Gallup tracking poll puts Obama at term-low 40%

posted at 6:45 pm on July 29, 2011 by Ed Morrissey

If you wonder why Barack Obama made yet another appearance at the White House podium today, wonder no longer.  Over the last three quiet days for Obama, Gallup’s tracking poll for Obama’s job approval plunged from 46/46 on Tuesday to 40/50 today, Obama’s worst rating of his presidency.  Here’s the chart for the month of July:

President Obama’s job approval rating is at a new low, averaging 40% in July 26-28 Gallup Daily tracking. His prior low rating of 41% occurred several times, the last of which was in April. As recently as June 7, Obama had 50% job approval.

Obama’s approval rating averaged 46% in June and was near that level for most of July; however, it has stumbled in the past few days, coinciding with intensification of the debt ceiling/budget battle in Washington.

The 40% is one point lower than the six 41s collected by Obama, only two of which came this year.  Those two occasions came sequentially in mid-April, not coincidentally while Obama fought the Republican House over the budget.  Obama also got a trio of 42s in the same period.

The 50% disapproval isn’t a high, however.  He got one 50 last month, and two more in April as well, but last summer was even tougher on Obama.  He got two 52s and three 51s in disapproval last August as the midterm elections began to heat up.

What do these periods all have in common?  Obama’s leadership came under tough scrutiny.  He may have spent the entire spring bumping along the bottom this year if it hadn’t been for the Osama bin Laden raid at the beginning of May.  Regardless of the outcome on the debt crisis at the moment, he’s not likely to recover much, given the lack of any plan or direction from Obama personally during his many speeches and pressers.  Clearly, though, one can understand why Obama feels the need to be seen as addressing the crisis; he just hasn’t figured out that merely voting present isn’t enough.

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How low can he go? I submit, a lot.

carbon_footprint on July 29, 2011 at 6:47 PM

It’s a good thing Boehner caved on Cut and Cap…

… Oh, wait!

Seven Percent Solution on July 29, 2011 at 6:48 PM

I am surprised it is not lower.

Thanks a friggin lot Obama.

CW on July 29, 2011 at 6:48 PM

AP misses why milennials abandon Obama.

Schadenfreude on July 29, 2011 at 6:48 PM

All of Obama’s own Budget crisis rhetoric is hurting him more than anyone else. He is bumbling through this, and people are starting to see the truth about this fraud.

portlandon on July 29, 2011 at 6:50 PM

I love it! But…this tracking poll has been swinging wildly day-to-day.

SouthernGent on July 29, 2011 at 6:51 PM

“… he’s not likely to recover much, given the lack of any plan or direction from Obama personally during his many speeches and pressers.”

Telling people to “Tweet” goes right up there with the Founding Fathers…

/

Seven Percent Solution on July 29, 2011 at 6:54 PM

Peggy Noonan, today’s WSJ:

“So he is losing a battle in which he had superior forces—the presidency, the U.S. Senate. In the process he revealed that his foes have given him too much mystique. He is not a devil, an alien, a socialist. He is a loser. And this is America, where nobody loves a loser.”

Ouch.

piglet on July 29, 2011 at 6:56 PM

After Boehner and McConnell rescue him he’ll recover.

FloatingRock on July 29, 2011 at 6:56 PM

Telling people to “Tweet” goes right up there with the Founding Fathers…

/

Seven Percent Solution on July 29, 2011 at 6:54 PM

Obama is a classless amateur.

CW on July 29, 2011 at 6:56 PM

If you wonder why Barack Obama made yet another appearance at the White House podium today, wonder no longer.

He still thinks that having his face in front of the US will give him a boost.

He should have learned by now.

His narcissism is creating his own nemesis.

INC on July 29, 2011 at 6:57 PM

piglet on July 29, 2011 at 6:56 PM

Phht. Pegs is ready to vote for him again in 2012.

slickwillie2001 on July 29, 2011 at 6:57 PM

Bush didn’t sink to 40% in Gallup’s polling until November of 2006. Which means he’d been in office for 5 years and 10 months.

O’bama only took 2 and a half years to get to the same place.

Way to go, Champ!

Del Dolemonte on July 29, 2011 at 6:57 PM

…..and this is from a over-sample of Democrats by what 10%?

PappyD61 on July 29, 2011 at 6:58 PM

Faster, please.

faraway on July 29, 2011 at 6:59 PM

Phht. Pegs is ready to vote for him again in 2012.

slickwillie2001 on July 29, 2011 at 6:57 PM

You don’t call someone a loser and vote for them a year later. Nope, he lost Peggy in 2009.

piglet on July 29, 2011 at 6:59 PM

After Boehner and McConnell rescue him he’ll recover.

FloatingRock on July 29, 2011 at 6:56 PM

THIS X1000.

Wait until Reid passes the hot potato back to the GOP and Boehner gets to eat THAT crap sandwich.

Oh, wait Boehner will make the GOP Tea Party Freshman eat that Crap sandwich……

Hey TP Freshman……you gonna eat it when Boehner serves it to you?

PappyD61 on July 29, 2011 at 7:01 PM

Soon Obama will look back fondly at these halcyon days

faraway on July 29, 2011 at 7:02 PM

President Barack Obama takes debt battle to Twitter, loses more than 33,000 followers in one day

His narcissism is creating his own nemesis.

INC on July 29, 2011 at 6:57 PM

INC on July 29, 2011 at 7:03 PM

After Boehner and McConnell rescue him he’ll recover.

FloatingRock on July 29, 2011 at 6:56 PM

Well he may certainly get his way but “rescue” Obama? I don’t think that is possible. If anything they will only hurt themselves. I get a real sense that folks have had enough of the entire crew, both sides. People are tired of the phony crisis one after the other and constant fire drills.

whbates on July 29, 2011 at 7:04 PM

Everybody Limbo!

Naturally Curly on July 29, 2011 at 7:04 PM

The Twitter-spamming today is probably going to drop him even lower.

He’s already lost 20,000+ followers.

teke184 on July 29, 2011 at 7:05 PM

Not to worry, McConnell and the RINOs are working hard to make him and Reid the great saviors in this Debt Limit crisis. With a lot of help from Republicans he will more than likely get another 4 years.

neuquenguy on July 29, 2011 at 7:05 PM

I wonder what it would take to get a primary challenger. If his approval drops into the thirties this fall are the Dems really going to go into an election year with Obama as their only option?

Mark1971 on July 29, 2011 at 7:06 PM

Mr Limbo will be going even lower. After each speech, his numbers drop. Guess people are tired of listening to the same old talking points, and who to hate this week.

GarandFan on July 29, 2011 at 7:06 PM

To add to little Bammie’s latest talking point, we also sure as hell don’t have an AAA president either. More like a D trending lower.

slickwillie2001 on July 29, 2011 at 7:08 PM

Gallup will never put him at 39%, ever. For some reason, I associate 39% approval with W. and the media absolutely screaming it every day.

Marcus on July 29, 2011 at 7:08 PM

I get a real sense that folks have had enough of the entire crew, both sides. People are tired of the phony crisis one after the other and constant fire drills.

whbates on July 29, 2011 at 7:04 PM

Like your optimism. This is the way the Dems have always operated, how do you explain Reid is still the leader of the Senate?

neuquenguy on July 29, 2011 at 7:08 PM

I wonder what it would take to get a primary challenger. If his approval drops into the thirties this fall are the Dems really going to go into an election year with Obama as their only option?

Mark1971 on July 29, 2011 at 7:06 PM

Trump really missed the boat. He should have threatened a primary of Bammie, not joining the already-crowded Republican field. That would have rocked the country.

slickwillie2001 on July 29, 2011 at 7:10 PM

The world’s biggest celebrity has fallen hard. Not that it wasn’t obvious it would happen. But he could have been a lot less unpopular had he actually governed from the center. And took more responsibility. And made less speeches. And more substantive speeches when he did. And if he didn’t just hand off the hard stuff to his subordinates while he went golfing. Basically, if he wasn’t so flawed as a man, he could have been a much more politically successful president.

keep the change on July 29, 2011 at 7:14 PM

Gonna be in the 30′s real soon…

Khun Joe on July 29, 2011 at 7:15 PM

This is what happens when a strong leader makes difficult decisions on big issues. You know, just how PBHO made the big decisions on the debt debacle this week.

Bishop on July 29, 2011 at 7:16 PM

Rehab helps

faraway on July 29, 2011 at 7:16 PM

LOL:

@SarahPalinUSA: @BarackObama you’re wrong, threatening to throw seniors under the bus because you refuse to prioritize govt spending.Time to #womanup & lead

portlandon on July 29, 2011 at 7:16 PM

In the “30′s” any day now…

Hillary, are you listening?

Khun Joe on July 29, 2011 at 7:18 PM

Oh, wait Boehner will make the GOP Tea Party Freshman eat that Crap sandwich……

PappyD61 on July 29, 2011 at 7:01 PM

Crap pizza, more likely.

Wethal on July 29, 2011 at 7:19 PM

How low can he go? I submit, a lot.

carbon_footprint on July 29, 2011 at 6:47 PM

I don’t see him ever going much below 35-40% in polls like this. The blacks and the leftys will never desert him. Add in the folks that are afraid the pollsters will think they are rascists and I figure he has a hard floor of about 35%.

Now, what some of them may do in the privacy of a polling both…

trigon on July 29, 2011 at 7:21 PM

He got two 52s and three 51s in disapproval last August as the midterm elections began to heat up.

Just let me know when he gets his 86 Ed,

Rovin on July 29, 2011 at 7:21 PM

Don’t worry, Barry. Your big birthdaypalooza and vacay with Moochelle and the girls will make you popular again! Live it up–the people will just LOVE you for it!

Naturally Curly on July 29, 2011 at 7:22 PM

How the heck is Obama still in the 40′s. If gas was $4.00 and unemployment 9% in 2003, even if it was due to fallout from 9/11, Bush would have been at 25% and already buried by the media with no chance of reelection in 2004.

The Democrats destroyed Bush over the economy in 2004 and it was a global winning slot machine compared to today. Their dishonesty along with the repugnant press has really turned half this country into an ignorant mess.

It makes me sick. Can we really turn this situation around before its too late?

alecj on July 29, 2011 at 7:24 PM

This is the way the Dems have always operated, how do you explain Reid is still the leader of the Senate?

neuquenguy on July 29, 2011 at 7:08 PM

Don’t know where you’re at, but if the economy continues on its current course Obama is toast. Reid is Majority leader in the Senate because the Democrats have the … well the majority. Individual elections can go one way or the other in off years and the quality of the various candidates.

But if things continue the way it appears right now he will lose his leadership position. Of course opinions are like asshole, right. Everyone has one.

whbates on July 29, 2011 at 7:24 PM

Now it’s time to press Obowma with “Fast and Furious”…

Seven Percent Solution on July 29, 2011 at 7:26 PM

I wonder what it would take to get a primary challenger. If his approval drops into the thirties this fall are the Dems really going to go into an election year with Obama as their only option?

Mark1971 on July 29, 2011 at 7:06 PM

If his numbers continue to plummet, I expect he’ll suddenly become “ill” and find some excuse not to run. I still think his resigning is within the realm of possibilities.

As others have argued he is too narcissistic to relinquish his royal role, and in a way I hope they’re right and that the Dems refuse to primary him. Imagine the outrage of the black voters and people like Clyburn….. the Dems have painted themselves into a corner with Duh Won.

The more I think about it the more I want him in the race against Perry. I want him to lose in a landslide, to be humiliated, crushed and quickly cast aside. He would probably end up in an institution, but that’s where he always belonged.

Cody1991 on July 29, 2011 at 7:29 PM

He would probably end up in an institution, but that’s where he always belonged.

Cody1991 on July 29, 2011 at 7:29 PM

Would a front row seat in Jeremiah Wright’s Church for the next twenty years be considered institutional?

Rovin on July 29, 2011 at 7:38 PM

Now it’s time to press Obowma with “Fast and Furious”…

Seven Percent Solution on July 29, 2011 at 7:26 PM

Democrat Media.

The NYT finally “reported” on it Wednesday, but they buried it on page A14. Not many of their readers know how to count that high.

Del Dolemonte on July 29, 2011 at 7:39 PM

Uh-oh, time for Seal Team Six to take out another top terrorist – Qaddaffi, watch your back!

PatMac on July 29, 2011 at 7:43 PM

Obama needs to make a couple of more speeches. He should criticize, condemn, and accuse the Tea Party. Then he should haul ass on AF One to another resort vacation. This will confirm Peggy Noonan’s opinion of Obama as the LOSER-In-Chief! When you’ve lost Peggy Noonan. you have lost the country! The next shellacking will be an avalanche. Remember in November!

Marco on July 29, 2011 at 7:48 PM

Obama needs to make a couple of more speeches. He should criticize, condemn, and accuse the Tea Party. Then he should haul ass on AF One to another resort vacation.

Marco on July 29, 2011 at 7:48 PM

That’s exactly what he’s going to do, isn’t it? I’ve been out of the loop for a couple of days, but if some agreement is met, he’s off to Chicago for his B’day bash, then M’s. Vineyard for his August vacay. He really needs a rest as his surrogate, commie mommie said today. Val J. says, “He’s losing a lot of sleep.”

Cody1991 on July 29, 2011 at 7:53 PM

How could it possibly be that high? Are we a nation of idiots? He doesn’t deserve more than a 2.5. Seriously, would 40% of the nation vote for him after what we’ve seen over the past 2.5 years?

scalleywag on July 29, 2011 at 8:27 PM

The question is; who are these 40%, criminals all, who are for the fascist, Obama.

proconstitution on July 29, 2011 at 8:38 PM

The real number is between 33 & 36%.

They know it; hence the loose bowels and flop sweat in The Bunker.

Bruno Strozek on July 29, 2011 at 8:57 PM

His approval rating should get to about 13.6%

royzer on July 29, 2011 at 9:18 PM

How could it possibly be that high? Are we a nation of idiots? He doesn’t deserve more than a 2.5. Seriously, would 40% of the nation vote for him after what we’ve seen over the past 2.5 years?

scalleywag on July 29, 2011 at 8:27 PM

The question is weather you can take any of the polls seriously. It may be that high but I wouldn’t think so, but hey there are lots of Democrat strong holds in the Northeast and big cities in the Midwest and West coast.

whbates on July 29, 2011 at 9:27 PM

I am beginning to think Obama will pull an LBJ and announce he isn’t going to run for reelection. Seriously. He has hit that mystical point of no return from failure.

I worry that Hillary will step in to fill the void. She’s the only Dem who could win.

MaxMBJ on July 29, 2011 at 10:53 PM

…..and this is from a over-sample of Democrats by what 10%?

PappyD61 on July 29, 2011 at 6:58 PM

I don’t know how to find the partisan breakdown of the sample, but this is a poll of adults, not voters or likely voters, which makes it even worse for Obama.

holygoat on July 30, 2011 at 12:04 AM

Come on 30%… When he reaches that percent app… I WIN!
-

RalphyBoy on July 30, 2011 at 1:02 AM

“President Barack Obama takes debt battle to Twitter, loses more than 33,000 followers in one day”

“Gallup tracking poll puts Obama at term-low 40%”

No way. Didn’t Gallop and Bambi’s Twitter followers get the word from Ed, Krauthammer and Krystol that only Republicans could be blamed over this?

xblade on July 30, 2011 at 1:07 AM

You don’t call someone a loser and vote for them a year later. Nope, he lost Peggy in 2009.

piglet on July 29, 2011 at 6:59 PM

..I don’t care what she writes and for whom she votes, after her shenanigans in 2008, she has been furiously osculating bums in an attempt to get back in the right’s good graces. Next time you are in D.C. look for her — she will be the old bag lady with the shopping cart, camped over the steam grate in front of the Sam Rayburn building, bumming small change and woofing down Sneaky Pete from a paper bag.

The War Planner on July 30, 2011 at 6:44 AM

40% is still much too high. “This is not the country I thought I knew.” “40% of the people ACTED STUPIDLY”

MaiDee on July 30, 2011 at 7:22 AM