Romney up 4 in new Rasmussen tracking poll

posted at 11:01 am on June 2, 2012 by Ed Morrissey

Coincidence?  Twenty-four hours after a jobs report that most considered a disaster, Mitt Romney took his biggest lead in the Rasmussen rolling tracking poll over Barack Obama, 48/44 — the biggest lead either man has had in weeks.  Rasmussen reminds us that this could just be statistical noise, of course:

The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Saturday shows Mitt Romney picking up 48% of the vote, while President Obama attracts 44%. Four percent (4%) prefer some other candidate, and five percent (5%) are undecided. …

This is the first time either candidate has been ahead by more than two points since President Obama held a three-point edge on May 21. As with all such changes, it remains to be seen whether these new numbers reflect a lasting change in the race or are merely statistical noise.

I’m pretty sure this isn’t coincidental:

For the first time in five-and-a-half years of regular tracking, half of voters now trust Republicans more than Democrats when it comes to the economy. The GOP now has a 50% to 39% advantage on the economy. And, of course, that’s the issue voters rate by far as most important this election season.

What is certainly not a coincidence was a five-point drop in Rasmussen’s consumer-confidence index.  Investors had their confidence shaken most, and it might take a while for the damage to be fully seen:

Following yesterday’s disappointing jobs report, consumer confidence fell five points overnight. It often takes up to a week before the impact of a jobs report is fully measured.

Among investors, the impact was especially dramatic. On Friday, just before the jobs report, investors were almost evenly divided as to their own financial trends—35% said things were getting better, while 39% said the opposite. On Saturday morning, just 30% of investors believe their finances are getting better, while 43% think they are getting worse. The stock market had a terrible month of May and the Dow fell by 275 points following the jobs report.

Results in both tracking polls are three-day averages.  That means that the impact of the jobs report will likely increase over the next few days in both indices.  The consumer confidence index had been fairly close to its 2012 high, 97.1, with Thursday’s 93.5, up from the previous day’s 92.4.  It’s now 88.6, and unless respondents get very optimistic today and tomorrow, that big one-day response will pull down the index.  As that happens, Romney’s position relative to Obama is also likely to improve.

Compare the latest presidential tracking poll to the previous weekly results from surveys conducted from May 21-27.  In that aggregation of daily polling, Romney was tied with Obama at 45% — not a comfortable place for an incumbent President five months before an election.  That dead heat went all the way through the demographics.  Romney had a one-point edge among independents, and a one-point edge in the overall gender gap (men +12, women -11).

Going from a single point lead on Friday (46/45) to a four-point lead today (48/44) means that something significant changed, at least temporarily, and it would be interesting to see where Romney made his gains.  I suspect that the right/wrong track numbers, already poor for Obama at 31/62, shifted even more negative and his 50/50 approval probably took a big hit as well.


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…only 4%?

KOOLAID2 on June 2, 2012 at 11:03 AM

Surely consumer confidence will be boosted by a shiny new IPO-object like Facebook, righ…….er. wait./

ted c on June 2, 2012 at 11:04 AM

…over 40% of the people have mental problems?
How does JugEars get more than single digits?

KOOLAID2 on June 2, 2012 at 11:05 AM

Romney was tied with Obama at 45% — not a comfortable place for an incumbent President five months before an election.

smell the fail.

ted c on June 2, 2012 at 11:05 AM

…I like how the MSM is trumpeting that the April figures for employment were revised downward too!…oh…oh? …they did their job in April…never mind!

KOOLAID2 on June 2, 2012 at 11:08 AM

No wonder Obama pines for 2008.

Mord on June 2, 2012 at 11:10 AM

Give Obama’s Memorial Day picture some more press.

Cindy Munford on June 2, 2012 at 11:11 AM

I wonder what the proportion is of upward vs downward revisions in employment figures and other statistics over the last several years. It seems as if rosy predictions always get revised downward.

ted c on June 2, 2012 at 11:12 AM

…only 4%?

KOOLAID2 on June 2, 2012 at 11:03 AM

.
Yeah, I don’t trust it either.

If the election were held today, the “popular vote” difference in percentage would be into double digits.

I can’t believe otherwise.

listens2glenn on June 2, 2012 at 11:13 AM

The final no-holds-barred Race Card of Destruction is on the verge of being dropped, so close you can almost smell it. There’s nothing left to play for TFGP so he will drop back on the only thing left in his pathetic quiver, his skin color.

Bishop on June 2, 2012 at 11:14 AM

Going from a single point lead on Friday (46/45) to a four-point lead today (48/44) means that something significant changed…

Or it’s, you know, residual variance within the margin of error. I like good news as much as the next guy, but let’s not go s… slapping each other’s backs just yet, gentlemen.

Fabozz on June 2, 2012 at 11:17 AM

Give Obama’s Memorial Day picture some more press.

Cindy Munford on June 2, 2012 at 11:11 AM

.
That image sure didn’t do him any good. : )

Also, they should poll beyond “city limits”. I bet that would make a difference.

listens2glenn on June 2, 2012 at 11:18 AM

I wish he was up by 54 points.

I think I’m going to be this nervous until the election.

Don’t screw up Mitt, don’t screw up Mitt, don’t screw up Mitt.

gophergirl on June 2, 2012 at 11:19 AM

It’s been +8 for Romney before–wouldn’t be at all surprised to see that revisited.

theperfecteconomist on June 2, 2012 at 11:19 AM

Bishop on June 2, 2012 at 11:14 AM

Unless I’m missing something, they haven’t stopped playing the race card since he was elected?

DDay on June 2, 2012 at 11:19 AM

listens2glenn on June 2, 2012 at 11:18 AM

I thought that the hicks didn’t have phones!

Cindy Munford on June 2, 2012 at 11:20 AM

If the election were held today, the “popular vote” difference in percentage would be into double digits.

I can’t believe otherwise.

listens2glenn on June 2, 2012 at 11:13 AM

I can.

Since the election of the Obamanation I have been throughly convinced that the left finally did succeed in their “march through the institutions,” of completely eliminating critical thinking skills in this country…

Janovus on June 2, 2012 at 11:23 AM

I’m not the biggest Romney fan by any strech of the imagination. I still have this sinking feeling that he’ll try to govern as a moderate and will try to save Obamacare rather than coming up with something new or sandbag us with a prudent Supreme Court pick that leaves us with another David Souter, but still, I love the way his campaign is working so far, punching back twice as hard and blunting all of Obama’s stupid mis-direction attacks. The parlell images of Axelrod being heckled in Boston while Mitt was at Solyndra was brilliant. Had the McCain camp shown half of the “descended male genitalia” that this campaign seems to have, we wouldn’t be worried about this election.

Teacher in Tejas on June 2, 2012 at 11:24 AM

Yeah, slowly but surely. More incompetence on the obumble side. Then we ca gain more.

jake49 on June 2, 2012 at 11:27 AM

If the tallies for the previous 3 days had each been 46/45, the newest day would have to be 52/42 to cause the shift. That or it’s split between a smaller bump and a more Obama-favorable day that fell off.

theperfecteconomist on June 2, 2012 at 11:28 AM

So if we add in the Eeyore factor of -5%, Obama is ahead by 1%?

oldroy on June 2, 2012 at 11:28 AM

How does JugEars get more than single digits?

KOOLAID2 on June 2, 2012 at 11:05 AM

Two words: “Skin color”

SnarkySam on June 2, 2012 at 11:28 AM

…so when are the trolls going to quit lurking for threads where they can scream out another shiny object…and give us their analysis?
…molester?…you’re smarter than the other mensa misfits… Upyerassideways, DumbBear, UrbanInfection et al…
…give it a whirl!

KOOLAID2 on June 2, 2012 at 11:31 AM

One and done.

AZCoyote on June 2, 2012 at 11:32 AM

Hopefully Romney will increase the spread. The events of the past week may take a few days to ripple though the awareness of the country, but word spreads.

dogsoldier on June 2, 2012 at 11:32 AM

Don’t screw up Mitt, don’t screw up Mitt, don’t screw up Mitt.

gophergirl on June 2, 2012 at 11:19 AM

..dear lady: contribute (I know you already did); volunteer to phone bank in August, September, October; walk precinct; and, at every opportunity, deliver a swift kick to the groin of every liberal, leftard, Obama supporter you see!

The War Planner on June 2, 2012 at 11:35 AM

Mitt is not Reagan but perhaps he is a business-man version of Reagan…Reagan broke backs of the Soviets so we don’t need a communists fighter now, notwithstanding the fact that we have communists in the whitehouse and Congress…GW broke the back of al Qaeda. Yes, they are still out there but the machinery that GW put in place from intelligence, to armed drones, to homeland security, to troops on the ground in al Qaeda’s homeland of Afghanistan have turned the tide on the jihadists. It’s time to put America back to work. It’s my belief that Mitt is uniquely qualified to pull America back from the precipice of economic collapse…He is the man America most needs right now…It looks like a large part of the voting public could agree on that.

Nozzle on June 2, 2012 at 11:36 AM

:-) on that last point, of course.

The War Planner on June 2, 2012 at 11:36 AM

It’s time to put America back to work. It’s my belief that Mitt is uniquely qualified to pull America back from the precipice of economic collapse…He is the man America most needs right now…It looks like a large part of the voting public could agree on that.

Nozzle on June 2, 2012 at 11:36 AM

..amen, bro or sis, as the case may be!

The War Planner on June 2, 2012 at 11:37 AM

The drop in consumer confidence is probably not important unless it translates into a change in consumer behavior; if you take a poll of consumers on a day when the government releases a bad jobs report and the Dow drops 275 points you would naturally expect a drop in confidence. But it is unlikely that one report and one bad day on The Street will impact people’s lifestyles.

TouchdownBuddha on June 2, 2012 at 11:38 AM

Rasmussen reminds us that this could just be statistical noise

I actually think this is real citizenry noise as they become more comfortable expressing their angst against The Won. We see Obama struggling against “No Names/Uncommitted” in primaries, Dems. jumping ship to the GOP, some MSM (ie, Cooper Anderson, WaPo)members actually beginning to extract their heads, etc., and as a result, the people are more at ease jumping on the anti-Obama bandwagon without fear of “racial” reprisals.

hillsoftx on June 2, 2012 at 11:38 AM

Cindy Munford on June 2, 2012 at 11:11 AM

What picture would that be?

ThePrez on June 2, 2012 at 11:40 AM

Romney has had leads in this poll before so all I can say is Yawn another poll.

gerry-mittbot-how many more poll threads can ED do

gerrym51 on June 2, 2012 at 11:41 AM

I can see tomorrow’s headlines:
“Evil Corporations refusing to hire just to make Obama look bad”

In Excess on June 2, 2012 at 11:41 AM

This is why the DOJ blocked Florida from removing non-citizens from their voter rolls: 0 needs all the help he can get, especially DOJ-sanctioned voter fraud. Same as their blocking voter ID laws in southern states (where the have the power to do so), can’t go suppressing the faux vote.

iurockhead on June 2, 2012 at 11:42 AM

How is everyone going to make it to November? Then, how will we keep the unwanted administration and the Harry Reid congress from burning all the bridges so we can’t get back?

Fleuries on June 2, 2012 at 11:43 AM

Romney has had leads in this poll before so all I can say is Yawn another poll.

gerry-mittbot-how many more poll threads can ED do

gerrym51 on June 2, 2012 at 11:41 AM

Go have a look at the chart. Romney is trending up, 0 is trending flat to slightly down. I would not be surprised to see Romney bump up over 50% next week.

iurockhead on June 2, 2012 at 11:46 AM

hillsoftx on June 2, 2012 at 11:38 AM

Yep, and very well put.

cozmo on June 2, 2012 at 11:49 AM

I thought that the hicks didn’t have phones!

Cindy Munford on June 2, 2012 at 11:20 AM

We even have them in our tractors now, along with CD players, GPS, and WiFi. And when we’re not clinging to our guns and our Bibles, we’re posting on Hot Air. :)

AubieJon on June 2, 2012 at 11:50 AM

Mittsunami!

slickwillie2001 on June 2, 2012 at 11:51 AM

Give Obama’s Memorial Day picture some more press.

Cindy Munford on June 2, 2012 at 11:11 AM

…I was shaking I was so upset when I saw that reflective image…I know people on that wall…and that was not something I wanted to reflect on…with JugEars background.

KOOLAID2 on June 2, 2012 at 11:51 AM

The final no-holds-barred Race Card of Destruction is on the verge of being dropped, so close you can almost smell it. There’s nothing left to play for TFGP so he will drop back on the only thing left in his pathetic quiver, his skin color.

Bishop on June 2, 2012 at 11:14 AM

Yeah, everyone is pretty much waiting for that.

Go RBNY on June 2, 2012 at 11:52 AM

4% –> 7% soon

petefrt on June 2, 2012 at 11:53 AM

If the tallies for the previous 3 days had each been 46/45, the newest day would have to be 52/42 to cause the shift. That or it’s split between a smaller bump and a more Obama-favorable day that fell off.

theperfecteconomist on June 2, 2012 at 11:28 AM

I think their formula tries to take that into account.

Other polls like this have not shown this effect. They generally level off only up another point or two.

Steveangell on June 2, 2012 at 11:53 AM

Romney should continue to rise in the polls if he and his campaign consistently and relentlessly continue to perform as they did last week. Romney and his team seem to have learned from all of McCain’s 2008 mistakes, and Romney has the skills to exploit Obama’s multiple weaknesses, rather than excuse them as McCain did.

GaltBlvnAtty on June 2, 2012 at 11:53 AM

Mirror, Mirror, On The Wall, Who Has The Fairest GDP Average Of Them All?

http://predicthistunpredictpast.blogspot.com/2012/06/20091-5.html

M2RB: Dire Straits

Resist We Much on June 2, 2012 at 11:53 AM

The final no-holds-barred Race Card of Destruction is on the verge of being dropped, so close you can almost smell it. There’s nothing left to play for TFGP so he will drop back on the only thing left in his pathetic quiver, his skin color.

Bishop on June 2, 2012 at 11:14 AM

Yeah, everyone is pretty much waiting for that.

Go RBNY on June 2, 2012 at 11:52 AM

The way every campaign canard has turned into a petard for them so far, wonder if they’re not going to be slightly a little more hesitant to use this one?

Nah. And once again they’ll be surprised that it didn’t work they way they expected.

de rigueur on June 2, 2012 at 12:01 PM

I keep coming upon this meme that the policies of Mitt Romney are those that they are using today in Europe.
Europe hasn’t had policies anything like those of Mitt Romney for at least a few decades.
No, Europe took another route. They are beyond Barack Obama. They are where Obama would be if you let him be President for 10 or so more years. They are where Obama would be when he realizes that everything he has tried just didn’t work they way his academic friends said it would. Europe is where Obama would be when he realizes that Maggie Thatcher was right, that eventually you run out of other people’s money.
Yes, they both involve some level of austerity, but the difference is that Romney’s austerity comes before you go bankrupt when you have a chance to form your own priorities. It’s called being “responsible.” While Europe’s austerity comes from being bankrupt when outside parties will do it for you. It comes from having been irresponsible.

J_Crater on June 2, 2012 at 12:05 PM

Going from a single point lead on Friday (46/45) to a four-point lead today (48/44) means that something significant changed…

I don’t know…Ras had Romney up 8 a few weeks ago. What was that all about?

bobs1196 on June 2, 2012 at 12:06 PM

How does JugEars get more than single digits?

KOOLAID2 on June 2, 2012 at 11:05 AM

Two words: “Skin color”

SnarkySam on June 2, 2012 at 11:28 AM

Two more. Food stamps.

msupertas on June 2, 2012 at 12:08 PM

1. Economy is in the pooper.
2. Barak “The Destroyer” Obama is not getting anywhere near that ONE BILLION DOLLARS.
3. Economy is in the pooper.
4. Barak “The Destroyer” Obama is going to have to spend money in places like Kalifornia and other deep blue states.
5. Economy is in the pooper.
6. Barak “The Destroyer” Obama has pissed off Catholics.
7. Economy is in the pooper.
8. Barak “The Destroyer” Obama has pissed off religious blacks.
9. Economy is in the pooper.
10. Barak “The Destroyer” Obama has democrat politicians running away from him.

jukin3 on June 2, 2012 at 12:11 PM

Romney up 4 in new Rasmussen tracking poll… Consumer confidence sinks five points overnight.

C’mon. You KNOW what Obama’s people are going to do with this effect-and-cause scenario, right?

Remember: these are the same people who think that higher global temperatures are caused by the carbon dioxide levels which historically which tend to follow them.

logis on June 2, 2012 at 12:15 PM

Really glad Mitt did not hire abject losers like Steve Schmidt to run his campaign.

Right Mover on June 2, 2012 at 12:17 PM

What Obama Memorial Day picture?

Little Boomer on June 2, 2012 at 12:17 PM

What Obama Memorial Day picture?

Little Boomer on June 2, 2012 at 12:17 PM

OTD June 1 …8:01 AM…Ed’s

KOOLAID2 on June 2, 2012 at 12:20 PM

…sorry Prez…forgot you!…answered Little Boomer

ThePrez on June 2, 2012 at 11:40 AM

KOOLAID2 on June 2, 2012 at 12:26 PM

I think their formula tries to take that into account.

Other polls like this have not shown this effect. They generally level off only up another point or two.

Steveangell on June 2, 2012 at 11:53 AM

Yes, Raz’s formula is to average the most recent three days of results. The newest data replaces the oldest and then averaged (divided by three). So the full effect will be known after two more daily polls come in. Expect the gap to grow over the next two days of Raz reporting.

65droptop on June 2, 2012 at 12:26 PM

smell the fail.

ted c on June 2, 2012 at 11:05 AM

I do. You smell it too? I was wondering if I was smellucinating.

lynncgb on June 2, 2012 at 12:30 PM

O in Obummer stands for zeroes in debt: http://www.zerohedge.com/contributed/2012-06-01/ground-zeroes

anikol on June 2, 2012 at 12:32 PM

this: http://moonbattery.com/?p=12286

anikol on June 2, 2012 at 12:40 PM

also found on the official White House Photo of the Day:
http://www.whitehouse.gov/photos-and-video/photogallery/may-2012-photo-day

anikol on June 2, 2012 at 12:43 PM

Expect the gap to grow over the next two days of Raz reporting.

I’d agree, except for the fact that weekend polling generally favors Democrats, so the effect might take a few more days to really show up.

Right Mover on June 2, 2012 at 12:54 PM

I’d agree, except for the fact that weekend polling generally favors Democrats, so the effect might take a few more days to really show up.

Right Mover on June 2, 2012 at 12:54 PM

Fair point. The next “mover” in the polls is the expected Supreme Court decision on the “mandate” — that will be interesting.

65droptop on June 2, 2012 at 1:05 PM

I don’t know…Ras had Romney up 8 a few weeks ago. What was that all about?

bobs1196 on June 2, 2012 at 12:06 PM

I don’t recall Rasmussen’s daily tracking poll having Romney up by that much? He did have a poll showing Mitt up by 8 points in North Carolina (which is reasonable).

SouthernGent on June 2, 2012 at 1:13 PM

I don’t recall Rasmussen’s daily tracking poll having Romney up by that much? He did have a poll showing Mitt up by 8 points in North Carolina (which is reasonable).

SouthernGent on June 2, 2012 at 1:13 PM

Look at the graph between May 3 and 21, SouthernGent. (This assumes I can competently post the link to Raz.)

65droptop on June 2, 2012 at 1:22 PM

So…are we going to see some magic changes in how economic data is issued for the rest of this year? Is there going to be some magic-beans ‘Office of the Economy’ in the administration that’s going to be given the responsibility of sanitizing everything that goes out?

Wouldn’t surprise me from this lot.

JEM on June 2, 2012 at 1:31 PM

Why, why, why is anybody still planning to vote for a president who goes to 6 fundraisers on a day when the no jobs report comes out and tells his dupes in attendance that it was a bigger mess than Bush led me to believe, it’s not going to be fixed over night and things really are getting better just not as fast as we’d like???
Thanks for the checks.

Kissmygrits on June 2, 2012 at 1:31 PM

I want Romney to make the 1984 Reagan-Mondale presidential race (525 to 13 electoral college votes) to look like it was a squeaker. I want barack to be humiliated into self-imposed reclusiveness so we never have to hear about him again.

What a joke of a human being. November can’t come soon enough.

DuctTapeMyBrain on June 2, 2012 at 1:33 PM

Second chance?

65droptop on June 2, 2012 at 1:23 PM

Ah, I see. Thanks for the reminder.

SouthernGent on June 2, 2012 at 1:40 PM

I actually think this is real citizenry noise as they become more comfortable expressing their angst against The Won. We see Obama struggling against “No Names/Uncommitted” in primaries, Dems. jumping ship to the GOP, some MSM (ie, Cooper Anderson, WaPo)members actually beginning to extract their heads, etc., and as a result, the people are more at ease jumping on the anti-Obama bandwagon without fear of “racial” reprisals.

hillsoftx on June 2, 2012 at 11:38 AM

Instapundit, Glenn Reynolds, calls this a “preference cascade.” Where people suddenly realize that what they’re fearing doesn’t exist and get together to change an existing situation. Reagan was demonized by Carter in 1980. The debates showed voters that Reagan was reasonable. In the voting booths, being tired of Carter, they went for Reagan. While Romney is no Reagan, it might happen again. See Romney, Obama, and the 2012 preference cascade.

Gladtobehere on June 2, 2012 at 1:44 PM

The final no-holds-barred Race Card of Destruction is on the verge of being dropped, so close you can almost smell it. There’s nothing left to play for TFGP so he will drop back on the only thing left in his pathetic quiver, his skin color.
Bishop on June 2, 2012 at 11:14 AM

Probably (despite the efforts so far) still a good number of state secrets that can be leaked for Obama to try to claim credit for before he gets to that level of desperation.

I guess he could always open Area 51, but he has that fringes vote locked up…well, those who actually bother to vote which leaves out those who either believe that voting allows for a tracking chip to be implanted in their head when they pull the lever or those who figure the chip is already there so it automatically counts their votes without them having to do anything if they just take their tin foil hats off long enough to shower.

Betenoire on June 2, 2012 at 1:47 PM

gallup is moving in the opposite direction, Romney still has not posted a consistent lead in any swing state outside of OH.

libfreeordie on June 2, 2012 at 1:47 PM

This is what that scumbag will be singing early on Nov. 6.

Apologies to Stevie…

maelstrom on June 2, 2012 at 1:52 PM

gallup is moving in the opposite direction, Romney still has not posted a consistent lead in any swing state outside of OH.

libfreeordie on June 2, 2012 at 1:47 PM

You dizzy, spinmeister? Rasmussen is the most accurate. Fact.

AllahsNippleHair on June 2, 2012 at 2:05 PM

If I had a HAMMER…

RalphyBoy on June 2, 2012 at 2:08 PM

We have five months to go before I start celebrating over poll numbers that show Romney beating Soetoro.

We have way too much ground to cover before November. Complacency and premature celebration are as much an enemy as 0bama.

/obligatory reference to the fact that Carter was tied with Reagan at this point in time, and that Dukakis led Bush 41 by double-digits in July of 1988

MidniteRambler on June 2, 2012 at 2:10 PM

Expect to see these numbers, with Obama trailing, begin to solidify a bit moving forward. Based on the events of this week, there’s reason to believe that The One may already be toast … http://bit.ly/qVdDUt

ombdz on June 2, 2012 at 2:16 PM

How does JugEars get more than single digits?

KOOLAID2 on June 2, 2012 at 11:05 AM

Another factor: stupid people.

Let’s not forget government workers and public employee unions.

0bama has a floor of about 40% of the electorate. No matter what happens, no matter how disastrous 0bama’s presidency is, they WILL vote for four more years of Hype And Blame. Romney does not have that much margin for error, which is why I am not celebrating encouraging polls like this one five months from the election.

MidniteRambler on June 2, 2012 at 2:17 PM

The drop in consumer confidence is probably not important unless it translates into a change in consumer behavior; if you take a poll of consumers on a day when the government releases a bad jobs report and the Dow drops 275 points you would naturally expect a drop in confidence. But it is unlikely that one report and one bad day on The Street will impact people’s lifestyles.

TouchdownBuddha on June 2, 2012 at 11:38 AM

what I don’t understand is why the liberal troll Budha only participates in those economic threads where the news is catastrophic for Obama.

Why do we never see this young sharp Chicago intern discuss anything else other than, “the numbers you see are not the reality- you are misinterpreting things and the truth is that things are going along just fine, and next month numbers will be looking great so no need to worry.”

you are such an obvious troll in the few econ threads you post, that the Obama campaign must have assigned their staffers to handle individual topics:

“Mormonism”, “dogs”, “Bain”, “gays”, “abortion” and now economic issues…

AirForceCane on June 2, 2012 at 2:18 PM

The leftists’ line has started to break. Some of them are arguing with each other, some are panicking, some are even starting to support the opposing general. They’re running away. Many realize that left-wingism has totally failed. Their more ardent deniers of reality continue to blame it on everyone else though–for example, evil bankers, earthquakes and ATM machines.

Let’s hope they all come to their senses, realize the Democratic Party was one of history’s mad curiosities, and turn around and do the right thing.

There was once a dreadful, onerous government in America that issued too many unfair rules and proclamations, and on one July 4th a document laid out all the complaints of the governed against it. Then liberty ensued. And it will again.

Farewell King George. Goodbye leftists.

Allendundit on June 2, 2012 at 2:19 PM

The drop in consumer confidence is probably not important unless it translates into a change in consumer behavior; if you take a poll of consumers on a day when the government releases a bad jobs report and the Dow drops 275 points you would naturally expect a drop in confidence. But it is unlikely that one report and one bad day on The Street will impact people’s lifestyles.

TouchdownBuddha on June 2, 2012 at 11:38 AM

I can only offer my own personal observations, but the department stores(Worst Buy, Fry’s, Kohl’s, OfficeMax) I frequent have been fairly quiet lately. They were packed during the holidays back when the economy looked like it was starting to recover, so clearly there is a link between the recent crappy jobs reports and the reduced traffic at these places.

The only joints you still see people packing into are restaurants and cineplexes. And even the latter is arguably only being boosted by the massive success of The Avengers.

Doughboy on June 2, 2012 at 2:21 PM

gallup is moving in the opposite direction, Romney still has not posted a consistent lead in any swing state outside of OH.

libfreeordie on June 2, 2012 at 1:47 PM

Once again

‘Sup, libdieorfree?

Lanceman on June 2, 2012 at 2:21 PM

We’ve suffered enough. Go Mitt! Target your message to us, who are exasperated by this long recession, hit it hard and frequently, and in every corner of the nation. Do it now and keep it coming. It’s not rocket science.

Philly on June 2, 2012 at 2:35 PM

The Sclerotic To Skeletal Rhapsody in F Minus

http://predicthistunpredictpast.blogspot.com/2012/06/sclerotic-to-skeletal-rhapsody-in-f.html

M2RB: Led Zepplin

Resist We Much on June 2, 2012 at 3:03 PM

We even have them in our tractors now, along with CD players, GPS, and WiFi. And when we’re not clinging to our guns and our Bibles, we’re posting on Hot Air. :)

AubieJon on June 2, 2012 at 11:50 AM

GPS? How many acres do you have?

katy the mean old lady on June 2, 2012 at 3:09 PM

It seems as if rosy predictions always get revised downward.

ted c on June 2, 2012 at 11:12 AM

I used to think the media or the government were manipulating the data. Then, heard a comment (I ‘think’ by Dana Perino) that it was typical for the unemployment numbers to be understated, since often not all data was received on time. That seems to make sense to me. I have not dug up the data, but I would not be surprised if the numbers in the Bush years were similar in their level of inaccuracy.
Anyone know for sure?

Red State State of Mind on June 2, 2012 at 3:50 PM

Romney still has not posted a consistent lead in any swing state outside of OH.

libfreeordie on June 2, 2012 at 1:47 PM

You missed a few states but I’d like for you, and yours, to keep the delusions going, until Nov. 6.

1980

Schadenfreude on June 2, 2012 at 4:26 PM

gallup is moving in the opposite direction, Romney still has not posted a consistent lead in any swing state outside of OH.

libfreeordie on June 2, 2012 at 1:47 PM

Gallup polls registered voters. Rasmussen polls likely voters. Almost all major polling outfits will switch to LVs around Labour Day because LIKELY VOTER POLLS ARE MUCH MORE ACCURATE PREDICTORS.

But, if you want to talk about Gallup, we can…and what I will tell you — based on 60 years of Gallup polls — is unlikely ease any concerns that you might have…

Resist We Much on June 2, 2012 at 5:00 PM

Give Obama’s Memorial Day picture some more press.

Cindy Munford on June 2, 2012 at 11:11 AM

Heh.

He eats dogs ya know.

Tim_CA on June 2, 2012 at 6:28 PM

Red State State of Mind on June 2, 2012 at 3:50 PM

There does appear to be some truth in what she said although the Obama administration has made an art of “revising.” They simply do not even count certain segments anymore.

Back to the point, I was compiling quarterly GDP averages back to the beginning of Carter’s presidency yesterday and found that the Department of Commerce puts out, at least, three numbers on GDP for each quarter: advance estimate, second estimate, third/final estimate. Then, sometimes, it releases “technical revisory notes.”

Resist We Much on June 2, 2012 at 6:47 PM

The final no-holds-barred Race Card of Destruction is on the verge of being dropped, so close you can almost smell it. There’s nothing left to play for TFGP so he will drop back on the only thing left in his pathetic quiver, his skin color.

Bishop on June 2, 2012 at 11:14 AM

I think he’s going to drop that hammer when Zimmerman’s charges get dropped in the Trayvon Martin case. He’s already stuck his foot in it with “My aborted son might have looked like Trayvon,” or whatever it was he said (proving, btw, that he didn’t learn anything from the Skip Gates affaid), so I think he’ll double down, question the decision, and foment riots. Then we’ll hear sanctimonious talk on race from the Scolder-in-Chief, after which the whole thing will boomerang as the American people digest the facts of what happen. His last epic fail. Meltdown to follow.

smellthecoffee on June 3, 2012 at 12:46 AM

Ed, an inquiring mind wants to know how the pollsters poll the dead people who will be voting? That seance must be quite interesting.

{o.o}

herself on June 3, 2012 at 1:20 PM

The emperor has no clothes.

BO has managed to redefine the phrase “Doesn’t live up to the hype.”

2008 was total electoral fraud. The media has no credibility anymore.

JB-STLMO on June 3, 2012 at 5:43 PM

I’m on hold until the SCOTUS has their say in this health care law and I’m on pins and needles that they are going to come out with a barn storming decision on many of the side stepping procedures this administration uses to get their way.

mixplix on June 4, 2012 at 6:37 AM