Obama polls: Vulnerable, strong, or battered?

posted at 9:50 am on March 28, 2012 by Ed Morrissey

A slew of polls hit the wires today, most of which make no sense when compared with each other, and most of which don’t have the necessary sample data to analyze properly.  That doesn’t mean we should ignore them, but let’s consider them as a group rather than individually.

First up, and probably the best of the bunch, are a series of Quinnipiac polls in three swing states that show Barack Obama leading — but still vulnerable:

FLORIDA: Obama 49 – Romney 42; Obama 50 – Santorum 37

OHIO: Obama 47 – Romney 41; Obama 47 – Santorum 40

PENNSYLVANIA: Obama 45 – Romney 42; Obama 48 – Santorum 41 …

President Obama leads former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney in three key swing states, according to new Quinnipiac University polls released Wednesday, but Obama remains vulnerable in all three battlegrounds.

In Quinnipiac’s last collective look at the presidential race in the three states, in late November and early December, Obama trailed Romney in Florida and Ohio and he led by a statistically insignificant margin in Pennsylvania. Quinnipiac has polled each state since then, finding better numbers for the president. But while Obama has jumped ahead, he is under the critical 50-percent threshold in each state, and his lead in Pennsylvania remains inside the margin of error. Obama leads former Sen. Rick Santorum of Pennsylvania by larger, significant margins in each state.

Well, at least Quinnipiac includes demographic data and crosstabs, which is better than the next two pollsters we’ll review.  There are a few problems with Quinnipiac’s samples, though.  The D/R/I for Florida in the 2008 exit polls was 37/34/29, and in 2010 it was 36/36/29.  Quinnipiac’s weighted D/R/I is 33/29/33, which is hardly predictive.  They have the same D/R/I for Ohio, even though in 2008 it was 39/31/30 and in 2010 36/37/28.  The Q-poll D/R/I for PA is 37/34/25; in 2008 Democrats did much better at 44/37/18, but it’s similar to 2010′s 40/37/23.  So we have Quinnipiac using models closer to 2008 for Ohio and Florida (remember, these are weighted, so this is a deliberate choice), but 2010 for Pennsylvania, and that makes a difference in the results.

Plus, let’s not forget that head-to-head matchups at this stage reflect Republican division during the primaries.  Obama doesn’t get to 50% in any of these polls against the Republican frontrunner, a position of weakness instead of strength.  When the GOP unites behind one candidate, we’ll get a clearer picture of Obama’s relative strength.

Next up we have the Washington Post, which puts Romney and Obama head-to-head in a likeability contest — and then fails to provide the sample data:

Half of all Americans now express unfavorable views of Mitt Romney, a new high for the GOP presidential hopeful in Washington Post-ABC News polling. The deteriorating public impressions of the former Massachusetts governor foreshadow a significant obstacle for him as he tries to shift the focus of his campaign toward a potential match-up against President Obama.

Romney’s negative numbers have jumped around this election cycle, but the overall pattern is similar to his trajectory four years ago: As he became better known, his unfavorables shot up far more rapidly than his positive numbers. Negative impressions are up eight percentage points in the past week, nudging past the previous high, which occurred about the time Romney suffered a big loss in the South Carolina primary.

In the new poll, 50 percent of all adults and 52 percent of registered voters express unfavorable opinions of Romney, both higher — although marginally — than Obama has received in Post-ABC polling as far back as late 2006.

However, the biggest difference between Romney and Obama is on the other side of the ledger: 53 percent of Americans hold favorable views of the president; for Romney, that number slides to 34 percent. Positive ratings of Obama steadily improved over the course of his fight for the 2008 Democratic presidential nomination — something not evident in Romney’s ratings this time around, or last.

Er, sure.  However, bear in mind that this isn’t job approval; it’s whether or not people like each of the two men.  Obama’s 53% favorability is on the low end of the scale for the Post series, and more people strongly disfavor Obama (28%) than Romney (25%).  But more importantly — especially for the WaPo/ABC poll — we have no idea how the sample is composed on partisan lines.  Given the propensity of the WaPo/ABC poll to use samples where Democrats have double-digit advantages, the lack of transparency on this poll result renders this utterly meaningless.

Finally, Politico brings us a new poll from Reuters — also without the sample data — showing Obama taking a beating on gas prices:

More than two-thirds of Americans disapprove of the way President Barack Obama is handling high gasoline prices, although most do not blame him for them, according to a Reuters/Ipsos online poll released on Tuesday.

Sixty-eight percent disapprove and 24 percent approve of how Obama is responding to price increases that have become one of the biggest issues in the 2012 presidential campaign.

In the past month, U.S. fuel prices have jumped about $0.30 per gallon to about $3.90 and the Republicans seeking to replace the Democrat in the November 6 election have seized upon the issue to attack his energy policies.

The disapproval reaches across party lines, potentially spelling trouble for Obama in the election, although the online survey showed voters hold oil companies or foreign countries more accountable than politicians for the price spike.

The partisan split on the approval rating in this case may be moot.  A majority of Democrats disapprove of Obama’s performance on gas prices (52%), but the biggest worry will be the 73% of independents now disapproving.  Gas prices will continue to rise through the summer, which means that those numbers will worsen as the election draws nearer.  These voters may want to blame the oil companies more than Obama, but if those prices continue to go up, Obama’s energy policies will get a lot more criticism as the summer proceeds.  Thanks to the multiplying force of gas prices on the distribution chain, consumer inflation will go up and the economy will almost certainly slow down from its presently modest level, which could put a big dent in Obama’s approval ratings at the very worst time possible for an incumbent.

I suspect of all the polls presented today, this one has the most potential for predictive value.


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If you believe in the liberties mandated in our Constitution, he’s “battered”. If you subscribe to Marxism/communism then he’s “strong”. His true self has been exposed.

rplat on March 28, 2012 at 9:54 AM

A slew of polls hit the wires today, most of which make no sense when compared with each other, and most of which don’t have the necessary sample data to analyze properly.

I woke up to the radio touting the likability poll over Romney and wondered about the sample and make up. After first figuring out I wasn’t in a different reality. Man, that was scary.

cozmo on March 28, 2012 at 9:54 AM

Carter led Reagan by 40. YOU drive yourself crazy. Not me.

Marcus on March 28, 2012 at 9:54 AM

This election will have the most inaccurate polling ever in history. It will look like Obambi is winning all the way, even in exit polls as people will say one thing (I like & vote for Obama) and do another behind the curtain (I’m freaking broke, losing my a** and voted for anybody but Obama)

Tim Zank on March 28, 2012 at 9:54 AM

Moaning Joe was a hoot this morning. He’s another one forwarding the meme that a SC overturn will strengthen the dems by making the SC the issue. They are ready to pound on about the Bush re-election, Citizens United and this as the reason to keep Obama in place so they can take the court and get what they want.

Oh, and he said he was a conservative a couple of times.

DanMan on March 28, 2012 at 9:55 AM

Carter led Reagan by 40. YOU drive yourself crazy. Not me.

Marcus on March 28, 2012 at 9:54 AM

McCain led Obama by 10+ at this point…I think Mitt is more of a McCain, and Mitt is no Reagan, by his own admission he is not a Reagan conservative.

right2bright on March 28, 2012 at 9:56 AM

This election will have the most inaccurate polling ever in history.

Tim Zank on March 28, 2012 at 9:54 AM

You keep telling yourself that, over and over, every morning.
Obama can’t win, Obama can’t win…I did that last election and it helped, until the election.

right2bright on March 28, 2012 at 9:58 AM

Here’s an unscientific poll. 0 is Done!

Bmore on March 28, 2012 at 9:59 AM

Moaning Joe was a hoot this morning. He’s another one forwarding the meme that a SC overturn will strengthen the dems by making the SC the issue.

I caught that. Did you catch “Oh, Alex just reminded me in my earpiece….”

He wears a hidden wire where talking points are fed to him.

Marcus on March 28, 2012 at 10:02 AM

Whatever poll makes dear leader look good, let’s just talk about that one

-lsm

cmsinaz on March 28, 2012 at 10:02 AM

Given the propensity of the WaPo/ABC poll to use samples where Democrats have double-digit advantages, the lack of transparency on this poll result renders this utterly meaningless.

So, Ed, I guess you weren’t the one who judged it worthy of being posted in headlines, then?

Jon0815 on March 28, 2012 at 10:03 AM

They have the same D/R/I for Ohio

Unbelievable. Republicans swept every state wide office (may have been one Democrat, can’t recall) in 2010. And with the shutdown of the coal industry Dear Liar is going to lose the southeastern part of the state big time. He may win Cleveland, possibly Columbus and NW Ohio will be a draw, but there’s no way The Whine wins Ohio. Now, the Stupid Party may lose Ohio by being stupid, but that’s fumbling on the one yard line in the Super Bowl.

rbj on March 28, 2012 at 10:03 AM

Dan, just using the WH talking points VIA Valerie

cmsinaz on March 28, 2012 at 10:03 AM

Romney isn’t likable in terms of forging any kind of personal connection with voters, but I have always thought that the Obama “likability” numbers, and the narrative that he is even the least bit “likable,” to be pure B.S.

There is not–even aside from his destructive policies–one remotely likable characteristic about Obama. And yet 53% think he’s a likable guy? Sure.

Right Mover on March 28, 2012 at 10:04 AM

The key is how people feel about their future. Only 20 percent think they are better off than when Obama took office. He is history. A lot of folks will not vote for someone who has made life more miserable.

Ta111 on March 28, 2012 at 10:05 AM

Given the propensity of the WaPo/ABC poll to use samples where Democrats have double-digit advantages, the lack of transparency on this poll result renders this utterly meaningless.

ABR misfits hardest hit.

cicerone on March 28, 2012 at 10:07 AM

Wait til the 47% or so that ‘like’ Zero find themselves sitting in the dark because the epa closed their power plant. Of course, he can always blame congress and Boooosch.

Kissmygrits on March 28, 2012 at 10:08 AM

right2bright on March 28, 2012 at 9:56 AM

I always see people jump all over anyone who points out that Carter was beating Reagan in the polls until just prior to the election, saying “Romney is no Reagen!!”. I don’t think anyone can seriously compare anyone in the GOP today to Reagan, and I’m positive nobody thinks Romney is.

It is a good analogy though. Reagan was no Reagan either. If you listened to the media he was a right-wing yahoo who was going to start a nuclear war if he got elected. The parallels between 1980 and today couldn’t be more similar. Even some of the stuff today’s media are saying about the GOP might as well come from a 1980 NYT op-ed.

Mord on March 28, 2012 at 10:08 AM

I am glad you posted this poll because it was the headline on Yahoo (which is ridiculous because they never post any polls that are bad to Obama).

Aside from the sample problems you mentioned, I just do not buy that Romney, even at this juncture, is losing to Obama in Florida or Ohio.

Republicans carried those states in 2010. Obama’s favorability numbers are under 50% in both states. In the Senate race in Florida, Mack is up, or within the MOE against Nelson, and in Ohio, the Congressional races look good for Republicans. Yet we are to believe that Florida will overcome what they did in 2010, and split the ticket between Obama and Nelson. That is highly unlikely.

Neither is Ohio not being a dead heat, at worst, for Romney.

milcus on March 28, 2012 at 10:09 AM

Carter led Reagan by 40. YOU drive yourself crazy. Not me.

Marcus on March 28, 2012 at 9:54 AM

McCain led Obama by 10+ at this point…I think Mitt is more of a McCain, and Mitt is no Reagan, by his own admission he is not a Reagan conservative.

right2bright on March 28, 2012 at 9:56 AM

..The issue is NOT conservatism but rather the perception of the two opponents. The point is — or I would at least like to think so — that an incumbent (even a weak one like Carter) can poll incredibly strongly against a challenger. Also, there are almost a plurality of prospective voters who are not conservative and would shrink from a strictly conservative candidate.

The War Planner on March 28, 2012 at 10:11 AM

I meant to add: You can’t compare anyone in the GOP to Reagan, without being laughed at, but you CAN compare Obama to Carter.

Mord on March 28, 2012 at 10:11 AM

McCain led Obama by 10+ at this point…I think Mitt is more of a McCain, and Mitt is no Reagan, by his own admission he is not a Reagan conservative.

right2bright on March 28, 2012 at 9:56 AM

Obuma now has a record to run on..I have faith enough people have been hurt by his policies. I am surprised, though, that he is not getting whacked aside the head by all polls at this point.

Static21 on March 28, 2012 at 10:13 AM

Mord on March 28, 2012 at 10:08 AM

..great minds, etc. Only I am three minutes slower than you, I guess.

The War Planner on March 28, 2012 at 10:13 AM

However, bear in mind that this isn’t job approval; it’s whether or not people like each of the two men. Obama’s 53% favorability is on the low end of the scale for the Post series, and more people strongly disfavor Obama (28%) than Romney (25%).

“Favorability” is a nebulous thing; Bill Clinton’s “Favorability” numbers were in the toilet for most of his second term, but he left office with a “job approval” in the 60s.

In fact, in November of 2000 Clinton’s “favorability” was in the low 40s. That was 2 months before he left office (and left his successor 9/11.) When he left office, his “favorability” had jumped to 57%, but that was just people glad to see him leave the Oral Orifice.

Del Dolemonte on March 28, 2012 at 10:15 AM

There is not–even aside from his destructive policies–one remotely likable characteristic about Obama. And yet 53% think he’s a likable guy? Sure.

Right Mover on March 28, 2012 at 10:04 AM

..I think they polled his relatives and the WH staff.

;-)

The War Planner on March 28, 2012 at 10:15 AM

Moaning Joe was a hoot this morning. He’s another one forwarding the meme that a SC overturn will strengthen the dems by making the SC the issue.

DanMan on March 28, 2012 at 9:55 AM

They will definitely do that, but it will only serve to rally leftards. Independants will be turned off by it. No one not already planning on voting for Obama will be fired up by it.

Kataklysmic on March 28, 2012 at 10:16 AM

..I think they polled his relatives and the WH staff.

;-)

The War Planner on March 28, 2012 at 10:15 AM

Nowdays when a pollster calls the caller ID reads “XXXpolling” or “political call”. I am so PO’ed about polls I ignore them, or if I am feeling specially devious I take the call and give answers like lib4life, or one of the other lefty nutballs here, would.

cozmo on March 28, 2012 at 10:21 AM

You keep telling yourself that, over and over, every morning.
Obama can’t win, Obama can’t win…I did that last election and it helped, until the election.

right2bright on March 28, 2012 at 9:58 AM

So..what? We all fold our tents, go home, and give this idiot another four years so he can be more “flexible” with Medvedev and Putin and stack the SCOTUS with liberal justices?

(Yeah, think about that last one as you’re listening to the audio from the SCOTUS yestiddy and how Ginsberg and Kagan were fluffing up a stuimbling and bumbling Verilli.)

Sounds like a plan. Move over, Uncle Pookie!

The War Planner on March 28, 2012 at 10:21 AM

Mord on March 28, 2012 at 10:08 AM

An all the rest…it is different, what is different is that Reagan appealed to the conservatives, not the liberal or even the “moderate” base…Mitt appeals to the liberal/moderate base, that is Obama territory, at least the liberal and left moderate…Mitt is now stuck with his Mormon support (vocal, money, and obnoxious), and the right moderate, the conservative vote he has tossed away.
That is so unlike Reagan it’s difficult to even try to make a comparison.

right2bright on March 28, 2012 at 10:21 AM

Although I’m no expert on Presidential election politics(although I play one on tv)

most pro’s i’ve listened to say if an incumbent consistently polls under 50 percent thats a good sign for the challenger on the theory that the voters know the incumbent and if they were going to vote for him would say so.

gerrym51 on March 28, 2012 at 10:21 AM

The only way 0 carries Ohio is if the ABR crowd stay home. If that’s the case, then they become responsible for Barry The Sequel.

right2bright –

McCain was leading because Barry was still tangled up with Hillary. Once they went head-to-head, it went back and forth until the economy imploded.

budfox on March 28, 2012 at 10:22 AM

Carter led Reagan by 40. YOU drive yourself crazy. Not me.

Marcus on March 28, 2012 at 9:54 AM

Are you saying Romney is like Reagan?

liberal4life on March 28, 2012 at 10:23 AM

Obuma now has a record to run on..I have faith enough people have been hurt by his policies. I am surprised, though, that he is not getting whacked aside the head by all polls at this point.

Static21 on March 28, 2012 at 10:13 AM

Read you last sentence, and you will see how difficult it will be to win this with Mitt…he has his base, and the moderates to carry him…is that enough?

right2bright on March 28, 2012 at 10:23 AM

Nowdays when a pollster calls the caller ID reads “XXXpolling” or “political call”. I am so PO’ed about polls I ignore them, or if I am feeling specially devious I take the call and give answers like lib4life, or one of the other lefty nutballs here, would.

cozmo on March 28, 2012 at 10:21 AM

..funny you should mention that! I got two calls yesterday evening. The first labelled as a 202 DC number and another one labelled as “ABC Polling”. I answered neither, of course, but speculated to my bride that the first was Rance Priebus calling me to say that ABC would be calling and this is how he wanted me to answer the questons.

Shows how pathetically self-important I deem myself.

The War Planner on March 28, 2012 at 10:25 AM

McCain was leading because Barry was still tangled up with Hillary. Once they went head-to-head, it went back and forth until the economy imploded.

budfox on March 28, 2012 at 10:22 AM

It wasn’t the “economy” that is the GOP spin, Obama had it all the way…a moderate can’t win the vote, the liberals take too many moderate votes, and the conservatives won’t support fully a moderate who disses and ignores them.

right2bright on March 28, 2012 at 10:25 AM

right2bright on March 28, 2012 at 10:21 AM

..you’re really, really working overtime on this Eeyore shitt this morning, aren’t you?

The War Planner on March 28, 2012 at 10:27 AM

Carter led Reagan by 40. YOU drive yourself crazy. Not me.

Marcus on March 28, 2012 at 9:54 AM

Are you saying Romney is like Reagan?

liberal4life on March 28, 2012 at 10:23 AM

I think he’s saying Obama is worse than Carter. Which would be true.

Kataklysmic on March 28, 2012 at 10:30 AM

Does our current civil rights crisis work into this at all?

Cindy Munford on March 28, 2012 at 10:31 AM

Any poll which does not show a 20 point lead for Willard means he will lose.

Everything is set for him to win. If he loses it will be an epic collapse of enormous proportions and a clear indictment of the republican party by the good people of America.

liberal4life on March 28, 2012 at 10:31 AM

I think he’s saying Obama is worse than Carter. Which would be true.

Kataklysmic on March 28, 2012 at 10:30 AM

Back to my question, Do you think Romney is like Reagan?
In what way exactly?

liberal4life on March 28, 2012 at 10:33 AM

In what way exactly?

liberal4life on March 28, 2012 at 10:33 AM

In that like Reagan beat Carter, Romney will beat your god on earth.

cozmo on March 28, 2012 at 10:36 AM

If he loses it will be an epic collapse of enormous proportions and a clear indictment of the republican party by the good people of America.

liberal4life on March 28, 2012 at 10:31 AM

Of course dear, bless your heart.

cozmo on March 28, 2012 at 10:38 AM

right2bright on March 28, 2012 at 10:23 AM

I know, I know..I think when it gets down to just Mitt and Obuma, Mitt will trend upward due to the fact all of us on this side will coalesce around him. (Here’s hoping!) I just can’t fathom Rick winning at this point. I also think the polls at this point are a joke, and one needs to look at all the internals-pollsters are tricky-with samples and how questions are asked, etc. One other thing, I am 47 years old and have never been included in any poll-anyone else on this site been included in any polls?

Static21 on March 28, 2012 at 10:38 AM

Back to my question, Do you think Romney is like Reagan?
In what way exactly?

liberal4life on March 28, 2012 at 10:33 AM

Romney is no Reagan. But he’s not an America hating Marxist either. So if he is the nominee, he will be getting my vote. As would my neighbor’s cat or a ham sandwich.

Kataklysmic on March 28, 2012 at 10:38 AM

Any poll which does not show a 20 point lead for Willard means he will lose.

Everything is set for him to win. If he loses it will be an epic collapse of enormous proportions and a clear indictment of the republican party by the good people of America.

libtard4life on March 28, 2012 at 10:31 AM

LMAO!!! You really are as clueless as the claims you make. But that fact is obscured because there are still plenty of ABR misfits who are equally clueless about why a ‘tard like you keeps attacking Romney.

cicerone on March 28, 2012 at 10:38 AM

In that like Reagan beat Carter, Romney will beat your god on earth.

cozmo on March 28, 2012 at 10:36 AM

Can you name some Characteristics Reagan had that Willard also has?

liberal4life on March 28, 2012 at 10:39 AM

Can you name some Characteristics Reagan had that Willard also has?

liberal4life on March 28, 2012 at 10:39 AM

Who gives a rats rear end ya’ 0bama fluffin’ nutball!

Carter was sooo much better than the Zero it doesn’t matter how much less a man Romney is than Reagan.

cozmo on March 28, 2012 at 10:42 AM

Can you name some Characteristics Reagan had that Willard also has?

libtard4life on March 28, 2012 at 10:39 AM

Better yet, why don’t you name some characteristics of Reagan?

cicerone on March 28, 2012 at 10:42 AM

Does our current civil rights crisis work into this at all?

Cindy Munford on March 28, 2012 at 10:31 AM

Meh. I doubt anyone but the choir is paying attention to that sermon. However, I do find it hilarious that the left is trying to capitalize on the Treyvon Martin tragedy to try and recreate 2008′s “Uh oh, I better voter for Obama to prove I’m not a racist” environment. Trying to turn registered Democrat and self identified Hispanic American Zimmerman into a racist white guy is a bridge to far for the media, though. It’s going to backfire on them.

Kataklysmic on March 28, 2012 at 10:43 AM

Geeze, having survived the carter administration, sayin’ Carter was better than a following president just sounded…wrong.

Which makes the fact that he is better than 0bama kind of sad for our country.

cozmo on March 28, 2012 at 10:44 AM

Meh. I doubt anyone but the choir is paying attention to that sermon. However, I do find it hilarious that the left is trying to capitalize on the Treyvon Martin tragedy to try and recreate 2008′s “Uh oh, I better voter for Obama to prove I’m not a racist” environment. Trying to turn registered Democrat and self identified Hispanic American Zimmerman into a racist white guy is a bridge to far for the media, though. It’s going to backfire on them.

Kataklysmic on March 28, 2012 at 10:43 AM

Exactly right. That’s what it’s all about, at least for ObaMao and his supporters. The other race hustlers are simply plying their trade as always.

cicerone on March 28, 2012 at 10:45 AM

re: Moaning Joe

Marcus on March 28, 2012 at 10:02 AM

yep, I did notice that, and

cmsinaz on March 28, 2012 at 10:03 AM

excellent point!

They know we know and there ain’t a thing they can do about it. And they say newspapers are dying because of the internets.

DanMan on March 28, 2012 at 10:46 AM

Mord on March 28, 2012 at 10:08 AM
..great minds, etc. Only I am three minutes slower than you, I guess.

The War Planner on March 28, 2012 at 10:13 AM

…I’m late…but I get to say DITTO!

KOOLAID2 on March 28, 2012 at 10:46 AM

McCain led Obama by 10+ at this point…

right2bright on March 28, 2012 at 9:56 AM

And Obama was more than two months from getting past Hillary.

DanMan on March 28, 2012 at 10:48 AM

In that like Reagan beat Carter, Romney will beat your god on earth.

cozmo on March 28, 2012 at 10:36 AM

Can you name some Characteristics Reagan had that Willard also has?

liberal4life on March 28, 2012 at 10:39 AM

Er, like Reagan, he doesn’t Hate America like O’bama does?

You’ve really been hanging around KeninCT’s website too long.

Del Dolemonte on March 28, 2012 at 10:48 AM

Can you name some Characteristics Reagan had that Willard also has?

libtard4life on March 28, 2012 at 10:39 AM

Since the ‘tard is implying that Romney doesn’t measure up to the Reagan standard, I’d like for the ‘tard to extoll the virtues of Ronald Reagan. Because the thought of making a mealy-mouthed libtard sing the praises of Ronald Reagan makes me laugh.

cicerone on March 28, 2012 at 10:52 AM

Because the thought of making a mealy-mouthed libtard sing the praises of Ronald Reagan makes me laugh.

cicerone on March 28, 2012 at 10:52 AM

Its impoosible for the likes of lib4life to be honest, about anything. Remember this golden oldie?

The state of VA approves of state sanctioned rape. Please call it what is instead of this “ultrasound” crap. Around here we only deal with honesty
liberal4life on March 24, 2012 at 3:16 PM

cozmo on March 28, 2012 at 10:56 AM

Kataklysmic on March 28, 2012 at 10:43 AM

Fingers crossed.

Cindy Munford on March 28, 2012 at 10:57 AM

YAWN…Rush Bimbo said to laugh at these polls….all of them to depress our side

who really looks at theses polls unless you go on realclearpolitics.com and hotgas

Romney-Rubio ticket will crush Obummer-Biden

nparga23 on March 28, 2012 at 11:00 AM

nparga23 on March 28, 2012 at 11:00 AM

Evidently…you

cozmo on March 28, 2012 at 11:05 AM

The ever “electable” Mitt has consistently polled poorly vs Obama in Florida and Ohio. The guy simply does not connect with voters there and will lose in November. This is the Obama/McCain electoral map all over again.

gumbyandpokey on March 28, 2012 at 11:11 AM

..you’re really, really working overtime on this Eeyore shitt this morning, aren’t you?

The War Planner on March 28, 2012 at 10:27 AM

Pal, this is a discussion, you want to take it personal? Go ahead.
You tell me the last moderate Republican who has been elected?
Dole? Ford? McCain?
To stick you head in the sand is foolish, if Mitt does not swing to the right, he will lose…unless you can show me in history where that doesn’t work…Bush 1 and his tax retreat to appeal to the moderates, what happened to him?
It’s reality…and it ain’t always pretty with flowers and unicorns…

right2bright on March 28, 2012 at 11:12 AM

The ever “electable” Mitt has consistently polled poorly vs Obama in Florida and Ohio. The guy simply does not connect with voters there and will lose in November. This is the Obama/McCain electoral map all over again.

gumbyandpokey on March 28, 2012 at 11:11 AM

lalalalalala, fingers in the ear, can’t hear you…the Mitt supporters response…

right2bright on March 28, 2012 at 11:13 AM

You tell me the last moderate Republican who has been elected?
Dole? Ford? McCain?

right2bright on March 28, 2012 at 11:12 AM

Eisenhower, Nixon, Bush 41, Bush 42 and whoever the republican is in 2012.

cozmo on March 28, 2012 at 11:15 AM

I remember Reagan?Carter being too close to call 7 days before the election. Mitt needs to pick Rubio. At least 20% of the Latino vote will swing to that ticket. This will put Mitt in the White House.

kozmo on March 28, 2012 at 11:21 AM

Whatever. I’m not voting for Obama, so if he wins, I can hold my head up while all about me are losing theirs.

RebeccaH on March 28, 2012 at 11:34 AM

I remember Reagan?Carter being too close to call 7 days before the election. Mitt needs to pick Rubio. At least 20% of the Latino vote will swing to that ticket. This will put Mitt in the White House.

kozmo on March 28, 2012 at 11:21 AM

Are you sure putting a former Mormon on the ticket will do the trick?

2 Mormons on a ticket?

liberal4life on March 28, 2012 at 11:35 AM

2 Mormons on a ticket?

liberal4life on March 28, 2012 at 11:35 AM

A bigot like you would have a problem with it.

cozmo on March 28, 2012 at 11:45 AM

Who gives a rats rear end ya’ 0bama fluffin’ nutball!

Carter was sooo much better than the Zero it doesn’t matter how much less a man Romney is than Reagan.

cozmo on March 28, 2012 at 10:42 AM

That there swamps my take! I had the Romney doesn’t hate America notion that Del put out but that covers it and then some.

DanMan on March 28, 2012 at 11:45 AM

Are you sure putting a former Mormon on the ticket will do the trick?

2 Mormons on a ticket?

liberal4life on March 28, 2012 at 11:35 AM

Mormon theology is certainly looked on as odd and incorrect by many Americans. However, are you that confident that it will lose a palatability contest to Black Liberation Theology among voters who would rather overlook article 6 of the constitution?

Kataklysmic on March 28, 2012 at 11:48 AM

Er, like Reagan, he doesn’t Hate America like O’bama does?

You’ve really been hanging around KeninCT’s website too long.

Del Dolemonte on March 28, 2012 at 10:48 AM

That one reason alone is enough. Broken glass.

slickwillie2001 on March 28, 2012 at 11:56 AM

Can you name some Characteristics Reagan had that Willard also has?

libtard4life on March 28, 2012 at 10:39 AM

Better yet, why don’t you name some characteristics of Reagan?

cicerone on March 28, 2012 at 10:42 AM

2 Mormons on a ticket?

liberal4life on March 28, 2012 at 11:35 AM

Translated: “I can’t answer cicerone’s simple question.”

Del Dolemonte on March 28, 2012 at 12:20 PM

It would be much simpler to just go with a D/R/I of 100/0/0. Get the CORRECT result every time.

jukin3 on March 28, 2012 at 12:34 PM

2 Mormons on a ticket?

liberal4life on March 28, 2012 at 11:35 AM

Hay lib, hows about one of your heroes Harry Reid? Isn’t he one of your “cult” Mormons?

sandee on March 28, 2012 at 12:38 PM

Kataklysmic on March 28, 2012 at 11:48 AM

Low hanging fruit tastes just as good doesn’t it?

DanMan on March 28, 2012 at 12:41 PM

Get ready for Democratic and black leadership-fomented African-American and liberal riots when The One loses big time.

We are in a national crisis comparable to the period of the election of 1860 in that the nation is sharply divided in two. This time the national rift is between Constitutional fiscally-prudent small-government conservative and independent makers versus anti-Constitutional big-government big-spending nanny-state liberal takers. There is no middle ground between the two ideologies, there can be no compromise. There is no moderate or middle position, even though people may think it so. The undecided masses are simply the clueless sheeple. This election might be the tipping point into chaos, no matter who is elected.

Too bad the Republicans do not have a strong candidate that can rise to the occasion but will inevitably muddle through his presidency, and will merely manage the Great Decline of America.

AttaBoyLuther on March 28, 2012 at 12:46 PM

Rasmussen reports just came out with a poll also suggesting Obama up big against Romney and Santorum in Ohio. The Republican civil war appears to have screwed us.

sheikh of thornton on March 28, 2012 at 1:37 PM

2 Mormons on a ticket?

liberal4life on March 28, 2012 at 11:35 AM

Hay lib, hows about one of your heroes Harry Reid? Isn’t he one of your “cult” Mormons?

sandee on March 28, 2012 at 12:38 PM

And don’t forget these Mormon Congress Critters:

Sen. Tom Udall, D-New Mexico, elected in 2008.

Rep. Jim Matheson, D-Utah, elected in 2000.

Rep. Eni Faleomavaega, D-American Samoa, is one of five territorial representatives in the House. He is in his 13th term as American Samoa’s nonvoting delegate.

Del Dolemonte on March 28, 2012 at 1:39 PM

Del Dolemonte on March 28, 2012 at 1:39 PM

As libtart would say; they are okay, those are house mormons.

cozmo on March 28, 2012 at 2:03 PM

Are you sure putting a former Mormon on the ticket will do the trick?

2 Mormons on a ticket?

liberal4life on March 28, 2012 at 11:35 AM

Better than 2 MORONS on the ticket (Obama/Biden).

Besides, all the bigots will be voting for Obama anyway.

Dark Star on March 28, 2012 at 2:21 PM

The key is how people feel about their future. Only 20 percent think they are better off than when Obama took office. He is history. A lot of folks will not vote for someone who has made life more miserable.

Ta111 on March 28, 2012 at 10:05 AM

Too simplistic.

In 1997 the UK Labour party gained about 11.5 million votes, and won the election.

In 2001 the UK labour party gained about 10.7 million votes, and won the election.

In 2005 the UK labour party gained about 9.5 million votes, and won the election.

So despite losing lots of support (-17% from 1997 to 2005), they still won the elections. The reasons were fragmentation of the vote among smaller parties (less of an issue in the USA) and lack of credible opposition thus leaving many people feeling unable to vote for any candidate.

YiZhangZhe on March 28, 2012 at 2:50 PM

Eisenhower, Nixon, Bush 41, Bush 42 and whoever the republican is in 2012.

cozmo on March 28, 2012 at 11:15 AM

Bush 41, look what happened to him when he shifted to the moderate with his taxes, Gop lost to Clinton…Bush 42 ran as a conservative, hard core Reagan conservative…ended up fiscal liberal, but no doubt hard core conservative…so you go back to when the democrat party was not a “progressive” wild liberal party, with Nixon and Ike…You can see the problem now with Mitt.

right2bright on March 28, 2012 at 3:40 PM

there are many battles to go. Another debt ceiling thing in early fall (at the 16+ Trillion level. So another war…barry/press attack evil Rs. Dims will use this to maintain the energy level of their ‘base’ (ie the people who get FreeStuff and BigLoans and BailOuts…and their families)

And then barry.care..who knows how that will work. Either Rs are evil for not giving people FreeStuff…or, well, Rs are evil for resisting giving people FreeStuff. Barry’s Victory dance will be televised if Kennedy saves the world from the evils of conservatives. He’ll have to go on Ellen and do his victory dance with her.

And many more things…some that we don’t know

r keller on March 28, 2012 at 7:58 PM