Could Kucinich turn WA-01 red in 2012?

posted at 2:15 pm on May 28, 2011 by Ed Morrissey

Dennis Kucinich spent last weekend about as far from Washington DC as he could get, and almost as far from his Cleveland district as well, to check out suburban Seattle.  Kucinich will likely lose his Cleveland district in Ohio’s new Congressional map, which means he won’t have any hope of returning to Congress while living in Ohio.  The state of Washington will pick up a seat, and Rep. Jay Inslee of Washington’s 1st CD is mulling over a run for governor rather than a return to Congress in next year’s election.

Kucinich obviously sees the D+9 district as a great landing place for an Ohio carpetbagger, especially with Inslee leaving the seat open.  But could Kucinich instead turn an easy hold into a Republican takeaway?  A new poll by Survey USA suggests that very outcome:

Incumbent Democratic Congressman Jay Inslee, from Washington State’s 1st Congressional District, is well liked and surrenders solid Democratic footing in that district were he to run for Governor, according to this latest KING5 News poll conducted by SurveyUSA. …

Given the choice between having a representative in Congress who shares one’s values or who has roots in the community, shared values is 3:1 preferred to roots. Yet at the time time, voters by 6:1 tell SurveyUSA that Kucinich would do a worse job representing them in Congress than someone who has lived in the District longer, indicative of the headwinds that an outsider, transplanted into the District for the purpose of running, would encounter.

Inslee’s favorability in the survey is +24 (56/32), not surprising considering that he’s on his sixth term representing the district.  Kucinich, on the other hand, scores a -25 favorability (21/46).  Kucinich’s favorability among Democrats is positive … barely, at 32/31.  It’s a laughable 17/53 among independents, and 12/47 among self-described moderates.  He also starts off severely negative on entrenched support/opposition at 15/38 regardless of opponent. Only 31% of self-professed liberals would vote for Kucinich above all other candidates; 57% want to shop around a while.

Even in this D+9 district in a Democratic state, Kucinich’s kooky “Department of Peace” initiative gets poor marks at 34/48, and among independents it’s a disastrous 22/59.  Moderates in the district seem to understand that we already have a State Department for diplomatic efforts; they balk at the idea by a 30/51 margin.  Kucinich’s main platform doesn’t get support from any demographics except Democrats (52/28) and liberals (56/22).

Kucinich’s attempt to carpetbag into a district 2000 miles away is a desperate attempt to justify his grip on power in Washington DC, a transparent effort that will get soundly rejected by WA-01.  If Democrats want to hand this seat to a Republican, they could hardly do better than putting a lifelong Cleveland politician on the ballot.

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Kucinich’s attempt to carpetbag into a district 2000 miles away is a desperate attempt to justify his grip on power in Washington DC

Seriously. Could there be a better example of the addiction entrenched government power and lifestyle than this? Regardless of party – if a Republican did something so blatant I’d kick their butt out as well.

Especially for the House of REPRESENTATIVES which is supposed to, you know, actually represent the district in question.

MikeknaJ on May 28, 2011 at 2:20 PM

Maybe he should go back to being the mayor of Cleveland. He didn’t finish it off the last time.

Kafir on May 28, 2011 at 2:20 PM

That would be awesome.

A Republican pick-up in the 1st, and then our AG Rob McKenna beating Jay Inslee in the gubernatorial race.

We’ll still vote for Obama, of course. But I can forgive that as long as we finally elect a Republican governor.

nickj116 on May 28, 2011 at 2:23 PM

Well, it always worked for the Kennedys.

Blake on May 28, 2011 at 2:29 PM

Their brains are rained out and filled with socialism. He might be too communist even for them, though.

Schadenfreude on May 28, 2011 at 2:36 PM

Maybe he should go back to being the mayor of Cleveland. He didn’t finish it off the last time.

Kafir on May 28, 2011 at 2:20 PM

Good point. You have to give him credit. Resurrecting his political career after that ranks right up there with raising Lazurus.

bw222 on May 28, 2011 at 2:38 PM

Maybe Dennis can be convinced to try this EVERY 2 years in various districts nationwide…

Gohawgs on May 28, 2011 at 2:38 PM

His biggest problem would be winning the primary. After that, he’ll probably win since metro Seattle is very liberal. Even the eighth is Democratic but Richert seems to hold on every election.

IR-MN on May 28, 2011 at 2:39 PM

The Seattle metro area experienced huge growth over the past years from immigration from the failed economies on the East cost and California. What better way for them to be represented than a failed politician?

pedestrian on May 28, 2011 at 2:42 PM

That district is not going red.

I just moved back here… I am appalled at the state of democracy in WA.

Candidates do not have to run by party at all. Here is a quote from the voter pamphlet:

The candidates on the ballot may state a preference for a political party. The preference stated is at the discretion of the candidate, not any particular organization.

In a district like that one… two Democrats will come out of the Primary and they will run against each other in the general.

At least this is my understanding of the way it works.

I first noticed when there where two Republicans running against each other for county assessor last fall. I asked and this is the answer I received.

This state will never have a free election again.

petunia on May 28, 2011 at 2:56 PM

Party representation appears to be the key factor rather than representing the actual people in the district. Even Inslee moved in from Eastern Washington to get a seat.

SouthernRoots on May 28, 2011 at 3:11 PM

The next election is going to be so interesting.

Cindy Munford on May 28, 2011 at 3:22 PM

Is there some kind of republican to be found in that state that is willing to run? Do they ever have alien abductions, you know the outer space kind, in WA, cuz that would be a big draw for Denny.

Kissmygrits on May 28, 2011 at 3:25 PM

Laughed so hard when my homestate of Ohio eliminated his seat! Kudos to Gov Kasich and the legislature. He will fit in much better in Washington State.

PhiKapMom on May 28, 2011 at 3:27 PM

Maybe he should go back to being the mayor of Cleveland. He didn’t finish it off the last time.

Kafir on May 28, 2011 at 2:20 PM

oh please no…we OH-10 righties have been dancing in the streets in anticipation of his departure. We are hoping against hope the stranglehold the left has on Northeast Ohio will ease up once Kucinich is out of office. Maybe his buddy Shirley MacLaine can help him find a seat in California – OR – he could start looking in ROSWELL.

EternalVigilance on May 28, 2011 at 3:42 PM

Well, it always worked for the Kennedys.

Blake on May 28, 2011 at 2:29 PM

He’s no Kennedy…

Khun Joe on May 28, 2011 at 3:44 PM

To Democrats it is all about staying in power; not what is good for the country. To them the worst choice Democrat is always better than the best Republican challenger.

albill on May 28, 2011 at 3:50 PM

oh please no…we OH-10 righties have been dancing in the streets in anticipation of his departure. We are hoping against hope the stranglehold the left has on Northeast Ohio will ease up once Kucinich is out of office. Maybe his buddy Shirley MacLaine can help him find a seat in California – OR – he could start looking in ROSWELL.

EternalVigilance on May 28, 2011 at 3:42 PM

Doing my happy dance right now.

Go away, Dennis. Far, far away.

GrannyDee on May 28, 2011 at 3:50 PM

He’s no Kennedy…

Khun Joe on May 28, 2011 at 3:44 PM

He isn’t a drug and alcohol addled womanizing lecher.

darwin-t on May 28, 2011 at 3:52 PM

To Democrats it is all about staying in power; not what is good for the country. To them the worst choice Democrat is always better than the best Republican challenger.

albill on May 28, 2011 at 3:50 PM

This is about keeping his phoney baloney job, which as he sees it is not representing the people of his home state but wherever he can get a place at the trough.

darwin-t on May 28, 2011 at 3:55 PM

Another good reason for term limits. Not just for a particular seat but for time in the legislature.

darwin-t on May 28, 2011 at 3:58 PM

In a district like that one… two Democrats will come out of the Primary and they will run against each other in the general.

At least this is my understanding of the way it works.

I first noticed when there where two Republicans running against each other for county assessor last fall. I asked and this is the answer I received.

This state will never have a free election again.

petunia on May 28, 2011 at 2:56 PM

Not in WA-01. Inslee has had a GOP opponent for the past several elections. The district is generally lefty (Bainbridge Island anyone?) but includes Naval Base Kitsap and its large military population.

Also, Washingtonians take a dim view of carpetbaggers (especially from California) trying to buy themselves seats. Kucinich would be one of the few Dems who could actually lose the district.

fiatboomer on May 28, 2011 at 4:00 PM

It’s bad enough to have Inslee as my congressman.

Mike Morrissey on May 28, 2011 at 4:04 PM

Candidates do not have to run by party at all. Here is a quote from the voter pamphlet:

The candidates on the ballot may state a preference for a political party. The preference stated is at the discretion of the candidate, not any particular organization.
In a district like that one… two Democrats will come out of the Primary and they will run against each other in the general.

petunia on May 28, 2011 at 2:56 PM

The Peoples Republik of Kalifornia has been discussing the same thing – the two with the greatest number of votes in the primary face off in the general election (regardless of party).

bw222 on May 28, 2011 at 4:25 PM

Maybe he should go back to being the mayor of Cleveland. He didn’t finish it off the last time.

Kafir on May 28, 2011 at 2:20 PM

Yeah, I heard he lit the place up!!!

Gohawgs on May 28, 2011 at 4:55 PM

I took that poll. it was ostensibly run by the local nbc affiliate. ALL the questions were about jay inslee and kucinich. It was basically a democrat poll by and for democrats.

WitchDoctor on May 28, 2011 at 5:12 PM

Maybe Dennis will just get picked up by the aliens again and he can be a politician on their planet.

Tim Zank on May 28, 2011 at 5:53 PM

Even the people in Washington don’t want that nut.

GarandFan on May 28, 2011 at 6:07 PM

His wife must have an ugly dwarf fetish.

Machiavelli Hobbes on May 28, 2011 at 6:52 PM

Especially for the House of REPRESENTATIVES which is supposed to, you know, actually represent the district in question.

MikeknaJ on May 28, 2011 at 2:20 PM

Dude, you need to offer some proof that WA-01 isn’t mostly extra-terrestrial socialist aliens. I just channeled Shirley MacLaine’s ghost and she told me that Kucinich is the perfect representative for the district.

thuja on May 28, 2011 at 7:28 PM

Maybe he can get some of those illegals who worked for Patty Murray to canvass neighborhoods for him…

http://www.examiner.com/conservative-in-spokane/is-dennis-kucinich-considering-a-run-washington-state

jdawg on May 28, 2011 at 7:30 PM

Rumor, only rumor heard in Cleveland…..watch for Dennis to head even farther out. Hawaii.

Rick554 on May 28, 2011 at 9:50 PM

Dude, you need to offer some proof that WA-01 isn’t mostly extra-terrestrial socialist aliens.

I live here, and allow me to assure you, no such proof can possibly be proffered, because this district is indeed mostly extra-terrestrial socialist aliens. They could steal Lenin’s corpse from Red Square and run him with a couple of handlers hauling him around Weekend-at-Bernie’s-style and he’d win by 12 points.

Fabozz on May 28, 2011 at 11:04 PM

Seemed like the appropriate place to post this

Anthony Weiner Sexing Pic Of Large Erection On Twitter ?? Warning Graphic!

Nearly Nobody on May 29, 2011 at 2:15 AM

As I understand it, the WA district that Ku(ku) is looking at is just north of Seattle — a strong Boeing Union district. However, in 1994 and a few sessions afterwards, it flipped Red… Then there’s WA redistricting which is going to add a district to WA. WA is controlled by Dems — they could choose to keep it a strong blue district (and lose), or go with a more competitive district to try to pick up two districts (one current R and the new one)… And screw up and have two or more go Red…

Toss in the disconnect that recent blue WA voters have about no new taxes with as many handouts as possible, plus $4 gas and high unemployment in housing sector, and it’s easy to see a big crapshoot…

IMHO, how WA elections typically pan out has a lot to do with how the Senate GOP LOSERship guides NRC spending. Recently, WA seems to be low on the totem pole — it’s more important to spend money to keep LOSERship in office… Or so it goes…

drfredc on May 29, 2011 at 2:57 AM

I live in central Wa and I despise the liberal wacko socialists on the coast. Living in the constant rain does something to ones brain.

jistincase on May 29, 2011 at 9:53 AM

Is there some kind of republican to be found in that state that is willing to run?

Yes! James Watkins ran in 2010 and he’s signed up for 2011! He’s a great conservative!

valentine on May 29, 2011 at 10:54 AM

PS: His web site is http://watkinsforcongress.com/

valentine on May 29, 2011 at 10:56 AM

PSS: He’s signed up for 2012

valentine on May 29, 2011 at 11:04 AM