Quotes of the day

posted at 9:00 pm on July 6, 2012 by Allahpundit

President Obama, at his second campaign stop Friday following a dismal June jobs report, dropped a line from his speech in which he cited the faint job growth as a “step in the right direction.”

With the economy typically polling as the top issue in the 2012 race, Obama is now under heavy pressure to demonstrate a turnaround sometime between July and October. A cascade of weak jobs reports between now and then would not bode well for his chances, though the president so far has kept the edge over Romney in many battleground state polls.

***

No president since World War II has won re-election with a jobless rate over 7.4 percent, a figure the economy is now almost certain not to reach before November. The president is quickly running out of time to bring the jobless rate down with just four reports now remaining before the election. And Friday’s report took on added importance as it will help set impressions of the economic trend heading into the summer vacation season, when voters tend to tune out…

Obama’s approval rating on the economy—consistently rated the top issue for voters— has long been mired in dismal territory. Friday’s numbers are likely to freeze the current dynamic that doesn’t favor the White House, forcing the president to continue a harshly negative campaign seeking to frame Romney as unpalatable alternative through attacks on his business record and extensive wealth, including his money in overseas accounts…

“I don’t see where the growth is going to come from now until the election,” said Matt McDonald, a former Bush administration official now with consulting group Hamilton Place Strategies. “You have a massive European overhang and business leaders are very concerned not just with Europe, but with what is going to happen in the U.S.,” McDonald said. “I think it will continue to be a pretty rude intrusion into the president’s campaign on a monthly basis from now until the election”

***

Have voters “priced-in” bad economic news as they evaluate Pres Obama? Stubborn polling suggests answer may be yes.

***

I am not sure [today's jobs report] qualifies as a significant miss relative to the market’s expectations. Still, those expectations were quite low to begin with. These are certainly disappointing numbers as compared to what had seemed possible earlier in the year.

Before the January job numbers were released, I wrote that 150,000 jobs added per month would make Mr. Obama roughly break-even for re-election given his approval ratings at that time. Between the strong numbers in the first few months of the year and the weaker ones recently, almost exactly 150,000 jobs per month have been created so far in 2012.

However, Mr. Obama seems to have gotten the benefit of the doubt from voters. His approval ratings improved some early in the year, but have not yet declined much with recent jobs reports.

***

Steve Schmidt, the 2008 campaign manager for Senator John McCain’s presidential bid, said voter attitudes about the economy had solidified already and would not be much affected by new jobs numbers on Friday or the rest of the year.

“The shape of the playing field is largely set,” Mr. Schmidt said. “They believe it’s a very bad economy. They’re pessimistic and they’re anxious. The campaign that wins is the campaign best able to address the anxiety. It’s a comfort argument.”

So far, he added, polls show Mr. Obama making headway in swing states with his attacks on Mr. Romney’s priorities, his finances and his record at Bain…

“The arguments that campaigns put out in July and August are largely unheard by the people who will decide the election,” Mr. Schmidt said. “Both sides are putting down markers for the arguments they’ll make in the fall.”

The June numbers, then, will represent another test of Mr. Obama’s resiliency.

***

I am beginning to get the feeling that voters are shrugging their shoulders about politicians, no longer believing they can fix the economic problems. They’ve reset their expectations about how political leaders can change the dynamic. After watching basically no growth in real wages over the last decade, no real growth in private sector jobs and a stagnant unemployment rate, they don’t think that a president (or a governor, for that matter) can do much to change the situation.

They also feel that politicians making typical promises about how they are going to fix things are not realistic or to be trusted. The public seems increasingly to want to be told the truth and what to really expect. They don’t want to be sold some happy story with slogans and talking points, but instead given a real sense of where we are and what our future looks like. It seems that voters want to be included in the conversation, and asked to be part of the solution. And they think the leadership solution is a much more local one in their communities and neighborhoods.

This “reset” on the country’s economic and leadership outlook of what might be a new normal could actually benefit Obama to a small degree. If Romney tries to make too many grand promises about what he will do as president, he could be viewed as untrustworthy and a typical politician.

***

June 2012: “Therefore, it is important not to read too much into any one monthly report and it is informative to consider each report in the context of other data that are becoming available.”…

June 2011: “Therefore, as the Administration always stresses, it is important not to read too much into any one monthly report.”…

June 2010: “As always, it is important not to read too much into any one monthly report, positive or negative.”

***



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Bmore on July 7, 2012 at 1:13 AM

‘Nite, Bmore. Sleep well.

jaime on July 7, 2012 at 1:16 AM

Night, Bmore!

4Grace on July 7, 2012 at 1:16 AM

pat on July 7, 2012 at 1:14 AM

Good one pat.

SparkPlug on July 7, 2012 at 1:17 AM

Norm is back in the hospital with clots and fluid on his lungs

…I missed that! Not liking that! Prayers coming. (I lay off…when the news is good….I thought he was mending)

KOOLAID2 on July 7, 2012 at 1:17 AM

KWR’s father needs prayers. Please keep them ascending…
TIA

OmahaConservative on July 7, 2012 at 1:17 AM

Bmore on July 7, 2012 at 1:13 AM

Very good!!..Gotta love that little band from Texas!..:)

Dire Straits on July 7, 2012 at 1:18 AM

Key West Reader on July 7, 2012 at 1:10 AM

Hang on. You’re still his family and he knows that.

de rigueur on July 7, 2012 at 1:18 AM

My house done blowed up.

Key West Reader on July 7, 2012 at 1:10 AM

My heart breaks along with yours…

OmahaConservative on July 7, 2012 at 1:20 AM

Key West Reader on July 7, 2012 at 1:10 AM

So many years! I’m devastated for you. He was a member of your family after all that time. :(

Not that it helps much at the moment, but can the child not choose where to live? Must he be 18 to do that?

4Grace on July 7, 2012 at 1:20 AM

Key West.. I’ve kinda get it. Don’t ask how. Kids remember kindness. And they get it. They never forget.

Trust me on that.

wolly4321 on July 7, 2012 at 1:20 AM

Dark Star on July 6, 2012 at 11:00 PM

That nik isn’t a Slackware reference is it?

*sip*

*empty*

brb

Axe on July 7, 2012 at 1:21 AM

KOOLAID2 on July 7, 2012 at 1:17 AM

Thanks KOOL…

OmahaConservative on July 7, 2012 at 1:22 AM

I tried something I’d never tried before. I sprayed the hood of my truck with Pam and fried an egg on it. I even ate the damned thing…

OmahaConservative on July 6, 2012 at 11:18 PM

WD40 would work too.

Now if you made a YouTube video of frying an egg on your truck hood and eating it then you would be a more famous redneck than Foxworthy. And I would enshrine you into the hall of fame for being a conservative using solar power.

SparkPlug on July 7, 2012 at 1:22 AM

jaime on July 7, 2012 at 1:07 AM

Glad you like the song. The song was written for the composer’s wife, and the lyric was so beautiful and loving.

This one is so simple and beautiful, as good a lullaby as any. However, it is from 1970.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Jw2PJFyRyqg&feature=related

bayview on July 7, 2012 at 1:23 AM

SparkPlug on July 7, 2012 at 1:22 AM

I like the taste of CRC556 better…

OmahaConservative on July 7, 2012 at 1:24 AM

I feel bad for you KWR. Maybe when he turns 18 he can do whatever he wants and will come back.

I will pray for you.

SparkPlug on July 7, 2012 at 1:13 AM

…Ditto that!…at 18 I’m thinking the same thing!

KOOLAID2 on July 7, 2012 at 1:26 AM

btw, the barry.press has opened a new front on the war for barry.care

http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052702304441404577483050976766184.html?mod=wsj_share_tweet#articleTabs%3Darticle

awful story about a heart transplant for a young man gone horribly wrong. the main point for the press.corpse of course was how expensive it was for medicare and ssdi

of course, these masters of the universe don’t know about a priori vs. a posteriori sorts of views of things.

and they aren’t too knowledgeable about the statistics of tail probabilities…but they do know that we can’t spend so much on end-of-life care…we spend way to much, that could be put to better use

of course, they would not include teddy kennedy in their analysis…nor other heroes of the People

r keller on July 7, 2012 at 1:26 AM

The ’60s… Obama’s lament…

de rigueur on July 7, 2012 at 12:49 AM

Another great choice!
From a similar band, outdoing The Kinks with this cover, imo (pretty good Mick Jagger imitation, too)

I’m Not Like Everybody Else

Bizarro No. 1 on July 7, 2012 at 1:28 AM

This one is so simple and beautiful, as good a lullaby as any. However, it is from 1970.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Jw2PJFyRyqg&feature=related

bayview on July 7, 2012 at 1:23 AM

I’ve never heard that one as an instrumental. Nice.

4Grace on July 7, 2012 at 1:29 AM

Thanks, folks. I’m not much for pacing in the middle of the night. Just cannot sleep so… will post a video that the kidz made

Key West Reader on July 7, 2012 at 1:29 AM

KOOLAID2 on July 7, 2012 at 1:17 AM

O, and that rubber glove comment over there was gross. :) I’m super cereal.

It was a great news conference. For me to poop on!

Axe on July 7, 2012 at 1:29 AM

However, it is from 1970.

bayview on July 7, 2012 at 1:23 AM

It could very well be. Wikipedia often gets things wrong.

“I’ll Never Find Another You is a UK #1 single by The Seekers.[1] It was The Seekers’ first UK-released single,[2] and was the best selling single of 1965 in the UK.[3] The song was also highly popular in the US, reaching peaks of #4 pop and #2 easy listening in Billboard magazine surveys.”

Here’s one for you, purportedly co-written by The Seekers and released in 1966.

jaime on July 7, 2012 at 1:30 AM

Okay, now you’ve got me re-reading Irving.

de rigueur on July 5, 2012 at 12:25 PM

My life is complete. :)

(Sorry — catching up.)

Axe on July 7, 2012 at 1:33 AM

I feel bad for you KWR. Maybe when he turns 18 he can do whatever he wants and will come back.

I will pray for you.

SparkPlug on July 7, 2012 at 1:13 AM

Here’s hoping for the very same, good KWR. It’s shocking and nothing good for the child. It’s shocking that the system doesn’t ask him now.

Schadenfreude on July 7, 2012 at 1:35 AM

4Grace on July 7, 2012 at 1:29 AM

… also, I saved this for you, like 100 years ago. :) I love her interpretation.

… holy cow.

Now starting to feel like I’m writing a will. :) I’ll finish catching up later.

Axe on July 7, 2012 at 1:37 AM

OmahaConservative on July 7, 2012 at 1:24 AM

lolz.

SparkPlug on July 7, 2012 at 1:37 AM

This lady has a beautiful voice..My wife really likes her songs..I concur!..:)

Dire Straits on July 7, 2012 at 1:37 AM

will post a video that the kidz made

Key West Reader on July 7, 2012 at 1:29 AM

Precious. Very special. :)

4Grace on July 7, 2012 at 1:38 AM

Here’s the bottom line Key West, kids resent being abandoned. They really do.

In the end, they remember who was there.

I did.

They understand court bullsh!t too.

wolly4321 on July 7, 2012 at 1:39 AM

My life is complete. :)

(Sorry — catching up.)

Axe on July 7, 2012 at 1:33 AM

Turns out, everything is about something else.

de rigueur on July 7, 2012 at 1:40 AM

G’night I need to pee & run…

OmahaConservative on July 7, 2012 at 1:40 AM

Key West Reader on July 7, 2012 at 1:29 AM

“First of all, gravity defied itself again, and we are … upside down.”

Heh.

Axe on July 7, 2012 at 1:41 AM

Here’s the bottom line Key West, kids resent being abandoned. They really do.

In the end, they remember who was there.

I did.

They understand court bullsh!t too.

wolly4321 on July 7, 2012 at 1:39 AM

Yep. For sure.

SparkPlug on July 7, 2012 at 1:42 AM

Nice acoustic intro into a really great song.

Susie Wong

Same band. This one rocks, with the singer sounding a lot like Grace Slick!

Vampire Rock

Bizarro No. 1 on July 7, 2012 at 1:42 AM

Axe on July 7, 2012 at 1:29 AM

(:->)

KOOLAID2 on July 7, 2012 at 1:43 AM

… also, I saved this for you, like 100 years ago. :) I love her interpretation.

Axe on July 7, 2012 at 1:37 AM

That was bee-yoo-tee-ful. Splendid. I enjoyed watching her play, too.

4Grace on July 7, 2012 at 1:45 AM

Key West Reader on July 7, 2012 at 1:29 AM

…I just let the dog outside…to do an Obama… do you know how good that pool looks at this time of the night?

KOOLAID2 on July 7, 2012 at 1:47 AM

Dire Straits on July 7, 2012 at 1:37 AM

Oh, yeah. Sarah has a true gift. Good pick!

4Grace on July 7, 2012 at 1:49 AM

Good night, OC.

4Grace on July 7, 2012 at 1:51 AM

I want it all. And, I want it now.

Key West Reader on July 7, 2012 at 1:52 AM

Great acoustic song by The Rolling Stones.

Sitting On a Fence

Another great acoustic one by them.

Prodigal Son

Bizarro No. 1 on July 7, 2012 at 1:57 AM

Axe on July 7, 2012 at 1:37 AM

That was bee-yoo-tee-ful. Splendid. I enjoyed watching her play, too.

4Grace on July 7, 2012 at 1:45 AM

+ 100..Very talented indeed!!..:)

Dire Straits on July 7, 2012 at 1:57 AM

Bizarro No. 1 on July 7, 2012 at 1:42 AM

Grace Slick rocked!

4Grace on July 7, 2012 at 1:58 AM

Bizarro No. 1 on July 7, 2012 at 1:57 AM

Nice

Key West Reader on July 7, 2012 at 2:01 AM

Old America

Key West Reader on July 7, 2012 at 2:02 AM

Bizarro No. 1 on July 7, 2012 at 1:57 AM

Great tunes. I love old Stones. They mixed it up very nicely. Many style influences were evident.

I’ve probably played this one before, but do you like it?

4Grace on July 7, 2012 at 2:04 AM

OmahaConservative on July 7, 2012 at 1:40 AM

‘nite, OmahaConservative

jaime on July 7, 2012 at 2:06 AM

Key West Reader on July 7, 2012 at 2:02 AM

Excellent. Funny how a song takes you back in time. Good memories.

4Grace on July 7, 2012 at 2:08 AM

I want it all. And, I want it now.

Key West Reader on July 7, 2012 at 1:52 AM

Condolences, KWR

A punky Queen maybe after having listened to “Rock and Roll” and “Communication Breakdown”?

Sheer Heart Attack

Bizarro No. 1 on July 7, 2012 at 2:08 AM

Axe on July 7, 2012 at 1:37 AM

What about this Valentina

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mpiJbQvBP8A

bayview on July 7, 2012 at 2:10 AM

Here is another song that just will not go away lately..:)

Dire Straits on July 7, 2012 at 2:12 AM

Key West Reader on July 7, 2012 at 2:02 AM

Good song. I can’t really pick a favorite by America but this one might be it. Either that, or A Horse With No Name. One or the other.

jaime on July 7, 2012 at 2:14 AM

Bizarro No. 1 on July 7, 2012 at 2:08 AM

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yLia8jCX9Lo

Credible cover of Freddie?

bayview on July 7, 2012 at 2:18 AM

jaime on July 7, 2012 at 2:14 AM

Can’t go wrong with America. Just a good feeling all around. Ventura Highway just has good vibes.

AZfederalist on July 7, 2012 at 2:18 AM

Dire Straits on July 7, 2012 at 2:12 AM

Can’t go wrong with Bad Co. This one always get stuck in my head.

4Grace on July 7, 2012 at 2:20 AM

I am beside myself

Key West Reader on July 7, 2012 at 12:59 AM

Don’t despair. God has a plan for everything. Four years ago, some of the most unfair garbage was thrown my way, and I couldn’t see the light for the longest time. Now, I see that everything is exactly as it should be.

John the Libertarian on July 7, 2012 at 2:20 AM

jaime on July 7, 2012 at 2:14 AM

Those wee both great songsbut this is my fav..:)

Dire Straits on July 7, 2012 at 2:21 AM

jaime on July 7, 2012 at 2:14 AM

Love them all.
I always thought that America and The Eagles had some of the best road trip music.

4Grace on July 7, 2012 at 2:22 AM

jaime on July 7, 2012 at 2:14 AM

Those were both great songs but this is my fav..:)

Dire Straits on July 7, 2012 at 2:21 AM

Fixed..:)

Dire Straits on July 7, 2012 at 2:23 AM

AZfederalist on July 7, 2012 at 2:18 AM

+ 100..I am with you!!..:)

Dire Straits on July 7, 2012 at 2:24 AM

Is this the boat you are looking for?.:):)

Dire Straits on July 7, 2012 at 12:30 AM

Don’t credit me for the lyrics – I apologize in advance for any offense taken by them! :)

Gilligan’s Island

Gilligan’s Island
Is where I wanna be
I wanna f*ck Ginger
Underneath a big palm tree
I wanna make the professor
Make some good drugs for me
Oh Gilligan’s Island
Is where I wanna be

Bizarro No. 1 on July 7, 2012 at 2:25 AM

4Grace on July 7, 2012 at 2:20 AM

+ 100..Excellent tune!!..:)

Dire Straits on July 7, 2012 at 2:26 AM

Credible cover of Freddie?

bayview on July 7, 2012 at 2:18 AM

Yes.

jaime on July 7, 2012 at 2:27 AM

Bizarro No. 1 on July 7, 2012 at 2:25 AM

..:)

Dire Straits on July 7, 2012 at 2:27 AM

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mpiJbQvBP8A

bayview on July 7, 2012 at 2:10 AM

It’s funny, but the only reason I even know about her Lisitsa is through searching for Igoshina and not being able to spell. :)

I think Igoshina’s Impromptu is special. Somehow. To wax technical, it should be more “bangy” — lol — but she goes with her heart and smooths it out. Purists sometimes frown at it, I noticed.

“Special” is relative, though. Doesn’t mean much up there with those guys.

– Unqualified amateur typing here.

– Loved what you linked.

Axe on July 7, 2012 at 2:27 AM

AZfederalist on July 7, 2012 at 2:18 AM

Yeah, there’s something about it… being out in the open, wind blowing though your hair. I don’t know. Something.

jaime on July 7, 2012 at 2:29 AM

Another funny/good “Gilligan’s Island” song.

Stairway To Gilligan’s Island

Bizarro No. 1 on July 7, 2012 at 2:30 AM

Dire Straits on July 7, 2012 at 2:23 AM

You and Key West Reader. Good song.

jaime on July 7, 2012 at 2:31 AM

Love them all.
I always thought that America and The Eagles had some of the best road trip music.

4Grace on July 7, 2012 at 2:22 AM

Maybe that’s it! There’s something about it.

jaime on July 7, 2012 at 2:33 AM

Stairway To Gilligan’s Island

Bizarro No. 1 on July 7, 2012 at 2:30 AM

Haha. Haven’t heard that one in a long time.

4Grace on July 7, 2012 at 2:34 AM

Those were both great songs but this is my fav..:)

Dire Straits on July 7, 2012 at 2:21 AM

Was that their biggest hit? That seems to be most people’s favorite.

jaime on July 7, 2012 at 2:35 AM

Bizarro No. 1 on July 7, 2012 at 2:25 AM

I also was a Mary Ann fan!!..:):)

Dire Straits on July 7, 2012 at 2:35 AM

These guys were pretty awesome/funny, too!

Heartbreaker (At The End Of Lonely Street)

Bizarro No. 1 on July 7, 2012 at 2:36 AM

jaime on July 7, 2012 at 2:35 AM

To be honest I am not sure..Ventura Highway was a a pretty big hit for them also ..:)

Dire Straits on July 7, 2012 at 2:37 AM

I also was a Mary Ann fan!!..:):)

Dire Straits on July 7, 2012 at 2:35 AM

*up twinkles*

Axe on July 7, 2012 at 2:38 AM

Bizarro No. 1 on July 7, 2012 at 2:25 AM

LoLz..I hear you!..:)

Dire Straits on July 7, 2012 at 2:40 AM

Axe on July 7, 2012 at 2:27 AM

Valentina Igoshina is a very good pianist and she is beautiful.

bayview on July 7, 2012 at 2:40 AM

Axe on July 7, 2012 at 2:38 AM

Ultimate test..Bailey or Jennifer of WKRP??!!??..:)

Dire Straits on July 7, 2012 at 2:42 AM

bayview on July 7, 2012 at 2:40 AM

I am with you 100%..:)

Dire Straits on July 7, 2012 at 2:43 AM

To be honest I am not sure..Ventura Highway was a a pretty big hit for them also ..:)

Dire Straits on July 7, 2012 at 2:37 AM

as was Horse with No Name, Sister Golden Hair, You Can do Magic, and Tin Man

One of their lesser played hits was Sand Man, I kind of liked it as well, it had a bit of creepiness factor to it though.

Night all

AZfederalist on July 7, 2012 at 2:44 AM

bayview on July 7, 2012 at 2:33 AM

That first one was really pretty good. Never heard it done like that before.

jaime on July 7, 2012 at 2:44 AM

Night all

AZfederalist on July 7, 2012 at 2:44 AM

‘Nite, AZfederalist

jaime on July 7, 2012 at 2:46 AM

I also was a Mary Ann fan!!..:):)

Dire Straits on July 7, 2012 at 2:35 AM

*up twinkles*

Axe on July 7, 2012 at 2:38 AM

Ditto. And Bailey Quarters on WKRP. and Karen Valentine

OK, really out of here now

AZfederalist on July 7, 2012 at 2:46 AM

Night all

AZfederalist on July 7, 2012 at 2:44 AM

Night, AZ. Take care.

4Grace on July 7, 2012 at 2:46 AM

Ultimate test..Bailey or Jennifer of WKRP??!!??..:)

Dire Straits on July 7, 2012 at 2:42 AM

O man. Not fair. Not fair at all. :)

It has to be Bailey … but … O c’mon.

Not fair at all!

Axe on July 7, 2012 at 2:47 AM

as was Horse with No Name, Sister Golden Hair, You Can do Magic, and Tin Man

One of their lesser played hits was Sand Man, I kind of liked it as well, it had a bit of creepiness factor to it though.

Night all

AZfederalist on July 7, 2012 at 2:44 AM

Interesting.

I’ll have to listen to Sandman to see if I can catch the creepiness. I know I’ve heard it before.

jaime on July 7, 2012 at 2:48 AM

AZfederalist on July 7, 2012 at 2:44 AM

Night AZ.

Axe on July 7, 2012 at 2:48 AM

The correct answer to them all is Jeannie anyway. :)

Axe on July 7, 2012 at 2:50 AM

Ultimate test..Bailey or Jennifer of WKRP??!!??..:)

Dire Straits on July 7, 2012 at 2:42 AM

Bailey !!

bayview on July 7, 2012 at 2:51 AM

AZfederalist on July 7, 2012 at 2:44 AM

Very good point!..:)

Dire Straits on July 7, 2012 at 2:51 AM

It has to be Bailey … but … O c’mon.

Axe on July 7, 2012 at 2:47 AM

Jennifer had that hair, so I don’t know. I’d like to see a photo of her with a realistic hair style. I’m going to go check and I’ll get back.

jaime on July 7, 2012 at 2:52 AM

Axe on July 7, 2012 at 2:47 AM

Yo have a point..But I am going with Bailey also!!..:)

Dire Straits on July 7, 2012 at 2:52 AM

When I think about which HA members are in The Recess Monkeys here, I pick ddrintn, HondaV65, and FloatingRock. Correct me if I’m wrong, please! Then, I wonder, which one is on guitar, on bass, and on drums.

Oh, best guitar solo ever! :)

Gone Gone Gone

Bizarro No. 1 on July 7, 2012 at 2:54 AM

Mary Ann, Bailey and, PAB (not necessarily in that order)…

Gohawgs on July 7, 2012 at 2:55 AM

bass acoustic

-FIFM

Bizarro No. 1 on July 7, 2012 at 2:56 AM

A little PPL.

4Grace on July 7, 2012 at 2:58 AM

Burt went with Jennifer.

Heh.

*sip*

*empty*

brb

Axe on July 7, 2012 at 2:58 AM

Axe on July 7, 2012 at 2:47 AM

You have a point..But I am going with Bailey also!!..:)

Dire Straits on July 7, 2012 at 2:52 AM

Fixed!..:)

Dire Straits on July 7, 2012 at 3:00 AM

Mary Ann, Bailey and, PAB (not necessarily in that order)…

Gohawgs on July 7, 2012 at 2:55 AM

+ 100..I hear you!!..I thought you would hear the horn..:)

Dire Straits on July 7, 2012 at 3:01 AM

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