Breaking: North Korean long-range missile test fails

posted at 7:26 pm on April 12, 2012 by Allahpundit

No links yet but that’s the screaming headline at ABC News. Their story should be up momentarily; I’ll update below as the wires start moving. An obvious question right out of the chute: Did the launch fail on the pad or in mid-flight? Remember, they launched a long-range (Taepodong) missile in 2006 too and that one failed after 42 seconds in the air, crashing into the Sea of Japan within two minutes.

Needless to say, if this thing landed on the territory of any neighboring countries then the world has itself a “situation.” Stand by.

Update: Here’s the ABC story now. They achieved lift-off, but apparently not much else:

The 90-ton rocket launched and there was a larger than anticipated flare.

U.S. officials said that the missile is belived to have crashed into the sea…

“The main audience for this missile is internal not external,” [former U.S. ambassador to South Korea Donald] Gregg said. “This is [Kim Jong Un's] way of demonstrating to the people of North Korea he is in charge and his country is capable of high tech things. It is a manifestation of his power.”

It “broke apart” shortly after the launch, U.S. officials tell CNN. Japan was prepared to shoot it down.

Update: According to WaPo, U.S. officials say the test “may” have failed. Hmmmm.

Update: Just three days ago, CNN got a copy of a report by South Korean intel officials claiming there are signs that the North’s preparing for a new nuclear test too.

Update: Yochi Dreazen of National Journal has quickie background on how the U.S. and NK went from a tentative agreement on February 29 to restore food aid in exchange for an end to missile and nuclear tests to the NorKs firing this one off in defiance of western criticism. A provocative theory: Was there a “miscommunication” inside the North Korean government about U.S. intentions?

Flake said he believes North Korea’s government—thrown into disarray by the recent death of its paramount leader, Kim Jong Il—suffered a major communications breakdown, with the Beijing team’s agreement to forgo a satellite launch not adequately conveyed to the political and military leadership back in Pyongyang.

“There was a screw-up within the North Korean government,” Flake said. “It seems likely that the information didn’t flow back correctly.”

Revere, by contrast, believes that North Korea’s top leadership in Pyongyang accurately understood what the two teams had discussed in Beijing but were all the while preparing to ignore the ban on satellite launches. Revere, now a senior director of the Albright Stonebridge Group, believes the North Koreans seriously misjudged the U.S. response.

“The calculation they made was that the other elements of the agreement—like the freeze on uranium enrichment and nuclear weapons testing—would cause the U.S. to moderate its reaction or eventually come back to the table,” he said. “They convinced themselves that those elements were so valuable that the U.S. couldn’t just walk away from the agreement.”

Hard to square the miscommunication theory with the conventional wisdom about Kim going through with this as a show of strength for his domestic audience. Then again, if you assume that he’s largely a figurehead (at least for the moment) and that various military interests are jockeying for position behind the throne, maybe the miscommunication theory isn’t so far-fetched. Could be that the left hand either doesn’t know what the right hand is doing or is acting independently.

Update: A few more technical details from the Journal:

About 90 seconds into flight, roughly the time its first stage should have burned out and second stage kicked in, the rocket flared brightly and apparently exploded, according to ABC News, which cited U.S. defense officials. Parts fell into water near South Korea’s Jeju Island, South Korean media reported.

A South Korean Defense Ministry spokesman said the rocket “seems to have fallen apart” minutes after launch.

A successful flight would have lasted about 10 minutes, with the rocket’s third stage entering space somewhere between the Philippines and Indonesia, according to plans sent by North Korean space officials to international aviation and maritime authorities.

The Security Council will meet as early as tomorrow to issue the obligatory strongly-worded statement.

Update: Let’s say the NorKs had managed to launch this thing without a hitch and that it completed its 10-minute flight path before landing in the ocean. What incentive would leaders in the west (or the east, for that matter) have to report a successful long-range missile test by NK? All it would do is heighten panic over North Korea’s intentions, and the greater the panic, the greater the risk that South Korean or Japanese leaders would be forced into some sort of brinksmanship with Pyongyang that would end in a catastrophic war. The international consensus on NK has typically been to avoid poking the hornet’s nest for fear of what might fly out if you do. Confirming a successful test would, almost necessarily, require subsequent poking. That’s not to say western officials or anyone else are lying about tonight’s launch having gone bust, but I am curious as to why they’d report it accurately if they could keep it quiet and in so doing keep the public off their back while they plot a strategic response. In the interest of avoiding greater bloodshed, the world already looks the other way at the concentration camps run by the Kim family. If they’re willing to grudgingly tolerate something as filthy as that in the name of “peace,” why wouldn’t they fib about a missile test?

Update: Red State’s Jeff Emanuel finds the silver lining.


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Commie impotence!!!

Schadenfreude on April 12, 2012 at 7:28 PM

ACME strikes again!

CurtZHP on April 12, 2012 at 7:28 PM

Just in time for the 100th birthday, heh!!!

Schadenfreude on April 12, 2012 at 7:28 PM

I hope that failure is the result of a SM-3 coming up to meet it. hehe

McBaine on April 12, 2012 at 7:29 PM

Damn those Capitalist pigs! It’s all their fault!!!

franciscodanconia on April 12, 2012 at 7:30 PM

You mean to say that North Korea’s gestures of reconciliation toward a Democratic president looking for a foreign policy legacy were just a farce, and that the regime really had no intention of moderating its brinksmanship?

You must be a neocon!

HitNRun on April 12, 2012 at 7:30 PM

Awww, couldn’t get his dong up…..

Wethal on April 12, 2012 at 7:30 PM

North Korean bottle rocket goes bust.

wildcat72 on April 12, 2012 at 7:30 PM

My childhood model rocket program was more successful than these Norks.

Mark1971 on April 12, 2012 at 7:30 PM

Via South Korea the U.S. should have been prepared to shoot it down, if successful.

Schadenfreude on April 12, 2012 at 7:30 PM

Kill all the educated!!! Gulags!! Reeducation camps!!!! No intellectual property!!!! Aww Shiite….DUCK

WryTrvllr on April 12, 2012 at 7:30 PM

How do you say “stuxnet” in Korean?

cozmo on April 12, 2012 at 7:31 PM

Another little Stuxnix surprise?

That’s what you get for borrowing technology from the Iranians, junior.

Wethal on April 12, 2012 at 7:31 PM

Obama to send food, pronto, so the commie swine ‘leaders’ can eat, and their people can starve.

Lefties are not liberal or progressive, never.

“We couldn’t get it up, but it was a total orgasm” — N. Korean news release

Schadenfreude on April 12, 2012 at 7:32 PM

Oh man, the commies failed ?
Hussein will be sooooooo sad tonite …

burrata on April 12, 2012 at 7:32 PM

Fox News saying it landed in the water. Did not make it to stage 3.

Weight of Glory on April 12, 2012 at 7:32 PM

Jus rike Chevy volt. All show and no go.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uhSYbRiYwTY

arnold ziffel on April 12, 2012 at 7:32 PM

there was a larger than anticipated flare.

The Chevy Volt of missiles!

Chuck Schick on April 12, 2012 at 7:32 PM

Better pick up the pieces…

The Nerve on April 12, 2012 at 7:32 PM

I hope it didn’t tip over Guam.

Mark1971 on April 12, 2012 at 7:33 PM

Ha ha!

/Nelson Lutz

Broke up in midflight? Quality control, folks.

rbj on April 12, 2012 at 7:33 PM

Awww, couldn’t get his dong up…..

Wethal on April 12, 2012 at 7:30 PM

Projectile dysfunction ?

burrata on April 12, 2012 at 7:33 PM

All the major powers had a string of failures before they got things straightened out. That’s why it’s called rocket science.

pedestrian on April 12, 2012 at 7:33 PM

What a letdown!

ProudPalinFan on April 12, 2012 at 7:33 PM

Third stage said to have failed—-launch now garners nickname, Buffet-Rosen stage.

Rovin on April 12, 2012 at 7:33 PM

Hmm, airborne laser perhaps? Nah, I doubt Obama has the stones.

bictech on April 12, 2012 at 7:34 PM

Losers

Fezzik on April 12, 2012 at 7:34 PM

Marty McFly: Doc, you don’t just walk into a store and buy plutonium– did you rip that off?

Doc: Shhhhhh. Of course. From a group of Libyan Korean nationalists. They wanted me to build them a bomb, so I took their plutonium and in turn, gave them a shiny bomb-casing filled with used pinball machine parts.

portlandon on April 12, 2012 at 7:34 PM

Fox has confirmed: failed and landed in the water.

Weight of Glory on April 12, 2012 at 7:34 PM

Back to the drawing board Weather.com.

OldEnglish on April 12, 2012 at 7:34 PM

“This is [Kim Jong Un's] way of demonstrating to the people of North Korea he is in charge and his country is capable of high tech things. It is a manifestation of his power.”

Son, I think you’ll have a problem there.
Maybe dad shouldn’t have bumped off all those smart guys. huh?

katy the mean old lady on April 12, 2012 at 7:34 PM

How long until Obama claims credit for this?

GaltBlvnAtty on April 12, 2012 at 7:34 PM

What a pathetic craphole of a country. All progressive roads lead to North Korea.

Marxism is for dummies on April 12, 2012 at 7:35 PM

It’s gonna be a bad night for certain rocket scientists tonight.

squint on April 12, 2012 at 7:35 PM

Premature stage separation.

Steve Eggleston on April 12, 2012 at 7:35 PM

All the major powers had a string of failures before they got things straightened out. That’s why it’s called rocket science.

pedestrian on April 12, 2012 at 7:33 PM

Because they didn’t have other’s to copy. Reverse engineering ala China.

WryTrvllr on April 12, 2012 at 7:36 PM

I blame Bush.

JackForce on April 12, 2012 at 7:37 PM

Just today they gave the young thug extra titles, just in time for his grandpa’s 100th birthday.

Schadenfreude on April 12, 2012 at 7:37 PM

Taepodong fail!
The engines are propelled by nodong. They really are.

Rusty Allen on April 12, 2012 at 7:37 PM

Barack Obama, “If I had founded a country, it’d look like North Korea.”

Capp on April 12, 2012 at 7:38 PM

They keep shooting missiles into the sea.

Why do the Norks hate the sea?

Bitter Clinger on April 12, 2012 at 7:38 PM

Breaking: North Korea long-range missile test fails

Hey just who’s in charge of this mickey mouse outfit?

Dr Evil on April 12, 2012 at 7:38 PM

Iran, big loser today.

Obama big loser too.

Japan was ready to shoot down. Why wasn’t the U.S. ready to do the same?

Oh, and Fluke the Chinese.

Schadenfreude on April 12, 2012 at 7:39 PM

Ah, communism. What can you do?

Vera on April 12, 2012 at 7:40 PM

Israeli sabotage! Them Jews! Them Jews!

BigAlSouth on April 12, 2012 at 7:41 PM

Capp on April 12, 2012 at 7:38 PM

Comment of the Day™

Steve Eggleston on April 12, 2012 at 7:41 PM

“This is [Kim Jong Un's] way of demonstrating to the people of North Korea he is in charge and his country is capable of high tech things. It is a manifestation of his power.”

Or, at least the ruling cabal’s way of demonstrating that they can pull strings.

Count to 10 on April 12, 2012 at 7:41 PM

Carney: “Which missile launch? I saw 3 today.”

faraway on April 12, 2012 at 7:41 PM

North Korea had announced it would send a three-stage rocket mounted with a satellite as part of celebrations honoring national founder Kim Il Sung, whose 100th birthday they are celebrating Sunday.

Die again, and may all the commies die for you, instantly.

Schadenfreude on April 12, 2012 at 7:41 PM

LOL another smashing disaster for central planning.

WisCon on April 12, 2012 at 7:42 PM

They keep shooting missiles into the sea.

Why do the Norks hate the sea?

Bitter Clinger on April 12, 2012 at 7:38 PM

If they keep this up, the oceans will rise……oh wait.

WryTrvllr on April 12, 2012 at 7:42 PM

U.N. to convene tomorrow, really,…to consume H2O and waste oxygen.

Schadenfreude on April 12, 2012 at 7:43 PM

It was hit by the evil Mossad Joo ray; dunked in the mikvah of DOOM!!!

Rixon on April 12, 2012 at 7:44 PM

Update: Just three days ago, CNN got a copy of a report by South Korean intel officials claiming there are signs that the North’s preparing for a new nuclear test too.

Let’s hope to hell they don’t try to use the same potato peeler they used to launch the rocket.

squint on April 12, 2012 at 7:44 PM

Awww, couldn’t get his dong up…..

Wethal on April 12, 2012 at 7:30 PM

Gee, thanks Wethal. Now I have to clean the screen from the soda I just spewed when I nearly choked laughing out loud for real!

Chappy on April 12, 2012 at 7:45 PM

Type O dong?

Sounds like medical pron.

Rixon on April 12, 2012 at 7:45 PM

Meanwhile, let me predict the way this will be characterized in North Korea: “The glorious Korean people have successfully launched a weather satellite into orbit. Young Leader Kim made key modifications that made the launch a success. Following the launch, rainbows that only showed shades of revolutionary red and were seen around the country and wild birds simultaneously began singing the Korean People’s National Anthem displaying nature’s approval.”

Tremor on April 12, 2012 at 7:46 PM

Nodong really does mean Nodong in Korean…Huh.

Battlecruiser-operational on April 12, 2012 at 7:47 PM

Getting it up isn’t so tough; it’s keeping it up that is the challenge. Or so I’ve been told.

GaltBlvnAtty on April 12, 2012 at 7:47 PM

Carney: “Which missile launch? I saw 3 today.”

Heh heh.

Battlecruiser-operational on April 12, 2012 at 7:47 PM

Some poor Nork General’s family is going to loose their food allowance over this.

Socratease on April 12, 2012 at 7:48 PM

Well, the NKs did not have the services of the German rocket scientists, like we did. Can anybody remember the names of all the unsuccessful rocket systems that failed on the pad in our early years? The NKs probably will succeed eventually. Don’t let your hubris bring you down.

Old Country Boy on April 12, 2012 at 7:49 PM

Type O dong?

Sounds like medical pron.

Rixon on April 12, 2012 at 7:45 PM

No, tae-po-dong. Its a different type o dong.

bernverdnardo1 on April 12, 2012 at 7:49 PM

Just today they gave the young thug extra titles, just in time for his grandpa’s 100th birthday.

Schadenfreude on April 12, 2012 at 7:37 PM

And today is just three days shy of the first and only voyage of the Titanic. Coincidence? Maybe…

Moose Drool on April 12, 2012 at 7:49 PM

Relevant

Anyway, there’s going to be a few Nork engineers added to the local prison camp tomorrow.

JetBoy on April 12, 2012 at 7:50 PM

Obama: “I personally shot down this rocket”

faraway on April 12, 2012 at 7:50 PM

Getting it up isn’t so tough; it’s keeping it up that is the challenge. Or so I’ve been told.

GaltBlvnAtty on April 12, 2012 at 7:47 PM

keeping it up for more than 42 seconds that is ..
I too have been told

burrata on April 12, 2012 at 7:51 PM

Someone is gonna get thrown under the bus tonight in N. Korea. Unfortunately, their bus is real.

rubberneck on April 12, 2012 at 7:51 PM

Type O dong?

Sounds like medical pron.

Rixon on April 12, 2012 at 7:45 PM

No, tae-po-dong. Its a different type o dong.

bernverdnardo1 on April 12, 2012 at 7:49 PM

Did someone say dong? What?

JetBoy on April 12, 2012 at 7:51 PM

“War on Missles”…!

.. Oh, wait!

Seven Percent Solution on April 12, 2012 at 7:53 PM

Seriously, though, perhaps we tested some SDI on it? Not that the military needed SCOAMF’s go ahead, right?

Think the movie Real Genius.

Rixon on April 12, 2012 at 7:53 PM

It broke up in the 1st phase, worse than the previous test/s.

Schadenfreude on April 12, 2012 at 7:53 PM

NASA: “We can just make out the writing on the missile… War on Women”

faraway on April 12, 2012 at 7:53 PM

Did someone say dong? What?

JetBoy on April 12, 2012 at 7:51 PM

Must have been one hell of pubic hair to knock that Dong off.

Rixon on April 12, 2012 at 7:54 PM

In other news, 50 people and their entire families got sent to the NoKo death camps for disappointing the most greatest leader ever.

I shouldn’t make lite of the suffering that goes on within their borders…some of the images and stories that do leak out are simply grotesque.

Cloture on April 12, 2012 at 7:54 PM

Hmm. I don’t know whether to hope it really failed or somebody shot it down.

Tc0061 on April 12, 2012 at 7:55 PM

You are worthless Alec Baldwin!

MechanicalBill on April 12, 2012 at 7:55 PM

Ooooh…. fireworks….

Hog Wild on April 12, 2012 at 7:55 PM

Fail, but only the outside world knows this.

Bmore on April 12, 2012 at 7:55 PM

Burried at sea, like Osama…well, not so sure about the latter.

Schadenfreude on April 12, 2012 at 7:56 PM

Well, the NKs did not have the services of the German rocket scientists, like we did. Can anybody remember the names of all the unsuccessful rocket systems that failed on the pad in our early years? The NKs probably will succeed eventually. Don’t let your hubris bring you down.

Old Country Boy on April 12, 2012 at 7:49 PM

http://www.astronautix.com/articles/thelures.htm

pedestrian on April 12, 2012 at 7:56 PM

Leftists unite! The missile hit a whale.

faraway on April 12, 2012 at 7:57 PM

Were the parts stamped “MADE in KOREA”…to tick off the people living in the South?

KOOLAID2 on April 12, 2012 at 7:58 PM

The rocket launch appears to have fallen victim of a premature escalation.

Knott Buyinit on April 12, 2012 at 7:58 PM

I Aim For the Stars (but mostly hit London)

by Werner Von Braun

Rixon on April 12, 2012 at 7:58 PM

Gee, thanks Wethal. Now I have to clean the screen from the soda I just spewed when I nearly choked laughing out loud for real!

Chappy on April 12, 2012 at 7:45 PM

Sorry. :)

Wethal on April 12, 2012 at 7:59 PM

In best Simpson’s Nelson voice:

HAHA!

thirtyandseven on April 12, 2012 at 8:00 PM

Boy! Pelosi sure got her hair cut short…and where’s her gavel?

KOOLAID2 on April 12, 2012 at 8:00 PM

And the rockets’ Red glare,
the 2nd stage bursting in air,
Gave proof thro’ the night
that the commie idiots were still there.

faraway on April 12, 2012 at 8:00 PM

Hey, they needed that satellite, they dont get the weather channel over there. How elese are they suppose to watch out for earthquakes

LiberalGenius on April 12, 2012 at 8:01 PM

The missile achieved Scrotched status one minute after
launch!!
==========

North Korea satellite launch
****************************

http://www.breakingnews.com/topic/north-korea-satellite-launch

canopfor on April 12, 2012 at 8:01 PM

“The main audience for this missile is internal not external,” [former U.S. ambassador to South Korea Donald] Gregg said. “This is [Kim Jong Un's] way of demonstrating to the people of North Korea he is in charge and his country is capable of high tech things. It is a manifestation of his power.”

So they gave their people a fireworks show. As long as they clamp down tight enough, they can tell them the satellite is working perfectly.

logis on April 12, 2012 at 8:02 PM

********************* ComeUppance ***************************

canopfor on April 12, 2012 at 8:03 PM

Well, the NKs did not have the services of the German rocket scientists, like we did. Can anybody remember the names of all the unsuccessful rocket systems that failed on the pad in our early years? The NKs probably will succeed eventually. Don’t let your hubris bring you down.

Old Country Boy on April 12, 2012 at 7:49 PM

To be sure, but it’s the build up and spin that make it so enjoyable.

WryTrvllr on April 12, 2012 at 8:03 PM

These people can’t launch a rocket and we’re worried about them launching an attack on us? Seriously?

manwithblackhat on April 12, 2012 at 8:05 PM

Barack Obama, “If I had founded a country, it’d look like North Korea.”

Capp on April 12, 2012 at 7:38 PM

knock on wood…he can turn ours into NK…

jimver on April 12, 2012 at 8:05 PM

An hour after North Korea’s rocket launch apparently failed, this is how state TV is covering it:

http://pic.twitter.com/CWfU8tlY

http://twitter.com/#!/northkoreatech/status/190584279774937088/photo/1
====

http://www.northkoreatech.org/

canopfor on April 12, 2012 at 8:05 PM

Thanks to our own Dear Leader, Barack Noblame Obama, the test has failed. Let there be free government cheese and circuses!

minnesoter on April 12, 2012 at 8:06 PM

The Security Council will meet as early as tomorrow to issue the obligatory strongly-worded statement.

Crack that whip, Security Council!

squint on April 12, 2012 at 8:06 PM

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