Laurence Tribe: I think my former student, John Roberts, will vote to uphold ObamaCare

posted at 9:26 pm on June 26, 2012 by Allahpundit

Via the Examiner, I’ve been looking for tea leaves for you all day but this, unfortunately, is the best I can do. I don’t even regard it as tea leaves: I think Tribe is just pre-spinning the outcome so that, if the mandate is struck down, he can call Roberts a disappointment who betrayed his education in a fit of ideological pique, etc etc etc. But we’re starving for insight and this is, in its own lame way, an insight into Roberts’s thinking. As is this:

Eastman, a critic of the health care law, said he wouldn’t be surprised to see Roberts side with the Obama administration and uphold the law. “He’s a creature of the Washington administrative state. That’s his background,” the professor said, noting that Roberts has spent almost his entire professional life in Washington.

Scalia’s background is Beltway-heavy too yet his vote against ObamaCare seems a fait accompli.

More unconvincing tea leaves? Okay, how about the idea that Roberts’s vote in the Arizona case with Kennedy and the liberals presages a similar outcome on ObamaCare?

What the Arizona compromise will augur for the most closely watched case of the term is anyone’s guess. Yet the justices’ evident search for common ground in the immigration ruling and a few other cases this term could portend a healthcare decision that does not predictably cleave along political lines…

Overall, the judgment was modest, the tone cautious. It underscored the federal role in regulating immigration and largely rejected the effort by Arizona – and, by extension, several other states – to institute sweeping measures to stop people from illegally crossing the border.

The justices’ regard for national authority on dilemmas that cut across state boundaries could end up echoing in the healthcare ruling.

“Both problems transcend states’ borders and are too big for the states to solve on their own,” Duke University law professor Neil Siegel said, stressing that he did not want to predict how the court would rule on Thursday.

Jeffrey Rosen is pushing this line too over at TNR but you could just as easily argue that Roberts and Kennedy threw the left a bone in the Arizona ruling because they’re ready to tear their hearts out with O-Care. A party-line conservative majority on immigration on top of a party-line conservative majority on ObamaCare would have handed liberals a double-barreled weapon in arguing that the Roberts Court is hopelessly politicized. They’ll still argue that if they lose on O-Care, of course, but their point will be weakened because of the Arizona case.

Exit tea leaf: Even at this late date, Obama’s still warning his fundraising audiences about ObamaCare being struck down. How come?

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I agree with you on all of this. Sure, he will try to cash in, but can he really make enough money to maintain his current lifestyle “burn rate” for the next 30 plus years? And pay for clothes and vacays for Michelle and the girls at the same time? So much of what he gets now is paid for by the taxpayer, and aside from his security, most of that goes away when he leaves the WH.

I just don’t see it. Some rich people love him a lot, but many of them are going to be done with him after investing so much in a loser.

I wouldn’t be surprised if Obama left the country more or less permanently. His style of corruption would fit in quite well in many parts of the world.

Missy on June 27, 2012 at 11:55 AM

Not a chance, Mooch has become even more high-maintenance that she was before assending to the throne.

I see him becoming the President of Kenya, though he will not spend much of his time there.

slickwillie2001 on June 27, 2012 at 12:02 PM

The Obamas will be treated like royalty in Chicagoland for the rest of their lives. And that includes their children. The will be lionized like the Kennedys have been in Boston.

Anyone living in Chicagoland will be hearing about the Obamas on a weekly basis for the rest of their lives, if they follow local news.

I suspect liberal United states will do much the same, but not quite to the extent Obamaland will.

Jimmah has been marginalized and most Dems want little to do with him, but he was not the First Black President of the United States of America.

It will be worse if he is re-elected.

farsighted on June 27, 2012 at 10:56 AM

I don’t see them going back to Chicago. Would you? Why live in Chicago if you have your choice of where in the world to live?

slickwillie2001 on June 27, 2012 at 12:04 PM

Is this the same Laurence Tribe who judged Obama’s mind incisive, his personality magnetic? The same Laurence Tribe who considered Obama more colleague than student and called him “my most amazing research assistant”? That Laurence Tribe??

SukieTawdry on June 27, 2012 at 12:58 PM

Is this the same Laurence Tribe who judged Obama’s mind incisive, his personality magnetic? The same Laurence Tribe who considered Obama more colleague than student and called him “my most amazing research assistant”? That Laurence Tribe??

SukieTawdry on June 27, 2012 at 12:58 PM

That was only after he became president. Before he ran for the US Senate, Tribe would have said -”Barack? Who Barack?”

slickwillie2001 on June 27, 2012 at 1:33 PM

allah’s speculation is right. Tribe is giving himself room to cut the former pupil loose. Liberals need uniformity.

ted c on June 26, 2012 at 9:30 PM

*ding* *ding* *ding*

“That IS the correct answer. Tell him what he’s won, Art!”

baldylox on June 27, 2012 at 6:08 PM

Huh. No comments on this thread today?

Dante on June 28, 2012 at 3:49 PM

Comment pages: 1 2 3