Oh my: Deb Fischer leads Bob Kerrey by 18 points in Nebraska

posted at 4:52 pm on May 17, 2012 by Allahpundit

Granted, it’s a deep red state, but I’m surprised regardless. Kerrey served two terms in the Senate and another as governor so his name recognition is sky high; Fischer, meanwhile, was a distant third in the primary race behind Bruning and Stenberg as of just a few weeks ago. Can an almost total upstart crush one of the most successful Democrats in recent state history?

Apparently, yeah:

State Senator Deb Fischer holds an 18-point lead over Democrat Bob Kerrey in the first Rasmussen Reports survey of the Nebraska U.S. Senate race since her upset win in last week’s state Republican primary.

A new telephone survey of Likely Voters in Nebraska shows Fischer with 56% support to 38% for Kerrey who is trying to reclaim the Senate seat he retired from in 2001. Two percent (2%) prefer some other candidate in the race, and three percent (3%) are undecided.

The question mark with all insurgent primary winners after Angle and O’Donnell is whether they’ll make so many unforced errors on the trail that voters will decide they’re too risky to roll the dice on. Richard Mourdock seems unlikely to have that problem; he already holds statewide office as Indiana’s treasurer and, from what I’ve read, operates as a seasoned pol. According to Michael Warren of the Standard, Fischer’s unlikely to have problems either:

During an April 7 debate in Omaha, Fischer, a two-term member of the Nebraska legislature, introduced herself with a list of her legislative achievements. Among those accomplishments were a highway funding bill that Fischer said “recognized that infrastructure is a priority and a responsibility of a limited government.”

In that same debate, Fischer reiterated her support for repealing Obamacare, but added that as an alternative, Republicans ought to pursue a number of policies—tort reform, insurance portability—to lower health care costs…

Fischer appears responsible with her rhetoric, too. Responding to one question about impeaching federal officials who are violating the Constitution, Fischer sat patiently while another candidate spoke at length about the need for Congress to exercise its impeachment powers more frequently. Then, during her answer, she began by saying that as a U.S. senator she would have an obligation to investigate if officials had violated the law. But she said talk of impeachment needed to be measured and responsible.

“It’s easy to sit here and say, yes, I’m going to do this and I’m going to do that. These are serious issues, and these are heavy issues,” Fischer continued, recounting her experience with impeachment proceedings in the Nebraska legislature. “You need to be thoughtful about it, and you need to have the information available.”

“You need to be thoughtful about it” is not an approach that’s going to lose you an 18-point lead. In fact, I’m eager now to see how much money the DSCC is willing to invest in Nebraska in hopes of stealing the seat. Superficially, they’ve got a good bet there. If their midwestern incumbents like McCaskill and Tester are going down, why not gamble on a proven winner like Bob Kerrey against a tea-party upstart who’s spent just seven years in government? The answer: This poll. If they can’t find something with which to demagogue Fischer as an “extremist,” they’ve got virtually no argument. And given how successful Palin’s endorsement was before the primary, I’m guessing the inevitable “Sarah Palin supports her!!” attack ad won’t do much to help. Exit quotation via National Journal’s Josh Kraushaar: “Take a close look at the scoreboard: A well-respected senator suffering a historic primary loss, a once-popular former four-term governor being rebuked by party activists, a Republican establishment favorite losing despite a significant organizational advantage, and another one at serious risk of being defeated. If the tea party hasn’t already won, I don’t know what victory looks like.”


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KOOLAID2 on May 17, 2012 at 7:04 PM

Will do!

Cindy Munford on May 17, 2012 at 7:13 PM

The great thing about successful races like this is that it could encourage other conservatives who might not have run before, people who previously thought only establishment candidates had a chance. This could really increase the quality of conservatives running.

Dongemaharu on May 17, 2012 at 7:16 PM

Stories like this reinforce my opinion that, had Sarah Palin run for President this cycle, she would highly likely be wrapping up the nomination (if not had it wrapped up earlier), would be swimming in boatloads upon boatloads of campaign cash, and would be leading Obama by double digits.

Jurisprudence on May 17, 2012 at 7:16 PM

I don’t think Nebraskans will send another Democrat to Washington for a long, long time. Congress, Senate or 1600 Penn.

Go Big Red isn’t just for football anymore!

JetBlast on May 17, 2012 at 7:21 PM

KOOLAID2 on May 17, 2012 at 7:04 PM

Will do!

Cindy Munford on May 17, 2012 at 7:13 PM

Ditto that!..:)

Dire Straits on May 17, 2012 at 7:21 PM

With Fischer and Mourdock, it looks like the Tea Party learned some important lessons.

Candidate quality counts!

BradTank on May 17, 2012 at 5:05 PM

Certainly does!
And I would appreciate some help for my quality candidate, Nick Popaditch. Sharp as a tack, steady as a rock. Disciplined, and the most honorable man I have ever met. Ed interviewed him a couple years ago.
http://Popaditchforcongress.com
Tough district, but many things starting to go our way

JusDreamin on May 17, 2012 at 7:28 PM

KOOLAID2 on May 17, 2012 at 7:04 PM

Will do!

Cindy Munford on May 17, 2012 at 7:13 PM

Ditto that!..:)

Dire Straits on May 17, 2012 at 7:21 PM

Why do y’all need inside information?

Nebraska is a nothing state with nothing special.

They want to be like the east coast. They put their two biggest cities on the east side of the state because they are in love with all things eastern.

They don’t even have a real football team fer’ cryin’ out loud.

And they still drive their tractors to town. Unless its an Oliver. Those they keep polished up in the shed.

Heck its so flat and boring even the counties are nice even squares, with straight boring gravel roads to separate the sections.

Populated by eastern type folks too. Came there to homestead and never left. The government had to give the land away it was so boring.

Except for Jefferson and Gage counties of course. The only redeeming qualities of that state…and the Strategic Air and Space museum…and the heartland Museum…and the archway over I-80…and the place with the steam train and old farm machinery…

cozmo on May 17, 2012 at 8:15 PM

cozmo on May 17, 2012 at 8:15 PM

Am I getting an insider left out vibe here? So give us the poop we want to hear from all you cornhuskers.

Cindy Munford on May 17, 2012 at 8:41 PM

…all you cornhuskers.

Cindy Munford on May 17, 2012 at 8:41 PM

And now insults?

Just what the heck is a cornhusker anyway? Does that school in Lincoln have a degree plan for that?

cozmo on May 17, 2012 at 8:48 PM

cozmo on May 17, 2012 at 8:48 PM

You got me, I swiped it from further up the thread. And if that is a university you are talking about, probably.

Cindy Munford on May 17, 2012 at 9:00 PM

You got me…

Cindy Munford on May 17, 2012 at 9:00 PM

Trust me, you don’t want to know.

Or, you can look it up in the urban dictionary.

cozmo on May 17, 2012 at 9:17 PM

FreedomWorks, Club for Growth, Demint, and Rand Paul all endorsed Stenberg a tepid, uninspiring, perpetual loser who can’t drum up in-state support on his own despite appearing on pretty much every ballot since 1996.

Notorious GOP on May 17, 2012 at 5:35 PM

FIFY.

I saw more love for Stenberg on sites like RedState.com these past several months than I’ve seen in this state for the past several years.

HuskerNate on May 17, 2012 at 5:48 PM

Hahaha spot on. He’s not a bad guy but you think he’d get a clue after awhile that hes gone as far as he’s going to go.

Sultanofsham on May 17, 2012 at 9:44 PM

This makes up for the Newton Leroy detour.

Which I blame on Todd.

Because she is, afterall, Sarandipitous

FlaMurph on May 17, 2012 at 10:28 PM

I’m guessing the inevitable “Sarah Palin supports her!!” attack ad won’t do much to help.

I’m thinking most people in Nebraska seeing an ad like that will say, “Yeah, that’s also a point in her favor; what have you got?”

AZfederalist on May 17, 2012 at 10:42 PM

My great-grandfather was a champion “corn-husker”. Teams of horses pulled a wagon, equipped with high bang boards, followed by men who, in the days before mechanized harvesting equipment, literally pulled the ears from the plants by hand, and in one deft movement shucked the ear with the hook on the back of a special leather glove they wore. Then they flung the ear up into the wagon. In competitions, judges would follow behind, counting any ears of corn that were missed, or that were flung over the wagon, and winners were thus declared. My great-grandpa was a winner of these competitions many times over, and his husking glove hangs on the wall at my (also farmers) parents’ house. So we’re “Cornhuskers” to honor the agriculture that is the backbone of our state’s history and current economy, and to honor the incredible hard work and amazing stamina that went into gathering the harvest. And yes, Gage County is indeed the most honorable of Nebraska counties. Just sayin..

Cornhusker on May 17, 2012 at 10:43 PM

And yes, Gage County is indeed the most honorable of Nebraska counties. Just sayin..

Cornhusker on May 17, 2012 at 10:43 PM

We sold our 20 acres and moved into Lincoln in 2010 after 29 years. Lived on Gage Road and shopped in Beatrice. Leaving was one of the hardest things I’ve ever done.

a capella on May 17, 2012 at 11:31 PM

Kerrey has already, on at least two occasions, made mention of the “sacrifices” he and his family are making to leave the uber-cool Greenwich Village for the God-forsaken flyover country of Hicksville, Nebraska, even for the few months until the election when they can, at long last, get the heck out of that poop-hole, win or lose.

I’m sure Nebraskans will just flock to his campaign.

He’s no longer the hipster war hero single Governor who dated Debra Winger, he’s the elitist ass who heads the snobby New School in NYC and offered to hire Monica Lewinsky to help keep her mouth shut.

Adjoran on May 18, 2012 at 1:07 AM

Stories like this reinforce my opinion that, had Sarah Palin run for President this cycle, she would highly likely be wrapping up the nomination (if not had it wrapped up earlier), would be swimming in boatloads upon boatloads of campaign cash, and would be leading Obama by double digits.

Jurisprudence on May 17, 2012 at 7:16 PM

just remember that the Dem media tried to fry her and failed (That chase the bus comedy and the great Alaskan e-mail rush) Then, out of shear fear, the elitist GOP and their knee-jerk punditry immediately did her in. She didn’t run because the GOP systematically destroyed her with one little Rovian “she’s not capable” after another -from Coulter to Cheney, Christie to Krauthammer, Rove to Will, Noonan to Ingraham.

They, the anointed gate-keepers, hate the very idea that the little people might actually have a voice in government, Hence the dumping on of Palin,the tea party, and the coronation of Mr.Etch-a-sketch.

Don L on May 18, 2012 at 7:05 AM

They, the anointed gate-keepers, hate the very idea that the little people might actually have a voice in government, Hence the dumping on of Palin,the tea party, and the coronation of Mr.Etch-a-sketch.

Don L on May 18, 2012 at 7:05 AM

The GOP fears us and hates us, only condones contact with us during an election cycle and, otherwise, expects us to sit quietly in the corner until the next election. I do believe that ship has sailed.

swinia sutki on May 18, 2012 at 7:41 AM

Nebraska is a nothing state with nothing special.

We have Deb Fischer, and don’t have to claim Bob Kerrey after he has left the state twice. That’s Pretty special to me.

They want to be like the east coast. They put their two biggest cities on the east side of the state because they are in love with all things eastern.

I don’t know one person outside of Omaha or Lincoln who would want NE to be like the East Coast. This is ridiculous. I’m sure that the great citizens of Nebraska planned exactly to have their 2 largest cities in the east 100 years ago. I’m sure it had nothing to do with settlers starting in the east because it was close to the river or anything. Nebraska will prove that we don’t much like the east by sending Bob Kerrey back there. By electing Mrs. Fischer we just showed that we are tired of sending Lawyers from Lincoln and Omaha to Washington DC. Citizen legislators, what a novel idea.

And they still drive their tractors to town. Unless its an Oliver. Those they keep polished up in the shed.

Thanks O, we still cling to our guns and bibles too.

They don’t even have a real football team fer’ cryin’ out loud.

Yes because as we all know state’s like Ohio are cosmopolitan because of the Browns and Bengals. That’s real football you see.

Heck its so flat and boring even the counties are nice even squares, with straight boring gravel roads to separate the sections.

You can insult our people all you want, but please don’t insult our geometry and geography. That is truely hurtful.

Populated by eastern type folks too. Came there to homestead and never left. The government had to give the land away it was so boring.

If you want excitement, move to Bagdhad. I hear it’s nice this time of year.

Except for Jefferson and Gage counties of course. The only redeeming qualities of that state…and the Strategic Air and Space museum…and the heartland Museum…and the archway over I-80…and the place with the steam train and old farm machinery…

You mean you like the old farm machinery that we still drive to town?

weaselyone on May 18, 2012 at 8:36 AM

I’m a Jefferson County boy myself, so I can’t argue with that part…

HuskerNate on May 18, 2012 at 11:26 AM

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