Reuters/Ipsos poll has Mitt up by 11 in FLA with three days to go
posted at 7:30 pm on January 28, 2012 by Jazz Shaw
We should probably warn you in advance not to get too excited about these results, but they’re popping the cork less than 72 before the polls open in the Sunshine State, so we’ll check in. Reuters/Ipsos finished a three day poll which seems to indicate a continuing trend of Mitt Romney opening up a comfortable lead in Florida.
White House hopeful Mitt Romney widened his lead over rival Newt Gingrich to 11 percentage points in Florida, according to Reuters/Ipsos online poll results on Saturday, up from 8 points a day earlier, as he cemented his front-runner status in the Republican nomination race.
With just three days remaining before Florida’s Republican primary, Romney, a former Massachusetts governor, led Gingrich, a former speaker of the U.S. House of Representatives, by 43 percent to 32 percent among likely voters in Florida’s January 31 primary, the online poll said.
He had led Gingrich by 41 percent to 33 percent in the online tracking poll on Friday.
“The momentum in Florida … really seems to be moving in Romney’s direction,” said Chris Jackson, research director for Ipsos Public Affairs.
The poll confirmed that Romney’s fortunes are turning around in Florida a week after a stinging setback when Gingrich scored an upset win in South Carolina’s primary.
First things first, this is yet another online poll, so take that with a grain of salt. Though, to be fair, the technology for online polling is actually beginning to improve as time goes by. But still, as always, we tend to look more at trends than the hard numbers in any given snapshot and this one is trending in the same direction as most of the rest. The combined Real Clear Politics total as of this afternoon actually has Romney up by +8.2 but trending in the same direction.
This may not be terribly shocking news. Even when you roll in the Super PAC money, Romney is outspending the field in Florida’s hugely expensive media market by a fair margin, and that’s got to take a toll eventually. One interesting note, though: while he’s probably still much too far back for any significant chance, the small amount that Newt slipped in this poll from the last outing seems to have gone to Rick Santorum, not Mitt. Santorum bumped up to 16 from 13, which may be yet another sign that disillusioned “Not Mitt” voters are still not entirely ready to “fall in line” with Mr. Inevitable.
We should have three more sets of numbers with live interviews coming – one on Sunday and two on Monday. A roughly ten point gap is certainly not insurmountable in two days time, so we’ll keep an eye out in case any last ditch appeals or fumbles signal a change in the air.
Blowback
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So…
After Romney wins FL, will the pot-bellied Socialist drop out and endorse Santorum?
Actually, Newt should probably endorse Paul since he’s been praising him, nonstop.
Aizen on January 28, 2012 at 7:33 PM
It’s smooth sailin for Mitt from here on out.
Roymunson on January 28, 2012 at 7:33 PM
Go Newt….
thedevilinside on January 28, 2012 at 7:33 PM
How about this one Jazz? That Reuters poll is an internet poll.
Florida Decides Poll: Florida likes Mitt
JPeterman on January 28, 2012 at 7:35 PM
The poll, conducted by Mason-Dixon Polling and Research for Bay News 9, News 13 and the Tampa Bay Times, shows if the election were today, 42 percent of GOP voters would vote for Romney. Newt Gingrich trailed by 21 points with 31 percent of the vote. Behind him was Santorum with 14 percent and Ron Paul with just 6 percent of the vote.
A look at a Romney/Obama match up shows Romney taking Florida 48 percent to Obama’s 44 percent. He seems to be the only candidate with that strength. A Gingrich/Obama race has Obama leading by 9 points, and against Rick Santorum Obama leads by 11 percent.
http://www.baynews9.com/article/news/2012/january/375474/Florida-Decides-Poll:-Florida-likes-Mitt
haner on January 28, 2012 at 7:35 PM
Well, my state has let me down before…
joekenha on January 28, 2012 at 7:36 PM
3 more polls
3 more days
Let’s not, and
say we did!
KOOLAID2 on January 28, 2012 at 7:37 PM
In 2008 Obama was predicted to win New Hampshire by 8 points.
Hillary crushed him there.
NeoKong on January 28, 2012 at 7:39 PM
I believe that Romney was ahead in SC a few days before the vote. That didn’t work out too well for him. Go Newt!
Kaffa on January 28, 2012 at 7:40 PM
Aha!
Newt’s going to sob like a whiny housewife!
Aizen on January 28, 2012 at 7:40 PM
Meh. Online poll. I imagine it’s a bit closer than this poll suggests.
Rational Thought on January 28, 2012 at 7:43 PM
Alright. Santorum a “real” conservative? Yeah right, his record on right to work issues and spending make him arguably more liberal than Romney. The Not-Romney’s will drink any Kool-aid they can find to quench their thirst. Romney is not super conservative, but guess what, either is Gingrich or Santorum. In fact Gingrich and Santorum have questionable records.
Gingrich says he will fight on until the convention, that is not a surprise. His ego requires it and his fanboys will allow it.
Gingrich supporters have really taken on Paul supporter attributes, totally dismissive and dishonest in their own candidate.
Rick Perry was the conservative id made flesh but he lost. He was my choice, but that time is past. After Perry’s fumble, Romney is our best hope to beat President Obama.
ConservativeLaw on January 28, 2012 at 7:43 PM
Newt Gingrich: “But the fact is, Santorum is not going to win in Florida. There’s only one possibility for a conservative victory in Florida – in every poll.”
“Yeah – next time around is a good battle cry,” Gingrich said to laughter. “He’s young enough, he can show back up. But please just try to convince your friends. The only effective practical conservative vote on Tuesday is for Newt Gingrich because that’s just a fact.”
Read more: http://politics.blogs.foxnews.com/2012/01/28/gingrich-santorum-young-enough-run-next-time#ixzz1kns6LoB0
At this rate, Santorum is going to endorse Romney after Florida just to spite Newt.
haner on January 28, 2012 at 7:43 PM
Santorum is the best choice, by far.
Pork-Chop on January 28, 2012 at 7:44 PM
Newt/West 2012
thedevilinside on January 28, 2012 at 7:46 PM
“the most exciting development of the past few weeks is what has been happening up in Massachusetts. The health bill that Governor Romney signed into law this month has tremendous potential to effect major change in the American health system.-Newt Gingrich 2006”
Who is Newt trying to fool?
CW on January 28, 2012 at 7:46 PM
Yeah, but that was before that last debate when Newt teed off on John King.
changer1701 on January 28, 2012 at 7:46 PM
I see we have on taker./
CW on January 28, 2012 at 7:47 PM
You made some really good points, but among the three of them, Romney is the most liberal, based solely upon his record as Governor.
Technically, since Ron Paul’s a libertarian, he’s the most “right-wing,” but I suppose people don’t always equate conservatism with being “right-wing”?
Aizen on January 28, 2012 at 7:47 PM
He fooled Palin good, or maybe Palin thinks we’re fools.
haner on January 28, 2012 at 7:47 PM
He did in ’08.
changer1701 on January 28, 2012 at 7:47 PM
No it ain’t. If he wins the primary, he’ll be handily defeated in the general.
KirknBurker on January 28, 2012 at 7:48 PM
Here is a poll I found with a 2000 plus sample. I think it’ll be closer than expected.
Flapjackmaka on January 28, 2012 at 7:49 PM
There is no choice between Mittens and O. None.
Romney winning the nominatin will lead to more talk of third-party.
KirknBurker on January 28, 2012 at 7:50 PM
Exclusive: Florida GOP primary poll shows Gingrich, Romney neck-and-neck
11:36 PM, Jan. 27, 2012
Gingrich is going to send Willard back to La Jolla, where he belongs.
w00t! n00t!
Emperor Norton on January 28, 2012 at 7:50 PM
And here’s a second non-online poll out today, also showing a 10-point race.
http://miamiherald.typepad.com/nakedpolitics/2012/01/war-room-poll-mitt-romney-blowing-newt-gingrich-away-40-30-in-fl-mack-commands-senate-race.html
So that’s 3 polls showing a 10 or 11 point race today.
Jon0815 on January 28, 2012 at 7:51 PM
To those of you who back the same candidate as I; God bless for your wise decision.
To those of you who do NOT back the same candidate as I; YOU SUCK!
listens2glenn on January 28, 2012 at 7:51 PM
Enjoy Mittbots and PDSers… you’ll be crashing back to reality in Nov when the base and Tea Party relaxes at home.
davek70 on January 28, 2012 at 7:51 PM
If Newt is now going after Santorum, there must be some internal polling out there showing a surge for Santorum.
JPeterman on January 28, 2012 at 7:52 PM
Deal with it. It’s called freedom of speech. Mitt’s wealthy friends have every right to commandeer the airwaves of Florida and force individuals to hear with whatever political message helps Mitt win the election. Respect the free enterprise of elections bought by the highest bidder.
bayam on January 28, 2012 at 7:52 PM
Rasmussen
Romney 39 Newt 31 Santorum 12 Paul 9
http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2012/election_2012_presidential_election/florida/2012_florida_republican_primary
And…
And
RCP average +8 Romney.
On January 23rd Newt was leading Romney….the trends is positive for Romney.Anyone thinking otherwise is fooling themselves.
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/president/fl/florida_republican_presidential_primary-1597.html
CW on January 28, 2012 at 7:52 PM
No he isn’t. My guess is that due to the proportional nature of the primaries through March, the primary will not be decided until some time in April.
If conservatives rally to ONE anti-Romney choice by then, Mitt will lose because the math is not in his favor.
It will all depend on the timing of when Santorum drops out or Newt drops out.
I don’t see either of them dropping out right after Florida, unless Santorum cuts a deal to be Mitt’s VP.
KirknBurker on January 28, 2012 at 7:53 PM
The survey was conducted between Monday and Wednesday. Did get to Thursday’s crushing debate.
andy85719 on January 28, 2012 at 7:53 PM
I’d recommend voting to keep the vetting going. Vetting will only improve this batch of clumsy candidates.
anotherJoe on January 28, 2012 at 7:53 PM
Jon0815 on January 28, 2012 at 7:54 PM
According PPP’s Twitter feed, Mitt is up TEN POINTS on Newt in only their first night of calling. Says “this one may end up being a snoozer.”
Let the rending of garments from Newt-tooters begin.
Esoteric on January 28, 2012 at 7:55 PM
Ever get the feeling that the strong pro Newters put their fingers in their ears or cover their eyes when some of these incovenient truths are shared?
CW on January 28, 2012 at 7:55 PM
That is what will happen. This election will not quite be as exciting as the last one. Boredom will set in as it is apparent that Romney just is not catching on.
The Dems will hold Ohio and New Mexico and O wins a second term.
KirknBurker on January 28, 2012 at 7:55 PM
What happened. I got nothing on my twitterfeed?
Flapjackmaka on January 28, 2012 at 7:56 PM
Watch CSPAN now and decide for yourselves who has the momentum…
How come we never see Mitt speak or his “crowds” ?
golfmann on January 28, 2012 at 7:56 PM
When Santorum drops out, those votes will not be going to Mitt. More people are voting against Mitt Romney than for him.
JellyToast on January 28, 2012 at 7:56 PM
get with the program, it’s:
NEWT/CALLISTA/WEST 2012
GhoulAid on January 28, 2012 at 7:56 PM
The wind is really going to come out of the romney campaign sails when newt wins Florida in a squeeker.
tom daschle concerned on January 28, 2012 at 7:57 PM
“it’s smooth sailin for Mitt from here on out.”
Yeah…right into the crapper.
mooseygoosey on January 28, 2012 at 7:58 PM
My vote this tuesday is for newt by process of elimination, not because I think he is some great small government conservative. However, he does have a more conservative track record than Romney. My vote is Anti Romney. It’s that simple.
Meat Fighter on January 28, 2012 at 7:58 PM
You’re kidding. You seriously don’t know about the debate on Thursday?? Romney stuffed Newt through the hoop like a fat, tiny round little basketball. And that’s the BIPARTISAN consensus. Hell, even Erick Erickson wrote that Newt had been destroyed by Romney, that Romney won the debate, and that he almost certainly sealed a victory in FL.
And you conveniently “missed” it. Shocker.
Esoteric on January 28, 2012 at 7:58 PM
I heard FL lost 1/2 its delegates for moving up its primary. Which further highlights how this process is going to go on for months. If Santorum drops out after FL … what a fight that make between Newt and Mitt. I’m still for Mitt. The adult vs. the child.
Paul-Cincy on January 28, 2012 at 7:58 PM
Hang in there Newt…!!!
Seven Percent Solution on January 28, 2012 at 7:59 PM
Everybody knows Santorum won that debate.
KirknBurker on January 28, 2012 at 7:59 PM
Very possible. Ever get the feeling that the Mittaholics put their heads up their hind ends or cover their eyes when some of these inconvenient truths are shared?
SparkPlug on January 28, 2012 at 8:00 PM
I’m getting pic tweets of big crowds for Gingrich. Any people on the ground in Florida? I got a bunch of meh’s on my twitter feed. Mitt supporters I’m following say he won, gingrich supporters say the opposite. Apparently Santorum went back home to not campaign. No money?
Flapjackmaka on January 28, 2012 at 8:00 PM
Yah, the adult that will get steamrolled in the general.
KirknBurker on January 28, 2012 at 8:00 PM
Poll from teh 24th to 26th.. Mitt up 40-31.
http://www.sunshinestatenews.com/story/mitt-romney-rolls-florida-despite-newt-gingrich-debate-mastery?page=3
And here Mitt up 38-29
http://www.quinnipiac.edu/institutes-and-centers/polling-institute/florida/release-detail?ReleaseID=1696
CW on January 28, 2012 at 8:00 PM
You do realize that timestamping a press release tells us jack about when the poll was actually conducted right? Newt was leading Romney by double digits just last week.
haner on January 28, 2012 at 8:01 PM
Right. EVERYONE knows that.
Everyone whose head is so far gone in anti-Romney hysteria that they’re looking for some reason, any reason, to deny him even the slightest credit or victory.
Santorum actually had a pretty good debate. But according to all the polls (including PPP on Twitter tonight) he can’t get above 10-15% because he’s just viewed as a loser by GOP voters for whatever reason. Maybe because he lost his last race by 19% or so, I dunno.
Esoteric on January 28, 2012 at 8:01 PM
That’s a good sign.
SparkPlug on January 28, 2012 at 8:02 PM
Newt is winning the national polls by 5-10%.
Newt is not dropping out after Florida.
This is going to go on….and on….and on to April.
And by March 31st, none of these four will have 50% of the delegate awarded up to that point.
KirknBurker on January 28, 2012 at 8:02 PM
Then you deserve Obama.
changer1701 on January 28, 2012 at 8:03 PM
Whatever, daydream believer.
But do you think all the whining the Newt campaign has been doing suggest that Newt himself believes he is winning? Or his saying : “No matter what happens on Tuesday, he is going all the way to the convention”?
galtani on January 28, 2012 at 8:03 PM
I see I hit a nerve. Thanks for making that clear.
Weird RCP tells us a different story.
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/president/president_obama_vs_republican_candidates.html
Newt is not well liked but hey you keep on living in lala land. Some of you are pathetic. If Obama does win and you sat at home bully for you . You will get what you deserve.
CW on January 28, 2012 at 8:03 PM
I got a bunch of meh’s on my twitter feed. Mitt supporters I’m following say he won, gingrich supporters say the opposite
Every single Gingrich supporter — even the ones here on Hot Air, and especially all the writers and bloggers — universally agreed that Gingrich lost to Romney in the last debate. And that it wasn’t even close. The fallback position of *some* of those folks was that “Santorum actually had the best night so ZOMG no Romney victory”, but I haven’t seen a single non-crackpot suggesting that Newt was anything other than the biggest loser on Thursday night.
Your Twitter feed must be a truly amazing thing, in terms of the sources you follow, if you didn’t hear about this. You would also have had to not visit places like Hot Air not to notice.
Esoteric on January 28, 2012 at 8:04 PM
War Room Logisitics, the Republican polling and consulting firm in Gainesville, reported conducting another large robo-poll sample*** (1,632) in Florida on Jan. 27 (a day after the debate) that shows Mitt Romney is in a commanding lead in the Republican presidential race. Connie Mack is doing even better in the Republican Senate race. And a majority of Republicans support casino-style gaming.
The results:
Mitt Romney: 40%
Newt Gingrich: 30%
Rick Santorum: 15%
Ron Paul 6%
Margin of error: 2.5%
haner on January 28, 2012 at 8:05 PM
Your Rasmussen Poll was done before Thursday nights debate.
JPeterman on January 28, 2012 at 8:06 PM
No…..i think you and the GOP elite deserve obama when he stomps all over dudley do-right if he’s the nominee. there are people out there who don’t like being jerked around and played for fools. we did that in 08 voting for “fight with me” McCain. not again. so sorry.
GhoulAid on January 28, 2012 at 8:06 PM
If Newt somehow wins the nom I will support him. I will not sit on the couching eating Cheetos while Obama wins four more years to bury this country and our Constitution. I realize none of these guys are perfect but both are much better than O Bummer.
CW on January 28, 2012 at 8:07 PM
War Room Logisitics, the Republican polling and consulting firm in Gainesville, reported conducting another large robo-poll sample*** (1,632) in Florida on Jan. 27 (a day after the debate) that shows Mitt Romney is in a commanding lead in the Republican presidential race.
The results:
Mitt Romney: 40%
Newt Gingrich: 30%
Rick Santorum: 15%
Ron Paul 6%
Margin of Error: 2.5%
haner on January 28, 2012 at 8:07 PM
As most pundits are giving advantage to Romney on the absentee ballots, its hard to see how Newt turns this around in 48 hours. The true margin is probably 10-12 points in favor of Mitt.
Newt was a fool for bragging that he can out-debate anybody and then turn in 2 mediocre performances in a row in Florida. His whining after the fact about audience participation or lack thereof was classic douchebaggery.
echosyst on January 28, 2012 at 8:07 PM
This poll was taken yesterday. It has Mitt and Newt tied.
Kaffa on January 28, 2012 at 8:09 PM
PPP is releasing new numbers at 9 (7 my time).
andy85719 on January 28, 2012 at 8:10 PM
If you sit out this election because your preferred candidate doesn’t get the nomination, you are neither “the base” or the “Tea Party”. You are merely a crank unworthy of further attention.
M240H on January 28, 2012 at 8:10 PM
No, she didn’t “crush” him. She beat him by only 2.6%.
http://politics.nytimes.com/election-guide/2008/results/states/NH.html
While it is undeniable that O’bama was favored in NH, the pre-primary polling data was skewed upwards by a couple of outlier polls, one of which had him winning by 13%.
Del Dolemonte on January 28, 2012 at 8:11 PM
No, it was conducted between Monday and Wednesday.
andy85719 on January 28, 2012 at 8:11 PM
The mess we’re in now is a direct result of many Idiots on the Republican side sitting out the 2008 election for the same reason.
Del Dolemonte on January 28, 2012 at 8:12 PM
I agree.
And we aren’t the only ones, there was someone else out there calling for the same thing. Someone familiar . . . . . . but I can’t quite remember the name . . . . . . it’s on the tip of my tongue . . . . . . oh, now I remember! It was someone I R R E L E V A N T.
listens2glenn on January 28, 2012 at 8:12 PM
It’s about time for Newt to start hanging out with Nancy again. By Newt.
tomas on January 28, 2012 at 8:12 PM
Oh sorry about MY poll.
I guess this is my real poll then:
Romney up by 11 today Saturday. His lead was 8 yesterday. Sorry to burst your bubble.
http://www.reuters.com/article/2012/01/28/us-usa-campaign-poll-idUSTRE80R0QD20120128
CW on January 28, 2012 at 8:12 PM
Think anyone is covering their eyes?
LOL
CW on January 28, 2012 at 8:14 PM
Maybe this has been addressed, but does the tea party care that Romney and Newt supported TARP? Have they addressed this in a debate yet. Santorum mentioned it the other night and they both ignored it and didn’t respond. I don’t recall a debate where they have been thoroughly drilled on this. I seem to recall that this issue was central to the tea party as well.
iwasbornwithit on January 28, 2012 at 8:14 PM
Better not say the name, there could be a PDS pandemic with heads exploding and sphincters puckering.
SparkPlug on January 28, 2012 at 8:15 PM
And we are amazed at the people that do that for the Liar-in-Chief!
KOOLAID2 on January 28, 2012 at 8:18 PM
I’ll support him, too. I’m pulling for Romney right now, but I’ll happily vote for whomever gets the nomination. People saying they’ll stay home or vote Obama because their imperfect candidate was judged a bit more imperfect than the other imperfect candidate? That is just madness. Sheer madness. Obama has got to go.
Rational Thought on January 28, 2012 at 8:19 PM
No it wasn’t, it was taken between Monday and Wednesday, and it was taken by a firm with no national reputation to speak of — has anyone else ever heard of these guys?
Esoteric on January 28, 2012 at 8:23 PM
Newt vows to stay in race all the way to convention.
http://www.wmbfnews.com/story/16621568/romney-and-gingrich-stay-focused-on-florida
JellyToast on January 28, 2012 at 8:23 PM
Who’s more the fool, the one praising the action or the one to performed said action?
… or, for those in Port Lucie:
That’s a really weak attack on Newt given that it was Romney who signed that bill into law. You know, the one on which Obamacare is patterned. It’s easier to step back from a supporting statement than from having actually implemented the law.
AZfederalist on January 28, 2012 at 8:24 PM
YEAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAHHHHH!!!!
The country will be saved after all.
Good for America.
Bad for the liberals.
Bad for the people who get paid to talk and talk and talk and blog about the liberals.
Jailbreak on January 28, 2012 at 8:26 PM
The problem is that the Romneyites are coming in here very late and have not done their homework in carefully studying the primary rules and system.
It will start to be proportional.
If a SINGLE anti-Establishment conservative hangs in there till end of March, cons will rally around them the rest of the way in April and beyond.
Also, in regards to the general election, they don’t understand how dreadful a candidate Romney will be in Ohio.
And Mittens will lose Ohio and thus the election. Santorum would do much better in Ohio trying to get the working class vote.
Axelrod KNOWS the electorate well in Ohio.
Why do you think O has spent the most time campaigning in Ohio?
Because he is confident he can defeat Romney there because it plays to the out-of-touch ultrarich vs. the little guy meme.
The unions just stuffed it to Kasich and are now confident they can tell Romney to stuff it too.
Romney just cannot appeal to the working class voter in Ohio.
It just is not going to happen.
Also, the ignorance of the different demographics and the cultural and geographic differences across the country by the Romneybots is simply staggering.
They really think this thing is done as soon as Florida is done.
Think again. This is going until the end of March people.
That is the way the rules are set up this time, to prevent a quick knockout.
Newt or Santorum will be like Rocky Balboa taking blows but they will still be standing (along with Ron Paul and his delegate) towards the end of March and NOBODY will have the 50% of the delegate won/loss up to that point.
People here don’t understand the rules and simple mathematics.
KirknBurker on January 28, 2012 at 8:26 PM
It’s not a given that the Florida winner takes all 50 delegates to the convention.
Anyone remaining in the race may file a challenge with the RNC committee on contests as late as the end of July to force the state to switch from winner-take-all to proportional delegation. The committee wouldn’t decide until just before the convention, and the gains or losses to the remaining candidates, if the committee favored the challengers, might not matter very much. Or they might.
Not going to diminish the momentum of Tuesday’s winner one iota, but if the runners-up remain in the race, the winner doesn’t have a guaranteed lock on all of the Florida delegates.
This is the second part of Florida’s punishment for moving their primary up to January, and switching to winner-take-all. First part was having the state delegation cut in half. I’m sure Florida believes it was worth it.
de rigueur on January 28, 2012 at 8:26 PM
Kirk, the national polls are meaningless and reflect only the SC results, not current reality.
Romney is walking away w FL. Newt would be a general election disaster, a gift from God to Obama. Newt has no money, no organization, no ground game, no message, no infrastructure, and clearly no discipline. Independents and moderates hate him, and his negatives are astronomical. There is simply no way to reverse those numbers without millions and millions of dollars, which Newt does not have.
matthew8787 on January 28, 2012 at 8:27 PM
Herman Cain to endorse Gingrich at tonight’s Lincoln Day Dinner at Kravis Center
andy85719 on January 28, 2012 at 8:27 PM
I can’t stand Newt Gingrich, but I will vote for him over Obama -anything to stop the agenda.
And to those who say there’s no difference between Mitt and Obama- are you out of your minds? Mitt actually knows what makes the U.S. economy work- and actually wants it to work. And as for his Romneycare, gun control, and other progresive crap- do you really think Congress is going to be sending any of that stuff to his desk? And he won’t be sending any of it to them after winning an election that is a repudiation of progressivism. Will he repeal Obamacare? I don’t know, but I do know you can’t tell me for sure Newt will either.
So let’s keep insulting each other, you ignorant Newtwits, but let’s also keep our eye on the prize.
M240H on January 28, 2012 at 8:29 PM
Uh, I’m supporting Newt and I don’t think he lost to Romney at all.
I think Newt did just as well as Romney did. I actually listened to the debate and put each of their statements in context with who the heck they are.
Romney won the best tan and best dressed. That’s what seems to sway Romney supporters.
JellyToast on January 28, 2012 at 8:29 PM
Santorum needs to bow out now.
He’s taking votes from Newt and will, if Newt loses, help elect our next RINO in chief.
JellyToast on January 28, 2012 at 8:31 PM
And then Newt and Herb will go out together to the bar to pick up chicks.
galtani on January 28, 2012 at 8:32 PM
I hate rhetorical questions.
CW on January 28, 2012 at 8:32 PM
Given that Mitt is the establishment favorite, my prediction would be if Newt wins Florida, Mitt files a challenge and gets the delegates allocated by proportion. If Mitt wins Florida, he files a challenge and will be denied.
Basis for this? Pima county Arizona establishment GOP actions this past year. If the state condones this kind of action, then national does as well. Yes, there is an establishment, that establishment doesn’t like any challenge to its power and they play dirty.
AZfederalist on January 28, 2012 at 8:32 PM
Sarah Palin. Her facebook post were full of comments (3:1 ratio) saying she made a mistake hitching her wagon to Newt’s.
haner on January 28, 2012 at 8:33 PM
For a guy who is talking down his nose about other people “not doing their homework” concerning the primaries this is pretty hilarious. Because it is, in fact, the other way around: the early primaries are all proportional (IA, NH, SC, FL), and they quickly become winner-take-all, not the other way around.
How you could have gotten this wrong despite taking such open pride in your Primary Knowledge Skillz is quite beyond me.
Esoteric on January 28, 2012 at 8:33 PM
Santorum won the debate. It’s nothing to get mad about, though…
daddysgirl on January 28, 2012 at 8:34 PM
Really? Please.
CW on January 28, 2012 at 8:34 PM
It’s really ending badly for her, isn’t it?
Esoteric on January 28, 2012 at 8:34 PM
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