Why Perry may be the real deal

posted at 2:30 pm on August 14, 2011 by Ed Morrissey

My good friends John Hinderaker and Scott Johnson offer eulogies for the Tim Pawlenty presidential campaign today at Power Line, and as usual, they are quite insightful. Scott says that Pawlenty’s descent started when he backed down from challenging Mitt Romney in an earlier debate, and notes that Republicans in this cycle want a fighter.  John laments the loss of the one candidate he thought could easily beat Barack Obama based on his record, and says that Pawlenty never got past “the first impression of him as just another guy in a suit.”  Both are fair conclusions, and be sure to read both posts in their entirety.

However, both Scott and John express some reservations about Rick Perry and his ability to be a “viable alternative” to Mitt Romney and/or Obama himself.  I’ve been covering Perry as a potential candidate since April 2010, when he rocked the house with a speech to the Southern Republican Leadership Conference in New Orleans. Even then, while being challenged in the primary for his third term as Texas governor by Kay Bailey Hutchison, his appeal as a presidential candidate was apparent:

I’ve seen Perry give speeches on television (mainly on YouTube) and knew he could be dynamic. Earlier in the day, I mentioned that alone among the other speakers on the ticket today, Perry had the only shot at matching the energy of Sarah Palin’s appearance. Perry has a very active delivery, in the same manner as a preacher. He doesn’t stand still, but instead puts his whole body into what he says. Perry’s speech turned a political conference into a Republican revival meeting, complete with the call to action at the end.

Perry’s first priority will be to win re-election in Texas later this year, which shouldn’t present a difficult task. If after that he decides to get serious about a run for the Presidency, don’t count him out. He’ll have more than two terms as an executive in a state that, as Perry reminded everyone in the speech, ranks first for economic growth thanks to Republican efforts to trim costs and keep taxes low. He could very well be the kind of challenger that could make Obama’s shot at a second term very, very difficult.


Later that week
, he denied any interest in the job, but Perry spent the next year picking very national fights with the Obama administration. In December, Perry launched a broadside against the EPA and challenged their authority, drawing the White House into a political battle over regulation and federal encroachment on states’ jurisdictions. Two months later, Perry crafted a legislative agenda in his state that included border security and abortion, as well as voter ID and eminent-domain reform.

Perry’s main focus will be on jobs, of course, but he has spent the past year or more already fighting the Obama administration, and not just rhetorically, either. He starts off with more credibility on this score than anyone else in the race, plus that jobs record for which Obama will have no answer at all. Perry hasn’t come out of nowhere to enter this presidential race, and his careful building of stature gives a strong indication of his viability as a candidate.

Tonight, Perry meets Iowa Republicans in Waterloo, an event which Michele Bachmann and Rick Santorum will attend. With Pawlenty out of the race, Perry’s entry threatens Bachmann the most. Perry can match her argument as a fighter against Obama but add over ten years of successful executive governance and job creation to the mix. He can fire up voters as well as she does, too, as his speech at the SRLC demonstrated. I’ll be at the event in Waterloo tonight, and I will be watching the interaction and the crowd reaction carefully. We will shortly see how well Perry can campaign nationally, but given the lengthy preparation for this entry, I’d bet viability won’t be much of a problem.

Meanwhile, here is Perry’s speech from April 2010, as a reminder:

If the Internet connection holds up, I’ll be Tweeting my analysis during the event. Once more, here is the Townhall/HotAir widget for those who want to track my feed here rather than at Twitter:


Breaking on Hot Air

Blowback

Note from Hot Air management: This section is for comments from Hot Air's community of registered readers. Please don't assume that Hot Air management agrees with or otherwise endorses any particular comment just because we let it stand. A reminder: Anyone who fails to comply with our terms of use may lose their posting privilege.

Trackbacks/Pings

Trackback URL

Comments

Comment pages: 1 6 7 8

ddrintn on August 14, 2011 at 9:47 PM

That last line was a line too far…

Gohawgs on August 14, 2011 at 10:17 PM

In other words, it was dead-on accurate except for

I’m not middle aged, I’m old as in senior citizen.

Figures.

After what I’ve been called here by various people for the past couple of years, nothing is a “line too far”.

ddrintn on August 14, 2011 at 10:33 PM

OK. This made me laugh.

Just like her early summer bus tour, I can’t help but laugh to see the likes of Chuck Todd breathlessly reporting such important events as Palin getting back in a minivan.
miConsevative on August 14, 2011 at 9:54 PM

bluefox on August 14, 2011 at 10:35 PM

ddrintn on August 14, 2011 at 10:33 PM

By knucklehead?…

Gohawgs on August 14, 2011 at 10:38 PM

OK. This made me laugh.

Just like her early summer bus tour, I can’t help but laugh to see the likes of Chuck Todd breathlessly reporting such important events as Palin getting back in a minivan.
miConsevative on August 14, 2011 at 9:54 PM

bluefox on August 14, 2011 at 10:35 PM

That’s an Oops… I was getting ready to reply and the thread flipped to the next page!! Any, I thot that was funny too:-)

bluefox on August 14, 2011 at 10:46 PM

I’m sure someone will post Perry’s speech..It was good!..:)

Dire Straits on August 14, 2011 at 9:45 PM

I’m betting that he didn’t repeat what he said during a border summit in 2001:
“We must say to every Texas child learning in a Texas classroom, “We don’t care where you come from, but where you are going, and we are going to do everything we can to help you get there. And that vision must include the children of undocumented workers. “ Perry added that, “the doors of higher education must be open to them. The message is simple: educacion es el futuro, y si se puede [education is the future, and yes, we can].”

That little thing called the Dream Act that he signed in 2001 costs Texas taxpayers $12,000 per for every illegal student. I doubt if he’s going to voluntarily talk about his pro-amnesty, open borders, pro anchor baby and pro eminent domain views either.

TxAnn56 on August 14, 2011 at 10:55 PM

TxAnn56 on August 14, 2011 at 10:55 PM

I have read your posts with interest. You sound sincere and the fact that you have apparently lived through it makes it more palpable.

I am in the phase that could be called the Great Disillusionment where it seems whomever comes along and has advanced to a political position of prominence has done so at the expense of the qualities I am looking for.

Just those words, the Dream act, sends a chill down my spine for living midst border issues I see the repercussions of the lax stance, even acceptance, toward giving special privileges to people who have circumvented the Law.

Only in this case it is the Law that was circumvented by Political pandering and altering it in ways that are ultimately devastating to tax payers.

I am sure once it comes time to plan for a National Role-Out these same people begin to scrub their mistakes by adopting views opposite to those they held during their tenure; as if people will forget what what done in the past.

Its this kind of adapted deception that bothers me the most. And all to often it is simply denied by saying: “Well he thinks this now, or that was then, he said the other day that…”

Geochelone on August 14, 2011 at 11:14 PM

all to too often

Geochelone on August 14, 2011 at 11:15 PM

I’d love to see the statistic of “relocated jobs” to Texas… Not sure how you call a relocated job a created job, but I believe Texas is…

I know A LOT of California businesses have relocated to Texas (and other states) due to the high tax burden and fee/license requirements, amongst other things…

Khun Joe on August 14, 2011 at 8:41 PM

Technically speaking my husband works a ‘relocated job’. He’s doing the same thing he did in Illinois-for the same company-except now he’s doing it in Brownfield, TX rather than Chicago/Chicago Heights IL.

annoyinglittletwerp on August 14, 2011 at 11:44 PM

Ed M, I must hand it to you. This is your best work yet.

faraway on August 14, 2011 at 11:48 PM

I’d love to see the statistic of “relocated jobs” to Texas… Not sure how you call a relocated job a created job, but I believe Texas is…

This doesn’t show jobs, but it shows people, which you can assume are most likely moving for economic reasons.

http://www.forbes.com/2010/06/04/migration-moving-wealthy-interactive-counties-map.html

I’d click on Dallas and Harris Counties for starters.

cpaulus on August 14, 2011 at 11:58 PM

Here’s to Agent P soundly defeating Obamaschmirtz in 2012

MechEng5by5 on August 15, 2011 at 12:37 AM

Oh, it’s going to be Perry versus Romney for the nomination, the rest are in it for other reasons – to sell books, raise speaking fees, prepare for a future run for something, or just the ego trip. And then there is Ron Paul, who is running because we don’t put the mentally ill away anymore if they aren’t a danger to themselves or others.

Perry is closer to my own positions on issues where they differ or where depth and sincerity of belief is at issue. But I’m not against Romney, and appreciate his assets.

The guy made hundreds of millions buying into troubled companies and turning them around. That means eliminating wasteful spending and inefficiencies, discontinuing unprofitable lines, and laying off excess labor. That sounds to me like exactly what the federal government needs today.

Perry’s obviously successful, too, but the powers of the Governor in Texas are among the weaker state executives. However, this means the Governor must work with the legislature to get his agenda through, and Perry has been able to do that effectively for the most part.

The biggest strikes against Romney are RomneyCare and his tendency to change positions on key issues in a way that seems expedient. The biggest strikes against Perry are his pushing the mandatory HPV vaccine and mixed positions on illegal immigration. Some also complain about his proposed use of eminent domain (which never came to be) for a transportation project, but that’s one of the legitimate purposes for the exercise of eminent domain. So call them even on the negatives, with Perry a slight plus on ideological purity, and Romney a slight plus on real-world achievements.

It should be a close and interesting fight. We can only hope the candidates remember the real problem is Obama, not each other.

Adjoran on August 15, 2011 at 4:26 AM

CAIR like Perry and Perry likes Shira law.

Menorah on August 15, 2011 at 5:29 AM

Perry’s Problematic Pals
By Pamela Geller

“It was bad enough that Bush was close to Norquist. There is no way the GOP can again nominate anyone who is so completely and utterly clueless about the fifth column within. Ten years after 9/11, can’t we nominate someone who can speak to the ominous threat posed by Islamic supremacists in this country?”

“Rick Perry must not be the Republican nominee. Rick Perry must not be President. Have we not had enough of this systemic sedition?”

http://www.americanthinker.com/2011/08/perrys_problematic_pals.html

Viator on August 15, 2011 at 5:45 AM

Perry likes Shira law.

Menorah on August 15, 2011 at 5:29 AM

Why he sure does! We Texans bow to mecca ’round sundown in between the brisket and cobbler.

Marcus on August 15, 2011 at 6:39 AM

CAIR like Perry and Perry likes Shira law.
Menorah on August 15, 2011 at 5:29 AM

Nice sentence structure. It’s Sharia, not Shira.

kingsjester on August 15, 2011 at 6:44 AM

And why would a Texas Governor who proclaims Jesus Christ as Lord of his Life support Sharia Law?

kingsjester on August 15, 2011 at 6:51 AM

Perry / West 2012

Urban Infidel on August 15, 2011 at 6:53 AM

Watch for Debbie Downer’s ad hominems against Gov. Perry. Obama’s attack poodle is piddling on the floor of The Won’s campaign bus.

Roy Rogers on August 15, 2011 at 7:07 AM

Perry is a total phony … To paraphrase Rush on Obama, I hope he fails. He is not a conservative, he is an opportunist with a big ego… One thing he is not is The Real Deal…

georgealbert on August 15, 2011 at 7:09 AM

Perry 2012 !

petefrt on August 15, 2011 at 8:03 AM

Why he sure does! We Texans bow to mecca ’round sundown in between the brisket and cobbler.

Marcus on August 15, 2011 at 6:39 AM

Speak for yourself, I prefer a pulled pork sandwich over brisket for my pre-praying meal.

cozmo on August 15, 2011 at 8:05 AM

The real deal has had her cards on the table for some time now and is about to throw her money in the pot. She’ll empty the competition quickly of the usual the slick-haired, smooth talking professional card sharks, without having to cheat with a couple of aces up her sleeve.

Go Sarah!

Don L on August 15, 2011 at 8:31 AM

Pamela Geller nails Perry’s pro-Sharia political alliances, reason enough to drop him.

After doing everything to make NAFTA and his open trucking highway from hell TX Corridor from Mexico against the will of Texan business and land owners, Rick Perry mailed “strongly worded letters” to Obama regarding Texas’ open border with Mexico. Wow.

GeorgeAlbert @ 7:09 tagged Rick’s opportunistic streak.

Since Ed Morrissey is unfavorable to the Tea Party movement agenda, favoring it’s demise in favor of preserving neoconservative authoritarianism, of course since Pawlenty quit, Ed will back Perry. For the record that Ed missed, Perry’s 3rd term campaign was not threatened by Hutchison who lagged without voter support. Perry lashed out against his opponent who won the debates on behalf of the Republican Tea Party, propagandizing false hype.

Since when was it the role of government to “create” jobs? Since becoming socialist. Perry promises the socialist propaganda to “create jobs” rather than stipulating how to ENABLE job growth in the private sector. The job “growth” in Texas has been in MORE GOVERNMENT JOBS.

It isn’t any TX Governor who made Texas business friendly, but the TX Voters and the TX State Constitution that LIMITS THE POWER OF THE GOVERNOR.

And Rick Perry abused that limited authority and was reprimanded by the State Supreme Court, by the State Legislature and by the public outcry for exceeding his constitutional powers to actually deny US Citizens of Texas our US Constitutional Rights.

THAT is why Rick Perry must not get supported by US citizen voters into the Oval Office.

We can’t endure another abusive authoritarian who sold out to the global corporatists long ago, whose record has already tread on the constitutional rights of American citizens by ignoring the constitutional limitations of his own office. Rick Perry is not going to fight against the systemic status quo of corruption on behalf of US constitutional conservancy. Rather, Perry will further erode any foundation supporting our “Constitutional Republic”.

maverick muse on August 15, 2011 at 8:45 AM

Palin was active in the PTA before starting her political career.
She served on the Wasilla City Council from 1992 to 1996.
She served as Mayor/City Manager of Wasilla from 1996 to 2002.
She was a board member of the Alaska Municipal League and President of the Alaska Conference of Mayors.
She served as Chair of the Alaska Oil and Gas Conservation Commission from 2003 to 2004.
She was a director of Excellence in Public Service, a 527 group, from 2003 to 2005.
She served as Alaska Governor from 2006 to 2009.
She served as Chair of the Interstate Oil and Gas Compact Commission from 2007 to 2008.
She served as chair or vice-chair of various committees within the National Governors’ Association and the Republican Governors’ Association.
Plus, she has run various family businesses with Todd for decades.

It’s all on the table.

steebo77 on August 14, 2011 at 3:07 PM

And for all that, after getting a taste of the national limelight she simply walked out on the people who elected her.

Wait until confirmation finally comes out that she faked her last pregnancy.

I ask again, who are you going to believe? Palin or your lying eyes?

chumpThreads on August 15, 2011 at 8:47 AM

these same people begin to scrub their mistakes by adopting views opposite to those they held during their tenure; as if people will forget what what done in the past.

Its this kind of adapted deception that bothers me the most. And all to often it is simply denied by saying: “Well he thinks this now, or that was then, he said the other day that…”

Geochelone on August 14, 2011 at 11:14 PM

Excellent point -seldom spelled out as well.
I have always held the view that while true “conversion” of base principles(life, the proper role of government, defense, taxes, education, family, morality and culture etc) occur occasionaly, there are few actual conversions in real life.

In the polical world, unfortunately they are a regular convenient daily occurence, only to become a re-occurence the next day, as soon as it fits the new narrative.

The problem with politicians is a simple one of trust. Sadly, I can better trust Obama to continue taking down America, than I can trust the GOP candidates to try, at all costs, to stop him.

At this point in time , I have allowed myself the risk of placing my trust in just one of the many GOP wannabees -Sarah Palin. She has earned it with a solid history of being consistent on key principles-on both sides of the American coin -social and fiscal responsibility.

That she is still smiling is a plus, considering the attcks from both side by those who fear the fact that she can be trusted to do what is right, at the expense of compromising for their approval.

Don L on August 15, 2011 at 8:48 AM

maverick muse on August 15, 2011 at 8:45 AM

Well said.

derft on August 15, 2011 at 9:25 AM

Wait until confirmation finally comes out that she faked her last pregnancy.

I ask again, who are you going to believe? Palin or your lying eyes?

chumpThreads on August 15, 2011 at 8:47 AM

You nuts.

darwin on August 15, 2011 at 10:08 AM

Like it or not, Palin has become a much too polarizing figure. In the general, she will repel far more than she will attract. She is not without considerable intelligence; and, she knows this as a fact.

She is playing the media at this point; acting primarily as a lightning rod for all of the GOP candidates. Once this has played out (late September), she will NOT enter the race; and will endorse either Perry or Bachmann (in order of preference) depending on their standing at the time.

Droopy on August 15, 2011 at 11:46 AM

People are looking for a hero, half measures won’t do, Pawlenty and Romney aren’t credible as a hero. People want a CHAMPION, a hard-slugger, a POLARIZER, this is why Palin or Perry or Bachmann or EVEN Ron Paul are embraced. Obama himself is embraced as a hero by his side. A reasonable politician is no longer acceptable, if they ever were!

bigmike on August 15, 2011 at 12:19 PM

CAIR like Perry and Perry likes Shira law.
Menorah on August 15, 2011 at 5:29 AM

Links please…….

labrat on August 15, 2011 at 1:37 PM

How about we elect the Texas state legislature to replace the U.S. congress and tell Perry to stay home instead. I fail to see where he is a strong executive and a fighter or a champion. He is a career politician with no connection to the current grass roots events – who happens to be from Texas.

Resolute on August 15, 2011 at 5:16 PM

If we can do better, I see no reason for myself or anyone else to settle as we go into the primaries.

gryphon202 on August 14, 2011 at 3:35 PM

Why would you settle for this:

During the fiscal years for which Rick Perry exercised budgetary authority as Governor of Texas (FY02 through FY10) • Debt outstanding increased 184.2%, or 20.5% per year • Per capita debt outstanding increased 140.4%, or 15.6% per year • Total liabilities increased 60.6%, or 6.7% per year • Total liabilities per capita increased 35.8%, or 4.0% per year

When you could have this:

During the fiscal years for which Sarah Palin exercised budgetary authority as Governor of Alaska (FY08 through FY10) • Debt outstanding increased 12.7%, or 4.2% per year • Per capita debt outstanding increased 7.4%, or 2.5% per year • Total liabilities decreased 34.6%, or 11.5% per year • Total liabilities per capita decreased 37.7%, or 12.6% per year

Why would you settle for this:

Texas’s General Fund has averaged a surplus of only $7 million, or 0.01% of revenues, under Rick Perry.

[...]

In Rick Perry’s latest fiscal year, Texas’s General Fund amounted to $8.4 billion, or 10% of revenues.

When you could have this:

During the fiscal years for which Sarah Palin exercised budgetary authority as Governor of Alaska, the State’s General Fund averaged an annual surplus of more than $2.6 billion (up from her predecessor’s average of $1.0 billion), amounting to 24.4% of average revenuesover the same period.

[...]

At the close of Gov. Palin’s final fiscal year, Alaska’s General Fund had grownto$15.5 billion, equal to 158% of yearly revenues.

Why would you settle for this:

During Rick Perry’s governorship (December 2000 – May 2011) · Texas ranked 4th in the nation for job growth. · Texas ranked 23rd in the nation for change in the unemployment rate relative to the national average.

When you could have this:

During Sarah Palin’s governorship (December 2006 – July 2009) · Alaska ranked 2nd in the nation for job growth. · Alaska ranked 3rd in the nation for change in the unemployment rate relative to the national average.

Why would you settle for this:

During Rick Perry’s tenure as governor, • Texas ranked 10th in the nation in GDPgrowth. • Texas ranked 27th in the nation in per capita GDP growth. • Per capita GDP grew $839 ($84 per year) more in Texas than in the nation. • Texas’s economy grew 1.17% faster per year than the U.S. economy.

When you could have this:

During Sarah Palin’s tenure as governor, • Alaska ranked 4th in the nation in GDPgrowth. • Alaska ranked 4th in the nation in per capita GDP growth. • Per capita GDP grew $5,251 ($2,100 per year) more in Alaska than in the nation. • Alaska’s economy grew 2.79% faster per year than the U.S. economy.

steebo77 on August 14, 2011 at 3:44 PM

Wow.

I asked this once before but didn’t get an answer … am I the only one who skips posts this long?

Sheesh.

Just really puts a hiccup in the flow of the conversation.

cgoode777 on August 15, 2011 at 9:17 PM

Droopy on August 15, 2011 at 11:46 AM

It’s a sad day in America when someone standing on principle is considered polarizing or too polarizing to run for elected office…

Gohawgs on August 16, 2011 at 12:36 AM

steebo77 on August 14, 2011 at 3:44 PM

I like Palin. And, if she were to run, I’d certainly consider her.

but, as of right now, she is not running and she hasn’t really done anything to make me think she is running.

Until she is running, I’m going to look at those who are running and not Palin.

Monkeytoe on August 16, 2011 at 8:36 AM

Comment pages: 1 6 7 8