Saudis to Iranian mullahs: We’ll keep pounding sand

posted at 11:25 am on December 28, 2011 by Ed Morrissey

The Iranian mullahs have spent the last few days rattling their sabres in an attempt to fend off tougher economic sanctions in response to their continued pursuit of nuclear weapons.  Yesterday, Tina wrote about the Iranian threat to close the Strait of Hormuz.  Today, their naval minister bragged that closing the vital sea lane would be “easier than drinking a glass of water”:

Closing off the Gulf to oil tankers will be “easier than drinking a glass of water” for Iran if the Islamic state deems it necessary, state television reported on Wednesday, ratcheting up fears over the world’s most important oil chokepoint.

“Closing the Strait of Hormuz for Iran’s armed forces is really easy … or as Iranians say it will be easier than drinking a glass of water,” Iran’s navy chief Habibollah Sayyari told Iran’s English language Press TV.

“But right now, we don’t need to shut it as we have the Sea of Oman under control and we can control the transit,” said Sayyari, who is leading 10 days of exercises in the Strait.

Not too many people think Iran wants to provoke a military confrontation with the US, which has pledged to keep the strait open for business, and almost no one thinks Iran would be able to accomplish it:

“The threat by Iran to close the Strait of Hormuz supported the oil market yesterday, but the effect is fading today as it will probably be empty threats as they cannot stop the flow for a longer period due to the amount of U.S. hardware in the area,” said Thorbjoern bak Jensen, an oil analyst with Global Risk Management.

If one believes that the Obama administration might be itching for a military confrontation with the mullahs — the same was said about the Bush administration, but never occurred — then a blockade of oil exports from the Middle East would be a casus belli for the US and other Western nations, or at least enough to engage the Iranian navy and its ports.  That kind of conflict could leave Iranians with few options to export their own goods, even those that have managed to avoid sanctions or get traded to countries that haven’t cooperated with sanctions.  It would send the kind of economic shock that could permanently destabilize the regime in Tehran, which is another reason that this threat may be empty — at least until the mullahs figure they have nothing left to lose.

Even at that point, the threat will be empty.  Earlier today, the Saudis called the Iranian bluff:

Oil prices fell on Wednesday, as Saudi Arabia said it will offset any loss of oil from a threatened Iranian blockade of a crucial tanker route. …

Iranian officials have said that Iran might close the strategic Strait of Hormuz, if western nations embargo the country’s oil because of its ongoing nuclear program.

A Saudi oil ministry official told The Associated Press that Saudi Arabia and other Gulf producers are ready to provide more oil if necessary. Some analysts think the Iranian threats are more posturing than a real concern.

Closing the strait will also damage the Iranian economy, even if the US doesn’t target their port facilities in retaliation.  After all, Iran has to export through the Strait of Hormuz, too, and the minimum Western response to an Iranian blockade will be a reciprocal blockade and the seizure of all Iranian transports.  It would be a desperation move indeed, and probably not one that would result in a rally-round-the-mullahs moment in Iran.

Update: The Washington Post explains why this is almost certainly a bluff:

Despite its latest warnings in response to the possibility of a Western oil boycott, Iran is unlikely to make good on its repeated threats to close the Strait of Hormuz because the Islamic Republic needs the strategic waterway as much as or more than its adversaries, analysts say. …

And Iran itself — which has enjoyed record oil profits over the past five years but is faced with a dwindling number of oil customers — relies on the Hormuz Strait as the departure gate for its biggest client: China.

“We would be committing economical suicide by closing off the Hormuz Strait,” said an Iranian Oil Ministry official who requested anonymity because of the sensitivity of the subject. “Oil money is our only income, so we would be spectacularly shooting ourselves in the foot by doing that.”

Ahmad Bakhshayesh Ardestani, a political scientist running for parliament from the camp of hard-line clerics and commanders opposing Ahmadinejad, said it is “good politics” for Iran to respond to U.S. threats with threats of its own.

“But our threat will not be realized,” Ardestani said. “We are just responding to the U.S., nothing more.”

Besides, the UAE — whose exports would be most impacted by an Iranian blockade of the strait — will shortly complete a pipeline that bypasses Hormuz altogether.  They can pump 2.5 million barrels a day through the pipeline, which would more than negate Iranian action.


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If we actually had a real President in charge, I would respond, “OK. You want a blockade? Fine, we’ll blockade you.”

One wonders how long Iran would last with a US carrier group cutting off all imports and exports from the country. I give Mad Mahmoud about two weeks tops.

northdallasthirty on December 28, 2011 at 11:32 AM

The simple fact is, Iran depends on oil exports, rattling the saber increases the price of oil, Iran profits.

The other fact is the US Navy could rip Iran’s navy and ports to shreds, and Iran knows this full well. More, Iran imports 20% of it’s gasoline, by ship. If that was cut off, their economy would grind to a halt in short order.

The games people play.

Rebar on December 28, 2011 at 11:33 AM

Closing the strait will also damage the Iranian economy, even if the US doesn’t target their port facilities in retaliation. After all, Iran has to export through the Strait of Hormuz, too, and the minimum Western response to an Iranian blockade will be a reciprocal blockade and the seizure of all Iranian transports. It would be a desperation move indeed, and probably not one that would result in a rally-round-the-mullahs moment in Iran.

Not to mention the blockade of imports, most notably gasoline and other refined products. This is a bluff, pure and simple.

TXUS on December 28, 2011 at 11:35 AM

All we need to do is stop the flow of refined gasoline into Iran for about 2, maybe 3 weeks… The country’s economy will grind to a halt…

The blockade works both ways, and if the IRGCN wants to come out and play in the Sea of Oman, no worries…

Khun Joe on December 28, 2011 at 11:40 AM

Trash talking boneheads

Israel would wipe the floor with them, anyway- nuclear or not

Reaganite Republican on December 28, 2011 at 11:41 AM

They’ll never do it. All hell would break loose in Iran if the people weren’t getting their oil money. Riots would break out, and the people would be calling for Ahmadinejad’s head.

It would be kinda fun though, to watch us completely destroy their navy. It would be like shooting fish in a barrel.

UltimateBob on December 28, 2011 at 11:42 AM

How can we make you happy?
-dear leader

cmsinaz on December 28, 2011 at 11:42 AM

Apparently any good news about Ron Paul just get ignored. Especially since the conservative media been trying discredit him like they did to Herman Cain and the people of Iowa are not buying it anymore! Here’s the latest polling that shows Ron Paul is increasing his lead!!!!!

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/main/2011/12/paul-maintains-his-lead.html

Question: If Ron Paul wins both Iowa and New Hampshire will we be a witness to heads exploding across this country?!

Capitalist75 on December 28, 2011 at 11:43 AM

If one believes that the Obama administration might be itching for a military confrontation with the mullahs

Hahah, you are real funny, Ed.

pseudonominus on December 28, 2011 at 11:45 AM

If you think the U.S. Navy hasn’t prepared itself down to the individual ship against this eventuality, and even a more generic conflict, you don’t understand the principle of “train like you fight”.

JeffWeimer on December 28, 2011 at 11:45 AM

I’m sure the ruling nutocracy in Iran wish they could act like North Korea, but their population is young, educated and can’t be subjugated like the N.Koreans. Closing Hormuz would be as easy as drinking a glass of hemlock.

cartooner on December 28, 2011 at 11:45 AM

Both the mullahs and A’jad are in trouble with the Iranian people who are becoming more restive by the day. Sparking a knock-down drag’em-out with the US, Saudi Arabia or anyone else would rally the people behind the mullahs in the name of patriotism. The NorKs have been using this technique for years. Just because the mullahs and A’jad are insane doesn’t mean they are stupid.

catsandbooks on December 28, 2011 at 11:46 AM

RuPaul is not the topic of this thread. Stop touting your drag queen on inappropriate threads.

andy85719 on December 28, 2011 at 11:46 AM

Apparently any good news about Ron Paul just get ignored.
Capitalist75 on December 28, 2011 at 11:43 AM

No troll, we’re just ignoring you.

pseudonominus on December 28, 2011 at 11:46 AM

I am no ‘war monger’ or a ‘chicken hawk’- But after seeing and hearing Iran, the supreme agitator, bully countries and people (not to mention the horrific human rights abuses of their own peoples) like they’re some kind of Billy Badass for the last 30 years or so- I wholeheartedly believe that Iran could use a good old fashioned arse whooping. Just one good quick and thorough all-out pummeling could bring them down a notch or three for at least a decade. Annihilate their so-called Navy, bunker buster their entire nuclear program, and lay to waste their missile bases and their military command and control… and they’re reduced to the squishy little jiggly pile of gelatin that they actually are and always have been.

A play for the Strait of Hormuz would be a most excellent opportunity to make it happen.

 

The Iranian mullahs have spent the last few days rattling their sabres scimitars in an attempt to fend off tougher economic sanctions…

Sorry- Had to FTFY, Ed.

FlatFoot on December 28, 2011 at 11:47 AM

Capitalist75 on December 28, 2011 at 11:43 AM

A little off topic there with that comment, don’t ya think?

UltimateBob on December 28, 2011 at 11:47 AM

Closing Hormuz would be as easy as drinking a glass of hemlock.

cartooner on December 28, 2011 at 11:45 AM

Well said.

JeffWeimer on December 28, 2011 at 11:47 AM

Today, their naval minister bragged that closing the vital sea lane would be “easier than drinking a glass of water”

That’s obviously true. Iran has tons of missiles – which we see them developing and testing all the time. It isn’t that difficult to close something. You don’t have to be all too accurate in order to scare shipping from even trying to cross. Why would anyone doubt this?

And for those who think the US would do something … LOL.

ThePrimordialOrderedPair on December 28, 2011 at 11:47 AM

All we need to do is stop the flow of refined gasoline into Iran for about 2, maybe 3 weeks… The country’s economy will grind to a halt…
Khun Joe on December 28, 2011 at 11:40 AM

I still love the fact that we sell their own fuel back to them. :D

Mr. Prodigy on December 28, 2011 at 11:48 AM

Question: If Ron Paul wins both Iowa and New Hampshire will we be a witness to heads exploding across this country?!

Capitalist75 on December 28, 2011 at 11:43 AM

If pigs can fly…

Sheerq on December 28, 2011 at 11:48 AM

Everyone loves their oil money.

jake-the-goose on December 28, 2011 at 11:48 AM

Capitalist75 on December 28, 2011 at 11:43 AM

Would you stop copy/pasting this on every thread? Paul would probably help these crazies shut the strait.

cartooner on December 28, 2011 at 11:49 AM

The only real threat posed by Iran attempting to close the Strait of Hormuz Is the possibility that Obama might see another opportunity to retreat and surrender. After all, he is trying to drive up the cost of oil.

novaculus on December 28, 2011 at 11:49 AM

UltimateBob on December 28, 2011 at 11:47 AM

Forget it Bob, it’s a Paultroon. The day begins and ends with, the Sun rises and sets on, all political talk shall be about, Ron Paul. Or else it’s a conspiracy design to marginalize him.

JeffWeimer on December 28, 2011 at 11:49 AM

Apparently any good news about Ron Paul just get ignored.

You mean Ron Paul has dropped out of the race to spend more quality time with Alex Jones and his other Troofer buddies?

That is good news.

NoDonkey on December 28, 2011 at 11:50 AM

It’s a shame our oil supply is endangered by a megalomaniac who is pursuing an alternative fuel source regardless of the cost to his people.

And it’s a shame the Iranians are under the rule of the nutjob Imadinnerjacket.

HumpBot Salvation on December 28, 2011 at 11:50 AM

President ‘Don’t call my bluff’, will find a way to screw this up just like he’s screwed up every other foreign policy move. In other news, RP is still a nutjob.

Kissmygrits on December 28, 2011 at 11:50 AM

JeffWeimer on December 28, 2011 at 11:49 AM

I really should know better than to feed the trolls anyway.

UltimateBob on December 28, 2011 at 11:51 AM

Can you imagine how p.o.’d The Won would be if he had to confront Iran after all he’s done to be the peace maker?

Cindy Munford on December 28, 2011 at 11:51 AM

Capitalist75 on December 28, 2011 at 11:43 AM

tips@hotair.com

If Ed or Allah or Tina think it’s worth posting, then it will get posted so you don’t have to keep hijacking threads.

Pancho on December 28, 2011 at 11:52 AM

“Closing the Strait of Hormuz for Iran’s armed forces is really easy … or as Iranians say it will be easier than drinking a glass of water,” Iran’s navy chief Habibollah Sayyari told Iran’s English language Press TV.

If the Iranians close the Strait of Hormuz it will be the United States’s because we sold them drinking glasses a long time ago./Ron Paul

Vince on December 28, 2011 at 11:54 AM

I say call their bluff, dose anyone think that the mullahs would actually condone destroying everything that they enjoy? I think not. This is just a “pump out your chest and look tough” moment for the rubes.

Do it Iran, the Navy hasn’t exercise their muscles in a while. They might just need a good live fire event to keep sharp.

Note to the Navy, be on guard for 1,000′s of explosive laden speed boats coming your way, aim the Phalanx CIWS at sea level and comence firing if the time comes.

D-fusit on December 28, 2011 at 11:57 AM

Capitalist75 on December 28, 2011 at 11:43 AM

You know you’re just reinforcing the notion that Paulbots are just as loopy as Ron Paul himself?

Trafalgar on December 28, 2011 at 11:58 AM

Symbolic, “Gee, if we had a pipeline coming out of Canada and also drilled our own (ample) supplies of oil we really wouldn’t need to defend the Strait of Hormuz”

search4truth on December 28, 2011 at 11:58 AM

This just in …………….

President Obama has just begged Iran to please, please keep the Strait of Hormuz open. If they refuse he will call them poopyheads.

He also added, “I bow to Mecca whenever I’m having a smoke alone, so please take that into account as well.”

fogw on December 28, 2011 at 11:59 AM

it will be the United States’s fault because..

FIFM!

Vince on December 28, 2011 at 11:59 AM

This bluster from Iran is a replay from the 1980′s, when President Reagan said this:

“The use of the vital sea lanes of the Persian Gulf will not be dictated by the Iranians. The Persian Gulf will remain open to navigation by the nations of the world.”

We won’t hear anything close to that from President Obama.

trhediger on December 28, 2011 at 12:00 PM

So How much of Saudi, Kuwaiti, Iraqi, UAE and Iranian oil production that now goes out of the Gulf can Saudi ship by other means? I doubt they can cover all of it and thus the Iranian threat is a real threat. One that should probably be called IMHO but a real threat all the same.

KW64 on December 28, 2011 at 12:02 PM

I don’t think we should ever underestimate the fanatic regime in Tehran. They truly believe in the coming caliphate and that they are the point of spear. That’s a formula for martyrdom.

Obama & H Clinton really blew it when we had a chance to support the election unrest and help topple the regime from within. Foolish.

jb34461 on December 28, 2011 at 12:03 PM

I hope they do try to close the Strait of Hormuz. It’ll give my son and his buddies on their guided missile cruiser something to do for a couple of hours.
Go Navy!

bigdicksplace on December 28, 2011 at 12:03 PM

This bluster from Iran is a replay from the 1980′s, when President Reagan said this:

“The use of the vital sea lanes of the Persian Gulf will not be dictated by the Iranians. The Persian Gulf will remain open to navigation by the nations of the world.”
We won’t hear anything close to that from President Obama.

trhediger on December 28, 2011 at 12:00 PM

I don’t know about that, he is the 4th bestest evah prez. Just ask him.

D-fusit on December 28, 2011 at 12:03 PM

Can you imagine how p.o.’d The Won would be if he had to confront Iran after all he’s done to be the peace maker?

Cindy Munford on December 28, 2011 at 11:51 AM

Doubt he’s be all that P.O.’d, if the election looks close by next October I wouldn’t be surprised to see him lob a few missles a la Clinton Style. His base might get P.O.’d but it might rally independents to his side to appear to be at “war” with a foe.

This bluster from Iran is a replay from the 1980′s, when President Reagan said this:

“The use of the vital sea lanes of the Persian Gulf will not be dictated by the Iranians. The Persian Gulf will remain open to navigation by the nations of the world.”

We won’t hear anything close to that from President Obama.

trhediger on December 28, 2011 at 12:00 PM

You might hear something like that from BHO if he’s tied or behind in the polls in the fall.

Difficultas_Est_Imperium on December 28, 2011 at 12:05 PM

Barack “Pretty Please” Obama will miss a tough putt over this news.

profitsbeard on December 28, 2011 at 12:05 PM

Pull the USS Ronald Reagan carrier group in close and tells them TRY IT

KBird on December 28, 2011 at 12:05 PM

If we actually had a real President in charge, I would respond, “OK. You want a blockade? Fine, we’ll blockade you.”
One wonders how long Iran would last with a US carrier group cutting off all imports and exports from the country. I give Mad Mahmoud about two weeks tops.
northdallasthirty on December 28, 2011 at 11:32 AM

Yup and yup.

whatcat on December 28, 2011 at 12:06 PM

IMHO Iran should just now be about halfway rebuilt from 1979.

docflash on December 28, 2011 at 12:06 PM

Gee, it would be so nice if we had some domestic sources of oil, so we wouldn’t have to depend on craphole thugocracies like Iran.

Oh wait, we do.

Maybe someone should catch Barack Obama between golf holes and ask him a question about that.

NoDonkey on December 28, 2011 at 12:07 PM

I know we have a show of force there, my son is on a ship right there, so i think its just saber rattling!!

lisa fox on December 28, 2011 at 12:08 PM

Pull the USS Ronald Reagan carrier group in close and tells them TRY IT

KBird on December 28, 2011 at 12:05 PM

He might send the Roosevelt or the Lincoln or Kennedy, but he would never send the Reagan. Engrave that in stone.

D-fusit on December 28, 2011 at 12:09 PM

Capitalist75 on December 28, 2011 at 11:43 AM

Ron Paul is batshit crazy, and this is one more piece of evidence that his followers are even crazier than he is.

SWalker on December 28, 2011 at 12:11 PM

The 2 am phone is ringing…. nobody is picking it up. Doh! They’re all in Hawaii!

ultracon on December 28, 2011 at 12:11 PM

It’s empty sabre-rattling. They aren’t going to provoke an attack by the US by doing one of the few things that would actually rally the US people around war.

Not when they are in the process of developing a nuclear weapon that the people of the US aren’t going to rally around war over.

JohnGalt23 on December 28, 2011 at 12:13 PM

ruling nutocracy in Iran

cartooner on December 28, 2011 at 11:45 AM

I’m totally stealing that!

pookysgirl on December 28, 2011 at 12:14 PM

I know we have a show of force there, my son is on a ship right there, so i think its just saber rattling!!

lisa fox on December 28, 2011 at 12:08 PM

Sadly the Iranians are not bluffing or saber rattling, they quiet honestly aren’t bright enough to understand the concepts of bluffing or saber rattling. What they are, is delusional enough to think that they can actually do what they are threatening to do.

SWalker on December 28, 2011 at 12:14 PM

Sadly the Iranians are not bluffing or saber rattling, they quiet honestly aren’t bright enough to understand the concepts of bluffing or saber rattling.

SWalker on December 28, 2011 at 12:14 PM

Bigot much?

JohnGalt23 on December 28, 2011 at 12:21 PM

Ron Paul Constitution Liberty Ron Paul Fed Ron Paul Liberty Constitution Pot!

Valkyriepundit on December 28, 2011 at 12:21 PM

I do hope we’re on the lookout for Chinese naval assets (such as subs) in the area. The PRC might not take kindly to having a good portion of their energy supply suddenly cut off.

mojo on December 28, 2011 at 12:29 PM

Normally I poke fun at the navy being an army vet, but in this case… they got it. If iran wants to face them itll last all of 15 minutes. Remember that iran also has those cearsome boat planes. So get the fire hose out. No sense in wasting a bullet when you can just fill them with water

speekr on December 28, 2011 at 12:30 PM

Bigot much?

JohnGalt23 on December 28, 2011 at 12:21 PM

No, that would be you and your hero Ron Paul’s department.

SWalker on December 28, 2011 at 12:31 PM

Iran and its mullahs are so useful on so many levels.

They show how nutty the Paulbots are, given that Ron Paul sees nothing incompatible between his foreign policy view and Mad Mahmoud’s Crazy Jew Killers Emporium.

They show how imbecilic the “progressive” base is, given that Iran regularly executes every single grievance group under the sun, especially gays, and still receives nothing but flowers and platitudes from Obama, Hillary!, and the Obama Party.

They show how the UN’s core value is to support, endorse, and protect countries that hate the United States and want to kill Jews.

And they show what a sniveling little American-hating, Jew-bashing coward Barack Obama is.

northdallasthirty on December 28, 2011 at 12:35 PM

Capitalist75 on December 28, 2011 at 11:43 AM
A little off topic there with that comment, don’t ya think?

UltimateBob on December 28, 2011 at 11:47 AM

“It’s”, been off topic on every thread! “It” pastes… while “it” really needs… to wipe!

KOOLAID2 on December 28, 2011 at 12:36 PM

D-fusit on December 28, 2011 at 12:09 PM

Good point, I didn’t think about that.

KBird on December 28, 2011 at 12:39 PM

When I tell people to POUND SAND!
it does not sound as nice as when Ed refers to it.
I have to clean up my act.

KOOLAID2 on December 28, 2011 at 12:41 PM

Heck, our Navy boats and stuff don’t even belong over there. Leave those people alone, they are only defending themselves against the US oppressors. -Ron Paul

Norky on December 28, 2011 at 12:44 PM

Pull the USS Ronald Reagan carrier group in close and tells them TRY IT

KBird on December 28, 2011 at 12:05 PM

Nah, one of the great things about carriers is that they don’t need to get close. Their planes have long legs especially long when they can refuel in the air.

Oldnuke on December 28, 2011 at 12:47 PM

I do hope we’re on the lookout for Chinese naval assets (such as subs) in the area. The PRC might not take kindly to having a good portion of their energy supply suddenly cut off.

mojo on December 28, 2011 at 12:29 PM

We’re not threatening to cut it off the Iranians are. China would probably help us take the mullahs out to keep the straits open.

Oldnuke on December 28, 2011 at 12:50 PM

Time to use that expensive aviation biofuel, which is made from pig fat, and perform a few KC-130 flyovers with fuel dumps.

True that there are large tanker terminals in the Arabian Gulf, but it is also true that several pipelines & tanker terminals are NOT in the same body of water. Instead they are in Saudi Arabia on the Red Sea as well as on the Syrian Coast. This goes for crude from Iraq Kuwait, and Saudi Arabia.

Kermit on December 28, 2011 at 12:53 PM

I have a question.

How much oil does China rely on which would have to be delivered through the straights of Hormuz.

If they are say “very” reliant how will that effect the situation.

The article talks about the US closing the straights but do Europe and China have a greater vested interest than the US. I guess the authors both here and at the Liberal MSM just assume that the US ..er…UN Police force will go handle it.

I think the fact is though that what the UN will allow will be in some respects worse than all out war with IRan. Sanctions lead to retaliation in the Gulf which leads to authorized use of force against the missiles and what have you that are threatening the ships. After initially having the collective @$$e$ handed to them then they pull a Sadaam and hide radar installations and missile batteries in schools and hospitals and wala we have more martyr squads. But the UN politco marxist Soros inspired world peace aparatchiks will just shake their heads and mumble about the failure of politcal nuance.

If we would just understand that when you are forced to fight a war, you go in crush the enemy, kill or capture their leaders and wipe out the resistance with prejudice or find a way never to have to fight the war to begin with. Sanctioned UN violence is as bad as violence off the cuff by former Texan presidents. Same innocent people get caught in the crossfire either way. So if it has to be then at least have the compassion to fight the war until it is over one way or another. Sorry but this is my two cents (now worth only a penny – thanks Barney Frank)

Individualist on December 28, 2011 at 1:00 PM

We’re not threatening to cut it off the Iranians are. China would probably help us take the mullahs out to keep the straits open.

Oldnuke on December 28, 2011 at 12:50 PM

The Chinese have their own agenda, that agenda is not in Iran’s best interests and it’s not in the US best interests. The Chinese have the balls to push the US around when their interests do not agree with ours, and they sure as hell are not afraid of flattening Iran if Iran screws with their interests.

The problem is that the Iranians have been poking the US in the eye with a sharp stick for 8 plus years now without any consequences and the Chinese have more or less had Iran’s back. What the Iranian’s don’t understand is, China only has their back until the Iranians do something that threatens China’s interests.

Closing the straits is something that China probably would not conclude to be in their best interests and therefore would likely result in China stepping back and leaving Iran’s back fully exposed to whatever mayhem might take place.

It is extremely unlikely that China would take an active part in striking Iran to reopen the straits though.

SWalker on December 28, 2011 at 1:02 PM

I just know my son is ready! He hates Obama, All his sucking up to the military right now at election season is not changing anybodys mind!

lisa fox on December 28, 2011 at 1:02 PM

The two countries that closing the Strait of Hormuz would hurt the most:
Iran and China.

The two politicians that closing the Strait of Hormuz would hurt the most:
Barack Obama and Ron Paul.

Bring it.

MichaelGabriel on December 28, 2011 at 1:16 PM

the top Iranian petroleum export destinations in 2010 were Japan, at 502,000 barrels per day (b/d); China, at 440,000 b/d; India, at 330,000 b/d; and South Korea, at 190,000 b/d. With Iran’s exports currently running at 2 million b/d — down from 2.6 million b/d in 2008 — Japan and China alone make up 47 percent of Iran’s export market. If South Korea is included, East Asia constitutes 57 percent of this market.

Kermit on December 28, 2011 at 1:31 PM

Iran derives 80 percent of its export earnings solely from crude oil and its derivatives, and oil makes a similarly large contribution to government revenues.

To block the Straits of Hormuz would mean total collapse of Iran.

Kermit on December 28, 2011 at 1:33 PM

BobMbx to Iranian Naval Commander:

“While you’re enjoying your drink of water, I invite you to Google Operation Praying Mantis…..and, now that I think of it, we’ve got even better stuff now. Do you?”

BobMbx on December 28, 2011 at 1:34 PM

It is good to squeeze Iran, it would be even better to destroy its power. But remember that you are doing it in large measure to protect Sunni Islam and its Oil Ticks from their more “Progressive” Shia brothers. The Sunnis are in the long haul Jihad and fear their more aberrant brothers will blow the deal by being too batsh*t aggressive (nuking Israel to get whatsisname out of the well). It is the Sunni Muslim Brotherhood who have the biggest investment in infiltration of America. It is the Sunnis who have the 2nd in command of the FBI, Hillarys day planner is the daughter of the head of the Muslim Sisterhood, an army of Muslim assistants keep top officials bamboozled and ignorant. A myriad of Islamic Chairs in Universities poison young minds and fill the nation with foreign Muslim “students”. A never ending series of sumptuous vacations for members of Congress to Saudi Arabia to explore the wonders of the Kingdom and its favors.

America is the hypnotized tool of Sunni Islam at present. Soon talk like mine will be held up as worse than homophobic, to be shunned, disparaged and shamed into silence by “good” Americans who wish to comply with OIC demands for criminalizing criticism of Islam.

BL@KBIRD on December 28, 2011 at 1:35 PM

I just know my son is ready! He hates Obama, All his sucking up to the military right now at election season is not changing anybodys mind!

lisa fox on December 28, 2011 at 1:02 PM

Which is why the absentee ballots for the military will be too late to be counted..again.

BobMbx on December 28, 2011 at 1:35 PM

It’s amusing how these threats are so hyperbolic…”easier than drinking a glass of water”. Wow, I guess we should quake in our shoes.

I suppose something is lost in the translation.

freedomfirst on December 28, 2011 at 1:45 PM

It’s amusing how these threats are so hyperbolic…”easier than drinking a glass of water”. Wow, I guess we should quake in our shoes.

I suppose something is lost in the translation.

freedomfirst on December 28, 2011 at 1:45 PM

Until they invoke the shoe or burning stomach references we’ll be ok.

BobMbx on December 28, 2011 at 2:12 PM

Iran is beginning to crack under the pressure.

OxyCon on December 28, 2011 at 2:16 PM

If Iran REALLY wanted to close the Strait…they would hire the idiots that are against the XL Pipeline to hold a press conference to inform us that a possible oil spill could possibly harm a possibly “on the brink of extinction” species of possible new species of sand flea.
Or just tell The One that the Strait creates jobs in the USA and The One himself will close it down.

B-rad on December 28, 2011 at 2:35 PM

I’ve got my lawn chair and cooler all set up my 77th floor balcony here in Dubai. I’m definitely ready for the show.

JetBlast on December 28, 2011 at 4:59 PM

I do hope we’re on the lookout for Chinese naval assets (such as subs) in the area. The PRC might not take kindly to having a good portion of their energy supply suddenly cut off.

mojo on December 28, 2011 at 12:29 PM

Here’s a secret …

THE OWNER OF THE PERSIAN GULF IS THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA.

Lock, Stock, and Barrel.

We own the air above it … we own the surface of the seas … we own the waters beneath it.

Nothing moves in the Persian Gulf unless the United States allows it – nothing.

The greatest “epiphany” of my life came when I sailed into the North Arabian Sea with the John C. Stennis battlegroup in 2002 …

We just … own it – for all intents and purposes.

As Caesar and the Romans owned Gaul – we own that Gulf.

No – the Chinese aren’t a threat. No – nor the Russians – or the Norks, or even the Iranians. Any power we lose there – is power we voluntarily give up – for foolish reasons.

We own that place.

HondaV65 on December 28, 2011 at 5:33 PM

It is true that we can control the gulf but i have zero faith that obama will do the right thing and would bet that he would at first do something foolish and second double down on stupid. It is pathetic that the real effective response has been from the Saudis and not from western governments. Another demonstration of his so called leading from behind or as it used to called voting present.

dunce on December 28, 2011 at 9:19 PM

Here’s a secret …

THE OWNER OF THE PERSIAN GULF IS THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA.

Lock, Stock, and Barrel. – HondaV65 on December 28, 2011 at 5:33 PM

Sure, however, I also think that the gulf states also have the assets to confront Iran. And, the rest to the world that depends on the oil from the gulf would not tolerate a blockade either. It would give the entire economically developed sane world a reason to attack Iran…………….as someone has said Iran could cause a great stir tomorrow, just by saying that they have mined the gulf. All shipping would have to stop until minesweepers were sent in to see if they were just lying or really doing it.

SC.Charlie on December 28, 2011 at 9:46 PM