The aftermath: Pack a lunch and a flashlight

posted at 8:40 am on March 7, 2012 by Jazz Shaw

Say, do you remember that time when Mitt Romney waded into the battle on Super Tuesday and knocked out his foes with an inspiring, decisive victory? Yeah… me neither. Last night had to be pretty much of a disappointment no matter who you happen to support. Allahpundit was covering it live, of course, but once all of the “victory party” hangovers have begun to fade, the results were less than impressive. We can justifiably say that Mitt “won” by racking up victories in Ohio, Massachusetts, Idaho, Virginia, Vermont and Alaska, along with a fairly impressive haul of delegates. But the Buckeye State victory came by a margin that wouldn’t fill up a decent college football game audience.

Rick Santorum pulled out some wins people didn’t expect in Tennessee, Oklahoma and North Dakota, which gives him more than ample reason to continue the long slog. (Newt took his home state which he apparently feels is reason enough to do the same.) Unfortunately, several analysts this morning have been running the numbers and, in order to reach the magic number, Santorum will need to take somewhere between 64 and 70 percent of the remaining delegates. How likely does that sound given the current climate?

Still, Jim Geraghty sees dark clouds on the horizon for Mr. Romney.

The losses in Georgia, Tennessee, and Oklahoma themselves aren’t bad, but Romney’s share of the vote is pretty disappointing: 26 percent in Georgia, 28 percent in Oklahoma, 28 percent in Tennessee. Throw in 24 percent in North Dakota.

I suppose he and his team can boast that they won Idaho (62 percent, even more than in Virginia) and Alaska (32 percent, 3 percentage points over Santorum).

But after last week’s big wins in Michigan and Arizona, we were supposed to see signs of the party starting to unify around Romney. Instead, the frontrunner has a problem with the Midwest and South that is keeping him at less than 3 in 10 right now. That was good enough for second place in most of these states, but that’s still setting a low bar – beat out Ron Paul and in most cases, Newt, who is becoming an afterthought. (More on this below.) Sure, Romney had a great night in terms of delegates. I stand by my assessment that his road to the nomination is the hardest, except for all of the others. But he’s still got glaring weaknesses in connecting with people.

When I was younger, back shortly after the invention of dinosaurs, guys would occasionally trade barbs with their friends, announcing that they were going to “kick their butt” over some joke or another. One of my favorite responses was, “you’d better pack a lunch and a flashlight, ’cause that’s gonna take all day and half the night.” I hope Mitt has brought along plenty to eat and adequate lighting, because even if he is going to win this thing eventually, Rick Santorum doesn’t look like he’s going anywhere any time soon.


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I supported no one. So, I’m disappointed.

BigGator5 on March 7, 2012 at 8:40 AM

Last night had to be pretty much of a disappointment no matter who you happen to support.

So no change then?

forest on March 7, 2012 at 8:41 AM

20 point swing in Ohio – that’s pretty impressive

DHChron on March 7, 2012 at 8:41 AM

If I were Newt, I’d get out. But if I were Santorum, I’d give it at least a few more weeks. Romney is such a weak frontrunner (and likely nominee) and has shown no signs of being able to resonate with voters.

gumbyandpokey on March 7, 2012 at 8:41 AM

Paul is disappointing me… he should won a state or 2 just to keep some momentum going.

nathor on March 7, 2012 at 8:44 AM

The losses in Georgia, Tennessee, and Oklahoma themselves aren’t bad, but Romney’s share of the vote is pretty disappointing: 26 percent in Georgia, 28 percent in Oklahoma, 28 percent in Tennessee. Throw in 24 percent in North Dakota.

So what? Romney will carry all four of those states with ease come November. People forget that this kind of thing is simply the result of the primary process.

radjah shelduck on March 7, 2012 at 8:44 AM

I’ve been looking for those Conservatives for O’bama signs and offices springing up hither and yon, and have yet to find any.

Despite all the yammer, Rick and Newt and Mitt will kiss and hug in Tampa in an embrace that will compare favorably to when Hilary knelt before O four years ago.

It cannot be otherwise.

FerdtheMoonCat on March 7, 2012 at 8:46 AM

So what are the chances of someone else entering the race now and shaking things up? Palin?

Blacksoda on March 7, 2012 at 8:47 AM

When do we get to concentrate on Obama’s poor record?

bearpaw on March 7, 2012 at 8:47 AM

I want to know how to find out how much cash each campaign has. Does anyone know where to find that? I looked on RCP, but didn’t see anything.

Night Owl on March 7, 2012 at 8:47 AM

But the Buckeye State victory came by a margin that wouldn’t fill up a decent college football game audience.

Hey Jazz, your boy was up by double digits just a week ago. Coming back and really winning by 3 (when you take away the 2% of democrats that voted Santorum for mischief) with only a week to do it, pretty damn impressive.

Zaggs on March 7, 2012 at 8:48 AM

Rick Santorum pulled out some wins people didn’t expect in Tennessee, Oklahoma and North Dakota

And just a short while ago he was supposed to win the big prize – Ohio – by a substantial margin over Romney. Yet Mitt engineered a come from behind victory and garnered even more delegates throughout the night. “Dark clouds on the horizon for Mr. Romney”, indeed. Woe, woe.

whatcat on March 7, 2012 at 8:49 AM

Romney won 6 of the 10 contests. He came back from a 10 point Santorum advantage and Rick had 6 percent democrat help. Mitt won. He seems to have trouble when a state is over 70 % evangelical. That says more about them than it does about Romney. Never heard him complain about it though. Keeps smiling and winning… or coming in 2nd. Winning delegates. He will be the nominee and he will win in November.

BobScuba on March 7, 2012 at 8:49 AM

But the Buckeye State victory came by a margin that wouldn’t fill up a decent college football game audience.

Doesn’t matter Jazz. It’s all about the delegate count now.

Rick Santorum pulled out some wins people didn’t expect in Tennessee, Oklahoma and North Dakota

Santo was polling ahead in all of those states. No big surprises there.

BacaDog on March 7, 2012 at 8:49 AM

Someone please explain to me why Santorum who has demonstrated that he is as fiscally conservative and has the same experience and education as obama is supposedly getting the tea party vote? It appears to me romney doesn’t get the religious vote and that’s ok with me since that also means he won’t alienate independents in the general. Santorum is to caustic to win the general.

aniptofar on March 7, 2012 at 8:50 AM

Great, six more weeks of talk about contraception.

Thanks Rick!

NoDonkey on March 7, 2012 at 8:50 AM

HANG IN THERE NEWT!!!!

GhoulAid on March 7, 2012 at 8:51 AM

If I were Newt, I’d get out. But if I were Santorum, I’d give it at least a few more weeks. Romney is such a weak frontrunner (and likely nominee) and has shown no signs of being able to resonate with voters.

gumbyandpokey on March 7, 2012 at 8:41 AM

If I were Santorum, I’d save my money. It’s almost mathematically impossible for him to get the nomination now. The best he could do is prevent Romney from getting a majority of delegates. And then what? A brokered convention isn’t going to pick Santorum. By staying in this race, all he’s doing is hurting the eventual nominee’s chances come November. Kicking Obama out of office has to be priority number one.

Caiwyn on March 7, 2012 at 8:51 AM

In order to reach the magic number, Santorum will need to take somewhere between 64 and 70 percent of the remaining delegates. How likely does that sound given the current climate?

Not very bloody likely, I’d say.

But, by all means, let’s keep this thing going. /

Syzygy on March 7, 2012 at 8:51 AM

Keep flogging the dead horse race Jazz !. Romney has close to 400 delegates and the primaries all have proportional awarding of candidates. So keep your BS flowing for continuing interest and click count.

By the way, can Jazz provide any link to substantiate his allegation from yesterday that Romney is wearing $2000 shoes, or is it just more BS and distortion to flame his anti-Romney bias?

galtani on March 7, 2012 at 8:51 AM

HANG IN THERE NEWT!!!!

GhoulAid on March 7, 2012 at 8:51 AM

Go Newt!

And take Santorum with you.

NoDonkey on March 7, 2012 at 8:51 AM

I supported no one. So, I’m disappointed.

BigGator5 on March 7, 2012 at 8:40 AM

This pretty much sums it up for me, too.

Fallon on March 7, 2012 at 8:52 AM

Rick Santorum pulled out some wins people didn’t expect in Tennessee, Oklahoma and North Dakota

And just a short while ago he was supposed to win the big prize – Ohio – by a substantial margin over Romney. Yet Mitt engineered a come from behind victory and garnered even more delegates throughout the night. “Dark clouds on the horizon for Mr. Romney”, indeed. Woe, woe.

whatcat on March 7, 2012 at 8:49 AM

when Mittens out spends you 3 to 1 with negative ads …. it happens

So what are the chances of someone else entering the race now and shaking things up? Palin?

Blacksoda on March 7, 2012 at 8:47 AM

no way …. not gonna happen …

conservative tarheel on March 7, 2012 at 8:54 AM

What Romney needs to understand is that even his wins are failing to energize the base he just assumes is going to vote for him in November. A professional campaigner like Romney should realize that he needs the base to get out there in the heat of August and September and do grassroots activism. He needs them knocking on doors in October and he needs them sitting in lawnchairs handing out literature at the polling place in the chill drizzle of November 6th.

To date Romney does not have that kind of support. That is not to say he won’t get it if he wins the nomination. His choice of a running mate will go a long way to determining if the base is willing to invest in Romney’s campaign. The economy will play a factor as will the actions of the jug-eared idiot between now and election day. Yet, Romney has been running an organized campaign but not an inspiring one.

How I miss the days of Ronald Reagan and more importantly Lee Atwater.

Happy Nomad on March 7, 2012 at 8:54 AM

Night Owl on March 7, 2012 at 8:47 AM

The WSJ has totals through the end of February:

http://projects.wsj.com/campaign2012/finance/

Syzygy on March 7, 2012 at 8:55 AM

HANG IN THERE NEWT!!!!

GhoulAid on March 7, 2012 at 8:51 AM

GO HOME NEWT! You’re just mucking it up for Santorum even though you don’t have a chance of winning the nomination.

Happy Nomad on March 7, 2012 at 8:55 AM

I don’t understand “weak frontrunner” designation. He is the front runner, but weak doesn’t seem quite correct to me. Bear in mind, as you read this, I am not a fan of Romney. He is the leader, I see no other candidate leading; if he is weak, what does that make the other candidates? Ron Paul has YET to win a state, Gingrich’s standing is laughable, Santorum hasn’t a chance to beat Obama. So how do their respective standings make Romney “weak”? Because the MSM–right and left–have declared it so? The number of delegates awarded thus far is off because of the early primary rush to be “relevant” in choosing the nominee, that has hurt the front runner, in this case, Romney. Had the early states held their primaries when they were supposed to be held, the delegate count would be different and the perceived “weakness” would be non-existent.

herm2416 on March 7, 2012 at 8:57 AM

GO HOME NEWT! You’re just mucking it up for Santorum even though you don’t have a chance of winning the nomination.

Happy Nomad on March 7, 2012 at 8:55 AM

you’ve just made the best argument for Newt to stay in. The not Romney process of elimination should not be the standard

DHChron on March 7, 2012 at 8:57 AM

Way to go GOP, you are truly turning certain victory into a devastating defeat. Next time we need to try it without a Republican Party. Disgusting!

rplat on March 7, 2012 at 8:58 AM

I see no other candidate leading; if he is weak, what does that make the other candidates?

This.

Caiwyn on March 7, 2012 at 8:58 AM

So what? Romney will carry all four of those states with ease come November. People forget that this kind of thing is simply the result of the primary process.

radjah shelduck on March 7, 2012 at 8:44 AM

True, but it shows he has trouble appealing to key parts of the base. The attitude of his campaign for the most part has been appealing to moderates and independents and assuming conservatives will line up in support of him come November. While that may come to pass since there’s a heavy anti-Obama sentiment motivating Republicans, it’s still a dangerous strategery. Just ask the GOP what that mentality led to in 2006 and 2008.

Doughboy on March 7, 2012 at 8:58 AM

BacaDog on March 7, 2012 at 8:49 AM

But it does matter. Romney can win the delegate count but if he fails to inspire the base we get another four years of Obama. That is precisely where we are right now. Romney is winning delegates but deaf to these narrow “wins.” Many don’t buy the idea that he is a conservative and Romneycare and his record as governor is hardly reason to think that Romney is anything other than Obama-lite.

Happy Nomad on March 7, 2012 at 8:59 AM

I think I need to update my bookmark for this site. The URL is http://www.ricksantorum.com/hotair right?

Zaggs on March 7, 2012 at 8:59 AM

By the way, can Jazz provide any link to substantiate his allegation from yesterday that Romney is wearing $2000 shoes, or is it just more BS and distortion to flame his anti-Romney bias?

galtani on March 7, 2012 at 8:51 AM

Hey- he heard them say it on Saturday Night Live-

BettyRuth on March 7, 2012 at 8:59 AM

I was impressed that Perry and Huntsman showed up in Ohio to take some votes away.
/

Electrongod on March 7, 2012 at 9:00 AM

I can’t believe I’m gonna hafta vote for one of those Bozos.

(apologies to Larry Harmon)

Laura in Maryland on March 7, 2012 at 9:00 AM

was watching NBC last nite … they were asking why Mittens could not close the deal …. conservatives / tea party / christians / did not trust him did not believe him … and on exit polling stated they would not vote for him if he were the nominee ….

conservative tarheel on March 7, 2012 at 9:00 AM

Hot Gas, just trying to keep hope alive! Please keep tuning in.

rhombus on March 7, 2012 at 9:01 AM

you’ve just made the best argument for Newt to stay in. The not Romney process of elimination should not be the standard

DHChron on March 7, 2012 at 8:57 AM

Wonderful . . . meanwhile the Republican Party is about to have its butt kicked to the moon.

rplat on March 7, 2012 at 9:01 AM

was watching NBC last nite … they were asking why Mittens could not close the deal …. conservatives / tea party / christians / did not trust him did not believe him … and on exit polling stated they would not vote for him if he were the nominee ….

conservative tarheel on March 7, 2012 at 9:00 AM

Doesn’t matter who the nominee is, these people all say the same thing each election.

Ignore them, it’s pointless to try and persuade people who are negative and too simple to understand what’s at stake this election.

NoDonkey on March 7, 2012 at 9:02 AM

When do we get to concentrate on Obama’s poor record?

bearpaw on March 7, 2012 at 8:47 AM

JugEars has the media with him on trying to keep away from his record and focus on social issues. We just want to go along with their program, and keep stepping in it.

KOOLAID2 on March 7, 2012 at 9:02 AM

Happy Nomad on March 7, 2012 at 8:59 AM

Is this supposed to be an original line of thought?

cause I’m pretty sure no one’s ever said it before

DHChron on March 7, 2012 at 9:03 AM

Rick Santorum pulled out some wins people didn’t expect in Tennessee, Oklahoma and North Dakota ….

Santorum wasn’t expected to win Tennessee or Oklahoma? Really? So, how do you explain these posts?

http://hotair.com/archives/2012/03/05/rasmussen-santorum-up-4-in-tennessee/

http://hotair.com/archives/2012/02/22/rasmussen-poll-shows-santorum-up-4322-in-oklahoma/

Syzygy on March 7, 2012 at 9:03 AM

The WSJ has totals through the end of February:

http://projects.wsj.com/campaign2012/finance/

Syzygy on March 7, 2012 at 8:55 AM

Thank you very much. I am obviously not a very good internet searcher!

Night Owl on March 7, 2012 at 9:04 AM

I was impressed that Perry and Huntsman showed up in Ohio to take some votes away.
/

Electrongod

I’m wondering if that wasn’t early/absentee voting.

Zaggs on March 7, 2012 at 9:05 AM

From Matt Mayer at National Review:

First, there are no moral victories in Ohio for Rick Santorum. As in Michigan, he lost despite having a solid lead just a week before the vote. Many Ohioans voted for Santorum in order to prevent Mitt Romney from winning and in the hope of finding someone better. With Ohio’s results, that strategy is now dead. Though the Republican primary will go on, Romney will be the nominee.

As for Romney, he and his team can put whatever spin they want on the results, but they can’t hide his continued inability to get a majority (as opposed to a plurality) of the vote in a contested battleground state. Keep in mind, Romney has been running for the presidency for more than five years, and he barely won in Ohio. He won only 20 of the state’s 88 counties — seven of which are Democratic. His ability to grossly outspend his weak primary opponents will not translate into a winning strategy against a well-funded Barack Obama.

flyfisher on March 7, 2012 at 9:06 AM

Rick Santorum pulled out some wins people didn’t expect in Tennessee, Oklahoma and North Dakota
And just a short while ago he was supposed to win the big prize – Ohio – by a substantial margin over Romney. Yet Mitt engineered a come from behind victory and garnered even more delegates throughout the night. “Dark clouds on the horizon for Mr. Romney”, indeed. Woe, woe.
whatcat on March 7, 2012 at 8:49 AM

when Mittens out spends you 3 to 1 with negative ads …. it happens
conservative tarheel on March 7, 2012 at 8:54 AM

The problem is, using that reasoning, having better funding Romney should win every state. But what’s really at play here is the “The Pattern Of The Not-Mitts” that we’ve seen over & over again – they have a few weeks in the sun and then drop off the radar. Santorum peaked about mid-Feb.
All Santorum can manage now is pulling in some of what politicians call “flyover country”; lots of wide open space, fresh air and livestock, but just not nearly enough votes to matter when all is said and done.

whatcat on March 7, 2012 at 9:06 AM

Jazz said:

Rick Santorum pulled out some wins people didn’t expect in Tennessee, Oklahoma and North Dakota,

Huh? Who didn’t expect Santorum to win Oklahoma? Most polls had him leading in Tennessee as well.

Jon0815 on March 7, 2012 at 9:06 AM

So what? Romney will carry all four of those states with ease come November. People forget that this kind of thing is simply the result of the primary process.

radjah shelduck on March 7, 2012 at 8:44 AM

More important is where Romney’s victories have occurred. Romney has shown the ability to bring affluent suburbs back into the GOP. This means that Romney stands much better chance of defeating Obama than his opponents. For instance, Romney stands a good chance of carrying Pennsylvania unlike Santorum. The difference will be Bucks, Montgomery, and Delaware counties. If it were possible to make a bet, I would also bet that Romney will do better in Santorum’s home county of Allegheny than Santorum.

thuja on March 7, 2012 at 9:06 AM

Ignore them, it’s pointless to try and persuade people who are negative and too simple to understand what’s at stake this election.

NoDonkey on March 7, 2012 at 9:02 AM

you and all the others from the mittens peanut gallery better take up a collection for a TESTICAL TRANSPLANT for your “man”, cuz he desperately needs one.

GhoulAid on March 7, 2012 at 9:06 AM

It is clear as day that Newt and Ron Paul are hanging in for a convention speech and a cabinet post, were the Republicans to win in November. It is equally clear that their ambitions could be well served: Newt is a perfect Press Sec, and Ron Paul has set their aim on Fed Chair or Treasury. It would also be to everyone’s benefit if Romney and Santorum could reach an unofficial agreement regarding cabinet posts in each other’s government: say, Commerce for Romney and HHS for Santorum. Take note that all four candidates are currently unemployed (Ron Paul gave up his Congress chair), and you’ll see that such arrangement would go a very long way towards healing the post-primary rift.

Archivarix on March 7, 2012 at 9:08 AM

Oh just FREAKING STOP with the woe is us crap already. Romney is going to be our candidate… and a far better one than the crotchety old guy we ran last time. Whether he comes out stronger or weaker from the process is up to us.

So, so, so tired of people hating on the guy who has actually gone all-in to get the job.

Where are the conservative “heroes” so many seem to long for?

They’re on the sidelines with the bench warmers and cheer leaders. ANY of them would be shredded in this process as well.
You claim to want Obama out? Get behind Romney. Anything else is locking in 4 more years of a president who hates your ass.

Sugar Land on March 7, 2012 at 9:08 AM

ABO that is all that matters … ABO ……

conservative tarheel on March 7, 2012 at 9:09 AM

Mitt’s best option is to go to Newt with a pallet of cash and offer to pay off all his campaign expenses for an endorsement. Not best thing for the country, but the best thing for Mitt.

michaelo on March 7, 2012 at 9:10 AM

Santorum has to win 61% of the remaining delegates to reach a majority. Which would be almost impossible even in a 2-man race. This race is over.

Jon0815 on March 7, 2012 at 9:10 AM

Thank you very much. I am obviously not a very good internet searcher!

Night Owl on March 7, 2012 at 9:04 AM

You’re welcome. I’m not sure you could have found it via search. I just happened to know it was there.

Syzygy on March 7, 2012 at 9:10 AM

was watching NBC last nite … they were asking why Mittens could not close the deal …. conservatives / tea party / christians / did not trust him did not believe him … and on exit polling stated they would not vote for him if he were the nominee ….

conservative tarheel on March 7, 2012 at 9:00 AM

Well, for one thing you will never hear anything even remotely positive about Romney on NBC, and two, given how spintered the Republican party is on how far apart the right and left sides of it are, this primary is completely logical: You have a conservative, a religious conservative, a businessman, and a lovable nut. The media keeps harping on “the base”. Romney can’t win “the base”. Well, wake up media, “the base” is quite varied and these primaries are reflecting it.

I’m fairly confident that all the crybabies, (myself included) will rally to support whoever gets the final nod. If they don’t, they deserve another 4 with Obama.

BettyRuth on March 7, 2012 at 9:11 AM

At what point does Romney become the “Comeback Kid”? After all, he is written off constantly as the latest flavor of the month surges and yet he keeps on winning, including comebacks in places like Ohio. And inevitably, we get the morning after tale of woe from the blogosphere. It is not Romney’s fault that the other candidates cannot make their case. Instead of bitching about him endlessly, perhaps we can appreciate the effort and remember who the real opponent is in November. Because if we nominate Santorum, we will have re-elected Obama.

The Opinionator on March 7, 2012 at 9:11 AM

stick a fork in it… time to move on to the main course.

mjbrooks3 on March 7, 2012 at 9:12 AM

So Romney has more delegates than ALL the other candidates combined. Romney won 6 of the contests last night. Santorum has to win by 60%+ majorities in ALL of the remaining contests to win the nomintation. Gingrich’s path is even more bleak than that. I’d say it was a great night for Romney with the win in Ohio and systematically advances toward the nomination.

gatorboy on March 7, 2012 at 9:12 AM

Hey- he heard them say it on Saturday Night Live-

BettyRuth on March 7, 2012 at 8:59 AM

Yes Jazz and other right wing bloggers sound like Debbie Downers this morning.

galtani on March 7, 2012 at 9:12 AM

Wow.   Ron Paul got 40% in Virginia.   That’s how p!ssed the voters are at the state GOP.

TerryW on March 7, 2012 at 9:12 AM

Romney/West 2012 because you don’t bring a sweater vest to a knife fight.

Hang in there, Newt, you’re helping Romney win the nomination. It’s all good.

NickDeringer on March 7, 2012 at 9:13 AM

It is desinformation campagn, that dems are voting for Santorum, look at facts -in heavy dem states -Romney got majority, in rep states, Romney can only score 1/3. What does it tell you? Romney is being helped by dems turning independent or republican to set us up with the weaker candidate – Mitt. Everything else is pure mudding of the water.

anikol on March 7, 2012 at 9:13 AM

Ignore them, it’s pointless to try and persuade people who are negative and too simple to understand what’s at stake this election.

NoDonkey on March 7, 2012 at 9:02 AM
you and all the others from the mittens peanut gallery better take up a collection for a TESTICAL TRANSPLANT for your “man”, cuz he desperately needs one.

GhoulAid on March 7, 2012 at 9:06 AM

That’s almost clever, what talk show host did you get that one from?

NoDonkey on March 7, 2012 at 9:13 AM

herm2416 on March 7, 2012 at 8:57 AM

Romney’s weakness is his uninspiring nature. This guy makes vanilla ice-cream seem exciting. Romney is also running a “Vote For Me, Just Because I Can Beat* Obama” Campaign and nothing else.

Romney’s defence of RomneyCare is indefensible to those who still fight against ObamaCare.

*This will turn into a “Vote For Me, Just Because I Am Not Obama” Campaign int the general election. This will be John McCain in 2008 all over again.

BigGator5 on March 7, 2012 at 9:14 AM

I hope Mitt has brought along plenty to eat and adequate lighting, because even if he is going to win this thing eventually, Rick Santorum doesn’t look like he’s going anywhere any time soon.

The primaries are over except for the appearance of the fat lady in the wings. The big news isn’t ‘Romney Campaign Struggling’, which isn’t true no matter how much Santorum supporters want to wish it so. The big news is ‘Santorum Loses Ohio’, a state he would’ve won a few weeks ago at the height of his Not Romney wave and in which his campaign had invested enormous amounts of resources. Only a fool or a true blue idealist would continue to donate to the Santorum campaign. The big donors who write the big checks are typically neither.

‘Pack a lunch and a flashlight’? Please. Your guy lost a make-or-break, must-win primary. Unless Romney shows up as an extra in the big crowd scene finale of an old 70′s porn movie, he’s taking the GOP nomination.

troyriser_gopftw on March 7, 2012 at 9:15 AM

Makes you wonder how many “red” states Romney will carry in the general election. Conservatives will likely vote Libertarian.

He is a massive drain for conservative candidates.

Valiant on March 7, 2012 at 9:16 AM

Sugar Land on March 7, 2012 at 9:08 AM

Amen!

The Opinionator on March 7, 2012 at 9:16 AM

In order to reach the magic number, Santorum will need to take somewhere between 64 and 70 percent of the remaining delegates. How likely does that sound given the current climate?

Sure, I mean look at the rest of the primary schedule. Lots of big east coast states, Illinois, California, Hawaii, Utah etc. Can’t see Santorum doing well in any of those places.

eyedoc on March 7, 2012 at 9:17 AM

flyfisher on March 7, 2012 at 9:06 AM

I’ve been looking for you! What was the name of that book about Scotland? I thought I could find it on Amazon with just the author’s name, but I couldn’t.

Night Owl on March 7, 2012 at 9:17 AM

Ron Paul is the man screwing up this entire election, and will be the one to get 0bama re-elected if some way is not found to get him to drop out. This totally sucks. He’s set up to be the Ross Perot of 2012.

Of the four remaining candidates, Paul is the only one with a far-left-wing foreign policy that have no realistic chance of being implemented – and is dangerous to the future of hia nation. He has no business running as Republican, with a policy that far left of the Democrat one.

Second, he’s too old to be safely elected, without a rock-solid VP. Paul would break the record of the oldest inagurated president by EIGHT YEARS. I have heard exactly zero mention of who Paul would tap, and this question is critical.

Yes, he seems to be in good shape, but at that age, anything can happen.

Third, once he goes off on a couple crazy-uncle rants in that quavering old-woman voice in the general, and then Dems link him to racial supremacists, it’s all over. People don’t want a crazy-sounding old dude as president.

Remove Paul, and this is a different election. No one in the party seems to have the guts to take the risk of telling him to go, and thereby forcing his supposedly largely conservative base to choose between keeping 0bama and rejecting him.

With Paul sucking up the percentage of the vote that he is, he has locked out Gingrich, who I think should be the finalist against Romney, and propped up Santorum, whose union-friendly voting record is to the left of Gingrich, and whose demonstrated inability to avoid repeated forays into Democrat social-policy traps, will likely doom him in the general.

So, Paul seemed to be the fixer that puts Romney in the general. I am warning to Romney, after watching his very strong performance on Huckabee’s candidate forum, but am not yet sold – with one caveat:

Were Romney to pick Gingrich as the VP, I will go ahead and vote for Romney. I think a strong enough, legitimate enough, ticket to take out 0bama, and I think that Gingrich could really help Romney govern.

cane_loader on March 7, 2012 at 9:19 AM

Romney can win the delegate count but if he fails to inspire the base we get another four years of Obama.

Happy Nomad on March 7, 2012 at 8:59 AM

Because the base is going to vote for Obama? (Or stay home, which is essentially voting for Obama?)

Violina23 on March 7, 2012 at 9:19 AM

Yes Jazz and other right wing bloggers sound like Debbie Downers this morning.

galtani

They just really hate Romney. The spin at HA is starting to get really disgusting.

Zaggs on March 7, 2012 at 9:21 AM

I am warning warming to Romney, after watching his very strong performance on Huckabee’s candidate forum

FIFM

cane_loader on March 7, 2012 at 9:21 AM

*This will turn into a “Vote For Me, Just Because I Am Not Obama” Campaign int the general election. This will be John McCain in 2008 all over again.

BigGator5 on March 7, 2012 at 9:14 AM

yep ….. get ready for it …. double digit loss …..

I am gonna vote for whoever the nominee is ….. but alot of folks won’t ….

believe it … and without them …. romneycare is toast ….

conservative tarheel on March 7, 2012 at 9:23 AM

So Romney winning a majority of both states and delegates is only “winning”? You guys are really getting desperate, it’s comical. Keep trying to create a fictional narrative as opposed to just reporting facts.

Kriggly on March 7, 2012 at 9:24 AM

He won only 20 of the state’s 88 counties — seven of which are Democratic. His ability to grossly outspend his weak primary opponents will not translate into a winning strategy against a well-funded Barack Obama.

flyfisher on March 7, 2012 at 9:06 AM

He lost my county by 9 points,.. I’m not really surprised he carried the democrat strongholds, Cleveland, Columbus.. He literally carpet bombed us with negative Santorum ads,.. I can’t remember hearing a single pro-Rick one.. and of course the Obama superpacs chimed in, they seemed to like Romney alot, but Romney for all the whining his people are doing, won only in democrat heavy districts.. loosing all the conservative areas save one or two.

mark81150 on March 7, 2012 at 9:24 AM

Rick Santorum pulled out some wins people didn’t expect in Tennessee, Oklahoma and North Dakota, which gives him more than ample reason to continue the long slog.

Um, what? Everyone expected him to win Oklahoma and Tennessee, and based on polling from say just over a week ago, he should’ve won Ohio, too.

The negative spin on Romney’s night is ludicrous. Yes, he has problems with the base…we’ve known this all along. There’s a significant ABR contingent that will flock to whomever the NotRomney of the moment is, regardless of anything else, and we’ve seen that in virtually every contest.

Be that as it may, though, Romney took 6 of 10 states…his nearest competitor won a grand total of 3. He won the lion’s share of delegates and has a big lead in the overall count. He kept Newt from getting an outright majority in GA and bested Santorum there. He came back from a big deficit in OH to win. However, people keep moving the goalposts and setting up ridiculous markers to determine whether he’s having success. Every state, practically, has been labeled a must-win for him, and he’s had about half a dozen home states so far where the bar for votes he’s “supposed” to get is ridiculously high. Not to mention, of course, that his wins out west are discounted because of their Mormon populations.

He has his weaknesses, to be sure. But the GOP stupidly set this up to be a tough slog, so I’m not sure why anyone’s surprised that it’s turned into one.

changer1701 on March 7, 2012 at 9:24 AM

Pack a lunch and a flashlight

And a clean pair of sacred underwear.

Emperor Norton on March 7, 2012 at 9:24 AM

I’d say it was a great night for Romney with the win in Ohio and systematically advances toward the nomination.

gatorboy on March 7, 2012 at 9:12 AM

Flesh-eating bacteria systematically advances, too. It isn’t necessarily a good thing sometimes.

trigon on March 7, 2012 at 9:25 AM

I am gonna vote for whoever the nominee is ….. but alot of folks won’t ….

believe it … and without them …. romneycare is toast ….

conservative tarheel

Let me guess, none of them will accept the blame either? It will be because of “The Establishment”.

Zaggs on March 7, 2012 at 9:26 AM

Rick Santorum pulled out some wins people didn’t expect in Tennessee, Oklahoma and North Dakota

Nice try. Everyone expected these wins. Nate Silver, in a column that I saw just yesterday (I saw it because HA linked to it!) did not rate North Dakota but gave Santorum a 58% chance of winning Oklahoma and–wait for it– a mere 93% chance of winning Tennessee.

What an incredible win. He must walk with the angels. He pulled off a victory in a state where he only had a 93% statistical chance of winning. Will miracles never cease?

rogaineguy on March 7, 2012 at 9:26 AM

Wonderful . . . meanwhile the Republican Party is about to have its butt kicked to the moon.

rplat on March 7, 2012 at 9:01 AM

If they do, they deserve it. They went with mittens cause it was his turn and all the best players sat the game out.

DHChron on March 7, 2012 at 9:27 AM

mittens picks West as his running mate, a lot of these issues get ironed out real fast.

Rubio or Jindal too

DHChron on March 7, 2012 at 9:28 AM

Hopefully, Gingrich will drop out soon, before it’s too late to stop Romney. Gingrich is just a spoiler at this point.

Pork-Chop on March 7, 2012 at 9:28 AM

Please someone here explain to me what is so wonderful about Romney? What has he done except ‘save’ the Olympics? He governed in Mass as the liberal he is, he ran to the left of Kennedy for the senate, he believes in government controlling our healthcare. He’s a white teleprompter Obama full of platitudes and a stiff neck.

red131 on March 7, 2012 at 9:30 AM

It’s time for all the purity pimps to get over themselves. The selection sucks, but Romney is the best available. Santorum can’t win swing states and Newt only just notched his second victory. Both of them would get crushed in November by women voters anyway, for obvious reasons that Obama would exploit to the hilt.

If you want to spend all summer dragging this out and bleeding Romney’s resources dry instead of softening up Obama, thanks for nothing. As Breitbart said at CPAC, “you’re on the other side”.

The Count on March 7, 2012 at 9:31 AM

all the best players sat the game out.

DHChron on March 7, 2012 at 9:27 AM

Who are “all the best players”? Palin, Christie, Daniels and Ryan all have some pretty serious flaws.

Seems to me that for 2012 the GOP has an incredibly weak bench as well as an incredibly weak field.

cool breeze on March 7, 2012 at 9:31 AM

What this proves is that the leftist GOP, with all their backstabbing shennanigns, have picked a certain loser that can’t even win his own party.

His only chance, since he’s a near clone of Obama and won’t repeal the abortion onslaught by Obama or his beloved Obamacare complete with death panels(he’s an efficiency CEO -he’s knows how to cut expenses) will be if he’s elected by the Godless liberal base of America.

America needs a second party to survive.

Don L on March 7, 2012 at 9:32 AM

Wow. Ron Paul got 40% in Virginia. That’s how p!ssed the voters are at the state GOP.

TerryW on March 7, 2012 at 9:12 AM

Withe only 2 names on the ballot Romney and Paul few bothered to vote. Virginia doesn’t say anything about the base. It says a lot about Gingrich and Santorum though; both live in Virginia and couldn’t get it together enough to get their names on the ballot there. People say that Romney has been running for 6 years… I don’t know if that’s true but I do know he’s committed to winning and to doing the hard work and has organized a “national campaign” and besides Paul who has a kind of national campaign Santorum and Gingrich don’t. The goal here is to win in November.

BobScuba on March 7, 2012 at 9:32 AM

Interesting, Jazz. My local liberal rag used almost the same 3 pics of the candidates on the front page this morning. Exact same positive one of Romney and crappy photos of Santorum and Gingrich. Typical New York.

Connie on March 7, 2012 at 9:33 AM

“Didn’t expect” in Oklahoma and Tennessee. Alright Jazz, now you’re just bullsh!tting us.

WealthofNations on March 7, 2012 at 9:33 AM

Romney can win the delegate count but if he fails to inspire the base we get another four years of Obama.
Happy Nomad on March 7, 2012 at 8:59 AM

Because the base is going to vote for Obama? (Or stay home, which is essentially voting for Obama?)
Violina23 on March 7, 2012 at 9:19 AM

I’m trying to figure out just who the ever elusive “base” is supposed to be. To me, the Republican base consists of those who get out and vote for the person who they want to be the Republican nominee and form the plurality, if not the majority, of the party. And I’m not sure how those who would vow to vote against the Republican-nominated candidate could ever be considered the “base”.

whatcat on March 7, 2012 at 9:33 AM

mittens picks West as his running mate, a lot of these issues get ironed out real fast.

Rubio or Jindal too

DHChron

If its Rubio that whole “Who will be the next president” talk pretty much ends right there.

Zaggs on March 7, 2012 at 9:34 AM

Outspent the field by 10 to 1 and he can’t close the deal.

red131

And your source for that is…..?

Zaggs on March 7, 2012 at 9:34 AM

BobScuba on March 7, 2012 at 9:32 AM
Outspent the field by 10 to 1 and he can’t close the deal.

red131 on March 7, 2012 at 9:35 AM

As for Romney, he and his team can put whatever spin they want on the results, but they can’t hide his continued inability to get a majority (as opposed to a plurality) of the vote

Neither can anyone else. SO I guess that means they all suck.

BacaDog on March 7, 2012 at 9:37 AM

The losses in Georgia, Tennessee, and Oklahoma themselves aren’t bad, but Romney’s share of the vote is pretty disappointing: 26 percent in Georgia, 28 percent in Oklahoma, 28 percent in Tennessee. Throw in 24 percent in North Dakota.

So what? Romney will carry all four of those states with ease come November. People forget that this kind of thing is simply the result of the primary process.

radjah shelduck on March 7, 2012 at 8:44 AM

And in response, so what? When Romney gets crushed in Ohio, Virginia and Florida the we’ll wonder where it all went wrong.

firegnome on March 7, 2012 at 9:38 AM

Just spent 20 minutes preparing a post and WHAM! The site refreshes itself and deletes my whole comment—this is Bull crap!

Rovin on March 7, 2012 at 9:39 AM

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