Marist poll: Virtual tie in Ohio

posted at 4:15 pm on March 4, 2012 by Ed Morrissey

As we inch closer to Super Tuesday, expect to see more polling from the main battleground in Ohio.  Newt Gingrich has a wide lead in Georgia, which will assign the most delegates in the 10-state melee, but nowhere else, so the rest of the field will look elsewhere.  Rick Santorum doubles up Mitt Romney in Oklahoma, although the last poll comes from before the last debate, where Santorum had a difficult night, and before the losses in Michigan and Arizona.  RCP has no polling data from Tennessee, and Santorum doesn’t have a full slate of delegates in that state anyway.

The biggest prize after Georgia is Ohio, and Romney wants to deprive Santorum of a victory there to choke off his toughest competitor.  According to a new Marist/NBC poll, he’s climbed to within the margin of error, and leads among early voters:

Rick Santorum and Mitt Romney are locked in a tight battle in the race for the Republican nomination in Ohio.  Among likely Republican primary voters including those who are undecided yet leaning toward a candidate, early voters, and those who voted absentee in the state, Santorum receives 34% to 32% for Romney. …

Key points:

  • Among early voters, Romney receives 39% to 35% for Santorum.
  • Santorum does the best among likely Republican primary voters who are very conservative — 51% — those who are Evangelical Christians — 44% — and among Tea Party supporters — 41%.
  • Santorum — 53% — also does well among values voters.
  • Among Republicans, Santorum has 36% to 33% for Romney.  Independent voters divide with 31% for Santorum and 30% for Romney.
  • Romney — 37% — does better among likely Republican primary voters who are liberal or moderate compared with 20% for Santorum.  Among likely Republican primary voters in Ohio who are not Tea Party supporters, Romney leads Santorum 36% to 27%.
  • Romney also has the advantage among those who want a candidate who can defeat President Obama — 45%.  Among those who emphasize experience, 40% are for Romney.
  • Likely Republican primary voters who want a candidate who is closest to them on the issues divide.  Here, Santorum and Romney each has 29%, Paul follows with 24%, and Gingrich has 12%.

This sample consists of 820 likely GOP primary voters from a responder base of 3,566 adults, a fairly significant sample. I could not find the split between Republicans and non-Republicans in the data.  However, the split among both groups favors Santorum in both, 36/33 among Republicans and 31/30 among non-Republicans (as noted above), which leads me to think that the percentage of non-Republicans is probably relatively small.

The other internals produce some surprising results.  Despite the media analysts’ claims, Santorum has no gender-gap problem in Ohio; he beats Romney by four, 36/32, while tying Romney among men 32/32.  The two income demos are almost exactly dead heats, with Romney winning those making $75K or more by one (35/34) and Santorum winning those earning less than $75K by one (33/32). Santorum narrowly wins those 45 years of age and older (36/33) and has a one-point edge among those younger than 45 (31/30).  Those issues are not going to decide the outcome of this primary.

The big difference is among those who vote based on their values or on the perception of candidate strength.  Santorum wins a majority among the former, 53/17 over Romney, while Romney wins by a large margin among those who want to pick someone who can beat Barack Obama, 45/28, and among those who are concerned about having the experience to govern, 40/20.  However, voters are narrowly split on this question:

  • Shares values: 28%
  • Closest on issues: 25%
  • Beat Obama: 29%
  • Experience to govern: 16%

Since the “issues” question is a tie, the big dividing lines appear to slightly favor Romney as the primary gets closer.  The issue of candidate strength might be even more of a factor after last week’s sweep for Romney (which includes the caucuses in Wyoming and Washington).  Either way, it looks as though Ohio may be a nailbiter to the end — but if that’s the case, then Santorum’s delegate problems become a big issue.  He needs a win large enough to overcome that handicap, and so far it doesn’t look very likely.  And in a race this close, an early-voting lead — even a thin one –  may be decisive.


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I’m a late SMOD supporter.

Mord on March 4, 2012 at 4:16 PM

Mord on March 4, 2012 at 4:16 PM

Not modest about your support of SMOD.

The Nerve on March 4, 2012 at 4:19 PM

Ed, The NBC/MARIST polls are a joke. Look at the GE results for OH and VA.

Then look at the party sample.

artist on March 4, 2012 at 4:21 PM

I’m a late SMOD supporter.

Mord on March 4, 2012 at 4:16 PM

Cthulhu/Dagon 2012

sharrukin on March 4, 2012 at 4:23 PM

There is something else that needs to be kept in mind concerning this poll. Samples were only taken between the 29th and the 2nd. That might not seem like a big deal, but pollsters seem to be of the opinion that Santorum is on a fairly steady decline, and it losing support to either Gingrich or Romney on a daily basis.

Therefore it is somewhat likely that in the two days that have taken place since this poll was conducted, that Santorums standing has weakened even more. Particularly given all the campaigning the Romney campaign is doing, the various endorsements, winning Washington, oh, and word has it that pro-Romney robocalls featuring Barbara Bush are going to start going out today or tomorrow.

WolvenOne on March 4, 2012 at 4:24 PM

Being an Ohio voter who has already voted
Go Newt!!!!!!!

angrymike on March 4, 2012 at 4:25 PM

While I hope Romney wins Ohio and moves this thing toward a conclusion, I have grave doubts about the Maris Poll. Take a look at the other polls Maris did on Real Clear politics. They show Obama up on Romney nationally by 12 points. This is not possible. They show Kaine ahead of Allen in Virginia by 9. There were several polls on that race recently that showed it a tie. NBC-Maris polls are suspect and may be ok for a Republican sample of a primary but for general election purposes I would throw them out the door. They appear to be outliers or just liars.

jake22 on March 4, 2012 at 4:25 PM

Super Tuesday comeback? Fuhgetaboutit.

EddieC on March 4, 2012 at 4:26 PM

Ed, The NBC/MARIST polls are a joke. Look at the GE results for OH and VA.

Then look at the party sample.

artist on March 4, 2012 at 4:21 PM

The Reuters/Ipsos poll released today paints the same picture. Romney and Santorum are tied with 32 percent support from likely voters in Ohio.

jimver on March 4, 2012 at 4:31 PM

GOP nominees don’t win without Ohio. If Romney can’t seal the deal with Ohio, he is the weakest candidate the GOP has ever had.

Warner Todd Huston on March 4, 2012 at 4:32 PM

Newt Gingrich has a wide lead in Georgia

Guess that Tuesday night Tree story really wowed ‘em. Maybe his victory speech will finally reveal its height and, with a historical nod to young George Washington, why he felt need to chop said tree down.
:P

Ladysmith CulchaVulcha on March 4, 2012 at 4:32 PM

…oh, and word has it that pro-Romney robocalls featuring Barbara Bush are going to start going out today or tomorrow.

WolvenOne on March 4, 2012 at 4:24 PM

Well that isn’t going to help Romney any. Go Newt, I suppose.

Buckshot Bill on March 4, 2012 at 4:33 PM

I know it’s not really relevant to anything, but every single time I see “Marist” in a headline, I see “Marxist” until I read it again…

Washington Nearsider on March 4, 2012 at 4:34 PM

Willard will win OH

liberal4life on March 4, 2012 at 4:34 PM

rubberneck on March 4, 2012 at 4:35 PM

Yeah, and Romney’s only 8-12 points behind Obama. Yay!/

Buckshot Bill on March 4, 2012 at 4:34 PM

he Reuters/Ipsos poll released today paints the same picture. Romney and Santorum are tied with 32 percent support from likely voters in Ohio.

jimver on March 4, 2012 at 4:31 PM

They seem to be in the park there but not with the GE results or polling sample.

artist on March 4, 2012 at 4:35 PM

Romney is now 4 behind in Tennessee and is running second to Newt in GA. Tuesday could hopefully be the end to this.

Sunday, March 04
Race/Topic (Click to Sort) Poll Results Spread

Tennessee Republican Presidential Primary Rasmussen Reports Santorum 34, Romney 30, Gingrich 18, Paul 8 Santorum +4

Ohio Republican Presidential Primary NBC News/Marist Santorum 34, Romney 32, Gingrich 15, Paul 13 Santorum +2

Georgia Republican Presidential Primary Mason-Dixon Gingrich 38, Romney 24, Santorum 22, Paul 3 Gingrich +14

Virginia Republican Presidential Primary NBC News/Marist Romney 69, Paul 26 Romney +43

rubberneck on March 4, 2012 at 4:35 PM

The Tennessee turnaround is huge….Not sure where Oklahoma is, but getting Coburn’s endorsement could really change things.

rubberneck on March 4, 2012 at 4:36 PM

Rasmussen from 3/1

Santorum 32
Romney 31

same 2 points spread

Interesting that TN has narrowed to a 4 points spread between Santorum and Romney.

I am hoping for a clear winner soon so we can focus on the job at hand, to get Barry out of office. It is already not an easy task when Barry is the incumbent with lots of campaign money, the dems’ adeptness in bringing in emotional wedge issues, and a large established base of Blacks, the dependence class and liberals. The GOP is not helped by the bloody, bitter and destructive internecine primary battles.

galtani on March 4, 2012 at 4:39 PM

Super Tuesday is going to be a mess. All the low information voters that do most of the voting will be reading about Santorum coming in third in WA, and will fear he’s not the popular choice anymore. Flopney will do well unfortunately, but the real question is whether Sweatervest or Grinch will emerge in a stronger position. If either one gets decimated they will probably drop out, but both will probably win a state or two and the game will continue. Probably with Newtron being strengthened and recharged.

Daikokuco on March 4, 2012 at 4:40 PM

I think at this stage if Newt and Santorum don’t work together someway somehow, then there is no stopping to Romney.

Hang in there Newt !!!

evergreenland on March 4, 2012 at 4:42 PM

Best we all look on the bright side. Romney or Santorum or Gingrich will lose to Obama in November, but at least Romney will keep it relatively close.

YYZ on March 4, 2012 at 4:43 PM

Being an Ohio voter who has already voted
Go Newt!!!!!!!

angrymike on March 4, 2012 at 4:25 PM

Yeah!

Go Newt, I suppose.

Buckshot Bill on March 4, 2012 at 4:33 PM

A vote is a vote regardless of the lack of enthusiasm. I guess it’s good practice for November.

Night Owl on March 4, 2012 at 4:52 PM

Cthulhu/Dagon 2012

sharrukin on March 4, 2012 at 4:23 PM

Dagon was a Philistine god, no?

Willard will win OH

liberal4life on March 4, 2012 at 4:34 PM

I’m afraid to say that you may say

count it.

Lanceman on March 4, 2012 at 4:53 PM

LOL…

Say hello to our nominee, Mitt Romney, you conservative/tea party “hobbits”.

How did we get to this stage where conservatives/tea partiers were suckered into rejecting the stronger and more conservative Not-Romneys (Perry, Bachmann, and even Huntsman) while following the mirage of Newt the awesomest debater and Santorum the giant slayer?

I hope conservatives/tea partiers will be smarter in 2016 – and no, there will be no President Romney – and not fall for the “debates are everything” argument and rejecting candidates for things like “He called us heartless”.

For now, let’s prep for Nominee Romney and watch as he gets hammered by Obama in November.

That, my friends, is ‘inevitable’.

TheRightMan on March 4, 2012 at 4:55 PM

Well that isn’t going to help Romney any. Go Newt, I suppose.

Buckshot Bill on March 4, 2012 at 4:33 PM

Oh, it’ll help somewhat. There are a lot of older voters especially that remember Barbera Bush fondly. It isn’t exactly a knockout punch, but it helps, especially alongside everything else thats going on.

WolvenOne on March 4, 2012 at 4:59 PM

even Huntsman)

TheRightMan on March 4, 2012 at 4:55 PM

Heh. Good one. Saying that with a straight face.

Lanceman on March 4, 2012 at 5:00 PM

Best we all look on the bright side. Romney or Santorum or Gingrich will lose to Obama in November, but at least Romney will keep it relatively close.

YYZ on March 4, 2012 at 4:43 PM

That’s the spirit.

GOPRanknFile on March 4, 2012 at 5:04 PM

even Huntsman)

TheRightMan on March 4, 2012 at 4:55 PM

Heh. Good one. Saying that with a straight face.

Lanceman on March 4, 2012 at 5:00 PM

I’m as serious as can be.

I find it surprising that the Romney supporters here remain blind to the fact that Romney is damaged goods.

He will not attract enough support from a disenchanted base nor so-called independents to win against Obama.

Huntsman, despite his campaign rhetoric, is actually more conservative than Romney. And had a better record.

So yes – Huntsman was a vastly better choice than Romney and definitely more electable.

TheRightMan on March 4, 2012 at 5:07 PM

Romney sucks severely!

or Romney severely sucks!

{take your pick!}

Pragmatic on March 4, 2012 at 5:08 PM

Best we all look on the bright side. Romney or Santorum or Gingrich will lose to Obama in November, but at least Romney will keep it relatively close.

YYZ on March 4, 2012 at 4:43 PM

Yes he will. And he will also depress turnout which will help Dems down ticket. I’d rather lose to Obama by 10% and win the Senate than lose by 4% and lose the senate.

angryed on March 4, 2012 at 5:11 PM

He will not attract enough support from a disenchanted base nor so-called independents to win against Obama.

TheRightMan on March 4, 2012 at 5:07 PM

Exactly. And Romney will depress turnout which will hurt close senate races in MO, FL, PA, MT and VA. Romney is the worst of all options because he can’t win AND he hurts down ticket races.

At least with Newt or Santy, we lose but we have an excited base that shows up and votes R for everything else.

angryed on March 4, 2012 at 5:11 PM

Yes he will. And he will also depress turnout which will help Dems down ticket. I’d rather lose to Obama by 10% and win the Senate than lose by 4% and lose the senate.

angryed on March 4, 2012 at 5:11 PM

It’s a long time till November. If this thing ends on Tuesday…8 months of attack on Obama.

rubberneck on March 4, 2012 at 5:11 PM

With 5 STRAIGHT wins, I actually see Romney winning MANY of these Super Tuesday States as the momentum, the endorsements are coming faster, and people are seeing also that why should I vote for RS if he CANNOT even qualify in MY state? They may see it as a wasted vote.

out of the 10 states I believe Romney may pick up 6 of them maybe 7…

g2825m on March 4, 2012 at 5:12 PM

I probably should know this, but what was the Tea Party?

Rusty Allen on March 4, 2012 at 5:14 PM

angryed on March 4, 2012 at 5:11 PM

This is how little you know about elections. People tend to vote people out…not in. If voting against Obama doesn’t excite, then you can apply for membership in the democratic party….and leave your stupid opinions to yourself.

rubberneck on March 4, 2012 at 5:14 PM

well good nite all!

g2825m on March 4, 2012 at 5:14 PM

It’s a long time till November. If this thing ends on Tuesday…8 months of attack on Obama.

rubberneck on March 4, 2012 at 5:11 PM

I will not say anything offensive or incendiary about Obama.” -Mitt Romney

I think instead that if you want to get something done in Washington, you don’t end up picking teams with Republicans on one side and Democrats on the other entering into a contract saying, ‘OK, we’re all going to do this,’ and then of course if that works, then the other side feels like they’re the loser. But if it wins, they feel like the winner. I don’t like winners and losers in Washington. I’d rather say let’s get together and work together.” -Mitt Romney

sharrukin on March 4, 2012 at 5:14 PM

Mord on March 4, 2012 at 4:16 PM

I’m on board for SMOD. Just give me some time to find my dog.

gyrmnix on March 4, 2012 at 5:15 PM

The comments on this post are so unenthusiastic, really depressing. Wow Mitt brings so much discouragement to the base, I guess most of those cheering for him at the rallies are paid or are delusional that think Mitt will beat Obama.
RNC is really absent and have no idea how the voters are feeling.

evergreenland on March 4, 2012 at 5:17 PM

Willard will win OH

liberal4life on March 4, 2012 at 4:34 PM

Way to go out on a limb Sherlock.

CW on March 4, 2012 at 5:17 PM

OT: Are all of Breitbart’s sites down..?

d1carter on March 4, 2012 at 5:18 PM

evergreenland on March 4, 2012 at 5:17 PM

If Romney discourages the base, yet acquires more votes than the others, what does that say about them?

gyrmnix on March 4, 2012 at 5:19 PM

Count me in for SMOD.

Lightswitch on March 4, 2012 at 5:19 PM

How is Newt doing in his home state of VA?

crash72 on March 4, 2012 at 5:21 PM

Vote Inevitable 2012!

in·ev·i·ta·ble (n-v-t-bl)
adj.
1. Impossible to avoid or prevent.

Ladysmith CulchaVulcha on March 4, 2012 at 5:24 PM

SMOD 2012! The Last Candidate We’ll Ever Need!

Buckshot Bill on March 4, 2012 at 5:24 PM

The comments on this post are so unenthusiastic, really depressing. Wow Mitt brings so much discouragement to the base, I guess most of those cheering for him at the rallies are paid or are delusional that think Mitt will beat Obama.
RNC is really absent and have no idea how the voters are feeling.

evergreenland on March 4, 2012 at 5:17 PM

The entire idea of having elections is to know how the voters are feeling.

More reliable indicator than blogs.

joana on March 4, 2012 at 5:25 PM

well good nite all!

g2825m on March 4, 2012 at 5:14 PM

Good night? Are you in Israel?

galtani on March 4, 2012 at 5:27 PM

I’ve decided that I’m willing to support Romney, on one condition:

If he’s the nominee he must spend the entirety of the presidential debates talking about trees, his preferences for tree size, and which states have trees that meet those qualifications. Not one mention of anything not tree related. No policy discussion, energy, Obama, fiscal matters, nothing. Just trees.

Buckshot Bill on March 4, 2012 at 5:28 PM

“I think instead that if you want to get something done in Washington, you don’t end up picking teams with Republicans on one side and Democrats on the other entering into a contract saying, ‘OK, we’re all going to do this,’ and then of course if that works, then the other side feels like they’re the loser. But if it wins, they feel like the winner. I don’t like winners and losers in Washington. I’d rather say let’s get together and work together.” -Mitt Romney

sharrukin on March 4, 2012 at 5:14 PM

What is wrong with that? The trick of winning in is to make the other side thought they had come out ahead, even after you cleaned him out and took his shirt.

galtani on March 4, 2012 at 5:33 PM

What is wrong with that? The trick of winning in is to make the other side thought they had come out ahead, even after you cleaned him out and took his shirt.

galtani on March 4, 2012 at 5:33 PM

He is punk naive about who he is dealing with.

You go through the gate. If the gate’s closed, you go over the fence. If the fence is too high, we’ll pole vault in. If that doesn’t work, we’ll parachute in. But we’re going to get health care reform passed for the American people. – Nancy Pelosi

sharrukin on March 4, 2012 at 5:40 PM

OT:
ProFlowers just quit Rush.

Ladysmith CulchaVulcha on March 4, 2012 at 5:40 PM

OT:

Little Angel Babcock (who was found 10 miles from her home after the tornado) has died from the traumatic brain injury she suffered. She was just 15 months old, and lost all other members of her family to the storm as well.

So sad. A true angel now.

IrishEi on March 4, 2012 at 5:42 PM

Buckshot Bill on March 4, 2012 at 5:28 PM

That’s pretty funny. I would love to go to a rally and ask him why our trees aren’t as good as Michigan’s.

Rusty Allen on March 4, 2012 at 5:43 PM

OT:
ProFlowers just quit Rush.

Ladysmith CulchaVulcha on March 4, 2012 at 5:40 PM

And I’ve just quit ProFlowers. Won’t break the bank I’m sure, but I did use them about once a month.

IrishEi on March 4, 2012 at 5:44 PM

OT:

Little Angel Babcock (who was found 10 miles from her home after the tornado) has died from the traumatic brain injury she suffered. She was just 15 months old, and lost all other members of her family to the storm as well.

So sad. A true angel now.

IrishEi on March 4, 2012 at 5:42 PM

Sad to hear that. Was hoping for a miracle.

galtani on March 4, 2012 at 5:45 PM

IrishEi on March 4, 2012 at 5:42 PM

Sad to hear that. Was hoping for a miracle.

galtani on March 4, 2012 at 5:45 PM

*shakes head sadly*

annoyinglittletwerp on March 4, 2012 at 5:49 PM

Rick Santorum’s weak campaign organization disqualified him for:

- 25% of the delgates in Ohio

- 12 Delegates in Illinois

- 16 Delegates in Washington DC

- Even being listed on the ballot in Virginia

Rick Santorum is a good man and I agree with him on many issues, but he is not ready to run a National Presidential campaign.

The Republican Nominee for President needs to be ready to run an aggressive campaign against President Obama in November.

Santorum is not going to have the luxury of being able to focus on one state at a time when all of the states vote at the same time on November 6th.

Defeating President Obama in November is too important to put our fate in the hands of candidate who did not build a strong enough campaign organization to meet the minimum requirements in every state during the Republican Primary Elections.

I hope Rick Santorum will learn valuable experience from this election and run again in 2016 or 2020.

wren on March 4, 2012 at 5:52 PM

To Hades with SMOD-MY vote is still going to these guys!

annoyinglittletwerp on March 4, 2012 at 5:48 PM

Better than what we have now.

Lightswitch on March 4, 2012 at 5:52 PM

OT:
ProFlowers just quit Rush.

Ladysmith CulchaVulcha on March 4, 2012 at 5:40 PM

ProFlowers must be afraid of losing business from those who are in favor of pre-marital er…”relations.”

ProFlowers is going to regret their decision. Most flowers are purchased by men. And most men probably used exactly the same words to describe Sandra Fluke after hearing her testimony.

Stay strong Rush! You were right all along! In the meantime, your ratings are going to blow through the roof on Monday! Too bad that huge audience won’t hear a peep from your timid advertisers.

wren on March 4, 2012 at 6:05 PM

So yes – Huntsman was a vastly better choice than Romney and definitely more electable.

TheRightMan on March 4, 2012 at 5:07 PM

Says the dude who made ridiculous predictions about Rick Perry that never came to fruition.

JPeterman on March 4, 2012 at 6:12 PM

I think GOP voters just want this thing over and are breaking for Romney, even the ones that didn’t really want him to win are starting to realize a nasty slugfest until the Convention will probably do only one thing : assure Obama’s reelection and MAYBE put Santorum on the ticket with Romney.

If Romney is able to make his own choice for a running mate, you’re going to see a MUCH better conservative than Santorum, anything less would be political suicide.

The most poisonous idea, however, is that if this thing continues to be muddled, some ALL STAR Republican becomes our nominee. The guy that goes in with the most delegates will be the nominee at the top of the ticket. Period. It can either be Romney/Rubio and we have a shot to win or Romney/Santorum after a 1968-style clusterfu!k Convention with two bloody, penniless corpses.

BradTank on March 4, 2012 at 6:12 PM

In the meantime, your ratings are going to blow through the roof on Monday!

I know I’ll be tuned in.
;)

Ladysmith CulchaVulcha on March 4, 2012 at 6:16 PM

Maybe he will have to start shilling for that “income at home” scheme.

antisense on March 4, 2012 at 6:20 PM

I know I’ll be tuned in.
;)

Ladysmith CulchaVulcha on March 4, 2012 at 6:16 PM

I can’t wait to tune into Rush’s show on Monday!

And after Rush’s show, I’ll have to start looking for a new florist.

ProFlowers has lost my business until they come to their senses and realize Rush was right.

wren on March 4, 2012 at 6:24 PM

Cthulhu/Dagon 2012

sharrukin on March 4, 2012 at 4:23 PM

LOL. I was rooting for Yog Soggoth, myself.

Throat Wobbler Mangrove on March 4, 2012 at 6:30 PM

Saintnorum is falling from the sky. Look out below!

VorDaj on March 4, 2012 at 6:34 PM

Says the dude who made ridiculous predictions about Rick Perry that never came to fruition.

JPeterman on March 4, 2012 at 6:12 PM

Pray tell, my dear JPeterman, what ridiculous predictions did I make about Perry?

Like a number of conservatives living in an era that saw the defeat of the ‘electable’ McCain by a first-term Senator with no accomplishments, Obama, and a Tea Party derided by Beltway insiders that handed the GOP the biggest win in a generation – I thought a Perry nomination was a foregone conclusion.

What I underestimated was the power of the media and polling organizations to shape opinion even among conservatives and tea partiers. They succeeded in getting conservatives/tea partiers to reject better small-government conservative choices while accepting big Govt. conservative/socon choices like Gingrich and Santorum.

If you remain convinced that such a fickle electorate will vote enmasse for Romney and carry him to victory over an Obama that the media and polling organizations will spin to be the second coming of Christ himself, then I pity you my dear friend.

I give Romney up until September – not even October – he will be trailing by double digits to Obama and will never recover.

So go stock up and prepare for Obama’s second term – European socialism at its worst unleashed upon America – a hell on Earth indeed.

Hope that cures the conservative/tea partier electorate of a focus on ‘Gardasil’ and ‘heartless’ in 2016.

TheRightMan on March 4, 2012 at 6:37 PM

Stay strong Rush! You were right all along!

wren on March 4, 2012 at 6:05 PM

How about if he just keeps his big destructive yap shut for a while. He could have called that “co-ed” a freeloader and a phony, but no, he had to call her a slut and a prostitute and hand Obama and the demofascists a big gift.

VorDaj on March 4, 2012 at 6:41 PM

ProFlowers has lost my business until they come to their senses and realize Rush was right.

wren on March 4, 2012 at 6:24

It was ProFlowers’ incompetence, and extortionate shipping charges that lost me last year.
:)

Ladysmith CulchaVulcha on March 4, 2012 at 6:45 PM

GOP nominees don’t win without Ohio. If Romney can’t seal the deal with Ohio, he is the weakest candidate the GOP has ever had.

Specious logic. Republican primary voters preferring someone else in the primary =/= failing to eventually come around to Romany (or anyone else) in the general.

Just ask Dear Leader Obama, who lost at least a dozen states, many of them big ones, to Hilary in the primary but nevertheless won them in the general.

FuzzyLogic on March 4, 2012 at 6:50 PM

That’s pretty funny. I would love to go to a rally and ask him why our trees aren’t as good as Michigan’s.

If you’d lived in one place as a child, moved away, and come back for a visit, that “trees are the right size” might not sound so absurd.

For myself, I think the mesquite trees in Southeastern Arizona are just the right shade of green and the clouds are the right size, number, and color, and height above the ground.

It’s the people who don’t get the touch of humor and keep endlessly twitting him about it that look more ridiculous to me.

Confutus on March 4, 2012 at 6:53 PM

Like a number of conservatives living in an era that saw the defeat of the ‘electable’ McCain by a first-term Senator with no accomplishments, Obama, and a Tea Party derided by Beltway insiders that handed the GOP the biggest win in a generation – I thought a Perry nomination was a foregone conclusion.

What I underestimated was the power of the media and polling organizations to shape opinion even among conservatives and tea partiers. They succeeded in getting conservatives/tea partiers to reject better small-government conservative choices while accepting big Govt. conservative/socon choices like Gingrich and Santorum.

Actually, if you want to blame anyone for derailing the Perry train (other than Perry himself, who deserves the lion’s share of the blame), you can point to Bachmann and Santorum, who hammered Perry mercilessly from the right, the one direction the generally unprepared Perry was least prepared to defend himself from.

Perry got into the race thinking that having a sterling conservative reputation and his reputation of success in Texas would be enough. It wasn’t. He also clearly wasn’t over the effects of his back surgery either. Add it up and he looked hopeless on those debate stages.

I say all this as someone who eagerly anticipated Perry getting in the race. He sure looked great on paper.

FuzzyLogic on March 4, 2012 at 6:55 PM

Annoyinglittletwerp @ 5:48
Brain=Christie
Pinky=Romney

angrymike on March 4, 2012 at 6:56 PM

“Among early voters, Romney receives 39% to 35% for Santorum.”

Yet the sub-headline of the article says Romney is only up 3 in early voting. Seems to be up 4.

Zaggs on March 4, 2012 at 6:59 PM

TheRightMan on March 4, 2012 at 6:37 PM

You’re just another Obama plant.

If Romney is the nominee, I will vote for Obama and will enjoy doing so.

TheRightMan on December 28, 2011 at 11:21 AM

Nuff said.

JPeterman on March 4, 2012 at 7:01 PM

In all this I celebrate the DEATH of the tea party.

The Godfather of Obamacare will be your nominee.

liberal4life on March 4, 2012 at 7:01 PM

If you think the base is less-than-enthused now, wait until the general election campaign when Romney refuses to really go after Obama, in the same way that McCain deferred to the Messiah. There is going to be a bloodbath in the Presidential race, and the GOP will be extremely fortunate to hold the House. The Senate is lost.

I live in Wauwatosa, WI (home of Scott Walker) and in 08, there were swarms of Obama volunteers going door-to-door. Meanwhile, at McCain/Palin headquaters, we struggled to get people to answer phones after McCain suspended his campaign and killed the enthusiasm Palin had generated. I hope everyone pining for Mitt, saying he’s “electable,” understands that this thing will be over by summer and the public will just tune out. Romney will kill the GOP on down ballot races, too.

gumbyandpokey on March 4, 2012 at 7:13 PM

I first read that as “Marxist Poll”.

The Rogue Tomato on March 4, 2012 at 7:15 PM

“Republican primary voters preferring someone else in the primary =/= failing to eventually come around to Romany (or anyone else) in the general.”

Romney will play especially poorly in working class OH in the general election. I’ll vote for Santorum in the WI primary, only because his supporters will be more engaged and volunteer and help the other races (like the Senate here in WI). There is going to be a heck of a lot of “I told you so” going on the day after the Presidential election when Romney is destroyed and takes the GOP with him. And then the same crap will go on in 2016 when Republican voters choose another squish.

gumbyandpokey on March 4, 2012 at 7:18 PM

In all this I celebrate the DEATH of the tea party.

The Godfather of Obamacare will be your nominee.

liberal4life on March 4, 2012 at 7:01 PM

As Jailbreak would say: HAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAH!!!!!!…Death of the Tea Party.
They, will be the pallbearers!…come November!

KOOLAID2 on March 4, 2012 at 7:33 PM

No Bluegill?
*crys*

KOOLAID2 on March 4, 2012 at 7:41 PM

TC’s can rag on Romney all they want, but that data suggests he would be the strongest general election candidate.

That’s important to those of us who want Obama gone. Of course, as has been proven here over and over again, many rightwingers don’t much care about winning in November.

Republicans are fast reaching the point where they want this thing over with, so we can turn all our attention on the dangerous, miserable failure in the WH.

Romney’s wasting money fighting off the also-rans, money that he is going to need to mount an effective challenge to Obama. Charles Gasparino, who knows the Wall Streeters well, is convinced they will generously support Mitt, whereas the other candidates would have them “rolling the dice” with Obama.

As Gasparino points out, there are a few limousine liberals on WS, but most of them don’t care about blue or red, only green. Idealists may rail at that, but we have to work with the system we’ve got.

And it would be delightful to see Barry push the panic button once the big-money guys start rallying to Mitt. He’ll be hard-pressed to raise that billion-dollar warchest without Wall Street.

Meredith on March 4, 2012 at 7:52 PM

Meredith
you can believe all the sh%t the establishment feeds you but I’m telling you they are wrong!
I hope ppl will go out and vote for whoever the nominee is, but I got a bad feeling about a moderate RINO running against Obie.
remember the most electable to the establishment is not the man of the ppl, they will stay home in droves, if the wrong man/or woman/ is the nominee!

angrymike on March 4, 2012 at 8:01 PM

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KHAHOzx2-I4&feature=youtu.be

Wait until he is the nominee then will see the shift back to his moderate/ Libral side.

evergreenland on March 4, 2012 at 8:03 PM

KOOLAIDS
I read the terms of use today, it says if something is offensive or vulger the person can be banned, isn’t that jailturd,urban idiot, bluegrill and libfornoreason do every time they post?
Lol just wondering!

angrymike on March 4, 2012 at 8:06 PM

I will not say anything offensive or incendiary about Obama.” -Mitt Romney

And Santorum and Limbaugh have just this last week demonstrated why that’s smart.

Confutus on March 4, 2012 at 8:07 PM

I will not say anything offensive or incendiary about Obama.” -Mitt Romney

And, Americans want this man for President!

What a milquetoast….or should I say…maroon!

First round to Obama!

Sparky5253 on March 4, 2012 at 9:11 PM

How about if he just keeps his big destructive yap shut for a while. He could have called that “co-ed” a freeloader and a phony, but no, he had to call her a slut and a prostitute and hand Obama and the demofascists a big gift.

VorDaj on March 4, 2012 at 6:41 PM

How about you get bent, Mr. Armchair Quarterback. Let’s see YOU do his job.

Lanceman on March 4, 2012 at 10:02 PM

KOOLAIDS
I read the terms of use today, it says if something is offensive or vulger the person can be banned, isn’t that jailturd,urban idiot, bluegrill and libfornoreason do every time they post?
Lol just wondering!

angrymike on March 4, 2012 at 8:06 PM

Ohhhhhhhhhhh…than I would have been banned my first day here, and every day after that!

KOOLAID2 on March 4, 2012 at 10:14 PM

Lanceman on March 4, 2012 at 10:02 PM

Rush was right! (Ok-half right! Slut…not a prostitute.) She’s not worried about her 30 year old cramps! Just pay up and shut up!

KOOLAID2 on March 4, 2012 at 10:21 PM

Mitt Romney is a total class act who will be an excellent president.

Rick Santorum is just an social issues extremist bigot who would lose to Barack Obama in a lanslide.

No wonder all the Dems and labor unions are trying to hurt Mitt Romney… they know that Romney is the one who can and will actually defeat Obama.

GO MITT!!!

bluegill on March 4, 2012 at 10:29 PM

I think it’s terrible how these nasty Rick Santorum supporters are trash talking Newt Gingrich. At least Newt Gingrich isn’t an extremist theocrat bigot like Rick Santorum.

Rick Santorum should drop out of the race either the day before or the day after Super Tuesday. Rick Santorum hasn’t even been able to win a single primary that wasn’t simply a beauty contest.

Then let the three-man race of Romney-Paul-Gingrich commence… and may the best person win.

bluegill on March 4, 2012 at 10:32 PM