Open thread: Illinois; Update: Exit poll added; Update: Fox News calls it for Romney; Video: Romney speech added

posted at 7:37 pm on March 20, 2012 by Allahpundit

Polls close at 8 p.m. ET. Hey, remember six days ago when this was going to be Santorum’s last, best chance to steal a major “Romney state” away from Romney (in the midwest, no less) and make a real race of this thing? According to the pollsters, that chance has come and gone. I wonder why.

As much as I enjoy the all-night election threads, looks like we’re destined for this one to be called promptly at eight. Exit polls and video of the speeches will follow below but no cliffhangers tonight, alas. Ask not for whom the bell tolls, says Nate Silver — it tolls for Sweater Vest:

In fact, Mr. Santorum now looks like he’ll win no more than a third of the 54 delegates that are at stake on Tuesday. Illinois awards its delegates entirely by Congressional district — two to four at a time. If Mr. Santorum is losing the state by 10 or more points, he is unlikely to win any of the 12 Congressional districts that are divided between Chicago and its suburbs. And he has no chance at all of winning the 13th Congressional District, which is more favorable to him but where he failed to get enough signatures to get his delegates on the ballot…

Say that Mr. Romney wins the 16th Congressional District, which includes some areas on the far outskirts of the Chicago metro area, but Mr. Romney holds the other four. That would make the delegate count for the night Romney 40, Santorum 14, and put Mr. Romney ahead by almost 300 delegates — 561 to 267 — in the national total.

That isn’t a close race, nor is it one that it is likely to require a brokered convention to resolve. If that is the count after Illinois votes, Mr. Romney would require only 46 percent of the remaining delegates to clinch a majority (he was won about 55 percent so far), and only 39 percent to clinch a plurality.

Per Jeff Greenfield, there may be one last path left to deny Romney the nomination. Change the rules:

If Romney has not secured the nomination by the time the delegates convene in Tampa, Fla., at the end of August, the prospects for a genuine floor fight are greater than you might imagine. The reason is that delegates who are bound or pledged to a candidate are only obligated to follow his wishes when it comes to voting for a nominee. And in most contentious conventions, it is a fight over the rules that has effectively determined the nominee…

Suppose the challenge to Romney is broader, and that, like the Kennedy forces did in 1980, the opposition offers a rule to free all the delegates from their commitments on the ground that the primaries have demonstrated Romney’s weakness. Here, we could see a number of delegates bound to Romney vote to liberate themselves from the obligation to vote for him. (Again, we should note that delegates bound to vote for Romney as the nominee don’t have to side with him on other votes that stand to determine his fate.) Sure, most delegates would probably stand by the former governor on grounds of loyalty, fairness or fear of reprisals. But if Romney has not garnered a large enough share of delegates by convention time, it would not take many defections to make every delegate a free agent, and thus turn the whole convention upside down.

Maybe, but don’t forget that there are 123 superdelegates in the mix too, the vast majority of which are likely to break for Mitt in the interest of avoiding a floor fight if he shows up in Tampa on the cusp of 1,144. If he rolls out a pledge from, say, 100 superdelegates to back him and that puts him over the top, how likely is it that the other delegates will refuse him a nomination that he’s essentially clinched?

Here’s CNN’s Illinois election page for real-time results. You know the drill by now: Metro areas (i.e. Cook County and its surroundings) belong to Team Mitt, rural areas belong to Team Sweater. Whoever overperforms in the other’s stronghold will have a good night. Updates to come below. Exit question one: Can Romney hit 50 percent? If so, I wonder if he’ll use his victory speech to formally call on Santorum and Gingrich to drop out. If not, expect the media narrative tomorrow to look something like this. Exit question two: How much longer can Newt hold on? He already has as much campaign debt as cash on hand and the donations are drying up.

Update: Michele Bachmann: “At this point, we would be better off if we could unify around a candidate, whoever that candidate may be.”

Update: Preliminary exit polls already looking good for Romney:

Preliminary exit poll results find that six in 10 Illinois voters see Romney as the candidate with the best chance of beating Barack Obama, a bit better than his average across exit polls this year. More strikingly, Romney also leads Rick Santorum, albeit narrowly, as the candidate who “best understands the problems of average Americans.”

It’s only the second state, of six where the question’s been asked, in which Romney’s been poised to beat his rivals on empathy. The other was Florida.

Update: Here’s the exit poll promptly at 8 p.m. No call yet, but assuming the exits are right, Romney wins by 10 points with 45 percent of the vote. Back with highlights in a moment.

Update: Demographics have been destiny so far in the primaries and Illinois is no different. Scroll through the exits and you’ll see lots of familiar trends: Santorum wins voters with no college education while Romney wins college grads and up; Santorum wins lower-income voters while Romney wins the rich; Santorum wins the “very conservative” while Romney cleans up with centrists and independents; Santorum dominates among evangelicals while Romney dominates among non-evangelicals; Santorum crushes Romney among those who say it’s most important that the candidate’s a “true conservative” while Romney crushes Santorum on electability. Two interesting outlier data points, though — and bear in mind that the exit numbers will change slightly over the course of the evening as more data comes in. First, Mitt Romney, the tea party choice?

And second, Mitt Romney, the Catholic choice — in a landslide:

And then there’s this. When I first looked at the exits, it broke 48/40 for Mitt. As CNN’s refined the data, it’s shrunk:

That supports the conventional wisdom on Newt dropping out. Santorum closes the gap, but not enough to win. And Romney actually picks up a few votes, which puts him a tiny bit closer to winning a majority of delegates.

Update: At 8:33, the FNC decision desk says it’s all over. Now we wait for the speeches and to see how close Romney gets to 50 percent.

Update: Just got a blast e-mail from Team Newt. No gracious concession tonight:

“To defeat Barack Obama, Republicans can’t nominate a candidate who relies on outspending his opponents 7-1. Instead, we need a nominee who offers powerful solutions that hold the president accountable for his failures. Over the past few weeks, my $2.50 gas plan has shown how America could have cheaper gas, more jobs and greater national security while putting the White House on the defense over their anti-American energy policies. This is the type of leadership I can offer as the nominee, and this campaign will spend between now and when the delegates vote in Tampa relentlessly taking the fight to President Obama to make this case.”

Update: Here’s your tweet of the day from Newt, who’s dead last in Illinois as I write this — behind even Ron Paul:

Low turnout tonight. A nominee that depresses turnout won’t beat @BarackObama. Still time for a conservative. Join us

Update: Don’t look now, but with 53 percent reporting, not only is Romney outperforming the exit polls, he’s tantalizingly close to 50 percent. Right now he leads Santorum 48/34.

Update: Here’s Romney’s speech; read the corresponding NBC analysis for data points on why this might, might, might finally be proof that Republicans are grudgingly coming around to him. With the possible exception of Florida, this is the biggest win of his campaign. Next up: Wisconsin.

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Are the primaries FINALLY over?

Good…

Khun Joe on March 20, 2012 at 7:39 PM

Second, and they’re not over til at least Texas.

vegconservative on March 20, 2012 at 7:40 PM

Wow, Allah thanks for the tune. You should drop in at QOTD sometime./

Bmore on March 20, 2012 at 7:40 PM

“In a few short days, Republicans from across this country will decide more than their party’s nominee. They will decide the very future of our party and the conservative coalition that Ronald Reagan built.

Conservatives can no longer afford to stand on the sidelines in this election, and Governor Romney is the candidate who will stand up for the conservative principles that we hold dear,” said Senator Santorum.

“Governor Romney has a deep understanding of the important issues confronting our country today, and he is the clear conservative candidate that can go into the general election with a united Republican party.”…

-Santorum in 2008

Santy was cool with it four years ago.

cicerone on March 20, 2012 at 7:41 PM

Latest figures show Romney outspent Santorum 7 to 1, he needs to win with a 30 point margin to consider it a success

liberal4life on March 20, 2012 at 7:41 PM

It’s ABOUT TIME this post was put up.

You could have spent a little more time on the headline, though.

This is a huge primary in Illinois today.

If Rick Santorum doesn’t win tonight, he NEEDS TO DROP OUT for the good of the party and the good of the country.

bluegill on March 20, 2012 at 7:44 PM

What? Another Romney coronation?

trigon on March 20, 2012 at 7:45 PM

I’m with Bachmann. Enough already. I’ve got a headache.

msupertas on March 20, 2012 at 7:45 PM

Heres a CLUSTERFARK!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
————————————

Officials throughout Illinois report thousands of ballots cast were slightly too wide to fit in the counting machines
**************************************************

Submitted 2 mins ago from http://www.chicagotribune.com
http://www.breakingnews.com/
=============================

canopfor on March 20, 2012 at 7:45 PM

Got back from voting 45 minutes ago. I was the only one in the place, they said it had been slow and steady. I got a laugh when I responded, “like a glacier?”

Scott P on March 20, 2012 at 7:45 PM

Latest figures show Romney outspent Santorum 7 to 1, he needs to win with a 30 point margin to consider it a success

liberal4life on March 20, 2012 at 7:41 PM

If he becomes President, too bad he can’t continue buying his votes in Congress. He’ll want to.

RBMN on March 20, 2012 at 7:46 PM

Oh well, if the GOP goes any further left. In 2016, we’ll have to nominate a democrat.

Raquel Pinkbullet on March 20, 2012 at 7:46 PM

Coronation?

How can a long hard fought primary process be called a coronation?

VorDaj on March 20, 2012 at 7:47 PM

No one is dropping out after this, whether Mitt-l-shmerz wins or not. Personally, I like it. Let it play out all the way to the end. If Romney is damned great he should have won every contest so far by overwhelming margins. He hasn’t, despite the vicious attack ads and millions spent.

If he wins, I’ll vote for him. Until then, a big fat statist MEH.

Rixon on March 20, 2012 at 7:47 PM

bluegill on March 20, 2012 at 7:44 PM

So did you enjoy the video of Rmoney that Allah posted earlier?

Bmore on March 20, 2012 at 7:47 PM

It’s ABOUT TIME this post was put up.

You could have spent a little more time on the headline, though.

This is a huge primary in Illinois today.

If Rick Santorum doesn’t win tonight, he NEEDS TO DROP OUT for the good of the party and the good of the country.

bluegill on March 20, 2012 at 7:44 PM

You’re more than welcome to leave and find a blog with which you’re satisfied….or is Daily Kos paying you too much money to moby?

GOPRanknFile on March 20, 2012 at 7:48 PM

How can a long hard fought primary process be called a coronation?

VorDaj on March 20, 2012 at 7:47 PM

It might be a coronation if they can staple the little paper crown to his scalp.

trigon on March 20, 2012 at 7:48 PM

bluegill on March 20, 2012 at 7:44 PM

Sorry gilled one I forgot the link. Here ya go.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?feature=player_embedded&v=bxch-yi14BE

Bmore on March 20, 2012 at 7:49 PM

If you have any sense, grow up and feel lucky.

Denver got a great QB today and we got a great challenger.

And tons of money were involved in both things.

Don’t let them say otherwise, nothing wrong with that.

God Bless America.

IlikedAUH2O on March 20, 2012 at 7:49 PM

According to the pollsters, that chance has come and gone. I wonder why.

Maybe because Santy is a nanny state social con who can only speak about non issues like porn, birth control and English in Puerto Rico? Maybe?

V7_Sport on March 20, 2012 at 7:50 PM

Illinois?
GO CUBBIES GO!!
*Sorry. slinks away in shame*

annoyinglittletwerp on March 20, 2012 at 7:50 PM

Unless Romney gets over 95%, this only shows that he is out of touch with true conservatives, there are large cracks emerging in his campaign, and he will never be able to shore up mainstream party support…or something.

Swerve22 on March 20, 2012 at 7:50 PM

5:13 pm Ballot Problems in Some Illinois Precincts
****************************************************

Ballot Problems in Some Illinois Precincts
********************************************

Some of the printed ballots in 25 of 110 Illinois jurisdictions were slightly too wide to fit into the optical scanners and will have to be trimmed or hand counted, officials said Tuesday afternoon.

Voters are choosing a Republican presidential nominee and making decisions in Congressional primaries. Turnout appeared to be light, officials said. But the ballot problem threatened to slow the results from some parts of the state Tuesday night.

Officials quickly began noticing on Tuesday that some of the ballots filled out by voters did not fit into the scanner – they were too wide, according to Ken Menzel, the deputy general counsel for the Illinois elections board.

Mr. Menzel said it was unclear how many ballots were affected. At precincts in the affected counties, some ballots seemed to fit, and some did not, he said. He said it appeared that the ballots were cut unevenly by the vendors who had printed them.

“Anything that goes wrong on election day is a Maalox moment,” Mr. Menzel said.

But he said that no votes had been lost and that all of the votes would be counted – eventually.

Election officials said the precinct leaders would try to trim the too-wide ballots to get them to fit through the scanner. If that doesn’t work, a ballot can be “remade” under Illinois rules. In that case, a new ballot is filled out as a duplicate of the damaged one under bipartisan supervision at the precinct.
(More…..)
=============

http://elections.nytimes.com/2012/primaries/results/live/2012-03-20?ref=politics#bb7611cfe

canopfor on March 20, 2012 at 7:50 PM

Standard “Drinking Game” rules apply ladies and gentlemen…

… Take an extra sip every time you see this on a TV screen or someone calls it by it’s proper name:

%

I’ll be joining everyone for libations in about an hour…

… Enjoy!

:)

Seven Percent Solution on March 20, 2012 at 7:51 PM

Latest figures show Romney outspent Santorum 7 to 1, he needs to win with a 30 point margin to consider it a success

liberal4life on March 20, 2012 at 7:41 PM

Boo hoo. Your fellow Obama is going to have a billion dollars. When are you going back to Kos?

V7_Sport on March 20, 2012 at 7:52 PM

Wow, Allah thanks for the tune. You should drop in at QOTD sometime./

Bmore on March 20, 2012 at 7:40 PM

Hey dood, whassup?

predator on March 20, 2012 at 7:52 PM

In Illinois, it’s all about the delegates baby. Santorum could win the “popular vote”, but still loose in the delegate count.
Illinois’ delegate ruling is probably one of the most complicated of all the states.

When you vote….it’s like you have to vote twice.
The first vote is for your candidate preference….a “beauty contest” vote if you will….then you have to vote for delegates.
In my district we vote for three, but it’s anywhere from 1-4 delegates, depending on the district.
Now these delegates have “pledged support” for a specific candidate and when you look at the ballot, that specific candidate is next to the delegate’s name.
Having said that, the delegates are technically “unbound”.

Illinois gets 69 delegates with 54 of them being determined today. Illinois also has 12 “at large” delegates who will be determined at the Illinois convention. Then the final 3 are state party elected leadership.

UNFORTUNATELY….Santorum is eligible for only 44 of the delegates because he failed to get delegates in at least 4 of the state’s 18 districts. *groan*

It’s already all over the news that Romney has won in a landslide.

tencole on March 20, 2012 at 7:52 PM

I chatted with Spawn a few hours ago. He was kvetching about how if he had ONLY been born 12 days earlier he could have voted today.
I gave him comfort by pointing out that as a conservative in IL-his vote wouldn’t have mattered anyway.
*knowing smirk*

annoyinglittletwerp on March 20, 2012 at 7:53 PM

Wow, Allah thanks for the tune. You should drop in at QOTD sometime./

Bmore on March 20, 2012 at 7:40 PM

:)

It would be interesting to see the picks.

MontanaMmmm on March 20, 2012 at 7:53 PM

The media keeps saying, record low voter turnout… yeehaw!

Fallon on March 20, 2012 at 7:53 PM

How can a long hard fought primary process be called a coronation?

VorDaj on March 20, 2012 at 7:47 PM

All the usual suspects say it’s all over. They started saying that a couple months ago. They know everything.

RBMN on March 20, 2012 at 7:54 PM

Lowest Chicago primary turnout in history! Way to go romneycare, I actually think snooki would get more people to the polls than you!

http://www.chicagotribune.com/news/politics/clout/chi-record-low-turnout-for-presidential-primary-in-chicago-20120320,0,2430582.story

Danielvito on March 20, 2012 at 7:54 PM

predator on March 20, 2012 at 7:52 PM

My brother, my brother from another Mother. Welcome back. QOTD tonight? You’d better!

Bmore on March 20, 2012 at 7:54 PM

Maybe because Santy is a nanny state social con who can only speak about non issues like porn, birth control and English in Puerto Rico? Maybe?

V7_Sport on March 20, 2012 at 7:50 PM

Kind of like the busy body mother-in-law from hell.

VorDaj on March 20, 2012 at 7:54 PM

I’ll be joining everyone for libations in about an hour…

… Enjoy!

:)

Seven Percent Solution on March 20, 2012 at 7:51 PM

Seven Percent Solition:See ya shortly,thats if they have the
ballots counted by then!:)

canopfor on March 20, 2012 at 7:54 PM

Has Drudge put up the siren and called it for Romney yet?

JPeterman on March 20, 2012 at 7:55 PM

Hey dood, whassup?

predator on March 20, 2012 at 7:52 PM

*Twerps, makos, humboldts, and box jellies shriek with glee!*

annoyinglittletwerp on March 20, 2012 at 7:55 PM

It would be interesting to see the picks.

MontanaMmmm on March 20, 2012 at 7:53 PM

He is very good at the game. ; )

Bmore on March 20, 2012 at 7:55 PM

Romney also leads Rick Santorum, albeit narrowly, as the candidate who “best understands the problems of average Americans.”

Say whaaaaaaat?!

robertlbryant on March 20, 2012 at 7:55 PM

Hey dood, whassup?

predator on March 20, 2012 at 7:52 PM

predator:You bad,we now call off the Search/Rescue for ya!!
(sarc on the you bad part!:)

canopfor on March 20, 2012 at 7:56 PM

*Sorry. slinks away in shame*

annoyinglittletwerp on March 20, 2012 at 7:50 PM

Hold that head high, Twerp! It takes courage to be a Cubs’ fan.

Fallon on March 20, 2012 at 7:57 PM

Perfect song,AP.

Weight of Glory on March 20, 2012 at 7:57 PM

Per Jeff Greenfield, there may be one last path left to deny Romney the nomination. Change the rules:

Oh, great, a Republican acting like Teddy Kennedy now? Remember, “I lost in the primaries, but all the delegates should be freed to ‘vote their consciences’ at the convention”?

Wethal on March 20, 2012 at 7:57 PM

I think we might as well get used to it.

Mirimichi on March 20, 2012 at 7:58 PM

Oh, great, a Republican acting like Teddy Kennedy now? Remember, “I lost in the primaries, but all the delegates should be freed to ‘vote their consciences’ at the convention”?

Wethal on March 20, 2012 at 7:57 PM

That ship has sailed. Remember when Perry and Newt wanted to change the rules after the VA ballot debacle?

GOPRanknFile on March 20, 2012 at 7:58 PM

Got back from voting 45 minutes ago. I was the only one in the place, they said it had been slow and steady. I got a laugh when I responded, “like a glacier?”

Scott P on March 20, 2012 at 7:45 PM

Had twice as many people at my voting place. Me and one other person. Hope the news that Romney all but secured the state didn’t drive the voters away. It could really mess up the local elections.

jfox21 on March 20, 2012 at 7:59 PM

Hold that head high, Twerp! It takes courage to be a Cubs’ fan.

Fallon on March 20, 2012 at 7:57 PM

Even braver to admit it. :)

tbrickert on March 20, 2012 at 7:59 PM

Santy was cool with it four years ago.

cicerone on March 20, 2012 at 7:41 PM

Well, given that the other option was Mav-tastic John “Should I or Shouldn’t I Be John Kerry’s Running Mate” Freakin’ McCain

JimLennon on March 20, 2012 at 8:00 PM

He is very good at the game. ; )

Bmore on March 20, 2012 at 7:55 PM

I’ll be out for a few -(wish it was drinks)hope I don’t miss much.\
Back 4 the tunes.

MontanaMmmm on March 20, 2012 at 8:00 PM

My brother, my brother from another Mother. Welcome back. QOTD tonight? You’d better!

Bmore on March 20, 2012 at 7:54 PM

Maybe for a short while, my friend. It is a work day. But I’m glad to be back. I posted the rundown on the ban situation at MadCon’s place in the “Wings” thread. No way, no how am I gonna post anything to do with it here. Having said that, I do want to take a moment to make a few points about the whole, and I hope all that supported me gets a chance to see this.

There are a couple of things I want to touch on before we get into our normal revelry and mischief. Now that I know what the offending post was, I feel obligated to say that Ed did exactly what he had to do at that moment in time.

Hot Air is not a basement-blog type of operation, as we all know. Politicians read this blog (even if some of them don’t get the name right ;). Other news organizations read this blog, and not all of them are our friends. So for the sake of the protection of the integrity of Hot Air, Ed had to do this at that time. But he also showed that he is a fair man, as his review of the situation led him to realize that I was not promoting the intention of the original post. For that I am very grateful, and I told him so. I know that he and Allah have a lot on their plate, and I don’t ever want to be a burden to them or what they are trying to accomplish here. Hell, I’m proud to be a part of it. As Bmore said, I can get a little testy at times, but I figure as long as I don’t go over the line language-wise, that’s between me and whoever I get testy with. I get blunt with those who try my patience, but generally I try to leave the trolls alone.

The other thing I want to bring up is something that Ed said to me in response to my thank-you email for letting me back in:

“My pleasure. You should be gratified by the email we’ve been getting in your absence from the comment sections. Enjoy!”

And I am gratified. As I said over at MadCon’s place, I’m overwhelmed by the show of support from you all. I read the QOTD from 03/19, and the support was, well, as I said—overwhelming. There are people here in my home town area who wouldn’t go to the lengths that you all did, and it really, really floored me. So I just want to thank those of you who stuck by me and wished me the best. I hope I’m not leaving anyone out here, but I did the best I could:

JPeterman, cynccook, Gohawgs, Dire Straits, John the Libertarian, angrymike, KOOLAID2, Spark Plug, Schadenfruede, Cindy Munford, whatcat, Lanceman, and last but never least, my buddy Bmore. You’re all my buds and budettes, and I thank you once again for having my back.

You’re the reason I love coming here, the reason I was mortified to be banned, the reason I’m thrilled to be back.

Oh, and thanks for the musical tributes! :D

Now let’s rock!

predator on March 20, 2012 at 8:00 PM

As for Allahupundit’s comment about Romney outspending Santorum 7-1 in Illinois….I have to point out that Romney wouldn’t have that money to spend if the donors and super pacs didn’t think he was the best candidate. IF they thought that man was Santorum, he’d have the cash advantage, not Romney.

Its time for the base to grow up and put aside the ideological wrangling and rally around our nominee…unless, of course, you really think we’d be better off with 4 more years of Obama WITHOUT the restraint of wanting to be re-elected to impede his ‘fundamental transformation’ plans for this nation.

thatsafactjack on March 20, 2012 at 8:02 PM

I’ve written this before on here, but I’ll write it again: people forget because the MSM was so in the take for Obama, but that race was much, much closer than GOP primary this year: not counting super-delegates, there was only a 60 delegate difference between Obama and Hillary Clinton, plus, Hillary Clinton actually had a slightly higher popular vote total than Obama. If the Dems. in 2008 didn’t have a floor fight at the convention in 2008, the GOP sure as heck isn’t going to have a floor fight in this race.

I actually do think Romney is going to get to 1144 without super-delegates by the end of June, which would make the prospect of a floor fight moot anyway, but if he doesn’t, he’d be close enough (and Santorum far enough behind) that the super-delegates will push him over the top, as they Dem. super-delegates did for Obama in 2008. And besides, if, as Santorum claims, Romney is the “establishment candidate,” and the RNC is enforcing rules to benefit Romney, blah, blah, blah, what makes him think the establishment will go with him at the convention instead of Romney?

Dark Star on March 20, 2012 at 8:03 PM

Exit poll:
***********

1/3 of Illinois voters made a late decision

Submitted 2 mins ago from fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com
http://www.breakingnews.com/
=============================

canopfor on March 20, 2012 at 8:03 PM

Now let’s rock!

predator on March 20, 2012 at 8:00 PM

Happiness! But first, I’ve been summoned to supper. Man oman it feels good to have a spring back in my step. : ) : ) : ) : )

Bmore on March 20, 2012 at 8:03 PM

Sheldon & Miriam Adelson pony up again – $2.5 million apiece to the pro-Newt group Winning Our Future

andy85719 on March 20, 2012 at 8:04 PM

predator on March 20, 2012 at 8:00 PM

Glad to see you back..:):)

Dire Straits on March 20, 2012 at 8:04 PM

annoyinglittletwerp on March 20, 2012 at 7:50 PM

Hold that head high, Twerp! It takes courage to be a Cubs’ fan.

Fallon on March 20, 2012 at 7:57 PM

One thing Twerp and I have ALWAYS agreed upon!!!

lovingmyUSA on March 20, 2012 at 8:04 PM

Thanks canopfor and me beloved twerp and her sea creatures. I may have left you off my list, but you’re always in my heart.

predator on March 20, 2012 at 8:04 PM

Sorry, folks, but this whole exercise is “todo por nada.” No one will defeat Obama; he’s a lock. The man is laying the groundwork for the total takeover of America, and he will get away with it.

Sorry, folks, but the end of America has been determined by the Most High, and it can’t be prevented. It’s not going to be pretty.

Your only hope is to get right with God, and that means repenting and calling on the Name of the Lord Jesus. When you see Sodom and Gomorrah go up in smoke, you will see the beginning of the end of this nation. It’s just a matter of time.

Read The Harbinger, by Jonathan Cahn; this will tell you the whys and wherefores of where America is headed. I urge you to get right with God! And when I say “God,” I mean the true God, Jehovah.

Gordy on March 20, 2012 at 8:05 PM

Apologies, my last post @8:03 was badly written. The first paragraph should have read:

I’ve written this before on here, but I’ll write it again: people forget because the MSM was so in the tank for Obama in 2008, but that primary race was much, much closer than GOP primary this year: not counting super-delegates, there was only a 60 delegate difference between Obama and Hillary Clinton, plus, Hillary Clinton actually had a slightly higher popular vote total than Obama. If the Dems. didn’t have a floor fight at the convention in 2008, the GOP sure as heck isn’t going to have a floor fight in this race, which is nowhere near as close.

Dark Star on March 20, 2012 at 8:05 PM

predator on March 20, 2012 at 8:00 PM

AWESOME. Thanks for mentioning me bro. We got your back.

I would like to say that Allah is most merciful and Ed is very forgiving and has impeccable judgement.

SparkPlug on March 20, 2012 at 8:05 PM

It’s ABOUT TIME this post was put up.

You could have spent a little more time on the headline, though.

This is a huge primary in Illinois today.

If Rick Santorum doesn’t win tonight, he NEEDS TO DROP OUT for the good of the party and the good of the country.

bluegill on March 20, 2012 at 7:44 PM

What’s more interesting than the presidential primary in this Illinois election, are all the other campaigns going on.

Illinois looses 2 congressional seats and with the redistricting, our Democrat Governor made sure the two that were leaving weren’t going to be Democrats.
So we have a battle going on between Republican congressmen Manzullo and Kinzinger…..loosing either one will be a big loss for our country.
We also have a battle going on between Joe Walsh and Democrat Duckworth, the Iraqi war hero who lost both her legs.

And then of course there’s Derrick Smith. In not resigning his seat and with Mike Madigan’s support, could still win his state congressional seat, even though he was just charged and arrested for bribary.

*sigh*

tencole on March 20, 2012 at 8:05 PM

Strike

Good bowling :)

Check on y’all later

cmsinaz on March 20, 2012 at 8:05 PM

Do Chicago Bears vote Mitt in the woods?

RBMN on March 20, 2012 at 8:05 PM

2012 elections Polls close in Illinois:
***************************************

@NBCNews declares the GOP primary ‘too early to call,’ Mitt Romney Leads

Submitted 2 mins ago by editor
http://www.breakingnews.com/
=============================

canopfor on March 20, 2012 at 8:06 PM

As much as I like FOX News, CNN has better election coverage. Time to enjoy Mitt’s rout of Santorum. Time for Ed Morrissey to throw in the towel.

Basilsbest on March 20, 2012 at 8:06 PM

So one of the bluest states in the union gives delegates to Romney, but he will not win it in the general. Team Romney must be doing great with dead voters in Cook county.

WhatNot on March 20, 2012 at 8:06 PM

As much as part of me would love the impossible to happen and have Perry or some other really exciting candidate get nominated as a result of a brokered convention.

I am also a realist and I think it’s time to end this sucker. Time to go after Obama with everything we’ve got.

gophergirl on March 20, 2012 at 8:06 PM

annoyinglittletwerp on March 20, 2012 at 7:50 PM

You know there is a site called Twitchy.com, right?

Why don’t you start one called Twerpy.com?

SparkPlug on March 20, 2012 at 8:07 PM

I may miss the harvest but I won’t miss the feast…

Illinois, I’m your boy.

Fallon on March 20, 2012 at 8:07 PM

http://harndenblog.dailymail.co.uk/2012/03/team-santorum-accuses-iran.html

Anticipating a loss in today’s Illinois primary, the Santorum campaign held a conference call for reporters to argue that the Romney campaign, the Republican National Committee, the Associated Press and various other media outlets have all got their delegate counts wrong.

The call lasted almost an hour and was extremely difficult to follow, not least because the Santorum campaign’s argument that the “real” totals put them 80 delegates closer to Romney was backed up by a lot of bluster, tortured logic and creative thinking but precious few hard numbers.

Should you go for a whiner who sounds so similar to Barry?

galtani on March 20, 2012 at 8:07 PM

Strike

Good bowling :)

Check on y’all later

cmsinaz on March 20, 2012 at 8:05 PM

cmsinaz:Have fun,good luck:)

canopfor on March 20, 2012 at 8:07 PM

How can a long hard fought primary process be called a coronation?

VorDaj on March 20, 2012 at 7:47 PM

Because he is a blue-blood princeling.

It’s not over, though.

Schadenfreude on March 20, 2012 at 8:07 PM

Strike

Good bowling :)

Check on y’all later

cmsinaz on March 20, 2012 at 8:05 PM

May you bowl “The 300.”

predator on March 20, 2012 at 8:09 PM

Wow, Allah thanks for the tune. You should drop in at QOTD sometime./

Bmore on March 20, 2012 at 7:40 PM

they havent done anything worthwhile since the blue album. the green was passable. and hurley had some nice moments. when they pair up with FOW though, they are the funniest band on the planet. excepting zappa and they might be giants.

t8stlikchkn on March 20, 2012 at 8:09 PM

As for Allahupundit’s comment about Romney outspending Santorum 7-1 in Illinois….I have to point out that Romney wouldn’t have that money to spend if the donors and super pacs didn’t think he was the best candidate. IF they thought that man was Santorum, he’d have the cash advantage, not Romney.

thatsafactjack on March 20, 2012 at 8:02 PM

True. And the fact that Santorum, once again, demonstrated an inability to properly get on ballots coupled with the smaller number of Evangelical votes in ILL (compared to, say, MS & AL) helps too.

Dark Star on March 20, 2012 at 8:10 PM

I know a lot of people here prefer Santorum. I prefer beating Obama. That’s my goal — and Romney is the key, at this point, to that goal, in my opinion.

So — that’s who I voted for, on a summer-like March day in the western suburbs! It seeemed kind of quiet in my polling place, but the people there said it had been busy. They said they were expecting 150 (for 4 precincts!!) but had had about 350. This was 5-ish.

Not only did we have the presidential contest, but we also have some big county races.

In my dream world, I had a Dem Supreme Court race I wanted to vote in, but, oh well. Looking forward to the coverage tonight.

lizzieillinois on March 20, 2012 at 8:12 PM

If Rick Santorum doesn’t win tonight, he NEEDS TO DROP OUT for the good of the party and the good of the country.

bluegill on March 20, 2012 at 7:44 PM

dude, relax. we’re so satisfied with all of them we dont care who wins this thing. we know whoever it is beats obama 54-46 and EVs by 120. its all good. this primary or that oprimary, all the intricacies. its all just noise til the obama crushing defeat. its funtime.

t8stlikchkn on March 20, 2012 at 8:12 PM

Oh, and thanks for the musical tributes! :D

Now let’s rock!

predator on March 20, 2012 at 8:00 PM

Good to see you back. I was a little nervous about bringing up the topic last night.

JPeterman on March 20, 2012 at 8:13 PM

Texas State Senator Wendy Davis’ office hit with Molotov cocktail no injuries

She is a Democrat!!
*************
**************

Submitted 11 mins ago from dfw.cbslocal.com
http://www.breakingnews.com/
===========================

http://dfw.cbslocal.com/2012/03/20/sen-wendy-davis-fort-worth-office-hit-with-molotov-cocktail/

canopfor on March 20, 2012 at 8:13 PM

SANTORUM LEADING !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

(among those who didn’t attend college)

Basilsbest on March 20, 2012 at 8:13 PM

predator, welcome back. Don’t know you did it, but it’s cool.

Schadenfreude on March 20, 2012 at 8:13 PM

predator on March 20, 2012 at 8:00 PM

Glad to see you back..:):)

Dire Straits on March 20, 2012 at 8:04 PM

I just knew the giltch would be fixed.

SparkPlug on March 20, 2012 at 8:13 PM

Thanks Canopfor and predator :)

cmsinaz on March 20, 2012 at 8:13 PM

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=WLrrBs8JBQo

Santorum’s new campaign slogan is “Freedom”, I love it…

MGardner on March 20, 2012 at 8:13 PM

As for Allahupundit’s comment about Romney outspending Santorum 7-1 in Illinois….I have to point out that Romney wouldn’t have that money to spend if the donors and super pacs didn’t think he was the best candidate. IF they thought that man was Santorum, he’d have the cash advantage, not Romney.

Romney campaign had the most money last june
Romney campaign had the most money in september
Romney campaign had the most money in december
Romney campaign had the most money in February
Romney campaign had the most money in march
Roney campaign will have the most money in may

Is it a surprise to Santorum that Romney has the most money

gerrym51 on March 20, 2012 at 8:14 PM

dude, relax. we’re so satisfied with all of them we dont care who wins this thing. we know whoever it is beats obama 54-46 and EVs by 120. its all good. this primary or that oprimary, all the intricacies. its all just noise til the obama crushing defeat. its funtime.

t8stlikchkn on March 20, 2012 at 8:12 PM

Don’t waste your time on the moby…I mean bluegill.

GOPRanknFile on March 20, 2012 at 8:14 PM

SANTORUM LEADING !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

(among those who didn’t attend college)

Basilsbest on March 20, 2012 at 8:13 PM

You idiot, Mitt leading, among the rich.

Both should not be voted for by class differentiation. It’s a bad sign for both, if you think, something tough for so many.

Class division is an Obama purvue and he s/b shunned, shunned, shunned for it, not emulated.

Schadenfreude on March 20, 2012 at 8:14 PM

Oh, great, a Republican acting like Teddy Kennedy now? Remember, “I lost in the primaries, but all the delegates should be freed to ‘vote their consciences’ at the convention”?
Wethal on March 20, 2012 at 7:57 PM

That ship has sailed. Remember when Perry and Newt wanted to change the rules after the VA ballot debacle?
GOPRanknFile on March 20, 2012 at 7:58 PM

Just think of it as “Affirmative Action For The Unelectable-Candidates Community”.

whatcat on March 20, 2012 at 8:14 PM

I certainly hope not because if he does and Romney gets the nomination Obama wins. He already has come out and saidthe economy is getting better and helping Obama to get re-elected. I can’t understand all these conservatives who think that Romney is the only one that can beat Obama and how in the world can they want a liberal to run against Obama. You can try to speak like a conservative but his history doesn’t show that he is a conservative on the contary it proves that he is a liberal. I don’t believe in an election conversion but apparently all these conservatives that are voting for him believe or they are so desperate for someone to beat Obama that that they can be fooled into believing anything. No I rather have Santorum to run then settle for a liberal disquise as a conservative.

spanishboy on March 20, 2012 at 8:15 PM

Please show me the map to how Santorum can possibly win the nomination after tonight.

He would not only have to win EVERY state, but win the proportional states with around 60-70% of the vote. He’s not even on the ballot in some places.

It’s time to move on, the Primary is over and to waste time and resources battling this out only helps Obama.

BradTank on March 20, 2012 at 8:15 PM

Do Chicago Bears vote Mitt in the woods?

RBMN on March 20, 2012 at 8:05 PM

is santorum catholic?

t8stlikchkn on March 20, 2012 at 8:15 PM

From the Sweater Song : Lying on the floor, Lying on the floor! I’ve come undone.

galtani on March 20, 2012 at 8:15 PM

I know a lot of people here prefer Santorum. I prefer beating Obama. That’s my goal — and Romney is the key, at this point, to that goal, in my opinion.

So — that’s who I voted for, on a summer-like March day in the western suburbs!

lizzieillinois on March 20, 2012 at 8:12 PM

Indeed- exactly my thoughts on this.

changer1701 on March 20, 2012 at 8:15 PM

Romney adherents and Obamabots have a lot in common.

You display your class similarly.

Schadenfreude on March 20, 2012 at 8:17 PM

Thanks Canopfor and predator :)

cmsinaz on March 20, 2012 at 8:13 PM

cmsinaz:—-:)

canopfor on March 20, 2012 at 8:17 PM

SANTORUM LEADING !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

(among those who didn’t attend college)

Basilsbest on March 20, 2012 at 8:13 PM

Setting your tent back up at Zucotti Park?

JPeterman on March 20, 2012 at 8:19 PM

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