Rasmussen: Romney now up in Ohio

posted at 1:21 pm on May 31, 2012 by Ed Morrissey

Not just in Ohio, Rasmussen states, but also in Florida, North Carolina, and Virginia.  In case you haven’t been keeping score, those are four states that Barack Obama won in 2008, and which Mitt Romney must take away to have a shot at the Presidency in November.  According to the latest from Rasmussen, Romney’s on his way.  After just one month of focusing all his efforts on Obama, Romney now has leads in all four swing states:

The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Thursday shows Mitt Romney with 46% of the vote to President Obama’s 45%. …

Romney has inched ahead of Obama in Ohio, taking the lead in the key battleground state after the president has led there for several months.  This also marks a continuing shift in the critical Core Four states – Ohio, FloridaNorth Carolina and Virginia – with the Republican now leading in all four for the first time in Rasmussen Reports polling this year.

Only the Ohio numbers are fresh, actually, but they are critical.  “Inched” is probably a good description for Ohio; Romney leads only by two, 46/44.  The low level of support for Obama as an incumbent with Romney only now winning the GOP nomination is probably the bigger story.  Rasmussen has a D/R/I sample in this survey of 34/31/35, which is much better for Democrats than the 36/37/28 that turned out in the 2010 midterms.  If anything, this poll might undersample Republicans.

Romney leads Obama among independents by a wide margin, 47/35, a disastrous outcome for Obama in Ohio. The gender gap actually tilts slightly in Romney’s favor, with a 51/39 lead among men and a 41/48 deficit among women.  Romney wins majorities among the two older age demos, while losing younger voters by 21 points, 32/53.  Obama loses or ties in all income demographics except the under-$20K demo, winning that 57/31.

Some of the questions on this survey produce rather amusing results.  For instance, 55% of respondents say they’re choosing between the lesser of two evils rather than out of enthusiasm for Romney or Obama, with the majority of Democrats enthused and two-thirds of Republicans and independents resigned to their vote.   Two-thirds say that the process has not produced the best possible candidates, with that judgment more or less consistent across partisan lines.  Among more traditional measures, Romney leads on the economy by nine points, and that will undoubtedly worsen if the jobs numbers slide tomorrow and the next couple of months, as it looks like they might.  His favorability is low at 48/50, but Obama’s job approval is worse at 46/54.  Among independents, it’s an absolutely horrid 35/65, with 45% of independents strongly disapproving of Obama’s performance.

Losing a grip on Ohio in and of itself isn’t a campaign-ender for Obama.  The problem will be whether that trend spills over into Pennsylvania and Virginia, as well as Wisconsin.  If Obama loses those states as well as Florida and Virginia, the election will be over before the Central Time Zone states close their polls on Election Day.


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Naa naa naaa nah… naa naa naaa nah… Say hey hey GOODBYE!

The Obama Regime: 2009-2013. We couldn’t wait. For it to be OVER.

wildcat72 on May 31, 2012 at 1:24 PM

Moochelle’s gonna love vacationing on the banks of Lake Erie this summer.

JammieWearingFool on May 31, 2012 at 1:24 PM

Six weeks until Obama hits the panic button…

right2bright on May 31, 2012 at 1:25 PM

Nov. 6 will be the shocker of the new century, but only to the left.

The polls will be ‘close’ until the day of the vote.

The night will be a blowout.

Imagine, just imagine, if the righties would have put someone up with steely ones…

Schadenfreude on May 31, 2012 at 1:25 PM

Moochelle’s gonna love vacationing on the banks of Lake Erie this summer.

JammieWearingFool on May 31, 2012 at 1:24 PM

She’ll get unmuzzled and her hate will come through again. She’s been contained…otherwise she’d have embarrassed them, daily, several times.

Schadenfreude on May 31, 2012 at 1:26 PM

Not just in Ohio, Rasmussen states, but also in Florida, North Carolina, and Virginia.

I’ve been saying for weeks that Romney will win all those states. Indiana is also a goner(as well as that lone electoral vote in Nebraska). So Mittens needs only one more state to win the Presidency. Even New Hampshire’s meager 4 electoral votes will suffice.

Doughboy on May 31, 2012 at 1:26 PM

Six weeks until Obama hits the panic button…

right2bright on May 31, 2012 at 1:25 PM

War in Syria, to change the subject

Schadenfreude on May 31, 2012 at 1:26 PM

Schwwwwing!

reddevil on May 31, 2012 at 1:27 PM

ddrintn, angryed, honda, a stoner and the more insane ABRs now on suicide watch.

Basilsbest on May 31, 2012 at 1:27 PM

may not be a shock. they may be pulling the plug on BHO by september. only the usfule idiots (their voters) will be shocked; not the ‘professional left’. they’ll be working on saving their own butts in post-obama enviro.

t8stlikchkn on May 31, 2012 at 1:27 PM

Too early.

Mittens is the mutt and will be until all the votes of the living and the dead are counted.

Beware the margin of fraud.

Bruno Strozek on May 31, 2012 at 1:28 PM

…the community organizer gets 45 %?…that floors me!

KOOLAID2 on May 31, 2012 at 1:28 PM

Romney leading in VA, OH, & PA with five months to go? Right now Obama staffers are combing dossiers for every female who worked at Bain during Mitt’s tenure to see which one is most likely to accept a large gift in order to tell her “story”.

Kataklysmic on May 31, 2012 at 1:29 PM

…need more things to shine!

KOOLAID2 on May 31, 2012 at 1:29 PM

Ed writes: Swing

Did you mean the “Wayne’s World” line, “schwing”? :|

As goes Ohio, so goes the country. I can only hope Mitt wins Ohio.

Paul-Cincy on May 31, 2012 at 1:30 PM

I have to ask: Is

“Ex-President Barack Obama”

the four most important words in the English language, or only three?

JEM on May 31, 2012 at 1:31 PM

My election projections…

Romney 297- Obama 241. (need 270 to win). In the business, that’s called a landslide.

My logic was using 2000/2004 figures and working with them a bit. I give PA to Obama and OH to Romney, but even if Obama got both it’s still 279-259, Romney. If Romney got both it’d be 317-221… blood bath. But I’m being generous.

Obama’s NOT getting VA, NC, IA, FL, NV, IA, WI, AZ

NYTimes Electoral Map

LtGenRob on May 31, 2012 at 1:31 PM

I have to ask: Is

“Ex-President Barack Obama”

the four most important words in the English language, or only three?

JEM on May 31, 2012 at 1:31 PM

I don’t know. But I know what IS three words:

“The Former One”

Doughboy on May 31, 2012 at 1:32 PM

Nov. 6 will be the shocker of the new century, but only to the left.

The polls will be ‘close’ until the day of the vote.

The night will be a blowout.

Imagine, just imagine, if the righties would have put someone up with steely ones…

Schadenfreude on May 31, 2012 at 1:25 PM

I do – every day and it makes me sad for the lost opportunity.

But here we are. Have to make the best of it and plan ahead.

kim roy on May 31, 2012 at 1:32 PM

Fore!

faraway on May 31, 2012 at 1:33 PM

FIVE MORE MONTHS!!

CherryBombsBigBrownBeaver on May 31, 2012 at 1:33 PM

Swing Trend

..FIFY, Ed.

The War Planner on May 31, 2012 at 1:34 PM

@Kataklysmic – I have to think you’re probably right.

They’re going to be out there looking for some very personal dirt.

And if they can’t find it they’ll make it up.

And if, as we roll on toward October with more and more voters unzipping their flies to cascade some preference upon the Obama reelection effort, we may see all kinds of desperation on the left.

JEM on May 31, 2012 at 1:34 PM

OT: BHO is making the Bush portraits presentation and talking about how he took over a declining economy. It’s all about The ONE…

d1carter on May 31, 2012 at 1:35 PM

Romney leading in VA, OH, & PA with five months to go? Right now Obama staffers are combing dossiers for every female who worked at Bain during Mitt’s tenure to see which one is most likely to accept a large gift in order to tell her “story”.

Kataklysmic on May 31, 2012 at 1:29 PM

Yep. This is why I can’t get too excited. Too much time and an increasingly desperate LSM/Obama minions. If they can’t find something to distract the low info voters, then they’ll make it up.

This is going to get really ugly. Look at what they did to Cain and he really wasn’t a front runner.

kim roy on May 31, 2012 at 1:35 PM

Romney leading in VA, OH, & PA with five months to go? Right now Obama staffers are combing dossiers for every female who worked at Bain during Mitt’s tenure to see which one is most likely to accept a large gift in order to tell her “story”.

Kataklysmic on May 31, 2012 at 1:29 PM

can you imagine that? THey took down a good man in Cain with a bunch of BS!

LevinFan on May 31, 2012 at 1:36 PM

I’m surprised about VA this early. I’ve always worried about that state because of the enormous increase in Fed jobs over the last four years in NOVA. That seemed like a sure way for Obama to game the system in that state and keep it blue.

If voter discontent is already shifting Virginia red, then he’s toast. Stick a fork in him; he’s done.

Any way we can turn Maryland red in the next five months? I would love nothing more than to see Governor O’Malley and his cronies in the state houses have to face a hostile electorate for the next two years.

Hey, a man can dream, can’t he?

nukemhill on May 31, 2012 at 1:37 PM

Not just in Ohio, Rasmussen states, but also in Florida, North Carolina, and Virginia.

Are there that many Polish-Americans in those states?

UltimateBob on May 31, 2012 at 1:37 PM

Yep. This is why I can’t get too excited. Too much time and an increasingly desperate LSM/Obama minions. If they can’t find something to distract the low info voters, then they’ll make it up.

This is going to get really ugly. Look at what they did to Cain and he really wasn’t a front runner.

kim roy on May 31, 2012 at 1:35 PM

i don’t think it’s gonna work this time. more people are seeing through all of that and realizing what an incompetent joke he truly is.

GhoulAid on May 31, 2012 at 1:37 PM

Still waiting for the Palin nuts claim she was the only chance of beating Obummer.

Ann Coulter will be proven prophetic.

rickyricardo on May 31, 2012 at 1:37 PM

Good speech, nice portraits.

John the Libertarian on May 31, 2012 at 1:38 PM

Nov. 6 will be the shocker of the new century, but only to the left.

The polls will be ‘close’ until the day of the vote.

The night will be a blowout.

Imagine, just imagine, if the righties would have put someone up with steely ones…

Schadenfreude on May 31, 2012 at 1:25 PM

I do – every day and it makes me sad for the lost opportunity.

But here we are. Have to make the best of it and plan ahead.

kim roy on May 31, 2012 at 1:32 PM

Your ideal candidate would lose. We are running a financial genius against an economic illiterate. We have the best possible candidate.

Basilsbest on May 31, 2012 at 1:39 PM

OT: BHO is making the Bush portraits presentation and talking about how he took over a declining economy. It’s all about The ONE…

d1carter on May 31, 2012 at 1:35 PM

It’s a good thing I’m not watching that right now. I’d probably smash my TV.

UltimateBob on May 31, 2012 at 1:39 PM

…Right now Obama staffers are combing dossiers for every female who worked at Bain during Mitt’s tenure to see which one is most likely to accept a large gift in order to tell her “story”.

Kataklysmic on May 31, 2012 at 1:29 PM

Bank on it.

Flora Duh on May 31, 2012 at 1:39 PM

d1carter on May 31, 2012 at 1:35 PM

NO, are you serious? Is bho really doing this? Good gosh, if this is so, this is about the most classless thing bho has ever done, IMO.
L

letget on May 31, 2012 at 1:39 PM

Does anyone really think it is going to be this easy?

The leftist haven’t even warmed up yet… This is going to get very nasty.. Do you really believe the left will go with out throwing everything including the kitchen sink at the right?

Stand by for heavy rolls…

RockyJ. on May 31, 2012 at 1:40 PM

I hate the way O shakes hands with his right and
slaps the arm with the left. Every time.

ndulik on May 31, 2012 at 1:40 PM

Imagine, just imagine, if the righties would have put someone up with steely ones…

Schadenfreude on May 31, 2012 at 1:25 PM

Mittster does seem to have a pair, of very solid alloy. He clearly isn’t perfect but so far, he pleasantly surprised me on a number of occasions. If he keeps like that, I may even send him some money.

Archivarix on May 31, 2012 at 1:40 PM

It’s time to deploy the “weapons of despair”. Bring in the Bill Clinton ….

TheLastBrainLeft on May 31, 2012 at 1:42 PM

Moochelle’s gonna love vacationing on the banks of Lake Erie this summer.

JammieWearingFool on May 31, 2012 at 1:24 PM

That will be nothing compared to her reaction when she realizes the free private jet rides are coming to an end. And that media outlets are less interested in having her inject herself into virtually every show from the Home Shopping Network to TeleMundo.

Happy Nomad on May 31, 2012 at 1:42 PM

Is “Ex-President Barack Obama” the four most important words in the English language, or only three?

JEM on May 31, 2012 at 1:31 PM

..if not, it’s up there in the top two to three with stuff like:

“Get outta our house!”

“Go back to Chicago”

“You are now history”

“Pass the memory Bleach”

“Quadrennial shot to sh|t”

The War Planner on May 31, 2012 at 1:42 PM

I hate the way O shakes hands with his right and
slaps the arm with the left. Every time.

ndulik on May 31, 2012 at 1:40 PM

He wants to sell you a used car (with apologies to used car salesmen).

kim roy on May 31, 2012 at 1:43 PM

Those numbers put Romney at 266 EVs.

Flipping any state, from Pennsylvania or Michigan down to New Hampshire or New Mexico, would put him over the top.

teke184 on May 31, 2012 at 1:44 PM

Ever the optimist — I believe Mitt Romney will eventually be a pleasant surprise to a majority of conservatives who see him merely as the lesser of two evils. After all, Barack Hussein 0bama does not hold exclusive rights to the ability to “evolve”.

FlatFoot on May 31, 2012 at 1:44 PM

From a marketing perspective obama is toast! The product SUX…and everybody has already tried it…a marketer’s nightmare.
The competition is an unknown but people will NOT opt for a product that they KNOW doesn’t perform has promised…in fact, MUCH worse!
NO ad campaign can save the SCOAMF…people will/already are scoffing at obama’s promises.
All that is left is to claim Romney is WORSE…not gonna fly!!!

winston on May 31, 2012 at 1:44 PM

War in Syria, to change the subject

Schadenfreude on May 31, 2012 at 1:26 PM

Actually on subject…this is what many fear, the panic that this “leader” can create because of his inability to grasp anything that does not revolve around him and the campaign, makes him very, very, dangerous. To America, and to the rest of the world.

right2bright on May 31, 2012 at 1:44 PM

Ed got the major shout out in the WSJ today:

http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052702303640104577437061876013318.html?grcc=365007c5dc4debb61d611bd8645c5200Z3ZhpgeZ0Z746Z200Z91Z2&mod=WSJ_hps_sections_news#articleTabs%3Darticle

The liberal media watchdog Media Matters for America called the video “essentially a four-minute anti-Obama attack ad.” Ed Morrissey, of the conservative media blog Hot Air, questioned the video even though he wrote, “I don’t disagree with much, if anything” that it says.

“If anyone wanted to look for evidence that the overall Fox News organization intends to campaign against Obama rather than cover the campaign, this video would be difficult to refute as evidence for that claim,” Mr. Morrissey wrote.

Way to go.

so-notbuyingit on May 31, 2012 at 1:45 PM

Roll the purple buses, stat!

Bishop on May 31, 2012 at 1:45 PM

If Obama is sitting in the low to mid 40′s in these states, and the “undecided” usually breaks heavily against the incumbent, Romney is sitting in a better position than the President at this point.

Everything will change three times before the election but I feel like Obama is in trouble. He just hasnt been the type to radically switch gears and change direction, but thats what his campaign has to do to avoid defeat. So far its been incompetent, dishonest, and ridiculous….just like his administration….

Obama will not win reelection unless they come up with a exquisite campaign strategy….and when was the last time a good idea has come out of this White House?

These guys are so arrogant that even if they see the ship they are on is named “Titanic”, they will refuse to believe it will sink until they are floating in the ocean.

alecj on May 31, 2012 at 1:46 PM

BHO is making the Bush portraits presentation and talking about how he took over a declining economy. It’s all about The ONE…

d1carter on May 31, 2012 at 1:35 PM

I’m sure GWB will be gracious but I would love a couple digs back at BHO talking about the challenges of maintaining 5% unemployment, getting budgets passed, and having to do more with less because raising the national debt by $5T would be about the most damaging thing an adminstration could do to the country.

Happy Nomad on May 31, 2012 at 1:47 PM

OT: BHO is making the Bush portraits presentation and talking about how he took over a declining economy. It’s all about The ONE…

d1carter on May 31, 2012 at 1:35 PM

It’s a good thing I’m not watching that right now. I’d probably smash my TV.

UltimateBob on May 31, 2012 at 1:39 PM

Staying in character.

22044 on May 31, 2012 at 1:47 PM

O-H!

Good Solid B-Plus on May 31, 2012 at 1:47 PM

@jaketapper Bush refers to his wife as “the greatest First Lady ever” then says “Sorry, Mom.”

@jaketapper Laura Bush jokes “nothing makes a house a home like pictures of its former occupants staring down at you”….

Flora Duh on May 31, 2012 at 1:48 PM

All those anti Obama votes will propel Romney to the White House
regardless of whatever else happens. Romney would have to make
a huge mistake to not win this election.

Amjean on May 31, 2012 at 1:48 PM

Tin Soldiers and Romney coming
We’re finally on our own
This summer I hear the drumming
Hope dead in O-hi-O

NoDonkey on May 31, 2012 at 1:48 PM

Ohio and PA are choker block full of Polish Americans. Obama is toast. being old PA boy I cna tell you you can’t throw a rock without hitting a Pollok, meant in the kindest of ways :)

Skwor on May 31, 2012 at 1:49 PM

@jaketapper Bush refers to his wife as “the greatest First Lady ever” then says “Sorry, Mom.”

@jaketapper Laura Bush jokes “nothing makes a house a home like pictures of its former occupants staring down at you”….

Flora Duh on May 31, 2012 at 1:48 PM

lolz

22044 on May 31, 2012 at 1:49 PM

Barry won’t carry Ohio. I’ve said it since 2010.

The majority of my daily contact friends are black, 20somethings. Only one has done alright under Barry, and he’s the one with no degree.

Whenever they ask me about anything Barry-related, I just say “He doesn’t know what he’s doing. He’s got no experiences that apply to the job”, and they now get it when they go on job interviews.

Barry had this past year to help the college grads, and nada. The odds of them showing are slim to none. That’s why he spends so much time doing college rallies; he’s lost millions that have entered reality.

budfox on May 31, 2012 at 1:49 PM

The peace-lovers advocate for war, just in time.

Schadenfreude on May 31, 2012 at 1:50 PM

If Obama loses those states as well as Florida and Virginia, the election will be over before the Central Time Zone states close their polls on Election Day.

……and the economic recovery from this disaster will begin immediately.

PappyD61 on May 31, 2012 at 1:51 PM

Flora Duh on May 31, 2012 at 1:48 PM

WOW, that is great! Good for President Bush and Laura!
L

letget on May 31, 2012 at 1:51 PM

OT: MO did a great job in her speech…funny and warm toward L. Bush…

d1carter on May 31, 2012 at 1:51 PM

Did you mean the “Wayne’s World” line, “schwing”? :|

Paul-Cincy on May 31, 2012 at 1:30 PM

lol … dang. If it weren’t this ridiculous need for food, I could have done it. Alas, too slow.

Axe on May 31, 2012 at 1:51 PM

Oh snap! lol

@nicohines: Bush says to Obama when in trouble you will be able to gaze up at me and ask, “what would George do?”

Flora Duh on May 31, 2012 at 1:52 PM

Your ideal candidate would lose. We are running a financial genius against an economic illiterate. We have the best possible candidate.

Basilsbest on May 31, 2012 at 1:39 PM

WRONG!

Conservatism wins, especially when properly articulated. Any of the GOP candidates would’ve beaten Maobama with the exception of RuPaul.

We missed a big chance by not getting a real conservative like Bachmann or Santorum. Neither of them supported TARP like the economic genius ROmney did!

Palin would’ve been ideal but too many establishment hacks were against her.

It is what it is, big gov’t Mitt is still much better than Maobama.

LevinFan on May 31, 2012 at 1:53 PM

Ever the optimist — I believe Mitt Romney will eventually be a pleasant surprise to a majority of conservatives who see him merely as the lesser of two evils. After all, Barack Hussein 0bama does not hold exclusive rights to the ability to “evolve”.

FlatFoot on May 31, 2012 at 1:44 PM

As long as we have bonafide conservatives in the house/senate/gov
which will push a conservative agenda of smaller, smarter government, balanced budget, no Obamacare/replaced solutions with tort reform, etc. less taxation, EPA regulations, etc.
along with increased domestic energy sources. No cap ‘n tax!

Amjean on May 31, 2012 at 1:53 PM

Virginia is the one that worries me in this group.

forest on May 31, 2012 at 1:53 PM

@jaketapper Bush refers to his wife as “the greatest First Lady ever” then says “Sorry, Mom.”

Imagine the bile in MO’s gut.

Schadenfreude on May 31, 2012 at 1:53 PM

Six weeks until Obama hits the panic button…

right2bright on May 31, 2012 at 1:25 PM

War in Syria, to change the subject

Schadenfreude on May 31, 2012 at 1:26 PM

IRAN, SYRIA, DEBT Showdown with the GOP in the House……whatever it takes.

PappyD61 on May 31, 2012 at 1:53 PM

Can’t wait to see and hear the conspiracy theories. In fact, Twitchy.com already has examples of the Left Loons starting including the muslim House Rep. from Minnesota and some author.

SouthernGent on May 31, 2012 at 1:54 PM

But, but, Trump’s a birther and he’s a Romney supporter. Didn’t you hear, he’s a ROMNEY SUPPORTER, I said he’s a ROMNEY SUPPORTER. Why aren’t all you fools listening, he’s a ROMNEY SUPPORTER!

ardenenoch on May 31, 2012 at 1:54 PM

I hate the way O shakes hands with his right and
slaps the arm with the left. Every time.

ndulik on May 31, 2012 at 1:40 PM

Me too. He asserts his dominance this way. I’d love to see someone tell him to keep his filthy hands to himself.

petefrt on May 31, 2012 at 1:54 PM

Ohio? Hmm…

Barry ain’t carrying any of these states:

Twenty-six states produce coal.[3] The major coal-producing states are (in descending order as of 2000, with annual production in thousands of short tons):[4][5]

Wyoming (338,900).
West Virginia (158,257)
Kentucky (130,688)
Pennsylvania (74,619)
Texas (49,498)
Montana (38,352)
Illinois (33,444)
Virginia (32,834)
North Dakota (31,270)
Colorado (29,137)
Indiana (27,965)
New Mexico (27,323)
Utah (26,656)
Ohio (22,269)
Alabama (19,324)
Arizona (13,111)

Total United States: 1,437,174

The United Mine Workers might endorse BHO, but the mineworkers will be voting against his sorry butt.

patch on May 31, 2012 at 1:55 PM

Virginia is the one that worries me in this group.

forest on May 31, 2012 at 1:53 PM

I understand your concern where northern VA is concerned; however, Virginia is a big (BIG!) state. Also, the last election, the GOP took the Senate (maybe the House chamber?) against all the odds. The outgoing democrat majority at the state level had gerrymandered the heck out of those districts and the GOP still took control.

SouthernGent on May 31, 2012 at 1:55 PM

Some of the questions on this survey produce rather amusing results. For instance, 55% of respondents say they’re choosing between the lesser of two evils rather than out of enthusiasm for Romney or Obama,

The last time I voted FOR somebody was 1980. But my enthusiasm to vote against Obama is high!

cartooner on May 31, 2012 at 1:56 PM

It makes me wonder what the media is going to do to try to help Obama. Romney needs to chose his VP very, very, carefully.

magicbeans on May 31, 2012 at 1:57 PM

Ohio and PA are choker block full of Polish Americans. Obama is toast. being old PA boy I cna tell you you can’t throw a rock without hitting a Pollok, meant in the kindest of ways :)

Skwor on May 31, 2012 at 1:49 PM

Has Obama closed down all those Pennsy Polish Death Camps yet? I’ve heard that there’s a real big one a few miles down the road from the Utz potato chip factory in Hanover.

ardenenoch on May 31, 2012 at 1:58 PM

Schadenfreude on May 31, 2012 at 1:53 PM

Intentional?

“It’s truly a privilege for us to occupy this house” — Michelle Obama

Flora Duh on May 31, 2012 at 1:58 PM

The United Mine Workers might endorse BHO, but the mineworkers will be voting against his sorry butt.

patch on May 31, 2012 at 1:55 PM

“Black coal will unseat the first black president – that’s racist” –Lefties

Schadenfreude on May 31, 2012 at 2:00 PM

I live in Franklin county – Columbus – and while I see a fair amount of Obama stickers on cars, they’re mostly from the ’08 election. I hardly ever see 2012 Obama stickers. Co-workers who were rabid about him back then never say a word about him now (we’re fairly easy about those kinds of discussions where I work).

tdpwells on May 31, 2012 at 2:00 PM

SouthernGent on May 31, 2012 at 1:55 PM

Yeah, all that government spending pouring into the Democrat areas from DC concerns me. And the leftists moving in from MD since they about done destroying that place.

Hopefully the turnout in the west and southern areas is strong.

forest on May 31, 2012 at 2:00 PM

He just hasnt been the type to radically switch gears and change direction, but thats what his campaign has to do to avoid defeat. So far its been incompetent, dishonest, and ridiculous….just like his administration….

alecj on May 31, 2012 at 1:46 PM

Change direction how? Obama is a polarizing President. He has played one special interest group off another for the past three years. He can’t change is position on [X] without offending one group but he can’t keep that position and hope to do better with another groupo.

He evolved on gay marriage in large part for Hollywood dollars and managed to tick off many traditionally Dem-voting Blacks (which they’ve rushed out to refute with polls saying blacks now are in full support of sodomite unions). He declared war on religious institutions figuring the Catholics would cave and he’d pick up young single women’s votes. He has demonized not just profit but capitalism itself and his party/supporters underwrote OWS- how does he steer back from that without offending the radical left? In short, you can’t pivot when your positions are “flexible” enough to be based on identity politics.

Happy Nomad on May 31, 2012 at 2:01 PM

“It’s truly a privilege for us to occupy this house” — Michelle Obama

Flora Duh on May 31, 2012 at 1:58 PM

Freudian…Nov. 6…just to watch her…I never forgot the Carter woman…she’s been more mad than him, ever since.

Schadenfreude on May 31, 2012 at 2:01 PM

How many of you are prepared for the inner city and college campus rioting that will follow from election night? If you thought the LA riots were bad, wait to that happens in many cities simultaneously.

keep the change on May 31, 2012 at 2:03 PM

Good move Governor!

Mitt Romney arrived at the shuttered headquarters of Solyndra Inc. this morning, a surprise visit that was shrouded in secrecy and part of the presumptive GOP presidential candidate’s attack on President Obama’s record on jobs creation.

“The reason for keeping it quiet is because we knew if word got out that Solyndra would do everything in their power and the Obama administration would do everything in their power to stop us from having this news conference,” an aide said in a briefing en route. “But taxpayers made a substantial investment in Solyndra, there are serious questions about what happened at Solyndra, why that investment was selected, what happened to that money.”

Solyndra is the failed California-based solar technology company that received more than $500 million in federal stimulus money before it went bankrupt last year. It has since become a mantle of Romney’s argument that Obama doesn’t know how to run the economy.

Flora Duh on May 31, 2012 at 2:03 PM

Good grief. I’m actually going to raise my Eeyore level to “cautiously optimistic”.

BacaDog on May 31, 2012 at 2:04 PM

Mitt should go stand next to Walker!

Schadenfreude on May 31, 2012 at 2:04 PM

Ed,

Your commentary on the D/R/I is just as enlightening as the poll results.

I’ll send you whatever I win on intrade.

65droptop on May 31, 2012 at 2:04 PM

We mustn’t get too confident (October surprise?)…

catquilt on May 31, 2012 at 2:06 PM

How many of you are prepared for the inner city and college campus rioting that will follow from election night? If you thought the LA riots were bad, wait to that happens in many cities simultaneously.

keep the change on May 31, 2012 at 2:03 PM

OSU brats like to start fires when they lose a game, so this isn’t really far-fetched at all.

tdpwells on May 31, 2012 at 2:06 PM

Flora Duh on May 31, 2012 at 2:03 PM

You beat me to it by a minute. I was about to post that!

Go Mitt Go!
And from my youth, long long ago as a football cheerleader:
Hit ‘em again, hit ‘em again, harder, harder!

Brat on May 31, 2012 at 2:07 PM

Even New Hampshire’s meager 4 electoral votes will suffice.

Doughboy on May 31, 2012 at 1:26 PM

I predict NH will go to Romney. The Granite State flipped red in Nov 2010 and the GOP immediately fixed our budget. This week they reached agreement on Voter ID.

dogsoldier on May 31, 2012 at 2:09 PM

Are there that many Polish-Americans in those states?

UltimateBob on May 31, 2012 at 1:37 PM

Yep, and I’d wager a large majority of them are Catholic.

a capella on May 31, 2012 at 2:10 PM

Mittens ahead in Ohio?!

Good news rides a fast horse…

Khun Joe on May 31, 2012 at 2:11 PM

I’d say more like SCHWING! Way to go, Ohio! :)

cynccook on May 31, 2012 at 2:11 PM

Mittster does seem to have a pair, of very solid alloy. He clearly isn’t perfect but so far, he pleasantly surprised me on a number of occasions. If he keeps like that, I may even send him some money.

Archivarix on May 31, 2012 at 1:40 PM

This

derecho on May 31, 2012 at 2:14 PM

Romney has inched ahead of Obama in Ohio, taking the lead in the key battleground state after the president has led there for several months. This also marks a continuing shift in the critical Core Four states – Ohio, Florida, North Carolina and Virginia – with the Republican now leading in all four for the first time in Rasmussen Reports polling this year.

Swinging swing states!

Obama probably lost FL when he cut funding to Medicare to “pay for” Obamacare, and lost NC when he came out for gay marriage after the state voted it down 61-39.

He may have residual support in VA due to many Federal government workers near DC, and the unions are stronger in OH than in Wisconsin, where Scott Walker seems to be winning his battle. Romney could help his position in OH (and PA and VA) by promising to roll back draconian EPA regulations on coal-fired power plants.

If Romney plays his cards right, he should be able to slowly build his lead to about 5% in these four states (FL, NC, VA, and OH), by consolidating the conservative base and criticizing Obama to win independent voters.

If Romney wins these four states plus Indiana plus the McCain 2008 states, he would be up to 266 Electoral votes, and would need only one additional state to be President, with very real possibilities in WI(10 EV), CO(9), NV(6), IA(6), and NH(4). Already, the NBC/Marist polls put Romney within 2% in CO, NV, and IA.

Obama is on the defensive now, and time is NOT on his side. The fact that Romney has clinched the nomination fairly early gives him 5 months to concentrate his attacks on Obama without being challenged from the right. A long, hard slog, but definitely winnable.

Steve Z on May 31, 2012 at 2:15 PM

I saw the exact opposite of this story this morning on the Today show, or was it last night on NBC news. I guess it depends on which poll you look at. RCP averages tend to tell the truth more than one poll. And if you look there, Mitten’s still has a lot of work to do to flush Obama. But, being from Ohio, I am hoping to see Sherrod Brown’s exit along with Obama.

What’s that saying again? If it’s yellow let it mellow…….

flstc on May 31, 2012 at 2:16 PM

Yep. This is why I can’t get too excited. Too much time and an increasingly desperate LSM/Obama minions. If they can’t find something to distract the low info voters, then they’ll make it up.

This is going to get really ugly. Look at what they did to Cain and he really wasn’t a front runner.

Whatever you may think of Romney, there is a definite benefit to having a guy who doesn’t even drink coffee on the ticket when the left-wing smear machine starts firing up. So far the best they can do for dirt is a high school prank. They just aren’t going to find any sex/drugs/alcohol fodder on this guy.

FuzzyLogic on May 31, 2012 at 2:16 PM

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