Gallup: Obama’s Bin Laden bounce already gone

posted at 5:17 pm on May 16, 2011 by Allahpundit

Makes me happy, but for reasons that have nothing to do with Obama, party politics, or 2012.

Obama’s approval rating is now at 46 percent, equal to his approval rating in the last tracking poll conducted before Obama addressed Americans late on May 1 and informed them of bin Laden’s death. Forty-four percent of Americans now disapprove of the job Obama is doing as president.

According to the Gallup poll, Obama’s approval rating crested at 52 percent after the bin Laden killing. His disapproval rating never fell lower than 40 percent.

Obama’s bounce is smaller in magnitude and shorter in duration than the bumps enjoyed by other presidents over the past 70 years, according to a study by Republican polling firm Public Opinion Strategies. For example, George W. Bush received a 15-point bump after the capture of Saddam Hussein in 2003 — a bounce that lasted seven weeks.

The bounce was short because Bin Laden hasn’t mattered much for a long time, which is a wonderful thing to realize. Yeah, granted, economy misery would have softened O’s bounce under any circumstances, but if Al Qaeda had knocked down the Sears Tower six months ago, you’d best believe that killing OBL now would have meant more than a two-week blip in the president’s approval rating. As it is, fully 84 percent in Politico’s new poll say the Bin Laden raid will make “no difference” to their vote next year. Ten years of aggressive U.S. counterterrorism and egregious miscalculations by Al Qaeda have given us the luxury of seeing Bin Laden’s death more as a case of long-delayed justice finally delivered than the neutralization of any imminent threat. Tony Karon at Time wrote a memorable piece about that a few days ago, reflecting on how pathetic life had become for the world’s most famous terrorist:

Wait for the courier to return from a distant internet cafe with a thumbdrive, containing responses to his missives and advice. Wait – largely in vain – for news of new atrocities inflicted by his supporters on the cities of the West. Wait for responses from key lieutenants, only to learn that they had been killed by his enemies. Wait to see anyone respond to his exhortation that they bomb Los Angeles or kill President Obama. Wait with dwindling hope for the Arab masses to take up his call to jihad, only to discover that when they did finally rise up against their Western-backed regimes, they wanted nothing to with him. Wait to see dated images of himself to appear on TV, and wonder why they were becoming increasingly few and far between. Wait, and while waiting, jot down his increasingly muddled ideas — “strategic musings” rather than operational plans, as one U.S. intelligence operative put it, and wait some more. Wait, in vain, for the Muslim world to treat him with the same importance that the Americans did. Wait for the thumb drive. Wait for October…

In his fantasy about his own historic significance, bin Laden had embraced death and assumed it would catch up with him sooner or later. But by the time he died, he may have been unsettlingly aware that history had already meted out what in his mind would have been a harsher sentence – oblivion.

He waited 10 years for another spectacular attack on the U.S. He never got one. Karon, in fact, explains better than I did why I’d rather not see the Bin Laden photos released: To circulate those pics is to lend him some of the grandeur he craved, even at our moment of victory. We’re showing off our kill because he mattered. Except he didn’t really matter, not anymore. For all the rhetoric over the past two weeks about how OBL was supposedly still commanding Al Qaeda, there’s little hard evidence that that was so. He reportedly urged his followers in messages to think big and hit America hard, and … no one really listened. In the end, he was a guy wrapped in a blanket with his hand down his pants watching old videos of himself in his glory days. He deserved that pathetic denouement as much as he deserved the bullet in his eye.

So, no bounce for The One, but it’s for the best of reasons. If you missed it on Saturday, here’s SNL with a gag that already seems dated.


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Maybe he should not have spiked the football.

Key West Reader on May 16, 2011 at 5:21 PM

I thought Obama won re-election already?

El_Terrible on May 16, 2011 at 5:21 PM

4 of last 6 days, his numbers in Rasmussen are worse than they were on 5/1.

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/obama_administration/obama_approval_index_history

Chris of Rights on May 16, 2011 at 5:21 PM

Hooray! A unifying thread!

petunia on May 16, 2011 at 5:21 PM

OT:

Newt Gingrich LIVE on Hannity. The man is digging in deeper.
I put some quotes in the Bill Bennet thread above.
Ryan is “reckless, doesn’t know what he’s doing, hasn’t thought it through”

Marcus on May 16, 2011 at 5:22 PM

Never fear, the AP is here. I’m sure they’ll have a new poll showing 62% approval this week.

BKeyser on May 16, 2011 at 5:22 PM

Yeah, everyone went to fill up the gas tank and buy groceries and got a reality check.

Common Sense on May 16, 2011 at 5:23 PM

There is only one possible answer. SOMEBODY has to die!

Star20 on May 16, 2011 at 5:23 PM

Second look at Trump!

/

JammieWearingFool on May 16, 2011 at 5:23 PM

B-o-o-o-o-ing! Flop!

onlineanalyst on May 16, 2011 at 5:25 PM


… George W. Bush received a 15-point bump after the capture of Saddam Hussein in 2003 …

To which a lefty coworker of mine said “Oh great, now Bush is gonna get re-elected!”

In other words, party comes before country, election victory comes before victory in war.

WE see the death of bin laden as an AMERICAN victory and that’s the difference between us and the left.

Tony737 on May 16, 2011 at 5:25 PM

Maybe Obama can issue an executive dictate ordering everyone to like him.

darwin on May 16, 2011 at 5:25 PM

OT: so newt is a racist for calling dear leader a food stamp president per the lsm….

he is toast for reasons other than this crapola but they rather focus on this issue….pathetic

cmsinaz on May 16, 2011 at 5:25 PM

Oh great, that means more demonization,witch hunts and demagoguery from his administration.

canditaylor68 on May 16, 2011 at 5:26 PM

When I saw the pathetic pictures of Bin Ladens hide out I knew he wasn’t the leader of anything anymore. Don’t get me wrong I’m glad we put him out of his misery. It was just strange that he was there without many guards or ability to communicate . Something about this whole thing borders on strange.

sandee on May 16, 2011 at 5:27 PM

Drrrrr, teh Politico disagrees.

-crr6

jawkneemusic on May 16, 2011 at 5:27 PM

None of this matters anyway ’cause the girls on ‘The View said BHO had the election in the bag.

So, there’s that.

catmman on May 16, 2011 at 5:27 PM


… Wait to see dated images of himself to appear on TV, and wonder why they were becoming increasingly few and far between. Wait, and while waiting, jot down his increasingly muddled ideas …

Hold on a sec … are we talking about osama or Obama???

Tony737 on May 16, 2011 at 5:28 PM

Hooray! A unifying thread!

petunia on May 16, 2011 at 5:21 PM

Don’t talk to me. /

portlandon on May 16, 2011 at 5:30 PM

Key West Reader on May 16, 2011 at 5:21 PM

heh

cmsinaz on May 16, 2011 at 5:30 PM

Actually, I think the lame story changes and other messaging snafus, plus his grandstanding and setting himself up as The Presidential SEAL muted any bounce he got.

A person going around pretending to be a SEAL and talking about all these great missions they’ve been part of, when the closest they actually got was a seat at a card table in front of a monitor that may or may not have been showing footage of a raid will not get much any respect. Or bounce.

Lily on May 16, 2011 at 5:31 PM

Uh oh. Any more high-profile, internationally notorious fugitive Islamics to assassinate? How about another domestic shooting massacre to exploit? Opportunity in crisis, you know! Now that the Left has suddenly discovered the value and uses of the military, opportunities have multipled.

rrpjr on May 16, 2011 at 5:31 PM

ok where is the cat picture?…that one is much better than his mug

cmsinaz on May 16, 2011 at 5:31 PM

I thought Obama won re-election already?

El_Terrible on May 16, 2011 at 5:21 PM

All I know is that Obama killed someone that looked like Santa.

the_nile on May 16, 2011 at 5:31 PM

how many folks bought the G.I. dear leader with the kung fu grip?

cmsinaz on May 16, 2011 at 5:32 PM

Can we hear again from all those delusional democrats who thought this made him invincible?

Hello?

Hello?

Anybody there?

xrayiiis on May 16, 2011 at 5:33 PM

Odds on the pics being released just got better.

rrpjr on May 16, 2011 at 5:33 PM

Does Newt wear the skirt in his household ?

Sandybourne on May 16, 2011 at 5:35 PM

“The bounce was short because Bin Laden hasn’t mattered much for a long time, which is a wonderful thing to realize.”

“I don’t think about him much anymore.”

Bush Prescient?

The War Planner on May 16, 2011 at 5:35 PM

Nowhere to go but down. But there’s always this to get for a liberal acquaintance for Christmas Winter Holiday so they can relive that week and a half.

Left Coast Right Mind on May 16, 2011 at 5:40 PM

because Bin Laden hasn’t mattered much for a long time

The ants hat nibbled on him for years already. Now the sharks made plankton food out of him.

Legacy!

I’m more concerned with the non-Arab-Spring turning into an anti-Israel winter, while Obama takes credit for the peace ‘flowers’.

Hope n’ Derange!

Schadenfreude on May 16, 2011 at 5:40 PM

Maybe they should have held off with this until about 10/25/12.

He and his camp are idiots if they think they can ride this to victory. Everything about the entire spectacle had a very “tail wagging the dog” feel to it. As Rush said the day after this happened, while it’s gratifying to see justice served, none of this matters a lick to people in their everyday lives. As long as the economy remains in the crapper, people are not going to vote for this clown. The best thing he could do to turn this all around is to get the hell out of the way and let someone else do the job.

NoLeftTurn on May 16, 2011 at 5:40 PM

Carville was right:

“It’s the economy, stupid.”

Bad news for Barry. Enjoy what’s left of your one term.

AZCoyote on May 16, 2011 at 5:40 PM

Maybe it was some of the grandstanding he did after we got our man.

scalleywag on May 16, 2011 at 5:41 PM

Obama has figured out that every time he kills a terrorist his polls go up.

I feel sorry for those raghead camel humpers now!

Roy Rogers on May 16, 2011 at 5:41 PM

Had Obama shown even an iota of respect for the military / USA prior to this, his bump could have been 20% and lasted 6 months.

But people understand this man despises American and the military. It was all fake. Deep down he secretly wishes the SEALs had failed.

angryed on May 16, 2011 at 5:42 PM

I’d like to see him bounced out of the WH and into EXILE.That is what happens to dictators isn’t it?

tim c on May 16, 2011 at 5:42 PM

How can this be? Just last week I saw an Obama action figure right here on HA.

BHO Jonestown on May 16, 2011 at 5:42 PM

Maybe he should not have spiked the football.

Key West Reader on May 16, 2011 at 5:21 PM

i don’t think spiking the football is all that bad, really. The guy who scores wants to celebrate, and spiking the ball is quick.

What’s annoying is the long touchdown dances… get on with the game, already!

malclave on May 16, 2011 at 5:44 PM

Is a pollster with bad news for Obama racist too? Or just the racists answering the question?

angryed on May 16, 2011 at 5:44 PM

Oh well, I guess it’s back to racial hatred and class warfare. It works better than trying to be something you are obviously not. If its all you have, go for it.

volsense on May 16, 2011 at 5:46 PM

angryed on May 16, 2011 at 5:44 PM

both my friend….both

cmsinaz on May 16, 2011 at 5:47 PM

Perhaps Politico will offer to share their polling database with Gallup.

anniekc on May 16, 2011 at 5:47 PM

Like Rush said today, the internal polls at the WH must be terrible.

kingsjester on May 16, 2011 at 5:47 PM

Dead Cats don’t bouce well…. even when spiked, apparently.

paragon27x on May 16, 2011 at 5:48 PM

I don’t think spiking the football is all that bad, really. The guy who scores wants to celebrate, and spiking the ball is quick.

What’s annoying is the long touchdown dances… get on with the game, already!

malclave on May 16, 2011 at 5:44 PM

..or, as the great Jim Brown once advised a rookie after he celebrated in the end zone, “Act like you been there before.”

Tangentially, if Obama’s Ickey Shuffle gets as tired as this SNL sketch, he’s gonna need some air in his tires by July 2012.

The War Planner on May 16, 2011 at 5:48 PM

But people understand this man despises American and the military. It was all fake. Deep down he secretly wishes the SEALs had failed.

angryed on May 16, 2011 at 5:42 PM

Yep…we ‘mericans know a poser when we see one.

tencole on May 16, 2011 at 5:49 PM

Offing bin laden could work to Obama’s disadvantage.

No more bin ladens. No chance of October surprise on this count.

Perception of success slowly shifts more and more toward military as Obama’s ineptitude on other foreign policy fronts continues. How to explain the contradiction?

Post-event handling terrible. Obama’s continued desperate spiking makes matters worse. The more he talks about it, greater the contrast between this and other failures.

Best thing he could have done was to entirely credit military and parlay the goodwill toward compromise on some critical economic issue.

rrpjr on May 16, 2011 at 5:50 PM

Actually, I think the lame story changes and other messaging snafus, plus his grandstanding and setting himself up as The Presidential SEAL muted any bounce he got.

A person going around pretending to be a SEAL and talking about all these great missions they’ve been part of, when the closest they actually got was a seat at a card table in front of a monitor that may or may not have been showing footage of a raid will not get much any respect. Or bounce.

Lily on May 16, 2011 at 5:31 PM

I was thinking the same thing, but then I wondered if that was giving the public at large too much credit…

cynccook on May 16, 2011 at 5:50 PM

Osama? Underwater

Barry’s numbers? Underwater

Atchafalaya Basin? Not so much.

Christien on May 16, 2011 at 5:51 PM

Had Obama shown even an iota of respect for the military / USA prior to this, his bump could have been 20% and lasted 6 months.

But people understand this man despises American and the military. It was all fake. Deep down he secretly wishes the SEALs had failed.angryed on May 16, 2011 at 5:42 PM

Yes. I think this is why he looked like he was going to toss his tamales in that Situation Room picture.

cynccook on May 16, 2011 at 5:51 PM

how many folks bought the G.I. dear leader with the kung fu grip?

cmsinaz on May 16, 2011 at 5:32 PM

Way too much “That 70′s Show” for you.

oldfiveanddimer on May 16, 2011 at 5:52 PM

Back to reality. That was actually pretty scathing from SNL

Southernblogger on May 16, 2011 at 5:53 PM

People still watch SNL? Not even funny.

jawkneemusic on May 16, 2011 at 5:55 PM

BTW, Allah, I love this picture of Obama. He looks exactly the way my 3 year old does when he gets sent to the corner for taking his 2 year old brother’s toy.

cynccook on May 16, 2011 at 5:55 PM

The moat speech? Campaigning in a state that’s turning into a dust bowl while wildfire spreads over 2 million acres from border to border after Mr. President has denied their claim for extra firefighting resources? Those are just two reasons I can think of in the past week that might cause his numbers to tank.

scalleywag on May 16, 2011 at 5:56 PM

Axelrod has a plan.

Roy Rogers on May 16, 2011 at 5:56 PM

So, no bounce for The One…

Wait a minute! Whaddayamean, no bounce? That witch on The View, Joy-Less Behar, all ready said we could skip the next election.

GrannyDee on May 16, 2011 at 6:02 PM

Really Really O/T- Over the weekend I stumbled onto W making a speech at the 400th anniversary of Jamestown and after he did all the ceremonial presidential stuff, he pretended to conduct the orchestra playing “The Stars and Stripes Forever”. It was very sweet.

Cindy Munford on May 16, 2011 at 6:03 PM

Wait a minute! Whaddayamean, no bounce? That witch on The View, Joy-Less Behar, all ready said we could skip the next election.

GrannyDee on May 16, 2011 at 6:02 PM

Did she really? Cool. I can hardly wait to tell my in-laws they don’t have to go to the polls because it is all locked up.

Lily on May 16, 2011 at 6:11 PM

Meow! thump . . . thump

Knott Buyinit on May 16, 2011 at 6:12 PM

It only takes one “awl sh*t” to wipe out a handful of “attaboys”

J_Crater on May 16, 2011 at 6:19 PM

The bounce was short because Bin Laden hasn’t mattered much for a long time, which is a wonderful thing to realize.

But but they found data that said OBL was still active.

–Leftwing Whackjob

CWforFreedom on May 16, 2011 at 6:27 PM

The bounce was short because Bin Laden hasn’t mattered much for a long time, which is a wonderful thing to realize.

Also because Obama hasn’t mattered much for a long time.

bgoldman on May 16, 2011 at 6:31 PM

oldfiveanddimer on May 16, 2011 at 5:52 PM

:)

cmsinaz on May 16, 2011 at 6:35 PM

Unfortunately, having really accomplished only one thing of note, Barry will remind us again and again, HE got OBL.

2012 cannot come soon enough.

GarandFan on May 16, 2011 at 6:41 PM

Back to reality. That was actually pretty scathing from SNL

Southernblogger on May 16, 2011 at 5:53 PM

Not really. They should have done it from the golf course, and the last line would have been “…and now watch this drive”.

SNL will never rake little Bammie like they do Republicans, it’s just not their nature.

slickwillie2001 on May 16, 2011 at 6:46 PM

SNL will never rake little Bammie like they do Republicans, it’s just not their nature.

slickwillie2001 on May 16, 2011 at 6:46 PM

tru dat

cmsinaz on May 16, 2011 at 6:53 PM

I can’t draw, photoshop images, or make silkscreens. But if I could, I’d walk around Greenwich Village wearing a T shirt with a picture of Obama wearing a cowboy hat with a hammer and sickle and a Che Guevera shirt, while holding a gun, with the caption “how may towelheads do I have to kill to get re-elected?”.

ardenenoch on May 16, 2011 at 7:24 PM

Didn’t they declare Obama unbeatable after the killing of bin Laden? Didn’t the ladies of the View wet themselves over the manly way Obama took out bin Laden?
Their mouths will hang open, and they’ll all cry, “Boo hoo.”

tpitman on May 16, 2011 at 7:30 PM

That’s it!

Time to cancel the election.

Right, girls?

/View dingbats

Good Lt on May 16, 2011 at 8:31 PM

how many folks bought the G.I. dear leader with the kung fu grip?

cmsinaz on May 16, 2011 at 5:32 PM

Way too much “That 70′s Show” for you.

oldfiveanddimer on May 16, 2011 at 5:52 PM

The best one was the episode with the French version of the GI Joe figure. As Dumbass said:

“G.I. Jacques…it does exist!”

Del Dolemonte on May 16, 2011 at 9:43 PM

“The bounce was short because Bin Laden hasn’t mattered much for a long time, which is a wonderful thing to realize.”

“I don’t think about him much anymore.”

Bush Prescient?

The War Planner on May 16, 2011 at 5:35 PM

Turns out that the Left desperately cited that Bush quote totally out of context and not in its entirety, and also conveniently ignored the fact that after Bush made that statement, he actually went to Paki to find out why they weren’t doing more to cooperate with us in finding you know who.

Del Dolemonte on May 16, 2011 at 9:57 PM

PS, I doubt Bush would have gotten a bounce for getting OBL either. Unless it was immediately after 9/11.

Del Dolemonte on May 16, 2011 at 9:58 PM

The bounce was short because Bin Laden hasn’t mattered much for a long time, which is a wonderful thing to realize.

Well, that is part of it. But most Americans know that Obama didn’t deserve much credit for the elimination of bin Laden in any case. Had Obama’s policies been in place instead of Bush’s, bin Laden would still be out there threatening us, and so would a whole host of other dangerous terrorists presently roasting in Hell.

novaculus on May 16, 2011 at 10:04 PM

He waited 10 years for another spectacular attack on the U.S. He never got one.

All of us get attacked every day in one way or the other because of 911.

He wanted to change our way of life and he succeeded. And, how.

Moesart on May 16, 2011 at 11:24 PM

But, but, Columbia J-School types at the A/P promised me that Dear Leader was leading by 17 points, and that Democrats now outnumber Republicans 2-1 due to the sheer machismo of Dear Leader, especially when shirtless and in a cowboy hat.

Don’t tell me that wasn’t true.

MNHawk on May 17, 2011 at 6:42 AM

Dead goats don’t bounce as high as dead cats.

andycanuck on May 17, 2011 at 8:36 AM

Obama might have gotten a bounce “spiking the ball” after his Bin Laden touchdown, but then people realize that the home team is still 14 points (or 14 trillion dollars) behind, and give the quarterback an “incomplete”…

Steve Z on May 17, 2011 at 10:19 AM

Dead Mullah Bounce – band name?

mojo on May 17, 2011 at 10:35 AM