Obama in Pennsylvania virtual tie with … Rick Santorum?

posted at 1:22 pm on August 2, 2011 by Ed Morrissey

Bad news comes out of the must-carry state of Pennsylvania today for Barack Obama and his re-election hopes.  Not only has Obama fallen far below water in his approval rating in the latest Quinnipiac poll, he has now dropped into a tie against a potential Republican nominee.  No, this isn’t a generic Republican, either:

The protracted slugfest over raising the national debt limit leaves President Barack Obama with a 54 – 43 percent disapproval among Pennsylvania voters, but he scores better than Republicans or Democrats in Congress, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today. …

Pennsylvania voters say 52 – 42 percent that Obama does not deserve to be reelected. Matching the president against possible Republican challengers shows:

  • Former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney with 44 percent to Obama’s 42 percent;
  • Former Pennsylvania Sen. Rick Santorum with 43 percent to Obama’s 45 percent;
  • Obama leads Minnesota U.S. Rep. Michele Bachmann 47 – 39 percent;
  • Obama tops Texas Gov. Rick Perry 45 – 39 percent.

The internals of the poll look even worse for Obama.  The overall deserves-re-election number is 42/52, a very bad number in Democrat-heavy Pennsylvania, where Democrats account for half of all registered voters.  Independents split almost exactly the same at 42/51, and the only region in which Obama has a majority for re-election is Philadelphia.  Even among union households, which should be Obama’s bread and butter, he only gets a narrow 48/45 split, roughly a virtual tie.

The head-to-head numbers are simply embarrassing for a Democratic President in Pennsylvania, especially against a former Keystone State Senator who got blown out in his last statewide election.  There is another reason to worry, too, in that series.  Obama doesn’t get to 50% against any Republican in head-to-head matchups, usually a big red flag for incumbents.  The best he does is 47% against Michele Bachmann.

If Obama is doing this badly in Pennsylvania, it strongly suggests a big opening in the Rust Belt for Republicans next year.  Democrats in Michigan have a similar registration advantage, but not in Ohio, Indiana, or even Wisconsin, which have similar demographics as Pennsylvania and all of which Obama carried in 2008.  Obama has a big, big problem in this region, and losing Pennsylvania might just be the beginning of his woes.

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As Nelson Muntz would say: “Ha ha!”

LibertarianRepublican on August 2, 2011 at 1:25 PM

We can generally take a measure of the political view of the writers here based on which pictures they select.

slickwillie2001 on August 2, 2011 at 1:25 PM

Santorum should run for Senate again in Pennsylvania.

SouthernGent on August 2, 2011 at 1:26 PM

Polls are polls but there does seem to be a trend lately. Let’s see what they are saying come this time next year.

Bishop on August 2, 2011 at 1:27 PM

Obooba’s worse than a lame duck, he’s out first Zombie president. Well, since Jimmy Carter.

Akzed on August 2, 2011 at 1:27 PM

Perhaps it’s the lavender suit and pink tie?

carbon_footprint on August 2, 2011 at 1:28 PM

Somewhere Jimmy Carter is smiling.

Knucklehead on August 2, 2011 at 1:30 PM

Rick, lose the lavander suit, man.

JohnGalt23 on August 2, 2011 at 1:30 PM

Pennsylvania is “democrat heavy” only in the districts surrounding Philadelphia and Pittsburgh. If you look at past election maps, the vast majority of the real estate in Pennsylvania is red, not blue. But it’s the people, not acres, that vote.

crosspatch on August 2, 2011 at 1:33 PM

Obama in Pennsylvania virtual tie with … Rick Santorum?

Is that thing he’s wearing a virtual tie? Damn, it hurts my eyes.

RadClown on August 2, 2011 at 1:35 PM

Collapse.

Cicero43 on August 2, 2011 at 1:36 PM

Rick, lose the lavander suit, man.

JohnGalt23 on August 2, 2011 at 1:30 PM

While a black suit might look better with that breast cancer awareness tie, it just does not work with the cause.

As for why we have a pink tie pic in the first place, well, this site is dedicated to Mitt Romney.

I wonder how much cash Romney supporters have funneled to hotair?

Freddy on August 2, 2011 at 1:37 PM

Is that JetBoy?

Akzed on August 2, 2011 at 1:37 PM

This was Quinnipiac? It wasn’t that biased Rasmussen?

This is unbelieveable.

either orr on August 2, 2011 at 1:39 PM

The union people in Pennsylvania are real union people, not SEIU public-employee union people. They haven’t gotten squat fromn this Administration. The biggest thing that has happened in Philly recently for union jobs has been the construction of the Comcast Center and now the landing of a big shipbuilding contract by the privately owned Aker shipyard. In the western part of the state, it is drilling jobs in the Marcellus Shale. Government isn’t doing anything around here to help the union boys.

rockmom on August 2, 2011 at 1:42 PM

Hey, that’s not a virtual tie up there in the pic. That’s a REAL tie, and it’s very pink and FAB.O.LOUS.

Scherzophrenic on August 2, 2011 at 1:45 PM

uh-oh bammie…..what happened?

Tim_CA on August 2, 2011 at 1:45 PM

If someone hit him with a UV light wearing that suit, he could cause an explosion on par with a warp core breach.

catmman on August 2, 2011 at 1:45 PM

Yeah, that is surprising. I grew up in Philly. FDR was a god. All my relatives had union jobs.

Noticed this morning in the paper, even Doonesbury is hinting at a Democratic primary. Will wonders never cease?

GarandFan on August 2, 2011 at 1:46 PM

If the voter fraud in Philadelphia could be held down, today a ham sandwich could beat Øbama in PA.

petefrt on August 2, 2011 at 1:48 PM

Interesting contrast here over politics in NY vs PA: New York, Pennsylvania Take Different Approaches to Shale Gas

There’s hope for PA yet.

slickwillie2001 on August 2, 2011 at 1:49 PM

I think that suit and tie is what got him in so much trouble with Google.

pedestrian on August 2, 2011 at 1:50 PM

Freddy on August 2, 2011 at 1:37 PM

Mitt is taking care of everybody so you might as well give up now and enjoy the ride. Resistance is futile.

Pennsylvania is pretty liberal around the cities, it is true. Then we have the seniors who would vote for a Chavez/Kennedy ticket if they got cheap heating oil or gas out of it.

IlikedAUH2O on August 2, 2011 at 1:50 PM

That tie… that suit…

gophergirl on August 2, 2011 at 1:50 PM

Santorum should run for Senate again in Pennsylvania.

SouthernGent on August 2, 2011 at 1:26 PM

Yup, we like him here in PA and he makes a very good senator. But I think there are better candidates for prez.

petefrt on August 2, 2011 at 1:52 PM

With overall disgust against Obie, all the more reason to run a strong conservative, than the “electable” moderate. It’s not what the people want, they want real change that they can be which is a 180 from Obie. A moderate represents a tack or a zag, not turn around.

AH_C on August 2, 2011 at 1:53 PM

That tie… that suit…

gophergirl on August 2, 2011 at 1:50 PM

Please. The colors in that picture are ridiculously oversaturated. Someone has fiddled with that picture to make him look as ridiculous as possible. It’s little different than Vanity Fair’s tactics re McCain.

slickwillie2001 on August 2, 2011 at 1:54 PM

Rick, lose the lavander suit, man.

JohnGalt23 on August 2, 2011 at 1:30 PM

With that suit, you’d think Moochelle was picking his wardrobe.

petefrt on August 2, 2011 at 1:56 PM

That suit resembles the monkey outfit I wore to my senior prom.

Silver tux with pink accouterments…wtf was I thinking? Well it was stylish at the time.

Bishop on August 2, 2011 at 1:56 PM

Hey it takes guts to wear that outfit. I’ll give him that.

I’m puttin’ on my top hat,
Tyin’ up my pink tie,
Brushin’ off my tails.

I’m dudin’ up my shirt front,
Puttin’ in the shirt studs,
Polishin’ my nails…

Fallon on August 2, 2011 at 2:00 PM

That suit resembles the monkey outfit I wore to my senior prom.

Bishop on August 2, 2011 at 1:56 PM

Is that seersucker?

Jaibones on August 2, 2011 at 2:02 PM

Pennsylvania voters say 52 – 42 percent that Obama does not deserve to be reelected.

That’s a double Muntz. “HAW HAW!”

And the economy is going to be nothing but worse for months. Consumer spending dropped for first time in 2 years- that shows some real rough waters ahead for a good year. So there wont be enough time for any sort of recovery that matters to a voter.

Chuck Schick on August 2, 2011 at 2:06 PM

I said be healed!

phreshone on August 2, 2011 at 2:07 PM

Dude seriously what the f**k is Santorum wearing in that pic? I can only assume the Senate was having a “Dress Like A Fool Day” and Rick won 1st place in the costume category.

angryed on August 2, 2011 at 2:14 PM

Who needs Viagra when there’s new like this?

1IDVET on August 2, 2011 at 2:16 PM

The union people in Pennsylvania are real union people, not SEIU public-employee union people. They haven’t gotten squat fromn this Administration. The biggest thing that has happened in Philly recently for union jobs has been the construction of the Comcast Center and now the landing of a big shipbuilding contract by the privately owned Aker shipyard. In the western part of the state, it is drilling jobs in the Marcellus Shale. Government isn’t doing anything around here to help the union boys.

rockmom on August 2, 2011 at 1:42 PM

Yea but come election day they will still do as they’re told and vote for the guy with the “D” next to his name. Reagan Demorats was a one time phenomenon. I don’t see any Romney Democrats or Pawlenty Democrats happening in 2012.

angryed on August 2, 2011 at 2:17 PM

That’s funny.

Cindy Munford on August 2, 2011 at 2:21 PM

New poll just in!

Obama 42 / Santorum’s pink tie 44

Chuck Schick on August 2, 2011 at 2:24 PM

That tie… that suit…

gophergirl on August 2, 2011 at 1:50 PM

I’m wondering how Rick’s transgender process is coming along.

TXUS on August 2, 2011 at 2:25 PM

Santorum should run for Senate again in Pennsylvania.

SouthernGent on August 2, 2011 at 1:26 PM

How about we run a candidate with a chance of winning instead?

thuja on August 2, 2011 at 2:26 PM

…As for why we have a pink tie pic in the first place, well, this site is dedicated to Mitt Romney.

I wonder how much cash Romney supporters have funneled to hotair?

Freddy on August 2, 2011 at 1:37 PM

Why don’t the writers come out of the closet and endorse candidates and write editorials on why, rather than playing this ‘just the news’ BS game?

slickwillie2001 on August 2, 2011 at 2:41 PM

Obama in Pennsylvania virtual tie with Rick Santorum

Dan Savage found weeping hysterically.

DanMan on August 2, 2011 at 2:51 PM

BTW…..with that suit/tie/hair combo….he looks like a friggin/ television preacher.

Spend a few bucks on a wardrobe consultant sparky.

Tim_CA on August 2, 2011 at 3:00 PM

That tie… that suit…

gophergirl on August 2, 2011 at 1:50 PM

He’s just trying to show Harry Reid he’s not a terrorist.

Barnestormer on August 2, 2011 at 3:15 PM

Is that seersucker?

Jaibones on August 2, 2011 at 2:02 PM

LMAO…sure looks like it…..Give him a “skimmer style panama straw hat”, a bamboo caneand a red carnation….and it’s time for a vaudeville show!

Tim_CA on August 2, 2011 at 3:34 PM

He’s going to lose Virginia, North Carolina, Indiana and Florida from last time, that’s practically a given. If he loses Pennsylvania too, the GOP would only need to flip one state (anywhere) to win.

Red Cloud on August 2, 2011 at 3:48 PM

petefrt on August 2, 2011 at 1:56 PM

Thread winner!

Al in St. Lou on August 2, 2011 at 3:55 PM

Insert Ronald Reagan voice: “Mr. Santorum throw away that tie”

Falz on August 2, 2011 at 3:56 PM

Great job setting the tone of comments with the picture, Hot Air. I know this site hates Conservatives, but why bother with a real article. Just post him in a series of photos you think are goofy looking and have a field day. And while we’re at it, let’s run the Ron Paul/Borat video about eighteen times. Let’s do the Palin /Turkey Man video. Let’s run pictures of the Speaker’s acceptance speech crying.

I swear. Hot Air, I really don’t know what to think about it anymore.

hawkdriver on August 2, 2011 at 4:51 PM

I swear. Hot Air, I really don’t know what to think about it anymore.

hawkdriver on August 2, 2011 at 4:51 PM

Such concern.

Touching, really.

JohnGalt23 on August 2, 2011 at 4:56 PM

Such concern.

Touching, really.

JohnGalt23 on August 2, 2011 at 4:56 PM

Hey Slappy, I stay off your comments. Stay off mine.

hawkdriver on August 2, 2011 at 5:01 PM

Not surprised at all. I don’t know anyone who lives off-campus in PA who supports Obama. PA is going Red in 2012.

Philly on August 2, 2011 at 5:14 PM

Great job setting the tone of comments with the picture, Hot Air. I know this site hates Conservatives, but why bother with a real article. Just post him in a series of photos you think are goofy looking and have a field day. And while we’re at it, let’s run the Ron Paul/Borat video about eighteen times. Let’s do the Palin /Turkey Man video. Let’s run pictures of the Speaker’s acceptance speech crying.

I swear. Hot Air, I really don’t know what to think about it anymore.

hawkdriver on August 2, 2011 at 4:51 PM

No funny Romney pictures available? Ever?

slickwillie2001 on August 2, 2011 at 5:48 PM

The union people in Pennsylvania are real union people, not SEIU public-employee union people. They haven’t gotten squat fromn this Administration. The biggest thing that has happened in Philly recently for union jobs has been the construction of the Comcast Center and now the landing of a big shipbuilding contract by the privately owned Aker shipyard. In the western part of the state, it is drilling jobs in the Marcellus Shale. Government isn’t doing anything around here to help the union boys.

rockmom on August 2, 2011 at 1:42 PM

A lot of the unionized workers in the Susquehanna Valley and rural areas are in the coal mines, and they don’t appreciate Obama’s demonizing coal-fired power plants (“the cost of electricity will skyrocket”), and they’ve also watched former Gov. and current Senator Manchin (D-WV) defending coal miners and coal companies against the President from his own party.

Although former Sen. Santorum lost a blowout in 2006, PA elected a Republican Governor and Senator in 2010. Due to the huge Democrat majority in Philly, PA is a bluer state than OH. If Scranton Joe Biden can’t save Obama in PA, he will also lose OH and the Presidency.

Steve Z on August 3, 2011 at 10:05 AM

Hey it takes guts to wear that outfit. I’ll give him that.

I’m puttin’ on my top hat,
Tyin’ up my pink tie,
Brushin’ off my tails.

I’m dudin’ up my shirt front,
Puttin’ in the shirt studs,
Polishin’ my nails…
Fallon on August 2, 2011 at 2:00 PM

Hey, you left out the best part where Satchmo winds it up:

Boopy-doopy-doopy-doopy-doopy-doopy-doop-dah-day!!

rwenger43 on August 3, 2011 at 11:51 AM