Egyptian poll: Romney 73, Obama 25

posted at 9:27 pm on May 21, 2012 by Allahpundit

Needless to say, as Brookings notes, this is emphatically an anti-Obama vote rather than a pro-Romney one. If even one percent of Egyptian voters are capable of picking Romney out of a line-up, I’d be surprised.

Still, an amusing result. Because I’ll bet you that a huge chunk of those who “prefer” Mitt here do so on the assumption that he’ll be more hostile to Israel than Obama is. Lots of rude awakenings in Cairo happening these days.

Attitudes toward the United States continue to be unfavorable (85%).

Asked to name the two steps by the United States that would improve the views of the US the most, 66% identified brokering Middle East peace and establishing a Palestinian state, 46% identified stopping economic and military aid to Israel, and 44% identified withdrawal of American forces from the Arabian Peninsula. Only seven percent identified withdrawal of American forces from Afghanistan as one of the two top steps, 12% identified an American push to spread democracy in the Middle East, and 18% identified providing more economic assistance to the region.

Although Egyptians in the past year have been understandably preoccupied with their own political and economic situation and have not been paying as much attention to the American elections as usual, and they probably know less about the republican candidates for president, that has not prevented them from giving their opinions. Presented with a choice between President Obama and likely Republican candidate Mitt Romney, 73% said they preferred Romney, and only 25% chose Obama. It is unlikely that most Egyptians know much about Romney, and the choice is more likely to be an expression of disappointment with Obama. When Obama first came to office in 2009, even before his important speech in Cairo, Egyptian public opinion of the President was more favorable than unfavorable. This contrasted with Israeli public opinion, which was more suspicious of Obama. Since then, there has been a reversal of fortune, where in a poll we conducted in Israel last February, Israeli Jews expressed preference for Obama over all the leading Republican candidates (although his lead over Romney was within the margin of error).

Amazing to think that O was more popular three years ago, when he was still part of the American presidential tradition of propping up Egypt’s oppressor Mubarak, than he is after having helped shove Mubarak towards the exit at the height of the Egyptian revolution. He did that in no small part to stay on the right side of regional popular opinion while the Arab Spring was raging, and look where it’s gotten him. He’s probably suffering here in part because he’s maintained relations with the reviled military junta — a policy which Romney will surely continue — but the bulk of the antipathy, I assume, is due to the fact that he’s inched closer over time to Israel thanks to Iran (and the election). Speaking of which, while 46 percent of Egyptians want to maintain the peace treaty with Israel, 44 percent say it should be canceled and another 10 percent want it amended. When asked who the two biggest threats are to the country, fully 97 percent say Israel; 80 percent also say the United States versus just 20 percent who name the ascendant Shiite power that’s busy trying to build a nuclear trump card with which to intimidate the region’s Sunni nations.

Exit quotation from current Egyptian presidential frontrunner Abdel-Moneim Abolfotoh, allegedly uttered last year about 9/11: “It was too big an operation …. They [the United States] didn’t bring this crime before the U.S. justice system until now. Why? Because it’s part of a conspiracy.”


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How do we get these people naturalized!? Comprehensive Egyptian Immigration Reform! /

The Count on May 21, 2012 at 9:30 PM

Exit Question (because there has to be one): does this help Romney because it shows that he has more international appeal, or hurt Romney because it shows he’s preferable in the eyes of potential adversaries?

Stoic Patriot on May 21, 2012 at 9:30 PM

Can we make Egypt the 58th state by November?

Mark1971 on May 21, 2012 at 9:31 PM

If he came out tomorrow as a muslim, those numbers would flip.

nobar on May 21, 2012 at 9:31 PM

This poll is useless without gay/straight cross-tabs.

IYKWIMAITYD.

CorporatePiggy on May 21, 2012 at 9:32 PM

Must have been the dog eating.

HumpBot Salvation on May 21, 2012 at 9:32 PM

Obama’s ghey stance must not have played well with the Brothers in the Hood.

profitsbeard on May 21, 2012 at 9:32 PM

They do realize Romney isn`t a Muslim, right?

ThePrez on May 21, 2012 at 9:32 PM

Obama is heartbroken.

swamp_yankee on May 21, 2012 at 9:33 PM

That Obama fellow certainly has gotten results with his “Smart Diplomacy”.

But not the one’s he wanted. Guess ‘leading from behind’ is not popular overseas like it is in the Democratic strongholds here.

GarandFan on May 21, 2012 at 9:34 PM

Attitudes toward the United States continue to be unfavorable (85%).

I thought the obamamessiah was gonna make the world love us? That’s what I heard.

Lanceman on May 21, 2012 at 9:34 PM

Same results you would be get if you polled only Americans who currently receive zero govt aid, subsidies or otherwise a handout.

hillsoftx on May 21, 2012 at 9:34 PM

So the same electorate that’s about to elect an Islamist president would also back Mormon. Very multicultural, those Egyptians.

urban elitist on May 21, 2012 at 9:34 PM

Looks like the Egyptians found out that Mormons like to massacre Christians too.

Mark1971 on May 21, 2012 at 9:35 PM

The world still doesn’t like George W. Obama

El_Terrible on May 21, 2012 at 9:35 PM

teh ghey and the apostate thingy, maybe

Philly on May 21, 2012 at 9:36 PM

do they know Mitts a mormon.

gerrym51 on May 21, 2012 at 9:37 PM

NExt…

Obama evolves into an Egyptian..

Electrongod on May 21, 2012 at 9:38 PM

Attitudes toward the United States continue to be unfavorable (85%).

Bu, bu, but, we were promised that if we elected Obama that the whole world would love us.

That’s a very ungrateful attitude for the Egyptians to have toward the man who helped usher in the government of hoodie wearing brothers.

Flora Duh on May 21, 2012 at 9:40 PM

Obviously they don’t know that Romney and Netanyahu started out together at Bain. Romney had just finished his MBA at Harvard, and Netanyahu his MBA at MIT. They’ve been friends for years.

DNC needs to run some “EEEEEEvil Bain” commercials on Cairo TV.

Wethal on May 21, 2012 at 9:41 PM

If there was ever a good case for access to contraceptives, this is it.

Curtiss on May 21, 2012 at 9:41 PM

Bu, bu, but, we were promised that if we elected Obama that the whole world would love us.

That’s a very ungrateful attitude for the Egyptians to have toward the man who helped usher in the government of hoodie wearing brothers.

Flora Duh on May 21, 2012 at 9:40 PM

Funny…

21st century and people still can’t think for themselves….

Electrongod on May 21, 2012 at 9:42 PM

Where is Jailbait when you need him? Hahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahah
Funny!

Bmore on May 21, 2012 at 9:45 PM

would also back Mormon.

urban elitist on May 21, 2012 at 9:34 PM

Keep it up!!!

CW on May 21, 2012 at 9:48 PM

But I was told Obama would make us respected again in the world and would, like, usher in 1,000 years of peace, prosperity, and all the contraception I could ever ask for?

Have I been duped?

Obama/Fluke 2012

Punchenko on May 21, 2012 at 9:48 PM

Maybe they think a Mormon is preferable to an ex-Muslim who supports gay marriage.

Philly on May 21, 2012 at 9:50 PM

This can’t possibly be possible. Impossible!

John the Libertarian on May 21, 2012 at 9:52 PM

The most beautiful sound in the world…Romney 73, Obama 25

BobMbx on May 21, 2012 at 9:53 PM

Maybe they think a Mormon is preferable to an ex-Muslim who supports gay marriage.

Philly on May 21, 2012 at 9:50 PM

Aren’t you kind.

CW on May 21, 2012 at 9:53 PM

urban elitist on May 21, 2012 at 9:34 PM

Maybe they just know an unqualified piece of sh!t when they see one.

Lanceman on May 21, 2012 at 9:54 PM

The Egypt Games: The Egyptians have chose to subsume their cultural heritage to Islamic extremism, the old magic has left, and tourism is collapsing. Everyone is a loser. But, I have to add this is an intriguing result which is sad news for the Light-Bringer.

Mutnodjmet on May 21, 2012 at 9:56 PM

Another Cairo speech in the near future?

Doubt it.

2008 has come and gone…

75% say….fool me once…

Electrongod on May 21, 2012 at 9:57 PM

urban elitist on May 21, 2012 at 9:34 PM

Maybe they just know an unqualified piece of sh!t when they see one.

Lanceman on May 21, 2012 at 9:54 PM

You should truly read Urban’s posts. They are great examples of the success of English As a Second Language.

CW on May 21, 2012 at 9:57 PM

75% say….fool me once…

Electrongod on May 21, 2012 at 9:57 PM

What do the other 25% say? What would 7% say?

Lanceman on May 21, 2012 at 9:58 PM

Looks like the Egyptians found out that Mormons like to massacre Christians too.

Mark1971 on May 21, 2012 at 9:35 PM

Isn’t strange how all of the lefty bigots have been silent about Harry Reid all these years?

If Harry Reid had any balls and honour, he would hold a press conference and call you bigots out for maligning millions of innocent people.

Why don’t you tell the thread which group of Americans was the subject of the ONLY legal extermination order in the history of the United States?

Resist We Much on May 21, 2012 at 10:00 PM

Last I checked American Muslims support Obama more than any other major religious, ethnic or racial group except blacks. The number may be down now that he supports gay marriage, but I haven’t seen any polling on it yet.

Wigglesworth on May 21, 2012 at 10:01 PM

What do the other 25% say? What would 7% say?

Lanceman on May 21, 2012 at 9:58 PM

25% say….Obama is just warming up…

7%….
well….

Solution presented itself…
NoObama

Electrongod on May 21, 2012 at 10:02 PM

I wonder what the poll would look like if these respondents were informed of Romney’s longtime friendship with Benjamin Netanyahu.

Gingotts on May 21, 2012 at 10:02 PM

7%….
well….

Solution presented itself…
NoObama

Electrongod on May 21, 2012 at 10:02 PM

Wrong!

7% would say “Bishop!”

Lanceman on May 21, 2012 at 10:04 PM

CW on May 21, 2012 at 9:53 PM

I’m mellowing with age. :)

Philly on May 21, 2012 at 10:04 PM

Wrong!

7% would say “Bishop!”

Lanceman on May 21, 2012 at 10:04 PM

OK..
You got me..:)

Electrongod on May 21, 2012 at 10:09 PM

Obviously the Mormon proselytizing is going better than we initially thought.

Nicole Coulter on May 21, 2012 at 10:10 PM

Egyptian poll: Romney 73, Obama 25

It looks like Mitt will have to follow Obama’s practice of removing the safeguards against illegal foreign campaign contributions.

RJL on May 21, 2012 at 10:11 PM

What would 7% say?

Lanceman on May 21, 2012 at 9:58 PM

Hang in there Newt…!!!

Oh. Wait…

Flora Duh on May 21, 2012 at 10:14 PM

An Egyptian poll?!
Why are we even bothering with this? Has this site lost all relevance?

Dunedainn on May 21, 2012 at 10:16 PM

Obama’s ghey stance must not have played well with the Brothers in the Hood.…sand dunes?

profitsbeard on May 21, 2012 at 9:32 PM

…they have Hoods?

KOOLAID2 on May 21, 2012 at 10:24 PM

Hmmm. 44% of Egyptians want America to leave the Arabian Peninsula, I likewise want America to leave the Arabian Peninsula, of course I want America to leave the Arabian Peninsula a smoldering radioactive wasteland, but at least we agree that America should leave the Arabian Peninsula, it’s just the how we should leave it that we disagree on…

SWalker on May 21, 2012 at 10:28 PM

do they know Mitts a mormon.

gerrym51 on May 21, 2012 at 9:37 PM

…mormon/muslim…when you’re trying to understand English …it sounds the same to them…starts with an ‘m’ and it’s two syllables…close enough!

KOOLAID2 on May 21, 2012 at 10:31 PM

Attitudes toward the United States continue to be unfavorable (85%)

That is the only statistic that matters. Obama is just taking the place that Bush did before him and that Romney will take once he is president on their who do we hate most after Israel scale. Whoever represents the most powerful infidel state on earth will be hated no matter his or her politics. At least a majority of conservatives understand that, progressive liberals not so much.

William Eaton on May 21, 2012 at 10:32 PM

The most beautiful sound in the world…Romney 73, Obama 25

BobMbx on May 21, 2012 at 9:53 PM

Take down the liberal journalists and maybe we can achieve numbers like these. Here’s a start.

redridinghood on May 21, 2012 at 10:35 PM

Right after Dear leader sells Israel down the river he will zoom in popularity.

Do you realize how much he wants to avoid bombing Iran?

Gas prices up.

Economy down.

Delay till 2013!

IlikedAUH2O on May 21, 2012 at 11:12 PM

I’d feel happier if it were 73-25 the other way–but I’ll make an exception to the rule-as long as they can pass the bomb-sniffing dog test-allow unlimited illegal Egyptian aliens into all swing states immediately-even convert aircraft carriers into passenger ships.

MaiDee on May 21, 2012 at 11:42 PM

Last I checked American Muslims support Obama more than any other major religious, ethnic or racial group except blacks. The number may be down now that he supports gay marriage, but I haven’t seen any polling on it yet.

Wigglesworth on May 21, 2012 at 10:01 PM

More than Jews? It’s very surprising, but most Jewish voters still support Obama.

Gladtobehere on May 22, 2012 at 12:06 AM

GTFOH.

minnesoter on May 22, 2012 at 12:13 AM

Zero said he was 1/32 Egyptian. 73% were rightfully insulted, 25% are collecting food stamps, the other 2% forcefully said they have no opinion.

MrKleenexMuscles on May 22, 2012 at 12:58 AM

I guess there is one reason I should like Egyptians, they like Romney far more than Obama.

I wish someone would do two polls of Egyptians and other nations two questions asking:

1) Would they approve of Israel or the United States using the military option to stop the Iranians from acquiring nuclear weapons?

2) Should Arab nations unite and use the military option to stop the Iranians of from acquiring nuclear weapons?

SC.Charlie on May 22, 2012 at 5:35 AM

When Obama first came to office in 2009, even before his important speech in Cairo, Egyptian public opinion of the President was more favorable than unfavorable.

Isn’t it interesting how people always seem to like Barry/Baraka/Barack so much better before they get to know him?

AZCoyote on May 22, 2012 at 8:02 AM

You tell enough lies, people begin to shun you.

cane_loader on May 22, 2012 at 9:13 AM

Attitudes toward the United States continue to be unfavorable (85%).

Who cares what they think? The nations of the world are not competing in a popularity contest. Everyone hates France. Do they care? No. Does it have any negative substantive affect on France? No. Successful foreign policies ignore such useless questionable subjective polls.

But it is interesting that this percentage probably just about tracks the prevalent attitude towards historic US foreign policy among the faculty at US universities. That I do care about. That does matter.

farsighted on May 22, 2012 at 9:22 AM

Do you think it is the recent support for gay marriage? the middle east/arabs are not cool with that.

Fleuries on May 22, 2012 at 9:43 AM

women-suppressors unite around the world!

Pragmatic on May 22, 2012 at 9:44 AM