Yes, 2012 will be (mostly) a referendum on Obama

posted at 4:31 pm on April 15, 2012 by Karl

Liberals are getting increasingly touchy about the looming prospect of voters judging Pres. Obama’s term of office. They are almost as touchy about those noting that Obama wants to focus his campaign on his opponents, real and imagined, rather than on his record or the economy.

For example, Ed Kilgore found a straw man resembling Jay Cost and proceeded to beat it as thoroughly as Obama has been beating various straw men these past months. Kilgore claims that “Cost even goes so far as to tell swing voters what they have to care about,” then quotes Jay:

I’ll bet you dollars to donuts that the average swing voter does not want to talk about the “war on women,” the Buffett rule, or whatever else Team Obama is going to throw out there in the weeks and months to come. That voter wants to talk about jobs, the economy, the deficit, gas prices, the health care bill–in other words, all the issues where the president is vulnerable.

Those not already in the tank for Obama might notice that Jay is not telling swing voters what to think about, but offering his opinion about what they want to talk about. Gallup suggests Cost is correct, with their most recent poll showing voters — even Democrats — think healthcare, unemployment, the debt, national defense and terrorism, and gas prices are all more important issues than birth control policy. Indeed, I doubt Kilgore could find a poll showing any other result (or he would have cited one).

TIME’s Joe Klein has the same complaint, this time with a New Democrat-type:

Bill Galston has a piece in The New Republic listing the reasons why Barack Obama is going to have a tough time winning reelection in November. He’s right about most of them, but wrong about the one at the very top–he buys into the political science mythology that some presidential elections are referendums on the incumbent’s record and others are straight-ahead choices. I’ve seen some elections that are referendums on the President, but those have almost always been Congressional campaigns, like 2010 and 2006 or 1994. I don’t think I’ve ever seen a presidential election that was a pure referendum, and every presidential election I’ve covered involved a choice. There are good reasons for this.

Funny how the so-called “reality-based community” abandons academics when they report findings inconvenient to liberals, ain’t it? Political scientists will tell you that Presidents get pretty much all the blame on (or credit for) the economy, even with divided government, even in presidential election years.

Plus, Klein’s historical examples as bad as his knowledge of the studies. Klein claims that “[i]n 1976, Jimmy Carter tried to make the election a referendum on Richard Nixon–and was in the process of failing at that, when Gerald Ford turned in a weak debate performance and saved the election for Carter.” Political scientist Lynn Varveck explains in her book, The Message Matters, that 1976 was an exceptional year in which Gerald Ford could not successfully campaign on the economy, precisely because Carter could make the contest a referendum on the Nixon era. Klein then claims:

1988 should have been a referendum on the Reagan presidency–Michael Dukakis surged to an early lead in the polls because people wanted a change, then crashed when he couldn’t answer a debate question about what he’d do if his wife were raped and murdered (We haven’t heard a debate like that in a while).

In reality, 1988 was a referendum on the Reagan presidency — Klein just rejects the result of that referendum. The outcome in 1988 neatly tracked the result expected from the economy. Those pesky political scientists would tell Klein early polls are not predictive, if only he would listen. But he cannot listen. If he listened, he would have to abandon his fantasy that Dukakis was somehow done in by a lousy debate answer. (Again, political scientists could tell Klein about the historically small effects that presidential debates have had on general election polls and outcomes. )

If Klein finds regression analyses and scatter plots too difficult, perhaps he can consider public opinion polling. That’s what William Galston (whom Klein criticizes) did last October:

When a president is running for reelection, the electorate is primarily motivated by its judgment of the incumbent’s job performance. Consider some Pew Research Center data on recent presidential contests.

In the spring of 1992, two-thirds of George H. W. Bush’s supporters said that they would be casting their vote for him rather than against Bill Clinton, while two-thirds of Clinton supporters said their vote reflected opposition to Bush. In the spring of 1996, 60 percent of Clinton’s supporters said they would be voting for him rather than against Bob Dole, while 60 percent of Dole’s supporters said their vote reflected opposition to Clinton. Early in 2004, more than 80 percent of George W. Bush’s supporters were for him rather than against John Kerry, while two-thirds of Kerry’s supporters were motivated by opposition to Bush.

To be sure, these numbers tend to shift during the general election as the contenders become better known. Still, by Election Day in 1996, only 47 percent of Dole’s supporters said that they were casting their vote in his favor rather than against Clinton; by election day in 2004, only 43 percent of Kerry’s supporters said that they were casting an affirmative vote for him.

Now look at the most recent Pew results, which showed Obama in a tie with Mitt Romney. About three-quarters of Obama’s support is for him rather than against Romney, while more than two-thirds of Romney’s supporters say they will cast their votes against Obama rather than for Romney.

In short, the historical data, regardless of type, points to 2012 being primarily a referendum on Obama and the economy. Galston suggests that in a general election contest against an unpopular incumbent, the main hurdles for the challenger are to appear competent and non-threatening. Instead of touting his record at every opportunity, Obama seems focused on making Romney seem scary. But if Carter couldn’t make Reagan seem scary, how successful is Obama likely to be?

This post was promoted from GreenRoom to HotAir.com.
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Impotence

Schadenfreude on April 15, 2012 at 4:31 PM

Say it LOUD……AND,…………Say it PROUD(LY)!!!!!!!

And,SING it to DA Mountians….MMM…MMM…MMM!!!

Conservatives:

YES WE WILL!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

canopfor on April 15, 2012 at 4:33 PM

ABO!

alchemist19 on April 15, 2012 at 4:34 PM

Oh Hopey/Changey…….

What the Sam H*ll,have you done lately for your
ObamaZombieVoterBots!!
(sarc)

canopfor on April 15, 2012 at 4:35 PM

Its a referendum on the evil insanity known as liberalism as practiced by elected democrats and supported by the most vile ignoramuses that vote for them

tom daschle concerned on April 15, 2012 at 4:36 PM

“It’s not about what is – it’s all about what was and what could be” — Obama 2012

“From Diapers to Depends” — Obama 2012, one voting bloc at a time.

Schadenfreude on April 15, 2012 at 4:37 PM

Most Indies know what a disaster Obama has been, and no matter how many straw men he pulls out of his arse, he can’t defend his abysmal record or his obvious distain for anything American, especially capitalism.

Slainte on April 15, 2012 at 4:38 PM

YES WE WILL!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

canopfor on April 15, 2012 at 4:33 PM

yes, we will!!!

Its a referendum on the evil insanity known as liberalism as practiced by elected democrats and supported by the most vile ignoramuses that vote for them

tom daschle concerned on April 15, 2012 at 4:36 PM

Yes, it is. Democrats/liberals are either nuts or evil, or perhaps both… sad how divisive Obozo has been..

chai on April 15, 2012 at 4:39 PM

How do you make someone as bland as Romney seem scary? The first thing that comes to mind is his Mormonism, but that’s been hashed over many times and could easily back fire. The only other thing I see is the usual Democrat scare tactics–Mediscare and the like.

Mohonri on April 15, 2012 at 4:43 PM

Barry and Axelrod are telling you it is about the squirrel behind that tree.

galtani on April 15, 2012 at 4:43 PM

Who needs a job when you get your birth control for FREE!!!

Laura in Maryland on April 15, 2012 at 4:43 PM

Liberal logic;

“We don’t believe in being judgmental, but we reserve the right to judge you when you don’t live up to our standards, and live by our rules.

“How dare you even try to judge us, and our President?”

(The “you miserable peasants” is unvoiced, but understood.)

I think that pretty much says it all.

clear ether

eon

eon on April 15, 2012 at 4:44 PM

Who needs a job when you get your birth control for FREE!!!

Laura in Maryland on April 15, 2012 at 4:43 PM

Laura in Maryland:Exactly,and while AMERICA BURNS,one could
be BIOKING themselves silly,on the dime of
Liberalism!!!!!!-:)

canopfor on April 15, 2012 at 4:48 PM

Ok, in a way, I agree, most people who pay attention will reject Obama as being a SCOAMF, but average Joe and Martha American usually votes for the more “likable” candidate, and it’s them that we need to talk to in the coming months. They are the swing voters who see all politicians as basically corrupt, and their duty is to simply vote for the lesser weevil, as the old joke goes.

So in a way, yes, Obama could still win, IF people decide they like him better than Romney.

Book on April 15, 2012 at 4:48 PM

“That voter wants to talk about jobs, the economy, the deficit, gas prices, the health care bill–in other words, all the issues where the president is vulnerable.”

We can’t have THAT now…

… can we?

/

Seven Percent Solution on April 15, 2012 at 4:50 PM

But if Carter couldn’t make Reagan seem scary

For realz. Reagan was an “actor” after all. Unserious. Lacking gravitas. He starred in a movie with a chimpanzee of all things! And he had a record of losing elections. And did you know? He used to be a “Democrat.”

And yet…Carter was even scarier. Because we knew him.

Dee2008 on April 15, 2012 at 4:50 PM

“At times it seems President Obama believes the Buffett Rule — his proposal that Americans making more than $1 million a year pay at least 30 percent in federal income taxes — is the only solution needed to solve the nation’s staggering fiscal crisis.”

Once we have the “Buffet Rule,” we will be able to end income taxes to everybody else because it will bring in so much revenue, $4 billion at last reckoning, that the federal government will wither on the vine..

J_Crater on April 15, 2012 at 5:03 PM

Come November we must remember-

4 more years to fundamentally transform The Supreme Court Of the United States.
This election is too important to stay home.
O must Go!

redridinghood on April 15, 2012 at 5:03 PM

Yes, 2012 will be (mostly) a referendum on Obama

Poor Obowma…

… couldn’t vote “present” as President.

His actions, policies, and ideology all had consequences…

… People can actually feel them when they go buy gas, food, or look for a job.

They are tangible and real…

… and for every fake “war on women” meme exposed, the weeker and desperate Obowma and the Democrats look.

Suck on it…!

Seven Percent Solution on April 15, 2012 at 5:05 PM

O must Go!

redridinghood on April 15, 2012 at 5:03 PM

redridinghood:Very Nice bumper sticker!

canopfor on April 15, 2012 at 5:11 PM

Once we have the “Buffet Rule,” we will be able to end income taxes to everybody else because it will bring in so much revenue, $4 billion at last reckoning, that the federal government will wither on the vine..

J_Crater on April 15, 2012 at 5:03 PM

J_Crater:Santelli Explains!!
=============================

Rick Santelli Criticizes Buffett Rule
*************************************
(Video-3:16)

http://www.liveleak.com/view?i=859_1334262034

canopfor on April 15, 2012 at 5:14 PM

If the goal is to make Romney the issue, the Obama messaging on this is all over the place: Romney is a flip flopper, a right-wing nut, a heartless capitalist, a woman hater, a weird Mormon, an out-of-touch rich guy. So many messages, some contradictory.

But we’re told the Chicago brain trust is unstappable. . . .

EMD on April 15, 2012 at 5:16 PM

Joe Klein from TIME is living proof that a TURD can have legs, live, eat, breath, and write.

KOOLAID2 on April 15, 2012 at 5:18 PM

Funny how the so-called “reality-based community” abandons academics when they report findings inconvenient to liberals, ain’t it?

Why do liberals reject science?

msmveritas on April 15, 2012 at 5:19 PM

For realz. Reagan was an “actor” after all. Unserious. Lacking gravitas. He starred in a movie with a chimpanzee of all things! And he had a record of losing elections. And did you know? He used to be a “Democrat.”

And yet…Carter was even scarier. Because we knew him.

Dee2008 on April 15, 2012 at 4:50 PM

First, most (if not all) politicians are actors. I believe they rarely let their guard down when in public. Second I also disagree that Reagan was unserious. Perhaps the early stages of Alheimer’s had an effect during his second term in office. Sad. I might be misguided but I continue to have a great deal of respect for Reagan and consider him the greatest American President of my life time. May I suggest some reading?
http://www.amazon.com/Reagan-His-Own-Hand-Revolutionary/dp/074320123X

DaveDief on April 15, 2012 at 5:20 PM

Mostly? Completely! Oh, look! Sparkly thingys. HT 7 %.

Bmore on April 15, 2012 at 5:22 PM

If it is truly a referendum on JEF then he is toast. No way the MBM can drag his smelly carcass across the finish line this time.

Pelosi delende est on April 15, 2012 at 5:22 PM

Instead of touting his record at every opportunity, Obama seems focused on making Romney seem scary. But if Carter couldn’t make Reagan seem scary, how successful is Obama likely to be?

And what a record it is. Not to run on — to run from.
o
The fun thing is that all the stuff that readers of this site have heard about for years will seem like new material to the political ad viewers this summer and fall.

The commercial makers need to mix in some new voices and find some new background music to replace that scary stuff they have been using in the recent ads.

So much material, only one election.

EconomicNeocon on April 15, 2012 at 5:23 PM

It’s all about the big O.

SouthernGent on April 15, 2012 at 5:23 PM

that only the stubborn or uneducated or just plain stupid voter will vote for Obama.

Voter from WA State on April 15, 2012 at 5:16 PM

I suspect he could still hit 52%

CW on April 15, 2012 at 5:24 PM

I just came back from 2 wks. in the UK. I see not much has changed. BTW, the folks I talked with there don’t care much for him either.

diogenes on April 15, 2012 at 5:26 PM

that only the stubborn or uneducated or just plain stupid voter will vote for Obama.

Voter from WA State on April 15, 2012 at 5:16 PM

I suspect he could still hit 52%

CW on April 15, 2012 at 5:24 PM

…that is what is frightening…the dumbing of America!

KOOLAID2 on April 15, 2012 at 5:29 PM

Flush the Turd 2012!

Pork-Chop on April 15, 2012 at 5:32 PM

Killer Romney commercial:

Husband and wife at the kitchen table, she’s doing some figuring.

He: How’s it look?
She: about 200
He: Wish we hadn’t invited the neighbors over for dinner tomorrow, it’s going to be cutting it close.
She: I think I have it covered.

Scene changes to alarm clock at 6am

She gets up and starts making breakfast for husband and 4 or more kids. (haunting voice of Rosen in the background as if she is recalling it in her head “she never worked a day in her life”) Baby in a highchair. Everyone heads out, one child comes back, missed he bus. She drives the kid to school, takes the baby to the doctor for a booster shot, on the way to the market has a flat, she changes it, in the rain (she never worked a day in her life). She does the shopping pulling out the coupons, register rings up $185 and a smile crosses her face. She gets home and starts dinner, husband comes home and she notices him checking the register tape from the groceries, looks at her and smiles, says “you’re the best”. Kids put to bed, dishes washed, she is making a hot relaxing cup of something for herself and clicks on the TV remote to see a news report of Hilary Rosen’s comment and as the scree shows her saying those words “she never worked a day in her life” the woman reaches down, takes off her shoe and throws it at the TV screen with a satisfied smirk.

Oh, and the family is black.

crosspatch on April 15, 2012 at 5:32 PM

It’s all about the big O.

SouthernGent on April 15, 2012 at 5:23 PM

My version. It’s all about the big 0.

Bmore on April 15, 2012 at 5:35 PM

People aren’t going to base their decision at the ballot box on nonsense like birth control.

At some point, Obama is going to be held accountable for his record, and fortunately we nominated someone that although not perfect, is not going to get bogged down in these ridiculous distractions.

BradTank on April 15, 2012 at 5:36 PM

redridinghood:Very Nice bumper sticker!

canopfor on April 15, 2012 at 5:11 PM

Or you could really make your point & go big.

http://legalinsurrection.com/2012/04/i-wonder-if-he-followed-the-supreme-court-oral-arguments/#comments

redridinghood on April 15, 2012 at 5:42 PM

Instead of touting his record at every opportunity, Obama seems focused on making Romney seem scary. But if Carter couldn’t make Reagan seem scary, how successful is Obama likely to be?

Thate easy to say now, but only bc we dodged a bullet in the primaries. We could’ve had a serial adulterer/Freddie Mac lobbyist or Captain Jesus as our candidate. In either scenario Obama’s job would’ve been much easier.

Go RBNY on April 15, 2012 at 5:44 PM

O must Go!

redridinghood on April 15, 2012 at 5:03 PM

Start the presses!

crosspatch on April 15, 2012 at 5:32 PM

Send this to Mitt’s advertising crew immediately!

PatriotGal2257 on April 15, 2012 at 5:48 PM

Here’s hoping it’s not only a referendum on the least qualified pretender to the throne we’ve ever seen but on the most corrupt and vile apparatus that put him there and allowed him to spew his inanities and called them profound.

Cleombrotus on April 15, 2012 at 5:48 PM

Campaign idea for Romney:

Instead of releasing his tax returns, just release his college transcript and masters thesis.

crosspatch on April 15, 2012 at 5:59 PM

Here’s hoping it’s not only a referendum on the least qualified pretender to the throne we’ve ever seen but on the most corrupt and vile apparatus that put him there and allowed him to spew his inanities and called them profound.

Cleombrotus on April 15, 2012 at 5:48 PM

Indeed.
After we get O out of office we will still have the Democrat controlled 4th Estate to deal with. They will have to be destroyed.

redridinghood on April 15, 2012 at 6:00 PM

Americans/race/gender/age/economics/education/union membership/energy/child rearing/abortion/condomes/hoodies=Obama’s campaign strategy.

RalphyBoy on April 15, 2012 at 6:01 PM

crosspatch on April 15, 2012 at 5:59 PM

Some good solid ideas there crosspatch. You should see if you can volunteer with the campaign. Were you able to get your “true conservative.” phrase copyrighted yet?

Bmore on April 15, 2012 at 6:03 PM

Indeed.
After we get O out of office we will still have the Democrat controlled 4th Estate to deal with. They will have to be destroyed.

redridinghood on April 15, 2012 at 6:00 PM

Yep. This. ^^^

PatriotGal2257 on April 15, 2012 at 6:05 PM

Any re-election campaign is about your performance: if you suck like an Electrolux a box of rocks is better than you are.

Usually by MAY you can tell who will get elected… look at the economy this month and next, then you get a good idea who wins the election. If the economy is not in full swing over these next two months, that is it for Obama… and if gas prices continue to hike, the vacation at home will mean lots of talk about how bad the economy is.

ajacksonian on April 15, 2012 at 6:17 PM

After we get O out of office we will still have the Democrat controlled 4th Estate to deal with. They will have to be destroyed.

redridinghood on April 15, 2012 at 6:00 PM

You can help with that by not buying/watching/reading.

Are you?

beatcanvas on April 15, 2012 at 6:18 PM

crosspatch on April 15, 2012 at 5:59 PM

Just in case you’re having difficulty placing the context of my suggestion. Here. At the 6:24 mark.

Bmore on April 15, 2012 at 6:21 PM

They can forge documents, but they can’t forge history. Can they?

faraway on April 15, 2012 at 6:22 PM

Are you?

beatcanvas on April 15, 2012 at 6:18 PM

Nope, almost a decade and counting. The only time I pay attention to them is here. Not a penny from me to them. ; )

Bmore on April 15, 2012 at 6:22 PM

crosspatch on April 15, 2012 at 5:59 PM

Some good solid ideas there crosspatch. You should see if you can volunteer with the campaign. Were you able to get your “true conservative.” phrase copyrighted yet?

Bmore on April 15, 2012 at 6:03 PM

..good ideas, hell! Get the extinguishers, the man’s on fire!

Nothing. But. Net. Today. C.P.!

The War Planner on April 15, 2012 at 6:26 PM

Just in case you’re having difficulty placing the context of my suggestion. Here. At the 6:24 mark.

Bmore on April 15, 2012 at 6:21 PM

You have a point there. But if you keep that hat on, nobody will notice.

crosspatch on April 15, 2012 at 6:26 PM

You have a point there. But if you keep that hat on, nobody will notice.

crosspatch on April 15, 2012 at 6:26 PM

No, I’m being serious. Protect it.

Bmore on April 15, 2012 at 6:28 PM

When a president is running for reelection, the electorate is primarily motivated by its judgment of the incumbent’s job performance.

Obama’s MSM acolytes can twist and turn all they want, even Barry knows he’s being judged – which explains why he talks about everything but the economy.

Matter of fact, for the 1st time in his political life, Barry is being judged on his “accomplishments”.

And will be found wanting.

GarandFan on April 15, 2012 at 6:31 PM

Instead of touting his record at every opportunity, Obama seems focused on making Romney seem scary.

Having no record on which to stand and no popular accomplishment save allowing our armed services to execute a mission to bring OBL to justice, his campaign strategy has been reduced to simply heckling Romney.

Heckling is easy. You don’t have to come up with ideas of your own. You simply sit in the peanut gallery and take pot shots at other peoples’ ideas.

That’s it, that’s all he has. He’s the “Heckler-In-Chief”.

crosspatch on April 15, 2012 at 6:35 PM

canopfor on April 15, 2012 at 5:11 PM
————————————-

Or you could really make your point & go big.

http://legalinsurrection.com/2012/04/i-wonder-if-he-followed-the-supreme-court-oral-arguments/#comments

redridinghood on April 15, 2012 at 5:42 PM

redridinghood:Good point,the stakes are high,one more Progressive
to the SCOTUS,and Team Blue will have a majority,
gawd forbid!!:)

canopfor on April 15, 2012 at 6:43 PM

That’s it, that’s all he has. He’s the “Heckler-In-Chief”.

crosspatch on April 15, 2012 at 6:35 PM

See now that one is not very good, no reason to protect it. No offense. See crosspatch the reason I copyrighted Rmoney™ is because that’s something the Dims can use against our nom. Get it?

Bmore on April 15, 2012 at 6:45 PM

Tobacco Smoke Enemas (1750s – 1810s)

The tobacco enema was used to infuse tobacco smoke into a patient’s rectum for various medical purposes, primarily the resuscitation of drowning victims. A rectal tube inserted into the anus was connected to a fumigator and bellows that forced the smoke towards the rectum. The warmth of the smoke was thought to promote respiration, but doubts about the credibility of tobacco enemas led to the popular phrase “blow smoke up one’s a-ss.”
This has been reintroduced in Washington D.C. , by the Obama Administration. It will be part of the New Health Care Program.

VorDaj on April 15, 2012 at 6:51 PM

VorDaj on April 15, 2012 at 6:51 PM

+1

That will probably be a “miracle cure” used to treat all sorts of things.

crosspatch on April 15, 2012 at 7:00 PM

Formula:

O < 0

Joe Mama on April 15, 2012 at 7:00 PM

Obama’s Secret Plan to win the 2012 election.

Dump Joe Biden and make Trayvon Martin his VP running mate. Obama will then have parts of Trayvon Martin buried in all the swing states where he can vote early and often thus providing the margin of victory.

VorDaj on April 15, 2012 at 7:01 PM

Referendum on the exchange student known as Barry Soetoro @ Occidental College. Start there & move forward. What’s to hide Carney?

BHO Jonestown on April 15, 2012 at 7:01 PM

Dump Joe Biden and make Trayvon Martin his VP running mate.

I believe we are stuck with Joey The Brain.

crosspatch on April 15, 2012 at 7:06 PM

You can help with that by not buying/watching/reading.

Are you?

beatcanvas on April 15, 2012 at 6:18 PM

Pretty much. 2008 changed everything. FNC is on the tv’s 97% of the time. Sure I still have a few vices like Trump’s Celebrity Apprentice, HGTV, The Food Network, but I do make a conscientious effort to avoid putting $ into liberal’s pockets.

redridinghood on April 15, 2012 at 7:20 PM

His Magnificence Sir Jugears McDowngrade will learn about chickens coming home to roost this November. Now where have I heard that phrase before?

hillbillyjim on April 15, 2012 at 7:26 PM

Libtards are “touchy” alright.

Jay Cost is one of the most reasonable analysts around; Ed Kilgore must have blown a gasket when he read Cost’s latest analysis of the election. I read it and thought how smart Cost is; Kilgore had to find SOMETHING, ANYTHING to try to smear Cost. It’s a sure sign that Kilgore figures that Cost is RIGHT ON THE MONEY.

I’m not one to say Obama won’t win; I know for a fact that he’ll cheat to win. Whether or not it works will be a measure of how determined Republicans are not to let him get away with cheating. In point of fact, Obama cheated in 2007-8, too. ACORN, anyone?

If he cheats again; and if Obama does win, the American people will lose–big time.

So, I hope all Republicans, conservatives, independents, and moderate to conservative Democrats will come out in droves to vote against him in November; because if you let this man win, we’re toast.

mountainaires on April 15, 2012 at 7:26 PM

Having no record on which to stand and no popular accomplishment save allowing our armed services to execute a mission to bring OBL to justice, his campaign strategy has been reduced to simply heckling Romney.

Heckling is easy. You don’t have to come up with ideas of your own. You simply sit in the peanut gallery and take pot shots at other peoples’ ideas.

That’s it, that’s all he has. He’s the “Heckler-In-Chief”.

crosspatch on April 15, 2012 at 6:35 PM

Yep. He’s a community organizer, that’s all he really knows much about. Their task as the commie Alinsky put it, is ‘to rub raw the sores of discontent’.

When it comes to actually doing anything, the community organizer type is completely incompetent and useless.

slickwillie2001 on April 15, 2012 at 7:46 PM

Want to help defeat Obama? Don’t purchase or lease ANYTHING you don’t need – durables goods, clothes, lavish summer vacations, automobiles – until October 31 or thereabouts – too late to help Obama in the economic stats.

Don’t spend your tax refund. Pay down debt or bank it.

And help spread the word. If we can get the economy to go sideways over the next 4 months, we can have greatest holiday season of our lives knowing this monster is a lame duck on his way out.

My wife wants a new stove. We will wait until Nov 1 to purchase. Current stove is still working fine. And we cancelled a summer vacation.

matthew8787 on April 15, 2012 at 7:49 PM

After we get O out of office we will still have the Democrat controlled 4th Estate to deal with. They will have to be destroyed.
redridinghood on April 15, 2012 at 6:00 PM
You can help with that by not buying/watching/reading.
Are you?
beatcanvas on April 15, 2012 at 6:18 PM

Have been for years and make a point of making sure everyone else knows it as well.

I make it my main line of attack. Hasn’t been successfully defended against yet.

Cleombrotus on April 15, 2012 at 7:58 PM

I agree that it will be difficult to impossible to make Romney look scary. I supported Santorum for a time, but I have to admit this is one important advantage of Romney.

As for Joe Klein, he is so ideological and liberal, he probably thinks Obama’s butt smells good.

WannabeAnglican on April 15, 2012 at 8:17 PM

Liberalism perverts everything it touches………

crosshugger on April 15, 2012 at 8:20 PM

Funnily enough, after doing everything but go the Full Stalin on all us rotten Kulaks out here in America, operating farms and small businesses both, Obama’s only hope for reelection lies in praying we can move this economy forward (by a lot!) between now and the beginning of November.

I don’t see it: this spring looks just like each of the last three springs, with our January hopes for better business conditions beginning to be ground into June dust. You see, Democrats, it takes work and small unintrusive government to create all that “wealth” you want to redistribute. Joe has to be allowed to practice his plumbing trade without government bullshit.

So contemplate a little electoral reality Pelosi/Reid/Obama, and lest you don’t get the message Mr. Romney please know we will be on your ass just as hard and fast as we were on the Democrats, so get to doing what needs to be done just as soon as you are inaugurated.

MTF on April 15, 2012 at 8:36 PM

Want to help defeat Obama? Don’t purchase or lease ANYTHING you don’t need – durables goods, clothes, lavish summer vacations, automobiles – until October 31 or thereabouts – too late to help Obama in the economic stats.

Don’t spend your tax refund. Pay down debt or bank it.

And help spread the word. If we can get the economy to go sideways over the next 4 months, we can have greatest holiday season of our lives knowing this monster is a lame duck on his way out.

My wife wants a new stove. We will wait until Nov 1 to purchase. Current stove is still working fine. And we cancelled a summer vacation.

matthew8787 on April 15, 2012 at 7:49 PM

Good, and above all don’t buy any UAW products, that would mean money straight into little Bammie’s election coffers.

slickwillie2001 on April 15, 2012 at 8:39 PM

Joe Klein from TIME is living proof that a TURD can have legs, live, eat, breath, and write.

KOOLAID2 on April 15, 2012 at 5:18 PM

You forgot another aspect: whine…

chai on April 15, 2012 at 8:42 PM

If Obama were a Roman Emperor he’d be Commodus, not Trajan or Constantine…

wildcat72 on April 15, 2012 at 8:48 PM

If Obama were a Roman Emperor he’d be Commodus, not Trajan or Constantine…

wildcat72 on April 15, 2012 at 8:48 PM

Haha Commodus. Maybe Urinalius.

What’s that? That was a real Roman Emperor? Oh man. The kids in school must have given him hell.
/

yongoro on April 15, 2012 at 9:07 PM

Here’s yet another reason the clown shouldn’t get another term…

http://cnsnews.com/news/article/obama-colombia-part-my-job-scout-out-where-i-may-want-bring-michelle-back-later

scalleywag on April 15, 2012 at 9:29 PM

Here’s yet another reason the clown shouldn’t get another term…

http://cnsnews.com/news/article/obama-colombia-part-my-job-scout-out-where-i-may-want-bring-michelle-back-later

scalleywag on April 15, 2012 at 9:29 PM

Wham, bam, that’s a campaign ad, thank you ma’am.

slickwillie2001 on April 15, 2012 at 9:31 PM

Those pesky political scientists would tell Klein early polls are not predictive

Of course they are not predictive and Joe Klein knows that. Early polls are about the pollsters attempting to shape, not measure public opinion. .. and that shaping almost always is done to try to get the Democrat elected or re-elected and the Republican(s) defeated. That shaping can be done by push polls, specifically worded questions, or sample skewing (which seems to be this year’s preferred favorite amongst pollsters). It is not until about 1 month or less out that the pollsters start telling the real truth. If their propaganda campaign has been successful (as it was in 2006 and 2008), then the latest polls track the earlier polls. However, if they have not been successful in convincing the public that the Republicans are just one step this side of Satan and will push grandma over the cliff while kicking small puppies out of the way, then the polls will start skewing toward the republican winning. They have to do this in order to maintain credibility so that next election, when they start the cycle all over again, people will listen to them

AZfederalist on April 15, 2012 at 9:46 PM

Haha Commodus. Maybe Urinalius.

What’s that? That was a real Roman Emperor? Oh man. The kids in school must have given him hell.
/

yongoro on April 15, 2012 at 9:07 PM

Yes, Commodus was a real Roman Emperor. His father, Marcus Arelius was one of the BEST Roman Emperors but unfortunately he wanted his idiot son to succeed him instead of “adopting” the most capable man as had happened for the century before him.

Commodus’s reign marks the END of the Pax Romana, the peak of the Roman Empire.

wildcat72 on April 15, 2012 at 10:01 PM

Forgot to add, watch “Gladiator”. It features Commodus…

wildcat72 on April 15, 2012 at 10:02 PM

Galston suggests that in a general election contest against an unpopular incumbent, the main hurdles for the challenger are to appear competent and non-threatening. Instead of touting his record at every opportunity, Obama seems focused on making Romney seem scary. But if Carter couldn’t make Reagan seem scary, how successful is Obama likely to be?

This is a big reason why Romney is going to be the nominee. It’s not merely about who can hammer ObaMao the hardest. It’s not hard to find ways to smash away at what ObaMao has already done to our nation, not to mention what he’s prepared to do if he gets a second term, in which he is no longer accountable to the voters. No, the key is which candidate is best able to withstand the inevitable attempts by ObaMao and the Left to demonize. Who is the candidate who will make people scoff at the idea that he is “too scary” to be trusted with the presidency.

In addition to his other good qualities, Romney has the most teflon. This week has demonstrated what happens to the ObaMao cadre when they attempt to go after Romney and expose themselves to counter attack.

cicerone on April 15, 2012 at 11:16 PM

cicerone on April 15, 2012 at 11:16 PM

If you watch Romney’s speech at the NRA convention, he did something right out of the Reagan playbook.

He related a story of the remains of a soldier that was being flown home to Massachusetts and how the family wasn’t notified in time to get to the airport to meet their fallen hero and asked if he could meet the airplane and accept the body on behalf of the family from the airline. He said that after all the luggage was off, the casket appeared and the state police saluted and Romney put his hand over his heart. He said he glanced at the concourse and noticed a crowd had gathered at the large glass windows attracted by all the state police activity. He said every single person in that window had their hands over their hearts.

What Romney was doing with the relating of that story is to create a uniting message and not a dividing message. It furthers the notion that he intends to be the President of the United States representing ALL Americans, not just Republicans. Rich, poor, young, old, we are all Americans and he wants to be your President.

We haven’t seen that sort of political rhetoric since Ronald Reagan related the story of the World War I soldier’s diary in his first inauguration speech

Romney’s message is going to be one of unity, of getting America working again, of not apologizing for America abroad, of being the President for ALL Americans.

crosspatch on April 16, 2012 at 1:34 AM

…“blow smoke up one’s a-ss.”…This has been reintroduced in Washington D.C. , by the Obama Administration. It will be part of the New Health Care Program.

VorDaj on April 15, 2012 at 6:51 PM

2700 pages of it.

ghostwalker1 on April 16, 2012 at 6:18 AM

…“blow smoke up one’s a-ss.”…This has been reintroduced in Washington D.C. , by the Obama Administration. It will be part of the New Health Care Program.

VorDaj on April 15, 2012 at 6:51 PM
2700 pages of it.

ghostwalker1 on April 16, 2012 at 6:18 AM

There’s a lot of scary stuff in there like amnesty, page 1847 I think it was. Whatever, they have to pass it to know what’s in it. Imagine if Bush tried to pull that crap.

tbear44 on April 16, 2012 at 7:27 AM

Liberals are getting increasingly touchy about the looming prospect of voters judging Pres. Obama’s term of office.

Every President’s second term is a referendum. If voters are generally happy with the way things are going, the incumbent gets a second term even if he has not delivered all the promises from the first term. If voters are not happy with the way things are going, the judgement will be harsher no matter what the outcome.

That is exactly where Obama finds himself seven months out from the election. He’s got to minimize his failures and make the electorate believe that things are getting better and he had everything to do with that change. Much as Axlerod and the legions of flying monkeys out there making the claim that everything is trending positive, there is no evidence of that and the public isn’t buying it. The fallback strategy, of course, is make it a personal attack against Mitt Romney but that dog won’t hunt after years of failing the American people.

Happy Nomad on April 16, 2012 at 7:32 AM

Campaign idea for Romney:

Instead of releasing his tax returns, just release his college transcript and masters thesis.

crosspatch on April 15, 2012 at 5:59 PM

Actually, that’s not a bad move, because then it becomes about Obama releases his transcripts and thesis FOR Romney’s tax returns. I’m sure team Obama will make the story die, until he has the opportunity to zing Romney in the debates over it with help from the moderator.

So, I hope all Republicans, conservatives, independents, and moderate to conservative Democrats will come out in droves to vote against him in November; because if you let this man win, we’re toast.

mountainaires on April 15, 2012 at 7:26 PM

Would that be toast with butter, peanut butter, with or without jelly?

I have a simple theory, Obama’s reelection can not stand. Period. If he’s reelected, it’s time to rethink civil war, or at least some measure of large-scale disobedience from federal authorities, laws, and statutes. There would need to be revolt from the federal government, either in large masses of people or states.

Jurisprudence on April 16, 2012 at 12:45 PM

Furthermore to the excellent analysis here, is the strategy Obama’s campaign is employing- which is revealing in many ways.

His campaign is not simply dodging the lack of accomplishments and therefore obvious weakness of Mr. Obama. They are extrapolating from these same trends you mentioned to deliberately, as seasoned professionals, run away from the extrapolated trends you mention.

This will be a referendum on the Obama and his very inept handling on the economy. Period. Folks want things to get better and if they focus on the abyssal tenure of his Presidency, it’s time for Obama to pick new curtains in Chicago…or wherever he comes from.

He can only stay in Kabul, hide behind Karzai’s skirt and walk in the shadows of giant men for so long. Ditto constantly yelling “get the rich guy” at Romney. The people of this country aren’t as stupid as Mr. Obama thinks.

Marcus Traianus on May 2, 2012 at 5:02 PM