Is Obama winning the election by feeding the media lots of dumb distractions?

posted at 5:23 pm on May 3, 2012 by Allahpundit

Philip Klein says yes, Ace says he doesn’t know, I’m saying nope.

How did we reach the point where I’m the optimist in the righty blogosphere?

Since [April 10], three stories have dominated the political news cycle. The first came when Hilary Rosen, a Democratic operative, said Ann Romney “never worked a day in her life.” The next came when the Romney campaign promoted a Daily Caller story recounting that Obama had eaten dog as a child in Indonesia. The most recent came as Obama decided to spike the football before the anniversary of Osama bin Laden’s killing, releasing an ad suggesting Romney wouldn’t have made the same call.

In all of these cases, the Romney campaign has taken the bait, reacting to whatever Team Obama has decided to make an issue…

While these stories continued to dominate the political headlines, negative economic news poured in. Just in the past week, the Commerce Department reported that the pace of economic growth slowed to an anemic 2.2 percent in the first quarter and payroll processor ADP reported the private sector added just 119,000 jobs in April, far lower than expectations. The Labor Department releases its monthly report Friday…

If the campaign is about bin Laden, identity politics and silly controversies about dogs, an Obama victory is a lot more likely. To seize control of the campaign, instead of merely being reactive, Romney has to put Obama on the defensive about his own record.

Actually, it’s because I’m pessimistic about voters’ attention spans and ideological priorities that I’m optimistic about Romney’s chances in this dumb distraction derby that we’ve been having lately. My hunch is that the 10 percent of the public that’s going to decide the election doesn’t start paying attention until the conventions in late August and then doesn’t really buckle down until the first presidential debate in early October. All of this crap about Hilary Rosen and the dog on the car roof may help very marginally — you never know what an undecided voter might pick up in his/her half-hour of news-watching per day — but I think it’s mostly makework for the campaigns and chum for political junkies. That’s why I go over the top with expressions of worry in my silly posts about early polls: Those polls are completely meaningless right now but they’re tasty chum so we have to pretend like they’re somehow worth talking about. Needless to say, the election will be decided by what GDP growth and the unemployment rate look like circa October 1, not by who’s leading by three points in Virginia today. In fact, I put so much stock in the economy as a deciding factor in the election that sometimes I think it almost doesn’t matter what Romney’s own economic message is. And maybe he thinks so too:

“My vision for America is very different than this president’s vision,” said Romney, who spoke on the floor of Exhibit Edge, a female-run company that specializes in making signage for trade shows.

“What he’s done over the last three and a half years is install a series of policies that have made it back-breaking for many small businesses,” said Romney. “And made it harder for our economy to reboot and put people back to work. What I would do, people ask me what would you to get the economy going and I say, well look at what the president’s done, and do the opposite.”

That’s a lame soundbite but it works as a summary of the “referendum” nature of this election: Do something different. If the economy looks sufficiently crappy five months from now that swing voters come to that conclusion, he’ll win regardless of whatever else is happening. To the extent any of the recent distractions matter, I think they matter chiefly in how they affect the “likability gap” between Obama and Romney. Rosen suggests that Ann Romney’s too rich to appreciate the hardships of raising a family; liberals make hay of Romney’s “weirdness” in putting Seamus in the kennel on the car roof; even O’s Bin Laden ad, which dealt with a bona fide policy matter, was chiefly about suggesting that Romney’s too gutless to make the call on OBL that Obama did. All of it’s aimed at creating a sour caricature of Romney for low-information voters which some of them may pick up on as a general impression of him, and which may end up informing their judgments of the policy merits of both sides later on when they start paying attention. That being so, Romney might as well fight back and try to turn the distractions against O. The Rosen attack quickly backfired and put her on the defensive; the Seamus thing became a springboard for righty jokes about Obama’s dog-eating; and the Bin Laden ad led to a round of criticism for The One about politicizing counterterrorism. By making these distractions about Obama and the left instead of Romney, it makes it less likely that the takeaway for low-information voters who are half-paying attention will be the caricature of Romney intended by the White House. And without that caricature, they’ll cast a less forgiving eye at bad economic news from Obamanomics a few months from now.


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The legacy media needs no help in distracting the American voters…

d1carter on May 3, 2012 at 5:25 PM

How did we reach the point where I’m the optimist in the righty blogosphere?

Who wrote this post and what have you done with Allahpundit??

txmomof6 on May 3, 2012 at 5:27 PM

the Seamus thing became a springboard for righty jokes about Obama’s dog-eating

On the plus side, it does give us the opportunity to discuss adding stray dogs to one’s diet to augment the groceries one can afford in the Obamaconomy.

malclave on May 3, 2012 at 5:28 PM

How did we reach the point where I’m the optimist in the righty blogosphere?

Next thing you’ll tell us is that you’ve found God.

Attila (Pillage Idiot) on May 3, 2012 at 5:30 PM

How did we reach the point where I’m the optimist in the righty blogosphere?

Human sacrifice…

Dogs and cats, living together…

Mass hysteria!!!!!

Purple Fury on May 3, 2012 at 5:30 PM

he’s trying but the dog thing won’t die. the Telegraph covered it today. expect it will surface at the Spectator soon. and eventually the LSM will have to mention it.

Steven McGregor on May 3, 2012 at 5:30 PM

Shouldn’t that read “feeding the DUMB media lots of distractions”?

Dr. Carlo Lombardi on May 3, 2012 at 5:30 PM

I am concerned the whole “war on women” meme is catching on with women who are ill-informed and don’t take the time to learn about what is actually happening and have knee-jerk reaction towards protecting their private parts. I don’t know how you fix that. Apparently some of them are under the impression republicans want to do away with birth control. Is JimBob Duggar running?

earlgrey133 on May 3, 2012 at 5:31 PM

Is Obama winning the election by feeding the media lots of dumb distractions?

NO!

Is Obama trying to win the election by feeding the media lots of dumb distractions?

YES!

Is the medis cooperating fully with Obama by pumping up the dumb distractions Obama is feeding them?

Absolutly! And with Vigor!

jaydee_007 on May 3, 2012 at 5:31 PM

The media can report on anything they want.

The New York Times carried the Abu Ghraib story on the front page EVERY DAY FOR THREE MONTHS IN A ROW. Do you mean to tell me that there were no “distractions” during that whole period?

How many times have they mentioned Gun Runn….

Oh, wait, what was that? Did you say that a Secret Service agent played a slot machine while Obama was vacationing in Los Vegas… STOP THE PRESSES!!!!!

logis on May 3, 2012 at 5:31 PM

Remember back in 2007-2008, when any time any one asked a serious question about Obama…such as where’s your transcripts…or how are you going to fix the economy…immediately Obama would respond with something about “distractions?”

Now Obama is flitting from one audience to another, changing his song daily, hard pivots is what he called them? And is all over the place (on our dime) with a new proposal after new proposal every day…trying to distract all of us from the very real truth that is Obama.

This Obama guy, learned his Alinsky well.

Wonder what his top priority will be next Monday? Or Tuesday?

But, what the hell…he killed Osama bin-Laden, so it is all good.

coldwarrior on May 3, 2012 at 5:32 PM

But that squirrel behind the tree is important!!

galtani on May 3, 2012 at 5:32 PM

Good analysis.

Kataklysmic on May 3, 2012 at 5:34 PM

I wouldn’t worry, at least not yet. Responding to shinny object BS in the spring is fine and good and gives both us and official Team Romney practice for what’s ahead. As November approaches, responding to BS will br less appropriate. Also the downside to not responding might be perceived weakness.

ParisParamus on May 3, 2012 at 5:34 PM

<he’s trying but the dog thing won’t die. the Telegraph covered it today. expect it will surface at the Spectator soon. and eventually the LSM will have to mention it.

Steven McGregor on May 3, 2012 at 5:30 PMMore Obama-ate-dog jokes, pronto!

ddrintn on May 3, 2012 at 5:34 PM

I have to say that the Reaction by the Twitterverse to many of the Obama Memes has been very encouraging.

Look at the tweets even today regarding Winston Smith’s girlfriend Julia.

Big Brother Obama is trying to buy the Women’s vote with Julia a Cradle to Grave story of anywoman.

But the response has been total ridicule and derision. Another Crash and Burn for Team O!

jaydee_007 on May 3, 2012 at 5:34 PM

I can’t wait until a disgruntled insider blows the whistle on the BHO White House…I hope he/she survives long enough to tell the story.

d1carter on May 3, 2012 at 5:36 PM

OK, this flaky browser’s got to go.

he’s trying but the dog thing won’t die. the Telegraph covered it today. expect it will surface at the Spectator soon. and eventually the LSM will have to mention it.

Steven McGregor on May 3, 2012 at 5:30 PM

More Obama-ate-dog jokes, pronto!

ddrintn on May 3, 2012 at 5:36 PM

The dog, Anne Romney, Julia — Dear Liar is taking a hit these days.

rbj on May 3, 2012 at 5:37 PM

Let’s remember, last time O’bama set an alltime American Election Record by getting 70% of the High School Dropout Vote. The only person to ever come close was Manbearpig with 61% in 2000.

O is going for the other 30% this time. He’ll need ‘em.

Del Dolemonte on May 3, 2012 at 5:37 PM

The election is six months away.

What Team Obama is doing is flailing away trying to find a campaign formula that might work. The two pronged grand strategy is 1) distraction from a horrible economy, unemployment, the debt, and the deficit and 2) the demonization of Romney and Republicans.

To implement that overall strategy they are throwing everything they can find at the wall and watching to see what sticks. What sticks will be scrapped off, fortified, and used again and again between now and November.

farsighted on May 3, 2012 at 5:38 PM

Hey, you can’t focus on the real thing like the economy and jobs. Just dangle some shiny objects out there and see who is trying to see a reflection of themselves in them.

Mirimichi on May 3, 2012 at 5:41 PM

The election is six months away.

What Team Obama is doing is flailing away trying to find a campaign formula that might work. The two pronged grand strategy is 1) distraction from a horrible economy, unemployment, the debt, and the deficit and 2) the demonization of Romney and Republicans.

To implement that overall strategy they are throwing everything they can find at the wall and watching to see what sticks. What sticks will be scrapped off, fortified, and used again and again between now and November.

farsighted on May 3, 2012 at 5:38 PM

You forgot the Full Court Press by the Media to convince us to quit believing our lying eyes because this economy is on a roll. Afterall, they were so successful convincing folks that 4 to 5 percent unemployment was dismal and unacceptable, so why shouldn’t they convince us that 8.3 percent (which is really 10 percent if measured the way they used to measure it) is Grrrrrrreat!

jaydee_007 on May 3, 2012 at 5:41 PM

The election is six months away.

What Team Obama is doing is flailing away trying to find a campaign formula that might work.

farsighted on May 3, 2012 at 5:38 PM

I don’t think Obama’s flailing at all. He doesn’t have to flail to this point, considering how well he’s doing in the polls even with a lousy economy. Romney seems to be the one casting about for a theme, and thus far can really only come up with “I’m not Obama”.

ddrintn on May 3, 2012 at 5:42 PM

Throw some dogs on the barby. With Obamanomics, we can’t afford steak.

Gunlock Bill on May 3, 2012 at 5:42 PM

Actually, it’s because I’m pessimistic about voters’ attention spans and ideological priorities that I’m optimistic about Romney’s chances in this dumb distraction derby that we’ve been having lately. My hunch is that the 10 percent of the public that’s going to decide the election doesn’t start paying attention until the conventions in late August and then doesn’t really buckle down until the first presidential debate in early October.

That is exactly what I thought.

Just wait until the NYT decides to run with a front page story about Ann Romney.

Remember that NYT article full of innuendos about McCain and that female lobbyist? The other one about Cindy McCain’s 25 year old addiction?

I can’t wait to see what they have to make up next.

Brian1972 on May 3, 2012 at 5:43 PM

Is Obama winning the election by feeding the media lots of dumb distractions?

UH-HUH.

timberline on May 3, 2012 at 5:43 PM

This election, more so than others, is going to turn on the debates, and the stakes are very, very high for Barack (which is why I believe the Obamamedia will give him the questions in advance). The Romney team needs to insist — INSIST — on a Fox News moderator at at least one debate, ideally the last one. Voters want a reason to vote against Obama. They are itching to pull the trigger. One bad debate performance by him and it will be over. All over.

Rational Thought on May 3, 2012 at 5:44 PM

I wonder what the MSM would do it every time they asked Mitt or one of his surrogates to respond to the outrageous outrgae du jour if they just started listing off dire economic stats, or began talking about F & F, Solyndra, etc? Would the media simply not report any of it? Probably. That would be an interesting experiment to try though.

Kataklysmic on May 3, 2012 at 5:44 PM

That being so, Romney might as well fight back and try to turn the distractions against O.

He must at least respond. He cannot risk being subliminally defined in the public mind by his enemies before the meat of the campaign even begins.

farsighted on May 3, 2012 at 5:45 PM

More Obama-ate-dog jokes, pronto!

ddrintn on May 3, 2012 at 5:36 PM

Obama hearts dog!

antipc on May 3, 2012 at 5:45 PM

*outrage

Kataklysmic on May 3, 2012 at 5:45 PM

In all of these cases, the Romney campaign has taken the bait, reacting to whatever Team Obama has decided to make an issue…

Because passively taking it always turns out okay… But the reality is that Romney has been responding to whatever goofy attack the ObaMao cadre has spewed as well as highlighting the economic and foreign policy failures of the administration. It’s a lie to say that Romney has only responded to the silly attacks. And each time it’s ObaMao who gets embarrassed. Anybody who can’t admit that is either a Leftist or an IDIOT. If that insults anybody then I say, MISSION ACCOMPLISHED.

cicerone on May 3, 2012 at 5:46 PM

Klein’s premise — that in all 3 cases (Rosen, Obama8Dog & OBL) is wrong, which makes his analysis & conclusion (that Obama is “winning reelection” on these distractions) wrong as well. In all 3 cases, the Romney team has swatted away the distraction — in fact by stating “these are distractions because Obama can’t run on his record” (or in the case of OBL merely congratulating him on getting one thing right & noting how said it is that because that is such a rare thing given his record he has to spike the football) — and then bringing the conversation back to THE ECONOMY.

I don’t know what Klein is smoking, but this fairy tale that he wrote has no relationship to what has actually happened over the last few weeks with these 3 issues. Is he saying that the Obama8Dog story has helped Obama? Is he saying the Rosen thing helped Obama? Is he saying having that Veterans for a Strong America ad re: OBL has helped Obama? These were all unforced errors by Obama — Romney didn’t take the bait on any of them, he merely let Obama hang himself (especially on the OBL one).

Unlike many, many others, I’m not foolish enough to declare a “winner” of a November election at any time other than the actual day of the election, but what Klein wrote is alarmist b.s.

Dark Star on May 3, 2012 at 5:47 PM

Actually, it’s because I’m pessimistic about voters’ attention spans and ideological priorities that I’m optimistic about Romney’s chances in this dumb distraction derby that we’ve been having lately. My hunch is that the 10 percent of the public that’s going to decide the election doesn’t start paying attention until the conventions in late August and then doesn’t really buckle down until the first presidential debate in early October.

Short-term, I agree with Allahpundit completely, but Obama has the ability, AND A FAWNING MEDIA, that could continue these BS distractions indefinitely/right up to October 32nd.

Rovin on May 3, 2012 at 5:47 PM

I don’t think Obama’s flailing at all.

ddrintn on May 3, 2012 at 5:42 PM

Oh, I think you do know that he IS flailing. You just can’t admit it. If your own credibility means nothing to you, there’s no reason for it to mean anything to us, either.

cicerone on May 3, 2012 at 5:48 PM

He invented his ‘girlfriend’ in Dreams from my Father, he invented Julia…heck he lies when he is awake and every time he opens his pie hole.

The media cover up his lies and all things that make him look bad.

The man needs to be mocked and driven out of town. He is chief of a circus, presiding over a land in dire need of Leadership.

It’s Kindergarten every day and the media love it.

To heck with the suffering. Lefties don’t care about anyone except their own power. If the moochers w/b smart they’d figure it out.

Schadenfreude on May 3, 2012 at 5:48 PM

zer0 is winning? Oh, yeah: Winning the Future. Forward.

Leftards and their stupid slogans. *snort*

MisterElephant on May 3, 2012 at 5:49 PM

That’s a lame soundbite but it works as a summary of the “referendum” nature of this election: Do something different. If the economy looks sufficiently crappy five months from now that swing voters come to that conclusion, he’ll win regardless of whatever else is happening. To the extent any of the recent distractions matter, I think they matter chiefly in how they affect the “likability gap” between Obama and Romney. Rosen suggests that Ann Romney’s too rich to appreciate the hardships of raising a family; liberals make hay of Romney’s “weirdness” in putting Seamus in the kennel on the car roof; even O’s Bin Laden ad, which dealt with a bona fide policy matter, was chiefly about suggesting that Romney’s too gutless to make the call on OBL that Obama did. All of it’s aimed at creating a sour caricature of Romney for low-information voters which some of them may pick up on as a general impression of him, and which may end up informing their judgments of the policy merits of both sides later on when they start paying attention. That being so, Romney might as well fight back and try to turn the distractions against O. The Rosen attack quickly backfired and put her on the defensive; the Seamus thing became a springboard for righty jokes about Obama’s dog-eating; and the Bin Laden ad led to a round of criticism for The One about politicizing counterterrorism. By making these distractions about Obama and the left instead of Romney, it makes it less likely that the takeaway for low-information voters who are half-paying attention will be the caricature of Romney intended by the White House. And without that caricature, they’ll cast a less forgiving eye at bad economic news from Obamanomics a few months from now.

Okay… after trying to get through that I’m out of breath! The odd paragraph break here and there won’t break the bank right?

Ogabe on May 3, 2012 at 5:50 PM

*Klein’s premise — that Romney took the bait in all 3 cases

Sorry for the typo.

Dark Star on May 3, 2012 at 5:50 PM

I don’t think Obama’s flailing at all. He doesn’t have to flail to this point, considering how well he’s doing in the polls even with a lousy economy. Romney seems to be the one casting about for a theme, and thus far can really only come up with “I’m not Obama”.

ddrintn on May 3, 2012 at 5:42 PM

Are you for real or do you fly away at night?

The only way someone could make a statement like that is to IGNORE every presedential election for the last 40 years.

Let’s look at how things were 32 years ago;
January 10, 1980 Gallup Poll
Carter 63%
Reagan 32%

March 1980 Harris Poll
reagan 40%
Carter 58%

October 24 – 26 1980 Gallup
Carter 47%
Reagain 39%

Obama ain’t nowhere close to Carter’s numbers and carter was blown out in a total landslide winning only 4 states and the District of Columbia.

For Obama to be starting at sub 50 percent is a genuine Disaster.

But keep on dreaming.

jaydee_007 on May 3, 2012 at 5:50 PM

“…by feeding the media…??”

These sycophants forage this stuff all by themselves, thank you.

locomotivebreath1901 on May 3, 2012 at 5:51 PM

Can we at least get to the party conventions before talking about who is winning or losing?

tbrickert on May 3, 2012 at 5:51 PM

Short-term, I agree with Allahpundit completely, but Obama has the ability, AND A FAWNING MEDIA, that could continue these BS distractions indefinitely/right up to October 32nd.

Rovin on May 3, 2012 at 5:47 PM

This is true (well, except for the October 32nd part — I’m guessing that is humor I’m not getting) & is why nothing can be taken for granted with Obama. Also, the lying, cheating, voter fraud tactics of the Chicago Mob cannot be underestimated.

Dark Star on May 3, 2012 at 5:53 PM

Philip Klein says yes, Ace says he doesn’t know, I’m saying nope.

How did we reach the point where I’m the optimist in the righty blogosphere?

I have commented before AP was surprisingly optimistic but put him in a pool with Philip Klein and presto chango you get Ray-of-Sunshine Allahpundit. Philip Klein is really smart guy but an optimist? He is at the end of the bell curve in that department.

msmveritas on May 3, 2012 at 5:53 PM

“What he’s done over the last three and a half years is install a series of policies that have made it back-breaking for many small businesses,” said Romney. “And made it harder for our economy to reboot and put people back to work. What I would do, people ask me what would you to get the economy going and I say, well look at what the president’s done, and do the opposite.”

Romney needs to work on his elevator speech so it’s short, snappy and will zing Barry in a way the sheep can relate to.

Ogabe on May 3, 2012 at 5:54 PM

I think the attack the rich meme is going to grow very stale for the voters, esp since it is being echoed by a group few people like–OWS. A lot of the attacks on Romney are trying to paint him as a “richy-rich” and I think they are going to backfire. Americans are too moderate, at their core, to buy into this steady diet of class warfare.

smellthecoffee on May 3, 2012 at 5:54 PM

farsighted on May 3, 2012 at 5:38 PM

You forgot the Full Court Press by the Media to convince us to quit believing our lying eyes because this economy is on a roll.

jaydee_007 on May 3, 2012 at 5:41 PM

They can try to convince the middle of the road voting 10-20% that the economy is going great. I don’t know how much success they’ll have. I suspect little. It could even backfire. People live with the reality of the economy on a daily basis.

And I would hope Team Romney knows enough about economics to effectively refute any nonsensical propaganda the MSM tries to force feed the public.

farsighted on May 3, 2012 at 5:56 PM

He’s still got the Iran nuke card to play at the proper moment. Turn Israel loose initially, so they can be blamed for the runup in the price of oil, then come roaring in with U.S, assistance to hog whatever glory accumulates. He receives kudos from a grateful world and regains a lot of Jewish votes. Only,…I’m not sure Bibi will take the bait if he knows it will help Obama’s re-election effort.

a capella on May 3, 2012 at 6:07 PM

For Obama to be starting at sub 50 percent is a genuine Disaster.

But keep on dreaming.

+1000

The only important notes in each poll now are if Barry can cross 50%. At this point, voters aren’t really undecided. How can you be, with the beaming face of BHO staring back from every conceivable media outlet for the last 4 years. As a sitting president, with no primary battle to bruise him, failing to hit 50% against Romney at his weakest point is not a good sign. Plus, summer is likely to bring high gas prices, the economic news lately has been bad, and Romney will eventually from on all but the hardest core ABR types as his barbs are directed solely against Obama rather than people’s preferred R candidate.

Romney may be replicating the Reagan path – his main task is to convince a public wearying of the guy in charge that he is a trustworthy replacement. I would argue that Romney will have an easier time of that than Reagan did. In 1980, Reagan was widely suspected of being a warmongering extremist by much of the populace. It took the debates to put that fear to rest, and he pulled out in front of Carter for good.

Romney, on the other had, is no extremist, as was made plain in the primary. Furthermore, his skill set of “economic turn around artist” fits the current national dilemma like a glove.

FuzzyLogic on May 3, 2012 at 6:10 PM

I can’t believe I’m about to quote Dick Morris who i think is a blowhard.

However I do agree with him on one point he always makes.

If an incumbent is polling under 50 percent in a state the undecided always go for the challenger. They know the incumbent and if their not going for him now they are not going to.

gerrym51 on May 3, 2012 at 6:14 PM

Obama Bin Lying.

profitsbeard on May 3, 2012 at 6:14 PM

FuzzyLogic on May 3, 2012 at 6:10 PM

Waiting for, praying for, Romney to have his own Nashua moment as did Reagan in 1980.

If Romney can hit and hit hard, looking like he is in control…this November could look like Reagan v. Mondale in 1984.

Sometimes being a nice guy to the public can get you eaten alive by that same public.

coldwarrior on May 3, 2012 at 6:17 PM

I’d say at best he’s earning an uncertain and uncomfortable draw by way of a bunch of dumb distractions. He isn’t really pulling ahead, but perhaps he’s hanging on better than he will when he’s forced up against the economic stagnation over which he has presided. That’s when those margin-of-error balances in the swing states will start falling to crap with him.

Gingotts on May 3, 2012 at 6:19 PM

How did we reach the point where I’m the optimist in the righty blogosphere?

With God, all things are possible.

/

Lily on May 3, 2012 at 6:21 PM

No, he isn’t.

If the economy looks sufficiently crappy five months from now that swing voters come to that conclusion, he’ll win regardless of whatever else is happening.

Exactly. Obama is winning the spring polls by having his poodle media worry at these bits of nonsense.

And Obama may very well – though not necessarily – win the election if the economy rebounds to a respectable rate (though one must note that “when the economy rebounds” has been Obama’s political blueprint for the next six months for well over three years now).

But one does not lead to the other. If the current conditions are prevailing in October, the same electorate projecting an Obama “victory” of 47ish percent will will blow him out of town.

HitNRun on May 3, 2012 at 6:25 PM

…JugEars is not feeding them anything…the MSM and the DNC are working together!

KOOLAID2 on May 3, 2012 at 6:27 PM

How did we reach the point where I’m the optimist in the righty blogosphere?

With God, all things are possible.

/

Lily on May 3, 2012 at 6:21 PM

Good one Lily……you could have left the sarc tag off.

Rovin on May 3, 2012 at 6:30 PM

Plus, summer is likely to bring high gas prices, the economic news lately has been bad . . .

FuzzyLogic on May 3, 2012 at 6:10 PM

Don’t forget about the depradations, courtesy of Obama’s rogue EPA, to the power grid. Three or four blackouts, accompanied by the usual looting/rioting, which Romney should not fail to lay at Obama’s door, are not going to help Teh Won, either. Romney should also be reminding people that Obama egged on OWS. They will also be making trouble. For Obama to egg on baddies like OWS, just because he thought he might get a blip in the polls from it, is a perfect example of why he should not be, and should never have been president. Judgement, as any fool knows, comes from experience. Obama had no experience, yet it was claimed his judgement would make up for it. Yeah, and the fact that my son’s basketball team is slow will be made up for by the fact that they’re short. Stop it.

smellthecoffee on May 3, 2012 at 6:33 PM

How did we reach the point where I’m the optimist in the righty blogosphere?

The end is near!

pookysgirl on May 3, 2012 at 6:38 PM

the media has NO problem deflecting for dear leader…

hello valerie?, what are the talking points today?

cmsinaz on May 3, 2012 at 6:41 PM

Obama ain’t winning any election. See this from Dick Morris from Rush’s site.

smellthecoffee on May 3, 2012 at 6:51 PM

He is feeding the media distractions but the Repub’s are falling for it. They feel they have to respond to them and are actually perpetuating the distraction.

rjoco1 on May 3, 2012 at 6:55 PM

Rovin on May 3, 2012 at 6:30 PM

agree, one of my favorite verses

cmsinaz on May 3, 2012 at 7:00 PM

Is Obama winning the election by feeding the mediaAP lots of dumb distractions? FIFY

Fuquay Steve on May 3, 2012 at 7:15 PM

for the next 6 months the media is going to divert and distract from the real issues; Romney has to lay off the bait and stick to the economy

burserker on May 3, 2012 at 7:26 PM

Allahpundit:

Needless to say, the election will be decided by what GDP growth and the unemployment rate look like circa October 1, not by who’s leading by three points in Virginia today.

In most cases I believe that’s probably the case, but the clearly documented improving economy didn’t help Bush Sr’s re elect prospects. When we the people are tired of a president, he’s done. And O has so many other lies and controversial policies on his books right now, any number of issues might torpedo his bid for a second term.

Cavalry on May 3, 2012 at 7:32 PM

Romney can walk and chew gum at the same time. His campaign will artfully knock down the distractions while pointing out that the reason for the distractions is Obama’s dreadful economy. Romney will then talk about his economy.

Basilsbest on May 3, 2012 at 7:37 PM

Is Obama winning the election (HELL NO) by feeding the media lots of dumb distractions (HELL YES)?

TeaPartyNation on May 3, 2012 at 7:41 PM

The election is six months away.

What Team Obama is doing is flailing away trying to find a campaign formula that might work. The two pronged grand strategy is 1) distraction from a horrible economy, unemployment, the debt, and the deficit and 2) the demonization of Romney and Republicans.

To implement that overall strategy they are throwing everything they can find at the wall and watching to see what sticks. What sticks will be scrapped off, fortified, and used again and again between now and November.

farsighted on May 3, 2012 at 5:38 PM

In your dreams.

I detest Obama but that he is even in the polls is testament to the fact that someone knows how to run things. I believe that his actual plan is something kept very close to the vest. We will not know what it is until it is sprung.

For now his plan is distraction. He is doing this very well with his useful idiots in the Press, Government, Schools, Business, Political groups etc. He is also shutting up the Tea Party very effectively.

Romney has completely dispirited the Republican Base.

Obama is very happy with how his plan is going I have little doubt.

Steveangell on May 3, 2012 at 7:51 PM

Obama is very happy with how his plan is going I have little doubt. Steveangell on May 3, 2012 at 7:51 PM

He is in fact panic stricken. No sooner has Romney emerged from a brutal primary when he is already even with Obama in polls which are biased +5 to +10D. Obama can’t get above 45% in most polls and the 10% which is undecided will break 2-1, at least, for Romney.

Romney is running a very effect campaign and the only people who are dispirited, aside from the Democrats, are you ABR losers, who lost and are now putting your own egos ahead of the welfare of the nation.

You and Obama will both lose in November.

Basilsbest on May 3, 2012 at 8:17 PM

For now his plan is distraction. He is doing this very well with his useful idiots in the Press, Government, Schools, Business, Political groups etc. He is also shutting up the Tea Party very effectively.

Romney has completely dispirited the Republican Base.

Obama is very happy with how his plan is going I have little doubt.

I have great doubt that the Obama camp is happy at this point. If they are, it’s delusion, and so much the better.

An incumbent president should not be running near even at this point in the campaign. Just should not. Especially against an opponent who just concluded a bruising primary and was borderline acceptable to a large portion of his base to begin with.

At this point in the campaign, this is how previous incumbent presidents were faring. The April polling average is in the first column, followed by the final margin of victory/defeat. (data from Nate Silver’s 538 blog):

Nixon 72 +19 (+23)
Ford 76 +6 (-2)
Carter 80 +2 (-10)
Reagan 84 +13 (+18)
Bush 92 +11 (-5)
Clinton 96 +14 (+8)
Bush 04 Tie (+3)

Even the guys who lost had leads at this point of the race. The guys who won, with the exception of Bush 04, had healthy leads at this point. Only 3 of the 7 incumbents (Nixon, Reagan, Bush 2) improved relative to their April polling, and they weren’t running with over 8% unemployment and anemic economic growth.

By this point, the natural business cycle should have produced a robust economic recovery. I assure you that his team was counting on this as little as 5-6 months ago. Incumbents ride good news to re-election. Where is Barry’s good news to run on?

FuzzyLogic on May 3, 2012 at 8:39 PM

By making these distractions about Obama and the left instead of Romney, it makes it less likely that the takeaway for low-information voters who are half-paying attention will be the caricature of Romney intended by the White House. And without that caricature, they’ll cast a less forgiving eye at bad economic news from Obamanomics a few months from now.

Is Allah on vacation?

Who wrote this, really?

I tune in for my daily dose of Eeyore-ism and come away with Mary Frickin’ Poppins for kripes sakes!

Bruno Strozek on May 3, 2012 at 8:44 PM

herp derp

Steveangell on May 3, 2012 at 7:51 PM

You’re trying to dispirit the GOP base with your Moby trolling. Forward!

1984 in real life on May 3, 2012 at 9:32 PM

We can’t talk the economy all the time, I’ll become suicidal. Just kidding.

Cindy Munford on May 3, 2012 at 9:36 PM

If the economy looks sufficiently crappy five months from now

Except do not forget who gets to characterize how the economy “looks” for the great unwashed masses of folks who do not pay attention until next October.

Gov’t reported stats: any doubt the books will continue to be cooked?

MSM: ’nuff said.

Difficultas_Est_Imperium on May 3, 2012 at 9:45 PM

This is why I don’t want Hot Air/Allahpundit to take the bait and write daily ‘oh dear some homo is unhappy’ stories about the Romney campaign. Focus.

DaMav on May 3, 2012 at 9:50 PM

Dave to HAL 9000: “Is Obama winning the election by feeding the media lots of dumb distractions?”

HAL9000 to Dave: “Dave…. Dave, what was your first clue? Oh, look – Frank is in trouble, Dave! Get in the pod and rescue him while return to Earth, and vote!!”

drunyan8315 on May 3, 2012 at 10:03 PM

The greater the contrast Obama’s campaign can draw between the soaring (though empty) rhetoric and swooning Cult of Personality that got him in in 2008, and the myriad stupid, petty ploys of this year’s efforts, the better. The contrast only gets underlined each time it’s swatted back in his face and his team is made to look incompetent. Yes, the economy IS the issue that needs to be discussed, but how much better will it work to let him play with the squirrels and THEN say: Why are you avoiding talking what really matters to this nation, at this most crucial of times?

sistrum on May 3, 2012 at 10:34 PM

By this point, the natural business cycle should have produced a robust economic recovery. I assure you that his team was counting on this as little as 5-6 months ago. Incumbents ride good news to re-election. Where is Barry’s good news to run on?

FuzzyLogic on May 3, 2012 at 8:39 PM

I think Barry is totally flumoxed that his interfearence with the Private Sector has actually interfeared with the private sector.

I think he genuinely beleived the gravy train would continue to roll along in spite of his pouring water into the firebox.

jaydee_007 on May 3, 2012 at 11:36 PM

The stories distractions make no difference except as opportunities for Romney to whiff. So far he’s hitting pretty solid. If he responds poorly to the next one, look for the media to jump all over him and cover it exclusively for 72 hours.

Jack Squat Bupkis on May 3, 2012 at 11:45 PM

That’s why I go over the top with expressions of worry in my silly posts about early polls: Those polls are completely meaningless right now but they’re tasty chum so we have to pretend like they’re somehow worth talking about.

So, it’s just a joke to you. The punchline is the number of rubes out here that bite on it. Good to know.

swinia sutki on May 4, 2012 at 6:26 AM

All of this crap about Hilary Rosen and the dog on the car roof may help very marginally — you never know what an undecided voter might pick up in his/her half-hour of news-watching per day — but I think it’s mostly makework for the campaigns and chum for political junkies. That’s why I go over the top with expressions of worry in my silly posts about early polls: Those polls are completely meaningless right now but they’re tasty chum so we have to pretend like they’re somehow worth talking about.

Confession is good for the soul. I like the comment about “next thing you know you’ll find God”.

Don’t worry, son. I read you because you’re still one of the funniest guys around. Even when Eeyore takes over.

Keep up the good work….and don’t fret over November. Teh Won is toast. It won’t be close either. The American people can be fooled some of the time. But they can’t be fooled all of the time. A smart man once said that (paraphrased, of course). He also freed the slaves.

Subsunk

Subsunk on May 4, 2012 at 9:44 AM

Romney needs to focus on the economy, but also talk about energy development–more drilling for oil, fracking for natural gas, building pipelines, removing ridiculous new EPA regulations against CO2 emissions and coal-fired power plants, and easing permitting regulations on oil refineries and nuclear power plants.

High energy costs not only affect consumers at the gas station or trying to heat or cool their homes, but they also affect businesses trying to maintain their stores and transport products to market, and farmers trying to run their planting and harvesting machinery.

If energy prices come down, it’s cheaper for businesses to make their products and bring them to market, and those savings will be passed on to the consumer, due to competition between sellers. When prices come down, consumers can buy more with the same money, which will stimulate demand and provide more jobs.

If Romney (as President) were to publicly announce an aggressive market-based policy to develop America’s own energy resources, oil-futures traders would bet on increasing supplies in the future, and crude oil prices would drop dramatically. George W. Bush knew this, and crude prices dropped 60% after he opened new offshore areas for drilling, even if none of that oil ever made it to market.

Romney needs to explain this to the American people, and tell them that he is ready to rescind any restrictions on the energy market that depend only on executive power, and promise that he can bring gasoline prices below $3 per gallon within a year. Even beyond that, he needs to explain how high energy costs affect the prices of other necessities, including FOOD, and that pro-growth energy policies could significantly decrease the cost of living across the board, making everyone’s money go farther, including the poor.

Steve Z on May 4, 2012 at 9:47 AM