Rasmussen: Romney up in Wisconsin, 47/44

posted at 12:31 pm on June 13, 2012 by Ed Morrissey

Earlier today, National Journal’s Josh Kraushaar warned that Mitt Romney was poised to breach the Blue Wall — Pennsylvania, Michigan, and Wisconsin.  A new Rasmussen poll of likely voters in Wisconsin corroborates Kraushaar’s analysis.  Mitt Romney has moved to a narrow lead over Barack Obama in the immediate aftermath of the recall election, 47/44:

The latest Rasmussen Reports statewide telephone survey of Likely Voters shows Romney with 47% of the vote to Obama’s 44%. Five percent (5%) prefer some other candidate, and four percent (4%) are undecided.

Prior to this survey, Obama’s support in the state has ranged from 45% to 52%, while Romney has earned 41% to 45%. Last month, the numbers were Obama 49%, Romney 45%. The president led his likely Republican challenger by 11 points in March - 52% to 41%.

Just last week Republican Governor Scott Walker won a special recall election prompted by Democrats outraged over his successful move to limit collective bargaining rights for some unionized public employees in order to reduce Wisconsin’s budget deficit.

Wisconsin hasn’t gone Republican since the 1984 Ronald Reagan landslide over Walter Mondale.  It came close two of the past three cycles, however, with George Bush only losing the state by a few thousand votes in each of his two elections.  However, Obama won Wisconsin handily in 2008, 56/43, so a 3-point deficit with less than five months to go sends a big red flag flying, perhaps over the entire Midwest and Rust Belt.

Obama is hampered in Wisconsin by a 47/52 approval rating — slightly worse than the national numbers we see from Gallup, but not extraordinarily worse.  Men have a much stronger disapproval at 37/59, while women give him a narrower positive rating at 53/46 — but 39% strongly disapprove, as do 50% of men.  Independents disapprove by a significant margin at 41/56.

These numbers get reflected in the head-to-head matchups as well.  Romney has a 15-point lead among men, while Obama has an eight-point lead with women, giving Romney the edge in the gender gap. Independents give Romney a 5-point edge at 43/38, but 38% is a very low number for an incumbent President in a heretofore friendly state.

That’s not the only demographic problem Obama has.  He only carries the under-40 vote by just four points, 44/40, while Romney gets 51% of the other two age demographics in Wisconsin.  Romney leads by 16 points among voters with children still at home, 49/33, and only trails by four (45/49) among those who don’t.  Obama only leads in two of six income categories — under $20K (65/33), and $40K-60K (49/41).  The $20K-40K demo is a virtual tie, with Romney taking a one-point edge (45/44), and Romney wins all the other income demos by double digits.  In fact, Obama can’t get to 40% in any of the remaining income brackets.

Some might wonder whether Rasmussen oversampled Republicans to get this result.  The D/R/I on this poll is 34/32/34, while the turnout in last week’s recall election was 34/35/31.  If anything, the poll slightly undersamples Republicans, although this turnout model is a reasonable one to use for the November election.

Looks like the Wisconsin recall is turning out to be a huge backfire on the unions, Democrats, and Barack Obama.  It may also hint at a Blue Wall collapse in five months.


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Snoopy dance
Just a little jig

:)

cmsinaz on June 13, 2012 at 12:33 PM

Landslide in the making.

theperfecteconomist on June 13, 2012 at 12:33 PM

It gets better and better…

OmahaConservative on June 13, 2012 at 12:33 PM

The Panic button hath been pushed in Chicago! Bring on the Pepto boys…

bobsacramento on June 13, 2012 at 12:33 PM

CHANGE! Forward!

lol.

I’ve said this before and will say it again here: This thing isn’t even going to be close. Obama’s going to be fighting to save the deep blue states and he might not even win all of those.

Presidents with his record simply DONT get re-elected.

wildcat72 on June 13, 2012 at 12:34 PM

You mean those were fake exit polls?

faraway on June 13, 2012 at 12:35 PM

I’ll wait for the more accurate exit polling data before I get too excited.

NotCoach on June 13, 2012 at 12:35 PM

[Insert reference to doom song again here.]

The Rogue Tomato on June 13, 2012 at 12:35 PM

International Love Affair is Over.

Germans were ecstatic when Barack Obama took over the keys to the White House from George W. Bush. Now, though, a new Pew Research Center survey shows that disillusionment with the US president is widespread in Germany and that Obama has not lived up to the high expectations Europeans had of him.

Schadenfreude on June 13, 2012 at 12:35 PM

The Panic button hath been pushed in Chicago! Bring on the Pepto boys…

bobsacramento on June 13, 2012 at 12:33 PM

The question is, will Obama accept the verdict of the electorate, or will he attempt a coup? Given his foreign background, this is a legitimate question.

wildcat72 on June 13, 2012 at 12:35 PM

We are witnessing Obamas presidency collapse before our very eyes…

PatriotRider on June 13, 2012 at 12:36 PM

ROMNEY 2012!!!!

He’s not a Communist!!

PappyD61 on June 13, 2012 at 12:36 PM

Obama to Ax: Quick, what other bad guys can I kill with my bare hands?

The Rogue Tomato on June 13, 2012 at 12:36 PM

The question is, will Obama accept the verdict of the electorate, or will he attempt a coup? Given his foreign background, this is a legitimate question.

wildcat72 on June 13, 2012 at 12:35 PM

Our military will not back a coup. People need muscle to make a successful coup attempt.

NotCoach on June 13, 2012 at 12:36 PM

Larry O’Donnell just told me that the real winner of this poll is President Obama.

steebo77 on June 13, 2012 at 12:37 PM

What’s left for Obama…martial law and cancelling the election???…

PatriotRider on June 13, 2012 at 12:37 PM

We are witnessing Obamas presidency collapse before our very eyes…

PatriotRider on June 13, 2012 at 12:36 PM

****and let’s hope NYC has enough sense to get rid of their Progressive Nanny Stater ilk as well.

PappyD61 on June 13, 2012 at 12:37 PM

I definitely see Romney winning Wisconsin.

The unions are broke, demoralized, and bleeding members by the tens of thousands. Residents are still clearly upset with the way Democrats have conducted themselves. And you now have a new Voter ID law that will be in effect to keep the out of state college kids out of the polling booth.

If Bush can come within one point both times he ran, Romney can easily put it in the Red column after all that’s happened there.

BradTank on June 13, 2012 at 12:37 PM

Obama to Ax: Quick, what other bad guys can I kill with my bare hands?

The Rogue Tomato on June 13, 2012 at 12:36 PM

Eric Holder? I mean, he HAS conspired to murder innocents, both Americans and Mexicans after all…

wildcat72 on June 13, 2012 at 12:38 PM

The sweet thing is, O will have to campaign in Wisconsin. And the local news will be constantly asking “why weren’t you here five months ago?

Hee heee…

Bat Chain Puller on June 13, 2012 at 12:38 PM

ROMNEY 2012!!!!

He’s not a Communist!!

PappyD61 on June 13, 2012 at 12:36 PM

I want this on a bumper sticker…

Bouncing Beatnik on June 13, 2012 at 12:39 PM

Waiting for another “Bunker” parody where Hitler realizes Super Mitt is turning the tide in the battle ground states.

The Seamus spoof, while tragic, was a hoot.

Art imitating life indeed.

FlaMurph on June 13, 2012 at 12:39 PM

Oh my. I need to go back and get to my “actual” work this morning. All this good news on HotAir today is making me giddy.

BettyRuth on June 13, 2012 at 12:39 PM

The question is, will Obama accept the verdict of the electorate, or will he attempt a coup? Given his foreign background, this is a legitimate question.

wildcat72 on June 13, 2012 at 12:35 PM

What’s left for Obama…martial law and cancelling the election???…

PatriotRider on June 13, 2012 at 12:37 PM

I can remember the libs saying the exact same thing about GWB…

OmahaConservative on June 13, 2012 at 12:40 PM

The empty suit has deflated…

PatriotRider on June 13, 2012 at 12:40 PM

What’s left for Obama…martial law and cancelling the election???…

PatriotRider on June 13, 2012 at 12:37 PM

Yes.

And the People won’t accept that. The precedent has been set: we didn’t cancel OR DELAY a Presidential election EVEN DURING THE CIVIL WAR. Elections don’t get canceled in this country.

wildcat72 on June 13, 2012 at 12:40 PM

Our military will not back a coup. People need muscle to make a successful coup attempt.

NotCoach on June 13, 2012 at 12:36 PM

This. For now, at least, civilian control of the military (legitimate, elected control, I mean) is deeply ingrained in the military, top to bottom.

Bouncing Beatnik on June 13, 2012 at 12:41 PM

“Yeah but I’m likeable you racist idiots!” – Barack Obama

NoDonkey on June 13, 2012 at 12:41 PM

I can remember the libs saying the exact same thing about GWB…

OmahaConservative on June 13, 2012 at 12:40 PM

The difference is WE had no doubt that Bush would behave honorably. If there was one thing you could count on Bush for is that he’d be classy and honorable.

Barry Hussein Soetoro not so much.

wildcat72 on June 13, 2012 at 12:41 PM

Humpty Dumpty sat on a [Blue] Wall.
Humpty Dumpty had a great fall.

ITguy on June 13, 2012 at 12:41 PM

Lines are forming at the Canadian border

faraway on June 13, 2012 at 12:42 PM

The sweet thing is, O will have to campaign in Wisconsin. And the local news will be constantly asking “why weren’t you here five months ago?

Hee heee…

Bat Chain Puller on June 13, 2012 at 12:38 PM

Well, he, uh, you know, um, the President has a lot of responsibilities, uh, you know…

cynccook on June 13, 2012 at 12:42 PM

I would really like to understand the gender gap better.

Why on earth would women go more heavily for Obama?

They are facing the same fundamental fiscal issues as men. Their families are suffering from the same malaise.

I don’t buy the social issues meme. Most women are smart enough not to believe that nonsense- just like men.

I would love to see the compelling reason why women favor Obama.

Marcus Traianus on June 13, 2012 at 12:42 PM

Let’s not get cocky, folks, we still have 5 months to go.

JPeterman on June 13, 2012 at 12:42 PM

Landslide in the making.

theperfecteconomist on June 13, 2012 at 12:33 PM

Tsunami warning.

ITguy on June 13, 2012 at 12:42 PM

You know who this helps?

AP’s liver.

TexasDan on June 13, 2012 at 12:42 PM

Our military will not back a coup. People need muscle to make a successful coup attempt.

NotCoach on June 13, 2012 at 12:36 PM

This. For now, at least, civilian control of the military (legitimate, elected control, I mean) is deeply ingrained in the military, top to bottom.

Bouncing Beatnik on June 13, 2012 at 12:41 PM

This is why Barry wanted his civilian defense “corpse” that would have been “as well funded” as the military.

Closest thing he has to it is the TSA…

wildcat72 on June 13, 2012 at 12:42 PM

Change.

Red Cloud on June 13, 2012 at 12:43 PM

The democrats and the unions had a good thing going, and then they went nuts in Wisconsin and suddenly people all over the country learned what their salaries are, what their benefits are, what it all costs taxpayers, that they want more, more, more, and voters went…What the fu*k??!!

Before Wisconsin, all unionistas were Norma Rae in much of the public’s mind. Now they’re that fat guy with dirty feet sleeping in the Wisconsin Capital rotunda and a bunch of highly paid teachers getting fake sick notes so they can continue to be paid by the taxpayers while they refuse to work. Huge mistake the democrats made here. Huge. They let too much sunlight in, and that always works to their disadvantage. I thought they knew that.

Rational Thought on June 13, 2012 at 12:43 PM

Schadenfreude on June 13, 2012 at 12:35 PM

Ich bin ein, ABO

FlaMurph on June 13, 2012 at 12:43 PM

Holy smokes. Even considering this is a Rasmussen poll, this is very bad news for President Obama. Give him a few more points to satisfy the liberals’ perception of Rasmussen leaning right, and he’s neck-and-neck. That’s not a good place for him to be five months before the election.

Mohonri on June 13, 2012 at 12:43 PM

Our military will not back a coup. People need muscle to make a successful coup attempt.

NotCoach on June 13, 2012 at 12:36 PM

True.

1. Most military personnel can’t stand the guy. They’re certainly not going to shoot Americans to keep him in power.

2. They also know that plenty of those fellow Americans are armed to the teeth.

CurtZHP on June 13, 2012 at 12:44 PM

Obama’s going to have to contest in all kinds of markets he never expected to, and on a shoestring budget. Against a money machine.

Could. Be. Epic.

TexasDan on June 13, 2012 at 12:44 PM

This is all before the SCOTUS strikes down O care at the end of the month.

B Man on June 13, 2012 at 12:44 PM

I worry about how Narcissists take this kind of news…

PatriotRider on June 13, 2012 at 12:44 PM

The sweet thing is, O will have to campaign in Wisconsin. And the local news will be constantly asking “why weren’t you here five months ago?

Hee heee…

Bat Chain Puller on June 13, 2012 at 12:38 PM

He’s going to have to campaign hard EVERYWHERE except California, DC, New York, Massachusetts and Illinois. Those are the only states he’s certain to win. He could lose the other “53″.

wildcat72 on June 13, 2012 at 12:45 PM

“Picked the wrong day to quit sniffing glue.”
David Axelrod

*grin*

Nathan_OH on June 13, 2012 at 12:45 PM

Presidents with his record simply DONT get re-elected.

wildcat72 on June 13, 2012 at 12:34 PM

The question is, will Obama accept the verdict of the electorate, or will he attempt a coup? Given his foreign background, this is a legitimate question.

wildcat72 on June 13, 2012 at 12:35 PM

Excatly.

I think there is a greater chance of Obama declaring Martial Law and “postponing” elections than there is of Obama actually getting re-elected fair and square.

ITguy on June 13, 2012 at 12:46 PM

Most women are smart enough not to believe that nonsense- just like men.

Marcus Traianus on June 13, 2012 at 12:42 PM

‘Nonsense’ is the perfect word to describe Obama and his policies.

faraway on June 13, 2012 at 12:46 PM

Let’s not get cocky, folks, we still have 5 months to go.

JPeterman on June 13, 2012 at 12:42 PM

So true. The Obamamedia has already written the “Obama is the come-back kid!” stories, and they’re just waiting for their orders to drop them. They’ll manufacture a “come back” as we get closer to the election, and that will be the narrative going into November. “He made tough, unpopular decisions, it almost cost him, but he’s ‘roaring’ back, blah, blah, blah.” They’ll be selling it hard.

Rational Thought on June 13, 2012 at 12:46 PM

Try as they might, even the MSM cannot prop up this loser, because the reality of people’s lives is undeniable.

Even state Dem officeholders are telling people privately that this guy is a loser in November.

matthew8787 on June 13, 2012 at 12:47 PM

“Picked the wrong day to quit sniffing glue.”
David Axelrod

*grin*

Nathan_OH on June 13, 2012 at 12:45 PM

perfect.

TexasDan on June 13, 2012 at 12:47 PM

Looks like the Wisconsin recall is turning out to be a huge backfire on the unions, Democrats, and Barack Obama. It may also hint at a Blue Wall collapse in five months.

But Howard Dean just told us that WI was a huge victory for the unions and Dems!

Seriously though, in the final analysis it will be interesting to see just how bad last week was for Obama and just how the Dems/unions losing in WI on Tuesday and Obama declaring the private sector is doing fine on Friday played out over the long term.

I’m more and more getting the sense that Obama and his people are imploding. The days of the public swooning and chanting O-BAM-A are over. It’s gotten to the point that his people are leaking stuff to the NYT to bolster Obama’s image (a crime that is far more reprehensible than Watergate IMO). The DoJ has no credibility. There is little faith that the economy will be improving anytime soon (even Obama has stopped coming out over tiny incremental changes and declaring that his policies are working). It is only mid-June, I am a little concerned just what these vile people are going to attempt to do come September or October.

Happy Nomad on June 13, 2012 at 12:47 PM

I would love to see the compelling reason why women favor Obama.

Marcus Traianus on June 13, 2012 at 12:42 PM

He’s just *so* dreamy.

Bouncing Beatnik on June 13, 2012 at 12:47 PM

If Mitt wins Wisconsin in November, Hotair should change it’s background to a video loop of the Humpbot for a full 24-hours.

ak90049 on June 13, 2012 at 12:47 PM

Larry O’Donnell just told me that the real winner of this poll is President Obama.

steebo77 on June 13, 2012 at 12:37 PM

:lol:

ITguy on June 13, 2012 at 12:48 PM

I would love to see the compelling reason why women favor Obama.

Marcus Traianus on June 13, 2012 at 12:42 PM

Romney leads by 16 points among voters with children still at home, 49/33

He’s popular with single hipsters and bitter spinsters.

Mothering a child focuses the mind and makes one serious about the future.

NoDonkey on June 13, 2012 at 12:48 PM

Oh my, indeed.

So where are those trolls again?

ICanSeeNovFromMyHouse on June 13, 2012 at 12:48 PM

So true. The Obamamedia has already written the “Obama is the come-back kid!” stories, and they’re just waiting for their orders to drop them. They’ll manufacture a “come back” as we get closer to the election, and that will be the narrative going into November. “He made tough, unpopular decisions, it almost cost him, but he’s ‘roaring’ back, blah, blah, blah.” They’ll be selling it hard.

Rational Thought on June 13, 2012 at 12:46 PM

Obama’s fate is tied to the economy. Which is only going to get WORSE between now and November because of Obama’s own creation: TAXMAGEDDON.

The LSM can spin all it wants. It won’t help this time. The only way Romney loses is if they find proof that it was HE who shot “Saint Trayvon” from the “grassy knoll”.

wildcat72 on June 13, 2012 at 12:49 PM

Obama’s going to have to contest in all kinds of markets he never expected to, and on a shoestring budget. Against a money machine.

Would be interesting to know what Obama’s burn rate is, as his overhead in Chicago is extraordinary. Will be most amusing when re-elect staffers get laid off. I predict it’s coming.

matthew8787 on June 13, 2012 at 12:49 PM

This PROVES Sarah Palin is running!!

NickDeringer on June 13, 2012 at 12:49 PM

Let’s not get cocky, folks, we still have 5 months to go.

JPeterman on June 13, 2012 at 12:42 PM

Good advice. We were starting to put together a search and rescue team. Glad to see you.

Bmore on June 13, 2012 at 12:49 PM

What’s left for Obama…martial law and cancelling the election???…

PatriotRider on June 13, 2012 at 12:37 PM

I hadn’t read your comment, but clearly we are concerned about the same thing…

Ayers’ office door is decorated with pictures of Mumia Abu-Jamal, Che Guevara and Malcolm X.

You will never get real freedom and recognition between black and white people in this country without destroying the country, without destroying the present political system, without destroying the present economic system, without rewriting the entire constitution.

It will be a complete destruction of everything that America supposedly stands for.

Malcolm X

And here’s a quote from the current resident of the White House, who found what he was looking for “only” in Malcolm X…

Only Malcolm X’s autobiography seemed to offer something different. His repeated acts of self-creation spoke to me. The blunt poetry of his words. His unadorned insistence on respect. He promised a new and uncompromising order, martial in its discipline.

Barack Hussein Obama

… and who shares his journey with Malcolm X:

But my journey is part of a larger journey – one shared by all who’ve ever sought to apply the values of their faith to our society. It’s a journey that takes us back to our nation’s founding, when none other than a UCC church inspired the Boston Tea Party and helped bring an Empire to its knees.

Barack Hussein Obama

ITguy on June 13, 2012 at 12:50 PM

Even state Dem officeholders are telling people privately that this guy is a loser in November.

matthew8787 on June 13, 2012 at 12:47 PM

I wonder if anybody has broken the news to Mooch that her days of taxpayer paid vacations will soon be coming to an end. Man! I would not want to be in the room when she figures that one out!

Happy Nomad on June 13, 2012 at 12:50 PM

while women give him (Obama) a narrower positive rating at 53/46

2nd look at 19th amendment? Geez….

hillsoftx on June 13, 2012 at 12:51 PM

Let’s not get cocky, folks, we still have 5 months to go.

JPeterman on June 13, 2012 at 12:42 PM

+54 million

Celebrate later, on Nov. 6…though this all couldn’t happen to a ‘nicer’ bunch. It’s schadenfreudig beyond belief to watch the cards all crumble.

When you build carton and sand castles this is what you get at the lightest breeze.

Schadenfreude on June 13, 2012 at 12:52 PM

Yeah baby!

gophergirl on June 13, 2012 at 12:52 PM

Would be interesting to know what Obama’s burn rate is, as his overhead in Chicago is extraordinary. Will be most amusing when re-elect staffers get laid off. I predict it’s coming.

matthew8787 on June 13, 2012 at 12:49 PM

All reports are his burn rate is VERY high. And he was planning on raising $1 billion and it looks like he will get half that AT MOST. If they don’t downsize NOW he’s going to have to do it at the worst possible time late in the campaign.

I think Barry’s so delusional he WONT downsize it and will run himself out of money…

wildcat72 on June 13, 2012 at 12:53 PM

Rick Santorum’s and Jeb Bush’s 2016 ambitions hardest hit! :-(

Punchenko on June 13, 2012 at 12:53 PM

Let’s not get cocky, folks, we still have 5 months to go.

JPeterman on June 13, 2012 at 12:42 PM

Very very true but news like this puts more spring in the step and makes you work even harder.

gophergirl on June 13, 2012 at 12:53 PM

while women give him (Obama) a narrower positive rating at 53/46

2nd look at 19th amendment? Geez….

hillsoftx on June 13, 2012 at 12:51 PM

The American Republic can survive a Barack Obama. It won’t survive a majority that would vote for Barack Obama.

wildcat72 on June 13, 2012 at 12:53 PM

This is all before the SCOTUS strikes down O care at the end of the month.

B Man on June 13, 2012 at 12:44 PM

If Obamacare goes down, Carney will have a week of nothing but Obamacare smackdown questions.

Please let it be so.

BuckeyeSam on June 13, 2012 at 12:54 PM

WISCONSIN VOTERS – TEAR DOWN THIS WALL!!

The Count on June 13, 2012 at 12:54 PM

this is what democracy looks like.

/cribbed it from somewhere’s else./

ted c on June 13, 2012 at 12:55 PM

He’s going to have to campaign hard EVERYWHERE except California, DC, New York, Massachusetts and Illinois. Those are the only states he’s certain to win. He could lose the other “53″.

wildcat72 on June 13, 2012 at 12:45 PM

He may or may not have to campaign in the other places you mention but I’m hardly going out on a limb when I say that DC is safely in Obama’s column. The DC GOP holds their conventions in a booth at the local IHOP. :0

Happy Nomad on June 13, 2012 at 12:55 PM

Stupid unions are gonna cost Obama this state. They wasted millions on the failed recall efforts. They energized Republican voters to register to vote and show up at the polls. And they vindicated Walker’s reforms and every single voter and supporter who backed them. All that’s left is to not allow the enthusiasm to wane between now and November which I don’t see being any problem at all.

Doughboy on June 13, 2012 at 12:55 PM

I saw a picture of AngryEd and DDRINTN pounding on doors in Wisconsin demanding the occupants support Obama….

Bradky on June 13, 2012 at 12:56 PM

He may or may not have to campaign in the other places you mention but I’m hardly going out on a limb when I say that DC is safely in Obama’s column. The DC GOP holds their conventions in a booth at the local IHOP. :0

Happy Nomad on June 13, 2012 at 12:55 PM

The whole “give DC the vote” thing was about nothing more than spotting the demoRAT party 3 electoral votes each election.

wildcat72 on June 13, 2012 at 12:56 PM

Larry O’Donnell just told me that the real winner of this poll is President Obama.

steebo77 on June 13, 2012 at 12:37 PM

I want to see him say that on November 7th prior to breaking into sobbing and incontinence.

NoDonkey on June 13, 2012 at 12:56 PM

The Unionistas now feel like Trotsky.

By God’s grace, Commies will vote against The Commie.

OhEssYouCowboys on June 13, 2012 at 12:59 PM

Let’s not get cocky, folks, we still have 5 months to go.

JPeterman on June 13, 2012 at 12:42 PM

You could let us get cocky for an hour. sigh.

taternuggets on June 13, 2012 at 12:59 PM

Please put RYAN on the ticket!!!

Romney/Ryan 2012

lan astaslem on June 13, 2012 at 12:59 PM

Rasmussen had the recall race at 50/45 for Walker (kind of in the middle of the pollsters), so there doesn’t seem to be a problem with Rasmussen’s likely voter model.

theperfecteconomist on June 13, 2012 at 1:00 PM

Would be interesting to know what Obama’s burn rate is, as his overhead in Chicago is extraordinary. Will be most amusing when re-elect staffers get laid off. I predict it’s coming.

matthew8787 on June 13, 2012 at 12:49 PM

That’s where his Chinese and Russian sponsors will come so handy. Best thing, they can do it openly. Either Obama wins, and there will be nobody to investigate him for another 4 years, or he loses and either flees the country or negotiates a halt of investigation or a pardon leveraging his ability to call for bloody urban riots.

Archivarix on June 13, 2012 at 1:01 PM

Very very true but news like this puts more spring in the step and makes you work even harder.

gophergirl on June 13, 2012 at 12:53 PM

I seriously think that is about the only value of such polls this far out from the election. Meaningless in large part but they do point out two irrefutable facts. Romney is still trending up and Obama is trending down. If maintained over a long enough period of time these become self-fulfilling realities.

The Dems were certain that the GOP would be a fractured mess at this point with angry supporters of the various loser candidates unwilling to unify behind the presumptive nominee. Instead, it is the Dems who are becoming more and more fractured as they realize that their guy isn’t going to win this thing in a walk and he does not have the coat tails to bring down ballot Dems along to victory.

Happy Nomad on June 13, 2012 at 1:01 PM

Lawrence O’Donnell: “The big winner in Wisconsin tonight is President Obama”

Lawrence O’Donnell: “The big winner in Wisconsin tonight is President Obama”

Lawrence O’Donnell: “The big winner in Wisconsin tonight is President Obama”

BKennedy on June 13, 2012 at 1:01 PM

If Obama were a quarterback, he would come into the game already down 14 to nothing. He’d throw 5 pick 6 touchdowns for the other team, and blame his receivers, the score when he was put in, the coaching, his center, his blockers, the scoreboard showing other games, the field, the sportscasters, the fans, and even the football itself…

In the post game press conference he’d list all of these things and more, and say with a straight face that he deserves to be the starting qb going “forward”…

ArtVandelay on June 13, 2012 at 1:01 PM

It feels like we’re reverting back to the 2000 and 2004 maps versus the ’08 one, which is a good sign.

changer1701 on June 13, 2012 at 1:01 PM

WISCONSIN VOTERS – TEAR DOWN THIS WALL!!

The Count on June 13, 2012 at 12:54 PM

Yesterday it was 25 years since that great speech. That was a man with a real spine.

Schadenfreude on June 13, 2012 at 1:02 PM

BKennedy on June 13, 2012 at 1:01 PM

Heh

Schadenfreude on June 13, 2012 at 1:02 PM

The question is, will Obama accept the verdict of the electorate, or will he attempt a coup? Given his foreign background, this is a legitimate question.

wildcat72 on June 13, 2012 at 12:35 PM

Our military will not back a coup. People need muscle to make a successful coup attempt.

NotCoach on June 13, 2012 at 12:36 PM

The military didn’t back a coup to put McCain or Kerry in power, who were both veterans. Would any of the “corpsemen” fight for Obama’s sorry electoral corpse, or would they thank the voters for giving them a better Commander in Chief?

Steve Z on June 13, 2012 at 1:02 PM

ROMNEY 2012!!!!

He’s not a Communist!!

PappyD61 on June 13, 2012 at 12:36 PM

Love it! Here’s one for the other car:

ROMNEY 2012
He doesn’t hate the USA.

Or:

ROMNEY 2012
He won’t bankrupt our kids.

TXUS on June 13, 2012 at 1:03 PM

I worry about how Narcissists take this kind of news…

PatriotRider on June 13, 2012 at 12:44 PM

You’re wise to do so.

It is important to understand that the use of violence must be ego-syntonic. It must accord with the self-image of the narcissist. It must abet and sustain his grandiose fantasies and feed his sense of entitlement. It must conform with the narcissistic narrative.

Thus, a narcissist who regards himself as the benefactor of the poor, a member of the common folk, the representative of the disenfranchised, the champion of the dispossessed against the corrupt elite – is highly unlikely to use violence at first.

The pacific mask crumbles when the narcissist has become convinced that the very people he purported to speak for, his constituency, his grassroots fans, the prime sources of his narcissistic supply – have turned against him. At first, in a desperate effort to maintain the fiction underlying his chaotic personality, the narcissist strives to explain away the sudden reversal of sentiment. “The people are being duped by (the media, big industry, the military, the elite, etc.)”, “they don’t really know what they are doing”, “following a rude awakening, they will revert to form”, etc.

When these flimsy attempts to patch a tattered personal mythology fail – the narcissist is injured. Narcissistic injury inevitably leads to narcissistic rage and to a terrifying display of unbridled aggression. The pent-up frustration and hurt translate into devaluation. That which was previously idealized – is now discarded with contempt and hatred.

This primitive defense mechanism is called “splitting”. To the narcissist, things and people are either entirely bad (evil) or entirely good. He projects onto others his own shortcomings and negative emotions, thus becoming a totally good object. A narcissistic leader is likely to justify the butchering of his own people by claiming that they intended to kill him, undo the revolution, devastate the economy, or the country, etc.

Barack Obama – Narcissist or Merely Narcissistic?

Flora Duh on June 13, 2012 at 1:04 PM

If Obama were a quarterback, he would come into the game already down 14 to nothing. He’d throw 5 pick 6 touchdowns for the other team, and blame his receivers, the score when he was put in, the coaching, his center, his blockers, the scoreboard showing other games, the field, the sportscasters, the fans, and even the football itself…

In the post game press conference he’d list all of these things and more, and say with a straight face that he deserves to be the starting qb going “forward”…

ArtVandelay on June 13, 2012 at 1:01 PM

This is exactly what I envision when we play OhYou.

OhEssYouCowboys on June 13, 2012 at 1:04 PM

You know the “Obama – the comeback kid” stories will be coming before too long. Don’t get complacent folks.

kerrhome on June 13, 2012 at 1:04 PM

WISCONSIN VOTERS – TEAR DOWN THIS WALL!!

The Count on June 13, 2012 at 12:54 PM
Yesterday it was 25 years since that great speech. That was a man with a real spine.

Schadenfreude on June 13, 2012 at 1:02 PM

Barry would have offered to help East Germany reinforce the wall and some helpful advice on where best to place the towers.

NoDonkey on June 13, 2012 at 1:05 PM

“Looks like the Wisconsin recall is turning out to be a huge backfire on the unions, Democrats, and Barack Obama…”

“What elections?” – MSM

Seven Percent Solution on June 13, 2012 at 1:07 PM

Waterloo?

WordsMatter on June 13, 2012 at 1:07 PM

I love reading about this shift more and more every day. I knew this was how it would play out…

All the ABR’s must be having a hard time squaring reality with how they thought Romney would flub things. He’s been everything I expected him to be and hopefully will continue on the path he’s on.

My only concern is that the narrative will get to the point where the only direction Obama can go is up in the polls and it snowballs into a win. Yeah, today the Democrats are disillusioned with how Obama’s campaign is going but there may come a point where he can get back on track and actually win this.

Stay on him like stink on *hit Romney! As Carville aptly said, if you keep your fists in your opponents face they can’t hit back.

Keep on hitting him Mitt! Don’t let up!

Mitmentum!!

SauerKraut537 on June 13, 2012 at 1:08 PM

Barry would have offered to help East Germany reinforce the wall and some helpful advice on where best to place the towers.

NoDonkey on June 13, 2012 at 1:05 PM

Zero to Honecker:

After I’m re-elected, I’ll be free to …

OhEssYouCowboys on June 13, 2012 at 1:08 PM

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