CBS Poll: Newt ties Romney. Cain still on top.

posted at 9:15 am on November 11, 2011 by Jazz Shaw

CBS weighs in today with their latest round of primary polling and the big definitive news is … there’s no seriously definitive news on the primary race, other than saying that it’s almost anybody’s game at this point. The poll was conducted between Monday and yesterday, so the latest round of Cain accuser news conferences were in the news for the majority of it. Are these stories having any effect? Well… maybe. But not a lot.

If there’s one big story out of this it has to be the “new kid on the block,” rags to riches story of the one campaign which had been considered little more than road kill during the summer. Remember the good ole’ days when the race was obviously between Mitt and Michele Bachmann? And Newt was a complete loser for his trips to the Greek Islands and his Tiffany’s accounts? Well, it’s a brave new world now.

In the Republican race for the presidential nomination, Newt Gingrich’s support continues to slowly grow, and he is now tied with Mitt Romney for second place, while Herman Cain just edges both of them out for the top spot. Both Cain and Romney have lost support since late October…

The field of Republican candidates now has three candidates within striking distance of each other at the top of the list: with 18 percent, Herman Cain is in the top spot, followed by Mitt Romney and Newt Gingrich with 15% each. Support for both Cain and Romney has declined since late last month, and Gingrich is the only one of the top three whose support is steadily – if slowly – on the upswing.

Cain is still on top, and more than sixty percent of primary voters are saying the sexual harassment stories aren’t impacting their decision. That part is good news for Cain, but it comes with a warning as well. His support among women has dropped measurably and outside the margin of error, from 28% in October to 15% now. That appears to be the majority of the shift which has tightened his lead and put him in what is essentially a three way horse race with Mitt and Newt.

The other, and perhaps most significant factor here is the massive amount of unrest among the voters. There is virtually no solidification behind any one person as the standard bearer yet. With less than two months until votes are cast in Iowa and New Hampshire, more than 70% of respondents are saying that “it’s still too early to say which candidate they will support.”

That’s not just a few independent leaners sitting on the fence. That’s a huge majority of the primary crowd. Perry seems to be doing the comedy tour circuit to play down debate gaffs and show that he’s got a sense of humor about it all. Cain is sticking to his, “nothing happened, let’s move on” strategy about the harassment allegations, and Newt is… well, he’s just being Newt. For better or worse, the voters seem to be waiting for some sort of Come to Jesus moment when the herd will receive the sign they’re waiting for and begin lining up.

That may never happen. I’m surprised to be saying it, but absent a serious sea change, this thing might actually go deep into the late state primaries if somebody can’t find a way to seize some actual, lasting momentum. If it does, you can bet that it will come down to who can unleash the most cash and the most effective ground game across a vast land war, rather than just four or five early contests.

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Comment pages: 1 2 3

bitsy on November 11, 2011 at 3:16 PM

Yep. Anything can happen. Heck, it already has!

kg598301 on November 11, 2011 at 4:17 PM

Mitt Romney is being fluffed on Fox News on a regular basis turn on the television and watch. Try this narrative, It’s only a matter of time Mitt Romney will win the nomination than all the republicans will fall in behind him……your eyes are getting heavy, you are feeling sleepy, I am going to count to three, when you awake you will feel refreshed, and you will vote for Mitt Romney for the republican nominee….LOL!

Dr Evil on November 11, 2011 at 10:52 AM

You’re seeing what you want to see. They have been carryinmg Cains water since these harassment allegations have come out. So how exactly are they shilling for Romney when they do the same for Cain? As a matter of fact, they do the same with Gingrich.

You’re doing exactly what you were doing when you were a Palin worshiper.

csdeven on November 11, 2011 at 4:52 PM

Romney has not made the case, convincingly, to the base yet. That’s clear.

Weight of Glory on November 11, 2011 at 10:55 AM

70% haven’t made up their mind but you have. You are out of the mainstream. And the base doesn’t elect candidates….the indies and the moderates do. The base will eventually get dragged kicking and screaming to vote for whomever the GOP nominee is. If a person is going to sit at home, they are not part of the GOP base. They are simply ideological loons.

csdeven on November 11, 2011 at 4:55 PM

right2bright on November 11, 2011 at 12:08 PM

You still haven’t shown where her opinion has any basis in fact. For that matter, we are still waiting for the basis in fact for many of your despicable accusations.

csdeven on November 11, 2011 at 4:57 PM

Originality by itself is not a virtue. Good ideas are. The authorship is inconsequential.

anuts on November 11, 2011 at 1:20 PM

Not true. If Perry has no investment in the idea, it isn’t his and he wont be able to articulate it. This is what we are seeing from him. On almost every issue that he needs to have a policy on, he is getting from others. Now his policy to let illegals have tuition breaks is something he speaks quit well on. Why? Because he is invested in the idea and can speak on it at any moment. He is so comfortable with his own ideas, that he doesn’t grasp how offensive they are. The “heartless” comment and him sending that preacher out there to call Romney a cultist. Those are so ingrained in his everyday life and in the lives of those around him that he mistakenly believes that everyone thinks the same way.

csdeven on November 11, 2011 at 5:01 PM

Did he call anyone heartless?

blatantblue on November 11, 2011 at 9:30 AM

Here’s the interview with Greta where Perry said twice that he was “arrogant” for saying that and that his wife called it “insulting”; then he says, “I’m sorry” (that starts at the 12 minute mark and the “I’m sorry” around the 14 minute amrk):

http://gretawire.foxnewsinsider.com/video/gov-rick-perry-on-the-record/

The whole interview is really, really good and substantive about a lot of issues.

What’s also impressive, is this lengthy interview came after the debate, all his morning show interviews, and Letterman. He must’ve been tired but it did not show here at all.

-Aslan’s Girl

Aslans Girl on November 11, 2011 at 6:21 PM

Cain’s treatment of Perry has been atrocious. His refusal to fire Block shows that he’s deficient in character-and I’m tired of being called a stupid simpleton racist because i don’t support him. He WAS my 3rd choice-but at this point-if Cain’s the nominee next November I WILL sit on my hands.
What a classless hack.

annoyinglittletwerp on November 11, 2011 at 10:05 AM

Yes, he does imply anyone who doesn’t support 999 is a “simpleton” as you put it. Everytime he’s challenged on it, he says, “you don’t understand it”, iow, it’s your fault for not liking it. Just like when his stupid jokes fall flat, it’s the audience’s fault for not having a sense of humor. Arrogant.

Aslans Girl on November 11, 2011 at 6:27 PM

Lawdawg86 on November 11, 2011 at 3:34 PM

Okee Dokee. I guess?

DanaSmiles on November 11, 2011 at 6:27 PM

csdeven on November 11, 2011 at 4:52 PM

csdeven on November 11, 2011 at 4:55 PM

csdeven on November 11, 2011 at 4:57 PM

csdeven on November 11, 2011 at 5:01 PM

For a reluctant Romney supporter, you sure do get stirred up when people comment on how feckless the Ken doll is……

tom on November 11, 2011 at 8:46 PM

DanaSmiles on November 11, 2011 at 12:10 PM

Never voted democrat. voted Perot in ’92-otherwise republics on ly since my first vote in ’88. Started out as a conservative poll watch and have been a GOP election judge since ’98. I was one of the original members of the Chicago chapter of the now defunct conservative counter protest group ‘Protest Warrior’.
Nice try though.

annoyinglittletwerp on November 11, 2011 at 11:36 PM

For a reluctant Romney supporter, you sure do get stirred up when people comment on how feckless the Ken doll is……

tom on November 11, 2011 at 8:46 PM

Try rereading those comments. But this time, remove your head from your @ss, clean the $hit out of your ears, and try to be rational for a few moments.

csdeven on November 12, 2011 at 12:04 AM

I don’t understand why csdeven hasn’t been banned from this place.

JannyMae on November 12, 2011 at 1:15 AM

I don’t understand why csdeven hasn’t been banned from this place.

JannyMae on November 12, 2011 at 1:15 AM

cs is bothersome-but not as bad as some of the Cain-cultists.
northdallas30 needs to get banned long before cs.

annoyinglittletwerp on November 12, 2011 at 8:34 AM

cs is bothersome-but not as bad as some of the Cain-cultists.
northdallas30 needs to get banned long before cs.

annoyinglittletwerp on November 12, 2011 at 8:34 AM

Says the freak who should have been banned for the ugly comment in the Roseanne Barr thread about the final solution. Where was that you say? Scrubbed from the thread along with the other comments where you were quoted and people were calling for your head to be bounced out of here because it was so offensive.

You of all people, have no right to call anyone cultists or scream for anyone to be banned after that shameless display you put on and tried to defend. Get off your sanctimonious high horse and stop throwing stones from your glass house.

CannedTomatoes on November 12, 2011 at 10:48 AM

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