Final poll heading into the primary confirms a double-digit lead for Gingrich

posted at 4:35 pm on January 21, 2012 by Tina Korbe

Allah reported Public Policy Polling’s remarkable findings last night, and a new survey out this morning seconds the notion that Newt Gingrich could win South Carolina decisively.

According to an American Research Group survey released Saturday morning, 40% of people likely to vote in South Carolina’s GOP contest say they are backing the former House speaker, with 26% supporting former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney, 18% backing Rep. Ron Paul of Texas and 13% supporting former Sen. Rick Santorum of Pennsylvania. …

The survey indicates that Gingrich grabs about half the vote among self-described tea party movement supporters, far ahead of the rest of the field. Among those who say they are not tea party supporters, Gingrich is at 33%, Romney 31%, Paul 22% and Santorum 11%.

Gingrich leads Romney among men 38% to 25%, followed by Paul with 21% and Santorum at 13%. Among women, Gingrich leads Romney 42% to 26%, followed by Paul with 16%, and Santorum with 13%. That number may be surprising, following the broadcast Thursday night of an allegation from Gingrich’s ex-wife, Marianne, that the former House speaker offered her a choice of an open marriage or divorce when he revealed to her he was having an affair with the woman he later made his third wife.

Gingrich said the claim by his second wife was false, but the story made major headlines, and an angry Gingrich chastised CNN for starting off Thursday night’s debate with a question about his ex-wife’s allegations. Gingrich’s response elicited a standing ovation from the audience.

Gingrich also leads among self-identified Republicans, although Ron Paul and Mitt Romney both best him among independents and Democrats.

This particular poll was conducted Thursday and Friday — half before and half after the debate in which Newt Gingrich caustically verbally accosted moderator John King for opening with a question about Marianne Gingrich’s accusations against him. A poll conducted by the same firm Tuesday and Wednesday showed Gingrich and Romney neck-and-neck. That suggests that Gingrich might actually have received a boost from his ex-wife’s allegations and his handling of them. Some pundits predicted this — most notably Sarah Palin, who claimed the media overplayed its hand against Newt by marketing Marianne Gingrich’s revelations to the masses. Frustration at the MSM for the timing and handling of The Ex-Wife Interview is understandable — but should that automatically have translated into support for Gingrich? I still argue no, especially given that his debate performance Thursday was not particularly impressive notwithstanding his fiery fury at CNN for asking about the hottest news of the day.

Ed reminds me that, in 2008, American Research Group predicted that Mike Huckabee would win South Carolina, which turned out to be not true, so perhaps this poll should be taken with a grain of salt. At this point, any poll purporting to predict South Carolina shouldn’t be taken too seriously. So much has happened this week alone that it’s surely difficult for any poll to pick up all the movement that must be occurring in the state as a result. As AP summarized yesterday, Newt Gingrich will probably win South Carolina, but anything could happen so expect the unexpected.

For those of you who, like me, have felt nearly as many reservations about Newt Gingrich as about Mitt Romney, this piece by Mark Steyn might help. Oh, it’ll confirm your reservations — but it’ll also awaken a sliver of hope that, should he be the nominee, he could maybe — just maybe — beat Obama. Steyn wrote the piece before the Iowa caucuses, but it still seems to accurately capture Gingrich. As has been often repeated, all of our candidates are flawed — but any would be better than Obama.


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I have a feeling Santorum is going to endorse Romney at this rate.

The Party of Family Values is dead.

haner on January 21, 2012 at 4:38 PM

Or not…

NickDeringer on January 21, 2012 at 4:38 PM

18% for Ron Paul??? In South Carolina? That is phenomenal considering he barely campaigned in the state and was NEVER supposed to be competitive.

thphilli on January 21, 2012 at 4:39 PM

The scum also rises.

It doesn’t hurt that Romney is a liver fluke, and thus heavier and more apt to sink to the bottom.

ebrown2 on January 21, 2012 at 4:39 PM

The Party of Family Values is dead.

haner on January 21, 2012 at 4:38 PM

God Save the Closeted Queens.

Punchenko on January 21, 2012 at 4:40 PM

Hey Tina, Nice to see a more balanced post about Newt. Your “Newt is Ambitiously, Ambitious, Ambitiosity!!” post from a day ago let your mask drop a little to far.

portlandon on January 21, 2012 at 4:41 PM

One kicker in the mix today is that it has been raining heavily all day in SC which could skew the turnout.

CommentGuy on January 21, 2012 at 4:41 PM

The Party of Family Values is dead.

haner on January 21, 2012 at 4:38 PM

Nope. Just the party of Northeastern Elitism.

kingsjester on January 21, 2012 at 4:42 PM

We had a he!! of a storm roll thru last night, 2 1/2 ” in the gauge. I can hit SC with a stone from my porch. Not sure if it will have an effect on turnout, just thought I’d point it out.

Bmore on January 21, 2012 at 4:43 PM

One kicker in the mix today is that it has been raining heavily all day in SC which could skew the turnout.

CommentGuy on January 21, 2012 at 4:41 PM

You know who that benefits . . . . .

This guy!

thphilli on January 21, 2012 at 4:43 PM

Seems to me the establishment will be coming out guns blazing after this Newt win.

They will not be happy with Newt and Sarah interfering with the coronation

social-justice on January 21, 2012 at 4:43 PM

Hang in there Newt…!

By the way…

… can we have a drinking game for this evening’s poll results?

(sometimes i just look for an excuse)

/

Seven Percent Solution on January 21, 2012 at 4:44 PM

Regional radar

http://radar.weather.gov/Conus/southeast.php

CommentGuy on January 21, 2012 at 4:44 PM

Newt is pulling a Clinton. Act a fool and sleep around and still have women clawing each other over you. What is it ladies? Is it the hair? Both Clinton and Newt were prematurely gray.

andy85719 on January 21, 2012 at 4:44 PM

Seems to me the establishment will be coming out guns blazing after this Newt win.

They will not be happy with Newt and Sarah interfering with the coronation

social-justice on January 21, 2012 at 4:43 PM

GOP Elites:

2010: “Sarah, don’t run! Be a cheerleader for the Conservative wing of the party!”

2012: “Sarah, shut up! Stop being a cheerleader for the Conservative wing of the party!”

portlandon on January 21, 2012 at 4:46 PM

You know who that benefits . . . . .

This guy!

thphilli on January 21, 2012 at 4:43 PM

Actually I would suggest it may help Mitt more since it will give more weight to absentee ballots which were marked before the peak of the Newt surge.

CommentGuy on January 21, 2012 at 4:47 PM

I mean 42 percent of woman choosing the naughty boy and only 26 percent choosing the straight-shooter.

andy85719 on January 21, 2012 at 4:47 PM

Perhaps Newt Gingrich will be President of the United States.

DarkCurrent on January 21, 2012 at 4:47 PM

Newt is pulling a Clinton. Act a fool and sleep around and still have women clawing each other over you. What is it ladies? Is it the hair? Both Clinton and Newt were prematurely gray.

andy85719 on January 21, 2012 at 4:44 PM

ICK just ICK

gophergirl on January 21, 2012 at 4:47 PM

Nope. Just the party of Northeastern Elitism.

kingsjester on January 21, 2012 at 4:42 PM

Good luck winning national elections with just the South. This is a surefire way for placing third in the future.

Like it or not, there are more absolute numbers of conservatives in the northern states than in the South.

haner on January 21, 2012 at 4:48 PM

Gingrich also leads among self-identified Republicans

If the FDR worshipping, global warming believing, individual mandate advocating, amnesty loving freddie mac employee is nominated by the Republicans, it will be time for a new opposition party. That new opposition party will need to vanquish the GOP before it even bothers to try taking on the Democrats.

Buddahpundit on January 21, 2012 at 4:49 PM

Obama ran on a post-racial America and bringing people together. That lasted until the the beer summit when he revealed his true feelings. Gingrich can think fast enough on his feet to intellectually challenge the despicable, stereotypic accusations of the left, either by challenging the premise or substance of the attack. Obama taught Americans there is no middle when it comes to Democrats, and Gingrich will resonate.

Nexialist on January 21, 2012 at 4:49 PM

Some pundits predicted this — most notably Sarah Palin

More importantly, Sarah said she’d vote for him. That made all the difference.

Paul-Cincy on January 21, 2012 at 4:50 PM

GOP Elites:

2010: “Sarah, don’t run! Be a cheerleader for the Conservative wing of the party!”

2012: “Sarah, shut up! Stop being a cheerleader for the Conservative wing of the party!”

portlandon on January 21, 2012 at 4:46 PM

You nailed it. Very good.

SparkPlug on January 21, 2012 at 4:50 PM

It’s South Carolina for gawds sakes…Newt’s a neighbor!
Instead of ‘taking one!’…he bent over a journalista!…He did not have more than 2 days to screw that attribute up!

KOOLAID2 on January 21, 2012 at 4:50 PM

Perhaps Newt Gingrich will be President of the United States.

DarkCurrent on January 21, 2012 at 4:47 PM

Perhaps, but perhaps he won’t. SC is a picnic compared to the struggle to gain Fl and not being on the VA ballot.

Slainte on January 21, 2012 at 4:50 PM

haner on January 21, 2012 at 4:48 PM

Really? That’s why the Northeastern Corridor looks so Red and humongous compared to the Heartland.///

kingsjester on January 21, 2012 at 4:51 PM

GOP Elites:

2010: “Sarah, don’t run! Be a cheerleader for the Conservative wing of the party!”

2012: “Sarah, shut up! Stop being a cheerleader for the Conservative wing of the party!”

portlandon on January 21, 2012 at 4:46 PM

She quit on her own accord as governor of Alaska to become a television personality.

Reality has a way of trumping idol worship.

haner on January 21, 2012 at 4:51 PM

Newt will win it all… Amen and Amen

Shain1611 on January 21, 2012 at 4:51 PM

So Santorum won Iowa, Romney wins New Hampshire and Gingrich wins South Carolina. How is Romney “inevitable?” Exactly? Winning just New Hampshire isn’t really all that spectacular. Ron Paul is about to *clean up* in caucus states on Super Tuesday. This ish is going till April.

libfreeordie on January 21, 2012 at 4:51 PM

Is Newt running on a pro-adultery platform?

To listen to his harshest critics, that’s the case.

Dr. Tesla on January 21, 2012 at 4:51 PM

If the FDR worshipping, global warming believing, individual mandate advocating, amnesty loving freddie mac employee is nominated by the Republicans, it will be time for a new opposition party. That new opposition party will need to vanquish the GOP before it even bothers to try taking on the Democrats.

Buddahpundit on January 21, 2012 at 4:49 PM

No one is saying NEwt i perfect. He has his flaws.

Romney has no core. He has flipped on every major defining issue in American politics

We will not be going with the elites this time. They told us Mccain was electable and he lost big!

social-justice on January 21, 2012 at 4:52 PM

SC spoiled the elitist coronation. Shows how much Haley’s endorsement meant. Probaly hurt more than helped. It dissed tpartiers off so much, it lit a flame under them to vote ABR. Hey, Nikki, don’t ever get near the word conservative again.

they lie on January 21, 2012 at 4:53 PM

Gingrich also leads among self-identified Republicans, although Ron Paul and Mitt Romney both best him among independents and Democrats.

I thought this was interesting. My understanding is that S.C. is an open Primary. If so, then with the Dems having an agenda, along with the Establishment Republicans, we may not get a Republican result. I’m not familiar with S.C. Voting Registration rules, so perhaps that’s not an issue. However, it has been before, with cross voting.

bluefox on January 21, 2012 at 4:53 PM

One of Romney’s 18 houses is in NH. I think it’s considered his home state if not the one in California.

He doesn’t even have a house in Mass, he messed up that state with RomneyCare and departed after 1 term.

Dr. Tesla on January 21, 2012 at 4:53 PM

Perhaps Newt Gingrich will be President of the United States.

DarkCurrent on January 21, 2012 at 4:47 PM

Perhaps I will be…. I probably have just as good a chance…

sandee on January 21, 2012 at 4:53 PM

For those of you who, like me, have felt nearly as many reservations about Newt Gingrich as about Mitt Romney…

Thats bull. You’ve taken every opportunity to throw cold water on Newt while while at the same time conveniently ignoring Romney. when we start seeing these “reservation” posts, I’ll retreact. Until then…

eva3071 on January 21, 2012 at 4:53 PM

Ron Paul will get most of the Democrats voting in the primary in SC.

Dr. Tesla on January 21, 2012 at 4:53 PM

In the land of Cain and Perry, the polysyllabic man is king.

Styne is one vicious man… Funny as hell.

astonerii on January 21, 2012 at 4:54 PM

I can see Haley being primaried when she’s up for re-election. She didn’t beat the Democratic challenger by much last time.

Dr. Tesla on January 21, 2012 at 4:54 PM

Really? That’s why the Northeastern Corridor looks so Red and humongous compared to the Heartland.///

kingsjester on January 21, 2012 at 4:51 PM

Math is not your strong suit, is it?

This is what I wrote: “there are more absolute numbers of conservatives in the northern states than in the South.”

haner on January 21, 2012 at 4:55 PM

Some pundits predicted this — most notably Sarah Palin

More importantly, Sarah said she’d vote for him. That made all the difference.

Paul-Cincy on January 21, 2012 at 4:50 PM

Bu…but…butt! She’s a quitter!…She has no relavance!

KOOLAID2 on January 21, 2012 at 4:55 PM

I have a feeling Santorum is going to endorse Romney at this rate.

The Party of Family Values is dead.

haner on January 21, 2012 at 4:38 PM

I agree. Don’t think he cares for Newt much:-)

bluefox on January 21, 2012 at 4:55 PM

Actually, come to think of it, Newt and Clinton are really similar. Both from southern states, both with a long history of sexual impropriety, both considered good speakers, both make a large portion of their living from speaking fees. Hopefully, if Newt is the nominee, he will share with Clinton the distinction of beating an incumbent.

andy85719 on January 21, 2012 at 4:55 PM

Is Newt running on a pro-adultery platform?

To listen to his harshest critics, that’s the case.

Dr. Tesla on January 21, 2012 at 4:51 PM

Washington elites are very upset. Sarah Palin ruined their plans. The coronation of Willard was going to be planned right after SC.
Romney is not a conservative, not a Christian and very much out of touch with average Americans

social-justice on January 21, 2012 at 4:55 PM

heard that Romney can hear the Mama Grizzly roar from all 15 of his front porches!

Sarah Palin on Judge Jeannie tonight as well as many others…

Green eyed Lady on January 21, 2012 at 4:55 PM

Santorum needs to drop out.

ModerateMan on January 21, 2012 at 4:55 PM

Newt is natural gas.

Romney is standard oil.

APACHEWHOKNOWS on January 21, 2012 at 4:56 PM

She quit on her own accord as governor of Alaska to become a television personality.

Reality has a way of trumping idol worship.

haner on January 21, 2012 at 4:51 PM

Rent free! LOL

idesign on January 21, 2012 at 4:57 PM

Savor SC newtnuts – his turn in the barrel starting tomorrow- mittens didn’t do so bad considering it’s been a 3-4 against 1 gang rape – And YES- Oliar would by the candidate of “Family Values” if Brutus newtus does win the nom- truly bizarro world!

FlaMurph on January 21, 2012 at 4:57 PM

No one is saying NEwt i perfect. He has his flaws.

social-justice on January 21, 2012 at 4:52 PM

The problem is that he doesn’t have any good traits.

Buddahpundit on January 21, 2012 at 4:57 PM

Romney is not a conservative, not a Christian and very much out of touch with average Americans

I don’t care about his religion but I get tired of hearing only he can beat the weak Obama. I think Santy and Newtie Poo both can beat Obama. It doesn’t have to be Romney despite what the Romney alarmists tell us.

Dr. Tesla on January 21, 2012 at 4:57 PM

I voted for Newt today.Now as for Romney.I think he is a very nice honest likable man a great business man who in normal times would make for a safe president who would do no harm to the country. But we all know these are not normal times.Do any of you really believe that Romney would go after Obama in a campaign?I don,t.I think it would McCain on steroids.It,s just not in Romney’s DNA to be a down and dirty street fighter.If Newt is the nominee he might loose but i think he would never stop fighting.I believe we have to go with Newt unless someone else jumps in.Who i don,t know.

logman1 on January 21, 2012 at 4:57 PM

She quit on her own accord as governor of Alaska to become a television personality.

Reality has a way of trumping idol worship.

haner on January 21, 2012 at 4:51 PM

You love to speak in untruths, don’t you?

Political operatives descended on Alaska last August, digging for dirt. The ethics law I championed became their weapon of choice. Over the past nine months I’ve been accused of all sorts of frivolous ethics violations – such as holding a fish in a photograph, wearing a jacket with a logo on it, and answering reporters’ questions.

Every one – all 15 of the ethics complaints have been dismissed. We’ve won! But it hasn’t been cheap – the State has wasted THOUSANDS of hours of YOUR time and shelled out some two million of YOUR dollars to respond to “opposition research” – that’s money NOT going to fund teachers or troopers – or safer roads. And this political absurdity, the “politics of personal destruction” … Todd and I are looking at more than half a million dollars in legal bills in order to set the record straight. And what about the people who offer up these silly accusations? It doesn’t cost them a dime so they’re not going to stop draining public resources – spending other peoples’ money in their game.

kingsjester on January 21, 2012 at 4:58 PM

She quit on her own accord as governor of Alaska to become a television personality.

Reality has a way of trumping idol worship.

haner on January 21, 2012 at 4:51 PM

You’re a f’ucking idiot if you think that.

haner on January 20, 2012 at 6:45 PM

I let you respond to yourself.

portlandon on January 21, 2012 at 4:58 PM

We are not voting for a Pope although if one knows anything about Church History, Newts’ a saint compared to some of the those Popes.

Shain1611 on January 21, 2012 at 4:58 PM

Final poll heading into the primary confirms a double-digit lead for Gingrich

…because even conservatives can be stupid.

itsnotaboutme on January 21, 2012 at 4:58 PM

Santorum needs to drop out.

ModerateMan on January 21, 2012 at 4:55 PM

Why, he’s won 1 of the first 3 primaries.

If anybody needs to go, it’s Ron Paul.

Dr. Tesla on January 21, 2012 at 4:58 PM

It’s amazing how liberal Republicans still campaign against Palin and she’s not running. Get a grip.

Dr. Tesla on January 21, 2012 at 4:59 PM

We are not voting for a Pope although if one knows anything about Church History, Newts’ a saint compared to some of the those Popes.

Shain1611 on January 21, 2012 at 4:58 PM

The American people would not have elected those popes.
The American people will not elect Gingrich.

itsnotaboutme on January 21, 2012 at 4:59 PM

Palin giveth & Palin taketh away. h/t @TheTonyLee MT @TheFix: Does Nikki Haley’s star shine less brightly if Romney goes down tonight?
https://twitter.com/#!/DosMasC

Green eyed Lady on January 21, 2012 at 5:00 PM

If Obama can win, why can’t Newt? Newt’s done more. Obama is aloof and not likeable.

Dr. Tesla on January 21, 2012 at 5:01 PM

More importantly, Sarah said she’d vote for him. That made all the difference.

Paul-Cincy on January 21, 2012 at 4:50 PM

True, but don’t forget Todd endorsed him first. He’s very respected also and I think that was a surprise. It was for me; I never saw that coming:-)

P.S. A lot of Dems like Sarah

bluefox on January 21, 2012 at 5:01 PM

If the FDR worshipping, global warming believing, individual mandate advocating, amnesty loving freddie mac employee is nominated by the Republicans, it will be time for a new opposition party. That new opposition party will need to vanquish the GOP before it even bothers to try taking on the Democrats.

Buddahpundit on January 21, 2012 at 4:49 PM

Don’t forget moral hypocrite either.

Newt Gingrich, the adulterous Freddie Mac Historian, torchbearer of the Moral Majority and Tea Party.

haner on January 21, 2012 at 5:01 PM

Palin giveth & Palin taketh away. h/t @TheTonyLee MT @TheFix: Does Nikki Haley’s star shine less brightly if Romney goes down tonight?
https://twitter.com/#!/DosMasC

Green eyed Lady on January 21, 2012 at 5:00 PM

I love it!!! LOL

idesign on January 21, 2012 at 5:02 PM

Only thing that worries me is these Ron Paul people.

Legal dope
Leave the oil in the ground in the middle east.
Audit the Federal Reserve,, with auditors who spent their whole lives woring for bankers.???
Writes base crude raceist crap to make lots of money and claims he knows nothing about the stuff.
on and on

APACHEWHOKNOWS on January 21, 2012 at 5:02 PM

Obama’s going to lose in a landslide. I can already see the articles blaming it on white racism.

Dr. Tesla on January 21, 2012 at 5:02 PM

Seems to me the establishment will be coming out guns blazing after this Newt win.

social-justice on January 21, 2012 at 4:43 PM

Duh!

Newt is the establishment.

He’s a serial liar, a serial cheater, a serial flip-flopper, & an illegal lobbyist.

He only got into the race to sell books. He didn’t think the GOP voters would be stupid enough to pick him to face Obama.

itsnotaboutme on January 21, 2012 at 5:03 PM

I can see Haley being primaried when she’s up for re-election. She didn’t beat the Democratic challenger by much last time.

Dr. Tesla on January 21, 2012 at 4:54 PM

She did pretty well for a female who also happens to be a member of a minority group. I mean, her state is one where a state legislator can call her a dirty slur and still remain in office.

McDuck on January 21, 2012 at 5:04 PM

Obama would have to be an amazing politician to win despite the horrible economy.

He’s not an amazing politician. Everybody knows this now.

Dr. Tesla on January 21, 2012 at 5:04 PM

I let you respond to yourself.

portlandon on January 21, 2012 at 4:58 PM

Nice technique, mind if I borrow that once in a while?

Bmore on January 21, 2012 at 5:05 PM

logman1

We stand together with Newt now or fall in little groups cut off from resources and freedom.

Fight now.

APACHEWHOKNOWS on January 21, 2012 at 5:05 PM

Paul Ryan just wishes for someone to please take newters knife out of his back- that would be the conservative thing to do.

FlaMurph on January 21, 2012 at 5:05 PM

Math is not your strong suit, is it?

This is what I wrote: “there are more absolute numbers of conservatives in the northern states than in the South.”

haner on January 21, 2012 at 4:55 PM

Telling the truth isn’t yours, is it?

America’s voting patterns are split by region, with the Midwest and Northeast predominantly voting for liberal candidates, and the West (with the exception of the coast) and South voting for more conservative candidates. These results confirm the preconceived notions that many have about the conservative nature of the South and liberal nature of the Northeast, but also surprisingly found conservative trends in the West and liberal leanings in the Midwest that defy traditional stereotypes about these areas of the country.

kingsjester on January 21, 2012 at 5:05 PM

Newt Gingrich, the adulterous Freddie Mac Historian, torchbearer of the Moral Majority and Tea Party.

haner on January 21, 2012 at 5:01 PM

Mitt Romney, the son from a polygamist bloodline, RomneyCare Mandated Healthcare Torch Bearer, & hider of money overseas.

See how fun with words can work against you?

portlandon on January 21, 2012 at 5:05 PM

Nikki Haley is done. She has really brought shame to the Great state of South Carolina

social-justice on January 21, 2012 at 5:05 PM

Nice technique, mind if I borrow that once in a while?

Bmore on January 21, 2012 at 5:05 PM

Absolutely. =)

portlandon on January 21, 2012 at 5:06 PM

She did pretty well for a female who also happens to be a member of a minority group. I mean, her state is one where a state legislator can call her a dirty slur and still remain in office.

McDuck on January 21, 2012 at 5:04 PM

I didn’t know you lose your job if you call somebody a dirty word as a politician. We do have freedom of speech, you know.

Haley played up SOuth Carolina has being a Club for Men Only but she won, so there was never much to her argument in that regard.

Dr. Tesla on January 21, 2012 at 5:06 PM

Haner and Horace and buy danish stuff aren’t having a very good day week.

cozmo on January 21, 2012 at 5:07 PM

Like it or not, there are more absolute numbers of conservatives in the northern states than in the South.

haner on January 21, 2012 at 4:48 PM

You keep repeating this puzzling statement on a number of threads. Don’t take this the wrong way but have you seen an election map the last few rounds??

saus on January 21, 2012 at 5:07 PM

Oh yippee, SC votes for a guy because he yelled back at the media. Just what we need..a Maury Povich candidate. All that’s missing are some thrown chairs.

bluealice on January 21, 2012 at 5:07 PM

I am taking so much delight in witnessing the mitler youth meltdown.

tom daschle concerned on January 21, 2012 at 5:07 PM

Absolutely. =)

portlandon on January 21, 2012 at 5:06 PM

Thanks, new I could count on ya!

Bmore on January 21, 2012 at 5:08 PM

Paul Ryan just wishes for someone to please take newters knife out of his back- that would be the conservative thing to do.

FlaMurph on January 21, 2012 at 5:05 PM

Paul Ryan needs to take the knife he stuck in conservatives back out, as he votes for liberal legislation consistently, including TARP and the auto bailout.

The days of you guys pretending Paul Ryan is a conservative are over.

Dr. Tesla on January 21, 2012 at 5:08 PM

I feel reluctant to go the grain here, because there seems to be such cheering on the hero type groundswell of support for Newt. But step back and look at it objectively: look at Newt’s blowhard response to the CNN question about his ex-wife. Whether true or false, the matter was serious, and, in respect for women, it called not for dismissive hollering, but for a quiet reasoned rebuttal. That this blustering response caused such a surge in the polls is troubling — the come down is coming, count on it.
Remember: rcp polling avgs vs O, Romney -2, Newt -11. Fox poll on popularity: Romney +7, Newt minus -29. And it’s down from there. O can muster so much mud with a billion$, and adultery, ethics violations, House leadership debacles, insider lobbying, more.

anotherJoe on January 21, 2012 at 5:08 PM

I mean 42 percent of woman choosing the naughty boy and only 26 percent choosing the straight-shooter.

andy85719 on January 21, 2012 at 4:47 PM

Straight-shooter?
Mitt vs Mitt

tonotisto on January 21, 2012 at 5:09 PM

Oh yippee, SC votes for a guy because he yelled back at the media. Just what we need..a Maury Povich candidate. All that’s missing are some thrown chairs.

bluealice on January 21, 2012 at 5:07 PM

Do you really think it’s that simplistic? I love how pundits make everything so black and white.

Dr. Tesla on January 21, 2012 at 5:09 PM

cozmo on January 21, 2012 at 5:07 PM

cozmo, what did my buddy Horace do now ?

Bmore on January 21, 2012 at 5:09 PM

SC spoiled the elitist coronation. Shows how much Haley’s endorsement meant. Probaly hurt more than helped. It dissed tpartiers off so much, it lit a flame under them to vote ABR. Hey, Nikki, don’t ever get near the word conservative again.

they lie on January 21, 2012 at 4:53 PM

You know the TP was not pleased. It’s all about walking the talk.
Sarah Palin, TP members and Redstate supported Haley, so I’m sure they are all disappointed.

bluefox on January 21, 2012 at 5:09 PM

Palin giveth & Palin taketh away. h/t @TheTonyLee MT @TheFix: Does Nikki Haley’s star shine less brightly if Romney goes down tonight?
https://twitter.com/#!/DosMasC

Green eyed Lady on January 21, 2012 at 5:00 PM

Not at all. Romney was wayyyy behind Gingrich when Haley endorsed Mitt. After her endorsement, he was up in several polls by a comfortable margin. Romney fumbled the tax returns question at the debate and it hurt his standing in the polls. Does Rick Perry getting 0 delegates hurt all the Republicans that endorsed him? I doubt it.

GOPRanknFile on January 21, 2012 at 5:09 PM

Expect to hear that Romney didn’t win SC b/c SC people hate Mormons. That’s going to be the excuse.

Dr. Tesla on January 21, 2012 at 5:09 PM

fat lady hasn’t sung yet….this state perplexes me…

cmsinaz on January 21, 2012 at 5:10 PM

mitler youth meltdown.

tom daschle concerned on January 21, 2012 at 5:07 PM

And I’ve been told all week long that the Mitt supporters were the trash talkers.

bluealice on January 21, 2012 at 5:11 PM

I’d vote for Satan himself if it meant driving a stake through the GOP establishment.

F*** the GOP Establishment!

Go Newt!

HondaV65 on January 21, 2012 at 5:11 PM

Bmore on January 21, 2012 at 5:09 PM

Who knows, it is so hard to tell the Romny fluffin’ hatin’ nutballs apart. Especially haner and horace. One could be the others sock puppet. or they could both be buy danish stuff’s sock puppet.

cozmo on January 21, 2012 at 5:12 PM

Seven Percent Solution on January 21, 2012 at 4:44 PM

with ya buddy :)
how about ex wife and tax returns

it’s 5:00

*clink*

cmsinaz on January 21, 2012 at 5:12 PM

GOP Elites:

2010: “Sarah, don’t run! Be a cheerleader for the Conservative wing of the party!”

2012: “Sarah, shut up! Stop being a cheerleader for the Conservative wing of the party!”

portlandon on January 21, 2012 at 4:46 PM

+100

KirknBurker on January 21, 2012 at 5:12 PM

I’m hoping Mitt comes in 4th in SC, like he did in 2008.

National Review is going to throw a temper tantrum.

Dr. Tesla on January 21, 2012 at 5:13 PM

Ed reminds me that, in 2008, American Research Group predicted that Mike Huckabee would win South Carolina, which turned out to be not true, so perhaps this poll should be taken with a grain of salt.

In 2000 the day before the New Hampshire primary ARG had Bush winning by 2% but when the dust settled McCain was the winner by an 18% margin. WTF? lol

cicerone on January 21, 2012 at 5:13 PM

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