Gallup: GOP has double-digit lead on nat’l security, prosperity over Dems

posted at 12:45 pm on September 30, 2011 by Ed Morrissey

We’ve seen plenty of polling that shows voter disenchantment with both parties.  That doesn’t make the disenchantment evenly distributed, however, as Gallup discovers in its latest poll:

Americans see the Republican Party as better able than the Democratic Party to protect the country from terrorism and military threats, and to keep the country prosperous over the next few years.

These views come as record numbers of Americans are dissatisfied with the way the nation is being governed and express highly negative opinions about a number of other dimensions of the federal government. Next year’s elections provide Americans with an opportunity to vent their frustrations in the presidential and the congressional elections. At this point, Republicans, who currently control the House but not the presidency or the Senate, appear to be at least slightly better positioned going into the elections, given Americans’ preference for the GOP to handle the nation’s domestic and international woes.

Democrats held the advantage over the Republican Party on the “prosperous” dimension from 2003 through 2009, a period that included the majority of George W. Bush’s presidency and the first year of Barack Obama’s. The advantage switched to the GOP last year and remains so this year, by 48% to 39%.

Republicans have a long trend line of advantage on national security, so that’s not exactly a surprise.  Democrats briefly held the lead in late 2007 as the war in Iraq worsened and George W. Bush launched the “surge” strategy that eventually succeeded in pacifying the violence.

Prosperity is another matter.  With the single exception of a tie in late 2002, voters have generally trusted Democrats to protect prosperity over Republicans as late as the third quarter of 2009, at that time by 50/39.  By the time of the 2010 midterms, that had flipped by 19 points in the gap to a 48/40 advantage for the GOP.  And it’s telling that a year later, after nine months of Republican control of the House, that margin has only changed slightly — and in the direction of Republicans, 48/39.

Similarly, Democrats have surrendered an edge on handling the nation’s “most important problem,” according to voters.  Republicans historically trailed in this measure even through the 2004 election, in which they won the presidency and picked up seats in the House and Senate.  In late 2009, Democrats led this measure 45/34, and even in the 2010 midterms held onto a statistical tie at 38/40.  Republicans now lead 44/37.

Still, it’s not all celebration for Republicans, either.  Support for a third party remains relatively high at 55/38 after a 47/47 tie in 2008.  As Republicans get ready to take the Senate and argue for a Republican President, voters don’t seem terribly interested in single-party control of Washington, although they are mainly diffident about the prospect — 28% like the idea, 29% don’t, and 39% say it won’t make a difference either way.  It’s a portrait of dissatisfaction, but Democrats are still bearing the brunt of it.

Breaking on Hot Air

Blowback

Note from Hot Air management: This section is for comments from Hot Air's community of registered readers. Please don't assume that Hot Air management agrees with or otherwise endorses any particular comment just because we let it stand. A reminder: Anyone who fails to comply with our terms of use may lose their posting privilege.

Trackbacks/Pings

Trackback URL

Comments

I would NOT characterize this poll lead as being due to “trust” in the GOP.

I will speak for myself when I say; I. Don’t. Trust. The. GOP.

But I will vote to get Obozo out of Office, as long as it’s not Romney, Huntsman, Gingrich or Bachmann.

KMC1 on September 30, 2011 at 12:50 PM

I smell a LANDSLIDE

faraway on September 30, 2011 at 12:50 PM

Americans see the Republican Party as better able than the Democratic Party to protect the country from terrorism and military threats, and to keep the country prosperous over the next few years.

Aww.. Do you mean they aren’t buying the:

From each according to his abilities, to each according to his needs. – Marx

Line of pure unmitigated BS?

Chip on September 30, 2011 at 12:55 PM

don’t the Dems have an edge on the identification of decrepit bridges that are in need of repair before they fall into the Bridge Over Troubled Water?/

ted c on September 30, 2011 at 12:55 PM

I hope that we are watching the demise of what was once merely a horrible blot on American politics and culture, that is now a noisome cancer, and is about to die an agonizing and unlamented death: the Democratic Party.

Akzed on September 30, 2011 at 12:56 PM

This is why the electability argument is not as important. Romney might score a few points better than Obama but it won’t matter if there is going to be a landslide. Might as well nominate someone who is conservative.

Bill C on September 30, 2011 at 1:00 PM

I smell a LANDSLIDE

[faraway on September 30, 2011 at 12:50 PM]

It’s going to be shocking and brutal, all the way down to the races for dog catcher.

Dusty on September 30, 2011 at 1:02 PM

So, can we get a responsible budget passed then?

joeindc44 on September 30, 2011 at 1:02 PM

So lets vote for a republican. When jobs don’t come back in 10 months, do we get to dismiss the conservative mindset entirely?

ernesto on September 30, 2011 at 1:03 PM

ernesto on September 30, 2011 at 1:03 PM

Will the National Socialist Left dismiss its utterly failed ideology?

Chip on September 30, 2011 at 1:06 PM

don’t the Dems have an edge on the identification of decrepit bridges that are in need of repair before they fall into the Bridge Over Troubled Water?/

[ted c on September 30, 2011 at 12:55 PM]

Yup, and won’t they be surprised when that Bridge collapses into the Troubled Waters on Nov 6 2012 after spending the entire election campaign jumping up and down on that advantage in an effort to be taken seriously.

Dusty on September 30, 2011 at 1:09 PM

So lets vote for a republican. When jobs don’t come back in 10 months, do we get to dismiss the conservative mindset entirely?

ernesto on September 30, 2011 at 1:03 PM

yeah sure, then we’ll give the POTUS his job back and give him his rightful 2nd chance at carter’s 3rd term/

ted c on September 30, 2011 at 1:09 PM

So lets vote for a republican. When jobs don’t come back in 10 months, do we get to dismiss the conservative mindset entirely?

ernesto on September 30, 2011 at 1:03 PM

if the economy takes off like a rocket can we finally dismiss liberalism?

Mord on September 30, 2011 at 1:10 PM

Chip on September 30, 2011 at 1:06 PM

You realize that by demonstrating Godwin’s law every time you post disqualifies your every argument, right?

ernesto on September 30, 2011 at 1:10 PM

So lets vote for a republican. When jobs don’t come back in 10 months, do we get to dismiss the conservative mindset entirely?

ernesto on September 30, 2011 at 1:03 PM

10 months? Have you been in a coma for several years?

We had a Democrat controlled Congress for 4 years, 2 of which were while Obama was the President.

Or is all of this still Booooosh’s fault?

gwelf on September 30, 2011 at 1:10 PM

Anyone wonder, with the results of this poll, and Awlaki being assassinated , that there may be a connection? hmmmmmmmmmmmm.

capejasmine on September 30, 2011 at 1:10 PM

if the economy takes off like a rocket can we finally dismiss liberalism?

Mord on September 30, 2011 at 1:10 PM

Absolutely

ernesto on September 30, 2011 at 1:11 PM

You realize that by demonstrating Godwin’s law every time you post disqualifies your every argument, right?

ernesto on September 30, 2011 at 1:10 PM

Nice counter argument. Totally convincing.

gwelf on September 30, 2011 at 1:11 PM

So lets vote for a republican. When jobs don’t come back in 10 months, do we get to dismiss the conservative mindset entirely?

[ernesto on September 30, 2011 at 1:03 PM]

Sure, do what you want. Everyone else will have two years.

Dusty on September 30, 2011 at 1:13 PM

if the economy takes off like a rocket can we finally dismiss liberalism?

Mord on September 30, 2011 at 1:10 PM

Absolutely

ernesto on September 30, 2011 at 1:11 PM

You’re gonna be on suicide watch then if Pres. Palin eliminates the corp income tax, you betcha.

faraway on September 30, 2011 at 1:13 PM

Absolutely

ernesto on September 30, 2011 at 1:11 PM

It’s going to take more than 10 months to undo years of liberal created bureaucracy.

If we get a GOP controlled Congress/Presidency that actually repeals ObamaCare and rolls back all that the liberals have wrought then you can judge the state of the economy at the end of the President’s 4 year term.

Also, you do realize that if you hold Obama up to the standards he set for himself at the beginning of his presidency he’s a miserable failure?

gwelf on September 30, 2011 at 1:14 PM

gwelf on September 30, 2011 at 1:11 PM

You can’t argue with someone who BEGINS the conversation by calling you hitler. You have to just walk away.

ernesto on September 30, 2011 at 1:14 PM

Chip on September 30, 2011 at 1:06 PM

You realize that by demonstrating Godwin’s law every time you post disqualifies your every argument, right?

ernesto on September 30, 2011 at 1:10 PM

Godwin’s law?

What are you alluding to? Which words are we forbidden to use now?

Is National forbidden by Godwin’s law now?

Chip on September 30, 2011 at 1:16 PM

You can’t argue with someone who BEGINS the conversation by calling you hitler. You have to just walk away.

ernesto on September 30, 2011 at 1:14 PM

Ah, so you’re concerned about the tone of the argument?
That’s pretty rich coming from you.

gwelf on September 30, 2011 at 1:16 PM

Yes, but once Sean Penn has completed his work in Egypt, the Dems will bounce right back.

http://themorningspew.com/2011/09/30/sean-penn-goes-to-egypt/

bloggless on September 30, 2011 at 1:19 PM

Methinks that poll shows that the public is aware that the “failed policies” of W here are still sound, and they CAN separate that fact.

It galls me that Obama&co, will instantly take credit for something they had little or nothing to do with. I will credit the military for continuing W’s policy, not so much Obama.

irongrampa on September 30, 2011 at 1:25 PM

So lets vote for a republican. When jobs don’t come back in 10 months, do we get to dismiss the conservative mindset entirely?

ernesto on September 30, 2011 at 1:03 PM

Since the liberal mindset is to suffocate absolutely everything, I don’t see how voting republican can make things any worse.

stvnscott on September 30, 2011 at 1:26 PM

You can’t argue with someone who BEGINS the conversation by calling you hitler. You have to just walk away.

ernesto on September 30, 2011 at 1:14 PM

Umm… who exactly said that?

Which words would you like to be stricken from life’s lexicon?

National? As in Democrat National Committee?

What about the term Socialist?

Is that word now also off-limits?

As in the Union of Soviet Socialist Republics?

What about the term Left?

Or is that is now to be prohibited to Combine certain words together?

Chip on September 30, 2011 at 1:34 PM

You realize that by demonstrating Godwin’s law every time you post disqualifies your every argument, right?

ernesto on September 30, 2011 at 1:10 PM

says the guy whose nearly every post is a strawman.

lorien1973 on September 30, 2011 at 1:34 PM

But I will vote to get Obozo out of Office, as long as it’s not Romney, Huntsman, Gingrich or Bachmann.

KMC1 on September 30, 2011 at 12:50 PM

..and if it is? You going to consign us all to four years of an unfettered Obama veto pen and the ability to appoint two ultra-lib JSOCs?

The War Planner on September 30, 2011 at 1:36 PM

Since the liberal mindset is to suffocate absolutely everything, I don’t see how voting republican can make things any worse.

stvnscott on September 30, 2011 at 1:26 PM

Nah, if the jobs did come back in 10 months, ernesto would be here posting:

You know who else made millions of jobs in 10 months? Hitler.

lorien1973 on September 30, 2011 at 1:37 PM

People learned what a truly bad economy was thanks to the dems. Now the economy under Bush doesn’t seem so bad.

Hard Right on September 30, 2011 at 1:37 PM

“These poll numbers acted stupidly…” PBHO

Khun Joe on September 30, 2011 at 1:45 PM

A lot can happen in 13 months. Let’s not get cocky.

angryed on September 30, 2011 at 1:45 PM

You realize that by demonstrating Godwin’s law every time you post disqualifies your every argument, right?

ernesto on September 30, 2011 at 1:10 PM

says the guy whose nearly every post is a strawman.

lorien1973 on September 30, 2011 at 1:34 PM

Lorien, don’t you know that the brown man has been oppressed by evil white Republicans for 871 years? Leave Ernie alone.

angryed on September 30, 2011 at 1:47 PM

So lets vote for a republican. When jobs don’t come back in 10 months, do we get to dismiss the conservative mindset entirely?

ernesto on September 30, 2011 at 1:03 PM

Ernie,

Take a look at this graph. It encapsulates everything you need to know about jobs, Democrats and Republicans.

http://2.bp.blogspot.com/_FwT2sp_7llg/TAm0Uuv8aRI/AAAAAAAAAJY/NiBRPXXZB-g/s1600/Unemployment.jpg

angryed on September 30, 2011 at 1:49 PM

ernesto on September 30, 2011 at 1:03 PM

The liberal mindset is about to be wiped out, not entirely, but to the tune of 80%.

This is why.

Schadenfreude on September 30, 2011 at 1:51 PM

So lets vote for a republican. When jobs don’t come back in 10 months, do we get to dismiss the conservative mindset entirely?

ernesto on September 30, 2011 at 1:03 PM

Instead of arguing counter-factuals and straw-men presumptions, how about we just see what our current leadership brings us in 14 months, and vote accordingly?

BlueCollarAstronaut on September 30, 2011 at 1:55 PM

ernesto on September 30, 2011 at 1:14 PM

We’re looking for some guidance here – which words are we Allowed to use now?

Chip on September 30, 2011 at 1:57 PM

But I will vote to get Obozo out of Office, as long as it’s not Romney, Huntsman, Gingrich or Bachmann.

KMC1 on September 30, 2011 at 12:50 PM

Seriously? You’ll stay home if it’s one of them? I’m in the ABO crowd myself. Romney or Huntsman probably wouldn’t be better than Øbama, but at least they’d be different.

Kafir on September 30, 2011 at 1:58 PM

Y’know, when GWB said: “I’ve abandoned free-market principles to save the free-market system,” in 2008, it was utterly incomprehensible and dispiriting to most who heard it.
To be honest, it gave me chills, at the thought that he may have actually understood that it would awaken the populace !
In the ‘Needed Carter to get Reagan’ sense.
ENTER THE TEA PARTY !!!
Wouldn’t rule out that he did.
Jus sayin’.

pambi on September 30, 2011 at 1:58 PM

People can be duped into buying cars and into a soft and fuzzy liberal lie until that liberal lie forecloses their homes, destroys their family and takes away their children’s future and the future of the nation they’ve grown up loving.

Speakup on September 30, 2011 at 2:02 PM

You can’t argue with someone who BEGINS the conversation by calling you hitler. You have to just walk away.

ernesto on September 30, 2011 at 1:14 PM

What about all the BusHitler signs, ernie? Huh?

Don’t get me started about Obama and his ideological predecessors — Stalin, Pol Pot, Mao, etc.

They made Hitler look like a piker.

And don’t forget Bill Ayers, who was quoted by an FBI undercover agent that 25 million Americans would have to be killed in a successful Socialist/Communist revolution.

either orr on September 30, 2011 at 2:10 PM

either orr on September 30, 2011 at 2:10 PM

No no no.

Ernesto, in just two threads down said about Cain’s SS plan: You know who devised it? A murderous dictator.

Now he complains about Godwin. I mean. Really.

lorien1973 on September 30, 2011 at 2:15 PM

As usual Ernie ignores all the evidence I posted. Easier to call everyone a racist than argue based on facts.

And once again Ernie, do white people deserve welfare because of racism? You have yet to answer that question.

angryed on September 30, 2011 at 2:21 PM

lorien1973 on September 30, 2011 at 2:15 PM

I though dictators were cool as long as they were brown/black. It’s so hard trying to keep up with liberal logic.

angryed on September 30, 2011 at 2:23 PM

Still, it’s not all celebration for Republicans, either. Support for a third party remains relatively high at 55/38 after a 47/47 tie in 2008. As Republicans get ready to take the Senate and argue for a Republican President, voters don’t seem terribly interested in single-party control of Washington, although they are mainly diffident about the prospect — 28% like the idea, 29% don’t, and 39% say it won’t make a difference either way.

Republicans would only need 4 net pickups to get a Senate majority (or 3 pickups plus the VP), but most voters know that 51 Senators of one party don’t “control” the Senate due to the filibuster rule. The Senate minority party almost always has foot-dragging power, but a change in the Presidency would have a much greater influence on policy in 2013.

Steve Z on September 30, 2011 at 2:49 PM

But I will vote to get Obozo out of Office, as long as it’s not Romney, Huntsman, Gingrich or Bachmann.

KMC1 on September 30, 2011 at 12:50 PM

I will vote to get Obozo out of office, even if it is Romney or Gingrich. We need to stay focused, and conservatives are better off with a President who agrees with them 50 or 60% of the time than a President who agrees with them 0% of the time. Half a loaf is better than nothing!!!

Steve Z on September 30, 2011 at 2:52 PM

Knowing the GOP is really the political twin to the Red Sox -they’ll blow the lead big time!

Remember GOP just cause the balks and errors of the other team gave you the lead -don’t think for one single moment that you earned it-you haven’t -the tea party has. One mistake and it’s to the hot line to the bull pen for the third party pitcher.

Don L on September 30, 2011 at 3:06 PM

So lets vote for a republican. When jobs don’t come back in 10 months, do we get to dismiss the conservative mindset entirely?

ernesto on September 30, 2011 at 1:03 PM

There are some things of England’s Parliment that I like:

A vote of no Confidence:-)

bluefox on September 30, 2011 at 3:18 PM

When jobs don’t come back in 10 months,

10 months? Goodness, Obama’s had three years to do his destruction and intimidate or scare every job creator and potential job creator in the nation into his WWII bomb shelter.

Don L on September 30, 2011 at 3:21 PM

So lets vote for a republican. When jobs don’t come back in 10 months, do we get to dismiss the conservative Progressive mindset entirely?

ernesto on September 30, 2011 at 1:03 PM

Fixed

IowaWoman on September 30, 2011 at 3:42 PM

So lets vote for a republican Conservative. When jobs don’t come back in 10 months, do we get to dismiss the conservative Progressive mindset entirely?

ernesto on September 30, 2011 at 1:03 PM

Opps, now Fixed.

IowaWoman on September 30, 2011 at 3:44 PM