Rasmussen: Romney up in Wisconsin, 47/44

posted at 12:31 pm on June 13, 2012 by Ed Morrissey

Earlier today, National Journal’s Josh Kraushaar warned that Mitt Romney was poised to breach the Blue Wall — Pennsylvania, Michigan, and Wisconsin.  A new Rasmussen poll of likely voters in Wisconsin corroborates Kraushaar’s analysis.  Mitt Romney has moved to a narrow lead over Barack Obama in the immediate aftermath of the recall election, 47/44:

The latest Rasmussen Reports statewide telephone survey of Likely Voters shows Romney with 47% of the vote to Obama’s 44%. Five percent (5%) prefer some other candidate, and four percent (4%) are undecided.

Prior to this survey, Obama’s support in the state has ranged from 45% to 52%, while Romney has earned 41% to 45%. Last month, the numbers were Obama 49%, Romney 45%. The president led his likely Republican challenger by 11 points in March - 52% to 41%.

Just last week Republican Governor Scott Walker won a special recall election prompted by Democrats outraged over his successful move to limit collective bargaining rights for some unionized public employees in order to reduce Wisconsin’s budget deficit.

Wisconsin hasn’t gone Republican since the 1984 Ronald Reagan landslide over Walter Mondale.  It came close two of the past three cycles, however, with George Bush only losing the state by a few thousand votes in each of his two elections.  However, Obama won Wisconsin handily in 2008, 56/43, so a 3-point deficit with less than five months to go sends a big red flag flying, perhaps over the entire Midwest and Rust Belt.

Obama is hampered in Wisconsin by a 47/52 approval rating — slightly worse than the national numbers we see from Gallup, but not extraordinarily worse.  Men have a much stronger disapproval at 37/59, while women give him a narrower positive rating at 53/46 — but 39% strongly disapprove, as do 50% of men.  Independents disapprove by a significant margin at 41/56.

These numbers get reflected in the head-to-head matchups as well.  Romney has a 15-point lead among men, while Obama has an eight-point lead with women, giving Romney the edge in the gender gap. Independents give Romney a 5-point edge at 43/38, but 38% is a very low number for an incumbent President in a heretofore friendly state.

That’s not the only demographic problem Obama has.  He only carries the under-40 vote by just four points, 44/40, while Romney gets 51% of the other two age demographics in Wisconsin.  Romney leads by 16 points among voters with children still at home, 49/33, and only trails by four (45/49) among those who don’t.  Obama only leads in two of six income categories — under $20K (65/33), and $40K-60K (49/41).  The $20K-40K demo is a virtual tie, with Romney taking a one-point edge (45/44), and Romney wins all the other income demos by double digits.  In fact, Obama can’t get to 40% in any of the remaining income brackets.

Some might wonder whether Rasmussen oversampled Republicans to get this result.  The D/R/I on this poll is 34/32/34, while the turnout in last week’s recall election was 34/35/31.  If anything, the poll slightly undersamples Republicans, although this turnout model is a reasonable one to use for the November election.

Looks like the Wisconsin recall is turning out to be a huge backfire on the unions, Democrats, and Barack Obama.  It may also hint at a Blue Wall collapse in five months.


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The whole “give DC the vote” thing was about nothing more than spotting the demoRAT party 3 electoral votes each election.

wildcat72 on June 13, 2012 at 12:56 PM

DC already has the vote. I think what you mean is give DC statehood and, yes, much of the outrage is the fact that the Dems don’t have an easy three pick-up in the electoral count. Nevermind that it is absurd that a city would also have its very own state-level bureaucracy including two Senators representing an area smaller than some ranches out West. Nevermind also the near universal corruption of city government. The idea of statehood has and always be a political cause.

The idea that makes the most sense if the status quo were to change would be to drop DC into one of the Maryland Congressional districts for representative purposes only. But every time that idea is floated the people screaming no the loudest are (you guessed it) the Maryland Congressional delegation.

Happy Nomad on June 13, 2012 at 1:08 PM

Looks like the Wisconsin recall is turning out to be a huge backfire on the unions, Democrats, and Barack Obama. It may also hint at a Blue Wall collapse in five months.

Or sooner. It has major cracks now that are not getting repaired. What does Obama do when people get out of line? He and his surrogates yell at them, accuse them of being senile or throw them under the bus.

This will escalate.

dogsoldier on June 13, 2012 at 1:09 PM

Kingpin Ed sure knows how to dish out the temporary high to you delusional wingers.

Uppereastside on June 13, 2012 at 1:09 PM

ON WISCONSIN!!

The state with “forward” on the flag for decades.
The state with Scott Walker, Paul Ryan, and Ron Johnson.
MY state.

We took the first charge up the “mountain” and came out winners.
Hopefully now we’ll continue to lead the charge back to fiscal and foreign relation sanity to bring America back to the leader of the world again!

PackerFan4Life on June 13, 2012 at 1:10 PM

Would be interesting to know what Obama’s burn rate is, as his overhead in Chicago is extraordinary. Will be most amusing when re-elect staffers get laid off. I predict it’s coming.

matthew8787 on June 13, 2012 at 12:49 PM

We are now at the point in any campaign where the leader takes a hatchet to the election team. Little Bammie’s problem is that the Chicago crowd has a very shallow bench of people that can win elections. The rest of the possible hires are Clinton machine people that might do a good job for little Bammie, but he will never trust them enough to hire.

Either they will stick with Axleshaft and bear the incompetence and infighting, or Val will flush him and hire some second-rate lackey that will be even more a joke.

If Axleshaft ever goes to little Bammie and says “either Valerie goes or I go”, the outcome will be entertaining to say the least.

slickwillie2001 on June 13, 2012 at 1:10 PM

WISCONSIN VOTERS – TEAR DOWN THIS WALL!!

The Count on June 13, 2012 at 12:54 PM

I LOVE that!

ITguy on June 13, 2012 at 1:11 PM

Kingpin Ed sure knows how to dish out the temporary high to you delusional wingers.

Uppereastside on June 13, 2012 at 1:09 PM

Keep talking. I could use the breeze. I’m sure Ed would be happy to reward you for your compliment.

Bmore on June 13, 2012 at 1:12 PM

Today is my birthday…with all the “bad” news it’s a great day!

moo on June 13, 2012 at 1:12 PM

Time to revise the Seamus story to have Obama in the kennel on top of the Romney station wagon, and losing control of various bodily functions.

Good times. Good. Times.

WhatNot on June 13, 2012 at 1:13 PM

Our military will not back a coup. People need muscle to make a successful coup attempt.

NotCoach on June 13, 2012 at 12:36 PM

Yep, the TSA is not big enough yet, and not enough of them are armed.

slickwillie2001 on June 13, 2012 at 1:13 PM

Kingpin Ed sure knows how to dish out the temporary high to you delusional wingers.

Uppereastside on June 13, 2012 at 1:09 PM

Translation: My butt still hurts.

CurtZHP on June 13, 2012 at 1:13 PM

Kingpin Ed sure knows how to dish out the temporary high to you delusional wingers.

Uppereastside on June 13, 2012 at 1:09 PM

I must have missed the oceans rising and falling.

My blood pressure has risen over the last 3 years while our country’s credit rating fell, though.

kingsjester on June 13, 2012 at 1:13 PM

This poll represents a 17-point swing away from Obama’s 2008 results. If such a swing were to occur uniformly nationwide, Obama would only receive 164 electoral votes (from CA, CT, DE, DC, HI, IL, ME minus the 2nd district, MD, MA, NY, RI, and WA).

If only a 10-point swing materialized, Obama would receive 254 electoral votes (adding in ME’s 2nd district, MI, MN, NV, NJ, NM, OR, PA, and WI).

Anything less than a 9.0% swing still gives Obama enough EVs to retain the White House. Since he won by 7.2% in 2008, Romney would need to carry the national vote by just under 2%.

(Of course, all of this assumes a uniform swing nationwide, which never actually happens).

steebo77 on June 13, 2012 at 1:14 PM

Those unions and far left Dems who Obama bailed on in the Wisconsin election are not going to be too motivated to turn out for the One in November either. Why should a Dem volunteer bust their butt for Obama, when he ditched them in their time of need?

FreeManOtis on June 13, 2012 at 1:14 PM

Yep, the TSA is not big enough yet, and not enough of them are armed.

slickwillie2001 on June 13, 2012 at 1:13 PM

Not to mention most people in the TSA I’ve seen couldn’t pass basic training with a 50 point handicap.

BKennedy on June 13, 2012 at 1:15 PM

Waterloo?

WordsMatter on June 13, 2012 at 1:07 PM

Wrong state.

steebo77 on June 13, 2012 at 1:16 PM

Kingpin Ed sure knows how to dish out the temporary high to you delusional wingers.

Uppereastside on June 13, 2012 at 1:09 PM

Oh how cute! One of the resident trolls thinks that this is as good as it gets for those of us who don’t want Obama to have a second term.

Happy Nomad on June 13, 2012 at 1:16 PM

moo on June 13, 2012 at 1:12 PM

Happy Birthday to moo!

Flora Duh on June 13, 2012 at 1:17 PM

Kingpin Ed sure knows how to dish out the temporary high to you delusional wingers.

we won’t know who’s delusional until november

gerrym51 on June 13, 2012 at 1:17 PM

moo on June 13, 2012 at 1:12 PM

Happy Birthday :)

cmsinaz on June 13, 2012 at 1:18 PM

If Romney wins Wisconsin, give the credit to Gov. Scott Walker, who had the cojones to take on the public unions, despite all the screaming protests in the Madison bubble, because he knew that people in the suburbs had his back. With their dues-paying membership down by more than half, Walker has greatly weakened the public-sector unions by cutting their supply of political funds, and they wasted their resources on the recall elections.

When Romney campaigns in Wisconsin, he should campaign WITH Walker, and learn from Walker how to send a winning message to the voters.

Romney is likely to win the McCain states plus IN and NC. If Romney can win FL, VA, and OH, Wisconsin could put him over the top. In that case, maybe he should appoint Scott Walker as Secretary of Labor!

Steve Z on June 13, 2012 at 1:20 PM

Well, happy birthday moo. ; )

Bmore on June 13, 2012 at 1:20 PM

Kingpin Ed sure knows how to dish out the temporary high to you delusional wingers.

Uppereastside on June 13, 2012 at 1:09 PM

No one is more delusional than you, the leftists. MSNBC declared Wisconsin a winner, even after losing, and still does. Keep believing, fool. To watch you and yours is sweet. It’s gon’ be a long, hot summer and a very prodigious fall.

Schadenfreude on June 13, 2012 at 1:20 PM

Kingpin Ed sure knows how to dish out the temporary high to you delusional wingers.
Uppereastside on June 13, 2012 at 1:09 PM

Why is this misogynist pig still here?

BeachBum on June 13, 2012 at 1:20 PM

“Kingpin Ed sure knows how to dish out the temporary high to you delusional wingers…”

Can you do us a favor…?

… Can you attend the DNC convention and report on the goings on to us?

Please…?

… I’m sure everyone would appreciate it.

Thanks…!

Seven Percent Solution on June 13, 2012 at 1:21 PM

Today is my birthday…with all the “bad” news it’s a great day!

moo on June 13, 2012 at 1:12 PM

Have a real good one, moo.

Schadenfreude on June 13, 2012 at 1:21 PM

The bad thing about good polling for Romney now is that it sets up all the “HE’S BACK!!!!” stories for Obama a month from now, with breathless telling of how the decisive and wise man in the White House steered his campaign back from the brink, just as he will the country for the next four years.

But good news is good news..let’s hope it continues.

bobs1196 on June 13, 2012 at 1:21 PM

Why is this misogynist pig still here?

BeachBum on June 13, 2012 at 1:20 PM

Mainly because he is a coward. He won’t keep talking.

Bmore on June 13, 2012 at 1:21 PM

Kingpin Ed sure knows how to dish out the temporary high to you delusional wingers.

Uppereastside on June 13, 2012 at 1:09 PM

…shut up lowlife…your mouth if full!

KOOLAID2 on June 13, 2012 at 1:21 PM

Today is my birthday…with all the “bad” news it’s a great day!

moo on June 13, 2012 at 1:12 PM

Happy Birthday…!

(later this evening I will give you a toast *clink*)

Seven Percent Solution on June 13, 2012 at 1:23 PM

Happy Birthday to moo!

Flora Duh on June 13, 2012 at 1:17 PM

I almost spewed vanilla pudding on my work monitor!

kingsjester on June 13, 2012 at 1:23 PM

This is only the start of things!

It Begins! Here in Wisconsin. The blue wall will be proven a myth this election.

Chaz706 on June 13, 2012 at 1:24 PM

Kingpin Ed sure knows how to dish out the temporary high to you delusional wingers.

Uppereastside on June 13, 2012 at 1:09 PM

It’s been a rather consistent high, actually. Watching Barry flail wildly on television trying to *inspire* again has been, well, pretty effing hilarious. It’s like he is trying real, real hard and is getting absolutely ZERO RESULTS.

It’s wonderful for the American people, the world, and all of those who love freedom and prosperity to see Barry fail. More, please. :-)

Punchenko on June 13, 2012 at 1:24 PM

But every time that idea is floated the people screaming no the loudest are (you guessed it) the Maryland Congressional delegation.

Happy Nomad on June 13, 2012 at 1:08 PM

Can you blame them? I would be adamantly opposed to such a plan as well if I lived in Maryland. Why would you want to let a group of people who operate outside of your jurisdiction have a say in who you send to Congress?

NotCoach on June 13, 2012 at 1:24 PM

I almost spewed vanilla pudding on my work monitor!

kingsjester on June 13, 2012 at 1:23 PM

Payback for the Joy Behar comment you made this morning in the QOTD thread that made me spew coffee on mine.

Flora Duh on June 13, 2012 at 1:26 PM

Today is my birthday…with all the “bad” news it’s a great day!

moo on June 13, 2012 at 1:12 PM

Happy B’day…

OmahaConservative on June 13, 2012 at 1:27 PM

He’s going to have to campaign hard EVERYWHERE except California, DC, New York, Massachusetts and Illinois. Those are the only states he’s certain to win. He could lose the other “53″.

wildcat72 on June 13, 2012 at 12:45 PM

Don’t be surprised if Illinois might be in play in five months. Last state-wide elections, the D governor barely won reelection – all counties except Cook (Chicago), Sangamon (Springfield) and Madison (East St. Louis) went for the Republican. The election for Barack’s old Senate seat did go to the Republican, with the Democrat only picking up Cook County.

The Chicago Teacher’s Union just took a vote to authorize a strike if negotiations break down. Their starting point is an almost 30% increase in pay (24% the first year, 5% the year after). When the head of the CTU was interviewed on a local radio station and was asked where the money would come from, she mentioned raising the taxes on the rich, that Illinois has enough rich people. In other words, raise the taxes on the rich ACROSS the entire state so that the Chicago teachers can get their huge raise.

It’s like they didn’t even pay attention to what happened across the border or the sentiment that is permeating throughout the country.

I haven’t been able to find a poll for Illinois, as I think a lot of people believe it is a slam dunk, but living here and what I’m seeing and hearing, I think it could actually break Republican or be very close.

italianguy626 on June 13, 2012 at 1:30 PM

Today is my birthday…with all the “bad” news it’s a great day!

moo on June 13, 2012 at 1:12 PM

…HAPPY BIRTHDAY…!!!

KOOLAID2 on June 13, 2012 at 1:31 PM

mitt needs to take road trip through the blue states….what can it hurt?

cmsinaz on June 13, 2012 at 1:32 PM

Kingpin Ed sure knows how to dish out the temporary high to you delusional wingers.

Uppereastside on June 13, 2012 at 1:09 PM

Go drink your 16oz Slurpee…

PatriotRider on June 13, 2012 at 1:34 PM

All reports are his burn rate is VERY high. And he was planning on raising $1 billion and it looks like he will get half that AT MOST. If they don’t downsize NOW he’s going to have to do it at the worst possible time late in the campaign.

I think Barry’s so delusional he WONT downsize it and will run himself out of money…

wildcat72 on June 13, 2012 at 12:53 PM

It probably costs Obama lots of money to prance around in posh hotels in California at glitzy fundraisers, while Wall Street is lining up behind Romney after Obama demonized them, and lots of SuperPACS (which didn’t exist for McCain) are running lots of anti-Obama ads.

Romney already outraised Obama in May, and Walker’s win in Wisconsin is probably inspiring donors to give more to try to win states like WI, MI, and PA. By the time September rolls around, and the campaigns get serious, Romney could actually have more money than Obama, both for ads and a GOTV “ground game”, which worked so well for Walker.

Steve Z on June 13, 2012 at 1:35 PM

The bad thing about good polling for Romney now is that it sets up all the “HE’S BACK!!!!”

bobs1196 on June 13, 2012 at 1:21 PM

I realize anything can happen between now and November and, certainly, the narrative would be of the comeback kid BUT I’m not sure where that turnaround of the current trends would come from. Every single non-economic ploy (war on dogs, war on religion, war on women) has failed. And these have not been minor flops but “Oh the humanity” Hindenburg scale flops.

Further the window for economic turnaround is fast closing. This is an economic election and Obama is attempting to make it into anything but economics. I honestly don’t think he got one extra vote leaking all that stuff to the NYT to show what a tough guy he is when it comes to terrorists. “Getting” terrorists isn’t as big a concern to people as finding a job, getting out from being underwater on their homes, etc. If Romney’s campaign stays focused on the economy and jobs there will be no comeback.

Happy Nomad on June 13, 2012 at 1:36 PM

So the exit polls turn out to be less than accurate? Quelle surprise!

theCork on June 13, 2012 at 1:36 PM

mitt needs to take road trip through the blue states….what can it hurt?

cmsinaz on June 13, 2012 at 1:32 PM

He should start with Virginia, where Obama seems to have a bigger campaign presence than Romney for now. Romney needs Virginia to win the Presidency, unless he could win Michigan. Wisconsin or Colorado or Iowa would not be enough to overcome a loss in Virginia.

Steve Z on June 13, 2012 at 1:39 PM

“…with George Bush only losing the state by a few thousand votes in each of his two elections.”

In other words, within the margin of UW Madison student voting fraud.

@yeastside:

Kingpin Ed sure knows how to dish out the temporary high to you delusional wingers.

A month ain’t temporary which is how long preezy klownkar has been plummeting, you dunce.

But we’ll see in November who is delusional. Please continue spewing the stoopit- yer kinda kewt when you get mad, bro.

GrassMudHorsey on June 13, 2012 at 1:39 PM

The whole “give DC the vote” thing was about nothing more than spotting the demoRAT party 3 electoral votes each election.

wildcat72 on June 13, 2012 at 12:56 PM

Washington DC is a disgrace as the nations’ capitol.

The place should be made into a National Park.
All residents should be forced to move out over the next 40 years.
All ghettos should be razed.

The Federal Government should be dispersed throught the United States.

The Department of the Interior located in Colorado.
The Bureau of Land Management located in Nevada.
The Department of Commerce located in Texas.
Etc…

MichaelGabriel on June 13, 2012 at 1:39 PM

I think I’m more of a tenpin, actually.

Ed Morrissey on June 13, 2012 at 1:41 PM

Romney’s working his azz off. Glad to see polls reflect that.

bluealice on June 13, 2012 at 1:41 PM

The democrats and the unions had a good thing going, and then they went nuts in Wisconsin and suddenly people all over the country learned what their salaries are, what their benefits are, what it all costs taxpayers, that they want more, more, more, and voters went…What the fu*k??!!

Agree completely. Had the public sector unions just cut a deal and moved on, they would have been MUCH better off.

Instead, they tried to spark a civil war in this country and everyone started asking why a public school teacher that works 9 months out of the year is making six-figures, doesn’t pay a penny into their health care, and gets a fat pension and free health insurance for the rest of their life. The sort of pay and benefit package that even people on Wall Street could only dream of.

BradTank on June 13, 2012 at 1:42 PM

At the risk of sounding too overconfident, I don’t just want Obama to lose, I want him to lose in a landslide so he’ll go into seclusion for years to come. Somehow I don’t believe the man will keep his thoughts about policy just to himself post presidency, unless he is repudiated in the election.

Thanks everyone for the birthday wishes!

moo on June 13, 2012 at 1:45 PM

I think I’m more of a tenpin, actually.

Ed Morrissey on June 13, 2012 at 1:41 PM

Heh, good one Ed.

Flora Duh on June 13, 2012 at 1:50 PM

Sounds good Steve Z

cmsinaz on June 13, 2012 at 1:58 PM

I think I’m more of a tenpin, actually.

Ed Morrissey on June 13, 2012 at 1:41 PM

Yeah, I just wish you were a better hammer swinger, I really could use the breeze. Or you could lend the glorious hammer to me once and a while. Hint, hint. ; )

Bmore on June 13, 2012 at 2:01 PM

Just for a reference point Ed. This fellow was one of my childhood hero’s. Still is.

Bmore on June 13, 2012 at 2:04 PM

The DC thing being a free 3 electoral votes for the Dems has always struck me as highway robbery.

One thing Ive been curious about is the inclusion of Puerto Rico into the electoral college since they’re voting on statehood this year. Would puerto Rico be a red state? If so how many EV’s would that give us? I’m guessing there would be at least some chance it would go red if they can elect a guy like Fortuno who seems a least kinda conservative and there’s always the possibility of a VP Rubio…

1984 in real life on June 13, 2012 at 2:04 PM

If Obama is defeated in November, I see a new mantra being spewed by the left: IT’S WALKER’S FAULT!!!

Well you know that “Bush” thing is so… 4 years ago. It’s about time they had another person to blame.

Sterling Holobyte on June 13, 2012 at 2:07 PM

Drudge seems to be doing all he can to defeat Obama. If Obama’s re-elected, I fear for Matt Drudge.

chris999 on June 13, 2012 at 2:17 PM

Looks like all Mitt has to do is sit back and let barack stumble, fumble and bumble his way to defeat.

He had sure as Hell better not slow down though. I am wanting to see a very public humiliation of barack. I want this election to make Reagan’s tromping of Mondale in 1984 look like a squeaker race.

DuctTapeMyBrain on June 13, 2012 at 2:20 PM

Hammerpin was in order the other day.

Resist We Much on June 6, 2012 at 12:31 PM
I will right after you are done sucking me off sis.

Uppereastside on June 6, 2012 at 12:35 PM

Schadenfreude on June 13, 2012 at 2:21 PM

1984 in real life on June 13, 2012 at 2:04 PM

The November referendum in Puerto Rico is nonbinding. The US Congress must approve or establish any path for statehood.

NotCoach on June 13, 2012 at 2:23 PM

Would be interesting to know what Obama’s burn rate is, as his overhead in Chicago is extraordinary. Will be most amusing when re-elect staffers get laid off. I predict it’s coming.

matthew8787 on June 13, 2012 at 12:49 PM

Democrats squandering money? Really? I mean I thought they were so frugal and all that.

thuja on June 13, 2012 at 2:25 PM

mitt needs to take road trip through the blue states….what can it hurt?

cmsinaz on June 13, 2012 at 1:32 PM

His bus tour ‘every town counts’ that targets the rust belt battlefields actually kicks off next week, I think…

jimver on June 13, 2012 at 2:27 PM

Drudge seems to be doing all he can to defeat Obama. If Obama’s re-elected, I fear for Matt Drudge.

chris999 on June 13, 2012 at 2:17 PM

Drudge is a liberal, he only disses those that don’t show him respect that he feels he is due.

slickwillie2001 on June 13, 2012 at 2:30 PM

Waterloo?

WordsMatter on June 13, 2012 at 1:07 PM
Wrong state.

steebo77 on June 13, 2012 at 1:16 PM

.
Not true. Nice little town, home of TREK Bicycles. You know, the nine time, Tour de France winning TREK bicycles…. seven in a row with Lance.
.
http://www.waterloowi.com

Simonsez on June 13, 2012 at 2:31 PM

Come on guys, our problems won’t be fixed overnight.

If 3 1/2 years is overnight then the Oklahoma City Thunder became the best team in the NBA overnight.

Wagthatdog on June 13, 2012 at 2:33 PM

Would be interesting to know what Obama’s burn rate is, as his overhead in Chicago is extraordinary. Will be most amusing when re-elect staffers get laid off. I predict it’s coming.

matthew8787 on June 13, 2012 at 12:49 PM

Since that Chicago Op was caught with a campaign staff that looked 100% white in photographs, they have hired some ‘diversity’ that is now featured prominently in their new literature.

slickwillie2001 on June 13, 2012 at 2:33 PM

correction….
.
/link http://www.waterloowi.us

Simonsez on June 13, 2012 at 2:34 PM

But…but the exit polls said….

The Notorious G.O.P on June 13, 2012 at 2:55 PM

Kingpin Ed sure knows how to dish out the temporary high to you delusional wingers.

Uppereastside on June 13, 2012 at 1:09 PM

Let me get this straight. You worship at the altar of an arrogant, sociopathic punk with no management skills or fiscal knowledge whatsoever, and the “wingers” are the ones who are delusional?

Right Mover on June 13, 2012 at 3:28 PM

Some might wonder whether Rasmussen oversampled Republicans to get this result. The D/R/I on this poll is 34/32/34, while the turnout in last week’s recall election was 34/35/31. If anything, the poll slightly undersamples Republicans, although this turnout model is a reasonable one to use for the November election.

Woops, you almost slipped that one past Mr. Morrissey. Turnout for Democrats in the recall election was way low, especially considering the incredibly low turnout in Milwaukee. Rasmussen was exposed in 2010 as massively over sampling Republicans.

libfreeordie on June 13, 2012 at 3:34 PM

libfreeordie on June 13, 2012 at 3:34 PM

Cool story, bro.

taternuggets on June 13, 2012 at 3:40 PM

Wasn’t Wisconsin the birth pace of the Republican Party??
It has finally come back home

Conservative4ev on June 13, 2012 at 3:48 PM

libfreeordie on June 13, 2012 at 3:34 PM

Cite your source.

kingsjester on June 13, 2012 at 4:17 PM

The other states that now look to be dead heats are CO and IO.

johnboy on June 13, 2012 at 4:34 PM

Mittenscan do and Rubio too!

Urban Cowbuck on June 13, 2012 at 4:44 PM

Turnout for Democrats in the recall election was way low, especially considering the incredibly low turnout in Milwaukee.
 
libfreeordie on June 13, 2012 at 3:34 PM

 

Via the AFL-CIO website:
 

The turnout in Milwaukee has been so heavy the city Election Commission had to send extra poll workers to several sites to handle the long lines.”

 
So funny.

rogerb on June 13, 2012 at 4:53 PM

Just imagine the purified sense of horror WI dems will feel if they handed WI to Romney on a silver platter. Walker should be the VP pick and force Them to choose between keeping Walker another 3 years or electing Romney. I call it the käseschadenfreude plan.

leetspeek on June 13, 2012 at 4:55 PM

Turnout for Democrats in the recall election was way low, especially considering the incredibly low turnout in Milwaukee.
 
libfreeordie on June 13, 2012 at 3:34 PM

 

Via the AFL-CIO website:
 

The turnout in Milwaukee has been so heavy the city Election Commission had to send extra poll workers to several sites to handle the long lines.”

 
So funny.

rogerb on June 13, 2012 at 4:55 PM

Sorry about the double post. A 404 error came up the first time and it hadn’t posted when I checked and clicked “submit”.

rogerb on June 13, 2012 at 4:57 PM

rogerb on June 13, 2012 at 4:57 PM

Funnier still! ; ) I have only been able to sneak one double through since I’ve been here.

Bmore on June 13, 2012 at 5:06 PM

Turnout for Democrats in the recall election was way low, especially considering the incredibly low turnout in Milwaukee.
 
libfreeordie on June 13, 2012 at 3:34 PM

 

Via the AFL-CIO website:
 

“The turnout in Milwaukee has been so heavy the city Election Commission had to send extra poll workers to several sites to handle the long lines.”

 
So funny.

rogerb on June 13, 2012 at 4:53 PM

Nice one Roger

Conservative4ev on June 13, 2012 at 5:19 PM

Turnout for Democrats in the recall election was way low, especially considering the incredibly low turnout in Milwaukee.

Via the AFL-CIO website:

“The turnout in Milwaukee has been so heavy the city Election Commission had to send extra poll workers to several sites to handle the long lines.”

So funny.

rogerb on June 13, 2012 at 4:53 PM

Nice one Roger

Conservative4ev on June 13, 2012 at 5:19 PM

Oooops.

slickwillie2001 on June 13, 2012 at 6:11 PM

FIGHT – FIGHT – FIGHT – FIGHT

Keep going Romney (and your TEAM) – you’re doing it !!!!!!!!!

jake-the-goose on June 13, 2012 at 6:39 PM

Wisconsin will turn red and Michigan and Oregon and Pennsylvania and New Jersey…Mark my words (Landslide)

Natebo on June 13, 2012 at 7:03 PM

Nice one Roger

Conservative4ev on June 13, 2012 at 5:19 PM

No one throws a quote in someone’s face like Rogerb.

Chuck Schick on June 13, 2012 at 7:08 PM

Kingpin Ed sure knows how to dish out the temporary high to you delusional wingers.

Uppereastside on June 13, 2012 at 1:09 PM

I must have missed the oceans rising and falling.

kingsjester on June 13, 2012 at 1:13 PM

President Downgrade Hoped for Change and made things worse.

SparkPlug on June 13, 2012 at 7:10 PM

President downgrade Hoped Michelle Obama would change. She did. She got even uglier.

SparkPlug on June 13, 2012 at 7:11 PM

Golly these polls are all so inconsistent and contradictory. I wonder why? Could it be that the predictive data contained in them is really quite small? Well anyway, what I know is that Romney is going to crush Obama in November like an “enviro-friendly” Pepsi can.

minnesoter on June 13, 2012 at 7:19 PM

It may also hint at a Blue Wall collapse in five months.

Quoth the Dark Emperor, “It is just as I have foreseen.” Mitt doesn’t have to spin plates and eat fried butter to win the red states. The base is the base because they have no where else to go. Mitt is “fulfilling his destiny” by placing some rather unlikely blue state in play as the purple states keep moving towards him as well.

MJBrutus on June 13, 2012 at 7:31 PM

The bad thing about good polling for Romney now is that it sets up all the “HE’S BACK!!!!” stories for Obama a month from now, with breathless telling of how the decisive and wise man in the White House steered his campaign back from the brink, just as he will the country for the next four years.

But good news is good news..let’s hope it continues.

bobs1196 on June 13, 2012 at 1:21 PM

I understand your concern, but I think the MSM already shot their load earlier in the year with their big push to make it seem like the economy was roaring back, when it actually wasn’t. Keeping gas prices from rising to $5 won’t even do much to help Obama now. Romney is running a great campaign so far, and the New Media will be very effective at undercutting the MSM’s spin, now that Obama is no longer an empty vessel that the masses want to root for.

So get ready to hear everyone from Brian Williams to Al Sharpton saying “will the American people be able to live with themselves if they make the first Black POTUS a one termer?”. That’s about the only card they’re going to have left to play and the end of the day.

ardenenoch on June 13, 2012 at 7:36 PM

Turnout for Democrats in the recall election was way low, especially considering the incredibly low turnout in Milwaukee.

libfreeordie on June 13, 2012 at 3:34 PM

Via the AFL-CIO website:

“The turnout in Milwaukee has been so heavy the city Election Commission had to send extra poll workers to several sites to handle the long lines.”

So funny.

rogerb on June 13, 2012 at 4:55 PM

Every single time I think one of our trolls is dumber than the others this happens.

CW on June 13, 2012 at 7:55 PM

But wait! The exit polls said Wisconsin voters still LOVE Obama. I know this is true. Rachel Maddow told me so.

Grace_is_sufficient on June 14, 2012 at 7:14 AM

If Romney beats the black messiah, won’t that be a mandate to take everything Obama has done and pivot 180 degrees and do the opposite? I don’t think much of Romney but I think he’s smart enough to recognize this. Reason enough to vote for him I think.

SKYFOX on June 14, 2012 at 7:51 AM

considering the incredibly low turnout in Milwaukee.
 
libfreeordie on June 13, 2012 at 3:34 PM

 
Crickets.
 
This is almost as bad as you fleeing when you didn’t know the difference between the Commander in Chief and a commander of a carrier.
 
A bit of a habit, it seems.

rogerb on June 14, 2012 at 9:38 AM

ON WISCONSIN!!

The state with “forward” on the flag for decades.
The state with Scott Walker, Paul Ryan, and Ron Johnson.
MY state.

We took the first charge up the “mountain” and came out winners.
Hopefully now we’ll continue to lead the charge back to fiscal and foreign relation sanity to bring America back to the leader of the world again!

PackerFan4Life on June 13, 2012 at 1:10 PM

I feel the same way. It’s about time to have some people with commonsense and guts to go after it.

wi farmgirl on June 14, 2012 at 12:07 PM

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