First Gallup 2012 tracking poll: Romney 47, Obama 45

posted at 4:16 pm on April 16, 2012 by Allahpundit

Worth blogging or no? On the one hand, it’s registered voters, not likelies, and we’ve got, oh, another 200 or so of these to go before election day. On the other hand, go look at BuzzFeed’s historical comparison. Incumbents always start out ahead — until now. For some reason they omit 1984, but Conn Carroll has that number: Reagan led Mondale by fully 13 points in April that year. Not since Gerald Ford has a sitting president actually trailed his presumptive opponent six-plus months before the election.

The race breaks down into the expected patterns by party, with 90% of Democrats supporting Obama, and 90% of Republicans supporting Romney. The Republican results show that despite the rancor and divisiveness of the Republican campaign, the vast majority of Republicans are backing Romney in the head-to-head battle with Obama, as they have in ballot tests earlier this year.

The crucial voting bloc of independents breaks toward Romney by 45% to 39%, giving the GOP challenger his slight overall edge…

At this point, there is no statistically significant advantage for either candidate [in terms of enthusiasm], as 80% of Romney voters and 76% of Obama voters say they will definitely vote next November.

Three weeks ago, Obama led Romney 49/45 so Mitt might be benefiting here from the positive buzz of having become the de facto nominee in the interim. Or maybe not; when the numbers are this close, movements of a few points are probably just noise. How about this, though?

A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey finds that 46% of Likely U.S. Voters would vote for the Republican in their district’s congressional race if the election were held today, while 36% would choose the Democrat instead. This is the largest gap between the two parties since the beginning of 2011. It also doubles the gap found a week ago when the Republican led by five points, 45% to 40%.

Follow the link and note the trend in the numbers. The GOP hasn’t led on the generic ballot by more than six points since November and has occasionally slipped to within a point or two of Democrats since then. (They actually trailed the Dems briefly in January.) Why the sudden surge this week? More noise, or is it a byproduct of conservative enthusiasm ticking upward as the right turns from the primary to the general election? Either way, if it’s true that Paul Ryan’s budget is destined to become a liability for the party, it’s also true that it hasn’t become one yet.

Incidentally, get in the habit of viewing Romney’s numbers vis-a-vis the congressional generic ballot, as the House GOP’s numbers will help dictate how closely Mitt sticks to their basic agenda on the trail. At least one Republican rep is already warning him, “We’re not a cheerleading squad. We’re the conductor. We’re supposed to drive the train.” Here he is in cheery tough-guy mode, advising Obama to “start packing.”

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Angryed, the fact you are. Ringing out the Kerry poll numbers is very telling… Or haven’t you figured out the the MSM manufactures it’s stuff for consumption. Back then most people weren’t looking at the polling data break out. I suggest that you go and do that. You might find it enlightening.

uncommon sense on April 16, 2012 at 5:02 PM

You guys are saying an incumbent down this early means trouble. I’m stating the fact that Bush was down by quite a bit this time in 2004 and went on to win. That’s all.

angryed on April 16, 2012 at 5:04 PM

Simply put, Obama is in trouble. Rather than act as a president and pull the country together to accomplish common goals, he has demonstrated the inability to tolerate sound ideas and rationale, choosing to finger-point and divide.

It isn’t just Obama. His supporters and other prominent Democrats are doing the same thing. They apparently seem to be unable to present a compelling argument of why we should vote FOR Obama and resort to heckling Republicans. That works only to a small extent in that it does get people’s attention at first. But at some point people start to think “OK, we get it, you don’t like the Republican candidate, now tell us more about why we should like yours” and then … crickets. They have nothing. Obama himself isn’t offering anything other than saying that the Republicans are “bad” somehow.

There’s no “there” there. There’s no depth to their argument. How does piling on trillion dollar after trillion dollar deficit onto the debt this country owes make us better off? How does that make for a better future. What Democrats fail to recognize is that when you add a trillion dollars of debt, you add interest in a trillion dollars that must be paid every month. Do that for tree years in a row and you end up with annual interest payments that are absolutely huge. Where do you get the money to pay the interest on the money you borrowed? Borrow it? When you start borrowing to pay interest on borrowed money, your debt starts to rise exponentially. Now add an interest rate increase and wammo, you can’t borrow enough to pay the interest and you default.

crosspatch on April 16, 2012 at 5:04 PM

Yessir. An incumbent down in the polls 6 months out means a sure win.

angryed on April 16, 2012 at 5:01 PM

So polls mean nothing, now, ed?

What do you make of this then?

NATIONAL POLLS:
USA Today/Gallup 3/25 – 3/26 901 RV 49 45 Obama +4
CNN/Opinion Research 3/24 – 3/25 925 RV 54 43 Obama +11
McClatchy/Marist 3/20 – 3/22 846 RV 46 44 Obama +2
PPP (D) 3/15 – 3/17 900 RV 48 44 Obama +4
Reason-Rupe 3/10 – 3/20 1200 A 46 40 Obama +6
FOX News 3/10 – 3/12 912 RV 46 42 Obama +4

Obama is whipping Romney nationally. Which means he will win by close to double digits in PA.

Thanks Mittbots, you have delivered a 1980 landslide to Obama.

angryed on April 6, 2012 at 5:04 PM

Chuck Schick on April 16, 2012 at 5:05 PM

Doomberg on April 16, 2012 at 5:02 PM

Certainly, but I’m willing to bet that a large fraction of those will have a change of heart when Lebanon, Egypt and Syria invade Israel and POTUS sits on his hands. Watching your Grandma’s house explode live on CNN (or more likely FOX) may have an effect.

BobMbx on April 16, 2012 at 5:05 PM

Guess we know the D stands for Dumba$$.

msupertas on April 16, 2012 at 4:53 PM

And the R stands for Retard so what’s your point?

Uppereastside on April 16, 2012 at 4:55 PM

I’ve never seen a D who was also an R. I stand corrected.

msupertas on April 16, 2012 at 5:05 PM

No dude. It was explained to me that when Romney is losing polls don’t matter but when he’s winning they do. That’s how cultists rationalize things.

angryed on April 16, 2012 at 5:03 PM

No, that was merely your false interpretation, because you wanted it to be that way. Unfortunately for you, there was a rational, common sense explanation that you decided didn’t fit your agenda. Just like a true socialist, you try to lie enough for your lie to become the truth.

Thank you so much for providing me with enough humor to get me through the end of my day.

Red Cloud on April 16, 2012 at 5:06 PM

Angryed, the fact you are. Ringing out the Kerry poll numbers is very telling… Or haven’t you figured out the the MSM manufactures it’s stuff for consumption. Back then most people weren’t looking at the polling data break out. I suggest that you go and do that. You might find it enlightening.

uncommon sense on April 16, 2012 at 5:02 PM

there are more latinos and single women than in 2004 and Romney won’t get close to 40% to either of them. Romney will clean up with white voters over 50 but it won’t be enough. Obama will win 51-48 set it in stone

DBear on April 16, 2012 at 5:06 PM

“We’re not a cheerleading squad. We’re the conductor. We’re supposed to drive the train.”

As I said in the headlines, that’s a freshman sounding like a sophomore.

Anyhoo, no doubt plans for a general strike on May Day will do wonders for Dem prospects. Looking forward to Obama donor, Bill Maher, lecturing these deadbeats to get their ass out of bed and go to work.

Buy Danish on April 16, 2012 at 5:06 PM

You guys are saying an incumbent down this early means trouble. I’m stating the fact that Bush was down by quite a bit this time in 2004 and went on to win. That’s all.

angryed on April 16, 2012 at 5:04 PM

Chuck Schick has beaten you senseless on this point about five times and you continue to bring it up.

Red Cloud on April 16, 2012 at 5:07 PM

Hell yes, we at least got a shot. Elect Romney dammit. Taxes are too damn high.

netster007x on April 16, 2012 at 5:07 PM

No, that was merely your false interpretation, because you wanted it to be that way. Unfortunately for you, there was a rational, common sense explanation that you decided didn’t fit your agenda. Just like a true socialist, you try to lie enough for your lie to become the truth.

Thank you so much for providing me with enough humor to get me through the end of my day.

Red Cloud on April 16, 2012 at 5:06 PM

Polls only matter when McMittens is ahead. When he’s down they’re irrelevant. Got it.

angryed on April 16, 2012 at 5:07 PM

Dont you know they mean something when Sketch happens to lead by 2?

Uppereastside on April 16, 2012 at 4:54 PM

Uhhhh that was my point. You’re not very smart are you?

angryed on April 16, 2012 at 4:56 PM

HAHhaAHHAAHAhaHaHaHaHaHJaHaHaHaHaHaHaHaHaHAhA!

You guys should hookup and get a tent at your next OWS grungefest. I’ll buy the popcorn.

Harbingeing on April 16, 2012 at 5:08 PM

there are more latinos and single women than in 2004 and Romney won’t get close to 40% to either of them. Romney will clean up with white voters over 50 but it won’t be enough. Obama will win 51-48 set it in stone

DBear on April 16, 2012 at 5:06 PM

Way too generous. If John McMitten Dole III breakss 45% it will be a miracle. 54-44% is my prediction.

angryed on April 16, 2012 at 5:08 PM

Obama will win 51-48 set it in stone

DBear on April 16, 2012 at 5:06 PM

The unfortunate part is that you will probably end up getting yourself banned before the election so we won’t be able to properly rub your nose in your stellar prognostications.

NotCoach on April 16, 2012 at 5:08 PM

people who actually care about all americans not just the half of america that agrees with you
 
DBear on April 16, 2012 at 4:58 PM

 
Ahem…
 

we destroyed her political career in 2 months we have 6 months to do the same to Mitt
 
DBear on April 16, 2012 at 4:45 PM

 
Such care and compassion.
 
NotCoach on April 16, 2012 at 4:59 PM

 
yeah well thats diffenret she was running for persident
 
-DBear

rogerb on April 16, 2012 at 5:08 PM

angryed on April 16, 2012 at 5:04 PM

Chuck Schick has beaten you senseless on this point about five times and you continue to bring it up.

Red Cloud on April 16, 2012 at 5:07 PM

“Senseless” being the operative term.

Harbingeing on April 16, 2012 at 5:09 PM

Polls only matter when McMittens is ahead. When he’s down they’re irrelevant. Got it.

angryed on April 16, 2012 at 5:07 PM

Just this morning:

Most recent polls from swing states:

North Carolina: Romney vs. Obama
PPP (D)
Romney 44, Obama 49 Obama +5

Michigan: Romney vs. Obama
EPIC-MRA
Obama 47, Romney 43 Obama +4

Nevada: Romney vs. Obama
PPP (D)
Obama 51, Romney 43 Obama +8

It’s really amusing seeing debates about what Romney will do as president. Might as well debate what will happen when we all grow wings and fly to the mooon. Both scenarios are as likely to happen.

angryed on April 16, 2012 at 10:56 AM

Polls mean everything 6 months out, except when they don’t.

Chuck Schick on April 16, 2012 at 5:09 PM

Chuck Schick has beaten you senseless on this point about five times and you continue to bring it up.

Red Cloud on April 16, 2012 at 5:07 PM

Of course. Polls only matter when they say what you agree with. I get it.

angryed on April 16, 2012 at 5:09 PM

Polls only matter when McMittens is ahead. When he’s down they’re irrelevant. Got it.

angryed on April 16, 2012 at 5:07 PM

You’re going to keep lying until your lie becomes truth. Got it.

When someone explains something to you using logic and facts, and you continue to say the opposite despite it, you pretty much confirm to the world that you are a fool.

Basically all of HotAir is mocking you at this point and you’re completely oblivious.

Red Cloud on April 16, 2012 at 5:10 PM

1 poll showing McMittens ahead by 2% is gospel for you morons. 100 polls showing him losing, all biased, skewed, irrelevant.

angryed on April 16, 2012 at 5:10 PM

So last week polls didn’t mean anything. Today polls mean everything. How about next week, will polls mean much then?

angryed on April 16, 2012 at 4:58 PM

.
I don’t think Oerkel gets a bounce from the GSA and hookergate scandals in Colombia next week, do you? Unless maybe your lib friends in the media can spread the lies of the Secret Service guys are white guys out to make the First African American President look bad. Then maybe you have a chance at some optimism.
For the moment Mittens has the all the Mo. Obie, not so much.

FlaMurph on April 16, 2012 at 5:10 PM

Of course. Polls only matter when they say what you agree with. I get it.

angryed on April 16, 2012 at 5:09 PM

You did the exact same flip flop just today, you dumbass.

Chuck Schick on April 16, 2012 at 5:11 PM

Way too generous. If John McMitten Dole III breakss 45% it will be a miracle. 54-44% is my prediction.

angryed on April 16, 2012 at 5:08 PM

Another keepsake for “angryed’s greatest hits”

Red Cloud on April 16, 2012 at 5:11 PM

Polls only matter when McMittensObama is ahead. When he’s down they’re irrelevant. Got it.

angryed on April 16, 2012 at 5:07 PM

You are the one on here touting polls..every single day..chump.

HumpBot Salvation on April 16, 2012 at 5:11 PM

1 poll showing McMittens ahead by 2% is gospel for you morons. 100 polls showing him losing, all biased, skewed, irrelevant.

angryed on April 16, 2012 at 5:10 PM

This one is SUPPOSED to be skewed in your boy’s favor, dumbass!

Red Cloud on April 16, 2012 at 5:12 PM

You two could just get a room…then invite dinglebear over for a real party.

cozmo on April 16, 2012 at 4:56 PM

He is a true teabagger.

msupertas on April 16, 2012 at 5:13 PM

You’re going to keep lying until your lie becomes truth. Got it.

When someone explains something to you using logic and facts, and you continue to say the opposite despite it, you pretty much confirm to the world that you are a fool.

Basically all of HotAir is mocking you at this point and you’re completely oblivious.

Red Cloud on April 16, 2012 at 5:10 PM

Your argument is the same. Polls didn’t matter a week ago. They matter now. Your part of a cult so I don’t expect you to think differently than a typical cult member. If McMittens told you the sky is pink you’d swear you always believed the sky is pink.

Here are what you co-Mitt-tard was saying a week ago
less than a week ago.

Too early to worry.
Mittens hasn’t had the opportunity to take the gloves off and wet kiss the swingers.

chickasaw42 on April 9, 2012 at 5:00 PM

angryed on April 16, 2012 at 5:13 PM

You guys are saying an incumbent down this early means trouble. I’m stating the fact that Bush was down by quite a bit this time in 2004 and went on to win. That’s all.

angryed on April 16, 2012 at 5:04 PM

Yes dear, we get it. Your guy (0bama) is losing and you are an angry red (marxist)

cozmo on April 16, 2012 at 5:14 PM

Your argument is the same. Polls didn’t matter a week ago. They matter now.

Now it sounds like you’re trying to convince yourself of this. You should go back to just baldfaced lies.

Red Cloud on April 16, 2012 at 5:14 PM

angryred, here is why this is significant:

Obama has been in campaign mode nationally for about 6 months now. Not one of the Republicans has. The Republicans have been campaigning against each other. The Republican field has been scattered across several candidates and only focused on that one candidate in the past couple of weeks. In that time Romney hasn’t been waging an active national campaign. He doesn’t have to at this point, he is so far winning without having campaigned at all outside of the primaries.

The Democrats would already know all this from their internal polling. This explains why you are starting to see Democrats backing away from Obama. Barney Frank’s comments about Obama making a mistake going after health care looks like he is rationalizing why Obama is going to lose. I have been noticing a very subtle shift away from Obama by center Democrats. Hillary Clinton is probably the most prominent Democrat outside of Barry. I don’t see her lifting a finger.

Obama’s #1 campaign donation source last cycle was University of California employees. Currently UC employees have donated only 10% of the amount that they donated last year and have dropped from #1 to fifth. Obama’s #2 source was employees of Goldman Sachs. Sachs is now the #1 source of Romney donations. Many of Obama’s top 20 campaign donors of last cycle have switched to Romney.

Obama is in deep trouble. He is running unopposed, Romney had several people opposed, Romney is very nearly keeping pace with Obama in donations. Romney is not only leading in the polls, he is eating Obama’s lunch and all Obama has is comments about Ann Romney’s employment history in his bag of tricks?

Obama is starting to look like a chump and the more desperate he gets, the more he looks that way.

crosspatch on April 16, 2012 at 5:15 PM

Here are what you co-Mitt-tard was saying a week ago
less than a week ago.

Too early to worry.
Mittens hasn’t had the opportunity to take the gloves off and wet kiss the swingers.

chickasaw42 on April 9, 2012 at 5:00 PM

angryed on April 16, 2012 at 5:13 PM

And just this morning you posted polls saying it’s already over.

Now polls are too early out.

Chuck Schick on April 16, 2012 at 5:15 PM

1 poll showing McMittens ahead by 2% is gospel for you morons. 100 polls showing him losing, all biased, skewed, irrelevant.
angryed on April 16, 2012 at 5:10 PM

Way too generous. If John McMitten Dole III breakss 45% it will be a miracle. 54-44% is my prediction.

angryed on April 16, 2012 at 5:08 PM

.
You feel the tide turning and you are getting skeered.
You need a game changer.
You need Hillary.

FlaMurph on April 16, 2012 at 5:16 PM

1 poll. McMittens is up by 2%. Race is over. LOL.

Intrade still has your boy at 37%. On a nice steady slide since December.

angryed on April 16, 2012 at 5:16 PM

I eagerly await the Daily Kos counterpolls helpfully presented by angryed – for the sake of balance, of course.

KingGold on April 16, 2012 at 4:20 PM
Beat me to it!!! angryed is becoming soooo predictable.

Harbingeing on April 16, 2012 at 4:22 PM

I have been noting for quite some time that Angryed is one of our more high profile lib trolls on the site.. right2bright seems to have calmed down once every single one of his predictions proved to be woefully wrong. Now if we only can assimilate ITGuy and Besser Tots Al..

AirForceCane on April 16, 2012 at 5:17 PM

Another keepsake for “angryed’s greatest hits”

Red Cloud on April 16, 2012 at 5:11 PM

A couple day ago he told me he loaded up on Obama to win futures on Intrade back when it was at $50. If Romney wins this Ed takes it in the wallet, too, or so he says.

alchemist19 on April 16, 2012 at 5:18 PM

You feel the tide turning and you are getting skeered.
You need a game changer.
You need Hillary.

FlaMurph on April 16, 2012 at 5:16 PM

It’s a sign of how pathetic the Mitt-tards are when you have multiple orgasms over 1 poll showing him ahead by 2%. But hey, do what you have to do.

angryed on April 16, 2012 at 5:18 PM

How about this poll released from CNN today showing Sketch leading by almost 8 points?

http://i2.cdn.turner.com/cnn/2012/images/04/16/rel4a.pdf

Oh wait….

Uppereastside on April 16, 2012 at 5:18 PM

A couple day ago he told me he loaded up on Obama to win futures on Intrade back when it was at $50. If Romney wins this Ed takes it in the wallet, too, or so he says.

alchemist19 on April 16, 2012 at 5:18 PM

$51 actually.

angryed on April 16, 2012 at 5:18 PM

How about this poll released from CNN today showing Sketch leading by almost 8 points?

http://i2.cdn.turner.com/cnn/2012/images/04/16/rel4a.pdf

Oh wait….

Uppereastside on April 16, 2012 at 5:18 PM

Oh no, no, no. You are not allowed to mention anything other than Rasmussen and Fox News polls here. All the rest are biased and run by Democrats.

angryed on April 16, 2012 at 5:19 PM

And yet Obama is at 62% on intrade.
LOL

angryed on April 16, 2012 at 4:37 PM

You mean the same intrade that predicted Newt was going to win Alabama and Mississippi on the morning of their primaries? Then switched to Romney while the votes were being cast? Then finally settled on Santorum after the networks had called the two states for him? That intrade?

LOL

GOPRanknFile on April 16, 2012 at 5:20 PM

Romney is not only leading in the polls, he is eating Obama’s lunch and all Obama has is comments about Ann Romney’s employment history in his bag of tricks?

Obama is starting to look like a chump and the more desperate he gets, the more he looks that way.

crosspatch on April 16, 2012 at 5:15 PM

the President is making bad comments about Ann Romney? oh right, it was Hillary, she should resign as Sec of State right away. oh wait, Hilary Rosen? a CNN talking head? she and Bill Maher are spokespeople for the President now apparently. just shows how desperate the right is to win over women voters after their “war on religious freedom” was a bust

DBear on April 16, 2012 at 5:21 PM

The telling thing about all these polls is that Obama can’t crack the 50% threshold. That bodes ill for an incumbent’s reelection since typically he is the most well-known candidate in the race and fewer undecided and late-deciding voters will break for him in the end.

What most often happens is those voters don’t like the incumbent and just need to be reassured that the opponent isn’t some nut case.

Adjoran on April 16, 2012 at 5:22 PM

angryed on April 16, 2012 at 5:19 PM

See there, eastside, he’s mending fences with you; who says love can’t endure a few rocky episodes?

Bishop on April 16, 2012 at 5:22 PM

It’s a sign of how pathetic the Mitt-tards are when you have multiple orgasms over 1 poll showing him ahead by 2%. But hey, do what you have to do.

angryed on April 16, 2012 at 5:18 PM

Pollster average has Mitt ahead for the first time as well.

That warm feeling is urine down your leg.

Chuck Schick on April 16, 2012 at 5:23 PM

You are still the stupidest poster on HA. Congrats.

angryed on April 16, 2012 at 4:46 PM

That would be you.

Gunlock Bill on April 16, 2012 at 5:24 PM

Polls mean everything 6 months out, except when they don’t.

Chuck Schick on April 16, 2012 at 5:09 PM

Let’s not forget that he says he takes Fox News and Rasmussen polls as seriously as he takes Daily Kos polls (meaning he doesn’t take them seriously at all)…and then proceeds to cite to two Daily Kos polls to prove that Romney is trailing. Logic isn’t angryed’s strong suit.

GOPRanknFile on April 16, 2012 at 5:24 PM

That CNN poll doesn’t provide the party breakdown of the sample. It is therefore useless. The primary reason a poll does not release its affiliation of the sample is to hide it.

crosspatch on April 16, 2012 at 5:24 PM

Angryed, as I recall the media was embarrassed by that election. Everyone had Kerry winning. After that polling became more transparent and groups had to justify their polls with the sampling data.

uncommon sense on April 16, 2012 at 5:24 PM

1 poll. McMittens is up by 2%. Race is over. LOL.

Intrade still has your boy at 37%. On a nice steady slide since December.

angryed on April 16, 2012 at 5:16 PM

Intrade? WTF? Really? REALLY?

HA—1000+
angryed—0

msupertas on April 16, 2012 at 5:24 PM

Heartache!

NASCARinCT

Del Dolemonte on April 16, 2012 at 5:25 PM

Rasmussen’s polling is agreeing with Gallup. Rasmussen has a history of very close accuracy with what happens at the voting polls.

crosspatch on April 16, 2012 at 5:25 PM

Mitt-tards were crying that mean Newt Gingrich said mean things about Etch. They have no idea what’s about to hit them from the Soros/Axelrod machine. It will be fun to watch.

angryed on April 16, 2012 at 4:50 PM

Yeah, we saw Axelrod’s brilliance on display just this weekend.

LOL!!!!

Gunlock Bill on April 16, 2012 at 5:26 PM

Do you ever have anything intelligent to add to the conversation besides simply calling people names, tossing out other insults, and generally heckling other posters?

crosspatch on April 16, 2012 at 4:39 PM

..direct answer to your question, C.P., is a resounding “NO” but, that said, it’s his God-given right to do so or something.

The War Planner on April 16, 2012 at 5:26 PM

Anyone betting on a bad economy in November will be disappointed and also is an enemy of the state

liberal4life on March 9, 2012 at 11:19 PM

The economy is already going sideways. Manufacturing has plunged, along with new residential construction. Retail sales were good in the first quarter, but are now crashing.

Anyone who spends his or her tax refund is foolish. Pay down debt or put it in the bank.

I gather from the liberals that not spending money you don’t have now makes you an “enemy of the state.”

I thought Americans had constitutional protections against this type of coercion and intimidation. I will talk down this economy as much as I damned well please.

matthew8787 on April 16, 2012 at 5:26 PM

Good signs, but I won’t breathe until after The Reveal. What Reveal, you ask? Remember how much the Donks spent on Game Change, assured back in the planning stages that Sarah Palin would be running and winning by the time HBO released it?

Expect at least that amount being spent on a hit job or ginned-up controversy before October. And why? Because the GOP has only been broadcasting for the better part of the last six years that they intended to run Romney in ’12. This is why you let the bodies hit the floor in the primaries, and let them shake out as they may. I just hope Romney’s lucky enough for it to fizzle, for the nation’s sake.

Sekhmet on April 16, 2012 at 5:26 PM

Just heard that the NHL’s Washington Caps are asking everyone coming to tonight’s Stanley Cup Playoff game (against the defending champion Boston Bruins) to wear O’bama Masks.

This in “tribute” to Bruins Goalie Tim Thomas, who refused to accompany the team when they went to the White House a couple of months ago to meet O’bama.

Should be hilarious.

Del Dolemonte on April 16, 2012 at 5:27 PM

Yeah, we saw Axelrod’s brilliance on display just this weekend.

LOL!!!!

Gunlock Bill on April 16, 2012 at 5:26 PM

..as he and his crack squad of spinners and winners were reeling from having their asss handed them by one of their fulminating Demesbian Mouthpieces slandering Ann romney.

The War Planner on April 16, 2012 at 5:29 PM

2004 polls around this time:

IA/Creators 4/12-4/14
37% 43% 2% Kerry +6

Newsweek 4/8-4/9
42% 46% 4% Kerry +4

ARG 4/6-4/9
43% 48% 2% Kerry +5

angryed on April 16, 2012 at 4:46 PM

Yeah, Bush was in deep trouble.

And then Swift Boat, reporting for duty, Kerry ran such a brilliant campaign. ;)

Gunlock Bill on April 16, 2012 at 5:29 PM

Your argument is the same. Polls didn’t matter a week ago. They matter now.

Now it sounds like you’re trying to convince yourself of this. You should go back to just baldfaced lies.

Red Cloud on April 16, 2012 at 5:14 PM

No, angryed’s right. Right now it’s all high-fiving and “Obama’s dead meat” and blahblahblah. Next week if Romney’s down by five, national polls will be meaningless this far out. It’s been said over and over and over. Romney is still pretty much “generic Republican”. He won’t be able to stay that way for the duration.

You feel the tide turning and you are getting skeered.
You need a game changer.
You need Hillary.

FlaMurph on April 16, 2012 at 5:16 PM

Who’s scared? Wasn’t Romney ahead of Obama by 6 just a few weeks back? And now he’s ahead by 2. Meanwhile, the state-by-state trend isn’t good news for Romney.

ddrintn on April 16, 2012 at 5:29 PM

“Dick Cheney is a War Criminal!”

Uppereastside on April 16, 2012 at 4:24 PM

Del Dolemonte on April 16, 2012 at 5:30 PM

This in “tribute” to Bruins Goalie Tim Thomas, who refused to accompany the team when they went to the White House a couple of months ago to meet O’bama.

Should be hilarious.

Del Dolemonte on April 16, 2012 at 5:27 PM

..I have an old Alfred E. Neuman mask. Will that do?

The War Planner on April 16, 2012 at 5:30 PM

the President is making bad comments about Ann Romney? oh right, it was Hillary, she should resign as Sec of State right away. oh wait, Hilary Rosen? a CNN talking head? she and Bill Maher are spokespeople for the President now apparently. just shows how desperate the right is to win over women voters after their “war on religious freedom” was a bust

DBear on April 16, 2012 at 5:21 PM

She works for the DNC, like they all do at CNN. Maher is one of Odipshit$ biggest teabaggers, something you can relate to. You can’t be this dumb.

msupertas on April 16, 2012 at 5:30 PM

Yeah, Bush was in deep trouble.

And then Swift Boat, reporting for duty, Kerry ran such a brilliant campaign. ;)

Gunlock Bill on April 16, 2012 at 5:29 PM

Red herring. There were polls showing Kerry in the lead.

Look, the ‘bots are going to have to decide whether the polls have meaning or not. If it’s bad for Romney, they’re meaningless. If it’s good news for Romney, it’s gospel. Come on.

ddrintn on April 16, 2012 at 5:31 PM

I’ve said repeatedly I want Obama to win. Not in any type of closet.

angryed on April 16, 2012 at 4:49 PM

No wonder no one here takes you seriously.

Gunlock Bill on April 16, 2012 at 5:33 PM

I live in a community with a heavy Hispanic population. I know somewhere between 50-100 Hispanics. Not ONE OF THEM is supporting Obama. NOT ONE OF THEM! Of course, they are not illegally in the country. They don’t like to watch their lifestyles crash and burn under Obama any more than any of us.

Only the uneducated Hispanic would vote for Obama.

Voter from WA State on April 16, 2012 at 5:30 PM

Obama leads Romney something like 56 points among Latinos.

ddrintn on April 16, 2012 at 5:33 PM

DBear—

Pssst, maybe it’s escaped your notice. Maybe despite your bruiting their supposed rights to receive government, you don’t know a lot of Hispanics. So let me tell you from here in Texas, where I work in el barrio:

A majority of Hispanics are Catholic. Can we all think of something 0bama has done to offend Catholics recently? It just slipped my mind or something…..////

Sekhmet on April 16, 2012 at 5:33 PM

..I have an old Alfred E. Neuman mask. Will that do?

The War Planner on April 16, 2012 at 5:30 PM

Crazy eyes, goofy grin, big ears, and freckles?

Nope, won’t work, PBHO doesn’t have freckles.

Bishop on April 16, 2012 at 5:34 PM

Anyone betting on a bad economy in November will be disappointed and also is an enemy of the state

liberal4life on March 9, 2012 at 11:19 PM

If there is no clear indication of economic rebound by the end of June, then Obama is 100% done. There will be absolutely nothing he can do maybe short of personally parachuting into Pakistan, single-handedly capturing Ayman al-Zawahiri, and evading capture by Pakistani authorities while dragging him to a US base in Afghanistan and even that might not be enough to matter.

If the economy has not turned around by the end of the second quarter, it will be too late. An uptick in the third quarter will be looked at as a possible fluke and not a trend and even then a “trend” of only a few months isn’t going to improve the situation on the ground.

At this point in Reagan’s first term we had an 8.4% GDP growth rate and things were rapidly improving. We are seeing NOTHING like that in this case. Reagan stimulated the economy by cutting income, capital gains, and dividend taxes across the board. Obama wants to raise them and stimulated the economy by pumping cash into the ‘green’ investments of his political cronies.

People are not stupid.

crosspatch on April 16, 2012 at 5:34 PM

Sekhmet on April 16, 2012 at 5:26 PM

So long as Romney doesn’t suspend his campaign to go to Washington and look ineffectual I think he’ll be okay.

alchemist19 on April 16, 2012 at 5:34 PM

The GOP only needs to run one ad during the entire campaign:

“Are you better off now than you were 4 years ago?”

BobMbx on April 16, 2012 at 4:39 PM

Are you better off now than you were two years ago?

Absolutely.

crr6 on May 30, 2011 at 5:35 PM

Del Dolemonte on April 16, 2012 at 5:34 PM

Voter from WA State on April 16, 2012 at 5:30 PM

i’ll report to Axy at Chicago HQ to write off Washington state then. thanks for that valuable info.

DBear on April 16, 2012 at 5:35 PM

No, angryed’s right. Right now it’s all high-fiving and “Obama’s dead meat” and blahblahblah. Next week if Romney’s down by five, national polls will be meaningless this far out.

ddrintn on April 16, 2012 at 5:29 PM

He’s doing the same exact thing everyone else is. Here:

NATIONAL POLLS:
USA Today/Gallup 3/25 – 3/26 901 RV 49 45 Obama +4
CNN/Opinion Research 3/24 – 3/25 925 RV 54 43 Obama +11
McClatchy/Marist 3/20 – 3/22 846 RV 46 44 Obama +2
PPP (D) 3/15 – 3/17 900 RV 48 44 Obama +4
Reason-Rupe 3/10 – 3/20 1200 A 46 40 Obama +6
FOX News 3/10 – 3/12 912 RV 46 42 Obama +4

Obama is whipping Romney nationally. Which means he will win by close to double digits in PA.

Thanks Mittbots, you have delivered a 1980 landslide to Obama.

angryed on April 6, 2012 at 5:04 PM

Got that? Polls in March showing Obama ahead means a landslide.

You’re doing the exact same thing he is.

Chuck Schick on April 16, 2012 at 5:35 PM

No, angryed’s right. Right now it’s all high-fiving and “Obama’s dead meat” and blahblahblah. Next week if Romney’s down by five, national polls will be meaningless this far out. It’s been said over and over and over. Romney is still pretty much “generic Republican”. He won’t be able to stay that way for the duration.

ddrintn on April 16, 2012 at 5:29 PM

..do you seriously think anyone here believes this is the final game of the season and the playoffs are hanging in the balance? Borrowing on that metaphor, it’s more like the count on the first hitter of the first game in the top of the first being 0-2.

We all *know* there’s a long road ahead. Still, we had this shitt up to our ears when “Long Face” Kerry started to stumble and was constantly trying to pull his head out of his asss in 2004.

Politics aside, if I had a choice of being Obama running on his pathetic record or being Romney running against that pathetic record, I’d take Mitt in a heartbeat.

The War Planner on April 16, 2012 at 5:36 PM

Pssst, maybe it’s escaped your notice. Maybe despite your bruiting their supposed rights to receive government, you don’t know a lot of Hispanics. So let me tell you from here in Texas, where I work in el barrio:

A majority of Hispanics are Catholic. Can we all think of something 0bama has done to offend Catholics recently? It just slipped my mind or something…..////

Sekhmet on April 16, 2012 at 5:33 PM

I am hispanic and I can tell you most hispanics I know rightly think the GOP is a racist party and wouldn’t vote for them even if you put a gun to their head

DBear on April 16, 2012 at 5:38 PM

I won’t be smiling unless Obama is still behind at the end of June.

crosspatch on April 16, 2012 at 5:39 PM

Anyone betting on a bad economy in November will be disappointed and also is an enemy of the state

liberal4life on March 9, 2012 at 11:19 PM


People are not stupid.

crosspatch on April 16, 2012 at 5:34 PM

..Lobotomy4Life and crr6 and the other Obama tools sure as hell were.

The War Planner on April 16, 2012 at 5:40 PM

Intrade still has your boy at 37%. On a nice steady slide since December.

angryed on April 16, 2012 at 5:16 PM

Good time to buy.

Gunlock Bill on April 16, 2012 at 5:40 PM

I am hispanic and I can tell you most hispanics I know rightly think the GOP is a racist party and wouldn’t vote for them even if you put a gun to their head

DBear on April 16, 2012 at 5:38 PM

..because individual anecdotal evidence means so-o-o-o-o-o much.

The War Planner on April 16, 2012 at 5:41 PM

oh yes, just like we “fear” sarah palin, who is reduced to filling in as a co-host on Greta’s show with that lunkhead Eric Bolling. we destroyed her political career in 2 months we have 6 months to do the same to Mitt

DBear on April 16, 2012 at 4:45 PM

Wipe your chin off.

It’s fascinating to see an O’bama Fluffer like yourself admit that his Democrat Party, vastly aided by their Democrat National Media, “destroyed” the career of someone who’s still vastly popular politically almost 4 years later.

It also puts a Lie to the Leftist Meme that she destroyed her own career by way of her alleged “stupidity”.

A+

Del Dolemonte on April 16, 2012 at 5:41 PM

I am hispanic and I can tell you most hispanics I know rightly think the GOP is a racist party and wouldn’t vote for them even if you put a gun to their head

DBear on April 16, 2012 at 5:38 PM

Not here in California where I am and it depends on WHICH Hispanics you ask. The ones that have been here for a few generations like Republicans in general because they identify more with the Republican values of strong work ethic, strong family values, religious freedom, and self-responsibility. The illegals side with the Democrats for obvious reasons. The “true conservatives” are seen as racist bigots, though, by all of them.

crosspatch on April 16, 2012 at 5:41 PM

The War Planner on April 16, 2012 at 5:41 PM

since we are all sharing here figured I would throw in my 2 cents

DBear on April 16, 2012 at 5:42 PM

I am hispanic and I can tell you most hispanics I know rightly think the GOP is a racist party and wouldn’t vote for them even if you put a gun to their head

DBear on April 16, 2012 at 5:38 PM

I don’t think anyone doubts Democrats have the dumb, angry victim vote locked up.

Chuck Schick on April 16, 2012 at 5:42 PM

ARG 4/6-4/9/04
43% 48% 2% Kerry +5

happyed on April 16, 2012 at 4:47 PM

Leave ARG “polls” out of your equation, they’re worthless.

F-

Del Dolemonte on April 16, 2012 at 5:43 PM

Don’t spend ten cents on anything you don’t need until late October.

There is no point in spending any money that will benefit Obama.

My wife wants to replace our stove. We agreed to wait until Halloween or thereabouts.

We can have the greatest Christmas and Hanukkah of our lives if we delay spending and have the comfort of knowing that this Empty Suit is on his way out.

Spread the word.

matthew8787 on April 16, 2012 at 5:44 PM

Dont you know they mean something when Sketch happens to lead by 2?

Uppereastside on April 16, 2012 at 4:54 PM

Uhhhh that was my point. You’re not very smart are you?

angryed on April 16, 2012 at 4:56 PM

Blue on blue!

Red Cloud on April 16, 2012 at 4:59 PM

Cat Fight!

(MEOW)

Del Dolemonte on April 16, 2012 at 5:47 PM

DBear,
your a hispanic LEFTIST, I have no doubt your white friends feel the same way about the GOP.

rob verdi on April 16, 2012 at 5:50 PM

uncommon sense on April 16, 2012 at 5:02 PM

You guys are saying an incumbent down this early means trouble. I’m stating the fact that Bush was down by quite a bit this time in 2004 and went on to win. That’s all.

angryed on April 16, 2012 at 5:04 PM

But all you are citing is a single election year. If you actually expanded your search backwards in time to include previous incumbent Presidents running for re-election, you would have much more data to work with. Such as the numbers for the incumbent running for re-election in 1996, and the one running against Clinton in 1992. Before that, you would have to go back to 1984, 1980, and 1976 and 1972.

If the poll trends for all of those other years are comparable to the 2004 results, then you might have a case. But polling results from just one single year do not an election prediction make.

Del Dolemonte on April 16, 2012 at 5:50 PM

Polls only matter when McMittens is ahead. When he’s down they’re irrelevant. Got it.

angryed on April 16, 2012 at 5:07 PM

Project much? YOU are the one saying they don’t matter because they don’t favor your side.

Maybe you didn’t notice…

Dirty Creature on April 16, 2012 at 5:51 PM

I don’t think anyone doubts Democrats have the dumb, angry victim vote locked up.

Chuck Schick on April 16, 2012 at 5:42 PM

I teach my niece and nephew every chance i get that the republican party is full of selfish racist people. I also tell them that grown ups are lying to them that there is a god that they are just trying to use it to control them and they should think for themselves. i mean someone has to push back against my stupid bigot sister and tell them how things really are!

DBear on April 16, 2012 at 5:51 PM

Obama will win 51-48 set it in stone

DBear on April 16, 2012 at 5:06 PM

Wipe your chin off.

No way O’bama will get the same percentage of votes he got in 2008. What “record” does he have to run on this time to guarantee such a result?

G-

Del Dolemonte on April 16, 2012 at 5:52 PM

Not trusting this poll. Registered voters is less reliable than likely voters . . . but it is encouraging.

ABO 2012!

Voter from WA State on April 16, 2012 at 4:50 PM

This time around, little Bammie will sink over the difference between ‘registered’ and ‘likely’. All those Peggy Josephs out there that aren’t ‘getting their mortgages paid, and free gasoline’ won’t vote for Romney, they won’t vote at all.

slickwillie2001 on April 16, 2012 at 5:53 PM

I teach my niece and nephew every chance i get that the republican party is full of selfish racist people. I also tell them that grown ups are lying to them that there is a god that they are just trying to use it to control them and they should think for themselves. i mean someone has to push back against my stupid bigot sister and tell them how things really are!

DBear on April 16, 2012 at 5:51 PM

Keep talking. Let the hatred consume you.

Chuck Schick on April 16, 2012 at 5:53 PM

your a hispanic LEFTIST, I have no doubt your white friends feel the same way about the GOP.

rob verdi on April 16, 2012 at 5:50 PM

my close white friends do, yes, because I like to surround myself with warm, caring people. my white Facebook friends from high school think Obama is the anti-christ. then again they were racist towards blacks in high school hmmm

DBear on April 16, 2012 at 5:54 PM

I teach my niece and nephew every chance i get that the republican party is full of selfish racist people. I also tell them that grown ups are lying to them that there is a god that they are just trying to use it to control them and they should think for themselves. i mean someone has to push back against my stupid bigot sister and tell them how things really are!

DBear on April 16, 2012 at 5:51 PM

..maybe you ought to back off a little bit, ese, and let your sobrino and sobrina think for themselves.

The War Planner on April 16, 2012 at 5:55 PM

I am hispanic and I can tell you most hispanics I know rightly think the GOP is a racist party and wouldn’t vote for them even if you put a gun to their head

DBear on April 16, 2012 at 5:38 PM

Are you a white hispanic or a hispanic hispanic? I thought you cared about all Americans, not just the ones who agree with you. Please don’t give Obama any ideas regarding putting guns to people’s heads.

Night Owl on April 16, 2012 at 5:56 PM

How about this poll released from CNN today showing Sketch leading by almost 8 points?

http://i2.cdn.turner.com/cnn/2012/images/04/16/rel4a.pdf

Oh wait….

DickCheneyComittedWarCrimes on April 16, 2012 at 5:18 PM

You do know that CNN tossed their polling partner (Gallup) over the side 5 years ago and replaced them with a longtime Democrat Clinton Fluffer named Vinod Gupta, don’t you? That was in anticipation of Hillary winning the 2008 Democrat nomination.

If CNN would reveal their polling samples you might have a point, but they refuse to do so unlike most other “pollsters”. What are they hiding?

Del Dolemonte on April 16, 2012 at 5:56 PM

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