Rasmussen: Romney tops Obama, 45/39; Update: Party affiliation ratio in sample added

posted at 12:15 pm on December 29, 2011 by Ed Morrissey

Two polls released today show Barack Obama in serious trouble for re-election.  Rasmussen has polled Obama head-to-head against various Republican candidates most of the year, and in today’s matchup against Mitt Romney, Obama falls behind among likely voters to the widest margin yet:

Mitt Romney has now jumped to his biggest lead ever over President Obama in a hypothetical Election 2012 matchup. It’s also the biggest lead a named Republican candidate has held over the incumbent in Rasmussen Reports surveying to date.The latest national telephone survey finds that 45% of Likely U.S. Voters favor the former Massachusetts governor, while 39% prefer the president. Ten percent (10%) like some other candidate in the race, and six percent (6%) are undecided.

A week ago, Romney trailed Obama 44% to 41%.  The week before that, he held a slight 43% to 42% edge over the president. The two candidates have been essentially tied in regular surveys since January, but Romney remains the only GOP hopeful to lead Obama in more than one survey. Despite Romney’s current six-point lead, his latest level of support is in line with the 38% to 45% he has earned in matchups with the president this year. However, Obama’s 39% is a new low: Prior to this survey, his support has ranged from 40% to 46% in matchups with Romney.

It’s Obama’s number that is more significant in these early head-to-head matchups.  Republicans are still vigorously contesting a primary, which means Republicans haven’t united behind a candidate in the way Democrats are already lined up behind Obama.  These head to head matchups will only truly be on an equal basis after the nomination has been wrapped up by someone, whether that’s Romney or another Republican candidate.  An incumbent who can’t break 40% in a poll, especially at this stage of the race, is an incumbent in deep, deep trouble.

The internals of this poll show how.  Obama is losing independents 45/29, while party loyalty on both sides is pretty stable; Romney gets 79/8 among Republicans, while Obama gets 80/11 among Democrats.  Obama carries the under-$20K demographic and the two demographics above $75K, but only within the margin of error, while Romney wins the three middle-class income demos, two by double digits.  But the big eye-opener is Romney’s six-point lead among women [see update II], which would be the kiss of death indeed in a general election for any Democrat, Obama included.

Why does Romney score so well against Obama now?  A new Gallup poll might explain the shift:

Americans perceive Jon Huntsman, Mitt Romney, and Ron Paul as closest to themselves ideologically, and Michele Bachmann and Barack Obama as furthest away.

USA Today/Gallup poll asked Americans to rate their own ideology — and the ideology of the eight major presidential candidates — on a 5-point scale with 1 being very liberal and 5 being very conservative. Americans’ mean score on this scale is 3.3, meaning the average American is slightly to the right of center ideologically. Huntsman’s score matches that at 3.3, but that mean rating excludes the 45% of Americans who did not have an opinion of Huntsman. Of the better known candidates, Romney’s and Paul’s 3.5 scores are closest to the average American’s ideology.

I’m a little skeptical of a poll that puts Ron Paul in the mainstream of American politics, but that’s what Gallup finds — at least for now, while Paul gets a late vetting in the primaries.  The median ideology rating for Americans is a 3.3 on their scale, and Obama scores a 2.3, which is actually further to the Left than Michele Bachmann is to the Right at 4.0.

Here’s more context in how that benefits Romney:

Overall, 42% of Americans in the Dec. 15-18 poll describe themselves as very conservative or conservative, 19% as very liberal or liberal, and 37% as moderate. Those figures are in line with what Gallup has measured in recent years for ideological self-identification.

It’s safe to say that the conservative 42% of the electorate won’t be casting votes for Barack Obama in his re-election bid, and Romney has a closer affinity to the 37% in the middle than Obama does.  That leaves Obama with the liberal 19% and a reduced draw on the moderates, which split 44/40 in the Rasmussen poll for Obama, not nearly enough for him to prevail.

Update: Andrew Malcolm has more thoughts about the Gallup results.

Update II: I misread the columns in the internals.  Romney trails by six points among women, 40/46, not leads among them.  My apologies.

Update III: Rasmussen informs me that the D/R/I in this sample is 33/34/33, which is very close to the 35/35/29 from the midterms.  If anything, it might oversample independents just a bit, but otherwise looks pretty solid.


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Good news!

Rational Thought on December 29, 2011 at 12:17 PM

awesome… I’d like to see this poll at the end of October 2012 however.

gatorboy on December 29, 2011 at 12:17 PM

I’ don’t know, there have been negative attacks in the media on him, but they seem more like trial balloons by the MSM. Will these numbers hold up when he gets the Palin treatment?

rob verdi on December 29, 2011 at 12:18 PM

Bad news for El Presidente Downgrade!

Chip on December 29, 2011 at 12:18 PM

Uh-oh? ABR heads ready to explode!

PatMac on December 29, 2011 at 12:18 PM

its nice to see the man who got his groove back at 39%

rob verdi on December 29, 2011 at 12:18 PM

But the big eye-opener is Romney’s six-point lead among women, which would be the kiss of death indeed in a general election for any Democrat, Obama included.

Wait till Mittens flip-flop-flips again and comes out as a pro-lifer. That number will flop-flip with it.

BobMbx on December 29, 2011 at 12:19 PM

In another, rather unscientific poll:

Potted Plant vs Obama: 48/32.

Harbingeing on December 29, 2011 at 12:19 PM

I’ don’t know, there have been negative attacks in the media on him, but they seem more like trial balloons by the MSM. Will these numbers hold up when he gets the Palin treatment?

rob verdi on December 29, 2011 at 12:18 PM

Certain candidates are far more vulnerable to the “Palin treatment” than others. Just throwin’ that out there.

KingGold on December 29, 2011 at 12:20 PM

Just as Romney planned.

Americans can choose between Obama and Obama-Lite.

People are stupid!

Sparky5253 on December 29, 2011 at 12:20 PM

Do okay in Iowa, big in New Hampshire, then wave it all the way to the nomination. Sorry Newt, maybe next time.

DanStark on December 29, 2011 at 12:20 PM

So, is this just the pollsters trying to get everybody to support Romney, proving the establishment premise that he is the most electable?

What were the internals on the poll regarding D/R/I split?

AZfederalist on December 29, 2011 at 12:20 PM

Rasmussen is a fairly credible polling outfit that uses good methods and good inclusion factors in doing its polling. “Likely voters” is one of the best “predictive” factors in polling, although with eleven months to go this is still a long way out.

Gallup? A friend of mine worked for Gallup in Omaha. She thought they stunk. I agree.

If Gallup polled me and I answered “Yes” to a question and they released a poll saying one person in Nebraska had said “Yes” I would still want verification and a look at their polling methods before accepting the results.

Good stretch of roadway this first week of the actual Christmas season for the Godfather of ObamaCare. Looking like he could very well be the next “The One.” Doesn’t enhance my Christmas cheer, however.

Horace on December 29, 2011 at 12:21 PM

Rasmussen: Romney tops Obama, 45/39

Big whoop. Incitatus tops Obama, too.

ThePrimordialOrderedPair on December 29, 2011 at 12:22 PM

Maybe it’s stuff like this that has the Obama machine firing its guns at Mitt instead of… say… Rick Santorum.

Red Cloud on December 29, 2011 at 12:22 PM

Will these numbers hold up when he gets the Palin treatment?

rob verdi on December 29, 2011 at 12:18 PM

If Romney can withstand getting Palin-ized by the left, I’ll support him to the exclusion of all others. ‘Cept Sarah.

Palin weathered the abuse pretty well, and still commands legions across the country. Best of all, the left are still horrified at her staying power and message.

BobMbx on December 29, 2011 at 12:22 PM

MITTMENTUM!!

Awesome job Mitt, keep on Obama and keep the vision for a new American century alive!

Ruiner on December 29, 2011 at 12:23 PM

Potted Plant vs Obama: 48/32.

Harbingeing on December 29, 2011 at 12:19 PM

Wow, the plant does significantly better than Bachmann, Perry, Gingrich and Santorum.

IR-MN on December 29, 2011 at 12:23 PM

I think the reason Paul shows well is that he always appears to be p*ssed off – as most of us are! That said, looks like Romney will remain as the GOP front runner. Need to find a clothespin with padding/filter come November 2012

Bob in VA on December 29, 2011 at 12:24 PM

Walking onion wearing a little flannel shirt should be able to top PBHO.

Bishop on December 29, 2011 at 12:24 PM

I find it very convienient that a week before the Iowa caucaus, Mitt hits the jackpot of good news.

It’s almost like the fix is in. Naaaaaaa

WisRich on December 29, 2011 at 12:24 PM

Americans can choose between Obama and Obama-Lite.

People are stupid!

Sparky5253 on December 29, 2011 at 12:20

Reagan aint running this time bro. Get over it.

VegasRick on December 29, 2011 at 12:25 PM

Can anybody fill me in on the evidence that Santorum is surging? It was reported on FoxNews.com and Mark Stein but is it just the single CNN poll? Before that poll there was another poll that showed Bachmann closing in on Newt then all of a sudden Santorum was surging.

And I don’t remember Fox News ever reporting that Bachmann was surging when she was in 4th on the prior poll. Did they overlook her?

FloatingRock on December 29, 2011 at 12:25 PM

AB0…

OmahaConservative on December 29, 2011 at 12:25 PM

Rasmussen: Romney tops Obama, 45/39

…all day Ed. You are a good campaigner.

apocalypse on December 29, 2011 at 12:25 PM

I don’t care what the polls show, I’m NOT voting for Romney in the primary. I’ll vote for him if I have to in the presidential.

ABO in 2012.

sage0925 on December 29, 2011 at 12:25 PM

Another thought, Romney may well help garner more GOP senate seats (and fewer House losses) since he’s polling well with the female gender.

Bob in VA on December 29, 2011 at 12:25 PM

Aww….poor Barack…not so popular anymore? No wonder the NYT said he’s a little distant lately.

Hawkerflyer on December 29, 2011 at 12:26 PM

Ten percent (10%) like some other candidate in the race

Since there’s no other Democrat in the race, one has to assume that most of this 10% are Republicans. If Romney is the nominee how much of that 10% does he take with him to extend his lead over Obama even further? Would it be closer to 55/39 for Romney?

Trafalgar on December 29, 2011 at 12:26 PM

I’m happy to see a Republican beating him and I hope that trend holds up.

If Romney is the nominee, I will vote for him in the general. If he is the nominee, I hope he wins. However, the moment he goes liberal is the moment I stop supporting his administration and work to see him ousted in 2016.

joekenha on December 29, 2011 at 12:26 PM

A pet rock from the 70s could beat Obama.

kingsjester on December 29, 2011 at 12:26 PM

I’m not looking forward to ACORN setting up shop here again to go after that one EC vote. Sure wish we didn’t split our votes here in Nebraska…

OmahaConservative on December 29, 2011 at 12:27 PM

If Ron Paul is in the mainstream of American politics, it must be his racism that appeals to Democrats.

WhatNot on December 29, 2011 at 12:27 PM

I guess this is to stifle cries for not-Romney to win.

Ukiah on December 29, 2011 at 12:27 PM

There is still time for the Republicans to royally screw this up. It has been done before. And with the full weight of the media desperately trying to shore up Boy Wonder, it will take some very adept campaigning to avoid that.

CorporatePiggy on December 29, 2011 at 12:29 PM

A pet rock from the 70s could beat Obama.

kingsjester on December 29, 2011 at 12:26 PM

Well, it stands to reason, the pet rock has more accomplishments under it’s.. belt.

Chip on December 29, 2011 at 12:29 PM

Mitt’s run a solid campaign so far.

No major unforced errors, or none that I can recall.

aquaviva on December 29, 2011 at 12:31 PM

Look for Obama to get tough on Iran for an October surprise.

John Deaux on December 29, 2011 at 12:31 PM

Walking onion wearing a little flannel shirt should be able to top PBHO.

Bishop on December 29, 2011 at 12:24 PM

If only McCain knew about that he could have dressed up an onion instead of picking Palin.

hanzblinx on December 29, 2011 at 12:31 PM

Romney better enjoy it while it lasts. With his glass jaw, he’ll be a puddle november 6th

Flapjackmaka on December 29, 2011 at 12:32 PM

A pet rock from the 70s could beat Obama.

kingsjester on December 29, 2011 at 12:26 PM

Pet rocks from the 70′s have achieved more than any other pet rocks with the possible excpetion of the 1860′s, 1930′s, and 1960′s pet rocks.

Trafalgar on December 29, 2011 at 12:32 PM

I think Holder has a little surprise waiting for Mitt in the general. This voter ID neutralization stuff isn’t just being done for fun.

a capella on December 29, 2011 at 12:32 PM

No more Captain Kickass, more like Captain ShuffleFoot.
Darn! /

herm2416 on December 29, 2011 at 12:32 PM

obviously the Republican nominee is going to be Mittens. But it really makes you wonder why the media is pushing him so hard (conservative media). Do they really believe this guy is that great? Or do they believe all other options are that bad? Personally, if Mittens gets in I will just stay home voting day. I live in a very conservative State and it would not matter BHO would never stand a chance.

DDay on December 29, 2011 at 12:33 PM

No major unforced errors, or none that I can recall.

aquaviva on December 29, 2011 at 12:31 PM

Calling an individual government mandate for health insurance a “conservative” approach? You can’t get more unforced or more erroneous than that.

Just sayin’ …

ThePrimordialOrderedPair on December 29, 2011 at 12:33 PM

KingGold on December 29, 2011 at 12:20 PM

There are several things that haven’t gotten great media play yet.

Those will become ammunition in the arsenal in a general election. In addition a lot of mud will be thrown against the wall to see what will stick. There are far too many people on the right, in the middle and on the left that still believe where there is smoke there is fire.

chemman on December 29, 2011 at 12:34 PM

I’m happy to see a Republican beating him and I hope that trend holds up.

If Romney is the nominee, I will vote for him in the general. If he is the nominee, I hope he wins. However, the moment he goes liberal is the moment I stop supporting his administration and work to see him ousted in 2016.

joekenha on December 29, 2011 at 12:26 PM

My thoughts exactly. Honestly, if he places a couple of young conservatives on the high court, I’ll cut him some slack on a small liberal policy item here or there — but if he nominates moderates, especially if he has a GOP Senate, I will drive to Washington myself and camp outside the Senate chambers. You want a legacy, Mitt? Give the next generation a conservative court!

Rational Thought on December 29, 2011 at 12:34 PM

A pet rock from the 70s could beat Obama.

kingsjester on December 29, 2011 at 12:26 PM

Be careful what you say — it could be this pet rock.

http://www.awardproductions.com/Portals/60195/images//Pet-BaRock-Obama%20copy.jpg

The Rogue Tomato on December 29, 2011 at 12:34 PM

Andrew Malcolm needs to learn the difference between furthest and farthest, if he is going to use farthest in his headline. It is a simple difference.

herm2416 on December 29, 2011 at 12:35 PM

This is not news; this is more PRE-Primary Romney Propaganda.

As such, it is sickening and disappointing that this website chooses to join in the yadda yadda fest of Party True Republicans.
I will vote for Gingrich in the Primary; of those running, he has the best ideas and testicular fortitude to win against Obama – NOT RomneyCare Boy.

FACT: Mitt Romney signed into law the now infamous RomneyCare, which not only raised medical rates up hundreds per month but also turned citizens from free men into indentured servants to the State of Massachusetts, who now can fine one $2000 for simply doing nothing. He signed it with a big grin on his face surrounded by the like of Ted Kennedy. Does that sound like a conservative?

FACT: Literally days after the Federal ban on Assault weapons expired, Mitt Romney signed into law Massachusetts own version, smugly saying “people don’t need these guns”. Does that sound like a conservative?

FACT: Romney raised fees on literally everything, including gun licenses for $25 to $100. Yea, he is really pro 2nd amendment.

FACT: After two years in office he checked out and mailed it in, finally bailing and not running for a second term. Gave no support to his Lt Governor, which then gave us Deval Patrick.

NO THANKS, Mitt. But that’s who HotAir/Townhall seems to be promoting.

Czar of Defenestration on December 29, 2011 at 12:35 PM

good luck with your liberal 19% champ. Maybe they can beat you a tune on their drums.

ted c on December 29, 2011 at 12:35 PM

I think Holder has a little surprise waiting for Mitt in the general. This voter ID neutralization stuff isn’t just being done for fun.

a capella on December 29, 2011 at 12:32 PM

Holder will be long gone by the election, my magic 8 ball says “signs point to yes”.

VegasRick on December 29, 2011 at 12:36 PM

Don’t worry. The New Black Panther Party are er…poised, to help make up the point difference.
/Holder

ted c on December 29, 2011 at 12:37 PM

Romney is a soft target, his numbers are like a soufflé, they look huge not and they will crumble in the end, because Willard thought it was clever to bypass and ignore conservatives and to pander directly to the middle. But unlike conservatives, centrists dont defend Republican candidates against smear campaigns and in the coming shitstorm they will simply desert him like they deserted McCain.

Valkyriepundit on December 29, 2011 at 12:37 PM

A pet rock from the 70s could beat Obama.

So, Obama could beat Obama. Whoa.

EricW on December 29, 2011 at 12:37 PM

But that’s who HotAir/Townhall seems to be promoting.

People keep saying this about the various bloggers. It’s projection.

The only cast iron certainty is that the HA bloggers will promote the Republican winner of the primaries.

CorporatePiggy on December 29, 2011 at 12:38 PM

OH SNAP!

So much for Romney’s electability!

csdeven on December 29, 2011 at 12:38 PM

aquaviva on December 29, 2011 at 12:31 PM

Not very reassuring. Obama ran a solid campaign and you see where that got us.

Romney has done nothing to change my opinion that he is a Western European style conservative. Someone who will manage the nanny state more efficiently but certainly won’t change it.

chemman on December 29, 2011 at 12:38 PM

he has the best ideas and testicular fortitude to win against Obama
Czar of Defenestration on December 29, 2011 at 12:35 PM

His testicles have indeed been in more women than the rest of the field combined, but that’s not fortitude, that’s selfishness and STD’s.

hanzblinx on December 29, 2011 at 12:39 PM

Will these numbers hold up when he gets the Palin treatment?

rob verdi on December 29, 2011 at 12:18 PM

Obama will be getting the Palin treatment from the Romney camp.

csdeven on December 29, 2011 at 12:40 PM

A pet rock from the 70s could beat Obama.

So, Obama could beat Obama. Whoa.

EricW on December 29, 2011 at 12:37 PM

No offense, but that insults pet rocks everywhere.

Chip on December 29, 2011 at 12:43 PM

If the Race comes down to Obama and Romney it will split the big-gov liberal vote two ways and there will be 3rd party choices that will oppose Obama/Romneycare and represent small-gov. If any of them are good enough I hope people will give up the worthless “R” label that now represents left-of-Ted-Kennedy flip floppers and vote for the better 3rd party option instead.

But the small-gov side will have to compromise with their allies. Conservatives need to learn to take the concerns of people like me seriously. They can’t just throw somebody like Santorum into the mix and insist I vote for religious government while they ignore Bachmann for mysterious reasons that nobody seems to be able to articulate without calling names. And likewise, a minority of small-gov people who support illegal immigration need to realized they’re the minority and that the majority of us oppose that. If they want to shove amnesty down their allies throats then the coalition won’t work. And people like me who oppose illegal immigration and support Bachmann have got to realize that we don’t want to put our farmers out of business and we need to solve the problem in a way that will work for American agriculture.

I live in an agricultural area and I don’t want to my neighbors out of business, but I don’t want illegal aliens taking over my country and changing it into a banana republic either.

And if the small-gov factions can learn to get along again and reform a coalition then we’d have no problem defeating Obama or Romney separately, let alone if they help us out by splitting between two separate tickets for some inexplicable reason.

FloatingRock on December 29, 2011 at 12:43 PM

The only reasons Paul is doing well is because of his domestic policy and his isolationism in foreign policy. I don’t think most Americans would seriously want him as president, but it does speak to the anger many Americans feel when they see billions of U.S. dollars fly off to countries like Pakistan for example. Also I think many Americans are sick and tired of playing the world’s policeman and want our foreign policy to be limited to what is best for the U.S.

I notice a lot people fretting over a return to a pre-1914 world, but honestly what was so bad about that world from America’s point of view? Sometimes it is better to let you enemies kill themselves off rather than do the job yourself. In other words what was so bad about the Iraq-Iran War in the 1980s? What about a war between the Taliban and Iran, which nearly happened in the 1990s. Stability is overrated sometimes.

With all that said, most Americans when they really look at Paul close up don’t want total isolationism and a total retreat as a military power. I think most just want to be more selective in who we help and what we do.

William Eaton on December 29, 2011 at 12:43 PM

Czar of Defenestration on December 29, 2011 at 12:35 PM

…So if this was Pre-Primary Newt propaganda you’d be … praising it? Those “FACTS” are more opinionated than factual. If you don’t like the way Hot Air or Townhall is treating your candidate then why stay? I don’t feel anyone is promoting one candidate, acting pretty fair to each, even giving lesser candidates a profile (such as Santorum, who I extremely dislike).

DanStark on December 29, 2011 at 12:43 PM

We are so getting played. Baaa Baaaa sheeple.

Socmodfiscon on December 29, 2011 at 12:44 PM

A telephone poll conducted on a hypothetical election being held today is a far cry from what will happen in the polling booth after 6 months of intense campaiging by a wimpy metro male who has no core beliefs and can’t campaign against Obama care. If Hillary Clinton is added to the Obama ticket as VP, this is all irrelevant and Obam’s numbers will rise significantly. Whoever the Pubs. RINO candidate is he better choose a very good female VP candidate. Lynn Cheney or Marsha Blackburn are two that come to mind. Perhaps even the tea party turncoat SC Gov. Haley. But she does have the charge of an extra-marital affair in her background that was used against her in her SC campaign. That will be hard to shake in a national election. I’m sure there are others worthy of a looksee.

they lie on December 29, 2011 at 12:44 PM

Where’s the fool who keeps posting about Romney’s non electability. Show yourself!

rubberneck on December 29, 2011 at 12:44 PM

Newt’s been endorsed by Michael Reagan, Thomas Sowell & Art Laffer.

Michael Reagan even said that Newt would carry on his father’s legacy.

Those endorsements from conservative economic heavyweights should stop Newt’s slide in the short-term & strengthen Newt in the long-term.

Newt is the stronger general election candidate because he’s got a lengthy list of conservative accomplishments, something Mitt doesn’t have.

LFRGary on December 29, 2011 at 12:44 PM

Rational Thought on December 29, 2011 at 12:34 PM

If conservatives retire from the court he might be allowed to replace them. Depends on whether the dems have enough senators to filibuster. They’ve seen what happened when we forced Bush to put some conservatives on.

If a liberal justice or two retires then it is a pipe dream to believe that the dems won’t go nuclear if he tries to appoint a conservative in their place.

However, his state appointments don’t lead me to believe that he would back strong conservative justices. We will probably get the second coming of a Harriet Myers.

chemman on December 29, 2011 at 12:45 PM

In your analysis you are assuming that those who say they are conservative or very conservative will vote for Romney in the general election. I will never vote for Romney, and I am one of those who have voted in the Hot Air poll as a conservative.

I would be interested in a head-to-head poll with Obama vs. Romney, Gingrich and Paul in the same poll. Or would that be acknowledging that not even one primary vote has even been cast yet.

lea on December 29, 2011 at 12:45 PM

Michael Reagan even said that Newt would carry on his father’s legacy.

LFRGary on December 29, 2011 at 12:44 PM

He says that about a lot of people these days.

KingGold on December 29, 2011 at 12:46 PM

Look for Obama to get tough on Iran for an October surprise.

John Deaux on December 29, 2011 at 12:31 PM

The Socialists in the National Media and the Democratic Party know their Marxist ideology is on the line – we should expect just about anything from them.

Chip on December 29, 2011 at 12:46 PM

To the Romneycare rump lickers, Why exactly are you supporting him. Is it his record, Romneycare, tax increases, flip flop on every important social issue, 47th out of 50 states in job creation, his support for cap & tax, his squish views on immigration, his liberal appointed judges, his support for every bailout etc..

If your voting for electability, you have some problems. He lost in 2008 in the GOP primary even though he had the most money, he couldn’t get relected gov. in ma. so he decided to move up in class and he has no core supporters this year. In short, your supporting an empty suit who is not Obama.

So take this a step further, if by a miracle he beats obama, what do you get, you get a liberal w/no core beliefs that will set the conservative movement back 50 years like what George H w bush has done.

Romneycare either way is a loser to conservatives.

Danielvito on December 29, 2011 at 12:48 PM

Romney tops Obama….. Bawney and Chris Matthews hardest hit.

txag92 on December 29, 2011 at 12:49 PM

Barry an “extremest”? Wow! How long did it take for people to figure that out? That he “wasn’t red, wasn’t blue”.

GarandFan on December 29, 2011 at 12:49 PM

Michael Reagan even said that Newt would carry on his father’s legacy.

LFRGary on December 29, 2011 at 12:44 PM

Protip: This is a republic not a monarchy. Reagan’s kids don’t pick the next POTUS, we do.

hanzblinx on December 29, 2011 at 12:50 PM

No more Captain Kickass, more like Captain ShuffleFoot.
Darn! /

herm2416 on December 29, 2011 at 12:32 PM

Are you kidding? Mitt has been hammering Obama harder than any of the other candidates, and more effectively.

Ruiner on December 29, 2011 at 12:50 PM

Americans See Views of GOP Candidates Closer to Their Own

http://www.gallup.com/poll/151814/Americans-Huntsman-Romney-Paul-Closest-Ideologically.aspx

A USA Today/Gallup poll asked Americans to rate their own ideology — and the ideology of the eight major presidential candidates — on a 5-point scale with 1 being very liberal and 5 being very conservative.

Chip on December 29, 2011 at 12:51 PM

Mandate loving authoritarian in 2012!!

Which one?

Meh. Does it really matter?

lorien1973 on December 29, 2011 at 12:52 PM

So the activist globalist with an “R” by his name beats out the activist globalist with a “D” by his name. America will not win with such a choice.

abobo on December 29, 2011 at 12:53 PM

Certain candidates are far more vulnerable to the “Palin treatment” than others. Just throwin’ that out there.

KingGold on December 29, 2011 at 12:20 PM

Anybody’s vulnerable to it. As we shall see. Just sayin’. The difference is that with folks like you it will just be considered in worse form to give credence to and repeat media smears against Romney than against Palin.

ddrintn on December 29, 2011 at 12:53 PM

The Socialists in the National Media and the Democratic Party know their Marxist ideology is on the line – we should expect just about anything from them.

Chip on December 29, 2011 at 12:46 PM

Like convenient poll results that direct people to vote for the “only guy that can beat Obama”. The same guy the establishment Reps and Dems have been pushing for the last 2 years. And the sheeple allow themselves to be herded right into the Romney voting booth because polls don’t lie.

I will NOT vote for Romney in the general.

Socmodfiscon on December 29, 2011 at 12:54 PM

Where’s the fool who keeps posting about Romney’s non electability. Show yourself!

rubberneck on December 29, 2011 at 12:44 PM

Because he’s leading in one poll? LOL Romney hasn’t won an election since 2002. His only victory. I don’t know where this “Mitt as Juggernaut” foolishness comes from.

ddrintn on December 29, 2011 at 12:56 PM

FloatingRock on December 29, 2011 at 12:43 PM

Ronald Reagan was a social conservative. George Bush was a social conservative. Did they give you religious government? I didn’t think so. While Santorum is a social con if he won his belief’s are just his against many others. What makes you think he could convince congress or the courts to side with him. You are afraid of the wrong thing.

If we continue to put in western European style conservatives who only promise to manage the nanny state more efficiently then we continue this fiscal slide into bankruptcy and a failed nation.

chemman on December 29, 2011 at 12:57 PM

Plus I also think most republicans think Romney is electable, but don’t think he is a conservative. Two different things.

I am not a fan of Romney, but I would vote for him, however I would vote for Obama’s teleprompter before I vote for Obama. The only hope is the GOP wins the senate, still dominates the house and forces a President Romney to be a passive president who does their bidding. That will only work, however, if the House and Senate GOP leadership is conservative themselves or even smart enough to be in command, which is in real doubt at this point.

William Eaton on December 29, 2011 at 12:58 PM

Those endorsements from conservative economic heavyweights should stop Newt’s slide …

LFRGary on December 29, 2011 at 12:44 PM

Pardon me, Michael Reagan is an ‘economic heavyweight”?

Trafalgar on December 29, 2011 at 12:58 PM

Obama will be getting the Palin treatment from the Romney camp.

csdeven on December 29, 2011 at 12:40 PM

What are you smoking? The hopeful who made the statement that “Obama is a nice man” is going to have his campaign do the Palin treatment on that nice man? You are delusional.

Obama will get the John “Don’t you dare use his middle name” McCain treatment from Romney.

AZfederalist on December 29, 2011 at 12:59 PM

New Iowa Rasmussen: Romney 23, Paul 22, Santorum 16, Newt 13.

Jon0815 on December 29, 2011 at 12:59 PM

obviously the Republican nominee is going to be Mittens. But it really makes you wonder why the media is pushing him so hard (conservative media). Do they really believe this guy is that great? Or do they believe all other options are that bad?

DDay on December 29, 2011 at 12:33 PM

He and probably Huntsman are the ones least likely to upset the applecart in the unlikely event of a victory. Period.

ddrintn on December 29, 2011 at 1:00 PM

Electability?!? Just remember what the MSM did to McCain ONE DAY after his selection…FORGET Romney.

Czar of Defenestration on December 29, 2011 at 1:00 PM

this sudden wonderful romney poll that just so happened to come out only a few days before iowa, plus bachmann’s super PAC switching to romney… it’s all just WAY too convenient.

now romneybots are going to continue to push the “electable!!1!1!” meme. let’s just forget about the fact that he’s a liberal-lite used car salesman, but he is ELECTABLE!!1!1!11 so we should all love him.

Just as Romney planned.

Americans can choose between Obama and Obama-Lite.

People are stupid!

Sparky5253 on December 29, 2011 at 12:20 PM

this

Sachiko on December 29, 2011 at 1:01 PM

Anybody’s vulnerable to it. As we shall see. Just sayin’. The difference is that with folks like you it will just be considered in worse form to give credence to and repeat media smears against Romney than against Palin.

ddrintn on December 29, 2011 at 12:53 PM

The best way to palinize our candidate is to start with the He/she is dumb crap, At least on that front Romney is in the clear,

Trust me i know whats coming, And i am not at all confident that even Romney can win,

OrthodoxJew on December 29, 2011 at 1:02 PM

Gallup? A friend of mine worked for Gallup in Omaha. She thought they stunk. I agree.

Horace on December 29, 2011 at 12:21 PM

Gallup was started back in the early part of the 20th Century (1930s?) and for decades was considered the Gold Standard for American public opinion polls.

What happened to them? They were forever tainted by their partnership with CNN. That “news network” then threw them under the bus in 2007, so they could partner with a Clinton Crony “Pollster” to do all their polling. That would be Vinod Gupta of ORC, who has been a Clinton Fluffer since the 1990s.

Del Dolemonte on December 29, 2011 at 1:03 PM

And now we just sit back and wait for all the Republicans to tromp all over their private parts . . . with golf shoes.

rplat on December 29, 2011 at 1:03 PM

What the heck is Obama’s political strategy to beat Romney? According to his supporters he is so squeaky clean that that isn’t an option so what will it be? More of the same no matter how you vote?

Cindy Munford on December 29, 2011 at 1:03 PM

Nice convenient psychological nudge.
I’m convinced..Rahmney is the only one who can win! He’s nice, clean, articulate and doesn’t speak with a Northeastern accent. (Keeps a nice crease in his pants too!)

Mimzey on December 29, 2011 at 1:05 PM

Electability?!? Just remember what the MSM did to McCain ONE DAY after his selection…FORGET Romney.

Czar of Defenestration on December 29, 2011 at 1:00 PM

Man, there are just so many Romney threads here filled with comments about Mitt’s inevitable electability. Bookmark all you can and check up on them in a few months. It’ll be hilarious.

ddrintn on December 29, 2011 at 1:05 PM

Good night America

Schadenfreude on December 29, 2011 at 1:05 PM

Mitt Romney? Well…maybe. Starting to see the witch’s (no, not Christine O’Donnell) skywriting: Surrender Dorothy. Scandal-Free-Safe-Choice FTW? *sigh* I wonder who he’ll choose as Running Mate…

In other mysteries, why is ‘Pocket Pol’ Robert Reich blathering about Hillary and Wacky Uncle Joe switching jobs? Wishcraft.

Ladysmith CulchaVulcha on December 29, 2011 at 1:06 PM

Plus I also think most republicans think Romney is electable, but don’t think he is a conservative. Two different things.

William Eaton on December 29, 2011 at 12:58 PM

Too many Republicans allow Fox News punditry to dictate their vote. Too many Republicans are every bit as ignorant of politics as Democrats.

Romney wins and Conservativism will be blamed when Romney’s Big Government policies fail Tax code will not be reformed. Fed won’t be audited. No Dept. of “anything” will be removed. Economic status will be remain unchanged or worse and Conservatism will be blamed for the decline. Thus ensuring the inevitable Socialist state in our lifetime. Joy!

Socmodfiscon on December 29, 2011 at 1:06 PM

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