Open thread: Just how big will Romney’s NV win be, anyway?; Update: Gingrich to hold press conference after caucus tonight? Update: Entrance poll shows Romney winning a majority

posted at 11:00 am on February 4, 2012 by Ed Morrissey

Nevada will open its caucus doors shortly and open the fifth statewide contest in the Republican presidential nomination sweepstakes. This one looks like more of a no-contest, though, as CBS reports this morning.  The short period of time between Florida’s primary and Nevada’s binding caucus didn’t leave much room for significant polling, but what polling did take place shows Mitt Romney in the lead by 20 or more points.  The real suspense will be whether Romney can get a majority as he did in 2008, and whether Gingrich can hold on for second place:

In three campaign appearances Friday, Romney did not even mention Newt Gingrich who, according to the latest poll, done by the Las Vegas Review-Journal, trails Romney in Nevada, 45 to 25 percent.

Hoping to make up ground on the last day of campaigning, Gingrich referred to Romney as “Obama-lite,” and once again seized on Romney’s recent gaffe that he is “not concerned about the very poor.”

“My goal,” said Gingrich, “is the exact opposite of Governor Romney — my goal is not to ignore or forget the poor. My goal is to turn the safety net into a trampoline to allow the poor to rise and be like the rest of us and have a job and buy a house,” he said to applause.

Gingrich has brought up Romney’s remark about the very poor at virtually every event, and it just doesn’t seem to have helped him.

CBS has the polling numbers in the video, and they’re daunting for the other candidates in the race.  Gingrich hasn’t done the kind of touring in Nevada necessary for caucus success, though, and lacks the organization to make up for it.  His team insisted that a second-place finish would be a moral victory — and it would result in garnering a share of the delegates, as Nevada allocates proportionally.  However, Ron Paul has a good organization in Nevada, and I think he has been underestimated in these polls.  It’s possible that Gingrich can underperform and Paul could surprise Gingrich, although Nevada might be the final state in which that can happen.

I’ll predict that Romney ends up with 52% of the vote, Gingrich 18%, Paul 16%, and Santorum 14%.

Update: National Journal reports that Newt Gingrich will hold a press conference rather than give a post-event speech tonight, raising a few eyebrows:

Instead of the traditional election night party, former House Speaker Newt Gingrich will hold a press conference after the Nevada Caucus on Saturday, raising new speculation about his future in the race.

An e-mail sent to reporters on Saturday morning set the Las Vegas press conference for 11 p.m. to midnight Eastern time.

That’s 8-9 pm local time, which would be necessary because the caucuses in Clark County are staying open later than the rest of the state, but why a press conference?  That suggests that Gingrich will have some news to announce — and not just an endorsement.  Or it could just mean that Gingrich wants to mix it up with the press as a springboard for the Colorado caucus.

Update II: John Ziegler e-mails to suggest that Gingrich may just want to make sure he gets sufficient press coverage — and supporters sticking around — after the caucuses conclude.

Update III, 7 pm ET: They have just started counting the ballots in Nevada, but if CNN’s exit polling is accurate, Romney won a majority.  He won 57% of women and 53% of men, which means that Romney will finish above 50%, again assuming the exit poll holds up.

Romney won all of the age demos except 17-29YOs, which he lost by only two points to Ron Paul.  He won every education demo, and he won every income demo except under-$30K, which Paul won by just one point.  Paul won independents by 17 points, but Romney won Republicans with a 61/20 win over Newt Gingrich.  Romney also won all three ideological categories, including “very conservative,” by majorities; Gingrich only got 24% of the very conservative vote.  He got 74% of the vote for those whose most important candidate quality was the ability to beat Obama, 55% of those who are looking for the right experience, and 56% of those looking for strong moral character.  On that last category, Gingrich got 1%.

This one’s a wipeout, and I’d guess that Gingrich gets no more than 19% when the votes are totaled, again assuming the exit poll is accurate.

Update IV: I changed the headline; this is an entrance poll, not an exit poll.  That might make the results a little less reliable, if voters changed their minds in the caucusing.


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BISHOP!

KOOLAID2 on February 4, 2012 at 11:03 AM

Big enough that the usual suspects will be crowing their usual fluff.

And trashing the other candidates.

cozmo on February 4, 2012 at 11:04 AM

The people that send Harry Reid to Washington are going to choose a former Massachusetts governor.

And this should be important to us why?

turfmann on February 4, 2012 at 11:05 AM

This is sad. The Syphilitic Camel should be doing much better in his natural environment such as Nevada.

Flange on February 4, 2012 at 11:05 AM

nice_poltergeist on February 4, 2012 at 11:03 AM

See.

cozmo on February 4, 2012 at 11:05 AM

What cozmo said.

victor82 on February 4, 2012 at 11:08 AM

No reason for Rick to drop out yet. He has MO and OH, Newt not in MO and not polling well in OH.

Newt won’t ever drop out he’ll be running in 2013, too. All the way to 46 44 states to go!

uhangtight on February 4, 2012 at 11:08 AM

Wow. I think Mr. and Mrs. Sarah Palin need to be working harder for Newt. Cause Mr and Mrs. Sarah Palin are real influential and stuff.

HA HA HA HAH AHA

Jailbreak on February 4, 2012 at 11:08 AM

Nevada, Mafia owned, so I guess it depends on the Mafia support. They may love them some Romney. They realize he would never interfere with their ho houses. Santorum. Well, that’s a syplitic camel of another color. Gingrich. They might fear he would want too many free samples.

Romney, unfortunately, but expected, by a landslide.

they lie on February 4, 2012 at 11:09 AM

good morning!!!

I’ll predict that Romney ends up with 52% of the vote, Gingrich 17%, Paul 16%, and Santorum 14%.

sounds about right….

if anything, paul may get more folks to their meetings…

cmsinaz on February 4, 2012 at 11:09 AM

Romney……drive the car over the cliff at 45 mph.

Obama…..drive the car over the cliff at 95 mph.

I guess I’d vote for hurling our nation over with Magic Mitt at the wheel (or would it be Soros really calling the shots from the backseat?).

PappyD61 on February 4, 2012 at 11:09 AM

Instead of the traditional election night party, former House Speaker Newt Gingrich will hold a press conference after the Nevada Caucus on Saturday, raising new speculation about his future in the race.

An e-mail sent to reporters on Saturday morning set the Las Vegas press conference for 11 p.m. to midnight Eastern time.

Wassup with that??

bluealice on February 4, 2012 at 11:10 AM

A month or so ago I would have been so nervous about these results. Now – eh – just give me my ABO candidate so I can fill in the circle in November.

gophergirl on February 4, 2012 at 11:13 AM

Cause Mr and Mrs. Sarah Palin are real influential and stuff.

HA HA HA HAH AHA

Jailbreak on February 4, 2012 at 11:08 AM

Do you have any angst now about your votes for Gore and Kerry?

beatcanvas on February 4, 2012 at 11:13 AM

Nevada, Mafia owned,

they lie on February 4, 2012 at 11:09 AM

Settle down!!!!!!!!

Mafia is long gone, most of them underground. You have the grandchildren of Mafioso, worth millions, and who stay as far away from crime and politics as humanly possible.

The closest thing you have to Mafia in NV is the Mormon Mafia. And they will carry the day. :(

JohnGalt23 on February 4, 2012 at 11:14 AM

Go Team Santorum!!!

multiuseless on February 4, 2012 at 11:14 AM

“My goal,” said Gingrich, “is the exact opposite of Governor Romney — my goal is not to ignore or forget the poor.

Newt lying again? *yawn*

Mitt = inevitable.

Romney/Jindal ’12!

itsnotaboutme on February 4, 2012 at 11:15 AM

I’ll predict that Romney ends up with 52% of the vote, Gingrich 17%, Paul 16%, and Santorum 14%.

Do you think the governor mishap by Newt’s team still allows him second place finish? Or not that big of a deal?

beatcanvas on February 4, 2012 at 11:15 AM

Wassup with that??

bluealice on February 4, 2012 at 11:10 AM

If he was smart he’d drop out. Maybe his sugar daddy Sheldon is going to carry him through any longer.

rubberneck on February 4, 2012 at 11:15 AM

Gingrich has brought up Romney’s remark about the very poor at virtually every event, and it just doesn’t seem to have helped him.

Well, it’s good to see that misquoting and taking quotes out of context is not effective. Disappointing, Newt, don’t act like the leftists do.

I’m not a Romney fan, but that quote about the poor has been misused way too much, even by Santorum.

iurockhead on February 4, 2012 at 11:15 AM

go read KJ’s blog if you get a chance today…

cmsinaz on February 4, 2012 at 11:15 AM

isn’t NV winner take all if they get over 50%?

gatorboy on February 4, 2012 at 11:15 AM

Mitt: 109%
Gingrich: 2%
Santorum: -4%
Paul: A Bingo Card and a half eaten Funnel cake

portlandon on February 4, 2012 at 11:16 AM

The people that send Harry Reid to Washington are going to choose a former Massachusetts governor.

And this should be important to us why?

turfmann on February 4, 2012 at 11:05 AM

Because it is the political equivalent of the movie Dumb and Dumber?

KOOLAID2 on February 4, 2012 at 11:17 AM

I’ll predict that Romney ends up with 52% of the vote, Gingrich 17%, Paul 16%, and Santorum 14%.

I think Romney’s percentage will drop a bit from 2008, due to higher turnout.

I’ll go Romney 48%, Paul 23, Frothy 18, Newt 11, and see ya later.

JohnGalt23 on February 4, 2012 at 11:18 AM

Because it is the political equivalent of the movie Dumb and Dumber?

KOOLAID2 on February 4, 2012 at 11:17 AM

Ripping on GOP voters around the country is a great way to unify the party /MittBotCop off

gatorboy on February 4, 2012 at 11:19 AM

The field will thin after NV (I’m predicting Paul or Santorum will drop out).

Mitt: 109%
Gingrich: 2%
Santorum: -4%
Paul: A Bingo Card and a half eaten Funnel cake

portlandon on February 4, 2012 at 11:16 AM

This made me laugh.

nobar on February 4, 2012 at 11:19 AM

Is that Mitt’s hairspray collection in the backgroud?

Flange on February 4, 2012 at 11:21 AM

I’ll predict that Romney ends up with 52% of the vote, Gingrich 17%, Paul 16%, and Santorum 14%.

In 2008, Romney received 51.1%, Paul 13.73% and McCain 12.75%. So, that sounds about right, though, I might switch Paul and Santorum’s numbers.

Fallon on February 4, 2012 at 11:21 AM

Wassup with that??

bluealice on February 4, 2012 at 11:10 AM
If he was smart he’d drop out. Maybe his sugar daddy Sheldon is going to carry him through any longer.

rubberneck on February 4, 2012 at 11:15 AM

But that would put Paul in second place! ::shudder::

OldEnglish on February 4, 2012 at 11:21 AM

NRO’s Andy McCarthy advises Mitt to stop the pandering if he wants to win over conservatives.
http://www.nationalreview.com/articles/290138/see-mitt-pander-andrew-c-mccarthy

onlineanalyst on February 4, 2012 at 11:21 AM

Instead of the traditional election night party, former House Speaker Newt Gingrich will hold a press conference after the Nevada Caucus on Saturday, raising new speculation about his future in the race.

An e-mail sent to reporters on Saturday morning set the Las Vegas press conference for 11 p.m. to midnight Eastern time.

Wassup with that??

bluealice on February 4, 2012 at 11:10 AM

Hmmmm. It’s hard to imagine Newton’s ego allowing the suspension of his campaign at this stage, unless Sheldon Adelson put the kibosh on his allowance.

Slainte on February 4, 2012 at 11:22 AM

nice_poltergeist on February 4, 2012 at 11:03 AM

Nobody’s looking at Nevada.

The Nerve on February 4, 2012 at 11:22 AM

Wow. I think Mr. and Mrs. Sarah Palin need to be working harder for Newt. Cause Mr and Mrs. Sarah Palin are real influential and stuff.

HA HA HA HAH AHA

Jailbreak on February 4, 2012 at 11:08 AM

Sheesh! Is this the best Axelrod or Valerie can come up with? I’d complain, if I were you. They’re making you look damn silly.

P.S.: Do you work out of Chicago or the White House?

Scriptor on February 4, 2012 at 11:23 AM

“If Romney did not win 100% of the votes in Nevada, it is only a flesh wound”, so claims Monty Python’s Black Knight.

galtani on February 4, 2012 at 11:23 AM

This is why I don’t bother to comment on this site any more- over run with Mittbots.

Bill C on February 4, 2012 at 11:24 AM

Ed’s title = salt into wound, looks around …leaves

MontanaMmmm on February 4, 2012 at 11:24 AM

the fix is in….

thedevilinside on February 4, 2012 at 11:27 AM

In 2008, Romney received 51.1%, Paul 13.73% and McCain 12.75%. So, that sounds about right, though, I might switch Paul and Santorum’s numbers.

Fallon on February 4, 2012 at 11:21 AM

I was there in 2008, and I’ve seen their operation this time.

Paul will outperform 2008. My guess he will do so in a rather surprising manner.

JohnGalt23 on February 4, 2012 at 11:29 AM

I hope Paul can take second.

FloatingRock on February 4, 2012 at 11:31 AM

If Newt Gingrich drops out after Nevada, that ends the competitive Primary/Caucus race now. Santorum and Paul aren’t strong enough to win in any 3-man race. Well, as somebody who likes elections with multiple-candidate wins, Santorum winning Iowa and Gingrich winning South Carolina was pretty nice compared to a complete Romney landslide.

The Nerve on February 4, 2012 at 11:31 AM

The people that send Harry Reid to Washington are going to choose a former Massachusetts governor.

And this should be important to us why?

turfmann on February 4, 2012 at 11:05 AM

Actually, being that this is the Republican primary, it’s the same people that chose Sharron Angle as their senatorial candidate two years ago.

I mean, kudos on doing your best to dismiss a big win for Romney, but if New Hampshire matters than so does Nevada, like it or not.

WolvenOne on February 4, 2012 at 11:33 AM

The closest thing you have to Mafia in NV is the Mormon Mafia. And they will carry the day. :(

JohnGalt23 on February 4, 2012 at 11:14 AM

Don’t forget the union Mafia.

Wethal on February 4, 2012 at 11:33 AM

Ron will run close second.

Srsly.

Notorious GOP on February 4, 2012 at 11:34 AM

Cause Mr and Mrs. Sarah Palin are real influential and stuff.

Jailbreak on February 4, 2012 at 11:08 AM

Do you have any angst now about your votes for Gore and Kerry?

beatcanvas on February 4, 2012 at 11:13 AM

Did anyone really expect a Palinista to reply substantively?

Palin is soooo 2008.

itsnotaboutme on February 4, 2012 at 11:35 AM

I was there in 2008, and I’ve seen their operation this time.

Paul will outperform 2008. My guess he will do so in a rather surprising manner.

JohnGalt23 on February 4, 2012 at 11:29 AM

What percentage do you think Paul will receive this time and who will he take votes from in Ed’s prediction?

Fallon on February 4, 2012 at 11:35 AM

Wonder what Newt’s gonna say. Man, if he throws in the towel, Santorum may have ashot.

a capella on February 4, 2012 at 11:35 AM

It’s hard to imagine Newton’s ego allowing the suspension of his campaign at this stage, unless Sheldon Adelson put the kibosh on his allowance.

Slainte on February 4, 2012 at 11:22 AM

Shel employs some very bright people to let him know when something is a winning/losing bet.

“You remember that night, Sheldon… that night at the MGM Grand Garden… you came in and said “Were going for the money on Mitt”? You remember that Charlie? I coulda taken Mitt apart! Instead, what happens? He gets the nomination in the big ballpark in Tampa, and I get a one way ticket to K Street!”

“Ya were supposed to look out for me, Shel! Ya were supposed to take care of me!”

JohnGalt23 on February 4, 2012 at 11:35 AM

Romney is going to be the nominee. Accept it and vote for him or help give O a second term. End of story.

ThePrez on February 4, 2012 at 11:36 AM

As a ploy to boost his failing campaign, Newt will physically assault John King at the Press Conference tonight.

galtani on February 4, 2012 at 11:36 AM

The people that send Harry Reid to Washington are going to choose a former Massachusetts governor.

And this should be important to us why?

turfmann on February 4, 2012 at 11:05 AM

Actually, being that this is the Republican primary, it’s the same people that chose Sharron Angle as their senatorial candidate two years ago.

I mean, kudos on doing your best to dismiss a big win for Romney, but if New Hampshire matters than so does Nevada, like it or not.

WolvenOne on February 4, 2012 at 11:33 AM

Actually, NV painfully learned from their Angle goof. Otherwise, they’d be sending Angle 2: Newt.

itsnotaboutme on February 4, 2012 at 11:37 AM

What percentage do you think Paul will receive this time and who will he take votes from in Ed’s prediction?

Fallon on February 4, 2012 at 11:35 AM

Ron will definitely finish at least 2nd. And believe it or not, if turnout <75K, he'll have a fighting chance to actually win.

Notorious GOP on February 4, 2012 at 11:38 AM

How is he doing so well in Nevada anyway? I thought it was 99% strippers, prostitutes, pimps and 1% tourists.

ThePrez on February 4, 2012 at 11:38 AM

Although, unbiasedly speaking, Newt Gingrich should stay in as he would be the better candidate to run against Obama if the economy approves. Mitt Romney, being a one trick pony, can only run against Obama based on a bad economy. Newt Gingrich can compete and make arguments based on many other failings of Obama, and we can still fight with that option off the table. Mitt Romney CAN’T.

The Nerve on February 4, 2012 at 11:39 AM

Accept it and vote for him or help give O a second term. End of story.

ThePrez on February 4, 2012 at 11:36 AM

Nope. This just turns people away from Mitt, you know that, right?

Fallon on February 4, 2012 at 11:40 AM

Is that Mitt’s hairspray collection in the backgroud?

Flange on February 4, 2012 at 11:21 AM

Wrong isle. He’s in the paint section of his closet choosing an appropriate color for his tan. Personally, I think he went a little too heavy on the barn red.

ariel on February 4, 2012 at 11:40 AM

Gingrich will announce tonite, after he gets his newt handed to him, that he has the official endorsement of former governor (1/2 of a term) of Alaska, Sarah Palin.

No not really. She cant do that…it would get her in trouble with her fox news gig where she goes on Fox a couple times a week, usually on the shows that as the lamest hosts who wont actually question her stupid comments.

So, Gingrich will either announce that he is real angry because he learned that Romney is evil and bad and stuff or he will announce that he is going 3rd party or he will announce that he is done.

Jailbreak on February 4, 2012 at 11:41 AM

Fallon on February 4, 2012 at 11:40 AM

I`m not crazy about any of them. But seriously, what are our options? Staying home in a huff and letting Obama win? How does that help the country?

ThePrez on February 4, 2012 at 11:41 AM

Actually, NV painfully learned from their Angle goof. Otherwise, they’d be sending Angle 2: Newt.

itsnotaboutme on February 4, 2012 at 11:37 AM

I’m almost thinking that the Senate debacle in 2010 was well worth it, if it means that nobody’s willing to gamble on unstable trash candidates any more.

KingGold on February 4, 2012 at 11:42 AM

Newt’s press conference is easier than a celebration gig. With his reportedly less than stellar ground game, it still gets the press without the hassel of a campaign event.
Don’t envision any substantial news, sorry to say.

bluealice on February 4, 2012 at 11:42 AM

How is he doing so well in Nevada anyway? I thought it was 99% strippers, prostitutes, pimps and 1% tourists.

ThePrez on February 4, 2012 at 11:38 AM

/////

FTFY

VegasRick on February 4, 2012 at 11:42 AM

cozmo on February 4, 2012 at 11:05 AM

(Took me a while to catch that!)

KOOLAID2 on February 4, 2012 at 11:43 AM

“…a stronger than expected employment rate tumbling…”

The unemployment rate falling from 8.5 percent to 8.3 percent is “tumbling” MSM douchebaggery at its best.

ghostwriter on February 4, 2012 at 11:44 AM

Ron will definitely finish at least 2nd. And believe it or not, if turnout <75K, he'll have a fighting chance to actually win.

Notorious GOP on February 4, 2012 at 11:38 AM

So, will Paul eat into Romney’s 51% from last time or will he take votes from Gingrich? Or, both?

Fallon on February 4, 2012 at 11:44 AM

Nope. This just turns people away from Mitt, you know that, right?

Fallon on February 4, 2012 at 11:40 AM

Don’t understand how some anonymous commenter on a blog would influence anyones vote.

bluealice on February 4, 2012 at 11:45 AM

I hope he is not quitting.

Southernblogger on February 4, 2012 at 11:45 AM

Don’t forget the union Mafia.

Wethal on February 4, 2012 at 11:33 AM

You have some strong competition within the unions sometimes. Culinary will go at it with Laborers, for example.

No such dissension with the MoMoMaf ranks.

JohnGalt23 on February 4, 2012 at 11:46 AM

So, Gingrich will either announce that he is real angry because he learned that Romney is evil and bad and stuff or he will announce that he is going 3rd party or he will announce that he is done.

Jailbreak on February 4, 2012 at 11:41 AM

He’ll have some schmaltzy gimmick to reframe his campaign going forward. I doubt that Gingrich would drop out before SuperTuesday?

ghostwriter on February 4, 2012 at 11:46 AM

Wrong isle. He’s in the paint section of his closet choosing an appropriate color for his tan. Personally, I think he went a little too heavy on the barn red.

ariel on February 4, 2012 at 11:40 AM

Maybe that’s his way of appealing to red state voters.

Flange on February 4, 2012 at 11:47 AM

Romney needs to at least replicate his 2008 results.

Anything less than 52% would be a an embarrassing result given the Mormon support he got in the state.

Norwegian on February 4, 2012 at 11:47 AM

All the ABR people had better fervently hope that this presser is Newt’s suspension.

The only hope Rick Santorum’s got is to consolidate the conservative vote before too many more states have primaries, and Gingrich is rapidly collapsing.

KingGold on February 4, 2012 at 11:47 AM

Gingrich will have some news to announce.

We have all seen Willard in this picture taken when he was with Bain Capital. These guys have money coming out the wazoo.

Ask yourself: Don’t guys with this much money usually spend some of it on hookers and blow? Did any of these guys have Lawrence Kudlow’s phone number?

Emperor Norton on February 4, 2012 at 11:48 AM

So, will Paul eat into Romney’s 51% from last time or will he take votes from Gingrich? Or, both?

Fallon on February 4, 2012 at 11:44 AM

Both. It’s all about the turnout. The 08 polls were way off with Ron. If he can get a low turnout, he’ll finish a strong 2nd. Newt might even finish 4th. I doubt he wins, but he has a fighting chance the lower the turnout.

Notorious GOP on February 4, 2012 at 11:48 AM

Gingrich’s conference will be his version of a 1 man debate.

Zaggs on February 4, 2012 at 11:50 AM

So, will Paul eat into Romney’s 51% from last time or will he take votes from Gingrich? Or, both?

Fallon on February 4, 2012 at 11:44 AM

Paul might pick up some Romney voters… they are making a big LDS push. But those people called by the R-J and said “Yeah, I’m a Gingrich supporter”? They likely don’t have any idea where or when their caucus is, are probably still asleep, and Gingrich doesn’t have the operation to GOTV. Santorum will GOTV better than Gingrich, I suspect.

I assure you, every one of Paul’s 22k ID’s has been called, emailed, door-knocked, and texted to death. They know when and where to be, who their precinct captain is, whether they want an open or secret ballot for delegates, and have probably been up all night tuning up for the show this morning, so they look and feel their best in front of their GOP peers.

JohnGalt23 on February 4, 2012 at 11:51 AM

Did anyone really expect a Palinista to reply substantively?

Palin is soooo 2008.

itsnotaboutme on February 4, 2012 at 11:35 AM

Well we certainly can’t compete with your breathtaking eloquence, or with the limitless depth of your profundity. Why should we even try? Especially when we are in the presence of such sages as you and jailbreak, not to mention the rest of the galactic heavyweights who comprise the anti-Palin goon squad at Hotair. You’re just waaayyy to smart for us.

Get over yourselves, even if you can’t get over Palin.

ariel on February 4, 2012 at 11:52 AM

A month or so ago I would have been so nervous about these results. Now – eh – just give me my ABO candidate so I can fill in the circle in November.

gophergirl on February 4, 2012 at 11:13 AM

Ah, the other RP.

You are going to get your wish. Keep an eye on Pollutico, which has managed to scoop on the cracks in the Romney Train wheels. Seems that the little powerbrokers running the Mittens Dream Team got upstaged by one of the helpers brought in to assist Mittens into looking like a glove in Florida debates.

This is a growing tumor inside Romneyville. And it is on my predicted path of Perry as a brokered candidate.

platypus on February 4, 2012 at 11:52 AM

I’m almost thinking that the Senate debacle in 2010 was well worth it, if it means that nobody’s willing to gamble on unstable trash candidates any more.

KingGold on February 4, 2012 at 11:42 AM

Nobody is an overstatement. Thankfully there is no Hot Air primary.

Go RBNY on February 4, 2012 at 11:53 AM

For those of you talking about voter turnout – We have a caucas here in NV. We don’t vote in the primary. And as I am registered Indy, I can’t even attend. Super Bowl Saturday in Vegas most folks are working. We realy do some dumb things here in NV, but I love the place.

VegasRick on February 4, 2012 at 11:53 AM

An excerpt from McCarthy’s advice to Mitt about the futility of pandering and the foolishness of some of his unforced errors:

It is, of course, impossible that a businessman as savvy as Mitt Romney does not grasp the wages of the minimum wage. He is pandering. He is the GOP establishment candidate. The establishment does not believe electoral success lies in winning voters over with the strength of conservative ideas. Elections, such Republicans believe, are won by batting your eyes at conservatives while planting your feet in the regnant progressive consensus. They are won by saying, “I care.”

Mitt does care. Really. The eye-popping $7 million he has given away to charity in the last two years dwarfs what most of the “rich,” as defined by President Obama, will gross over a decade or three. It certainly compares quite favorably to the beneficence of Senator John Kerry, the well-heeled 2004 nominee of the Poor People’s Party, whose tax returns tended to show a big fat zero on the charitable-donation line. But then, that’s the point, isn’t it? We are a compassionate society because of what ordinary Americans, whatever their means, can be relied on to give of themselves. “Compassion” is not what politicians do with other people’s money.

Where he most craves it, Romney will get no credit for his good works and no acknowledgement of the true intent behind his clumsy words. Progressive operatives are interested only in an edge, not a discussion. The rest of the “social justice” crowd figures that if you’re going to vote feelings rather than economics, then you might as well go with the other guys — they’re the pros. So unfortunately for Mitt, he’s stuck with us Regressives. Yes, we’ll put his faux pas in context and give his good intentions their due. But we’ll also tell you that Mitt Romney, the would-be president, could learn a lot from Mitt Romney, the virtuous citizen — that is, the typically American citizen.

onlineanalyst on February 4, 2012 at 11:53 AM

BISHOP!

KOOLAID2 on February 4, 2012 at 11:03 AM

Nice Hat Tip. Didn’t try for first three. Huh?

Bmore on February 4, 2012 at 11:53 AM

Wasn’t Mitt Romney’s Mormon support so strong because he was almost crucified for being a Mormon in 2007/2008? It wasn’t as bad for 2011/2012, so the Mormons won’t need to coalesce around Romney as much this election.

The Nerve on February 4, 2012 at 11:54 AM

This is why I don’t bother to comment on this site any more- over run with Mittbots.

Bill C on February 4, 2012 at 11:24 AM

Some people like debate.

almosthandsome on February 4, 2012 at 11:54 AM

Gingrich will announce tonite, after he gets his newt handed to him, that he has the official endorsement of former governor (1/2 of a term) of Alaska, Sarah Palin.

No not really. She cant do that…it would get her in trouble with her fox news gig where she goes on Fox a couple times a week, usually on the shows that as the lamest hosts who wont actually question her stupid comments.

So, Gingrich will either announce that he is real angry because he learned that Romney is evil and bad and stuff or he will announce that he is going 3rd party or he will announce that he is done.

Jailbreak on February 4, 2012 at 11:41 AM

you’re pretty much the only person on this thread talking about sarah, have you noticed that? obviously she is important to you or else you wouldn’t keep rambling on and on about her!!!

Sachiko on February 4, 2012 at 11:54 AM

Big enough that the usual suspects will be crowing their usual fluff.

And trashing the other candidates.

cozmo on February 4, 2012 at 11:04 AM

Its all they’ve got. Or will ever have. Pathetic really. Pitiful daily.

Bmore on February 4, 2012 at 11:58 AM

Notorious GOP on February 4, 2012 at 11:48 AM

JohnGalt23 on February 4, 2012 at 11:51 AM

Thanks for the responses. Should be interesting to see what happens.

Fallon on February 4, 2012 at 12:00 PM

Newt will be out shortly. Dr. Paul going nowhere. Its between Romney and Santorum. Romney is it. He was a fore-gone conclusion.

Bmore on February 4, 2012 at 12:00 PM

was=is

Bmore on February 4, 2012 at 12:01 PM

I am thinking that Newt holding a press conference rather than provide a speech is his way of garnering stronger media attention.

Didn’t I read recently that the networks were scaling back coverage on the candidates?

CoffeeLover on February 4, 2012 at 12:02 PM

Is that Mitt’s hairspray collection in the backgroud?

Flange on February 4, 2012 at 11:21 AM

Mitt Romney doesn’t use hairspray.

His unwavering dedication to conservative principles keeps his hair in place.

MessesWithTexas on February 4, 2012 at 12:02 PM

On the press conference, my guess is that he wants to mix it up with the press. While I strongly suspect Gingrich was blowing hot air when he said he’d take it all the way to the convention, I have a hard time seeing him drop out. I mean, after making that dramatic little oath of his in Florida, dropping out only one state later would be a little, lame.

WolvenOne on February 4, 2012 at 12:02 PM

Did nice_poltergeist get the hammer already? I hope. I see references to an 11:03 comment, but it’s not posted.

To be politically-incorrect, Romney will do well in the states with a large Mormon population. Well, duuuuh.

kingsjester on February 4, 2012 at 12:03 PM

Watching the GOP go down in flames sure is fun.

It’s actually quite fun to watch a trainwreck occur. After this election, the establishment and Mitt should be gone for good.

Bless their hearts.

Midwestprincesse on February 4, 2012 at 12:03 PM

Where’s my first post??? Awwww…

g2825m on February 4, 2012 at 12:04 PM

Wrong isle. He’s in the paint section of his closet choosing an appropriate color for his tan. Personally, I think he went a little too heavy on the barn red.

ariel on February 4, 2012 at 11:40 AM

Maybe that’s his way of appealing to red state voters.

Flange on February 4, 2012 at 11:47 AM

heh! I think you may be on to something. I do see cans of red behind him. However, there ain’t enough red paint on this planet to hide his liberal progressivism. I don’t care how you try to dress that pig up, he still won’t fly!

ariel on February 4, 2012 at 12:04 PM

Hmmmm. It’s hard to imagine Newton’s ego allowing the suspension of his campaign at this stage, unless Sheldon Adelson put the kibosh on his allowance.

Slainte on February 4, 2012 at 11:22 AM

It would be nice if other candidates have the money to by the election like Romney is doing.

evergreenland on February 4, 2012 at 12:04 PM

Watching the GOP go down in flames sure is fun.

It’s actually quite fun to watch a trainwreck occur. After this election, the establishment and Mitt should be gone for good.

Bless their hearts.

Midwestprincesse on February 4, 2012 at 12:03 PM

What’s the endgame here? An Obama victory?

fiatboomer on February 4, 2012 at 12:05 PM

Nobody is an overstatement. Thankfully there is no Hot Air primary.

Go RBNY on February 4, 2012 at 11:53 AM

Watch Nobody go down in flames in 2012. Don’t blame the rest of us for YOUR mistake.

Midwestprincesse on February 4, 2012 at 12:05 PM

Is that Mitt’s hairspray collection in the backgroud?

Flange on February 4, 2012 at 11:21 AM

Mitt Romney doesn’t use hairspray.

His unwavering dedication to conservative principles keeps his hair in place.

MessesWithTexas on February 4, 2012 at 12:02 PM

…and it’s unavailable since Calista bought out the entire supply of hairspray and has it back-ordered until 2020 to maintain the hair helmet.

V7_Sport on February 4, 2012 at 12:07 PM

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