Will the rain work to Ron Paul’s advantage?

posted at 5:35 pm on January 21, 2012 by Tina Korbe

On any given Saturday, rain is generally a good reason to remain under the covers at least a little while longer than usual — and to forgo any unnecessary errands entirely. On primary Saturday, rain becomes a test of supporters’ dedication to a particular candidate. So far, it’s been a wet weekend day in the Palmetto State — and you know who that helps. For once, the answer is not Mitt Romney.

The Texas congressman joked at a campaign stop here Friday evening that some of his staff were praying for less favorable weather to tamp down turnout for those who would vote for other candidates, the implication being that Paul’s supporters would not stay home for any reason.

“When we were flying in [to Greenville], the weather was getting bad, and it was starting to rain, and I thought, is anybody going to show up?” Paul recounted at the Friday rally. “And somebody said, can you doubt that the weather is going to keep them at home?”

“These guys are praying for bad weather tomorrow so that all those other people stay home tomorrow,” Paul said.

Nothing to do but wait and see whether the rain will, indeed, affect turnout and whether Paul fans will be undeterred. But, in another sign of the dedication of Ron Paul supporters, the Texas Congressman’s name still dominated Twitter mentions this week, even though the drama surrounding the other candidates made for one of the most memorable weeks of the 2012 primary season so far.

NBC’s Chuck Todd might have summed up Thursday’s events best with this tweet:

“Books about this campaign will have chapters simply titled: ‘January 19th’” …

And yet, through it all, Ron Paul maintained his lead on the@MentionMachine leaderboard this week. We measured tweets from Wednesday at 7 p.m. through Friday at 4 p.m.

The candidates, with the exception of Santorum, saw significant surges in the volume of tweets about them, but perennial top-mention-getter Paul still had more mentions than any of the other candidates.

Paul had a relatively drama-free week compared to his remaining rivals, and recent tracking polls peg him to finish third in the South Carolina primary. But his grasp on the top spot in the @MentionMachine, as in practically every other online poll ever conducted, is firm.

No matter how popular Paul becomes, though, insiders inevitably discount him as a plausible actual nominee. Instead, they speculate about what it is Paul “wants” out of his candidacy, as it couldn’t possibly be the nomination. A new theory from Kimberly Strassel, for example, puts forward the idea that he just wants to amass enough delegates to force his foreign policy views on the rest of the party. If that is the case, then anyone in South Carolina wary of Ron Paul’s out-of-the-GOP-mainstream positions better brave the rain.


Related Posts:

Breaking on Hot Air

Blowback

Note from Hot Air management: This section is for comments from Hot Air's community of registered readers. Please don't assume that Hot Air management agrees with or otherwise endorses any particular comment just because we let it stand. A reminder: Anyone who fails to comply with our terms of use may lose their posting privilege.

Trackbacks/Pings

Trackback URL

Comments

Comment pages: 1 2

I’m not a libertarian but slander is slander and if I accused Romney or Newt of being a pedophile then I would expect to get banned, that’s why I never do that sort of thing.

FloatingRock on January 22, 2012 at 2:52 AM

Defamation is categorized in two different ways, dipsh1t: Slander (transitory statements) and libel (published language, including written statements).

Get it right, or get lost paulnutz.

MTLassen on January 22, 2012 at 2:55 AM

FloatingRock on January 22, 2012 at 2:41 AM

The simple fact is, republicans knows about Ron Paul, and they will not vote for him. They didn’t vote for him last primary, they won’t vote for him this primary. This is the 53rd straight primary loss for him – time to take the hint.

He should have ran in the democrat primary, he’d have a better shot with the Code Pink and pothead vote.

Rebar on January 22, 2012 at 2:57 AM

If that’s true then I think the Republican Party is a lost cause.

FloatingRock on January 22, 2012 at 3:00 AM

If that’s true then I think the Republican Party is a lost cause.

FloatingRock on January 22, 2012 at 3:00 AM

Then get back to 4chan, kiddie.

MTLassen on January 22, 2012 at 3:03 AM

MTLassen on January 22, 2012 at 3:03 AM

My response was intended for Rebar.

FloatingRock on January 22, 2012 at 3:12 AM

Ha ha ha ha ha ha.

No.

You-Eh-Vee on January 22, 2012 at 4:44 AM

I said earlier that I hope some of the Doctor’s domestic policy ideas are given consideration more prominently in the GOP. I think he is like-able enough, and you can see it when he interacts up on the stage. (this pedophile stuff is uncalled for).
I said his isolationism scares me…but there is some bigotry in him I still have not been able to explain away either!

KOOLAID2 on January 22, 2012 at 7:41 AM

If he begins to flesh in the details of what he would do…

FloatingRock on January 22, 2012 at 12:59 AM

But he doesn’t.

He wants to have an “adult conversation” on social welfare. Short on details, but big on conversation.

He wants to cut all these agencies, but no real details about how. I’m all for this btw, but what – if anything – will fill the gap? How will we deal with the vacuum? Will there be a bridge? That kind of stuff.

He simply wants to remove all troops from overseas – everywhere. As you say, no details.

I read another comment which said he’s simply in love with the idea of running. After more than two decades in government he seems to have no idea – or the ability to present his ideas – on what and more importantly how he wants to do anything.

catmman on January 22, 2012 at 8:47 AM

Dispirited Ron Paul supporters should take heart from the fact that the race has just started and it’s divided and the front runners are so very flawed and vulnerable.

FloatingRock on January 22, 2012 at 2:10 AM

The only problem with this is that Herr Doktor himself was calling for everyone else but him and Romney to drop out after NH. Even though he hadn’t won anything – and still hasn’t.

You also presuppose Herr Doktor himself is flawed and extremely vulnerable.

catmman on January 22, 2012 at 8:51 AM

His supporters don’t get it, he is a proverbial loser yet they all think he is going to win. I just cannot understand their mental state other than the stoners, at least I get their support.

D-fusit on January 22, 2012 at 9:19 AM

I think Paul is against Age of Consent laws, NAMBLA is a fan.

/justsaying

jp on January 22, 2012 at 9:28 AM

Interesting. Looks like Paul does better with large turnout and good weather. I guess all those college kids who have never been to a polling place are easily discouraged.

TXGOP on January 22, 2012 at 9:56 AM

Gingrich mopped the floor with RomneyRollover. Bwahahahahahaha

Conservchik on January 22, 2012 at 9:59 AM

Tina – you have humiliated yourself worse that Allahpundit or Maureen Dowd for leaving this post up.

To shamelessly “push poll” a dangerous lunatic like Ron Paul in this way is disgusting and hateful!

Preserve what little dignity you have left and DELETE this fallacious and contumacious post!

Ron Paul got his rear kicked – he doesn’t EXIST!

williamg on January 22, 2012 at 11:51 AM

The war on drugs has done nothing more than imprison Black Americans, White Americans and Hispanic Americans.

Key West Reader on January 21, 2012 at 9:16 PM

Perhaps, if those poor, downtrodden “victims” didn’t buy drugs, use drugs, sell drugs, smuggle drugs — they might not be in prison. Maybe if someone explained this to them, they might not be “victims” of their own stupidity.

Solaratov on January 22, 2012 at 12:10 PM

If that’s true then I think the Republican Party is a lost cause.

FloatingRock on January 22, 2012 at 3:00 AM

Trying to turn the republican party into an anarcho-pacifist party is a lost cause.

Let the GOP be the conservative party, and let the Libertarian party be the libertarian party.

You and the rest of the Ron Paul cult are trying to delegitimize the conservative political agenda by hijacking our party – which not only is philosophically and morally wrong, it pisses us off. More: you’re failing spectacularly at it.

Rebar on January 22, 2012 at 12:42 PM

Was gona coment on this yesterday,. but things came up, so it’s largely pointles now.

Glad Paul lost.

again.

mark81150 on January 22, 2012 at 2:21 PM

A: No.

unclesmrgol on January 22, 2012 at 9:10 PM

Comment pages: 1 2