silence on the Libor scandal shows who the right really looks out for. Meanwhile there was wall to wall ACORN-gate coverage.

libfreeordie on July 10, 2012 at 7:01 AM

Aren’t you libs always dismissing anything negative about the Dems or your boy king that’s reported in the WSJ or Newsmax because you say they’re owned by a bunch of “crazy right-wingers” or some such nonsense?

Newsmax: De Borchgrave: LIBOR Investigation Marks Latest Wave in Financial Tsunami

WSJ: Libor and the Destruction of Trust

And of course we all know how libs feel about “Faux News”

FBN: BoE’s Tucker to Testify on Libor Scandal

Enjoyed that smackdown I gave you yesterday morning, did ya? Just keep coming back professor, I’m always up for another one.

p.s. There’s several stories on FBN about Libor, but HA only allows 3 links per comment.

Flora Duh on July 10, 2012 at 8:50 AM

Everyone in the conservative world can talk in detail about ACORN-gate. But not the same for Libor, which is significantly more harmful to the U.S. economy than anything ACORN has ever done. The mismatch in coverage reveals something deeply flawed within American conservatism.

libfreeordie on July 10, 2012 at 8:39 AM

You think that falsifying voter registration information to try to steal elections is not harmful? I do think making a mockery of our voting process is more harmful than anything that can be done to an economy. You don’t really care about the economy or you wouldn’t be a liberal, so you must think there is something in this story to use as a club against conservatives. You come here to mock and ridicule, so when you have your hair on fire about something, I can only assume there must be a Republican in there somewhere.

Night Owl on July 10, 2012 at 8:51 AM

But not the same for Libor, which is significantly more harmful to the U.S. economy than anything ACORN has ever done. The mismatch in coverage reveals something deeply flawed within American conservatism.

libfreeordie on July 10, 2012 at 8:39 AM

Hey demwit! I just went to Breitbart and typed Libor into their search box.

Guess What?

LIBOR Scandal May Be Biggest Bank Heist In History

Libor banking scandal investigation spreads rapidly

Serious fraud probe homes in on Barclays

And there’s more.

The mismatch in coverage non-use of brain skills reveals something deeply flawed within American conservatism liberals.

Flora Duh on July 10, 2012 at 9:03 AM

Flora Duh on July 10, 2012 at 9:03 AM

So this is the equivalent or even half of ACORN coverage? Be honest.

libfreeordie on July 10, 2012 at 9:07 AM

So this is the equivalent or even half of ACORN coverage? Be honest.

libfreeordie on July 10, 2012 at 9:07 AM

Since the two things have nothing to do with each other, unless you are referring to ACORN falsifying loan information to help people receive fraudulent loans, why are you trying to compare the two? Are you trying to say, “What’s a little loan fraud by democrat special interest groups compared to this international scandal?” You are really reaching.

Night Owl on July 10, 2012 at 9:12 AM

significantly more harmful to the U.S. economy than anything ACORN has ever done. The mismatch in coverage reveals something deeply flawed within American conservatism.

libfreeordie on July 10, 2012 at 8:39 AM

…does it go up your nose, down your throat…or do you just shoot it into your veins?

KOOLAID2 on July 10, 2012 at 9:16 AM

So this is the equivalent or even half of ACORN coverage? Be honest.

libfreeordie on July 10, 2012 at 9:07 AM

Well, considering Breitbart broke the ACORN story doesn’t it seem natural that they would have had more coverage of it? Plus, the Libor story just broke a few days ago.

How many left-wing blogs and media outlets ignored the ACORN story, except to mock it, because it came from Breitbart? Be honest.

Admit it professor. You got pwned again. LOL

Mark Twain once offered a wise bit of advice that you might consider taking to heart:

“It is better to keep your mouth closed and let people think you are a fool than to open it and remove all doubt.”

Unless you enjoy having your azz kicked every morning by a conservative grandma in FL.

Flora Duh on July 10, 2012 at 9:19 AM

Flora Duh on July 10, 2012 at 9:19 AM

He/she/it must really enjoy it.

kingsjester on July 10, 2012 at 9:21 AM

How many left-wing blogs and media outlets ignored the ACORN story, except to mock it, because it came from Breitbart? Be honest.

Well also because James O’Keefe was proven to be a charlatan. And also because, even if O’Keefe wasn’t a charlatan the importance of what he “revealed” was minimal since actual proven cases of voter impersonation in the last decade were in the *dozens*

Admit it professor. You got pwned again. LOL

I mean, around here all you have to do to “pwn” me is to say “I pwned you” so yes I admit you typed the phrase “You got pwned again.” But you didn’t actually disprove my claim that the right wind media as a whole (hint Breitbert isn’t the whole right wing media) you can include Hot Air (which has ignored Libor), Fox’s on-air coverage, conservative radio etc. etc. You can lie, I suppose, and pretend that Breitbart.com is the entire conservative media apparatus. Or you can engage my point. Your choice. Or, I suppose you can keep typing “I pwned you” if it makes you feel good.

libfreeordie on July 10, 2012 at 9:26 AM

kingsjester on July 10, 2012 at 9:21 AM

Yeah, he’s real good at using the Alinsky tactic of divert and deflect after being proven wrong, ie; moving the goalposts.

Doesn’t matter, I still end up scoring.

Flora Duh on July 10, 2012 at 9:27 AM

libfreeordie on July 10, 2012 at 7:53 AM

For me, all this means is that I was right, TARP was wrong. And if TARP was wrong, the free enterprise systems should have been allowed to work and these business should have gone under, along with GM. And The Won shouldn’t have been “investing” in bankrupt campaign donors with the “stimulus” he stole from the taxpayers, or printed, depending on your theory. Probably both correct.

Cindy Munford on July 10, 2012 at 9:31 AM

But you didn’t actually disprove my claim that the right wind media as a whole (hint Breitbert isn’t the whole right wing media) you can include Hot Air (which has ignored Libor), Fox’s on-air coverage, conservative radio etc. etc. You can lie, I suppose, and pretend that Breitbart.com is the entire conservative media apparatus. Or you can engage my point. Your choice. Or, I suppose you can keep typing “I pwned you” if it makes you feel good.

libfreeordie on July 10, 2012 at 9:26 AM

Well, bless your little heart.

Conservative media silence on the Libor scandal shows who the right really looks out for.
libfreeordie on July 10, 2012 at 7:01 AM

Don’t see the words “as a whole” included in that statement. Does anyone else?

Flora Duh on July 10, 2012 at 9:34 AM

libfreeordie on July 10, 2012 at 9:26 AM

btw, since you seem to be dissatisfied with HA, you can always head over to Ace’s.

The LIBOR Scandal: Banks Dishonestly Manipulated Key Interbank Lending Rate In Order To Make Their Own Outsized Borrowing Seem Less Risky

Flora Duh on July 10, 2012 at 9:46 AM

Flora, I think it would be a great idea to make this delivery of smack a morning installment and feature. Good fun and nice to start the day off with. For us anyway. The little addict is probably humming this right about now.

Bmore on July 10, 2012 at 10:00 AM

Of course with libfreeordies cranky disposition, this may be what he’s humming.

Bmore on July 10, 2012 at 10:03 AM

For me, all this means is that I was right, TARP was wrong. And if TARP was wrong, the free enterprise systems should have been allowed to work and these business should have gone under, along with GM.

I would agree, perhaps we would’ve learned a lesson about the unsustainability of post-Reagan capitalism.

And The Won shouldn’t have been “investing” in bankrupt campaign donors with the “stimulus” he stole from the taxpayers, or printed, depending on your theory. Probably both correct.

Cindy Munford on July 10, 2012 at 9:31 AM

A stimulus that was limited to infrastructure development, what this nation desperately needs. Would have been ideal. See recent stories on federal highway maintenance. However it was Ben Nelson and other conservative Dems who demanded that the stimulus include wasteful tax breaks like the ones Ed debunked as pointless yesterday. The amounts spent on Solyndras was small compared to the wastes on “tax cuts” and bailouts of banks. The Obama admin pretty much did everything a GOP President would’ve done on the stimulus.

libfreeordie on July 10, 2012 at 10:10 AM

libfreeordie on July 10, 2012 at 10:10 AM

Hey, but then there is this!!!!

http://www.volokh.com/2012/07/10/congressional-hearing-on-gms-delphi-pension-top-up/

Cindy Munford on July 10, 2012 at 10:15 AM

A stimulus that was limited to infrastructure development, what this nation desperately needs. libfreeordie on July 10, 2012 at 10:10 AM

BULL SH!T! Not one thing was done to the power grid, plenty of shovel ready there. And how is Solyndra and various other campaign donors bankrupt green industries infrastructure?

Cindy Munford on July 10, 2012 at 10:17 AM

The real question is when will we see Romney start to define himself on his terms?

LOL
Good Luck.
While the GOP focused on Obama’s religious affiliation in 2008, why are they now so silent re: Willard and his family of ex-patriot polygamists? You can bet that if a Harry Reid were to run, the GOP would be all over his bizarre beliefs.
Mittens will be lucky to get 49%.
~(Ä)~
GOP Attack Squad Since 1972

Karl Magnus on July 10, 2012 at 11:49 AM

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