Blue Virginia?

posted at 1:30 pm on March 24, 2012 by Jazz Shaw

Back in early February there were some signs of movement in the polls in Virginia which were troubling to the GOP. Barack Obama carried the Old Dominion in 2008, but over the first two years of his presidency, his numbers had effectively tanked. But riding a wave of good headlines, it looked like he could be mounting a comeback of sorts at that time. A snapshot like that can always be an outlier, though, so more data was needed.

Two polls in the past five days – neither from sources with generally suspect sample rates – look like the poor news could be morphing into a trend. Quinnipiac (the same source as the February poll) has Obama leading Romney 50-42 with a 51% approval rating. Then, as we moved toward the weekend, Rasmussen (never shy about giving Republicans their fair cut in surveys) put the President’s favorability in Virginia at the 50% mark with a nearly identical 51-42 lead over Mitt.

Doug Mataconis sees trouble brewing, but far from inevitable.

Interestingly enough it doesn’t appear that Rasmussen even bother polling Santorum v. Obama in the Old Dominion. There’s still seven months to go, of course, and anything can happen but if this holds up the GOP is going to have a big problem to contend with in a state that it cannot afford to lose and in which the Obama campaign is already on the ground organizing. This isn’t an automatic win for Obama either, of course, and the numbers are likely to tighten when the General Election race actually starts.

We can’t lose sight of the fact that it’s not even April yet and conditions on the ground will continue to ripen. Those of us who have run campaigns will attest that seven weeks is forever in an election. Seven months is enough time for an intelligent species of poodles to rise up and take over the planet. But still, it’s always more helpful to look at the trend lines than any single snapshot, and in Virginia the numbers are currently going the wrong way.


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7 months is an ETERNITY folks….

Tim Zank on March 24, 2012 at 1:34 PM

Which is why I’d bet the farm that Romney chooses McDonnell for VP…but will lose the state anyway.

ddrintn on March 24, 2012 at 1:34 PM

The recent anti-abortion bills, which I don’t have a problem with personally, have nonetheless not helped the GOP politically here.

changer1701 on March 24, 2012 at 1:36 PM

I wonder how much of that lead is due to large numbers of Deep Blue government employees who work in D.C. living just across the Potomac in northern Virgina. Or is the state as a whole shifting Democratic?

JimLennon on March 24, 2012 at 1:38 PM

I’m sure the fact that the whole of Northern VA is flush with public largesse isn’t helping matters.

Kataklysmic on March 24, 2012 at 1:39 PM

I’m waitin’ to see what kind of platform the poodles offer.

3dpuzzman on March 24, 2012 at 1:39 PM

It does not surprise me since Virginia made the top ten in most corrupt states.

Alborn on March 24, 2012 at 1:41 PM

Come on Virginia, stop being stupid.

Cindy Munford on March 24, 2012 at 1:42 PM

Alborn on March 24, 2012 at 1:41 PM

Probably based around the area near D.C..

Cindy Munford on March 24, 2012 at 1:43 PM

I’m waitin’ to see what kind of platform the poodles offer.

3dpuzzman on March 24, 2012 at 1:39 PM

Heh

Bitter Clinger on March 24, 2012 at 1:43 PM

I notice also that NC is pretty much Obama’s second or third home these days, outside of Hawaii and Air Force One.

ddrintn on March 24, 2012 at 1:43 PM

Amazing how little it takes for general public to forget recent history, if they actually ever knew any history.

Obama is a failure as potus, he excels however at lying.

He is still nothing more than a community organizer , nothing more..

RockyJ. on March 24, 2012 at 1:43 PM

Seven months is enough time for an intelligent species of poodles to rise up and take over the planet.

What? They haven’t already? Poodles can be nasty little dogs, kinda like liberals.

VA AG Ken Cuccinelli, one of the leaders in the lawsuit against Obamacare, just announced he’s running for governor of Virginia. I’d imagine that’ll influence the presidential race.

stukinIL4now on March 24, 2012 at 1:43 PM

sadly this might convince Romney to pick Bob McDonnell for VP

commodore on March 24, 2012 at 1:43 PM

Romney’s supporters think that conservatives southern voters don’t really matter, but marginal decreases in their turnout in November will cause Romney to lose VA and possibly NC.

besser tot als rot on March 24, 2012 at 1:44 PM

I’m waitin’ to see what kind of platform the poodles offer.

3dpuzzman on March 24, 2012 at 1:39 PM

LOL thanks I needed to laugh ….

conservative tarheel on March 24, 2012 at 1:46 PM

Here’s a crazy idea.

1. Romney stops telling conservatives to f**k off every day.
2. Romney starts attacking Obama instead of fellow Republicans

Right now the race is between a left wing Radical incumbent and left wing radical challenger. When all else is equal people stick with who they know.

angryed on March 24, 2012 at 1:47 PM

VA AG Ken Cuccinelli, one of the leaders in the lawsuit against Obamacare, just announced he’s running for governor of Virginia. I’d imagine that’ll influence the presidential race.

stukinIL4now on March 24, 2012 at 1:43 PM

Romney isn’t Cuccinelli. Cuccinelli challenged Obamacare whereas Romney penned the model for it. That said, Cuccinelli could get more conservatives to the polls; question is whether or not those conservatives leave president blank, vote third party, or choke down buckets of bile and pull the lever for Romney.

besser tot als rot on March 24, 2012 at 1:47 PM

Seven months is enough time for an intelligent species of poodles to rise up and take over the planet

While I firmly believe sentient poodles would govern much better than the current administration, I’m not holding out too much hope.

It amazes me that this election will be close. Any sane electorate should vote out Mr. Obama in a monumental landslide. Sadly, it does not appear that will be the case. In fact, I put the odds of re-election in President Obama’s favor at present.

If he is re-elected, I guess we are going to test the extreme limits of our national resiliency. This may be a storm from which our Republic will never fully recover.

MessesWithTexas on March 24, 2012 at 1:48 PM

Mittbots in Nov/Dec 2011: Look at the polls, Romney will beat Obama, he has to be the nominee since he’s electable.

Mittbots now: Polls really don’t mean anything this early.

angryed on March 24, 2012 at 1:48 PM

VA AG Ken Cuccinelli, one of the leaders in the lawsuit against Obamacare, just announced he’s running for governor of Virginia. I’d imagine that’ll influence the presidential race.

stukinIL4now on March 24, 2012 at 1:43 PM

It probably will, and not in a good way. The primary between Bolling and Cuccinelli will be ugly.

Also, the City of Richmond, the Hampton Roads area and the entirity of northern Virginia are Dem strongholds. Once we settle on a nominee, I think the polls will move in our favor a bit. But, it’s still gonna be a tough race to beat Obama.

BacaDog on March 24, 2012 at 1:48 PM

Seven months is enough time for an intelligent species of poodles to rise up and take over the planet.

To much of the skiffy channel.

Everybody knows poodles fight to much among themselves to be able to effectively take over the planet in seven months. It would take them a minimum of nine. Sheesh, do your homework. What is this place turning into? CBS?

cozmo on March 24, 2012 at 1:49 PM

i for one welcome the coming poodle domination.
i have been assimilated.

t8stlikchkn on March 24, 2012 at 1:51 PM

But if giving Obama another four years is the price to pay for requiring ultrasounds before abortions it was all worth it.

Mark1971 on March 24, 2012 at 1:51 PM

Romney’s supporters think that conservatives southern voters don’t really matter, but marginal decreases in their turnout in November will cause Romney to lose VA and possibly NC.

besser tot als rot on March 24, 2012 at 1:44 PM

And Georgia.

This is what the Mitt-tards don’t get. All the liberals voting for him in the primary will turn right around and vote Obama in the general. The cons that he is giving the finger to on a daily basis, might vote for him. Yet he does everything in his power to alienate the one group that he should have a lock on.

It’s mind boggling.

angryed on March 24, 2012 at 1:51 PM

Everybody knows poodles fight to much among themselves to be able to effectively take over the planet ………..

cozmo on March 24, 2012 at 1:49 PM

reminds me of hotgas primary voters…..

t8stlikchkn on March 24, 2012 at 1:51 PM

Duh, McDonnell for VP, if it’s Romney.

Schadenfreude on March 24, 2012 at 1:52 PM

Northern VA (aka DC metro area) quite likely………

The rest of VA …….. not a chance.

This dude needs to join the 9% + of jobless he is responsible for.

RealMc on March 24, 2012 at 1:52 PM

reminds me of hotgas primary voters…..

t8stlikchkn on March 24, 2012 at 1:51 PM

Democracy sucks, for the dummies.

Schadenfreude on March 24, 2012 at 1:52 PM

Obama has been very smart, diverting lots of federal money into Virginia, the economy here has been strong. NOVA is getting bigger and bigger every year and the VA suburbs are getting more and more racially diverse. None of which are good signs for the GOP.

libfreeordie on March 24, 2012 at 1:52 PM

Virginia’s next gubernatorial election is in 2013, so won’t directly affect turnout in November.

La Troienne on March 24, 2012 at 1:52 PM

I notice also that NC is pretty much Obama’s second or third home these days, outside of Hawaii and Air Force One.

ddrintn on March 24, 2012 at 1:43 PM

Rush was talking about this the other day:

RUSH: Well, let me share with you something I just saw today. Where did I see this? I think it was from the John Locke Foundation blog in North Carolina. I don’t have it in front of me. I was just looking for it while you were speaking. I thought I had printed it out but I didn’t so I have to do this off the top of my head, but that’s a pretty good piece and I think I’ve got this down pat. Here’s the theory. The theory is that the swing state in this election is going to be North Carolina, that Obama cannot win without it no matter what else he does.

Now, just follow me on this. I’m just telling what’s out there. That’s the reason Obama’s headed in there every other day. That’s why the convention is there. They won it in ’08 but they’re having problems now. And furthermore, the theory goes that this election is going to turn on 45,000 people in the Raleigh-Durham what is called The Triangle Area. These 45,000 people are upper middle-class families that make $75,000 a year, and they are apolitical. They are not committed Democrats or Republicans. But the way they line up is how this election is going to turn out. And the theory that’s espoused in this piece is that the only Republican these people are gonna vote for is Mitt Romney.

Without giving you all the detailed reasons, it has to do with the fact that they’re not political. It’s not that they’re moderates. It’s just that they’re apolitical. But, if at the time something comes along — and if, for example, the social issues are being discussed — whoever they perceive as being most aggressive, they’ll vote against. Whoever they perceive being most aggressive on the economy, they’ll vote against. These are people that are hands off. They distrust politicians and political people, and for whatever reason… Now, during the break I’m gonna print this out and I’m gonna get all the answers to the questions that you have as you listen to me explain this.

Kataklysmic on March 24, 2012 at 1:53 PM

Even if Romney wins VA, the fact it’s even close means he has no hope nationwide. In 2004, Bush won it by 9% and won overall by 3%. If Romney’s down 8% now, you can pretty much kiss the election good bye.

angryed on March 24, 2012 at 1:54 PM

I’m waitin’ to see what kind of platform the poodles offer.

3dpuzzman on March 24, 2012 at 1:39 PM

my sources tell me its BASED on romneycare. tho the poodles say they will repeal obamacare. weird.

t8stlikchkn on March 24, 2012 at 1:55 PM

Obama has been very smart, diverting lots of federal money into Virginia, the economy here has been strong. NOVA is getting bigger and bigger every year and the VA suburbs are getting more and more racially diverse. None of which are good signs for the GOP.

libfreeordie on March 24, 2012 at 1:52 PM

Buying votes, one suburb at a time. That’s the Hope N Change you voted for?

angryed on March 24, 2012 at 1:56 PM

Virginia is filling to the brim with ultra liberals and is no longer a conservative state.

rplat on March 24, 2012 at 1:57 PM

No worries! The Obama 2012 absentee ballots have been ready since last summer!

Roy Rogers on March 24, 2012 at 1:57 PM

Democracy sucks, for the dummies.

Schadenfreude on March 24, 2012 at 1:52 PM

if by “democracy” you mean fighting amonst ourselves like rabid poodles, count me in with the “dummies”. peace bro.

t8stlikchkn on March 24, 2012 at 1:57 PM

I’ll vote for the poodle candidate.

Ragnar Danneskold on March 24, 2012 at 1:58 PM

JimLennon on March 24, 2012 at 1:38 PM

Ummmm, I can assure you that is the government employees living in VA that give obaka a bump…which I don’t believe, quite frankly.

Unless it’s the welfare peeps in SW Virginia, who choose to ignore that obaka has killed their coal jobs….

ladyingray on March 24, 2012 at 1:58 PM

Romney isn’t Cuccinelli. Cuccinelli challenged Obamacare whereas Romney penned the model for it. That said, Cuccinelli could get more conservatives to the polls; question is whether or not those conservatives leave president blank, vote third party, or choke down buckets of bile and pull the lever for Romney.

besser tot als rot on March 24, 2012 at 1:47 PM

Cuccinelli won’t be on the ballot in Nov…we don’t vote for governor again until next year.

Even if Romney wins VA, the fact it’s even close means he has no hope nationwide. In 2004, Bush won it by 9% and won overall by 3%. If Romney’s down 8% now, you can pretty much kiss the election good bye.

angryed on March 24, 2012 at 1:54 PM

As a reminder, it’s March. Plus, Obama won VA last time, and he’s the incumbent…of course it’s going to be tight here. Santy or Newt don’t do any better than Romney against the One, either.

changer1701 on March 24, 2012 at 1:58 PM

Come on Virginia, stop being stupid.

Cindy Munford on March 24, 2012 at 1:42 PM

.
You know very well that The People’s Republic of Northern Virginia and Hampton/Newport News as well as Norfolk/Portsmouth/Virginia Beach will go heavily for Teh Ø! Chesapeake is conservative as is the great sweep through Suffolk through the southern James to Chesterfield. Areas west of Richmond are highly conservative except for The Charlottesville Collective.
.
In Virginia, location matters a great deal and some urban areas are deeply blue.

ExpressoBold on March 24, 2012 at 2:00 PM

and VA will probably run the maccaca loser again for Senate seat. Rs are dumb enough to think that Allen is soooo brilliant that he’ll just do fine and get back what he undeservedly lost last time

to me toast is toast…time to move on

r keller on March 24, 2012 at 2:00 PM

but marginal decreases in their turnout in November will cause Romney to lose VA and possibly NC.

besser tot als rot on March 24, 2012 at 1:44 PM

NC for sure, with all their welfare cases, VA can still be won.

ladyingray on March 24, 2012 at 2:01 PM

I’d love to see a count of HA posters on how many are just wishing Obama gets a second term to either:

1) vindicate Palin or
2) teach the Republican establishment a thing or two.

I can only hope you would look forward and realize what this means for your future and our country. Take a look around your office. How many people were there last year vs. this year? Read a few of your bank statements. Occasionally glance at your financial planning records. Go fill your gas tank.

Think ahead.

salem on March 24, 2012 at 2:01 PM

angryed on March 24, 2012 at 1:54 PM

obama won VA in 08 52+ to 46.
if you really think 3.5-4% wont defect, i think you are not thinking clearly. but what do i know, you’ve got i figured. and it sure makes sense.

t8stlikchkn on March 24, 2012 at 2:03 PM

salem on March 24, 2012 at 2:01 PM

Romney whiner

Put away your cigars, crowns and sniffles.

Schadenfreude on March 24, 2012 at 2:03 PM

But if giving Obama another four years is the price to pay for requiring ultrasounds before abortions it was all worth it.

Mark1971 on March 24, 2012 at 1:51 PM

If you give obaka another 4 years, abortions will be required at the whim of Secretary Sebilious.

Jeebus, but you people are stupid…

ladyingray on March 24, 2012 at 2:04 PM

Think ahead.

salem on March 24, 2012 at 2:01 PM

.
Good advice, in spite of your smug, preachy delivery…

ExpressoBold on March 24, 2012 at 2:05 PM

I believe I read a month or so ago that mo had gone to VI? I believe that was the state and she said they would be sick of seeing her and bho come to the state? I don’t have any quote to give you on the state, but mo did say sick of seeing them. Lets hope VI doesn’t fall for bho’s krap this time!
L

letget on March 24, 2012 at 2:05 PM

salem on March 24, 2012 at 2:01 PM

dont start man. its hopeless. too mnay adoloecents on here. they are apparently letting emotion cloud their reasoning. its really sad. if you keep this up sooner or later someones gonna say you hate democracy. oh, and you’re an idiot ta boot. i welcome the coming salem domination, to hell with the poodles.

t8stlikchkn on March 24, 2012 at 2:05 PM

Very soon how Northern Virginia goes is how the state will go.

All the good jobs in VA are closer to DC.

liberal4life on March 24, 2012 at 2:05 PM

and VA will probably run the maccaca loser again for Senate seat

Allen is runnng against Radtke for the GOP nomination. The winner will go up against Tim Kaine.

Not that it means much right now, but the polls show a dead heat between Allen and Kaine.

BacaDog on March 24, 2012 at 2:06 PM

Yeah, but looks like we’re going to end up with the most electable, “safe” GOP candidate. Why worry?/

Dr. ZhivBlago on March 24, 2012 at 2:07 PM

In Virginia, location matters a great deal and some urban areas are deeply blue.

ExpressoBold on March 24, 2012 at 2:00 PM

i think the issue in VA may be the white down scale less than college voters. my entire VA family is that. all dems. all voting against obama, not for anybody on our side. but voting against obama. i think thats where the 4% swing comes from. just a guess.

t8stlikchkn on March 24, 2012 at 2:08 PM

cozmo on March 24, 2012 at 1:49 PM

Knowing the difference between ‘to’ and ‘too’ would greatly impact your argument…

ladyingray on March 24, 2012 at 2:09 PM

All the good jobs in VA are closer to DC.

liberal4life on March 24, 2012 at 2:05 PM

While the nation sinks deeper in debt funding them.

Bitter Clinger on March 24, 2012 at 2:09 PM

All the good jobs in VA are closer to DC.

liberal4life on March 24, 2012 at 2:05 PM

If by “good” you mean gubmit’ jobs, you’re right. The rest of your comment about remainder of Va is just pure idiocy.

BacaDog on March 24, 2012 at 2:09 PM

I notice also that NC is pretty much Obama’s second or third home these days, outside of Hawaii and Air Force One.

ddrintn on March 24, 2012 at 1:43 PM

NC was always important, but now that our incumbent Democratic governor, Beverly Perdue, is not seeking re-election (hmmm . . . wonder why?), Obama needs to do some shoring up of support after that embarassment.

DrStock on March 24, 2012 at 2:09 PM

Mr Maccaca will cost Willard this state as well as the Senate.

The idea that the racist George Allen can get back into congress is a joke

liberal4life on March 24, 2012 at 2:10 PM

Alborn on March 24, 2012 at 1:41 PM

Probably based around the area near D.C..

Cindy Munford on March 24, 2012 at 1:43 PM

Exactly: it’s all the Communists in Fairfax and Arlington Counties. It’s a bit better out here in Loudoun, but not much. I suspect everything south runs blood-red, though…

affenhauer on March 24, 2012 at 2:10 PM

I’d love to see a count of HA posters on how many are just wishing Obama gets a second term to either:

1) vindicate Palin or
2) teach the Republican establishment a thing or two.

I can only hope you would look forward and realize what this means for your future and our country. Take a look around your office. How many people were there last year vs. this year? Read a few of your bank statements. Occasionally glance at your financial planning records. Go fill your gas tank.

Think ahead.

salem on March 24, 2012 at 2:01 PM

I’m not sure I understand what you’re raving about. There are people who refuse to vote for Romney — and some who won’t vote for the other candidates, too, if they’re the nominee — I don’t think there are very many people who go as far as wishing for Obama to be reelected. Perhaps there are one or two, max but why let reality ruin a righteous rant?

JannyMae on March 24, 2012 at 2:11 PM

Very soon how Northern Virginia goes is how the state will go.

All the good jobs in VA are closer to DC.

liberal4life on March 24, 2012 at 2:05 PM

Do you live here? It’s clear you don’t know what you’re talking about (nothing new about that, of course).

changer1701 on March 24, 2012 at 2:13 PM

affenhauer on March 24, 2012 at 2:10 PM

check 2008:
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_presidential_election_in_Virginia,_2008

counties dont vote, but theres a lot of red yes, everywhere but Nova and tideater. and looks like maybe charlottesvile there dead center

t8stlikchkn on March 24, 2012 at 2:14 PM

liberal4life on March 24, 2012 at 2:10 PM

So predictable. What about Biden’s 7-eleven blunder? What will that cost the Democrats? Anything? Of course not. Selective outrage on full display.

DrStock on March 24, 2012 at 2:14 PM

Mr Maccaca will cost Willard this state as well as the Senate.

The idea that the racist George Allen can get back into congress is a joke

liberal4life on March 24, 2012 at 2:10 PM

Allen will win.

The campaign ads are already written and they’ll show old eyebrow Tim over and over in all his glory as head of the DNC. He was almost as big a shill as your current chairwoman, Debbie Downer.

BacaDog on March 24, 2012 at 2:14 PM

This makes me wonder. I had a call to participate in a survey on my cell the other day (live in the suburbs of Richmond). I was willing to do it until they started saying that the “sponsors” of the poll were awarding prizes at which point I hung up, assuming telemarketers had found yet another way to pester us. But given that the libs are all about giving away “free” stuff, maybe only the libs answered (thinking they were getting something free) and that’s why the polls are leaning left?? (shrugs)

nachomama on March 24, 2012 at 2:14 PM

liberal4life on March 24, 2012 at 2:10 PM

Please provide the dictionary definition of “Maccaca”…

ladyingray on March 24, 2012 at 2:14 PM

Way to soon.

rubberneck on March 24, 2012 at 2:14 PM

Mr Maccaca will cost Willard this state as well as the Senate.

The idea that the racist George Allen can get back into congress is a joke

liberal4life on March 24, 2012 at 2:10 PM

I hear his typical white grandmother was neither clean, nor articulate.

Kataklysmic on March 24, 2012 at 2:14 PM

Do you live here? It’s clear you don’t know what you’re talking about (nothing new about that, of course).

changer1701 on March 24, 2012 at 2:13 PM

I have a condo in Fairfax

liberal4life on March 24, 2012 at 2:15 PM

Knowing the difference between ‘to’ and ‘too’ would greatly impact your argument…

ladyingray on March 24, 2012 at 2:09 PM

Maybe, but maybe it was a test to smoke out the grammar police.

cozmo on March 24, 2012 at 2:15 PM

I hear his typical white grandmother was neither clean, nor articulate.

Kataklysmic on March 24, 2012 at 2:14 PM

Definitely not storybook, man.

tom daschle concerned on March 24, 2012 at 2:16 PM

nachomama on March 24, 2012 at 2:14 PM

Nachomama? Had dinner and drinks there last week.

I live in Short Pump.

BacaDog on March 24, 2012 at 2:16 PM

I live in southwest Virginia. With the exceptions of Roanoke, The People’s Republic of Blacksburg and The People’s Republic of Abingdon, it’s going to be anyone anything running against Obama, including week old road kill.

Dems used to have a lock on the coal fields of far southwest, but the EPA has changed many minds there. Southside from Martinsville to Franklin is anyone’s guess. The Demokratik People’s Republik of Northern Virginia is the government housing area for DC bureaucrats, and can be assured of tongue bathing voting Baraka.

TugboatPhil on March 24, 2012 at 2:16 PM

Of course seven weeks is an eternity. Lest we forget, McCain/Palin was up in the polls into September when the Democrats at Fannie Mae triggered the collapse.

John the Libertarian on March 24, 2012 at 2:16 PM

counties dont vote

t8stlikchkn on March 24, 2012 at 2:14 PM

True, but their residents do…

affenhauer on March 24, 2012 at 2:17 PM

I have a condo in Fairfax

liberal4life on March 24, 2012 at 2:15 PM

ROFLMAO!!!!

DrStock on March 24, 2012 at 2:17 PM

ROFLMAO!!!!

DrStock on March 24, 2012 at 2:17 PM

I second that…

affenhauer on March 24, 2012 at 2:19 PM

Besides, liberal4life IF Algore had won his supposed “home state” of Tennessee, FloriDUH wouldn’t have mattered at all…

ladyingray on March 24, 2012 at 2:21 PM

Put away your cigars, crowns and sniffles.

Schadenfreude on March 24, 2012 at 2:03 PM

Wearing my tiara right now. Martinis and cigars later. I always carry a monogrammed hankie. :)

salem on March 24, 2012 at 2:22 PM

Would we win Mass if Romney was the nominee?

MGardner on March 24, 2012 at 2:22 PM

Maybe, but maybe it was a test to smoke out the grammar police.

cozmo on March 24, 2012 at 2:15 PM

Nope.

ladyingray on March 24, 2012 at 2:22 PM

ladyingray on March 24, 2012 at 2:21 PM

That never gets old.

cozmo on March 24, 2012 at 2:23 PM

t8stlikchkn on March 24, 2012 at 2:14 PM

.
I told ya! Didn’t I tell ya? Yeah, I did!

ExpressoBold on March 24, 2012 at 2:23 PM

Nope.

ladyingray on March 24, 2012 at 2:22 PM

Then get out of my head.

cozmo on March 24, 2012 at 2:24 PM

Romney’s supporters think that conservatives southern voters don’t really matter, but marginal decreases in their turnout in November will cause Romney to lose VA and possibly NC.

besser tot als rot on March 24, 2012 at 1:44 PM

And Georgia.

This is what the Mitt-tards don’t get. All the liberals voting for him in the primary will turn right around and vote Obama in the general. The cons that he is giving the finger to on a daily basis, might vote for him. Yet he does everything in his power to alienate the one group that he should have a lock on.

It’s mind boggling.

angryed on March 24, 2012 at 1:51 PM

You’re delusional if you think Romney or any other Republican will lose Georgia.

midgeorgian on March 24, 2012 at 2:24 PM

http://argojournal.blogspot.com/2012/03/poll-watch-rasmussen-r-virginia-2012_22.html

Rasmussen (R) Virginia 2012 Presidential Poll

Barack Obama 51% [49%] (45%)
Mitt Romney 42% [43%] (46%)
Barack Obama 53% [51%]
Rick Santorum 39% [43%]
How would you rate the job Barack Obama has been doing as President?

Strongly approve 34% [31%]
Somewhat approve 19% [20%]
Somewhat disapprove 5% [8%]
Strongly disapprove 40% [38%]

Rasmussen did poll Santorum he just made you have a password to get the toplines for the santorum matchup.

Santorum is Rasmussen’s guy and when there is bad polling he makes you use a password to get the polling. Rasmussen has openly called for newt to get out of the way to give santorum a one on one matchup.

Virginia is going bad because virginia residents are bombarded with the beltway rat media pounding home the war on women bs all the time.

ryandan on March 24, 2012 at 2:26 PM

Would we win Mass if Romney was the nominee?

MGardner on March 24, 2012 at 2:22 PM

Nevermind, I see there are some polls saying Obama would crush Romney in Mass…

MGardner on March 24, 2012 at 2:27 PM

You’re delusional if you think Romney or any other Republican will lose Georgia.

midgeorgian on March 24, 2012 at 2:24 PM

There’s lots of delusional folks runnin’ around here lately predicting a 50 state sweep if Romney, or Santorum, or Gingrich is the nominee. Depending on what flavor of nutball it is.

cozmo on March 24, 2012 at 2:27 PM

I have a condo in Fairfax

liberal4life on March 24, 2012 at 2:15 PM

.
Do you take the train into DC for your job or do you ride one of the thousands of commuter buses? Because DC-area traffic is as bad as LA-area traffic and not improving. Taxes need to be increased on NoVa residents to pay for their gas and road addiction.
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Ever tried to get into Tyson’s Corner from Thanksgiving to January 2? That’s the very definition of “gridlock.” You people need to start paying your fair share of transportion costs.

ExpressoBold on March 24, 2012 at 2:28 PM

Democrats have been massacred at every level in Virginia since 2008. In 2011 the GOP took control of the state legislature for this first time in years. I can’t imagine what could turn it around this year. Yes, there is a lot of federal money sloshing around in Arlington and Fairfax counties, but outside of those areas, Democrats are as popular as the clap.

One of my oldest friends is the new registrar of voters in Fairfax County. If there was any fraud involved in 2008, and many people think there was, there won’t be this time. Do not underestimate how crooked that 2008 election was in many of these formerly-red states.

rockmom on March 24, 2012 at 2:29 PM

always remember, Carter was up 18 over Reagan in May 1980…

mjbrooks3 on March 24, 2012 at 2:29 PM

It’s difficult to believe any polls that do not include nominees from both sides. Most of the country doesn’t know Romney, Virginia doesn’t know Romney, so the poll is meaningless.

There are many things coming up which could sway the election, or at least get more people involved. If the Supreme Court doesn’t strike down the Obamacare mandate, there will be a scramble among conservatives to oget a Republican elected so Obama can’t get any more picks on the court. If it goes the other way, it could get Democrats more involved to get the court their way.

Aside from that, I believe most people are just fed up with Obama and company and feel the need for change, real change. I can’t imagine anyone wanting for more years of blaming everyone else for your problems, class warfare, and race baiting politics.

bflat879 on March 24, 2012 at 2:29 PM

Very soon how Northern Virginia goes is how the state will go.

All the good jobs in VA are closer to DC.

liberal4life on March 24, 2012 at 2:05 PM

…most of Maryland and Northern Virginia have been a suburb of DC for at least a decade or two…did you just come out of moms basement, or something?

KOOLAID2 on March 24, 2012 at 2:30 PM

We need to win Ohio or Virginia, preferably both…

MGardner on March 24, 2012 at 2:31 PM

I can’t imagine anyone wanting for more years of blaming everyone else for your problems, class warfare, and race baiting politics.

bflat879 on March 24, 2012 at 2:29 PM

But, enough about Santorum…

BacaDog on March 24, 2012 at 2:32 PM

McDonnell won by 17 in 2009.
Obama won by 6 in 2008…

mjbrooks3 on March 24, 2012 at 2:33 PM

Cuccinelli won’t be on the ballot in Nov…we don’t vote for governor again until next year.

changer1701 on March 24, 2012 at 1:58 PM

Right. Forgot about that. It hasn’t even been that long since I lived in VA. Should have remembered.

besser tot als rot on March 24, 2012 at 2:33 PM

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