Exclusive* NARN interview with Scott Walker

posted at 12:31 pm on June 3, 2012 by Ed Morrissey

Allahpundit notes that Governor Scott Walker will make no major media appearances today — but that’s because he made his major media appearance yesterday.  (We’re major in the Twin Cities.  On Saturdays.  Trust us.)  Seeing as how Walker will spend his day on the campaign trail rather than in a television studio, I’ve clipped out the 10-minute interview from yesterday’s Northern Alliance Radio Network broadcast on AM 1280 The PatriotMitch Berg and I talked with our neighboring state’s chief exec as he toured Hudson, Wisconsin on a busy campaign day:

In other campaign news, voters have returned a large number of absentee ballot requests, hinting at a presidential-election level of turnout, but could also cause a delay in reporting the results:

More than 182,000 Wisconsin residents have requested absentee ballots or have voted early in a local elections office, according to the latest figures from the Government Accountability Board, the state’s elections watchdog. Those are just the numbers GAB can track.

Elections officials expect the number to top 200,000, nearing a record for a statewide election.

City of Madison elections officials had issued 16,145 absentee ballots by late Friday afternoon, with more than 800 stopping into the city clerks’ office to cast an early ballot on the last day.

Typically, most absentee ballots are cast in a clerk’s office, as many as 75 percent, according to the GAB.

It’s that other 25 percent that could decide the political fate of embattled Republican Gov. Scott Walkerhis Democratic challenger, Milwaukee Mayor Tom Barrett, a lieutenant governor’s race and four state GOP Senate seats.

Absentee ballots, to be valid, must be postmarked by election day. Those ballots will be counted up until the close of the business day next Friday.

If the election is close, as many expect it could be, the straggler votes could turn the outcome.

In 2010, there were 2.132 million votes cast for governor, so this would be close to 10% of that number, and in a special election may well exceed 10% of the final number of votes.  I’m not sure who benefits most from absentee balloting.  Of late Democrats usually do better in absentee voting, getting union help in organizing that part of the GOTV effort, but Walker raised a huge amount of money and had an organization in the field long before Barrett could start spending money.  I’m pretty sure I know who benefits from the requests in Madison, though, and it won’t be Walker.

Barrett may have other problems to deal with today and tomorrow.  Yesterday, the Milwaukee Journal Sentinel continued its investigation into crime reporting in the city of Milwaukee and the systematic miscoding of crimes that led to an artificial decrease of the violent crime rate under Barrett’s tenure, and it turns out that the city didn’t even code violent assaults on police officers that left them injured as violent crime:

The Milwaukee Police Department misreports aggravated assaults as lesser offenses – sometimes even when its own officers are seriously injured in the line of duty, a Journal Sentinel investigation has found.

In March, an on-duty Milwaukee police officer was attacked and suffered injuries that sent him to the hospital for treatment. Police arrested the perpetrator for felony battery, but reported the incident to the state and FBI as a “simple assault,” which will not be counted in the city’s 2012 violent crime rate.

The same thing happened in an earlier case, from March 2011.

In May, a Journal Sentinel investigation found more than 500 serious assaults that were misclassified by the department as lesser offenses from early 2009 through February. The review identified an additional 800 cases that follow the same pattern but couldn’t be verified with available public records. Copies of those incident reports have been sought from police through an open records request.

An analysis of the department’s recently re leased March crime data found more than 30 additional cases that follow the pattern of underreporting. The new misreported assaults also include felony child abuse cases and misdemeanor battery cases in which victims were threatened or injured with dangerous weapons.

Be sure to read the whole report.  The MJS found 160 cases of felony child abuse that were underreported as simple assault, for instance, rendering them in the FBI data as non-violent crimes.  It’s highly doubtful that the police themselves were making those decisions, and the large scale of the misreporting strongly suggests a concerted effort to reduce the reported violent crime rate in the city.

* – Exclusive? As far as I know, Walker wasn’t on the phone with anyone else during this interview.  That seems to be the threshold these days for “exclusives,” so …


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I suspect that the under-reporting of crime goes on in every Democratically controlled city in America. Likewise the racial aspects of crime, immigration status etc.

pat on June 3, 2012 at 12:36 PM

Allahpundit notes that Governor Scott Walker will make no major media appearances today — but that’s because he made his major media appearance yesterday. (We’re major in the Twin Cities. On Saturdays. Trust us.)

I agree. I enjoy ustreaming the NARN when I can do it on saturdays.

ted c on June 3, 2012 at 12:37 PM

what is going on in Milwaukee may be “reporting bias”

In empirical research, reporting bias refers to a tendency to under-report unexpected or undesirable experimental results, attributing the results to sampling or measurement error, while being more trusting of expected or desirable results, though these may be subject to the same sources of error. Over time, reporting bias can lead to a status quo where multiple investigators discover and discard the same results, and later experimenters justify their own reporting bias by observing that previous experimenters reported different results. Thus, each incident of reporting bias can make future incidents more likely. [1][2]

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Reporting_bias

ted c on June 3, 2012 at 12:40 PM

Great job Ed, as always.

VegasRick on June 3, 2012 at 12:44 PM

I think that Gov SW will emerge from this as a stronger, potentially much stronger governor. Good for him. The light has been shone upon his administration and the results look pretty darn good on the jobs/economic front.

ted c on June 3, 2012 at 12:48 PM

property taxes down and surplus is up. Those are the right directions.

ted c on June 3, 2012 at 12:48 PM

Wisconsin is the barricade of 2012.

As goes Wisconsin this coming Tuesday so goes the nation on Nov. 6, 2012.

Don’t celebrate until late at night on Tuesday or early Wedn., after each official and legal vote is counted.

Schadenfreude on June 3, 2012 at 12:49 PM

ED Morrissey is now the main stream media

gerrym51 on June 3, 2012 at 12:52 PM

As far as the absentee ballot situation goes, since Wisconsin has never had a statewide early-June electoin, it’s anybody’s guess. It could be the same ratio of the total vote as November, or it could be significantly higher since we are just entering the summer season and all those college students were “encouraged” to request an absentee ballot before they went home.

A data point via ConArtCritic – the city of Brookfield, with 1/16th the city of Milwaukee’s population, has had 1/4th the absentee ballot requests of Milwaukee. Did I mention Brookfield is very heavily Republican?

Steve Eggleston on June 3, 2012 at 12:54 PM

Got to give the MJS credit for exposing the crime data manipulation. It’s so rare to see good journalism, I am somewhat taken aback.

a capella on June 3, 2012 at 12:54 PM

Don’t celebrate until late at night on Tuesday or early Wedn., after each official and legal vote is counted.

Schadenfreude on June 3, 2012 at 12:49 PM

Voter fraud being discussed right now on FOX. It is going to be ugly.

VegasRick on June 3, 2012 at 12:55 PM

CAC on Ace of Spades has great updates on this. Dems are not turning out like Barrett needs in his strongholds for absentees.

Ca97 on June 3, 2012 at 12:59 PM

Of late Democrats usually do better in absentee voting, getting union help in organizing that part of the GOTV effort

….count on it…real bodies will have to show up to vote to offset that!

KOOLAID2 on June 3, 2012 at 1:05 PM

Voter fraud being discussed right now on FOX. It is going to be ugly.

If the votes are going a major way for barrett, I hope that Gov. Walker will demand a recount! I have a feeling Gov. Walker will not cave like others have done when a recount was needed. This goes for all those being recalled if things look as if fraud has gone on.

Good luck to all Tuesday and I pray the voters of WI will do what is best for their state. KEEP Gov. Walker and all recalled.
L

letget on June 3, 2012 at 1:06 PM

ED Morrissey is now the main stream media

gerrym51 on June 3, 2012 at 12:52 PM

“the NEW Media”…as far as HA is concerned…and Minnesota…and I’ve heard him sub on a few national shows…and now hoping that he gets more of an opportunity on a regular basis ,

KOOLAID2 on June 3, 2012 at 1:10 PM

Voter fraud being discussed right now on FOX. It is going to be ugly.

VegasRick on June 3, 2012 at 12:55 PM

Hope they’ve learned from the Al Franken debacle.

Pray for Scott Walker!!!!

redridinghood on June 3, 2012 at 1:21 PM

Don’t celebrate until late at night on Tuesday or early Wedn., after each official and legal vote is counted.

Schadenfreude on June 3, 2012 at 12:49 PM

…if it’s close…might have to wait a month…trunks of cars…voter machine problems…don’t foget about Minnesota!

KOOLAID2 on June 3, 2012 at 1:22 PM

The MJS found 160 cases of felony child abuse that were underreported as simple assault, for instance, rendering them in the FBI data as non-violent crimes. It’s highly doubtful that the police themselves were making those decisions, and the large scale of the misreporting strongly suggests a concerted effort to reduce the reported violent crime rate in the city.

Is there any level that Dems deem too low to stoop to?

(Rhetorical question with an obvious answer. But it’s just so disgusting.)

Bitter Clinger on June 3, 2012 at 1:32 PM

I suspect that the under-reporting of crime goes on in every Democratically controlled city in America. Likewise the racial aspects of crime, immigration status etc.

pat on June 3, 2012 at 12:36 PM

Just think what that means the “real crime rate” is in places like Detroit and DC. Scary.

Bitter Clinger on June 3, 2012 at 1:35 PM

I fear it’s gonna be closer than any polls indicate. In the event Walker loses, I’ll take some comfort in the fact that he has dealt a major body-blow to the left’s socialist agenda. I’ll take further comfort when listening to Barrett’s news conference explaining why we again have a multi-billion deficit and the “rich” have to pay their “fair share” (beyond the high taxes they already pay that puts the state in the top 10 nation-wide…might be top 5 but that data was a few years old and other states have probably passed us in the “race to the top” of a leaderboard that nobody should aspire to).

teejk on June 3, 2012 at 1:47 PM

I suspect that the under-reporting of crime goes on in every Democratically controlled city in America. Likewise the racial aspects of crime, immigration status etc.

pat on June 3, 2012 at 12:36 PM

Just think what that means the “real crime rate” is in places like Detroit and DC. Scary.

Bitter Clinger on June 3, 2012 at 1:35 PM

Don’t forget Chicago. It the real numbers were reported there, I imagine there would be a mass exodus fleeing the crime wave. To Wisconsin, most likely.

iurockhead on June 3, 2012 at 2:33 PM

If the absentee ballots in Wi. are anything like they are here in Ga. then I know the Demorats will benefit more than the R’s. Anyone can use an absentee ballot as long as a real person exists that requested it. An example is that someone’s son could vote for their disabled Mom
even if she didn’t want to vote for that person. Plus as we know most states are not up to date on the death roles so if the union thugs look for people that have died in the past year or two they will still be on the voters list. Walker should also make a list of places that “New” ballots can be “Found” after the polls have closed like a car trunk or in an old warehouse. We all know that the Demorats will lie, cheat, manufacture, create and threaten to win this election.

inspectorudy on June 3, 2012 at 2:43 PM

What I experienced at the Walker phone bank in Hudson, WI (1st exit off I 94 from MN) – head north, office is on the left, at the north end of a strip mall) was this: When I reached someone at the other end of the line, 80% of them were going to vote for Walker.

While I refuse to count chickens before they hatch, I’m cautiously optimistic. Madison – lefty haven – it’s the rest of the state that counts. Our phone bank location was calling people everywhere in the state.

MN J on June 3, 2012 at 3:08 PM

inspectorudy on June 3, 2012 at 2:43 PM

kinda funny ain’t it? dead people still entitled to vote as long as their name is on the registry…

only 70 some people in my township but on the primary I was amazed at how easy it would be for anybody to vote as me (they asked for my DL and I told them they couldn’t do that…they were somewhat befuddled for a bit and after a brief “huddle”, they agreed…I gave it to them anyway with my opinion that I’m glad they asked.

but rumor has it that same thing is why it takes 50 years to get Packer season tickets…grandma long-gone but keep that account open to write one check/year.

teejk on June 3, 2012 at 3:08 PM

Walker has his race in the bag.

Any word on the undercard?

Wisconsin Lt. Gov. Rebecca Kleefisch (KLAY’-fish)

This race is crtically important. If she loses, Walker will be bounced from office within a year on some trumped up charge by a politically grandstanding Democrat prosecutor.

patch on June 3, 2012 at 4:28 PM

As goes Wisconsin this coming Tuesday so goes the nation on Nov. 6, 2012.

Schadenfreude on June 3, 2012 at 12:49 PM

I kind of wish people would quit saying this. Nothing could get the Wisconsin dems(or other people who just like Obama) more fired up than thinking that they really, really have to win this recall election in order to get their beloved savior back in office.
And I haven’t been hearing dems saying it much, mostly republicans. It’s like they want the dems fired up to vote.

Just worry about keeping Walker now, and Nov. will take care of itself.

Sterling Holobyte on June 3, 2012 at 5:59 PM

Sterling Holobyte on June 3, 2012 at 5:59 PM

probably correct Sterling other than I think both sides have already shown their cards for Tuesday’s turnout (that “undecided” number is pretty low and the expected voter participation rate at or around 70% is amazing and will not be repeated for a long time)…I think Walker’s poll numbers might be indicative of people here that don’t agree with Walker at all but disagree with the abuse of the recall process even more. I would not use this election as a predictor of November.

teejk on June 3, 2012 at 6:29 PM

Walker has his race in the bag.

Any word on the undercard?

Wisconsin Lt. Gov. Rebecca Kleefisch (KLAY’-fish)

This race is crtically important. If she loses, Walker will be bounced from office within a year on some trumped up charge by a politically grandstanding Democrat prosecutor.

patch on June 3, 2012 at 4:28 PM

Only if all the Walker supporters either already voted early or show up Tuesday.

There’s less polling on the undercard, and Kleefisch is a couple points behind almost exclusively because fewer people responded in the race. There’s also far less money in the lt. gov. race, but Mahlon “Union Bully” Mitchell has put a lot into Google ads, which make their way here.

As a side note, that’s the main reason why I haven’t done ads back at my place.

Steve Eggleston on June 3, 2012 at 6:39 PM

Steve Eggleston on June 3, 2012 at 6:39 PM

Clarifying the “behind”, Kleefisch is behind Walker’s margin, not behind Mitchell. Vs. Mitchell, she’s been between 3-5 points ahead.

Steve Eggleston on June 3, 2012 at 7:14 PM

Good Luck Gov. Walker. Win or lose, thanks for fighting the good fight!!

Dollayo on June 4, 2012 at 3:33 AM

Walker is going to trounce Barrett and embarass the shameless dem’s! Watching the libiot heads spin off is going to be hilarious! ;)

insidiator on June 4, 2012 at 7:42 AM

I say if Barret wins, give him a year and then start a recall. What’s fair for Dems is fair for Reps.

HOOLiBAR6 on June 4, 2012 at 11:31 AM