Polls: Obama leads Romney by double digits nationally

posted at 7:22 pm on March 28, 2012 by Tina Korbe

The outlook might be bleak for Obamacare, but the outlook for Obama himself is downright rosy. Two new polls show the president’s approval rating and electoral prospects much improved from previous polls.

A CNN/ORC poll found that 56 percent of the public like Obama generally, 51 percent approve of his job performance and 54 percent would vote for him over Mitt Romney. More from Political Ticker’s summary of the poll:

If the general election were held today instead of in early November, 54% of registered voters say they would back Obama, with 43% supporting former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney, the front-runner in the GOP nomination battle. That’s up from a five-point 51%-46% advantage the president held over Romney in February.

And Obama would have a 55%-42% lead over Santorum, the former senator from Pennsylvania who’s Romney’s main rival right now for the nomination. The president led Santorum by a seven-point 52%-45% margin last month.

“President Obama currently wins majority support among groups that have been problematic for him in the past, including men, older voters, and suburbanites,” says CNN Poling Director Keating Holland. “He has a solid lead among independents as well.”

Importantly, the poll also showed a majority of voters still blame Bush and Republicans for the poor economy.

A new Quinnipiac poll of swing states also showed Obama on the uptick in crucial parts of the country:

In Florida: Mr. Obama bests Mr. Romney 49%-42%, and tops Mr. Santorum 50%-37%.

In Ohio: Mr. Obama leads Mr. Romney 47% – 41%, and Mr. Santorum 47%– 40%.

In Pennsylvania: Mr. Obama has about 45% support compared with Mr. Romney’s 42%, within the poll’s 2.8 percentage point margin of error. Mr. Obama bests Mr. Santorum 48%-41%.

The assistant director of polling for Quinnipiac says the results might be explained by voters’ views on the economy and gas prices: Six in 10 think the economy is improving and just one in six blame Obama for high gas prices. Instead, voters fault oil and gas companies and oil-producing countries.

A part of me is really burned up by these polls: It suggests to me that voters buy Obama’s blame-anybody-and-everything-around-me rhetoric without a second thought. By a number of measures, the economy is improving and, sure, Bush shares some of the blame for how weak the economy has been. But what were the Bush-era behaviors that were most problematic? Big spending. Yet, compared with Obama, Bush was a penny pincher! And Obama’s energy policies haven’t exactly helped to make energy costs more affordable.

Another part of me just thinks, “Oh well, the election isn’t today.” Much can and will still change before November.


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mozalf on March 29, 2012 at 10:57 AM

you had me with your intro,
but lost me with your Gingrichesque perespective.

This election has always been about firing an incumbent- making a change at the top. The Kardshian, DWTS voters wake up that day in Nov. and say he either stays or he goes. Their not gonna over analyze Mittens judicial nominations in Mass.

FlaMurph on March 29, 2012 at 11:43 AM

looking for the new threat/thread…

PRAVDA endorses Obama…

speaks volumes

Nonetheless, unprovoked Romney attempting to play Reagan (slamming the evil empire) plays against Romney/Republicans more than gaining general electoral support (outside of the neoconservative-vote) in this business of gaining the Oval Office.

Trust but verify?

maverick muse on March 29, 2012 at 12:40 PM

Way ta go, GOP and MittBots! /sarc

Four more long years of Ø’Trauma await us.
Maybe AFTER ChicagØbama has thoroughly destroyed America people will wake up.
I am not optimistic either way. The GOP has become the Party of wimps.
Pessimist = An optimist who has been around.

Willard RomneyCare should have been a non-starter from the gitgo.
The maroons have hijacked America.
~(Ä)~

Karl Magnus on March 29, 2012 at 12:41 PM

Um… CNN poll. ‘Nuff said.

RebeccaH on March 29, 2012 at 1:02 PM

<blockquoWay ta go, GOP and MittBots! /sarc

Four more long years of Ø’Trauma await us.
Maybe AFTER ChicagØbama has thoroughly destroyed America people will wake up.
I am not optimistic either way. The GOP has become the Party of wimps.
Pessimist = An optimist who has been around.

Willard RomneyCare should have been a non-starter from the gitgo.
The maroons have hijacked America.
~(Ä)~

Karl Magnus on March 29, 2012 at 12:41 PM

te>
Got news for you Pal. Romney will win this election. You want to know why…

Unemployment Extremely high layoffs and young adults unable to find work why? OBAMA’s regulations and Obamacare make it difficult and unwise for businesses to hire until they know the costs that they will incur.

Gas Prices – High why? OBAMA is completely against the cheapest fuel that is present in abundance in our country and wants to ride his Unicorn up a hill and give his cronies Billions of dollars of government $ (read) our money to develop a solar wind power made from fairy farts that will replace all of our energy needs. This issue major factor in Unemployment, inflation, National debt and Trade inbalance as we send all our money to buy oil sometimes from unfriendlies.

There are more but the economy is not doing well and where there has been some improvement it only proves how resilient we are as a country

Oh Ace in the hole for me. My wife and her family are lifelong dems that voted for O in last election and have never voted other than D. Not one will vote for him again and they all said they are voting for Romney.

So you see all is not lost. Romney will make the case for economic recovery and all we need to do to save our country is get behind him, support him with votes and $ and right our nation. I predict that Romney will hold all of the Red States and take back NC, VA, FL, OH as well as MI, NJ, CO, WI and NV

Natebo on March 29, 2012 at 1:20 PM

FlaMurph on March 29, 2012 at 11:43 AM

They may especially if, at it’s looking badly enough already, we lose the Massachusetts and Maine Senate seats. And possibly also Virginia – the republican influence in the Congress will be dwindled and in jeopardy from the democrat clout and that in turn affects how the President will govern, especially if he caves as he did in a democrat controlled state legislature.

mozalf on March 29, 2012 at 1:44 PM

So you see all is not lost. Romney will make the case for economic recovery and all we need to do to save our country is get behind him, support him with votes and $ and right our nation.

Yes, it’s called a VA tax.

I predict that Romney will hold all of the Red States and take back NC, VA, FL, OH as well as MI, NJ, CO, WI and NV

I predict willard will lose all swing states and lose Georgia and Mississippi. Both GA and MS are conservative turnout states. Both Arkansas and Tennesse are too close to call, depends on willard’s moderation.

jjnco73 on March 29, 2012 at 1:45 PM

Some people on this blog have been listening to the rhetoric from Rick and Newt for too long. You will have to wipe it out of your head. Yes, there is a difference between Obama and Romney. Have you stopped drinking the Kool aid from Winning our Future yet?

You will have to forget that Rick told you that Romney is not a conservative, we told him not to go there, he wanted to win the nomination so he would say anything.

You will have to forget Newt whining about how rich Romney is. Newt is worried about someone else being rich? I have misplaced my Tiffany charge card and cannot relate.

And Winning our Future says Romney is “not one of us.” Ick.

And Winning our Future says that it is not possible to know WHAT Romney stands for. Well, if you are reasonably intelligent you might be able to find out. Check out his website, you have a duty to read everything there before you make you choice for Obama.
And he wrote two PITHY books, you can get them in books on tape, and maybe even listen to them when you drive around in your car.

I know it is a lot of work, but maybe more people should have bothered to read about Obama’s drug induced youth in his trashy paperbacks before the last election. No journalists bothered…oh, yeah, they read them, and they got into the hero worship.

Fleuries on March 29, 2012 at 10:27 AM

What about Restore our Future?

jjnco73 on March 29, 2012 at 2:13 PM

LTC Allen West for VP = game changer

IndyArmyVet on March 29, 2012 at 3:24 PM

Why are you Mitt supporters attacking Tina? She’s not responsible for the poll.

kingsjester on March 29, 2012 at 7:54 AM

..Hey, bub, if you are referring to me get this straight: I am NOT attacking Tina. I merely said that she has a penchant to cut and paste polls up here, add a few comments, and then hit SUBMIT. There is little or no dissection of a poll’s internals done by her — and certainly NOTHING close to the work that Ed Morrissey puts forth.

Consequently, her posts are of little more worth than — say — the mindless opinions and comments (notably mine) that are expressed here in respnse. They do NOT move the ball down the field and one does not come away enriched or more knowledgeable for having read them.

It is harsh, to be sure, and I do give her props for stepping up and posting on HG — and she writes well. But to be truly good, she needs to do some analysis as well.

The War Planner on March 29, 2012 at 3:30 PM

Contrary to what Fleurides writes at 10:27 AM on March 29, those of us supporting Newt do so because Newt stands for real conservative beliefs, real conservative accomplishments and a command of policy issues and history to enable him to be an outstanding President and Commander in Chief. There is nothing really in what Fleurides writes that tells us what Romney believes in and what conservative accomplishments he has, just to look at soem website and forget what Newt and Santorum have said. But why? Newt and Santorum have been pointing to facts that show Romney does not have conservative beliefs and does not have conservative accomplishments.

What is Romney’s record? It is certainly not a conservative one. He served only one term in public office as Governor of Massachusetts and did not run for re-election at a time that he had a 35% approval/65%disapproval rating. As for spending during his one term as Governor, Romney increased it, and when graded against other Governors according to the 2005 Fiscal Policy Report Card produced by the non-partisan Cato Institute, Romney got a D. As for job creation during that one term, the Massachusetts state economy ground to a halt with Romney as its steward and ranked 47th out of 50 states. During his one term as Governor, Romney increased fees and taxes by over $740 million. As for entitlements and growth in Government during his one term as Governor, Romney created a brand new entitlement (RomneyCare) and then mandated that all individuals purchase health insurance and all employers with 11 or more employees provide it; RomneyCare is socialized medicine at the state level. As for health insurance costs during that one term, according to Beacon Hill Institute at Suffolk University in Boston, state health expenditures increased by $414 million, private health insurance costs increased by $4.311 billion, federal Medicaid for Massachusetts increased by $2.418 billion, and Medicare expenditures increased by $1.426 billion for a total increase of $8.569 billion in RomneyCare’s first five years. During his one term as Governor, Romney appointed pro-abortion rights Democrats the state judiciary, he appointed litigation-happy environmentalists to key government jobs, he flip-flopped on cap and trade, he flip-flopped on carbon taxes, and he made the following promise about a coal-fired plant: “I will not create jobs or hold jobs that kill people, and that plant, that plant kills people.” And while he was Governor, Romney was adamantly pro-abortion rights. Romney says he was a severely conservative Governor. Baloney; the facts say otherwise.

What are Romney’s beliefs? While Newt was a “Young Turk” captain in the Reagan Revolution, Romney voted for liberal Democrats Jimmy Carter, Walter Mondale and Paul Tsongas. Now Romney is supposedly a conservative? The problem is that when it comes to beliefs, Romney is a flip flopper. Romney was adamantly pro-aborion rights until around 2006 when he started running for President. The “Etch-A-Sketch” comment of a campaign manager for Romney was on target. Romney will say what he needs to fulfill his political ambitions. That is what he learned in the private equity world to seal the sale. That is not what the Republican Party candidate for President should be.

Phil Byler on March 29, 2012 at 3:41 PM

Romneycare = 0bamacare and with 0bamacare on the ropes who wants to vote for the architect of 0bamacare?

I said it before and I’ll ‘say’ it again: When the choice is between two liberals Americans ALWAYS choose the real thing since substitutes/generic brands never work as well as promised.

Think about it.

DannoJyd on March 29, 2012 at 4:49 PM

i have lost faith in the american people to have any sense at all

i think obama will win by a hair and i will move to ecuador

:-(

losarkos on March 29, 2012 at 5:22 PM

Tina – a CNN poll? Check the Rasmussen and Gallup daily tracking polls, it’s back and forth between Romney ahead and Obama ahead. Why would you take delight in pointing this out (especially since your man RS polls even lower)Take note too that the media is practically doing back flips to excuse Obama from the price of gas. Where was all this intense reporting back when Bush was president. They were more than happy to allow the Blame Bushies to continue without interruption….

BabysCatz on March 29, 2012 at 5:30 PM

..Hey, bub, if you are referring to me get this straight: I am NOT attacking Tina. I merely said that she has a penchant to cut and paste polls up here, add a few comments, and then hit SUBMIT. There is little or no dissection of a poll’s internals done by her — and certainly NOTHING close to the work that Ed Morrissey puts forth.

The War Planner on March 29, 2012 at 3:30 PM

Oh, come on. You and other Romney supporters are just angry anytime any of the writers here fail to put a sufficiently pro-Romney spin on any story or poll. You’ve been so used to good news for Romney over the past 3 years that when a little bit of reality intervenes you’re all like fish out of water, flailing around.

ddrintn on March 29, 2012 at 5:31 PM

I am wondering – once Romney is the OFFICIAL nominee against Obama, will Hot Gas continue to bash Romney every chance they get? Just asking…..

BabysCatz on March 29, 2012 at 5:31 PM

Tina – a CNN poll?

BabysCatz on March 29, 2012 at 5:30 PM

Did Romney supporters fault CNN polls when they were showing their guy in a pretty good light?

ddrintn on March 29, 2012 at 5:33 PM

Never underestimate the stupidity of American voters. If they fell for a con man in 2008 they can fall for him again. One might think pointing out that the band instruments and uniforms have never arrived would have some effect on them, but that seems not to be the case. Perhaps they are worried that if Romney is given the baton he might expect them to actually take music lessons and rehearse.

Colony14 on March 29, 2012 at 5:39 PM

If the parasites outnumber the producers on election day… Republic of Texas, here I come.

Colony14 on March 29, 2012 at 5:40 PM

I am wondering – once Romney is the OFFICIAL nominee against Obama, will Hot Gas continue to bash Romney every chance they get? Just asking…..

BabysCatz on March 29, 2012 at 5:31 PM

How is this “bashing Romney”? By the way, re: polls, the RCP average has Obama +5 against Romney. I think that sounds about right. And that’s BEFORE a campaign and before the media get hold of Mitt. Not good.

ddrintn on March 29, 2012 at 5:41 PM

The economy was improving under Bush I, but the media did not report the figures until after the election. This year, the media will tell us that the economy is improving, even if it isn’t and will suppress any news that could hurt Obama come October. Without the economy and Obamacare, what will the Rep. candidate use against Obama?

We may have alternate media now, but most of the people I know still get their news from tv. It’s disturbing how the media has become the major propaganda tool for the Democratic party and how most Americans don’t even mind. News divisions don’t even try to pretend to be objective any more. The media and entertainment corporations shape our society more than elected officials.

I truly am worried about the upcoming elections. None of these candidates will do well against Obama. Santorum can’t keep from sounding like a Puritan. Romney won’t back away from Romney Care, which makes it very difficult for me to vote for him. Newt goes back and forth between sane and crazy ideas (local immigration czars anyone?). Ron Paul might be more fiscal, not sure he really will be, but I can’t get past his foreign policy.

We have to win the Senate to stop Obama in his 2nd term.

Ibanez Lotus on March 29, 2012 at 7:46 PM

I l0oked at internals 40 percent republican

gerrym51 on March 29, 2012 at 8:05 PM

Polls at this point are not that useful..but according to Rasmussen daily tracking poll, Romney is actually leading Obama.

Terrye on March 30, 2012 at 5:41 PM

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