Gallup: Romney erases seven-point Obama lead, now leads by one

posted at 6:43 pm on April 30, 2012 by Allahpundit

I blogged the last silly Gallup tracker so I guess we’re duty bound to blog this one too.

C’mon:

Five days ago, O led by seven. Five days before that, Romney led by one. Four days before that, Romney led by five. And two weeks before that, Obama led by four. Either this poll has a lot of static in the signal or swing voters are having some sort of collective nervous breakdown over the terrible, terrible options that lie before them. The day may be coming, my friends, when the Gallup tracker proves too unreliably fidgety to justify devoting an easy-traffic post like this one to covering it. But that day is not today.

If we’re going to obsess over election numbers, let’s obsess over electoral votes instead:

A detailed analysis of Romney’s various paths to the 270 electoral votes he would need to claim the presidency suggests he has a ceiling of somewhere right around 290 electoral votes.

While Romney’s team would absolutely take a 290-electoral-vote victory, that means he has only 20 electoral votes to play with — a paper-thin margin for error…

If Romney was able to duplicate Bush’s 2000 map, he would take 285 electoral votes — thanks to redistricting gains over the past decade.

But to do so, Romney would need not only to win [Nevada, Colorado, Missouri, Ohio, and Florida] — with the exception of Missouri, all of them are considered tossups (at worst) for the president at the moment — but also hang on to states such as North Carolina and Virginia where Bush cruised 12 years ago. (Obama carried both states in 2008.)

He’s got Rubio to help with Florida, Rob Portman to help with Ohio, and a large base of Mormon voters to hopefully help in Nevada. Not sure about Colorado, though, and most expert analyses I read seem to think it’s very possible that Virginia goes blue again. Maybe he can make up some votes in … Michigan? He’s got the family connection; all he needs to do is, er, erase Obama’s 17-point margin over McCain there four years ago. The math being what it is, I think Romney would feel tremendous pressure to pick a VP from Pennsylvania if there was someone from that state on his shortlist. But there isn’t. Santorum is a nonstarter and Pat Toomey, while appealing, has just two years’ experience and won his Senate seat only very narrowly. Granted, Christie’s right next door in New Jersey, but I’m not sure how his style would play in PA. It’s rural and blue-collar Democrats whom Romney is trying to get to cross over, right? Are they an audience that would respond to Chris Christie, enough so that they might change their vote?

Exit question via James Pethokoukis: Will this election be over on October 26?


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lets see I just got back from a class 6 store run from the base ..

Glenmorangie

&

Johnny Walker BLACK

conservative tarheel on April 30, 2012 at 7:46 PM

If Bush can come within around 1 point of winning PA both times, I think Romney can peel it off with an 8% unemployment rate and an incumbent President that’s absolutely determined to kill the coal industry.

The Voter ID law will certainly help with the Philly shennanigans.

Had the current Republican PA Governor and legislature had the balls to split up the electoral college by congressional district, the GOP would have a lock on the White House.

BradTank on April 30, 2012 at 7:47 PM

Has she become a U.S. citizen?

If not, I assume she’ll be voting for Obama.

malclave on April 30, 2012 at 7:45 PM

heartbreak

22044 on April 30, 2012 at 7:47 PM

How can PA elect a GOP gov, legislature, and US senator in 2010 and still be leaning towards Obama?

Mark1971 on April 30, 2012 at 6:56 PM

Because there are still plenty of people in PA like this.

But yes, there is the new Voter ID law which will take effect in the general election, to which I say “It’s about damn time.” I showed my driver’s license to the poll workers even though I didn’t have to, and I’ve read stories that things went pretty smoothly most places in the state, with the majority of voters knowing that they’d have to have a photo ID by the time the general election rolls around. But of course, the Democrats in Philly can’t resist sowing their own brand of confusion and scare tactics.

PatriotGal2257 on April 30, 2012 at 7:47 PM

canopfor on April 30, 2012 at 7:02 PM
————————————-

thanks for being there buddy :)

cmsinaz on April 30, 2012 at 7:03 PM

cmsinaz:Anytime!:)

canopfor on April 30, 2012 at 7:51 PM

Romney needs to hold all the McCain states, and then take OH, IN, NC, VA and FL. Then he only needs one more small state – maybe NH – to send Zero packing back to Chicago. Doesn’t seem that far-fetched. Someone said earlier that Obama is +5 in OH – but I just can’t see OH going Obama this time.

TarheelBen on April 30, 2012 at 7:52 PM

Not worried a bit…

“For weeks before the presidential election, the gurus of public opinion polling were nearly unanimous in their findings. In survey after survey, they agreed that the coming choice between President Jimmy Carter and Challenger Ronald Reagan was “too close to call.” A few points at most, they said, separated the two major contenders. But when the votes were counted, the former California Governor had defeated Carter by a margin of 51% to 41% in the popular vote—a rout for a U.S. presidential race.”

– Time Magazine (Dec. 1, 1980)

And the EV Map was even better:
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:ElectoralCollege1980.svg

VastRightWingConspirator on April 30, 2012 at 7:53 PM

TarheelBen on April 30, 2012 at 7:52 PM

Yep. The best thing about that scenario is if he flips those five big states NH puts him right at the 270 needed to win without having to worry about CO, NV, NM or IA out west.

Mark1971 on April 30, 2012 at 7:56 PM

but I just can’t see OH going Obama this time.

TarheelBen on April 30, 2012 at 7:52 PM

We’re crazy here but I hope not that crazy. This lame recovery had hurt many Ohioans. Maybe people will wise up.

CW on April 30, 2012 at 7:58 PM

Allapundit thats why I think Pawlanty makes the most sense his blue color appeal is amazing .

al on April 30, 2012 at 8:06 PM

How can PA elect a GOP gov, legislature, and US senator in 2010 and still be leaning towards Obama?

Mark1971 on April 30, 2012 at 6:56 PM

Neither should anyone underestimate the rabid union presence. They were super-aggressive in backing Mark Critz in PA-12, who was formerly John Murtha’s aide, to oust Jason Altmire. They looked at Altmire’s “no” vote on Obamacare as a betrayal of the almighty “union interests.”

PatriotGal2257 on April 30, 2012 at 8:08 PM

Not worried a bit…

“For weeks before the presidential election, the gurus of public opinion polling were nearly unanimous in their findings. In survey after survey, they agreed that the coming choice between President Jimmy Carter and Challenger Ronald Reagan was “too close to call.” A few points at most, they said, separated the two major contenders. But when the votes were counted, the former California Governor had defeated Carter by a margin of 51% to 41% in the popular vote—a rout for a U.S. presidential race.”

– Time Magazine (Dec. 1, 1980)

And the EV Map was even better:
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:ElectoralCollege1980.svg

VastRightWingConspirator on April 30, 2012 at 7:53 PM

I wonder if I’ll ever see a red California like that in my lifetime :(

1984 in real life on April 30, 2012 at 8:12 PM

Barry is only carrying OH if they can paint Romney to be Kasich on a national scale.

Then everyone who’s got a “vested interest” in the education system will vote for Barry out of fear.

In other words, W never was a threat to the vast majority of Ohioans who were collecting a check through Education, whether it was directly, or an immediate family member.

Mitt can talk about consolidating the Dept of Ed and not ruffles too many feathers. Barry is going to do his best to paint him as a larger threat.

budfox on April 30, 2012 at 8:14 PM

yeah good luck w/ that Willard! latinos will ensure Obama wins Virginia, Colorado, Nevada and the presidency.

DBear on April 30, 2012 at 6:51 PM

if you had any clue (but you don’t) you’d know that 1) Latinos have the lowest turn out on election day, of all minorities…2) there are not enough illegals in Virginia to carry him to victory…Nevada – enough disciplined Mormons there (who as a rule, VOTE on election day) to give Romney a victory in that state…

jimver on April 30, 2012 at 8:20 PM

Johnny Walker BLACK

conservative tarheel on April 30, 2012 at 7:46 PM

I can only afford Red…

lovingmyUSA on April 30, 2012 at 8:25 PM

Not sure about Colorado, though, and most expert analyses I read seem to think it’s very possible that Virginia goes blue again.

Seriously would these same experts take a look at who has been winning elections in Virginia since 2008. Add to the fact Virginia only turned blue for Obama in 2008 and you get to the expert opinion that Virginia, with all Obama’s negatives remains blue in 2012 how Allahpundit? You need to question some of the “conventional wisdom” you quote so much.

Conan on April 30, 2012 at 8:27 PM

BradTank on April 30, 2012 at 7:47 PM

I hope you’re right. PA would certainly make Romney’s path a lot easier.

TarheelBen on April 30, 2012 at 8:30 PM

Maybe the public is deliberately changing their minds every 5 days just to screw with Gallup; if they switch candidates fast enough and often enough, Gallup’s daily tracker will short-circuit and/or explode and then these damned pollsters will stop harassing them.

RINO in Name Only on April 30, 2012 at 8:34 PM

I can only afford Red…

lovingmyUSA on April 30, 2012 at 8:25 PM

That would be o.k. since Black is racist.

JPeterman on April 30, 2012 at 8:35 PM

I am going to hold those for election night …

conservative tarheel on April 30, 2012 at 9:12 PM

As far as electoral maps go, I think this one at Real Clear Politics is the best to look at. I would only question one state: Arizona a toss up?

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/president/2012_elections_electoral_college_map.html

TarheelBen on April 30, 2012 at 9:13 PM

Come on out angryed!!

JPeterman on April 30, 2012 at 6:45 PM

After this poll, he’s gonna be furioused. He’s home, sitting in his poop. Give him a minute.

msupertas on April 30, 2012 at 6:54 PM

Moronic. You don’t get it: people like angryed aren’t the ones poll-humping. YOU are. A poll comes out that puts Romney ahead by a point: OH BABY!!!!!! A poll comes out that puts Romney behind by 7: “Polls are meaningless this far out.” We just sit back and laugh.

As AP pointed out, that state-by-state tally is what should be giving you nightmares.

ddrintn on April 30, 2012 at 9:13 PM

For the record, Pennsylvania will flip first than Ohio.

joana on April 30, 2012 at 7:12 PM

When do you see this happening?

Kataklysmic on April 30, 2012 at 7:13 PM

What? This year, I think that Romney will flip Pennsylvania before Ohio. Higher chances of winning the first. He may even lose the election winning PA and losing OH.

joana on April 30, 2012 at 9:14 PM

I wonder if I’ll ever see a red California like that in my lifetime :(

1984 in real life on April 30, 2012 at 8:12 PM

Not if you keep happily gulping down the swill the GOP establishment serves up every cycle.

ddrintn on April 30, 2012 at 9:15 PM

The math being what it is, I think Romney would feel tremendous pressure to pick a VP from Pennsylvania if there was someone from that state on his shortlist.

He’d need a VP-by-committee. One from FL, one from OH, one from MI, one from VA and one from PA. I think Romney loses all the above anyway.

ddrintn on April 30, 2012 at 9:18 PM

2200 registered voters in that survey, and RV skews slightly Democrat.

alchemist19 on April 30, 2012 at 9:19 PM

He’d need a VP-by-committee. One from FL, one from OH, one from MI, one from VA and one from PA. I think Romney loses all the above anyway.

ddrintn on April 30, 2012 at 9:18 PM

Sounds like that would make you very happy.

TarheelBen on April 30, 2012 at 9:21 PM

He’d need a VP-by-committee. One from FL, one from OH, one from MI, one from VA and one from PA. I think Romney loses all the above anyway.

ddrintn on April 30, 2012 at 9:18 PM

Disgruntled Palin superfan Ddrintn continues dumping on Romney in all the threads? Obama-supporting Ddrintn is an embarrassment to the real Sarah Palin supporters who know that we must defeat Obama by electing Mitt Romney. It’s pathetic how Ddrintn wants Obama to win because he thinks that will give Sarah Palin an opening in 2016.

Even Ddrintn’s hero Sarah Palin would be disgusted if she saw what people like Ddrintn are up to.

bluegill on April 30, 2012 at 9:29 PM

Moronic. You don’t get it: people like angryed aren’t the ones poll-humping. YOU are. A poll comes out that puts Romney ahead by a point: OH BABY!!!!!! A poll comes out that puts Romney behind by 7: “Polls are meaningless this far out.” We just sit back and laugh.

in moronics defense. Angryed does list poll after poll that are negative Romney.

However with the way the polls are going Obama will be ahead next week and angryed will be taunting us again.

lol

gerrym51 on April 30, 2012 at 9:38 PM

in moronics defense. Angryed does list poll after poll that are negative Romney.

However with the way the polls are going Obama will be ahead next week and angryed will be taunting us again.

lol

gerrym51 on April 30, 2012 at 9:38 PM

the only poll that matters will be held Nov 6th ,,,

conservative tarheel on April 30, 2012 at 9:41 PM

It’s all electorial college

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/president/2012_elections_electoral_college_map.html

These daily national polls don’t cut it
Especially since they seem to be skewed to dems

audiotom on April 30, 2012 at 9:47 PM

lets see I just got back from a class 6 store run from the base ..

Glenmorangie

&

Johnny Walker BLACK

conservative tarheel on April 30, 2012 at 7:46 PM

I’m on my way!

alchemist19 on April 30, 2012 at 9:59 PM

conservative tarheel on April 30, 2012 at 7:46 PM

I like the way you think. Have you tried the Glenmorangie port wine finish? I used to be able to afford that back in the day. Now it’s McLellan’s Islay. A wannabe Lephroaig, but $20 cheaper.

smellthecoffee on April 30, 2012 at 10:03 PM

Here in VA we just got a big drop in unemployment–we’re down to %6.2 now, with our RTW laws and a conservative governor. I would hope that based on that, and on 2010′s outcome, we’d be able to deliver VA for Romney.

smellthecoffee on April 30, 2012 at 10:06 PM

We have 8%+ unemployment, 2% economic growth, $4-5 dollar a gallon gasoline, rising prices at the grocery store, 60%+ think the country is headed in the wrong direction, daily doses of dividing Americans, and Barky can’t break 50% in his job approval rating.

When people get in the voting booth, they are going ask themselves “Do I want another four year prison term or do I want to try something else?”

Barky is toast. A year from now everyone will be asking themselves how they thought this election would even be close.

Woof!

jrgdds on April 30, 2012 at 10:10 PM

I like the way you think. Have you tried the Glenmorangie port wine finish? I used to be able to afford that back in the day. Now it’s McLellan’s Islay. A wannabe Lephroaig, but $20 cheaper.

smellthecoffee on April 30, 2012 at 10:03 PM

The port finish stuff is excellent and if you’ve got a little extra cash burning a hole in your pocket, the stuff finished in the sauterne casks was very interesting.

alchemist19 on April 30, 2012 at 10:14 PM

Romney needs to hold all the McCain states, and then take OH, IN, NC, VA and FL. Then he only needs one more small state – maybe NH – to send Zero packing back to Chicago. Doesn’t seem that far-fetched. Someone said earlier that Obama is +5 in OH – but I just can’t see OH going Obama this time.

TarheelBen on April 30, 2012 at 7:52 PM

I agree about IN NC VA and FL. I nominate Iowa as a switch to Romney. Then we only need Ohio or Pennsayvania.

KW64 on April 30, 2012 at 10:35 PM

I get a ceiling of 311. It’s a given Romney will take MO and AZ so he starts with a base number of 191 votes. Add NV and CO and he gets to 206. Add VA and NC and he gets to 234. Add IA and NH and he gets to 244. Add OH and PA and he gets to 273. Add FL and he gets to 311.

What’s more, Obama is well below 50$ job approval in all of these states–43% in CO, for instance, 45% in PA, 46% in FL, 46% in IA, etc. This has been true since 2009 and it’s not likely to suddenly change in any of these swing states. The public is sick of Obama.

writeblock on April 30, 2012 at 10:54 PM

Uh, ok am I seeing a pattern here? Timing the undulations for October?

jake49 on April 30, 2012 at 10:59 PM

he math being what it is, I think Romney would feel tremendous pressure to pick a VP from Pennsylvania if there was someone from that state on his shortlist. But there isn’t. Santorum is a nonstarter and Pat Toomey, while appealing, has just two years’ experience and won his Senate seat only very narrowly. Granted, Christie’s right next door in New Jersey, but I’m not sure how his style would play in PA. It’s rural and blue-collar Democrats whom Romney is trying to get to cross over, right? Are they an audience that would respond to Chris Christie, enough so that they might change their vote?

There’s only one person of presidential stature who can galvanize a place like my state, PA, and NJ as well as OH and FL. That individual is Rudy Giuliani. It was Rudy, remember, who was asked to campaign for Rubio, Christi and Brown–and drew massive crowds in each state. He’s universally known and admired and would bring gravitas and experience as well as a more down-to-earth persona on the stump.

writeblock on April 30, 2012 at 11:05 PM

0 is done!

Bmore on April 30, 2012 at 7:14 PM

.
(:>)
.
….Polls…polls…pole…polls…
…IT”S THE ECONOMY STUPID…!!!.
.

KOOLAID2 on April 30, 2012 at 11:14 PM

Moronic. You don’t get it: people like angryed aren’t the ones poll-humping. YOU are. A poll comes out that puts Romney ahead by a point: OH BABY!!!!!! A poll comes out that puts Romney behind by 7: “Polls are meaningless this far out.” We just sit back and laugh.

Head-to-head polls don’t tell us much this far out–but job approval numbers do and Obama is well below 50% in every one of the swing states. Some, like CO and PA are ridiculously low. I can’t see how Obama can win in any of the important swing states.

writeblock on April 30, 2012 at 11:18 PM

I have no idea, but I’m watching Fox right now and at the bottom of the screen it says “Delta Airlines to buy refinery in Pennsylvania”

Anyone?

JPeterman on April 30, 2012 at 7:01 PM

That’s my county, the small but populous Delaware County, just west and southwest of Philadelphia. That might help with jobs here.

bmmg39 on April 30, 2012 at 11:19 PM

Moronic. You don’t get it: people like angryed aren’t the ones poll-humping. YOU are. A poll comes out that puts Romney ahead by a point: OH BABY!!!!!! A poll comes out that puts Romney behind by 7: “Polls are meaningless this far out.” We just sit back and laugh.

As AP pointed out, that state-by-state tally is what should be giving you nightmares.

ddrintn on April 30, 2012 at 9:13 PM

You sound an awful lot like an angryed sock puppet.

Slainte on April 30, 2012 at 11:24 PM

Just to add to my last post–on election night incumbents seldom do better than their job approval number beyond a few points. Right now Obama’s at 47% job approval in OH. He might stretch that on election night to 49%–but Romney would still win. This is because the undecideds always break for the challenger by better than 85 or 86% at the last minute. It’s conceivable Obama could get to 50%–but the odds are against it.

writeblock on April 30, 2012 at 11:27 PM

That’s my county, the small but populous Delaware County, just west and southwest of Philadelphia. That might help with jobs here.

bmmg39 on April 30, 2012 at 11:19 PM

That would be great. Thanks for answering.

JPeterman on April 30, 2012 at 11:34 PM

It’s rural and blue-collar Democrats whom Romney is trying to get to cross over, right? Are they an audience that would respond to Chris Christie, enough so that they might change their vote?

The rural voters will go Republican. Pittsburgh and Philly will go Democrat. It’s the swing districts between those poles that Romney has to win–the upscale Philadelphia suburbs. They determine whether the state goes GOP or Democrat. Romney is a dream candidate for them.

As for the blue-collar Democrats–the Reagan Democrats–that’s Christie’s crowd–and Giuliani’s. PA (and OH and FL) has a huge Catholic ethnic population–and they’re not too keen on Obama right now. Another reason I hope Romney goes with Rudy.

writeblock on April 30, 2012 at 11:35 PM

One final point before I call it a night. Right now Obama’s running ads–or is about to run ads–in VA, IA and OH. He’s already been running ads attacking Romney in CO and NV. But his problem is he has no record to run on and no way to get his approval numbers up. The only way to prevent losing is to go negative in a big way and try to demonize Romney as an uncaring rich guy. Romney’s response will be to hammer away at the economy and more or less ignore the carping about his wealth, etc. He clearly doesn’t intend to be distracted–and he said as much to reporters today. Meanwhile the public agrees with Romney. It wants to focus on the economy, not Romney’s swiss bank account or Osama Bin Laden.

writeblock on May 1, 2012 at 1:44 AM

You sound an awful lot like an angryed sock puppet.

Slainte on April 30, 2012 at 11:24 PM

And you sound an awful lot like the other 10 or 12 ‘bots in your little echo chamber who can never argue the point.

ddrintn on May 1, 2012 at 7:17 AM

But his problem is he has no record to run on and no way to get his approval numbers up. The only way to prevent losing is to go negative in a big way and try to demonize Romney…

writeblock on May 1, 2012 at 1:44 AM

LOL…a tactic Romney knows very well. Instant karma’s gonna get you…

ddrintn on May 1, 2012 at 7:19 AM

I live in Virginia. NO WAY Obama takes Virginia. In 2009 we elected a clean REBUB sweep into the statehouse.In 2010 same thing for the epresentatives and senators. In 2011 local elections Loudoun County had a democrat board. All & of them were thrown out and for the first time all 7 are now REBUBS. Same with the school board. So exactly what evidence is your expert using to predict Obama has a chance in VA?

URCallingMeNames on May 1, 2012 at 7:30 AM

URCallingMeNames on May 1, 2012 at 7:30 AM

Those were essentially TP-powered victories you were pointing to. I don’t think you can count on that sort of energy this time around.

ddrintn on May 1, 2012 at 7:48 AM

Is it November already?

insidiator on May 1, 2012 at 7:53 AM

I hope you’re right. PA would certainly make Romney’s path a lot easier.

TarheelBen on April 30, 2012 at 8:30 PM

dude, if PA goes, the nights over before cali polls close. and our long national ightmare will be over. by 10pm eastern. and then we can spend several hours watching msnbc mourn.

t8stlikchkn on May 1, 2012 at 8:01 AM

Moronic. You don’t get it: people like angryed aren’t the ones poll-humping.

ddrintn on April 30, 2012 at 9:13 PM

You sound an awful lot like an angryed sock puppet.

Slainte on April 30, 2012 at 11:24 PM

DDRintn, the jilted and obsessive Palin superfan-turned-Obama supporter, never got over the fact that Palin didn’t run. Now DDRintn finds common cause with Obama-voting internet trolls like AngryEd.

It’s kind of sad, actually. While everyone else has moved on and realizes the importance of defeating Obama by electing Romney, DDRintn still clings to his silly fantasy of Palin jumping into the race. Even Palin would be embarrassed of DDRintn.

bluegill on May 1, 2012 at 8:43 AM

Seven points erased in a week? In the same poll? That’s not really possible in the real world, is it?

So the only thing this is evidence of is that polling this far out is practically meaningless.

It might also be indicate that support for Obama is soft, but not on its own. Multiple wild swings in this and other polls are needed to support that hypothesis.

farsighted on May 1, 2012 at 9:26 AM

bluegill on April 30, 2012 at 9:29 PM

Ahh look! The bait fish is back! How’s life on the line?

dominigan on May 1, 2012 at 10:20 AM

think my husband is waiting to see who Sofia Veraga is voting for.

Ladysmith CulchaVulcha on April 30, 2012 at 7:19 PM
Has she become a U.S. citizen?

If not, I assume she’ll be voting for Obama.

so you will learn something new every day- Vergara was seriously dating a man in Florida who considered running for US Senate AS A REPUBLICAN. She is columbian- you would be surprised how conservative they are

AirForceCane on May 1, 2012 at 10:31 AM

It might also be indicate that support for Obama is soft, but not on its own. Multiple wild swings in this and other polls are needed to support that hypothesis.

farsighted on May 1, 2012 at 9:26 AM

What it shows is that the electorate is unsettled. That’s bad news for Obama. It means the electorate is looking at the challenger to figure out if he’s up to the job. When that’s the situation, the incumbent under 50% has a lot to worry about. If the electorate decides the challenger is acceptable, the incumbent’s toast.

writeblock on May 1, 2012 at 10:43 AM

What the hayl are these eejits at Gallup using for poll samples?

There is no way the numbers should be swinging this drastically over such a short period. Outside the dull roar of the droning and rote incompetence of earflaps mcdowngrade we’ve been dealing with for 3.5 years, there is nothing that would explain these giant shifts.

I call shenanigans here, and consider Romney being up by 1 no more valid than ear reader being up 6 or 7.

GrassMudHorsey on May 1, 2012 at 10:46 AM

You sound an awful lot like an angryed sock puppet.

Slainte on April 30, 2012 at 11:24 PM

He/she/it just blames Romney for Palin not running.

Rather moronic don’t you think?

Gunlock Bill on May 1, 2012 at 12:03 PM

I figure Romney likes where he sits as all the toss up states have bad approval numbers for the One. And I agree – if PA goes in Romney’s camp early that means Ohio is probably Romney’s and Michigan will be in play – say goodnight Gracie.

Zomcon JEM on May 1, 2012 at 12:10 PM

URCallingMeNames on May 1, 2012 at 7:30 AM
Those were essentially TP-powered victories you were pointing to. I don’t think you can count on that sort of energy this time around.

ddrintn on May 1, 2012 at 7:48 AM

What makes you think Obama can count on the numbers he posted last time.
Remember the last referendum was 2010 and the Dems got “Shellacked”.
In Ohio we are sick of Obama, and as usual we will be the bellweather for the country. Obama is going down.

buckeyerich on May 1, 2012 at 2:33 PM

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