WaPo/ABC poll shows rebound for Romney among women

posted at 2:01 pm on May 30, 2012 by Ed Morrissey

Yes, it’s the WaPo/ABC poll, and no, they don’t have the internals published on line, at least not yet.  Their advance data shows Mitt Romney narrowing the gap on Barack Obama overall, and especially among women, where Romney made some dramatic gains:

Republican women are rallying to Mitt Romney — their party’s now-certain presidential nominee — boosting him to his best-ever showing on a fundamental measure of personal popularity, according to a new Washington Post-ABC News poll.

Overall, Romney’s favorability rating still trails President Obama’s, but the gap is far narrower than it’s been. In the new poll, 41 percent of all Americans express positive views of Romney; 52 percent do so for Obama. Just over a month ago, the president had a 56 to 35 percent advantage on this score.

ABC’s Gary Langer notes that all of Romney’s gains have from women, and this time not just married women, either:

All Romney’s gains have come among women – up by 13 percentage points in personal popularity from last month, while Obama’s lost 7 points among women. (Views among men have been more stable.) Obama’s rating among women, 51 percent favorable, still beats Romney’s 40 percent – but again that margin is far smaller than what it was six weeks ago.

An ABC/Post poll last week found improvement for Romney in vote preferences among married women. This survey finds that his gains in personal favorability, instead, come predominantly among unmarried women, who saw him uncommonly negatively earlier this spring.

However, that’s not entirely true.  Some of Romney’s gains in favorability came from independents as well.  In March, Romney had a -17 rating at 35/52, and a -13 in April with a 34/47.  In May, it’s narrowed to 40/46 for a -6, a dramatic improvement in the two months since the primaries were last contested.  In contrast, Obama has declined from a +4 in March at 50/46 and a +11 in April at 53/42 to a dramatic reversal of -7 at 45/52.

That’s a rather telling statistic, and one that shows just how far off the rails Team Obama has landed.  The campaign spent most of May hammering Romney on Bain Capital, which didn’t move the needle at all among Democrats, and may have damaged him among moderates (+28 in April to a +21), and certainly did with independents, as noted above.  The only other major line of attack was the so-called War on Women, and the numbers among unmarried women in this series shows how well Team O’s generals have performed in that attack.  Instead of being attracted by the creepy “Life of Julia,” it looks like Obama has repelled more than a few.

Bear in mind, of course, that we haven’t seen the full sample data, which presumably accompany the full release for their latest polling numbers.  It’s possible that the narrowing among women could just be an artifact of improving the partisan balance, which has been ridiculously tilted all year long in this series.  That doesn’t explain the momentum shift in unmarried women, though, nor the dramatic turnaround in independents between April and May.  If the samples are similar, Team Obama may need to start reaching for the panic button — especially if Friday’s jobs report turns out to be a dud.


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Julia was just laid off..

Electrongod on May 30, 2012 at 2:06 PM

Geez women prefer to be thought of as intelligent, independent human beings – who knew.

gophergirl on May 30, 2012 at 2:13 PM

Julia was just laid off..

Electrongod on May 30, 2012 at 2:06 PM

Heh. My liberal sister-in-law’s husband just got laid off. Wonder how she’ll vote.

ElectricPhase on May 30, 2012 at 2:13 PM

Women are realizing what Obama hasn’t done for them and their families.

Keep waking up, ladies. We can make a difference.

redgypsy on May 30, 2012 at 2:13 PM

Instead of being attracted by the creepy “Life of Julia,” it looks like Obama has repelled more than a few.

I’m willing to bet some Polish-American women have been added to the list recently too.

Happy Nomad on May 30, 2012 at 2:13 PM

Sandra Fluke was getting busy and unavailable for comment.

AllahsNippleHair on May 30, 2012 at 2:14 PM

Julia was just laid off..

Electrongod on May 30, 2012 at 2:06 PM

Actually, I think she was aborted because her parents didn’t want a girl.

Doughboy on May 30, 2012 at 2:14 PM

Women are realizing what Obama hasn’t done for them and their families.

Keep waking up, ladies. We can make a difference.

redgypsy on May 30, 2012 at 2:13 PM

Not to mention what he DID to them and their families. Women see the massive debt that is being foisted on their children’s future opportunity and they do not like it.

Happy Nomad on May 30, 2012 at 2:15 PM

I’m willing to bet some Polish-American women have been added to the list recently too.

Happy Nomad on May 30, 2012 at 2:13 PM

The term is “pollack”.

/Marion Barry

The Rogue Tomato on May 30, 2012 at 2:15 PM

Doughboy on May 30, 2012 at 2:14 PM

That’s cold.

BigGator5 on May 30, 2012 at 2:16 PM

But the Democrats had convinced me they only think with their wombs.

John the Libertarian on May 30, 2012 at 2:17 PM

Well, we can’t have that now can we??

Time for a hit piece about Romney picking on girls when
he was in Cub Scouts.

ToddPA on May 30, 2012 at 2:17 PM

Heh. My liberal sister-in-law’s husband just got laid off. Wonder how she’ll vote.

ElectricPhase on May 30, 2012 at 2:13 PM

She’ll vote for 0bama in a heartbeat. She’ll just convince herself that her husband’s unemployment is Bush’s fault.

CurtZHP on May 30, 2012 at 2:19 PM

However, that’s not entirely true. Some of Romney’s gains in favorability came from independents as well.

It could be true that all of Romney’s gains came from women if he gained among independent women but remained steady among independent men.

J.S.K. on May 30, 2012 at 2:19 PM

Barry has proven to be the bratty, whiny child that no one wants to babysit. Enough already.

BHO Jonestown on May 30, 2012 at 2:21 PM

Time for a hit piece about Romney picking on girls when
he was in Cub Scouts.

ToddPA on May 30, 2012 at 2:17 PM

Just being in the Scouts at all is disqualification to a lefty.

Fenris on May 30, 2012 at 2:21 PM

Maybe, they read the fine-print in the Democrats handouts…

She Works Hard For The Money, But Democrat Senators Pay Her Less Than Her Male Co-Workers

http://predicthistunpredictpast.blogspot.com/2012/05/she-works-hard-for-money-but-democrat.html

Resist We Much on May 30, 2012 at 2:21 PM

Yep, “smartest” campaign team yet!

GarandFan on May 30, 2012 at 2:23 PM

This poll, produced for ABC by Langer Research Associates, finds that Obama’s ratings among all adults are slightly positive, 52-45 percent favorable-unfavorable, vs. 56-40 percent last month. Romney is numerically underwater (albeit not by a significant margin), 41-45 percent – but up from his 35-47 percent score last month. Forty-one percent favorable is a new high for him, by a scant 2 points from January. It’s his first foray above the 40 percent line.
Romney’s 35 percent favorability in April was the weakest on record for a presumptive presidential nominee in ABC/Post polls in primary seasons since 1984. While he’s since gained 6 points overall, he’s still less popular than most previous eventual nominees at this stage of a presidential campaign. Only one has been this low in comparable data – but that one, Bill Clinton in 1992, did go on to win.

The media’s goal from here on out is to make this race seem closer than it is because that drives ratings and clicks than the one sided affair this is going to be (check the swing state polling). So they have headlines that say Romney’s gaining and then write the analysis below. Relying upon conservatvie bloggers eager for any morself of good news to spin the poll in ways that have nothing to do with electoral college math.

libfreeordie on May 30, 2012 at 2:23 PM

However, that’s not entirely true.  Some of Romney’s gains in favorability came from independents as well.  In March, Romney had a -17 rating at 35/52, and a -13 in April with a 34/47.  In May, it’s narrowed to 40/46 for a -6, a dramatic improvement in the two months since the primaries were last contested.  In contrast, Obama has declined from a +4 in March at 50/46 and a +11 in April at 53/42 to a dramatic reversal of -7 at 45/52.

Spin Spin Spin for the corporate masters and yet Sketch is yet to break 50% over a president we are being told is an illegal immigrant socialist? A president who oversees a country with 8.1% unemployment. I weep for you. Lol

Uppereastside on May 30, 2012 at 2:23 PM

So homeschooler christian nut jobs have given up on Santorum and are going Mitt? BFD. I like how all the polls this week-all of them-show small to medium sized gains for Barry, but this trivial nugget gets a post.

IN fact, you may have noticed a shocking lack of poll posts this week…I wonder why? Haha. Go to RCP and try to find one poll from this week that makes you think this is not going to be a nice W like win for O in November.

tommyhawk on May 30, 2012 at 2:24 PM

Obama lost 5% among registered voters this month.

forest on May 30, 2012 at 2:24 PM

Heh. My liberal sister-in-law’s husband just got laid off. Wonder how she’ll vote.

ElectricPhase on May 30, 2012 at 2:13 PM

From the Gipper:

“Recession is when your neighbor loses his job. Depression is when you lose your job. Recovery is when Jimmy Carter loses his.”

Replace “Jimmy Carter” with “Barack Obama”, and this can be Mitt Romney’s campaign.

Steve Z on May 30, 2012 at 2:26 PM

That’s cold.

BigGator5 on May 30, 2012 at 2:16 PM

You’re right. I sincerely apologize to any fictional woman I may have offended(yes, that includes you, Ms. Fluke).

Doughboy on May 30, 2012 at 2:27 PM

However, that’s not entirely true.  Some of Romney’s gains in favorability came from independents as well.  In March, Romney had a -17 rating at 35/52, and a -13 in April with a 34/47.  In May, it’s narrowed to 40/46 for a -6, a dramatic improvement in the two months since the primaries were last contested.  In contrast, Obama has declined from a +4 in March at 50/46 and a +11 in April at 53/42 to a dramatic reversal of -7 at 45/52.

Spin Spin Spin for the corporate masters and yet Sketch is yet to break 50% over a president we are being told is an illegal immigrant socialist? A president who oversees a country with 8.1% unemployment. I weep for you. Lol

Uppereastside on May 30, 2012 at 2:23 PM

You gotta get the up to date talking points from Axelrod, Itch and B!tch.
Sketch is so last month.
Now, wipe your mouth and get a damn job.

AllahsNippleHair on May 30, 2012 at 2:27 PM

The media’s goal from here on out is to make this race seem closer than it is because that drives ratings and clicks than the one sided affair this is going to be (check the swing state polling). So they have headlines that say Romney’s gaining and then write the analysis below. Relying upon conservatvie bloggers eager for any morself of good news to spin the poll in ways that have nothing to do with electoral college math.

libfreeordie on May 30, 2012 at 2:23 PM

Who the hell do you think you are telling these tin foil sheep they live in a bubble? Ed please ban him ASAP.

Uppereastside on May 30, 2012 at 2:28 PM

Heh, what would ElenaKagan, formerly of HA, say?

Schadenfreude on May 30, 2012 at 2:28 PM

Steady as she goes.

SouthernGent on May 30, 2012 at 2:30 PM

Julia was just laid off..

Electrongod on May 30, 2012 at 2:06 PM

And ElenaKagan was just banned.

Schadenfreude on May 30, 2012 at 2:30 PM

Uppereastside on May 30, 2012 at 2:28 PM

Guess you heard about your fellow bigot, EK. Accept it. It’s only a matter of time.

CurtZHP on May 30, 2012 at 2:32 PM

If these women were attractive and got too close to an OWS party or just read my post today under the Cali thread, they will be naming their kids Mitt or Donald.

IlikedAUH2O on May 30, 2012 at 2:32 PM

The media’s goal from here on out is to make this race seem closer than it is because that drives ratings and clicks than the one sided affair this is going to be (check the swing state polling). So they have headlines that say Romney’s gaining and then write the analysis below. Relying upon conservatvie bloggers eager for any morself of good news to spin the poll in ways that have nothing to do with electoral college math.

libfreeordie on May 30, 2012 at 2:23 PM

Who the hell do you think you are telling these tin foil sheep they live in a bubble? Ed please ban him ASAP.

Uppereastside on May 30, 2012 at 2:28 PM

Tin Foil Sheep. That’s actually funny coming from a member of the kool aid swilling socialist Si SE Puede cult. Say hello to Jim Jones for us.
Two idiots don’t make a right.

AllahsNippleHair on May 30, 2012 at 2:34 PM

And ElenaKagan was just banned.

Schadenfreude on May 30, 2012 at 2:30 PM

Took long enough…:)

Electrongod on May 30, 2012 at 2:36 PM

Fluke is pretty irrelevant.

Schadenfreude on May 30, 2012 at 2:39 PM

I posted this yesterday, but it’s still pertinent:

The Karl Rove ad from last week has the Obama campaigns brains leaking out of their ears. A friend’s son works for Obama in Florida. They had invented lies about the ad – the woman’s husband divorced her, there were blatant “lies” about Obama. It is hilarious what the plain truth does to these indoctrinated tools.

AubieJon on May 30, 2012 at 2:40 PM

Julia was just laid off..
Electrongod on May 30, 2012 at 2:06 PM

Winston may also be filling her head with subversive notions.

Dr. Carlo Lombardi on May 30, 2012 at 2:41 PM

And ElenaKagan was just banned.

Schadenfreude on May 30, 2012 at 2:30 PM

Lolz, made my day…

OmahaConservative on May 30, 2012 at 2:43 PM

Hope! Change!

Unemployment!

Lack of jobs!

Leaving labor force!

Lowest labor participation rate in decades!

This stuff applies to women, too.

Amazing that D’s forget this when they send the economy tanking.

ajacksonian on May 30, 2012 at 2:43 PM

Who the hell do you think you are telling these tin foil sheep they live in a bubble? Ed please ban him ASAP.

Uppereastside on May 30, 2012 at 2:28 PM

I can’t believe Romney won! No one I know voted for him!

Uppereastside on Nov 6, 2012 at 10:28 PM

sadarj on May 30, 2012 at 2:43 PM

Trolls gonna troll. Swing state polls…

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bradley_effect

U mad libs? combine that with the ridiculous democrat +48432 sample sizes and this race is looking pretty good for Rombo. Oh wait that’s raaaaaaacist right?

1984 in real life on May 30, 2012 at 2:46 PM

Heh. Looks like the war on wimmenses worked really well, didn’t it?

Axelrod & crew – brilliant? Or the Wile E. Coyote of campaigners?

ICanSeeNovFromMyHouse on May 30, 2012 at 2:48 PM

Uppereastside on May 30, 2012 at 2:28 PM

You do realize that no matter what we do, we can’t help but to be inundated by the socialist propaganda feed from the Democrat-Media?

Leftists can exist in their little cocoons of National Socialist reality without hearing nary a contradictory word.

Have you bought enough crying towels for when the Error of Downgrade™ comes to an end next January and the economy comes roaring back?

Chip on May 30, 2012 at 2:51 PM

libfreeordie on May 30, 2012 at 2:23 PM

Uppereastside on May 30, 2012 at 2:28 PM

Look, tweedle dumb & tweedle dumber…

Hey ladies, still relying on the “swing states” are ya? So much hate with you two :) Have a valium.

ICanSeeNovFromMyHouse on May 30, 2012 at 2:51 PM

Who the hell do you think you are telling these tin foil sheep they live in a bubble? Ed please ban him ASAP.

Uppereastside on May 30, 2012 at 2:28 PM

I can’t believe Romney won! No one I know voted for him!

Uppereastside on Nov 6, 2012 at 10:28 PM

sadarj on May 30, 2012 at 2:43 PM

It says bubble, it’s probably Obama’s colon.

AllahsNippleHair on May 30, 2012 at 2:54 PM

Jews, don’t believe the Liar.

Schadenfreude on May 30, 2012 at 2:58 PM

Amazing how liberals think they’ve already won this election when Romney just became the official nominee last night. Hey libs, Obama has this wrapped up already might as well just fire up the bong and stay home on election night!

1984 in real life on May 30, 2012 at 2:58 PM

libfreeordie on May 30, 2012 at 2:23 PM

Who the hell do you think you are telling these tin foil sheep they live in a bubble? Ed please ban him ASAP.

Uppereastside on May 30, 2012 at 2:28 PM

Two bigger sheeple there never were…no, you are gnats.

Schadenfreude on May 30, 2012 at 3:00 PM

Spin Spin Spin for the corporate masters and yet Sketch is yet to break 50% over a president we are being told is an illegal immigrant socialist? A president who oversees a country with 8.1% unemployment. I weep for you. Lol

Uppereastside on May 30, 2012 at 2:23 PM

Your welfare nation is the only thing propping up your a$$clown. Weep for me all you want, I’m sitting here laughing at you.

msupertas on May 30, 2012 at 3:01 PM

I’m attending a meeting tomorrow night:

women uniting for romney
YEA!

Bambi on May 30, 2012 at 3:04 PM

Relying upon conservatvie bloggers eager for any morself of good news to spin the poll in ways that have nothing to do with electoral college math.

libfreeordie on May 30, 2012 at 2:23 PM

???

You’ve starting your drinking earlier in the day than normal. Headlines got you down?

dominigan on May 30, 2012 at 3:05 PM

Jews, don’t believe the Liar.

Schadenfreude on May 30, 2012 at 2:58 PM

Well he might know more about the jews from the muslim point of view.

BTW, did we ever hear rev wright say when he baptized the converted obama? He says about his daughters, but never talks about obama being baptized. Then maybe his church doesn’t believe in baptizing adults. You just have to say “I’m a Christian” as obama has and everyone falls down and says “yea messiah!, see he really isn’t a muslim.

Bambi on May 30, 2012 at 3:09 PM

To all the doom-and-gloomers about Mitt Romney’s chances … Remember: America has only re-elected one Democrat in the last 60 years. Bill Clinton. Obama is no Bill Clinton. And America is NOT a center-left country. It’s center-right.

Nicole Coulter on May 30, 2012 at 3:10 PM

I can’t believe Romney won! No one I know voted for him!

Uppereastside on Nov 6, 2012 at 10:28 PM

.
sadarj on May 30, 2012 at 2:43 PM

.
Assure me that we can’t get banned for “impersonating” other posters.

L O L

That’s just too good. : )

listens2glenn on May 30, 2012 at 3:12 PM

Relying upon conservatvie bloggers eager for any morself of good news to spin the poll in ways that have nothing to do with electoral college math.

libfreeordie on May 30, 2012 at 2:23

Really? It’s conservative bloggers eager for any morsel of good news? The electoral college is going to follow national trends and trends are not Obama’s friend these days.

msmveritas on May 30, 2012 at 3:13 PM

Spin Spin Spin for the (1)corporate (2)masters

Uppereastside on May 30, 2012 at 2:23 PM

(1) Obama/Dems received more in corporate campaign donations than Repubs. Repubs have always been for SMALL business and individual freedoms, not corporations. Corporations sometimes benefit from Repubs because we also like applying rules fairly, unlike you.

(2) Oh yeah… that hurts, coming from a member of the party of slavery, segregation and the KKK to members of the party of abolition, Civil Rights and freedom. We don’t believe in masters that curtail freedom. That’s your party’s domain.

dominigan on May 30, 2012 at 3:14 PM

. Go to RCP and try to find one poll from this week that makes you think this is not going to be a nice W like win for O in November.

tommyhawk on May 30, 2012 at 2:24 PM

Didn’t W rig the Diebold machines in Ohio in 2004 or something? Didn’t he cheat in 1,001 ways in Florida in 2000, right?

thebrokenrattle on May 30, 2012 at 3:15 PM

Relying upon conservatvie bloggers eager for any morself of good news to spin the poll in ways that have nothing to do with electoral college math.

libfreeordie on May 30, 2012 at 2:23 PM

???

You’ve starting your drinking earlier in the day than normal. Headlines got you down?

dominigan on May 30, 2012 at 3:05 PM

Don’t mistake drunk for outright ignorance.

AllahsNippleHair on May 30, 2012 at 3:16 PM

Cue mitbot, Romney-hating comments in 3..2..1..

litebeam1 on May 30, 2012 at 3:37 PM

Julia was just laid off..

Electrongod on May 30, 2012 at 2:06 PM

Ha!

I have and will never understand the ‘draw’ of women to O. It is beyond my comprehension.

jersey taxpayer on May 30, 2012 at 3:37 PM

The media’s goal from here on out is to make this race seem closer than it is because that drives ratings and clicks than the one sided affair this is going to be (check the swing state polling). So they have headlines that say Romney’s gaining and then write the analysis below. Relying upon conservatvie bloggers eager for any morself of good news to spin the poll in ways that have nothing to do with electoral college math.

libfreeordie on May 30, 2012 at 2:23 PM

Translated: “O’Bongbowl’s going to win by a Landslide!”

Del Dolemonte on May 30, 2012 at 3:45 PM

I weep for you. Lol

Uppereastside on May 30, 2012 at 2:23 PM

Hey, there was a War Crimes Conviction at The Hague today. And it wasn’t Dick Cheney.

I weep for you.

lol

Del Dolemonte on May 30, 2012 at 3:47 PM

libfreeordie on May 30, 2012 at 2:23 PM

Uppereastside on May 30, 2012 at 2:23 PM

tommyhawk on May 30, 2012 at 2:24 PM

Thank you three for the best laugh I’ve had all day! I appreciate it.

jersey taxpayer on May 30, 2012 at 3:50 PM

And ElenaKagan was just banned.

Schadenfreude on May 30, 2012 at 2:30 PM

“baby machines”?

“Sister wives”?

The Left never fails to amaze me. They worship a religion (Islam) that treats women like dirt, and yet at the same time they hate a religion that used to encourage Free Sex.

Go figure.

Del Dolemonte on May 30, 2012 at 3:51 PM

The media’s goal from here on out is to make this race seem closer than it is because that drives ratings and clicks than the one sided affair this is going to be (check the swing state polling). So they have headlines that say Romney’s gaining and then write the analysis below. Relying upon conservatvie bloggers eager for any morself of good news to spin the poll in ways that have nothing to do with electoral college math.

libfreeordie on May 30, 2012 at 2:23 PM

Of course, left-leaning polling outfits are infamous for skewing polling data in favor of conservatives…

spinach.chin on May 30, 2012 at 5:10 PM

I am female, and I don’t like Romney, but I will vote for him, because the alternative gives me nightmares.

sage0925 on May 30, 2012 at 8:55 PM