Could Christie’s high approval rating put New Jersey in play for Romney?

posted at 10:26 am on April 11, 2012 by Ed Morrissey

If so, it would be quite a coup for Chris Christie, the famously combative chief executive in the Garden State.  New Jersey hasn’t gone Republican in a presidential election since 1988, when George H. W. Bush won his only term in the White House.  Then again, the state hasn’t had a Republican governor with this kind of popularity in a very long time, either:

New Jersey voters still approve 59 – 36 percent of the job Christie is doing, his best score ever. Approval is 92 – 6 percent among Republicans and 64 – 32 percent among independent voters. Democrats disapprove 64 – 30 percent.

Christie is more of a leader, 54 percent of voters say, while 39 percent say he is more of a bully. …

New Jersey voters approve 58 – 35 percent of the way Christie is handling the state budget and support his proposed 10 percent across-the-board state income tax cut 54 – 32 percent.

This is even more impressive when one considers the advantages Democrats have in the state.  They control both chambers of the legislature by 3:2 ratios.  In the 2009 election that put Christie into office, Democrats had a ten-point advantage in the exit polling, 41/31/28, and Christie only won 8% of the Democratic vote.  His disapproval number is now lower than the Democratic turnout in that election, at 39%, although it’s within the margin of error in the survey.

Jammie Wearing Fool thinks this could put New Jersey in play for Republicans in the fall — and might convince Romney to pick him as a running mate:

There isn’t a Democrat in the state who could beat him in 2013 if he remains above 50%.  At the same time, such popularity in what’s normally a solid blue state for Democrats could encourage Romney to go with him as VP.

I’m skeptical about the running-mate idea, but it’s certainly possible.  Christie is more personally popular with conservatives in the GOP than Romney is, but his positions may not be once they get a thorough airing.  Also, while Christie’s combative style works well in New Jersey, it may not sell as well outside of the Garden State, and it might have the unintended effect of overshadowing the man at the top of the ticket.  Finally, putting another Northeastern moderate on the ticket doesn’t make for good regional politics, although it’s been argued that the need to consider geography in running-mate choices has declined in recent decades.  Bill Clinton and Al Gore were both Southerners, and they won two terms in office, as one example.

Whether this puts New Jersey in play is even murkier, but that might not be the point anyway.  Democrats probably wouldn’t spend money in the state under normal circumstances; thanks to the registration advantages they have, it should be a solidly blue state in national elections.  Christie’s popularity will force them to divert resources to protect the 14 electoral votes at risk, which gives them fewer options for other swing states.  And if New Jersey really is in play in 2012, that means that Barack Obama will be in serious trouble across a wide range of swing states.


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“Shut up fatty mcfatster butter pants blimpie who’s fat and likes butter!”

-sensitive lib

Bishop on April 11, 2012 at 10:28 AM

So, Romney takes New Jersey. And maybe some other states in the Northeast Corridor. The race is already won!//

Scriptor on April 11, 2012 at 10:30 AM

Bishop on April 11, 2012 at 10:28 AM

salt Bishop, not butter.

upinak on April 11, 2012 at 10:31 AM

At least force the Democrats to spend money there.

NoDonkey on April 11, 2012 at 10:31 AM

I agree. I love Christie as Governor of NJ. But he would not work as a running mate.

WannabeAnglican on April 11, 2012 at 10:32 AM

Wishful thinking, IMO. As tantalizing as it is to consider the possibility of Romney taking the state, it ain’t gonna happen. Corzine was already unpopular during the 2009 elections, and that was a wave year for Republicans winning governorships. While they may have elected a Republican governor this time, that was a more local election. NJ will be solidly blue for Obama.

As for Christie as VP, I give it a good solid HECK NO. He’s doing more good as governor than he would do as VP, and while he’s doing fairly well at fiscal policy, he has lots of positions that aren’t very conservative, gun control being one of them.

Mohonri on April 11, 2012 at 10:33 AM

Uppereastside hardest hit.

hillsoftx on April 11, 2012 at 10:33 AM

Christie is too “northeasterny” to be a good running mate for Romney. The campaign needs to cement the South or Southwest by picking a native son or daughter from one of those regions.

I really have a hard time believing that NJ is in play.

Happy Nomad on April 11, 2012 at 10:34 AM

“Shut up fatty mcfatster butter pants blimpie who’s fat and likes butter!”

-sensitive lib Mark Levin

Bishop on April 11, 2012 at 10:28 AM

Fixed it for you, sadly.

KingGold on April 11, 2012 at 10:35 AM

The Dim-o-crats will have to spend big bucks to defend New Jersey this time around. Good!

cicerone on April 11, 2012 at 10:35 AM

Christie remaining NJ’s Gov: Good

Chrisite on ticket with Mitt: Fuhgetboutit

Bitter Clinger on April 11, 2012 at 10:35 AM

Christie could help Romney in PA. Especially the eastern third where he really needs it.

forest on April 11, 2012 at 10:35 AM

Uppereastside hardest hit.

hillsoftx on April 11, 2012 at 10:33 AM

And Hoboken is safe.

Bitter Clinger on April 11, 2012 at 10:36 AM

Christie’s leadership style is the kryptonite to Obama’s lead-from-behind style (in other words, his lack of leadership). The more Christie is out there applying the flamethrower to Obama’s effete style of governance, Bammy looks weak.

I’m sure Romney will be putting Christie out there in a pseudo-VP role, just ripping into Obama. When the real VP comes along, and then you add Palin’s pinpoint attacks, you’re going to have a three-headed monster relentlessly attacking our pathetic President.

Should be fun.

You Lefty Loser trolls better get plenty of rest. You’re going to be very busy defending this mess of a Prez.

EMD on April 11, 2012 at 10:36 AM

Mitt is going to have a hard enough time against Obama, Christie would absolutely guarantee a EPIC Romney loss.

SWalker on April 11, 2012 at 10:38 AM

I don’t know if I want Christie as the VP. Certainly he’s on the shortlist, but Ryan and Jindal would be ahead of him for me. Do VP picks even matter in terms of picking up states anymore? When’s the last time that happened? LBJ in 1960?

Just have Christie out there stumping for Mittens like he’s already doing. It may not swing New Jersey to the GOP column, but if Obama and the Dems have to waste precious resources there just to make sure they hold onto the state, so much the better.

Doughboy on April 11, 2012 at 10:39 AM

Wow, I had no idea his approval ratings were that high.

changer1701 on April 11, 2012 at 10:39 AM

I remember here on HA back in 2008 where people were predicting NJ, NY, PA, yadda yadda yadda were “in play”. Didn’t happen then and it won’t happen now. Keep dreaming.

inthemiddle on April 11, 2012 at 10:39 AM

Christie is more of a leader, 54 percent of voters say, while 39 percent say he is more of a bully. …

I’ll bet that a high percentage of that 39% calling him a bully are either hard-left Dems or unionized employees like teachers who are used to rolling the state in negotiations.

teke184 on April 11, 2012 at 10:39 AM

You Lefty Loser trolls better get plenty of rest. You’re going to be very busy defending this mess of a Prez.

EMD on April 11, 2012 at 10:36 AM

Watching the ban hammer fall as they realize they are losing will be SWEET!

Roy Rogers on April 11, 2012 at 10:40 AM

At the very least, make Dear Liar defend a blue state’

rbj on April 11, 2012 at 10:40 AM

Mitt is going to have a hard enough time against Obama, Christie would absolutely guarantee a EPIC Romney loss.

SWalker on April 11, 2012 at 10:38 AM

As we all know, a conservative pro-lifer who has a track record of winning independents in blue states will just be a ginormous disadvantage to Romney.

Seriously, do you people hit “preview” and read your work before you post?

KingGold on April 11, 2012 at 10:40 AM

The Christie factor will help. But the key to winning NJ, and everywhere else, in 2012 will be to maintain a tight hard focus on Obama’s RECORD. The Obama camp (and his media tools) will fight furiously, and sleazily, to keep attention away from that record. But the GOP candidate and his promoters must not allow it. They must brush away all of the red herrings and strawman arguments shoveled their way in the weeks ahead, and hold tight to Obama’s skinny throat: It’s the record, stupid.

minnesoter on April 11, 2012 at 10:41 AM

If Rmoney™ is the nom, he will win NJ.

Bmore on April 11, 2012 at 10:42 AM

I dont think so. But if Romney puts money into the state, Obama might have to divert money to NJ (meaning ad buys in NY and Philly markets), which could prevent him from spending money elsewhere.

However, with that said, if Romney is able to tie Obama to Corzine, and ignore social issues, he might have a shot, and most importantly, the Senate seat might become a pick-up opportunity as well.

milcus on April 11, 2012 at 10:42 AM

Could Christie’s high approval rating put New Jersey in play for Romney?

I suppose more info is needed to answer that question. Such as the President’s current approval rating in NJ?

EconomicNeocon on April 11, 2012 at 10:42 AM

Two RINOs on a ticket is a guarantee for and my family to stay home

social-justice on April 11, 2012 at 10:42 AM

This NJ resident doesn’t see the state turning red for a Presidential election anytime soon. I’m not even sure it would be in play if Romney chose Christie as his running mate.

Right Mover on April 11, 2012 at 10:42 AM

Seriously, do you people hit “preview” and read your work before you post?

KingGold on April 11, 2012 at 10:40 AM

There’s a reason they call it “astro turfing.”

Roy Rogers on April 11, 2012 at 10:43 AM

Another NE Rino story.

KBird on April 11, 2012 at 10:43 AM

No way Christie will be VP.

He’s doing good things in NJ, he should stick around a bit longer so they don’t get wiped out as soon as he leaves.

Ukiah on April 11, 2012 at 10:45 AM

Mittens needs a conservative VP choice…hell, look what Palin did for McCain. She was the only reason that the race was even close. Christie is not a conservative…a Republican, yes; a conservative hell no.

search4truth on April 11, 2012 at 10:45 AM

It could work — until people discover that except for fiscal matters, Christie is pretty much a liberal Northeasterner on all other issues, including Sarah Palin. Although, to be fair, I believe I did read somewhere that Christie is resisting the imposition of Obamacare on New Jersey in the face of threats and blackmail from the Obama gang.

Scriptor on April 11, 2012 at 10:45 AM

New Jersey may be in play for Romney and Christie would be an asset in that regard but it’s not what would put NJ in Romney’s camp.

I think many will be surprised at how much people dislike Obama and want nothing to do with him. Blue collar or white collar, the working man won’t vote for Obama this time.

Vince on April 11, 2012 at 10:47 AM

As we all know, a conservative pro-lifer who has a track record of winning independents in blue states will just be a ginormous disadvantage to Romney.

Seriously, do you people hit “preview” and read your work before you post?

KingGold on April 11, 2012 at 10:40 AM

A Conservative on the Romney ticket would help Romney, Christie isn’t a Conservative. He’s a moderate at best.

SWalker on April 11, 2012 at 10:48 AM

At the very least, make Dear Liar defend a blue state’

rbj on April 11, 2012 at 10:40 AM

Exactly. Make him spend some time there. Spend some money, etc.

We need to do an all out assault on any state that shows any hint of vulnerability.

blatantblue on April 11, 2012 at 10:48 AM

He’s a moderate at best.

SWalker on April 11, 2012 at 10:48 AM

facepalm..

blatantblue on April 11, 2012 at 10:49 AM

And Hoboken is safe.

Bitter Clinger on April 11, 2012 at 10:36 AM

He is a fraud and will lose when he is up for reelection.

Uppereastside on April 11, 2012 at 10:50 AM

This NJ resident doesn’t see the state turning red for a Presidential election anytime soon. I’m not even sure it would be in play if Romney chose Christie as his running mate.

Right Mover on April 11, 2012 at 10:42 AM

I just thought about what I said and what you wrote, and I agree.

Anyone who thinks New Jersey is in play needs to go to Camden, Newark, Trenton, Jersey City, Elizabeth, Atlantic City, Patterson, etc..

Then tell me that it is not a miracle Christie won and has an approval rating of over 50%.

milcus on April 11, 2012 at 10:50 AM

Anyone who thinks New Jersey is in play needs to go to Camden, Newark, Trenton, Jersey City, Elizabeth, Atlantic City, Patterson, etc..

Then tell me that it is not a miracle Christie won and has an approval rating of over 50%.

milcus on April 11, 2012 at 10:50 AM

Hey, you forgot Asbury Park!

:P

blatantblue on April 11, 2012 at 10:50 AM

facepalm..

blatantblue on April 11, 2012 at 10:49 AM

Maybe you should try looking at Christies actual record before facepalming yourself.

SWalker on April 11, 2012 at 10:51 AM

He is a fraud and will lose when he is up for reelection.

Uppereastside on April 11, 2012 at 10:50 AM

I can almost hear your teeth grinding.

Vince on April 11, 2012 at 10:51 AM

He is a fraud and will lose when he is up for reelection.

Uppereastside on April 11, 2012 at 10:50 AM

Guess we’ll see about that in 2013.

Bitter Clinger on April 11, 2012 at 10:52 AM

This is even more impressive when one considers the advantages Democrats have in the state.

Democrats are screwed

Roy Rogers on April 11, 2012 at 10:53 AM

Hey, you forgot Asbury Park!

:P

blatantblue on April 11, 2012 at 10:50 AM

I forgot a lot of cities.

NJ is the epitome of either really good middle to upper class neighborhoods that will go Republican or big cities where most of the people depend on government and will never go Republican.

It really is sad how liberals like Menendez, Lautenberg and Pallone represent so many people whose interests they could literally not care any less about.

milcus on April 11, 2012 at 10:54 AM

Could Christie’s high approval rating put New Jersey in play for Romney?

Short answer: No

Lost in Jersey on April 11, 2012 at 10:54 AM

I nominate Allen West as Vice President of the United States! :)

evilned on April 11, 2012 at 10:54 AM

I lived in New Jersey for a while. Christie is the in-your-face character that they go for. I do not think he would play well in other parts of the country.

Having said this I do believe that Romney has a better chance of taking some blue states than the typical republican nominee.

The things that make him WEAKER in Red states make him stronger in blue.

I did not say he would take blue states=just that he is stronger

gerrym51 on April 11, 2012 at 10:54 AM

Two RINO on the ticket is will not be good. Mitt needs a good conservative VP so he can get conservatives to volunteer for his campaign.

BroncosRock on April 11, 2012 at 10:55 AM

Sodom (NY) and Gomorrah(NJ) have been a lost cause for years

social-justice on April 11, 2012 at 10:55 AM

Approval is 92 – 6 percent among Republicans and 64 – 32 percent among independent voters. Democrats disapprove 64 – 30 percent.

Disapproval is 100% among people with their eyes open who see a billboard sized coward who wouldn’t sign onto the anti-Obamacare brief and who put an Islamist and terrorist lawyer on a NJ county bench.

He’s the perfect analog to Romney, someone who’s outsized approval ratings belie the fraud underneath for quite some time. But like Romney, that will catch up to him.

Western_Civ on April 11, 2012 at 10:55 AM

A Conservative on the Romney ticket would help Romney, Christie isn’t a Conservative. He’s a moderate at best.

SWalker on April 11, 2012 at 10:48 AM

You probably think Marco Rubio’s a moderate too.

KingGold on April 11, 2012 at 10:57 AM

Good grief. Those of you claiming that you’re gonna stay home and not vote for Romney, please remove your head from your rectum. Romney wasn’t in my top 5 list of GOP contenders, but I’m sure as hell voting for him in November. Enthusiastically.

I get it. We weren’t able to get a rock-ribbed conservative this primary season – so get over it. Letting Obama and his minions run this country into the ground is worth it to you people?

Common Sense Floridian on April 11, 2012 at 10:57 AM

Huge Obama bundler and former NJ senator and governor John Corzine is sure to help Obama carry the state!

/sarc

Roy Rogers on April 11, 2012 at 10:57 AM

I know its not the conventional wisdom… but, really and truly, do regional considerations really matter any more?

I live in Alabama, and I really couldn’t care less if we had someone from the South on the ticket.

So, now, people’s impression of ideology has become the new regional consideration.

Some Conservatives don’t think Romney is conservative enough… so, he has to pick someone who is a Conservative SuperStar.

Not sure I quite agree with that either.
My position is evolving. ;-)

I now think I Presidential Candidate should choose as a running mate someone who they identify with and someone they could trust to take the reins if something should happen to them.

That’s a much less pragmatic sentiment than I usually enjoy espousing… but I guess I am just a walking contradiction.

RightWay79 on April 11, 2012 at 10:58 AM

You probably think Marco Rubio’s a moderate too.

KingGold on April 11, 2012 at 10:57 AM

In other words, you haven’t checked Christies actual record and can only resort to ad hominem attacks. Here, educate yourself, if that’s even possible.

Chris Christie the Moderate.

SWalker on April 11, 2012 at 11:01 AM

The most important attribute for Romney’s running mate will be the ability to take the argument to the people in clear, direct, convincing terms. Rubio would be very good at that, as would Ryan, Christie, and Gingrich. A solid conservative would also bring that important attribute to the ticket, helping to solidify and energize the base. On balance, I think Rubio would be the best choice, but Romney could certainly do worse than Christie.

It’s hard to say if Christie would actually put NJ into play if he were the VP nominee. I don’t think that possibility is enough reason to pick him, though.

JayDick on April 11, 2012 at 11:01 AM

Alternate headline: Will Cousin Pookie stay on the couch for Chris Christie a 2nd time????

questions./

ted c on April 11, 2012 at 11:02 AM

Disaster if Romney picks Christie. While Christie is a much better small government conservative on economic issues, he is still awful on other issues of freedom (cap and trade, gun control, etc.).

besser tot als rot on April 11, 2012 at 11:02 AM

Blue on blue. Heartache on Heartache…..

portlandon on April 11, 2012 at 11:03 AM

I live in NJ and doubt that Romney could win here given the amount of people on the dole. Christie won because people hated Corzine. Christie is hampered by the fact the legislature is controlled by the Democrats. The only reason he has been able to get some changes is because of New jersey’s financial situation. Every city in the state with few exceptions is a slum controlled by unions and democrats.

kozmo on April 11, 2012 at 11:05 AM

SWalker on April 11, 2012 at 11:01 AM

It seems that because he’s moderate on gun policy and environmental policy, his staunchly conservative fiscal policy and pro-life stand don’t count at all. Ergo, RINO.

It’s an ad hominem attack in that I’m saying that your standards are unreasonable. Because they are.

KingGold on April 11, 2012 at 11:08 AM

Also, isn’t Menendez up for re-election as NJ Senator? Should be in play to win that seat as well. However, both New Jersey and Pennsylvania have teased many times before…

SouthernGent on April 11, 2012 at 11:09 AM

Wow, I had no idea his approval ratings were that high.

changer1701 on April 11, 2012 at 10:39 AM

He was able to get a 2% cap on property taxes passed. Property taxes were going up around 6-7%/year for the previous 10 years.

That, in and of itself, was huge here. He is the first governor in years who is an advocate for the taxpayer.

jersey taxpayer on April 11, 2012 at 11:09 AM

Christie is hampered by the fact the legislature is controlled by the Democrats. The only reason he has been able to get some changes is because of New jersey’s financial situation.

kozmo on April 11, 2012 at 11:05 AM

Exactly why they may vote for Romney.

Vince on April 11, 2012 at 11:10 AM

It seems that because he’s moderate on gun policy and environmental policy, his staunchly conservative fiscal policy and pro-life stand don’t count at all. Ergo, RINO.

It’s an ad hominem attack in that I’m saying that your standards are unreasonable. Because they are.

KingGold on April 11, 2012 at 11:08 AM

I called the man a MODERATE, which is EXACTLY what he is, how is that even remotely unreasonable.

SWalker on April 11, 2012 at 11:13 AM

Also, isn’t Menendez up for re-election as NJ Senator? Should be in play to win that seat as well. However, both New Jersey and Pennsylvania have teased many times before…

SouthernGent on April 11, 2012 at 11:09 AM

He is. Last I saw he was up 51-38. However, the guy he is running against has zero name recognition in NJ. So, that is probably a lost cause.

In PA, I do think that Obama is in play and maybe Santorum will consider running for his old seat, and maybe might beat Bob Casey (although unlikely, for reasons I do not get since Casey has been a pretty poor Senator).

milcus on April 11, 2012 at 11:14 AM

You people are delusional. Obama is winning Virginia by 5-10% and people are talking about Romney winning New Jersey? If you’re in dreamland let’s pretend he has a shot at Vermont and Hawaii too.

angryed on April 11, 2012 at 11:16 AM

What Christie has going for him is his ability to call it like it is, and not be afraid to use tough language THAT PEOPLE UNDERSTAND. As someone who lives & votes in NJ, I appreciate this about him, but in no way do I think he’s right for the VP job.

Like Palin, I think he is best utilized to help explain to average people, prone to falling under Obama’s spell and believing his BS about Republicans wanting to eat your babies, how it REALLY is. Why the problems Obama has created/exasperated are bad for EVERY-BODY.

Unlike McCain, I believe Romney is capable of communicating why fiscal conservative policies benefit everyone. I just don’t think that people will believe him. Utilize Christie, but from the outside. We don’t need to be distracted by the left creating yet another “war” (War on Teachers?)

Violina23 on April 11, 2012 at 11:18 AM

So will Romney support the mosque at Ground Zero as well?

angryed on April 11, 2012 at 11:19 AM

Unlike McCain, I believe Romney is capable of communicating why fiscal conservative policies benefit everyone. I just don’t think that people will believe him. Utilize Christie, but from the outside. We don’t need to be distracted by the left creating yet another “war” (War on Teachers?)

Violina23 on April 11, 2012 at 11:18 AM

In 4 years as governor, Romney
– increased taxes by $550M
– increased spending by 26%
– RomneyCare, ’nuff said

Romney talking about fiscal policies benefiting everyone is like a serial areonist talking about how fire prevention programs benefit everyone.

angryed on April 11, 2012 at 11:22 AM

I actually saw Tom Moran write an article in our local NJ paper (Star Ledger I think it was) saying the GOP needs Christie to “restore sanity” to the party or something like that.

Dash on April 11, 2012 at 11:25 AM

I love Chris C. He’s a great New Jersey Republican, in the same way that Rudy Giuliani is a great New York Republican. It’s the best (i.e. most conservative) we can hope for in those states for the time being, but we can do better nationally.

rogaineguy on April 11, 2012 at 11:27 AM

Short answer: No

Lost in Jersey on April 11, 2012 at 10:54 AM

Have to agree. I mean it’s possible I guess to make it at least a little bit close? In my area he’d get like 10% of the vote. Not sure about other areas of the state.

Dash on April 11, 2012 at 11:29 AM

It seems that because he’s moderate on gun policy and environmental policy, his staunchly conservative fiscal policy and pro-life stand don’t count at all. Ergo, RINO.

It’s an ad hominem attack in that I’m saying that your standards are unreasonable. Because they are.

KingGold on April 11, 2012 at 11:08 AM

Christie has anything but a staunchly conservative fiscal policy.

Exhibit A:

Let me throw some numbers at you…

2010 – $29.8B

2011 – $28.3B

2012 – $29.7B

These figures are the amounts of the past three state budgets. But let’s put these numbers into context. The FY 2010 budget (Gov. Corzine’s last) included about $2.3B in federal stimulus dollars, while the FY 2011 budget included $1.03B in federal monies. Otherwise, these budgets would have been about $27.5B and $27.0B, respectively.

The FY 2011 budget, on the surface, appears to decrease spending by $1.5B as compared to FY 2010. But as our Taxpayers’ Budget for 2011 pointed out, this “decrease” was a ruse; primarily a function of a $3B pension deferral and more than $1B in cuts to state aid.

The federal stimulus dollars ran dry last year, yet the FY 2012 budget increased to $29.7B.

Since Gov. Christie took office, state spending has been on the rise. And if the governor has his way, it will rise even further.

Yesterday, Gov. Christie addressed a joint session of the state Legislature in which he outlined his budget proposal for FY 2013. The price tag? $32.1 BILLION! If enacted, the FY 2013 budget would represent an increase of more than 8% over last year’s budget. And overall spending, excluding federal stimulus dollars, would be up more than 15% relative to Gov. Corzine’s final 2010 budget.

In the coming days, more details regarding the governor’s budget proposal will emerge and require further inspection. But as of now this budget is far from austere and does nothing to rein in the Trenton behemoth. To the contrary, it grows government even further…and seems to conjure up an image of a boomerang, back to Corzine-like spending levels, rather than reflect a “New Jersey Comeback.”


Exhibit B
:

New Jersey is about to pour $100 MILLION in taxpayer subsidies into a risky scheme to install windmills off of New Jersey’s coast!

The Beacon Hill Institute cost analysis of this misguided project shows…

• The project would produce a net cost of $3.245 billion to New Jersey, within a range of $2.106 billion and $4.137 billion,

• New Jersey’s electricity prices will increase by 2.1 percent, in 2017, within a range of 0.5 percent and 4.2 percent; and

• From 2017 to 2036, the average household ratepayer will pay $431 in higher electricity costs; while the average commercial ratepayer will pay an extra $3,054 and the average industrial ratepayer an extra $109,335

And the 2% cap on property tax increases is a ruse. It addresses a symptom without any significant work on the underlying problem. Populist gimmick.

Look, for NJ he is what he is, but on a national level, he’s not what any of you out there want. There is no way … none … that Jersey won’t go for zero in November. Stop kidding yourselves.

Lost in Jersey on April 11, 2012 at 11:29 AM

I wish the RNC would run some ads in California. There is such anger and discontent here…the GOP will never win here until they educate people first. It’s a Dem echo chamber here now, and we need a coherent message in opposition.

PattyJ on April 11, 2012 at 11:32 AM

Even if he couldn’t secure New Jersey, he’s a solid pick for VP.

Christie is about as perfect as an attack dog as you can find, and I could see him resonating with Reagan Democrats in states like Ohio, Pennsylvania, and Michigan.

All Romney/Christie would have to do is outperform Bush in 2004 by about 2 points to win. If any ticket could do it, they could, and if NJ goes “red” there’s absolutely no way Obama doesn’t lose the White House.

BradTank on April 11, 2012 at 11:33 AM

He is. Last I saw he was up 51-38. However, the guy he is running against has zero name recognition in NJ. So, that is probably a lost cause.

milcus on April 11, 2012 at 11:14 AM

Correct me if I’m wrong, but we still have a primary here in Jersey to determine the R candidate but I assume you’re speaking of Kyrillos. He’s former state Republican chair. Certainly the establishment pick, but better than the dwarf partisan hack we’ve got currently.

DUMP MENENDEZ!

Lost in Jersey on April 11, 2012 at 11:38 AM

Lost in Jersey on April 11, 2012 at 11:29 AM

Christie is conservative like Romney is conservative. They both raised spending in ways that made Democrats of their states blush.

For Mitt-bots and Chritsie-Bots(?) it seems like just saying I AM CONSERVATIVE is enough. Never mind their records are to the left of most Democrats.

angryed on April 11, 2012 at 11:44 AM

All Romney/Christie would have to do is outperform Bush in 2004 by about 2 points to win. If any ticket could do it, they could, and if NJ goes “red” there’s absolutely no way Obama doesn’t lose the White House.

BradTank on April 11, 2012 at 11:33 AM

2004: VA went Bush by 8%

2012: VA is polling +8 for Obama

This is VA that voted Republican in every election from 1968 to 2004. And this once solid red state is now a lock for Obama.

But yeah, given that, Romney will win NJ, a state that went for Obama by 20% last time.

You people are beyond delusional.

angryed on April 11, 2012 at 11:46 AM

2004: VA went Bush by 8%

2012: VA is polling +8 for Obama

This is VA that voted Republican in every election from 1968 to 2004. And this once solid red state is now a lock for Obama.

But yeah, given that, Romney will win NJ, a state that went for Obama by 20% last time.

You people are beyond delusional.

And uber-conservative Republican McDonnell won VA by 20 points.
As much as you would like to believe that Obama’s election was a realignment, it wasn’t.

BradTank on April 11, 2012 at 11:55 AM

Correct me if I’m wrong, but we still have a primary here in Jersey to determine the R candidate but I assume you’re speaking of Kyrillos. He’s former state Republican chair. Certainly the establishment pick, but better than the dwarf partisan hack we’ve got currently.

DUMP MENENDEZ!

Lost in Jersey on April 11, 2012 at 11:38 AM

Honestly, I am not overly familiar with NJ politics because they are kind of boring, but I am speaking of Kyrillos.

However, in NJ, 51% for the incumbent is not overly impressive. And if Christie gains traction, the Republican might be able to get enough traction to put the seat in play.

And Menendez has also been a rather mundane Senator.

milcus on April 11, 2012 at 12:01 PM

All States are “in play”. We just need to get the word out stronger in states where their heads are too far up their butts, and they’ll pull the Obama lever for the lie of hope & change Big Govt. America’s freedom is over if Obama wins another term.

kirkill on April 11, 2012 at 12:02 PM

And uber-conservative Republican McDonnell won VA by 20 points.
As much as you would like to believe that Obama’s election was a realignment, it wasn’t.

BradTank on April 11, 2012 at 11:55 AM

But a poll 7.5 months before an election that had glaring holes in it said that Obama was winning Virginia, big. This election is over. Time to look ahead to 2028.

milcus on April 11, 2012 at 12:03 PM

milcus on April 11, 2012 at 12:03 PM

One socialist at a time. Obama won’t win Virginia without the dead rising from their graves.

Roy Rogers on April 11, 2012 at 12:18 PM

But a poll 7.5 months before an election that had glaring holes in it said that Obama was winning Virginia, big. This election is over. Time to look ahead to 2028

I hate to burst your bubble but How far down was Reagan to Carter at this time of the election cycle. Also what was the composition of the poll that you cited? 7 1/2 months is a long time. This contest has only begun. When the good people of Virginia start getting an educational ad blitz about Obama and his record it will certainly tighten up.

buckeyerich on April 11, 2012 at 12:31 PM

We need to get serious. NJ is not in play. In 2004, Bush really hurt himself campaigning and spending money trying to pull NJ, HI, and PA to the GOP, instead of focusing on WI (which was real close), and locking up his states.

Also looking at the polling this far out is pointless, as the Democrats are locked in on their candidate, while GOP voters are just now starting to come to terms with Romney.

One final point, the GOP and Romney need to do better outreach to minority groups (especially Asians who are a natural GOP constituency, but the GOP has done little in the way of outreach).

Also food for thought, in 2000, Muslims gave Bush 88% of their vote, and even in 2004, they went for Bush 64%. Jews meanwhile gave Bush 22% in 2000, and 27% in 2004.(I know I will be called a “Paul-bot” for pointing this out.) And no I am not suggesting we “pander” to Muslims.

Raquel Pinkbullet on April 11, 2012 at 12:40 PM

Are there alot of Laurel and Hardy re-runs in New Jersey?

KOOLAID2 on April 11, 2012 at 12:48 PM

Gov. Bob McDonnell wants voting legislation changed to eliminate a provision that would allow voters without identification to cast ballots if they are recognized by a poll worker. Link

Obama is screwed in Virginia

Roy Rogers on April 11, 2012 at 12:49 PM

that Christie is resisting the imposition of Obamacare on New Jersey in the face of threats and blackmail from the Obama gang.

Scriptor on April 11, 2012 at 10:45 AM

if christie were seriously resisting obamacare he wouldve had NJ in the lawsuit the scotus just heard. the guy is a squish outside of some fiscal matters.

chasdal on April 11, 2012 at 12:51 PM

However, in NJ, 51% for the incumbent is not overly impressive. And if Christie gains traction, the Republican might be able to get enough traction to put the seat in play.

And Menendez has also been a rather mundane Senator.

milcus on April 11, 2012 at 12:01 PM

This actually has some semblance of realism. Ask Jersey peeps who Menendez is and you’ll get a lot of … “who?”. Christie’s approval rating would actually help in a Senate race and he and Kyrillos have been friends for a long time. Also the moochers are getting their goodies, so they’re not jazzed up to get to the polls. Complacency among those on the dole may put this seat in play.

One tough hurdle for Kyrillos to get over is Menendez’s draw with much of the latino community based solely on race. Unfortunate reality.

I would love nothing more than to send this chump packing. Supporting him gives me something to do since I can’t really get excited about a Willard presidential candidacy, unless I flee for a more free state somewhere south of the Mason-Dixon before the election.

Lost in Jersey on April 11, 2012 at 1:03 PM

As a native NJ resident, I concur with my fellow NJ hot air posters that Romney has no shot in winning NJ.

Even if Romney picked Christie as his VP, NJ would still go to Obama. Christie is good for NJ but his style would turn off the rest of the country. (Sorry Ann Coulter.)

RedRobin145 on April 11, 2012 at 1:04 PM

One socialist at a time. Obama won’t win Virginia without the dead rising from their graves.

Roy Rogers on April 11, 2012 at 12:18 PM

Yeah, I know. That was just a shot at Ed and his defeatist attitude. It has not been 24 hours since Romney has been the nominee, but he has already declared the election over.

milcus on April 11, 2012 at 1:08 PM

I would love nothing more than to send this chump packing. Supporting Opposing him gives me something to do since I can’t really get excited about a Willard presidential candidacy, unless I flee for a more free state somewhere south of the Mason-Dixon before the election.

Lost in Jersey on April 11, 2012 at 1:03 PM

FIFM

Lost in Jersey on April 11, 2012 at 1:10 PM

This actually has some semblance of realism. Ask Jersey peeps who Menendez is and you’ll get a lot of … “who?”. Christie’s approval rating would actually help in a Senate race and he and Kyrillos have been friends for a long time. Also the moochers are getting their goodies, so they’re not jazzed up to get to the polls. Complacency among those on the dole may put this seat in play.

One tough hurdle for Kyrillos to get over is Menendez’s draw with much of the latino community based solely on race. Unfortunate reality.

I would love nothing more than to send this chump packing. Supporting him gives me something to do since I can’t really get excited about a Willard presidential candidacy, unless I flee for a more free state somewhere south of the Mason-Dixon before the election.

Lost in Jersey on April 11, 2012 at 1:03 PM

A semblence? I will take it.

Yes, most people have no clue who Menendez is because he has been a fairly inconsequential Senator. I know more about his daughter, and her positions, than I do about him, and his positions. He is essentially a rubber-stamp for anything Reid wants, and not much else.

And yes, defeating Menendez will be tough:

1. He is a latino and his appeal there is strong.
2. Kyrillos has no name recognition, and most people dont know anything about what he wants to do.
3. Many people in NJ refuse to use their brains when voting.

However, if Romney is strong, and Christie puts in the effort, a guy at 51% in NJ is not impossible to beat.

milcus on April 11, 2012 at 1:16 PM

Christie could help Romney in PA. Especially the eastern third where he really needs it.

forest on April 11, 2012 at 10:35 AM

Good point–most media coverage of New Jersey politics is through the NYC and Philly markets. People in the Philly suburbs will hear about what Christie is doing.

Still, I don’t think Christie would be a good VP pick–Romney needs somebody from the Midwest or Florida to try to pick up swing states such as OH, MI, and WI, and/or FL.

Steve Z on April 11, 2012 at 1:22 PM

And Hoboken is safe.

Bitter Clinger on April 11, 2012 at 10:36 AM

Hey, what’s wrong with Hoboken? I went to college there, and Frank Sinatra grew up there!

Steve Z on April 11, 2012 at 1:26 PM

I found the numbers for this question highly interesting:

22. Regardless of how you feel about Christopher Christie’s policies, would you say you like or don’t like Christopher Christie as a person?

The Like/Don’t Like number for blacks is 44% to 38%. I’m not sure why blacks overall like Christie as a person — they like his policies (31/61) less than the average Democrat. Maybe some local factor? Maybe too small a sample? At any rate, it’s just a surprising — and encouraging — number.

bobs1196 on April 11, 2012 at 1:33 PM

If Romney were to win in New Jersey it would mean that he was on his way to a massive blowout nationwide.

paulus1 on April 11, 2012 at 1:34 PM

However, if Romney is strong, and Christie puts in the effort, a guy at 51% in NJ is not impossible to beat.

milcus on April 11, 2012 at 1:16 PM

I agree completely.

This much I can guarantee … my county will deliver for the R nominee.

Lost in Jersey on April 11, 2012 at 1:37 PM

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