USA Today/Gallup poll shows voters more optimistic about economy under Romney than Obama

posted at 3:21 pm on May 15, 2012 by Ed Morrissey

USA Today leads the analysis of its joint poll with Gallup on the news that people have become more optimistic on the economy, and that’s good news for Barack Obama.  More people think Obama will win re-election as well, although at least so far, USAT doesn’t say whether Obama actually leads in the poll.  But the internals show Mitt Romney gaining traction, and his favorability now equals that of the incumbent.

Let’s start with the optimism, which is significantly tempered:

Americans may be downbeat about today’s economy, a USA TODAY/Gallup Poll finds, but they are increasingly optimistic that things are about to get better for the nation and themselves.

Though an overwhelming 71% rate economic conditions as poor, a 58% majority predict they will be good a year from now. While those surveyed are inclined to say they are worse off financially than a year ago, nearly two-thirds say they think they’ll be better off this time next year.

The assessment of personal finances already is on the upswing. More than a third report they are better off than they were a year ago — the highest number since before the economic meltdown in 2008. (They’re still outnumbered by the four in 10 who say they’re worse off, though.)

That’s not much of an improvement.  A third of voters feeling better than a year ago means two-thirds who don’t.  As Obama himself might put it, those are some significant headwinds, especially since hiring and production have slowed down coming into the spring.

Romney’s standing has improved as the party unites behind him as the nominee, and his favorability — the personal sense of the candidate — now stands roughly equal to that of Obama:

Since becoming the presumptive Republican nominee, Romney’s favorable-unfavorable rating has jumped to 50%-41%, his best ever and in the same neighborhood as Obama’s 52%-46% standing.

That suggests that the months-long effort to paint Romney as a private-equity vampire who banished his dog to roof-riding torment isn’t exactly succeeding.  The more people get to know Romney, the more they seem to like him.  Furthermore, there seems to be slightly more upside for Romney than Obama at this point.

However, the election won’t get decided on charm.  The key takeaway:

In the poll, 55% say the economy would get better over the next four years if Romney was elected, compared with 46% who say it would improve if Obama was re-elected. Twenty-seven percent say the economy would get worse in a Romney first term, compared with 37% who say that of an Obama second term.

Consider that with this nugget, and it’s starting to look like Republican momentum:

For the first time during this campaign cycle, the GOP has an advantage in congressional elections. By 50%-44%, those surveyed say they’re likely to vote for the Republican congressional candidate. The two parties were tied in the USA TODAY Poll in February, and Democrats had a 7-point advantage last August.

This election will be about the economy, no matter how many shiny objects Team Obama strews out on the campaign stump to distract from it.  A gathering momentum for Republicans in Congress also means momentum toward the top of the ticket, and potentially a loss of enthusiasm among Democrats.  Put those together, and the proposal that the economy will help Obama is pretty well demolished.

Note that USA Today didn’t release any of the internals on this poll, which means we may have to revisit these results if Gallup publishes them.  It’s also very much worth noting that this was a poll of general-population adults, not registered or likely voters — a sample type that usually produces more sympathetic results to Democrats.  The reality of likely voters is likely to favor Romney and Republicans even more.


Related Posts:

Breaking on Hot Air

Blowback

Note from Hot Air management: This section is for comments from Hot Air's community of registered readers. Please don't assume that Hot Air management agrees with or otherwise endorses any particular comment just because we let it stand. A reminder: Anyone who fails to comply with our terms of use may lose their posting privilege.

Trackbacks/Pings

Trackback URL

Comments

If we had an honest press with honest polling samples, Obama would be 10-20 points behind…

Khun Joe on May 15, 2012 at 3:23 PM

This election will be about the economy, no matter how many shiny objects Team Obama strews out on the campaign stump to distract from it.

Yep, and those shiny objects make 0bama look even smaller.

Where is Bill Clinton and his second most famous line?

“It’s the economy stupid”

cozmo on May 15, 2012 at 3:25 PM

So people favor someone with a lack of charisma over someone with an over inflated ego. Shocker.

Zaggs on May 15, 2012 at 3:26 PM

Too bad Romney has already lost New Hampshire. :-(

Per [democrat]Policy Polling…

Barack Obama has a healthy lead in PPP’s newest poll of New Hampshire, quite a shift from the polls we did in the state last year. He’s at 53% to 41% for Mitt Romney.

New Hampshire provides yet another example of Romney’s struggles with women and young people. He trails 58-35 with women, more than offsetting his narrow 48-47 advantage with men. And he’s down 59-29 with voters under 30, a more than 2:1 ratio with those who’ve already made up their minds.

SouthernGent on May 15, 2012 at 3:26 PM

This is not going well for The One, heh! He’s on a downhill slide from now until November . . . with no more Bin Laden’s to wax. Read the writing on the wall champ – you’re a Lame Ducky!!

Bob in VA on May 15, 2012 at 3:27 PM

SouthernGent on May 15, 2012 at 3:26 PM

Music to angryred’s ears.

cozmo on May 15, 2012 at 3:27 PM

“Note that USA Today didn’t release any of the internals on this poll”

Toss

“Per [democrat]Policy Polling…”

TOSS

Eph on May 15, 2012 at 3:28 PM

Bob in VA on May 15, 2012 at 3:27 PM

I prefer a 50′ razor blade.

cozmo on May 15, 2012 at 3:28 PM

Well, that is a no brainer.

Anyone with a pulse would have to know by now that with Obama in power, the economy is what it is and what it is now is the best it will be.

I also have been saying for the last year that real, roaring recovery will begin the moment enough of those with the money on the sidelines feel confident OBAMA IS GOING TO LOSE and jumps to get in early, pulling the others in.

However, that may be tempered by the fact that we are LITERALLY facing “Taxmageddon” 1/1/13 if things don’t change. You’d think it’d be a “no brainer” for Obama at this point to agree to push through Congress a very quick extension of current tax rates for at least another year, if only to help his own re-election chances. But Obama has no brain.

As we’ve seen, Obama only pivots leftward.

wildcat72 on May 15, 2012 at 3:28 PM

Don’t worry, gang. The MSM is cooking up some major smear pieces on Romney. It is the Democrat way.

NickDeringer on May 15, 2012 at 3:28 PM

…and that’s good news for Barack Obama.

Why is that? I don’t see it.

Curtiss on May 15, 2012 at 3:29 PM

Polls, Polls, everywhere there’s polls. Fluking up the scenery, breakin my mind. Do this, don’t do that, can’t you read the polls?

msupertas on May 15, 2012 at 3:29 PM

Try to figure out the essentials of what upsets people about O. On a personal level. I mean really irks people. Then weave these elements into the ads and messages.

anotherJoe on May 15, 2012 at 3:30 PM

Unqualified incompetent incumbents hardest hit.

NoDonkey on May 15, 2012 at 3:31 PM

Optimism is a great thing. Why just two years ago, VP Joey Biden was crowing about “The Summer of Recovery!”.

Down at the local unemployment office, all they want to talk about is ‘gay marriage’ and ‘the Republican War on Women’.

Go figure.

GarandFan on May 15, 2012 at 3:31 PM

Try to figure out the essentials of what upsets people about O. On a personal level. I mean really irks people. Then weave these elements into the ads and messages.

anotherJoe on May 15, 2012 at 3:30 PM

That’s easy. His arrogance. His condescension. Stuff like saying that the military fights “on my behalf”.

That right there pisses off anyone who is or ever has been military, or knows anyone in the military or is related to them. In other words, a helluva LOT of people…

wildcat72 on May 15, 2012 at 3:32 PM

If we had an honest press with honest polling samples, Obama would be 10-20 points behind…

Khun Joe on May 15, 2012 at 3:23 PM

We’ll get an honest poll on Nov 6 and all of the media’s skewed samples won’t be able to save their boy.

Go RBNY on May 15, 2012 at 3:32 PM

Elections are always tight when you have a name like Barack Hussein Obama. We all know why.

a capella on May 15, 2012 at 3:33 PM

Voters have reason to be more optimistic about economy under a steaming pile of dog crap than Obama.

The Rogue Tomato on May 15, 2012 at 3:33 PM

Try to figure out the essentials of what upsets people about O. On a personal level. I mean really irks people. Then weave these elements into the ads and messages.

anotherJoe on May 15, 2012 at 3:30 PM

We don’t need to make people dislike the guy. That would be a gift to Axelrod, because it will take away from the economic message.

If “in over his head” is enough to make people to sit at home or vote Romney, that’s all we need.

NoDonkey on May 15, 2012 at 3:33 PM

I bet PPP oversampled Women.

Bluray on May 15, 2012 at 3:35 PM

I am so looking forward to election night. The wailing and moaning and gnashing of teeth as the results come in, the expressions of shock and dismay. Then the inevitable angry denunciations of American voters as racist and homophobic and xenophobic.

It’s going to be fun!

AZCoyote on May 15, 2012 at 3:37 PM

FINALLY…………………after four years of HopeLessNess/ChangeLessNess,there is light at the
end of the Political Tunnel!!

Hal i Lou Ya!!

canopfor on May 15, 2012 at 3:38 PM

While those surveyed are inclined to say they are worse off financially than a year ago, nearly two-thirds say they think they’ll be better off this time next year.

Are these people paying any attention at all???…

PatriotRider on May 15, 2012 at 3:39 PM

Viable businesses have been closed and most any possible growth elsewhere has been shunted for 3 1/2 years. People in business and in general are paying down debt, shedding waste and becoming as financially lean as they can while they wait for the news of a change back to fairness, competence and consistency.

I fully expect things will improve when Obama and his socialist administration is gone. Maybe it was a necessary lesson we seem to have to experience every generation or so.

DanMan on May 15, 2012 at 3:39 PM

I am so looking forward to election night. The wailing and moaning and gnashing of teeth as the results come in, the expressions of shock and dismay. Then the inevitable angry denunciations of American voters as racist and homophobic and xenophobic.

It’s going to be fun!

AZCoyote on May 15, 2012 at 3:37 PM

“Obama is Out?!, Obama IS OUT?!!, OBAMA IS OUT?!!!”

-Some CNN host, election day 2012

wildcat72 on May 15, 2012 at 3:39 PM

I bet PPP oversampled Women.

Bluray on May 15, 2012 at 3:35 PM

I dunno… Does lorien1971 work for PPP?

Archivarix on May 15, 2012 at 3:41 PM

“Note that USA Today didn’t release any of the internals on this poll”

Toss

“Per [democrat]Policy Polling…”

TOSS

Eph on May 15, 2012 at 3:28 PM

Yep. If they won’t tell you how they got these numbers, then one has to ask why not.

Next.

kim roy on May 15, 2012 at 3:41 PM

….ohhhhhhhhhhh…
.
.
.
…it’s the ECONOMY stupid…???

KOOLAID2 on May 15, 2012 at 3:42 PM

It’s going to be fun!

AZCoyote on May 15, 2012 at 3:37 PM

AZCoyote:Yup,a National 911 Emergency Stand-by,for Mental Health
Experts,for DemoRats/ProGTards/SocialistTwits in a Lefty
State of Shock/Turmiol/Confusion Crisis!!:)

canopfor on May 15, 2012 at 3:42 PM

As we approach the election and it becomes more apparent that Obama will be replaced, there will be a noticeable improvement in the economy and business indicators. Those will be the effects of the recognition that a Romney administration, perhaps even with Republican control of both houses, will mean the likely end of Obamacare, the end of the Obama embargo on carbon energy development, leading to lower energy prices, and a more stable environment for business from the standpoint of taxes and regulations.

If these effects occur early enough in the process, Obama will seize on them as signs that his economic policies are working. But people will know better, and by then it will be too late.

novaculus on May 15, 2012 at 3:42 PM

“The American people are cheering bad news for the American people.”

#angryed

MidniteRambler on May 15, 2012 at 3:43 PM

I am so looking forward to election night. The wailing and moaning and gnashing of teeth as the results come in, the expressions of shock and dismay. Then the inevitable angry denunciations of American voters as racist and homophobic and xenophobic.

It’s going to be fun!

AZCoyote on May 15, 2012 at 3:37 PM

when i was a kid i would run up and down the street at midnight on New Years Eve and bang pots and pans. i will be 41 this November, and if Romney wins, i will do the same.

GhoulAid on May 15, 2012 at 3:43 PM

Homomentum.

fogw on May 15, 2012 at 3:43 PM

SouthernGent on May 15, 2012 at 3:26 PM

ok, lets see here, doing some quick math…add 4 more Evs….yep. that puts BHO at 194 EVs. good thing we got that state nailed down in the lose column. there goes their obamcare waiver.

t8stlikchkn on May 15, 2012 at 3:44 PM

As we approach the election and it becomes more apparent that Obama will be replaced, there will be a noticeable improvement in the economy …………….
novaculus on May 15, 2012 at 3:42 PM

the other side of the coin we saw in Nov 2008. job losses didnt accelerate until after he was elected. and we all knkew what was coming.

t8stlikchkn on May 15, 2012 at 3:45 PM

I am so looking forward to election night. The wailing and moaning and gnashing of teeth as the results come in, the expressions of shock and dismay. Then the inevitable angry denunciations of American voters as racist and homophobic and xenophobic.

It’s going to be fun!

AZCoyote on May 15, 2012 at 3:37 PM

The tears of idealistic college-aged Democratic Party volunteers are especially schadenfreudeny.

MidniteRambler on May 15, 2012 at 3:45 PM

“This election will be about the economy, no matter how many shiny objects Team Obama strews out on the campaign stump to distract from it.”

Every single policy that has destroyed this economy has come from Obowma, Democrat Social Engineering, and the Left’s HOAX of man made global warming…

… Every… Single… One.

Run on that, and hold Obowma, the Democrats, and the Left accountable for their failed ideology and the pain that they have inflected…

… Hang this stink around their necks, tarnish the Democrat brand, pound them to dust!

Seven Percent Solution on May 15, 2012 at 3:46 PM

We don’t need to make people dislike the guy.

NoDonkey on May 15, 2012 at 3:33 PM

Boy, do I disagree. Truth is a large fraction of voters, especially among independents, will base their decision largely on who they like the most or dislike the least. Personal characteristics will trump or compete with policy issues. I think this is common sense, so I won’t provide detailed support arguments in support of this.

anotherJoe on May 15, 2012 at 3:46 PM

canopfor on May 15, 2012 at 3:42 PM

Yes, MSNBC will probably have to put Chrissy Matthews on a suicide watch!

Glad to see (read) you here again, canopfor. There were some other commenters looking for you the other day, asking where you’ve been lately. Hope all is well with you.

AZCoyote on May 15, 2012 at 3:48 PM

the other side of the coin we saw in Nov 2008. job losses didnt accelerate until after he was elected. and we all knkew what was coming.

t8stlikchkn on May 15, 2012 at 3:45 PM

Oooh yeah, I remember… Things went from ok to catastrophic literally overnight when Dear Leader was elected. Capital knew what was coming, got pulled out from under the already slumping economy which caused things to go into freefall.

And on the sidelines capital will STAY until the jug-eared Mugabe wannabe has to start paying for his own vacay’s again…

wildcat72 on May 15, 2012 at 3:50 PM

We don’t need to make people dislike the guy.

NoDonkey on May 15, 2012 at 3:33 PM
Boy, do I disagree. Truth is a large fraction of voters, especially among independents, will base their decision largely on who they like the most or dislike the least. Personal characteristics will trump or compete with policy issues. I think this is common sense, so I won’t provide detailed support arguments in support of this.

anotherJoe on May 15, 2012 at 3:46 PM

This could be the case, if everything was going great.

In this economy, people will vote for anyone they think will turn the economy around. And Romney is a nice guy, the Democrats are not going to be able to paint him as an evil, unlikable guy.

What’s common sense is that it’s the economy. In a crisis, do you want some guy you’d like to have a beer with or a guy who can save your life?

NoDonkey on May 15, 2012 at 3:54 PM

Glad to see (read) you here again, canopfor. There were some other commenters looking for you the other day, asking where you’ve been lately. Hope all is well with you.

AZCoyote on May 15, 2012 at 3:48 PM

…I think he promised to post “See you in a week or two!’…the next time he takes a break from here! RIGHT!!!!!!!???…canopfor??????????!!

KOOLAID2 on May 15, 2012 at 3:54 PM

No snoopy dance/ Humpbot action just yet folks

*praying*

cmsinaz on May 15, 2012 at 3:57 PM

One of my Dimmocrat friends here said he’d vote fur his yeller dog for he’d vote fer Obama.

It’s that bad for the Gay female President here in Possum Holler.

PappyD61 on May 15, 2012 at 3:58 PM

I’m sure that poll is racist too, just like that one showing Romnney with a 3+ lead & with a lead among women voters. /

Dark Star on May 15, 2012 at 3:58 PM

Though an overwhelming 71% rate economic conditions as poor, a 58% majority predict they will be good a year from now.

What will happen between now and a year from now that might change the economy. What could it be? Maybe something in November?
Perhaps 58% of those polled figure Obama will be out on his arse by this time next year.

Aviator on May 15, 2012 at 3:59 PM

If we had an honest press with honest polling samples, Obama would be 10-20 points behind doing 10-20 in prison…

Khun Joe on May 15, 2012 at 3:23 PM

That he would not be president is beside the point.

This man makes the Chicago political machine look like a bunch of choir boys.

(If I say boy, is it racist? Oh, everything’s racist! I forgot.)

turfmann on May 15, 2012 at 4:00 PM

The Obama Economic Record
**************************

http://www.theospark.net/search?updated-max=2012-05-10T14:26:00%2B01:00&max-results=50&start=26&by-date=false

canopfor on May 15, 2012 at 4:05 PM

Obama is Godzilla……….America is downtown Tokyo!!!

Any questions?

PappyD61 on May 15, 2012 at 4:05 PM

As we approach the election and it becomes more apparent that Obama will be replaced, there will be a noticeable improvement in the economy and business indicators. Those will be the effects of the recognition that a Romney administration, perhaps even with Republican control of both houses, will mean the likely end of Obamacare, the end of the Obama embargo on carbon energy development, leading to lower energy prices, and a more stable environment for business from the standpoint of taxes and regulations.

If these effects occur early enough in the process, Obama will seize on them as signs that his economic policies are working. But people will know better, and by then it will be too late.

novaculus on May 15, 2012 at 3:42 PM

Gosh, I hope you’re right, but you’re asking voters to make a mighty cause and effect leap. I’ve said all along that once it becomes clear that Romney can really win, the economy and its investors will get a little bounce in their step, employers will start thinking about hanging out the help wanted signs, and…barack will get all of the credit for that. I am not convinced that most voters will understand that a recovery in underway because everyone understands that barack is out.

Rational Thought on May 15, 2012 at 4:08 PM

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8trsDPpAI5E&feature=youtube_gdata_player

We’re all Tokyo now!!!!!!

PappyD61 on May 15, 2012 at 4:08 PM

Hang this stink around their necks, tarnish the Democrat brand, pound them to dust!

Seven Percent Solution on May 15, 2012 at 3:46 PM

man, we dont have to. he’s gone. and the turn-around that will come with comprehensive tax reform ala 1986 about may 2013, the entitlement reform, the implosion of china and europe, the explosion of US energy production/revenues, that will come with the wiping away of leftist “regulations”, obamacare, and the FEAR of what is coming next from these amateurs, will be enough to put dems in the wilderness for another 20 years. the results will speak even to the dim (most of the 44% who will vote for him, ok, maybe 1/3 of them). we cant convince them now. in 4 years, they will have seen it with their own eyes. man, the future is so friggin bright for this country; we need shades. coming very very soon. our long national mightmare is about over. the rebound will be historic.

t8stlikchkn on May 15, 2012 at 4:09 PM

In this economy, people will vote for anyone they think will turn the economy around. And Romney is a nice guy, the Democrats are not going to be able to paint him as an evil, unlikable guy.

NoDonkey on May 15, 2012 at 3:54 PM

Look how O et al succeeded in making war hero McCain look like an absolute goofball, in ads, amplified by his SNL appearance. Changed a lot of votes. It is good that Romney appears resistant to smears, but they will still try, and maybe succeed to some degree.
In any event, it can’t hurt to endeavor to make O look less likable. A lot of factors will determine votes, depending on the individuals, and when people weigh the issues and find it to be a toss up, then likeability will decide the issue.

So… it’s good to make O appear less likeable. Question is, how to do that?

anotherJoe on May 15, 2012 at 4:10 PM

In a crisis, do you want some guy you’d like to have a beer with or a guy who can save your life?

NoDonkey on May 15, 2012 at 3:54 PM

Both, please.

One of the best things the Romney campaign can do is demonstrate that Romney is both more likable than Barry and infinitely more competent. For example, the story about how Romney literally closed Bain Capital down and asked every partner and employee to search for Robert Gay’s lost daughter in NYC is a good indicator of his compassion and problem solving. There’s no equivalent in Barry’s life or career.

Slainte on May 15, 2012 at 4:12 PM

This is for all social conservatives to note: Ideological purity on social issues was never enough. Their favorites lacked what Romney clearly has in abundance: organizational skills, a dignified demeanor, an ability to articulate issues, a squeaky clean personal life, a tough hide, an impressive resume of achievement, a consistent history of fiscal responsibility, a willingness to attack when necessary, and lots of money.

writeblock on May 15, 2012 at 4:14 PM

Yea, the economy is leveled out right now and may stay that way until after the election…but just wait and see what happens to the economy after Baraka gets his ‘flexibility’…then, well, we can all kiss the good economy bye bye…

Ltlgeneral64 on May 15, 2012 at 4:15 PM

Oops,Linky Glitch Snafu,heres another link..sorry!!

The Obama Economic Record
**************************

http://www.theospark.net/search?updated-max=2012-05-10T14:26:00%2B01:00&max-results=50&start=26&by-date=false

canopfor on May 15, 2012 at 4:05 PM
====================================

http://3.bp.blogspot.com/-mJF56yzzXGg/TyIaefJNWtI/AAAAAAAAAmA/xu4kYMnOcFQ/s1600/Obama%2BEcon%2BRecord.jpg

canopfor on May 15, 2012 at 4:15 PM

So… it’s good to make O appear less likeable. Question is, how to do that?

anotherJoe on May 15, 2012 at 4:10 PM

he’s doing it himself man. when the otehr side is imploding, stwep aside. remember the one was supposed to post-everything right? the latest poll of\n the gay thing 66% saw it as puirely political. THAT in itself diminishes him, makes him less likable. as he gets more desperate, and he is getting close already (the bain rollout this early is telling) he will get more unlikable, becuase he will become what he is, and seen that way by more people, some of whom wanted something different. we’ll have some real transparency. relax.

t8stlikchkn on May 15, 2012 at 4:17 PM

Obama is Godzilla……….America is downtown Tokyo!!!

Any questions?

PappyD61 on May 15, 2012 at 4:05 PM

PappyD61:Yes….is HopeyZilla Gay?!(haha):)

canopfor on May 15, 2012 at 4:18 PM

Look how O et al succeeded in making war hero McCain look like an absolute goofball, in ads, amplified by his SNL appearance. Changed a lot of votes. It is good that Romney appears resistant to smears, but they will still try, and maybe succeed to some degree.
In any event, it can’t hurt to endeavor to make O look less likable. A lot of factors will determine votes, depending on the individuals, and when people weigh the issues and find it to be a toss up, then likeability will decide the issue.

So… it’s good to make O appear less likeable. Question is, how to do that?

anotherJoe on May 15, 2012 at 4:10 PM

The way Romney is doing now – make him look unqualified to do his job. You don’t have to make people hate him personally.

People know Obama well enough. If they don’t hate him already, it isn’t going to happen now.

You can’t make people dislike Obama when the media will do everything to make people like him. But the media can’t coverup for the bad economy.

NoDonkey on May 15, 2012 at 4:20 PM

There’s no equivalent in Barry’s life or career.

Slainte on May 15, 2012 at 4:12 PM

hold the phone. what about the time when he was dealing coke in college and he was shorted, so quickly, instead of using his usual baby powder to step on it, with the attendant burning etc, and potential for exposure, he quickly substituted B12 for his cut, and in the end actually profited more and escaped detection. that says something.

t8stlikchkn on May 15, 2012 at 4:22 PM

IMO the best way to attack Obama is to make fun of him. Laugh at him and all his lies. He is a ridiculous little man who will fall apart if he is made fun of.

Kaffa on May 15, 2012 at 4:22 PM

Americans may be downbeat about today’s economy, a USA TODAY/Gallup Poll finds, but they are increasingly optimistic that things are about to get better for the nation and themselves.

Though an overwhelming 71% rate economic conditions as poor, a 58% majority predict they will be good a year from now. While those surveyed are inclined to say they are worse off financially than a year ago, nearly two-thirds say they think they’ll be better off this time next year.

In the poll, 55% say the economy would get better over the next four years if Romney was elected, compared with 46% who say it would improve if Obama was re-elected. Twenty-seven percent say the economy would get worse in a Romney first term, compared with 37% who say that of an Obama second term.

So 58% think the economy will be better off next year, and 55% think it would improve under Romney. Gee…who do these people want to be President next year?

Maybe they’re optimistic about the economy because they’re optimistic about Romney being elected. Kinda sorta maybe.

Steve Z on May 15, 2012 at 4:25 PM

So… it’s good to make O appear less likeable. Question is, how to do that?

anotherJoe on May 15, 2012 at 4:10 PM

I honestly have no idea how anyone thinks he is “likeable” now.

Monkeytoe on May 15, 2012 at 4:30 PM

If Romney is ahead or even in all of the Tracking Polls (within the margin of era) does this not bode well for Team Romney?

My point tis Obama is ahead by 20 points in New York and California and over 10 points in the other solid blue states. So logically wouldn’t Romney have a more than a competitive advantage of taking the rest of the states?

Natebo on May 15, 2012 at 4:35 PM

If we had an honest press with honest polling samples, Obama would be 10-20 points behind…

Khun Joe on May 15, 2012 at 3:23 PM

If we had a conservative candidate Obama would be 10-20 points behind…but we don’t so we have to scrape out a win, and pretend it’s a great landslide.

right2bright on May 15, 2012 at 4:38 PM

when the other side is imploding, step aside…

t8stlikchkn on May 15, 2012 at 4:17 PM

I agree and disagree. It’s great that the gay flap and other things are causing problems, but this is going to be a competitive race, don’t get complacent because of Dick Morris. Lots of voters are going to be on the margins, on the fence. We need a very active campaign, especially since O is going to aim about a billion $ on us. Amplify negatives, diminish positives.

Stepping aside is what mccain did. How did that work out? We need to attack O with relentless force.

anotherJoe on May 15, 2012 at 4:41 PM

In the last 10 days before the election, it will break for Romney by about 5-6 points. I’d say 90% of this country has already made up it’s mind. There is no doubt that Obama is going to lose on the economy.

rubberneck on May 15, 2012 at 4:43 PM

No snoopy dance/ Humpbot action just yet folks

*praying*

cmsinaz on May 15, 2012 at 3:57 PM

cmsinaz:Love the snoopy dance,and when Hopey leaves on AF/1 for the
last time…..yuppers!:)

canopfor on May 15, 2012 at 4:46 PM

Habitat for Humanity is calling, Barry.

Punchenko on May 15, 2012 at 4:51 PM

I honestly have no idea how anyone thinks he is “likeable” now.

Monkeytoe on May 15, 2012 at 4:30 PM

Liberals like him. So do blacks, despite the gay thing. The reason, he is their dream, the anti-American Barack Hussein O. But, independents have a mix of views on things, not necessarily conservative or liberal, left or right, per se. They may be pro choice but against gay marriage and the bailouts. Independents may or may not like his character, they may find him arrogant, or they may find him humble. We need to facilitate the “find him arrogant” part, and find him other bad things.

anotherJoe on May 15, 2012 at 4:53 PM

the future is so friggin bright for this country; we need shades. coming very very soon. our long national mightmare is about over. the rebound will be historic.

t8stlikchkn on May 15, 2012 at 4:09 PM

hell yes, pretty much what I said at 3:39 but I like your take better…

DanMan on May 15, 2012 at 4:59 PM

I am so looking forward to election night. The wailing and moaning and gnashing of teeth as the results come in, the expressions of shock and dismay. Then the inevitable angry denunciations of American voters as racist and homophobic and xenophobic.

It’s going to be fun!

AZCoyote on May 15, 2012 at 3:37 PM

Can we get the picture of the guy eating popcorn on that night?

msupertas on May 15, 2012 at 5:34 PM

All that Mitt has needed was separation that comes with time from the radioactive GOP candidates. While he was mud wrestling with pigs like Santo, Newt, Cain and the rest, his negatives were high. After all, it’s hard to look serious or presidential when you’re spending your time in the pig pen. More people are starting to tune in and look at Mitt as the nominee and not as another maybe.

PBHO’s only chance continues to be to convince enough people that the alternative to his disastrous administration is someone even scarier. That is mission impossible with Mitt. It worked OK when Mitt could be tarred with the same brush as the pigs, but that window is just about closed now.

I repeat, Mitt wins with more than a 5% popular vote margin in Nov!

MJBrutus on May 15, 2012 at 5:38 PM

Rational Thought on May 15, 2012 at 4:08 PM

The earlier it turns the more likely Obama can take some advantage of it. But the Flying Monkey Media have been cruising along on the theory that Obama was a lock to win until just the past few days, and if they continue to tout Obama’s inevitable victory they may suppress the expected bounce enough to prevent him from exploiting it. Wouldn’t that be sweet?

But you may be right. Or we may both be wrong. I guess we’ll see.

novaculus on May 15, 2012 at 5:40 PM

…mud wrestling with pigs like Santo, Newt, Cain…

MJBrutus on May 15, 2012 at 5:38 PM

I know you meant that as an analogy for a hard fight, not to call the losers pigs. As, of course, it does no good to beat dead horses. And now it’s about bringing our side together, not continuing to engage as if the fight goes on.

anotherJoe on May 15, 2012 at 5:59 PM

Biggest difference between 2010 and 2012 election cycle is Tea Party candidates will be much better. No Sharon Angles, No Witches this time around. This time much better GOP/Tea party candidates means a clean sweep at the Federal level and significant pickups at the state level.
Predictions for the Senate…60 GOP Senators. Romney in a landslide.
House gets another 15 seats.

richardb on May 15, 2012 at 6:04 PM

And now we have another debt ceiling debate and we are about 40 days away from Supreme Court’s ruling on Obama’s Unaffordable Stomp on your Health Care and slap you a fine if you try to escape legislation (aka Obamacare).

Can’t wait to see how the numbers break out over the next 1.5 months of complete chaos.

Varchild on May 15, 2012 at 6:14 PM

anotherJoe on May 15, 2012 at 5:59 PM

Yes. Yes. Thank you. That’s what I meant :-)

MJBrutus on May 15, 2012 at 6:36 PM

You mean people might actually get that having a business minded President rather than a community organizer might make things better?

Really?

/

CW on May 15, 2012 at 9:50 PM

Yawn! another poll

gerrym51 on May 15, 2012 at 10:45 PM