Redistricting could cost Weiner his seat, even if Weinergate doesn’t

posted at 8:00 pm on June 8, 2011 by Tina Korbe

Could it be sitting Democrats in the House of Representatives haven’t rushed to push for Rep. Anthony Weiner’s (R-NY) resignation because they need him to absorb a redistricting blow? Some sources seem to think so:

New York will lose two seats when the U.S. House gets reconfigured to reflect population shifts recorded in the 2010 U.S. census. The state’s redistricting will be decided by the New York State Assembly in Albany, the capital, with the expected result being an overhaul that would cut a Republican seat upstate and a Democratic seat downstate. …

Before the news about Weiner’s scandal broke, it was unclear which Democrat would get cut downstate. Now, the New York Democratic sources say, it’s hard to imagine Weiner’s district will still exist in the 2012 election.

Two of the sources, both Democratic strategists in New York, said that scenario helps explain why New York Democrats haven’t rushed to call for Weiner to resign.

The redistricting option might be the most interesting of the potential conclusions to the Weinergate scandal. Whether Weiner will resign is still up in the air, despite recent Democratic calls for him to step down. But even if Weiner does resign, as Ed pointed out today on his radio show, Republicans are unlikely to win his district. True, the 9th District has supported Democratic presidential nominees by waning percentages — 67 percent for Al Gore in 2000, 56 percent for John Kerry in 2004 and 55 percent for Barack Obama in 2008. The District is ranked as the second-most conservative in New York City. But Weiner himself has always won by large margins and a Republican hasn’t held the seat since the 1920s. Redistricting seems more likely. Weiner has made himself vulnerable to the ill-will of his party — and no doubt other Democrats will be happy to let him be the redistricting scapegoat. Nate Silver puts it this way:

But it is precisely because Democratic seats in New York City are hard to lose that they are such valuable commodities. The likelihood that there will be one fewer of them next year makes them scarce commodities, too — and Mr. Weiner is unlikely to get a free pass, however the new boundaries are drawn.

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ouch….too bad there weenie

cmsinaz on June 8, 2011 at 8:05 PM

Boiled, grilled, whatever…

..this Weiner is done.

blatantblue on June 8, 2011 at 8:08 PM

Weiner overload. This “he might be redisticted out” was 2 days ago story.

What’s happening at Edward’s trial? Where’s his mug shot?

Marcus on June 8, 2011 at 8:09 PM

Please let him resign soon so I don’t have to see his face everytime I open up Hot Air…it’s just creepy how much of him is out there. Oooh, pun! Not intended, but definitely staying.

Pattosensei on June 8, 2011 at 8:09 PM

R-NY? God forbid…

Nat Hound on June 8, 2011 at 8:11 PM

Rep. Anthony Weiner’s (R-NY)

He’s had a “come to Jesus moment” I hadn’t heard about?
/

hoosiermama on June 8, 2011 at 8:12 PM

The Republicans control the state Senate up in Albany, so they could actually play a little hardball here, and force the Dems to X-out all of or at least part of one of their upstate seats as well, if the Dems are so anxious to get Weiner redistricted into oblivion before the 2012 election and also eliminate Anthony as a factor in the 2013 mayoral race (of course, these are New York State Republicans we’re talking about here — given their keen abilities to handle the most recent high-profile congressional elections, odds are just as good they’d somehow manage to eliminate their only GOP seat in NYC and also kill off a Republican district upstate while allowing Weiner to survive).

jon1979 on June 8, 2011 at 8:14 PM

I thought he was all hot to be King Mayor of New York.

BigWyo on June 8, 2011 at 8:16 PM

I’m seriously starting to forget life before the wiener…happened. Sad.

Bee on June 8, 2011 at 8:18 PM

Boiled, grilled, whatever…

..this Weiner is done.

blatantblue on June 8, 2011 at 8:08 PM

Anyway, like I was sayin’, Weiner is the fruit of the city streets. You can barbecue it, boil it, broil it, bake it, saute it. There are, uh, Weiner kabobs, Weiner creole… Weiner gumbo, pan fried Weiners, deep fried Weiners, stir fried Weiners. There’s pineapple Weiner, lemon Weiner, coconut Weiner, pepper Weiner… Weiner soup, Weiner stew, Weiner salad, Weiners and potatoes, Weiner burger, Weiner sandwich… That’s, that’s about it.

Roy Rogers on June 8, 2011 at 8:22 PM

Weiner might as well quit he’ll get a Soros supplement job in a liberal think tank (what an oxymoron that is) and get more money.

The libs have a mafia network to pay for low life’s like Anthony, what do you think built in tax money slush funds are for anyway.

Speakup on June 8, 2011 at 8:22 PM

I thought he was all hot to be King Mayor of New York.

BigWyo on June 8, 2011 at 8:16 PM

Hot Dog in Chief

BigWyo, I sincerely apologize to you for my supreme twitness and will strive to behave better in the future.

Roy Rogers on June 8, 2011 at 8:24 PM

So Huma is pregnant now! I read on Drudge yesterdy that she’s been at the side of Hillary overseas for many months. Is it possible she got pregnant by someone else – and maybe that’s what drove hubby over the edge, encouraging him to act so self-destructively? HMMM?

honsy on June 8, 2011 at 8:32 PM

Since NYC has not lost population from the last census while areas upstate have,it is unlikely that the city will or should suffer a loss of a seat.

xkaydet65 on June 8, 2011 at 8:32 PM

NEW YORKERS FLEE STATE
Weiner Hardest Hit

Jim Treacher on June 8, 2011 at 8:48 PM

Sooner would be better than later.

Cindy Munford on June 8, 2011 at 8:51 PM

Rep. Anthony Weiner’s (R-NY)

Tina, do get with the program.

Missy on June 8, 2011 at 8:52 PM

Enough Weiner. Why are we bailing Greece out of their financial crisis?

ctmom on June 8, 2011 at 8:55 PM

This is the one reason Weinie might actually resign… he’ll be out of a job anyway, so he might be convinced to help save the party some face (ha) and go now, and he’ll get a position buried in the bureacracy

phreshone on June 8, 2011 at 9:01 PM

I live in the 9th district, smack dab in the middle of its Woodhaven Blvd “axis”. Yes, second-most conservative district is a believable assertion however the conservative vote is diluted by the inclusion to the 9th of towns which are very densely populated and not at all conservative. The feeling on the street – and Queens is still the place of stoops and corners and neighborhoods – is that local bosses are reaching out to Republican leadership to see if they can reach accord. Weinergate is either a lucky accident for the local right or indicative of the fault lines shifting. In any case, a republican-favored redistrict of the 9th would be a seed comet cratering in the heart of the “vibrant & diverse county”.

I know the tenor on most nationwide conservative blogs is that NYC is a lost cause rife with the tweeders and che-enablers and Nobel crowd. That’s partially true…but…guess what? Lots of bunkers are dug all over hilly Queens and I should tell you that any time you make that assumption you do the bunkered Red here no justice.

LibertyBoyNYC on June 8, 2011 at 9:01 PM

My friend was just across the street from his residence.

Yesterday, one CNN van.

Now? Three. Ten crews

blatantblue on June 8, 2011 at 9:05 PM

Rep. Anthony Weiner’s (R-NY)

[facepalm.jpg]

fusionaddict on June 8, 2011 at 9:19 PM

precisely because Democratic seats in New York City

So when did the Democrats decide that they had to be referred to as Democratics? Because frankly, their approach to governance is hardly democratic. Now if they wanted to start being called members of the Autocratic party, I could support that terminology.

AZfederalist on June 8, 2011 at 10:01 PM

I live in the 9th district, smack dab in the middle of its Woodhaven Blvd “axis”. Yes, second-most conservative district is a believable assertion however the conservative vote is diluted by the inclusion to the 9th of towns which are very densely populated and not at all conservative. The feeling on the street – and Queens is still the place of stoops and corners and neighborhoods – is that local bosses are reaching out to Republican leadership to see if they can reach accord. Weinergate is either a lucky accident for the local right or indicative of the fault lines shifting. In any case, a republican-favored redistrict of the 9th would be a seed comet cratering in the heart of the “vibrant & diverse county”.

I know the tenor on most nationwide conservative blogs is that NYC is a lost cause rife with the tweeders and che-enablers and Nobel crowd. That’s partially true…but…guess what? Lots of bunkers are dug all over hilly Queens and I should tell you that any time you make that assumption you do the bunkered Red here no justice.

LibertyBoyNYC on June 8, 2011 at 9:01 PM

If two districts are eliminated in NY State, each district needs to increase population. Do they expand the 9th east toward Long Island, or west further into NYC?

Or do they eliminate the 9th district entirely and give pieces of it to all neighboring districts? If some of the Queens conservatives could be included in a western Long Island district, a seat could be gained for the Republicans…

Steve Z on June 9, 2011 at 2:29 PM