Why does Wisconsin matter?

posted at 7:00 pm on April 2, 2012 by Steve Eggleston

This morning, Republican National Committee chair (and Wisconsin native) Reince Priebus penned a memo on why the fight over Wisconsin, and very specifically Governor Scott Walker, matters (emphasis in the original):

Tomorrow, Wisconsin Republicans will go to the polls to cast their first ballots to end Barack Obama’s presidency. Obama might have felt safe in Wisconsin after an impressive 400,000 vote victory in 2008, but a closer look shows Wisconsin’s 10 Electoral Votes in 2012 very much in play.

First of all, Obama’s margin of victory in 2008 was the exception rather than the rule in recent presidential elections. President George W. Bush came within a hair of winning Wisconsin each time he tried–narrowly losing by just over 5,000 votes in 2000 and just over 11,000 votes in 2004. In 2008, many Wisconsin voters, like voters across the country, bought the “hope and change” message that Candidate Obama was selling. But President Obama’s results haven’t provided the kind of change that voters were looking for, and Wisconsinites took notice….

Now we’re doing it (the “it” being setting up for another successful turnback of the Democrats’ attempt to regain power) again–helping Governor Walker prevail in Big Labor’s latest attempt to recall someone. So far in 2012 our volunteers have made over a million calls to Wisconsin voters. They’re collecting voter ID information and helping voters see this special interest interference for what it is. We’re opening new victory centers across the state each month; we’re making more investments into our data; and we’ve set the wheels in motion on a sophisticated and aggressive turnout program that will leave no stone unturned.

By June, when Governor Walker is victorious again, we’ll have a confident and battle-tested ground organization with four straight victories under our belts. That organization will be ready to pounce on the president and other Democrats on the ballot with him in November. What will the Democrats have? They’ll have the remnants of a dispirited, losing 2010 operation–and special interests who poured tens of millions of dollars outside cash into the state with nothing to show for it.

Indeed, 4 of the 6 straight Democrat Presidential victories were by fewer than 4 percentage points, and the last time the Democrat Presidential candidate won by more than that, the following election cycle produced the closest race in Wisconsin’s history.

I have seen estimates that the May 8/June 5 cycle of recalls against Gov. Walker, Lt. Gov. Rebecca Kleefisch, and state Senators Scott Fitzgerald, Pam Galloway (since retired, with Rep. Jerry Petroski running on the Republican side instead), Terry Moulton and Van Wanggaard will see total spending of up to $100 million, with a majority of that being spent by the Democrats and their union allies. They are spending like there’s no tomorrow because, if they go 0-6, there really isn’t one for them.

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Wisconsin (Gaza North) doesn’t matter. Ever. To anyone.

Bishop on April 2, 2012 at 7:03 PM

Seriously?

Why does Wisconsin matter?

To keep Minnesota from sliding into Lake Michigan.

:-)

coldwarrior on April 2, 2012 at 7:06 PM

I think Walker will win (I hope, please G-d) but either way, the leftists will have blown an awful lot of there war chest on this battle.

Go Scott!

Rixon on April 2, 2012 at 7:08 PM

Because my beloved Packers hale from there.

Bmore on April 2, 2012 at 7:09 PM

Walker is a goner…

“A new Rasmussen poll finds that Republican Wisconsin Scott Walker is in trouble of being recalled June 5, with a majority, 52 percent, saying they will vote him out less than two years after he took office and immediately went to work to cut the power of public service unions.

The poll revealed a remarkable shift from February when 54 percent of Wisconsin voters said they would vote against the recall. In today’s poll, just 47 percent said they would vote against recalling the governor. Details will be released at 1 p.m.

Worse for Walker: 53 percent disapprove of his job as governor with a whopping 46 percent saying they “strongly disapprove” of Walker. Majorities of both men and women now support his recall. Rasmussen found that his support among Republicans and conservatives remains strong.

The recall, set for June 5, followed the governor’s effort to limit collective bargaining rights for some public union members.”

gumbyandpokey on April 2, 2012 at 7:10 PM

I’m worried more about Kleefisch than Walker. He’s got the money and the machine working for him, and he’s helping her out as well, but the national attention naturally isn’t as focused down the line. Boss Emeritus had a good piece on that last week.

I’m thinking that Walker will hold though, which means at least we can hang on playing defense for the next couple of years, even if there won’t be any more opportunities to further the reforms.

Gingotts on April 2, 2012 at 7:10 PM

the unions see this as an opportunity to silence any R anywhere when it comes to PEU. Very simple. Pour all your money in WI…and if it works they’ll be living off the benefits for decades. Pols have long memories, and a deep fondness for living large as an elected official.

It is not just about WI.

r keller on April 2, 2012 at 7:11 PM

Ground Zero.

NeoKong on April 2, 2012 at 7:13 PM

Because my beloved Packers hale hail from there.

Bmore on April 2, 2012 at 7:09 PM

The adjective, however, is perfect.

wolfsDad on April 2, 2012 at 7:22 PM

Because my beloved Packers hale from there.

Bmore on April 2, 2012 at 7:09 PM

Because my beloved Packers hail from there.

Correct?

Bmore on April 2, 2012 at 7:24 PM

The adjective, however, is perfect.

wolfsDad on April 2, 2012 at 7:22 PM

Thank you, I just noticed it. English is not my strong suit, I am trying to improve. ; )

Bmore on April 2, 2012 at 7:25 PM

Le Oops!
——-

@KellyO tweeted:
****************

“He is first unapologetic leftist living in WH and must be the last”

says RNC Chair @ReincePriebus on Pres. Obama at WI dinnerStory

Submitted Mar. 31, 2012, 9:50 p.m. from twitter.com/KellyO
http://www.breakingnews.com/topic/2012-elections
================================================

canopfor on April 2, 2012 at 7:26 PM

Because we’re holding off the advance of Illinois and Minnesota towards becoming a communist superstate.

MadisonConservative on April 2, 2012 at 7:26 PM

Notice the Scott Walker signs behind Mittens!!
———————————————–

Image:
******

Mitt Romney tells supporters his “uphill battle” may be over “now we’re looking like we’re gonna win this thing on Tues”

@kellyoStory
Submitted Mar. 31, 2012, 7:31 p.m. from yfrog.com by editor
http://www.breakingnews.com/topic/2012-elections
=================================================

http://yfrog.com/kfmjdvmj

canopfor on April 2, 2012 at 7:30 PM

Is there a primary for the lt. governor election? It appears that if not, Kleefisch will be up in May, while Walker’s contest won’t be until June. Correction welcomed.

wolfsDad on April 2, 2012 at 7:34 PM

Wisconsin is the least of the Reublican Party’s problems…DUMP MITT NOW!

Pragmatic on April 2, 2012 at 7:36 PM

Wisconsin is the least of the Republican Party’s problems…DUMP MITT NOW!

Pragmatic on April 2, 2012 at 7:37 PM

Wisconsin matters, because that’s where the bubblers are.

WhatNot on April 2, 2012 at 7:42 PM

Wisconsin matters because Federalism starts at the states. If the states continue to bankrupt themselves filling the coffers of Public employee unions, the nation will eventually go bankrupt too. Wisconsin is the poster child of the 2010 Tea Party election. The general public needs to be shown that limiting spending has led to better outcomes or the fiscal responsibility movement will fail.

KW64 on April 2, 2012 at 8:03 PM

Why does Wisconsin matter?

Because it is test of strength for the public sector unions leading into the national elections.

Happy Nomad on April 2, 2012 at 8:03 PM

Is there a primary for the lt. governor election? It appears that if not, Kleefisch will be up in May, while Walker’s contest won’t be until June. Correction welcomed.

wolfsDad on April 2, 2012 at 7:34 PM

There are a bunch of commies lined up for the Lt. Gov nomination for the NSDWP – WI. They view the position as a cush paycheck without responsibilities. Lt. Gov. Kleefisch actually works and earns her check – a first for any Lt. Gov.

the botnet on April 2, 2012 at 8:14 PM

Wisconsin (Gaza North) doesn’t matter. Ever. To anyone.

Bishop on April 2, 2012 at 7:03 PM

Birthplace of the Republican Party.

Macrobreweries 15,000+ barrels annually

Located in Door County, Egg Harbor, has one liquor outlet for every nine residents.

Wisconsin produces about a quarter of America’s cheese

A large part of the state’s manufacturing sector includes commercial food processing, including well-known brands such as Oscar Mayer, Tombstone frozen pizza, Johnsonville brats, and Usinger’s sausage. Kraft Foods alone employs over 5,000 people in the state.

The birthplace of The Lombardi Trophy.

Green_Bay_Packers on April 2, 2012 at 8:14 PM

Why does Wisconsin matter?

Some of the finest people on hot air were born there… *ahem*

St. Mary’s Hospital, Madison, near the zoo so I’m told, over and over again.

Hold on Wisconsin. My agnostic prayers are for you to hold onto Governor Walker tomorrow and keep your state turning back towards sanity and fiscal restraint. I’m in purgatory, nah, it’s hell in Illinois, wish I could go back to God’s country. There are so many nutcases in Madison but so many other good people scattered throughout the state. Hold On Wisconsin! Show the unions you are not afraid of them.

Fallon on April 2, 2012 at 8:19 PM

Wisconsin matters, because that’s where the bubblers are.

WhatNot on April 2, 2012 at 7:42 PM

Crimeny, just go over the crick and past the stop and go light, you’ll see the bubbler on the left near the Piggly Wiggly.

Fallon on April 2, 2012 at 8:23 PM

the botnet on April 2, 2012 at 8:14 PM

Whew. Thanks for the info.

wolfsDad on April 2, 2012 at 8:24 PM

Birthplace of the Republican Party.

Depends on who you talk to. Jackson MI also claims that accomplishment.

I honestly think the birthplace is less important than where the heart of the party belongs.

Happy Nomad on April 2, 2012 at 8:29 PM

This New Yorker says Wisconsin is crazy if they let Gov Scott Walker go. I wish we had a Govenor brave enough to stand up to the teacher’s unions. And Walker is right. The unions had a monopoly on healthcare for teacher’s. He did what needed to be done to end that. And it just seems like we went through too much, with the protests and the fleebaggers and the Judicial election and all that drama. It would be so sweet to have the recall fail.

magicbeans on April 2, 2012 at 8:36 PM

Crimeny, just go over the crick and past the stop and go light, you’ll see the bubbler on the left near the Piggly Wiggly.

Fallon on April 2, 2012 at 8:23 PM

That’s right. Over dere on County X by P by Q, dere.

Mr. D on April 2, 2012 at 8:39 PM

Wisconsin (Gaza North) doesn’t matter. Ever. To anyone.

Bishop on April 2, 2012 at 7:03 PM

F.U.

M240H on April 2, 2012 at 8:40 PM

gumbyandpokey on April 2, 2012 at 7:10 PM

The internals of that 3/27 Rasmussen poll are a bit “hosed”. Nearly a quarter of “conservatives” adopted the liberal positions, more than double that of any other poll, be it previous Rasmussen or other companies’ contemporary polls.

Steve Eggleston on April 2, 2012 at 8:45 PM

I’m worried more about Kleefisch than Walker. He’s got the money and the machine working for him, and he’s helping her out as well, but the national attention naturally isn’t as focused down the line. Boss Emeritus had a good piece on that last week.

I’m thinking that Walker will hold though, which means at least we can hang on playing defense for the next couple of years, even if there won’t be any more opportunities to further the reforms.

Gingotts on April 2, 2012 at 7:10 PM

That remindds me; Michelle posted a follow-up on Saturday.

Steve Eggleston on April 2, 2012 at 8:48 PM

My apologies to Wisconsin for the remark I made earlier.

Actually have a fond memory or two about Wisconsin. There was this road trip from Southeast Ohio to Steven’s Point to pick up a van full of beer, in my much younger college days.

Excellent beer.

Not a lot of memories of the trip back to Ohio, though.

coldwarrior on April 2, 2012 at 8:53 PM

“The internals of that 3/27 Rasmussen poll are a bit “hosed”. Nearly a quarter of “conservatives” adopted the liberal positions, more than double that of any other poll, be it previous Rasmussen or other companies’ contemporary polls.”

But why would Rasmussen “hose” the poll?

And, iirc, he did pretty well in WI in both the Governor and Senate races in 2010.

gumbyandpokey on April 2, 2012 at 8:57 PM

Wisconsin (Gaza North) doesn’t matter. Ever. To anyone.

Bishop on April 2, 2012 at 7:03 PM

Such a jealous hater.

chewmeister on April 2, 2012 at 8:59 PM

Wisconsin (Gaza North) doesn’t matter. Ever. To anyone.

Bishop on April 2, 2012 at 7:03 PM

F.U.

M240H on April 2, 2012 at 8:40 PM

you forgot to include the horse she rode in on (or maybe the horse was in charge…hard to tell).

teejk on April 2, 2012 at 9:28 PM

Wisconsin (Gaza North) doesn’t matter. Ever. To anyone.

Bishop on April 2, 2012 at 7:03 PM

If we were like Gaza we would launching some Quassum rockets over the St. Croix and Mississippi. Not that it would make any noticeable difference.

lowandslow on April 2, 2012 at 10:11 PM

Forced union states are wacked.

mike_NC9 on April 2, 2012 at 10:46 PM

If we were like Gaza we would launching some Quassum rockets over the St. Croix and Mississippi. Not that it would make any noticeable difference.

lowandslow on April 2, 2012 at 10:11 PM

That must be why the bridge on 94 is clogged with cheeseheads coming for…..well you know, jobs every morning.

Minnfidel on April 2, 2012 at 11:16 PM

That must be why the bridge on 94 is clogged with cheeseheads coming for…..well you know, jobs every morning.

Minnfidel on April 2, 2012 at 11:16 PM

And Minnesota’s insane political climate is why that bridge on 94 is clogged with Cheeseheads going back to the land of cheese and beer every evening.

Steve Eggleston on April 3, 2012 at 1:31 AM

But why would Rasmussen “hose” the poll?

And, iirc, he did pretty well in WI in both the Governor and Senate races in 2010.

gumbyandpokey on April 2, 2012 at 8:57 PM

I’m sure you have heard of the term “outlier”. Sometimes, it just happens. That is why the margin of error comes with its own caveat of applying only 90% of the time.

Steve Eggleston on April 3, 2012 at 1:32 AM

This may be the 2nd most important election in the country. If Walker loses, no politician will make the tough decisions necessary to make things right. Walker did what no Democrat could have done and the unions are trying to take it all away. If the voters let them get away with it, the country is going to pay.

bflat879 on April 3, 2012 at 8:39 AM

Walker is a goner…

gumbyandpokey on April 2, 2012 at 7:10 PM

Gee gumby, I think Rasmussen is wrong this time

Half of Wisconsin voters say they have a favorable opinion of the governor, according to a POLITICO poll, and 45 percent say they see him unfavorably. And 50 percent say they also approve of how he’s handling his job as governor. Just under half, or 47 percent, say they disagree.

And right now, Walker LEADS Barrett by 6 points. The same Barrett that he trounced in a previous election.

jpmotu on April 3, 2012 at 9:03 AM

Seriously?
Why does Wisconsin matter?
To keep Minnesota from sliding into Lake Michigan.
:-)
coldwarrior on April 2, 2012 at 7:06 PM

Although, I disagree (& did note the apology), I did find this very funny.

However, as one residing in Minnesota, I’ve noticed Gov. Dayton’s attempts to bypass Wisconsin’s (& Gov. Walker’s) effortts to prevent MN “from sliding into Lake Michigan” – by pushing MN into Lake Superior.

Dayton’s doing a fine job. He makes rich Communists worldwide proud.

Not so funny.

Danny on April 3, 2012 at 9:48 AM

The election in Wisconsin also matters because it will continue to demonstrate the value and importance of reducing voter fraud, which the state did a few years ago by eliminating some of the problems of insufficient validation with “same day” registration.

Unlike neighboring Minnesota, which continues to be plagued by the inherently corrupting influence of same day registration with no need to provide any form of identification (mere vouching is accepted), Wisconsin carefully studied the problem and undertook some appropriate legislative reforms.

Since then, statewide elections there have much more closely reflected the actual will of the voters, rather than being canted or corrupted by the inappropriate influence of likely fraudulent voting.

Some believe that the elimination of such fraud has arguably had a salutary effect in the election of Scott Walker, the defeat of Russ Feingold, and even in the upholding of the election of David Prosser to the Supreme Court.

Trochilus on April 3, 2012 at 2:22 PM

That must be why the bridge on 94 is clogged with cheeseheads coming for…..well you know, jobs every morning.

Minnfidel on April 2, 2012 at 11:16 PM

The only reason I go to Minne-ha-ha is to watch the Vikings lose.

It’s great, we watched LT (San Diego) light up the Queens one year and paid 20$ total for 4 tickets.

They suck so hard, and never will sell that stadium out. (Kellog, Hormel or Packer fans usually end up buying the tickets) Didn’t they have to black out a playoff game Vs. the Eagles one year?

For the Packers games its usually 50% 50% green and purple..

BTW the Vikes have lost thier last 5 NFC championship games in a row to add to their 4 superbowl losses.

Green_Bay_Packers on April 3, 2012 at 2:55 PM

Wisconsin (Gaza North) doesn’t matter. Ever. To anyone.

Bishop on April 2, 2012 at 7:03 PM

I see your making more Wi friends Bishop.

wi farmgirl on April 3, 2012 at 7:01 PM

That must be why the bridge on 94 is clogged with cheeseheads coming for…..well you know, jobs every morning.

Minnfidel on April 2, 2012 at 11:16 PM

94 goes both ways.

wi farmgirl on April 3, 2012 at 7:03 PM

Half of Wisconsin voters say they have a favorable opinion of the governor, according to a POLITICO poll, and 45 percent say they see him unfavorably. And 50 percent say they also approve of how he’s handling his job as governor. Just under half, or 47 percent, say they disagree.

And right now, Walker LEADS Barrett by 6 points. The same Barrett that he trounced in a previous election.

jpmotu on April 3, 2012 at 9:03 AM

And S. Walker’s tools were used by Barrett, how is he going to explain that one? It will make great election commercials for S. Walker. Walker was also endorsed by the Milwaukee firemen’s/police union. I think probably the blue collar worker unions that wanted the mining up in Ashland will be voting for anyone but Dems as payback for screwing them out of promised union jobs. It will surely be interesting to see how it all shakes out.

wi farmgirl on April 3, 2012 at 7:09 PM