Why isn’t Sarah running?

posted at 4:00 pm on February 12, 2012 by J.E. Dyer

I’ll take a crack at it.  Her CPAC speech today was a barn-burner, hitting every conservative, small-government point and pumping out soundbites that will no doubt resonate in the public dialogue for days to come.  Some of my favorites:

“Drain the Jacuzzi!”

“This government isn’t too big to fail, it’s too big to succeed.”

“We don’t want an economy built to last, we want an economy built to grow.”

“This is Obama’s Washington.”

I wonder, however, if one of the points she hammered throughout the speech really registered with her audience.  Her signature line in this speech was “The door is open.”  She meant that political conditions are becoming conducive to a renewed commitment to small government and liberty.  People’s mindsets are changing.  We are not governed by the “rules” of political seasons past; the door is open to choosing our candidates and charting our nation’s future on a different basis.  The door is open to not accepting a continuation of the false compromises of previous decades.

(As I go to press, I see that Tina Korbe picked up on this theme.)

I have referred to those false compromises – “compromises” in which the conservative, small-government side gave up virtually everything – as the “old consensus.”  I see it losing, bit by bit, in this primary season.  People are no longer obediently making their political choices within the parameters defined for them by the professional political class.

This doesn’t mean that the voters have ideal candidates with whom to make their statement against the old consensus.  Santorum and Gingrich both have their drawbacks, as Paul always has.  But a critical mass of voters has recognized that Romney is the old consensus, and they are rejecting it.  The CPAC vote was remarkable for Romney’s 38% — because it wasn’t bigger, because Santorum got 31%, and even Gingrich, in a conclave of the politically connected, got 15%.

Everyone outpolled Ron Paul at CPAC, even though he has regularly won the CPAC vote in the past.  This signals a change in the mindset of politically active conservatives – not merely a new perspective that it’s overwhelmingly important to defeat Obama, but a perspective that the core of the conservative movement is shifting, and we need a serious mainstream candidate because it is a life-or-death matter to be effective in the political process.

That obviously doesn’t mean the CPAC voters think we need a “moderate,” leadership- and media-approved candidate.  If it did, they would have gone for Romney, rather than voting 46% for the mainstream candidates who are not Romney – and who are perceived, in many if not all cases correctly, as less satisfied with and enthusiastically “managerial” about the matter of big government.

But the point to take away is that voter sentiment, as it relates to the meaning of different candidates and the basis of government, is changing.

And that, I think, is about half the reason why Sarah Palin didn’t throw her hat in the ring for this campaign cycle.  Her evaluation of political conditions is remarkably accurate and prescient:  she saw, long before most of the voters did, that the game of expectations itself needed to change, and that only we could do it.

What strategic value was there for Palin in participating in the Cynical Media Slime-fest and All-Out Kick-em-in-the-Nads, mud-slinging, business-as-usual, expectations-on-autopilot primary season?

Six or eight months ago, the sea change in the voters’ sentiments and propensities might have been foreseeable, but it hadn’t happened yet.  Those who think Palin could have won lots of primaries on the basis of pre-primary voter sentiments are wrong, I think.  After all, the business-as-usual approach – Karl Rove tells everyone how bad a candidate is, the media magnify his or her every quirk or mistake, the media and some (not all) of the other candidates pile on with allegations that range from hostile spin to outright falsehood – has so far felled our most conservative candidates.

But in the process, the voters have been changing.  That’s what Palin saw before others did.  Do I think she is counting the days to a brokered convention?  No.  There is no one who could reasonably adopt that as a “plan.”  She won’t run this year; that’s my rational assessment as well as my gut feeling.  (I could of course be wrong, although I think some big conditions will have to change more for that to be the case.)

But if she does run, it will not be because she has changed, but because we have.  There are political conditions in which she could run successfully, and conditions in which she couldn’t.  The latter have constituted our political environment up until the last couple of months.

If the conditions are changing now, I believe that is largely because voters are having to wise up to the flaws in our own thinking by going through this ugly spectacle.  We already knew that the media have no intention of giving our candidates a fair shake, and that many in the GOP leadership want to submarine the small-government conservatives.   What many voters didn’t understand is that if we want to select leaders of character, we have to graduate from high school, and overlook the vicissitudes of “presentation” that sometimes make good people look like buffoons to those who see without humility, mercy, or discrimination.  We have to see with better eyes.  We have to think independently of the jeers embedded in the media narrative.  We have to be wiser citizens, placing in political leadership only the hope that is appropriate to free men and women.

We can’t have a candidate who sounds like Mitt Romney, but will lead the way a small-government conservative would.  That’s not an option.  What we’re doing in this primary season is coming to grips with that reality.  I think Palin knew instinctively that we would have to, before it would make sense for her to jump back into the electoral fray.

But, as I said, I think that’s only about half the explanation.  The other half is that Palin is an evangelical Christian.  She believes God has a plan for her life, and that He gives her a certainty in her spirit about the big choices she has to make.  I suspect she has had a peaceful certainty that joining the campaign as a candidate for 2012 was not something she should do.  If she were to analyze it, she might say that God knows better than any of us how the voters’ concerns and expectations are going to change.

Meanwhile, the door is open.

J.E. Dyer’s articles have appeared at The Green Room, Commentary’s “contentions,Patheos, The Weekly Standard online, and her own blog, The Optimistic Conservative.

This post was promoted from GreenRoom to HotAir.com.
To see the comments on the original post, look here.


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MAJOR MEDIA MORONS!

KOOLAID2 on February 12, 2012 at 4:04 PM

Because she knows she is dumb and couldnt win a state…not even Alaska…ask Senator Miller if you disagree.

She is a fraud and she knows it. She is a charade and her purpose is to play to the no-college crowd who thinks she is actually a serious person. She plays well to the part of the party that gets jealous over people who DIDNT have to go to 5 colleges to get a weak bachelor degree….or people who SUCCESSFULLY raised their children to not spread their, um, talent until after marriage (like her, snicker).

She is a product of the right wing goofball media that makes money from the lower class that wont get out of the lower class because of their lack of intellectual effort.

Jailbreak on February 12, 2012 at 4:04 PM

Run Sarah run,please!

angrymike on February 12, 2012 at 4:04 PM

Well if it isn’t butt ugly mitt lover, you must love abuse.

angrymike on February 12, 2012 at 4:06 PM

Romney winning the CRAC straw poll mean…. Diddly squat, remember how Ron Paul won it in years past… Yup, that’s right… Diddly squat squared…

SWalker on February 12, 2012 at 4:06 PM

4 more years will also bring a change in her family,

KOOLAID2 on February 12, 2012 at 4:07 PM

COULDA !

M240H on February 12, 2012 at 4:07 PM

Yesterday I mentioned that I think she had every intention of running. Her bus tour was a strong indication for me. It’s been my opinion that something happened in late August/early September that presented a huge problem, and my best guess has been that it was in regard to the crazies who have stalked her and her family.

I thought expectations already had changed with the Tea Party and the 2010 elections. I can’t see that as a reason. I do think, however, that she may have been surprised as to some of the candidates who dropped out and those still standing.

INC on February 12, 2012 at 4:08 PM

Jailbreak on February 12, 2012 at 4:04 PM

My goodness, you do have issues don’t you with Sarah? Take a break and chill, bottle of wine, beer, or a candy bar might help?
L

letget on February 12, 2012 at 4:08 PM

Jailbreak on February 12, 2012 at 4:04 PM

been tuned into the MSM haven’t you?

TheOarsman on February 12, 2012 at 4:08 PM

Why can’t she win? Allahpundit, Ace of Spades, most of the ‘establishment’ republican party, Ann Coulter, etc.

RoadRunner on February 12, 2012 at 4:08 PM

There is one reason why she isn’t running: Because she can’t win, and she knows it.

xblade on February 12, 2012 at 4:09 PM

Listening to her speech yesterday was definitely one of those times asking, “Why didn’t she run?” She’s got the heart of a conservative and you can tell that is her core unlike some of those running who pay the obligatory homage to conservatives but who, at their core, are big government moderates at best. That speech was another Reaganesque speech that touched on the core values of conservatism and why our country needs to return to its founding principles.

AZfederalist on February 12, 2012 at 4:10 PM

Because she knows she is dumb and couldnt win a state…not even Alaska…ask Senator Miller if you disagree.

She is a fraud and she knows it. She is a charade and her purpose is to play to the no-college crowd who thinks she is actually a serious person. She plays well to the part of the party that gets jealous over people who DIDNT have to go to 5 colleges to get a weak bachelor degree….or people who SUCCESSFULLY raised their children to not spread their, um, talent until after marriage (like her, snicker).

She is a product of the right wing goofball media that makes money from the lower class that wont get out of the lower class because of their lack of intellectual effort.

Jailbreak on February 12, 2012 at 4:04 PM

Here comes the EXCREMENT!…I gotta game to go to!

KOOLAID2 on February 12, 2012 at 4:10 PM

Rick S seems better than Mitt, but Sarah P seems like she would be better than Rick S. Seems logical, but maybe we need to go beyond logic on this. (Newt was not included for this analysis.)

anotherJoe on February 12, 2012 at 4:10 PM

Jailbreak on February 12, 2012 at 4:04 PM

why dont you go over to the CPAC open door thread …
they are trying to break 1500 posts … you would do well there …

conservative tarheel on February 12, 2012 at 4:11 PM

Run Sarah run,please!

angrymike on February 12, 2012 at 4:04 PM

Think “Brokered convention”… I suspect Sarah is thinking it…

SWalker on February 12, 2012 at 4:11 PM

Thanks a lot J.E., now the other thread on Palin is never going to break 2000. Three Palin threads at once. Has that ever been tried before? Did they survive?

Bmore on February 12, 2012 at 4:11 PM

See ya
KOOLAIDS

angrymike on February 12, 2012 at 4:12 PM

Why can’t she win? Allahpundit, Ace of Spades, most of the ‘establishment’ republican party, Ann Coulter, etc.

RoadRunner on February 12, 2012 at 4:08 PM

aww, the victim card, hélas, again…

jimver on February 12, 2012 at 4:12 PM

Because she knows she only appeals to people who don’t care about winning.

As soon as she started trying to win she’d lose them.

Since everyone else thinks she’s a joke she’s be toast.

freshface on February 12, 2012 at 4:13 PM

Jailbreak on February 12, 2012 at 4:04 PM

My goodness, you do have issues don’t you with Sarah? Take a break and chill, bottle of wine, beer, or a candy bar might help?
L

letget on February 12, 2012 at 4:08 PM

….don’t forget ‘the morning after’ pill!

KOOLAID2 on February 12, 2012 at 4:13 PM

Jailbreak on February 12, 2012 at 4:04 PM

Can’t help but notice you didn’t or more likely couldn’t refute anything that she actually said in the speech. Of course you were able to accurately list all the lefts hateful and inaccurate talking points about her. And with only about a dozen grammatical and syntax errors. You sir are an intellectual of the highest order.

Tommy_G on February 12, 2012 at 4:13 PM

Jailbreak on February 12, 2012 at 4:04 PM

Your PDS garbage was old 3 sockpuppets ago.

kingsjester on February 12, 2012 at 4:13 PM

Bmore
I think someone’s head might explode.

angrymike on February 12, 2012 at 4:13 PM

… and to all the haters, it’s actually amusing to an extent. She even touched on that in one of the lines in the speech:
“Obama has his new slogan, ‘Winning the Future’. ‘WTF?’ … and they say that I’m the idiot”

AZfederalist on February 12, 2012 at 4:14 PM

i already commented on the other thread about this that i kinda see your point but still think she should have run. i think she would have IMPROVED the messy political process. the process is ugly and messy, it needs a good honest person like her to get in.

as usual jailbreak jumps up and rushes to every palin thread to tell us how irrelevant she is… you’re one to talk about lack of intellectual effort!!

everyone should watch the fox news sunday interview. she did a great job. i watched it and thought “how can anyone hate her?” http://www.therightscoop.com/sarah-palin-on-fox-news-sunday/

i hope there is some way she can still get in the race. her not being a candidate is such a waste of talent. she has the right ideas for america, and the right attitude. she’s refreshing and different. she was the highlight of CPAC, the actual candidates did NOT attract as much applause and excitement!! why do we have to settle for the current candidates? SHE needs to be the nominee!

Sachiko on February 12, 2012 at 4:14 PM

Can’t help but notice you didn’t or more likely couldn’t refute anything that she actually said in the speech.

Tommy_G on February 12, 2012 at 4:13 PM

did she say anything new or original or that you didn’t know already?…just curious…

jimver on February 12, 2012 at 4:16 PM

Open Door?

I don’t know what the metaphorical door is open to, but it isn’t open to independent voters. I think the republican base if they could, wouldn’t open the door to independents and instead would show them where they could put it. For that reason more than any other, Palin can’t win, and she knows it.

c.j.ammenheuser on February 12, 2012 at 4:16 PM

It’s time to admit that the progs quite successfully destroyed Palin, and move on. She can’t be fixed. Let’s concentrate on making sure they can’t do it to anyone else.

slickwillie2001 on February 12, 2012 at 4:16 PM

Palin appears to be positioning herself to wield some power at a brokered convention. She can deliver a major voting bloc. She could have significant influence on platform planks. If she is interested, she could wangle a cabinet post, like Interior or Energy, but I wonder if she wants to go to DC at this point.

Not running for President isn’t the same as dropping out of politics. Palin frequently shows up people who underestimate her, and I think she will have far more influence going forward than her detractors would like to think.

novaculus on February 12, 2012 at 4:17 PM

Sarah reads Hot Gas,
Hi Sarah, and happy belated birthday!

angrymike on February 12, 2012 at 4:17 PM

KOOLAID2 on February 12, 2012 at 4:13 PM
don’t forget ‘the morning after’ pill!

Oh, that critter is a ‘gal’?
L

letget on February 12, 2012 at 4:17 PM

COULDA !

M240H on February 12, 2012 at 4:07 PM

Thread winner!

Emperor Norton on February 12, 2012 at 4:18 PM

Think “Brokered convention”… I suspect Sarah is thinking it…

SWalker on February 12, 2012 at 4:11 PM

Nope. Not going to happen that way. Brokered convention means, “establishment picks their candidate”. Period dot.

AZfederalist on February 12, 2012 at 4:18 PM

She plays well to the part of the party that gets jealous over people who DIDNT have to go to 5 colleges to get a weak bachelor degree….or people who SUCCESSFULLY raised their children to not spread their, um, talent until after marriage (like her, snicker).

She is a product of the right wing goofball media that makes money from the lower class that wont get out of the lower class because of their lack of intellectual effort.

Jailbreak on February 12, 2012 at 4:04 PM

I think I can safely say that no one is jealous of you. I don’t even believe you went to college. Your rants are so small and petty that whatever education you claim to have obviously did you no good. Your own intellectual efforts are pitiful. As far as your contention that only the “upper class” should be allowed to speak, who do you think got us into this mess?

Night Owl on February 12, 2012 at 4:18 PM

She’d rather earn income than spend it on something risky.

rickv404 on February 12, 2012 at 4:18 PM

We can’t have a candidate who sounds like Mitt Romney, but will lead the way a small-government conservative would. That’s not an option. What we’re doing in this primary season is coming to grips with that reality. I think Palin knew instinctively that we would have to, before it would make sense for her to jump back into the electoral fray.

I’m not so sure the electorate can reach such a realization. I wish they could, but I’m not optimistic. But I agree that she probably gleaned this at some point and knew the time wasn’t right. Maybe this voter epiphany will happen for her in the future, but more likely someone else. Hopefully another actual conservative who can inspire and deliver the message. In the meantime, we get to wait for everyone else to hit rock bottom before getting a clue.

“This government isn’t too big to fail, it’s too big to succeed.”

Awesome line.

Dongemaharu on February 12, 2012 at 4:19 PM

Why isn’t Sarah running?

You mentioned several reasons, but most of the so-called right-wing blogs like Hot Air, RedState, Power Line, etc. should also be tossed in as MSM puppets. Same with Cain.

Then there are the weak GOP elite politicians…basically 99% of then are RINO’s. They are elected by weak and flaky GOP supporters, who give us the McCains/Romneys.

Maybe 4 more years of Obama will help strengthen the entire GOP…

Karmi on February 12, 2012 at 4:20 PM

Why can’t she win? Allahpundit, Ace of Spades, most of the ‘establishment’ republican party, Ann Coulter, etc.

RoadRunner on February 12, 2012 at 4:08 PM

aww, the victim card, hélas, again…

jimver on February 12, 2012 at 4:12 PM

Because she knows she only appeals to people who don’t care about winning.

As soon as she started trying to win she’d lose them.

Since everyone else thinks she’s a joke she’s be toast.

freshface on February 12, 2012 at 4:13 PM

Told you! They saw her picture. The gates open! You’re gonna hear from the azzholes, so no need to fart!

KOOLAID2 on February 12, 2012 at 4:20 PM

Because she knows she is dumb and couldnt win a state…not even Alaska…ask Senator Miller if you disagree.

She is a fraud and she knows it. She is a charade and her purpose is to play to the no-college crowd who thinks she is actually a serious person. She plays well to the part of the party that gets jealous over people who DIDNT have to go to 5 colleges to get a weak bachelor degree….or people who SUCCESSFULLY raised their children to not spread their, um, talent until after marriage (like her, snicker).

She is a product of the right wing goofball media that makes money from the lower class that wont get out of the lower class because of their lack of intellectual effort.

Jailbreak on February 12, 2012 at 4:04 PM

You know why voters try to find a not-romney candidate?
Get a mirror.

the_nile on February 12, 2012 at 4:20 PM

I’d take Palin over any of the fools running

DHChron on February 12, 2012 at 4:20 PM

I suspect she has had a peaceful certainty that joining the campaign as a candidate for 2012 was not something she should do.

She should have let her supporters in on that peaceful certainty instead of stringing them along with a bus tour to promote her book and movie. And the again with her ambiguous statements in various interviews.

Go RBNY on February 12, 2012 at 4:20 PM

Jailbreak on February 12, 2012 at 4:04 PM

I WONT comment on your intelligence

rik on February 12, 2012 at 4:21 PM

letget
See the forth post, it’s a girl.

angrymike on February 12, 2012 at 4:21 PM

It’s time to admit that the progs quite successfully destroyed Palin, and move on. She can’t be fixed. Let’s concentrate on making sure they can’t do it to anyone else.

slickwillie2001 on February 12, 2012 at 4:16 PM

… and as soon as you do that, you prove that the progs can do that, at will, to anyone they so choose. What makes sure they can’t do it to anyone else is to not let them do it to Palin.

IIRC, after the ’76 debacle, everyone said Reagan was through as well.

AZfederalist on February 12, 2012 at 4:22 PM

She loves her family enough to put them again through what they suffered so far.
But real conservatives like her have to fight on 2 fronts the brutal libral media and the arrogant republican establishment that are embarressed by those who spell the conservative ideas so clearly like she did at CPAC, they will not lift a hand to help her or any other who try to bring a real change b/c they enjoy their jaccuzie.

evergreenland on February 12, 2012 at 4:22 PM

Since everyone else thinks she’s a joke she’s be toast.

freshface on February 12, 2012 at 4:13 PM

Yeah, those dumbarses, just like you, are too stupid to learn the truth. Instead they, and you, rely on the media to tell you what to think.

On one of her appearance on FNC/FBN, when the outright lies about Newt were brought up, she said that it was difficult to unring the bell once it was sounded. With her, it’s the same. There are so many fools who have fallen for the lies about her, her chances to unring those bells would be a big task.

You seem to have gleefully jumped into the group of people who suffer from self-imposed ignorance.

NoNails on February 12, 2012 at 4:22 PM

couldnt [sic][...] She is a charade [sic[...] the no-college crowd who [sic] thinks [...]

Jailbreak on February 12, 2012 at 4:04 PM

“Dumb” is as “dumb” does, evidently.

I have a daughter in grammar school who wouldn’t have made any one of those humiliating howlers; much less all three.

Kent18 on February 12, 2012 at 4:22 PM

The reason Paul didn’t have the showing at CPAC he had the last couple of years has NOTHING whatever to do with “… a change in the mindset of politically active conservatives …” in the least.

Paul’s troops were on the ground in Maine this year. Therefore, they could not be at CPAC. How this reflects any maturity of mindset among conservatives is beyond me. We still have that segment with us which demands instant gratification and 100% purity (as they and they alone define it, of course).

And pandering to the baser instincts is continually rewarded. When Gingrich hit the press hard in two successive debates he not only won SC but soared to a national lead. Red meat: it isn’t just for breakfast any more!

And Santorum, whining that the straw poll was “rigged” – really, Rick? Insulting the plurality of those voting because you wanted to win and didn’t? Yes, imitating the sore loser lashing out like Gingrich is going to win over the doubters . . . NOT.

And look at the people here who still, even now, believe it is possible that Palin will enter the race and win, either by jumping into the primaries or at a deadlocked convention. It isn’t. 0% chance.

You don’t need to “… see with better eyes.” You need to think with a better brain.

Adjoran on February 12, 2012 at 4:23 PM

If the conditions are changing now, I believe that is largely because voters are having to wise up to the flaws in our own thinking by going through this ugly spectacle. We already knew that the media have no intention of giving our candidates a fair shake, and that many in the GOP leadership want to submarine the small-government conservatives

I’m frankly tired of this mem. The reason why we have had a poor primary season is because only the B-list decided to run in 2012. Give me a primary field of Mitch Daniels, Paul Ryan, Bobby Jindal, and Marco Rubio and I’d have no problem getting enthusiastic no matter who won.

But those guys didn’t get into the race. My anger is reserved for people like Daniels and Ryan who warn us again and again how critical the time is and how we are on the edge of economic ruin, but they don’t care enough to get off their butts and fight for this country. Yeah, I know you have family commitments, well, tough sh*t. I have family commitments too. So do all the people who have volunteered to fight for this country.

If/when the economy does go into the tubes and the crisis hits, I sure as h*ll don’t want to hear Daniels or Ryan do an “I told ya so”. Because my response will be “Yeah? So what? Where were you when your country needed you?”

PackerBronco on February 12, 2012 at 4:23 PM

Think “Brokered convention”… I suspect Sarah is thinking it…

SWalker on February 12, 2012 at 4:11 PM

i’m thinking it too. remember allah said days ago or whenever, if a brokered con happened, the nominee would have to be a person who appeals to grassroots!! sarah fits that of course.

“but sarah said she isnt running!!” other people (in opinion pieces) name these names for a brokered con: christie, paul ryan, jeb, mitch daniels. all of them said they are not running, especially christie. rubio is the top choice for people’s VP choices but he repeatedly said he is not going to be VP nominee. so don’t say “sarah isn’t running” as an excuse to not talk about her as a possible brokered con nominee.

sarah recently said that a brokered con isn’t a negative and it might happen. i think she is keeping that in mind.

there are so many reasons why sarah should be a candidate. it’s very depressing if she doesn’t run.

Sachiko on February 12, 2012 at 4:23 PM

Oh, that critter is a ‘gal’?
L

letget on February 12, 2012 at 4:17 PM

MUST BE!
Talks like a b!tch!
When I needed one…I BOUGHT A DOG!

KOOLAID2 on February 12, 2012 at 4:23 PM

COULDA !

M240H on February 12, 2012 at 4:07 PM

Thread winner!

Emperor Norton on February 12, 2012 at 4:18 PM

No doubt.

Obviously shoulda and woulda are not far behind.

CW on February 12, 2012 at 4:24 PM

America may need a leader of Sarah’s quality and capability but we clearly are not worthy. You don’t give pearls to swine and the majority of American’s have been ignorantly fed an ideology of lies and greed under the banner of liberalism. And now we see the Republican leadership manipulating conservatives to be more moderate under the unspoken banner of liberal lite. God has provided this nation great leaders ONLY when there were a people wise enough to follow. We are no where near such a blessing currently. We are in a period of political tribulation. Who knows how long it will take for America as a people to wake up to the folly of liberalism. I am not optimistic.

wtng2fish on February 12, 2012 at 4:24 PM

Then there are the weak GOP elite politicians…basically 99% of then are RINO’s. They are elected by weak and flaky GOP supporters, who give us the McCains

Karmi on February 12, 2012 at 4:20 PM

I like how you think only GOP supporters matter in elections. Unless you live in a deep red district, it helps to have candidates who appeal to moderates…. their votes count too.

Go RBNY on February 12, 2012 at 4:24 PM

All right J.E., fine, but I’m adding these comments to the total at the first thread.

Bmore on February 12, 2012 at 4:25 PM

Tommy_G on February 12, 2012 at 4:13 PM

The items missing from your grammatical assessment, sir, are, a personal pronoun, four commas, an apostrophe, and a subject-verb-object structure to pair with that clause you left standing all alone. Aside from all that, you’re as witty as any Wasilla wag that ever rebutted an insolent ungulate.

M240H on February 12, 2012 at 4:25 PM

Why can’t she win? Allahpundit, Ace of Spades, most of the ‘establishment’ republican party, Ann Coulter, etc.

RoadRunner

Yeah, that’s why. Pfft. Get real. She can’t win because the country has been convinced by the MSM that she’s one of the biggest idiots around, and she hasn’t been able to convince them otherwise despite having over three years to do so.

xblade on February 12, 2012 at 4:26 PM

There are so many reasons why sarah should be a candidate. it’s very depressing if she doesn’t run.

Sachiko on February 12, 2012 at 4:23 PM

If politicians who have no earthly idea who you are drive your body’s capacity for happiness and depression I’d recommend you find a different hobby or seek help.

Bradky on February 12, 2012 at 4:26 PM

PackerBronco on February 12, 2012 at 4:23 PM

Can you give me specific accomplishments of Marco Rubio that should place him on the list of presidential contenders?

NoNails on February 12, 2012 at 4:26 PM

Three Threads. A huge CPAC Thread, a huge FNS Headline Thread, and now J.E.’s Thread.

Irrelevant, my hindquarters.

kingsjester on February 12, 2012 at 4:26 PM

https://twitter.com/#!/MedvedSHOW/status/168801842120232960

NoNails on February 12, 2012 at 4:24 PM

I’m honestly shocked by that. No one is a bigger rino than Michael Medved. The dude makes Mike Castle look like Jim DeMint. Good on him.

Kataklysmic on February 12, 2012 at 4:27 PM

she hasn’t been able to convince them otherwise despite having over three years to do so.

xblade on February 12, 2012 at 4:26 PM

Perchance they were actually onto something…..

Bradky on February 12, 2012 at 4:27 PM

Ron Paul didn’t win the straw poll because he didn’t send/pay anyone. He focused on Maine instead.

lonestar1 on February 12, 2012 at 4:28 PM

Ahhh…

Fresh PDS in the afternoon.

The hate is strong in these folks.

D-fusit on February 12, 2012 at 4:28 PM

Jailbreak on February 12, 2012 at 4:04 PM

Seldom do I react to stuff like this but you sir a Jack A**

KBird on February 12, 2012 at 4:28 PM

did she say anything new or original or that you didn’t know already?…just curious…

jimver on February 12, 2012 at 4:16 PM

What the hell does that have to do with refuting the content?

Dongemaharu on February 12, 2012 at 4:29 PM

The Palin articles today have produced enough revenue for HA to operate on all month.

NoNails on February 12, 2012 at 4:29 PM

NoNails on February 12, 2012 at 4:24 PM

Really strange M .Medvid is a RINO what happened to him?
Buyers remorse with Mittens?

evergreenland on February 12, 2012 at 4:30 PM

Ron Paul didn’t win the straw poll because he didn’t send/pay anyone. He focused on Maine instead.

lonestar1 on February 12, 2012 at 4:28 PM

Which he also lost, continuing his streak of zero consecutive primary/caucus wins…

catmman on February 12, 2012 at 4:30 PM

NoNails on February 12, 2012 at 4:29 PM

Yep.

kingsjester on February 12, 2012 at 4:30 PM

Go RBNY on February 12, 2012 at 4:20 PM

See my comment above.

INC on February 12, 2012 at 4:30 PM

Is PDS similar to IBS? Do you have to take a dump Jailbreak?

DHChron on February 12, 2012 at 4:32 PM

Well said, Mr. Dyer. Well said.

Especially the last paragraph. I suspect many Conservatives overlook this factor or downplay its importance in Sarah Palin’s calculus.

Cleombrotus on February 12, 2012 at 4:32 PM

KBird on February 12, 2012 at 4:28 PM
Seldom do I react to stuff like this but you sir a Jack A**

I just was informed that the ‘sir’ is a ‘she’!
L

letget on February 12, 2012 at 4:32 PM

Palin isn’t running because she’s got plenty of time. If the GOP gets stuck and drafts her, she’ll be a more attractive candidate than now.

Gingrich and Santorum have not articulated as well some of the things that Palin touched on in her speech–that Washington is corrupt, that big government is dangerous, that crony capitalism is king.

As for Willard, he’s playing the role of Judge Smails in this drama.

Emperor Norton on February 12, 2012 at 4:33 PM

She generally tracks about 30-40% general favorability rating over the last few years and gets 50+% unfavorability. Her favorability gap had been in decline several weeks after she declared her vp candidacy and stagnated in the beginning of 2011. Then she did her whole bus tour/book tour/reality tv show bit. She likes the spotlight, nothing more, nothing less.

She’s someone who can articulate conservative talking points as base bait and appeals to the lower to middle class conservative voting contingency by flaunting that she isn’t that educated. She didn’t even do a full term as governor and was absolutely lambasted by a large portion of our population as a political joke during the 2008 election. I appreciate what she did in energizing the tea party movement, but there’s no way she’d win a presidential race. I have yet to see any facts that indicate otherwise.

Kriggly on February 12, 2012 at 4:33 PM

Since everyone else thinks she’s a joke she’s be toast.

freshface on February 12, 2012 at 4:13 PM

You know who doesn’t think she’s a joke? The democrats and the media. No one spends millions trying to destroy a joke.

darwin on February 12, 2012 at 4:33 PM

Palin appears to be positioning herself to wield some power at a brokered convention. She can deliver a major voting bloc. She could have significant influence on platform planks. If she is interested, she could wangle a cabinet post, like Interior or Energy, but I wonder if she wants to go to DC at this point.

Not running for President isn’t the same as dropping out of politics. Palin frequently shows up people who underestimate her, and I think she will have far more influence going forward than her detractors would like to think.

novaculus on February 12, 2012 at 4:17 PM

I think you hit the nail on the head! Although I’m still holding out hope for a brokered convention where Palin “saves the day”, she could very well be THE “kingmaker” here. She has an almost intuitive instinct for knowing how to “strike when the iron is hot” and do the most with the least, and I don’t see her just being a wallflower in regards to this election.

PackerFan4Life on February 12, 2012 at 4:33 PM

Kent18 on February 12, 2012 at 4:22 PM

you forgot wont

rik on February 12, 2012 at 4:34 PM

Why Isn’t Sarah Running?

She quit her governorship after only two years to become a reality TV star and has done nothing to advance the cause of conservatism in America.

sheryl on February 12, 2012 at 4:34 PM

She’s helping to steer conservatives away from Obamney, and that’s good enough for me at this point. She would make a full-throated case for any non-Romney, and thereby show it’s more important to save the country than preserve her ego.

That said, the spectre of Sarah showing up at a brokered convention to wrestle boatloads of non-committed delegates away from Romney ought to be enough to ditch his milquetoast candidacy. But we know it’s not. There will be blood, it will be fun, and Sarah will be there to mop up the mess for the GOP, she has no choice.

Western_Civ on February 12, 2012 at 4:34 PM

It’s time to admit that the progs quite successfully destroyed Palin, and move on. She can’t be fixed. Let’s concentrate on making sure they can’t do it to anyone else.

slickwillie2001 on February 12, 2012 at 4:16 PM

It’s the progs in GOP that’s been sabotaging Palin , and as you can see here on hot air the mittbut progs are still trying too.

Which tells you how much power she still got.

It wouldn’t surprise me if Romney is behind the financing of the HBO movie attacking Palin.

the_nile on February 12, 2012 at 4:34 PM

Cleombrotus on February 12, 2012 at 4:32 PM

J.E. Dyer is a woman :)

DHChron on February 12, 2012 at 4:34 PM

Why Isn’t Sarah Running?

She quit her governorship after only two years to become a reality TV star and has done nothing to advance the cause of conservatism in America.

sheryl on February 12, 2012 at 4:34 PM

You forgot to add “and Mitt speaks French.”

kingsjester on February 12, 2012 at 4:35 PM

She is a product of the right wing goofball media that makes money from the lower class that wont get out of the lower class because of their lack of intellectual effort.

Jailbreak on February 12, 2012 at 4:04 PM

lol….turn off The MSNBC……put down the remote……..SLOWLY…..let me see your hands!…goood.

Now back away from the TV.

Tim_CA on February 12, 2012 at 4:35 PM

Sarah Palin unfettered by the McCain campaign could have quickly won over voters and erased most of the effect of the MSM had on her. The GOP machine wouldn’t have been able to muzzle her, and she would have swatted away the Mitt carpet bombing. I still think family reasons were the foundation of her decision.

INC on February 12, 2012 at 4:35 PM

…appeals to the lower to middle class conservative voting contingency… Kriggly on February 12, 2012 at 4:33 PM

I absolutely love this memme, pot meet kettle.

D-fusit on February 12, 2012 at 4:36 PM

Maybe because, unlike Rick Santorum, she realizes she has no chance in hell to beat Obama, and wants to give the Republicans an actual shot at winning the election..

milcus on February 12, 2012 at 4:36 PM

Mitt won the straw poll but Sarah won CPAC’s heart; Palin was absolutely electrifying, one of the better political speeches of recent years.
Michael Medved

“… but… but… severely conservative!” ;)

Kent18 on February 12, 2012 at 4:36 PM

Well said, Mr. Dyer. Well said.

Cleombrotus on February 12, 2012 at 4:32 PM

J.E. is a she …

darwin on February 12, 2012 at 4:36 PM

She’s helping to steer conservatives away from Obamney, and that’s good enough for me at this point.
Western_Civ on February 12, 2012 at 4:34 PM

Doesn’t speak well of your regard for the intelligence of said conservatives if they need to be steered away from him….

Bradky on February 12, 2012 at 4:36 PM

Because she knows she is dumb and couldnt win a state…not even Alaska…ask Senator Miller if you disagree.

She is a fraud and she knows it. She is a charade and her purpose is to play to the no-college crowd who thinks she is actually a serious person. She plays well to the part of the party that gets jealous over people who DIDNT have to go to 5 colleges to get a weak bachelor degree….or people who SUCCESSFULLY raised their children to not spread their, um, talent until after marriage (like her, snicker).

She is a product of the right wing goofball media that makes money from the lower class that wont get out of the lower class because of their lack of intellectual effort.

Jailbreak on February 12, 2012 at 4:04 PM

Proving, once again, Rush’s observation that “the left will always tell you who they fear the most”.

bofh on February 12, 2012 at 4:37 PM

Why not? Someone said when this was in Green Room that this is all battlefield prep – if the Rs keep the House and are able to flip the Senate, then one of two things can happen: either Obama wins and the next four years are spent making sure he can do absolutely nothing while building the Tea Party army further in 2014…or Romney/Santorum/Newt win and she keeps them as far to the right as possible while they have to live with the threat of her primarying them every day…

das411 on February 12, 2012 at 4:37 PM

Jailbreak on February 12, 2012 at 4:04 PM

Can’t help but notice you didn’t or more likely couldn’t refute anything that she actually said in the speech. Of course you were able to accurately list all the lefts hateful and inaccurate talking points about her. And with only about a dozen grammatical and syntax errors. You sir are an intellectual of the highest order.
Tommy_G on February 12, 2012 at 4:13 PM

Seriously? You honestly think I would waste my time (and my nerves, her voice is fingernails on chalkboard) listening to a Sarah Palin speech? Please. I didnt listen to any of it…just saw a couple blips on a press report.

Jailbreak on February 12, 2012 at 4:38 PM

Since everyone else thinks she’s a joke she’s be toast.

freshface on February 12, 2012 at 4:13 PM

You know who doesn’t think she’s a joke? The democrats and the media. No one spends millions trying to destroy a joke.

darwin on February 12, 2012 at 4:33 PM

Not true. They have spent millions because she is a joke, and they want the rest of the conservative movement to look like and be tied directly to her.

We don’t need a publicity loving, reality tv failed Governor who bailed on our state to lead our movement. We need real, hard working candidates. She embodies selling out. Not what we want.

I’m glad she’s not running. Personally, I think Romney (as undesirable as he is) is a far better face for conservatism than her. do we want a half term Governor who has accomplished nothing, or someone who has shown that Capitalism works consistently throughout their life? I don’t even like Romney to be honest, but that’s why I compare her to him. she can’t hold a candle to his record as a conservative.

eski502 on February 12, 2012 at 4:38 PM

She quit her governorship after only two years to become a reality TV star and has done nothing to advance the cause of conservatism in America.

sheryl on February 12, 2012 at 4:34 PM

Which is why she was invited to be the closing speaker at CPAC. They only invite reality stars who do nothing to advance conservatism.

darwin on February 12, 2012 at 4:38 PM

she can’t take the heat. She is not very bright.

Romney should be very grateful that she doesn’t like him.

liberal4life on February 12, 2012 at 4:38 PM

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