White House wonders: Is Texas in play next year?

posted at 6:56 pm on May 11, 2011 by Allahpundit

If you’re wondering why yesterday’s amnesty pander was held in El Paso instead of, say, Arizona, wonder no longer. Rest assured, this is a crazy idea but more so because of the vagaries of the next election than in the abstract. Last year, according to Gallup, Obama’s approval rating in Texas was 44.8 percent, just two points lower than the national average. At the height of Bush fatigue and Hopenchange fever in 2008, self-identified Democrats actually outnumbered Republicans; a year later, during his honeymoon period, Obama’s approval was above the water line at 51.9 percent. In fact, in a PPP poll of the state taken in January, Obama was crushed by Huckabee in a hypothetical head to head but finished seven points behind Romney and just five points behind Gingrich. In theory, if Latino voters broke overwhelmingly for him and turned out in droves, the state would be in play.

But then, that’s also what they thought in 2008, isn’t it?

The state’s population is about 35 percent Hispanic, almost identical to California’s proportion. The voting-age population in Texas is growing faster than almost anywhere else in the U.S. — with an estimated 1.2 million eligible minority voters, most of them Spanish speakers, added to the state’s population between 2008 and 2012, according to the U.S. Census Bureau.

Those trends have been emerging for a decade, but Democrats have, by and large, been unable to capitalize on them, owing to the state’s geography and abysmal voter registration and turnout patterns among Latinos…

Sixty-three percent of Latino voters in Texas backed Obama in 2008, a solid but unspectacular showing that he must improve upon for any chance in the state. Moreover, Latino turnout in Texas lagged behind rates in neighboring states and was only half the rate among white Texans, who backed McCain 3 to 1…

[Karl] Rove doesn’t deny that times are changing fast — since 2002, 80 percent of newly eligible Texas voters have been minorities, most of them Latino. But he points to gains that Hispanic Republicans made last year in state legislative and judicial races — the number of Hispanic Republicans in the Texas House jumped from zero to five — and a series of perceived insults Obama has served the state: a refusal to issue disaster declarations for recent wildfires and droughts, health care reform and the decision to deprive Houston of a decommissioned space shuttle as a tourist destination.

“I hope they do spend all of their money and time on Texas so they can divert it from Ohio, Nevada, Pennsylvania, Florida, New Mexico and Michigan,” said Rove.

So why is this a fantasy? Because, realistically, the next campaign will be tight enough in terms of electoral votes and fundraising that The One won’t have the time or money to spend on a longshot like Texas. It’ll cost him $25 million at least to compete there, which isn’t a huge number given the size of his war chest but will seem unjustifiable if the GOP nominee is threatening in must-have states like Pennsylvania or Ohio. The only reason he’d dump cash like that into Texas is if he had a considerable fundraising advantage and could afford to burn some money in hopes of scaring Republicans into depleting their own smaller treasury to defend the state. And even in that case, isn’t the money better spent in … Pennsylvania and Ohio? If he’s seriously competing for Texas next year, it can mean only one of two things. Either the economy’s come roaring back and his reelection is all but assured, in which case Democrats might use the opportunity to reach out to states otherwise deemed unwinnable in hopes of encouraging voters (specifically, Latino voters) there in 2016. Or the economy’s stalled and his approval rating has cratered, in which case he’ll be desperate and looking for a huge cache of electoral votes to offset the swing states he’s going to lose. The latter seems more probable than the former, in which case, how probably is it that the state that would deliver him from defeat would be Texas? As I say, a crazy idea.

For your listening pleasure, here’s Rick Perry hammering The One on immigration today on Laura Ingraham’s show. As for whether Texas is in play come 2016, that seems likelier. Save us, Marco Rubio, you’re our only hope!


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After giving Texans the proverbial shaft over those wildfires, I’d be amazed if takes that state.

JetBoy on May 11, 2011 at 7:00 PM

Texas has lots of money, most of it Republican but enough of it Democrat.

Obama wants some of that money.

So he is going to tell Texans with money that their donations will matter.

And the fools will believe him and send him even more money.

angryed on May 11, 2011 at 7:00 PM

Can I just say he looks so cowboyish and kickass in that hat. *swoon*

tencole on May 11, 2011 at 7:01 PM

Or the economy’s stalled and his approval rating has cratered, in which case he’ll be desperate and looking for a huge cache of electoral votes to offset the swing states he’s going to lose. The latter seems more probable than the former, in which case, how probably is it that the state that would deliver him from defeat would be Texas? As I say, a crazy idea.

They certainly are putting a lot of stock in Eva Longoria’s ability to GOTV, aren’t they?

cynccook on May 11, 2011 at 7:01 PM

No usen las drogas.

andy85719 on May 11, 2011 at 7:01 PM

Obama’s approval rating in Texas was 44.8 percent, just two points lower than the national average

Probably becaused the only polled Austin?

upinak on May 11, 2011 at 7:01 PM

Is Texas in play next year?

ummmm…nope

cmsinaz on May 11, 2011 at 7:02 PM

Dream on!

tim c on May 11, 2011 at 7:02 PM

I have a feeling he’ll be getting most of his donations in 2012 from overseas.

JellyToast on May 11, 2011 at 7:02 PM

I have a feeling he’ll be getting most of his donations in 2012 from overseas.

JellyToast on May 11, 2011 at 7:02 PM

How is that any different than 2008?

Obama had phone banks on the Gaza strip.

tetriskid on May 11, 2011 at 7:03 PM

Save us, Marco Rubio, you’re our only hope!

So you mean Rubio should fully support open borders and repeated amnesties for Mexicans that will vote for the welfare-whoring Dems anyway? Meh. See, “McCain, Juan S.”

fiatboomer on May 11, 2011 at 7:03 PM

Was Bin Laden a gringo?

profitsbeard on May 11, 2011 at 7:03 PM

tetriskid on May 11, 2011 at 7:03 PM

I was just thinking that. Please get out of my head.

upinak on May 11, 2011 at 7:04 PM

JellyToast on May 11, 2011 at 7:02 PM

yepper….

maybe the reason for his ME speech this week?

cmsinaz on May 11, 2011 at 7:04 PM

That picture…all hat…no cattle.

john1schn on May 11, 2011 at 7:05 PM

If Texas is in play, he’ll win 50 states and D.C. In other words, no.

Attila (Pillage Idiot) on May 11, 2011 at 7:05 PM

After giving Texans the proverbial shaft over those wildfires, I’d be amazed if takes that state.

JetBoy on May 11, 2011 at 7:00 PM

Given the shaft alright….

“…Two specially equipped U.S. Air Force cargo planes left Colorado on Saturday to help battle wildfires in northern Mexico.

The C-130s were requested by the Mexican government and the U.S. State Department, a U.S. Northern Command spokesman said.

The planes can spray about 3,000 gallons of fire retardant in a matter of seconds from a system of pressurized tanks called Modular Aerial Fire Fighting System or MAFFS.

The MAFFS is designed for the cargo bay of a C-130.

The planes heading to Mexico are based at Peterson Air Force Base, Colo., and are assigned to the Air Force Reserve’s 302nd Airlift Wing.

The fires have burned about 386 square miles in Mexico near the Texas border. Mexico has already deployed 1,000 personnel, nine helicopters and two small planes.

The C-130s will fly firefighting missions from Laughlin Air Force Base, Texas. A third C-130 went in a support role. About 30 service personnel are also part of the mission.

The planes and crews will stay as long as they’re needed, said John Cornelio, a spokesman for Northern Command.

In December, the U.S. sent two of the firefighting C-130s to help battle blazes in Israel.

http://www.wfaa.com/news/texas-news/US-sends-cargo-planes-to-help-Mexico-fight-fires-119981519.html

tencole on May 11, 2011 at 7:06 PM

Sixty-three percent of Latino voters in Texas backed Obama in 2008, a solid but unspectacular showing

This is why Rs who think we should trade immigration reform for a fence are asking for their own political asphyxiation, and R voters who support candidates who mess around with immigration reform are the DUMBEST PEOPLE IN POLITICS…

That would be anyone who supports Newt, Palin, Huck, and now lately, apparently Ron Paul too.

Conservative Electoral suicide, signed, sealed and delivered by the left right…

Support anyone who will promise enforcement of immigration laws, and ignore anyone who does not.

The words “immigration reform” should be as unmentionable among the righty base as “tax hikes”…..

rightwingyahooo on May 11, 2011 at 7:07 PM

If Texas is in play we (GOP) has major problems!..:(

Dire Straits on May 11, 2011 at 7:07 PM

After giving Texans the proverbial shaft over those wildfires, I’d be amazed if takes that state.

JetBoy on May 11, 2011 at 7:00 PM

But he got Bin Laden!

JellyToast on May 11, 2011 at 7:08 PM

The White House must have inhaled too much smoke from the wildfires.

I’m likin’ Rick Perry though…

Fallon on May 11, 2011 at 7:08 PM

tencole on May 11, 2011 at 7:06 PM

hello

help out mexico but not texas?

unfreakinbelievable….

cmsinaz on May 11, 2011 at 7:09 PM

Is Texas in play? About as much as Oklahmoa. In other words…nah.

joejm65 on May 11, 2011 at 7:09 PM

Any other righty foolishness, or gameplaying with the left, can in time be fixed, but immigration amnesty/reform can never be fixed or repealed.

We lose on this, we lose on everything else too. No other issue will decide our future more clearly than this one.

One issue voter? Yep. Better hope so, if you want your vote to matter.

rightwingyahooo on May 11, 2011 at 7:10 PM

Obama will win Texas? Suuuuuure, and the GOP nominee will win California.

This is an attempt to sucker both Democrat donors in this state as well as the RNC and GOP into wasting their money. Not only will Obama not compete in Texas, I predict he won’t make even a single campaign stop in 2012.

Doughboy on May 11, 2011 at 7:10 PM

If you know you’re going to lose than you might as well go for Texas, I guess.

JellyToast on May 11, 2011 at 7:10 PM

This is a prime example of a politician believing his own press. The dude makes an appearance on the Texas/Mexico border to tout immigration reform/amnesty and then a fundraiser in blue, blue, blue Austin and with all the adulation he received from these two events, thinks he’s gonna capture the Alamo. He’s delusional.

glennbo on May 11, 2011 at 7:12 PM

That picture…all empty hat…no cattle.

john1schn on May 11, 2011 at 7:05 PM

Forgive my editing…

I think that there’s a better chance that Texas will secede and revert to its former status as an independent republic than it going to Barry in 2012.

Especially if Sarah runs…

*ducks*

turfmann on May 11, 2011 at 7:12 PM

White House wonders: Is Texas in play next year?

No. Next question?

tgharris on May 11, 2011 at 7:13 PM

I predict he won’t make even a single campaign stop in 2012.

Doughboy on May 11, 2011 at 7:10 PM

yepper…

cmsinaz on May 11, 2011 at 7:13 PM

Not with this Texan or anyone I know.

derft on May 11, 2011 at 7:13 PM

Texas passed a vote ID law, so the dead cannot vote from the grave anymore, nor can illegals – both major democrat constituencies.

And when you look at the midterms, Texas went from a red state to a RED state, with districts once solidly democrat flipping to GOP control, and the legislature from a bare majority to a super majority.

Long story short – a day old tunafish sandwich has a better chance of winning Texas than 0bama.

Rebar on May 11, 2011 at 7:14 PM

HAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHA

*breathes*

HAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHHAHA

KSgop on May 11, 2011 at 7:14 PM

Heh… Heh… Heh… Heh… Heh… Heh… Heh… Heh…

OmahaConservative on May 11, 2011 at 7:14 PM

“…— and a series of perceived insults Obama has served the state: a refusal to issue disaster declarations for recent wildfires and droughts, health care reform and the decision to deprive Houston of a decommissioned space shuttle as a tourist destination.”

That last one will haunt Obowma for evah

… Nice going, Champ!

Seven Percent Solution on May 11, 2011 at 7:15 PM

It isn’t just wildfires… the EPA has screwed Texas over too…

ninjapirate on May 11, 2011 at 7:15 PM

Obama will win Texas as soon as Kansas elects Bernie Sanders Governor.

KSgop on May 11, 2011 at 7:15 PM

I really don’t think so. Really. And he looks sillier in a cowboy hat than my English-public-schoolboy husband.

Fortunata on May 11, 2011 at 7:15 PM

I should remind everyone, that Texas is a state where the GOP completely controls the state legislature and the governorship.

Obama’s got about as much chance of winning the state of Texas in 2012 as a tumbleweed has of surviving a west Texas grass fire.

glennbo on May 11, 2011 at 7:15 PM

It isn’t just wildfires… the EPA has screwed Texas over too…

And Obama’s NLRB attack on Right to Work states will hurt him too…

ninjapirate on May 11, 2011 at 7:15 PM

Accurate headline: “Obama machine stirs s**t, demonstrates complete command of media narrative regardless of facts.”

cthulhu on May 11, 2011 at 7:17 PM

Texas 2004:
George Bush: 4,526,917
John Kerry: 2,832,704

Texas 2008:
John McCain: 4,479,328
Barack Obama: 3,528,633

tetriskid on May 11, 2011 at 7:19 PM

Here’s a campaign slogan for them:

WIN ONCE WITH THE GYPPER.

Mutnodjmet on May 11, 2011 at 7:19 PM

Long story short – a day old tunafish sandwich has a better chance of winning Texas than 0bama.

Rebar on May 11, 2011 at 7:14 PM

I hear the sandwich wants alligators in the moat too

Ditkaca on May 11, 2011 at 7:20 PM

Don’t forget the extra electoral votes they are getting AND the redistricting that will be done by the solid RED supermajority.

Texas going blue in 2012? ummm, NOPE

karenhasfreedom on May 11, 2011 at 7:21 PM

Wow, two times in one day the same topic has given me a good laugh!

bluemarlin on May 11, 2011 at 7:26 PM

If Texas is in play, he’ll win 50 states and D.C. In other words, no.

Attila (Pillage Idiot) on May 11, 2011 at 7:05 PM

This.

RadClown on May 11, 2011 at 7:27 PM

There is one feasible way this could happen:

If all the blue-state ultra-liberals from California flee to Texas by 2012 for real jobs, and re-register.

Mutnodjmet on May 11, 2011 at 7:27 PM

oh, barry is pushing his CRA business model again…in St Louis

http://www.businessweek.com/magazine/content/11_20/b4228031594062.htm

r keller on May 11, 2011 at 7:28 PM

It’s funny to watch them fool themselves…but really it was only about the money. The stupid speeches lacked truth so it was an excuse to get to use air force one for the purpose of fund raising.

tinkerthinker on May 11, 2011 at 7:31 PM

White House wonders: Is Texas in play next year?

Nothing is impossible……..except Texas.

rukiddingme on May 11, 2011 at 7:31 PM

Obama seems to be counting his chickens before they are hatched. Maybe they will roost for him before they even hatch.

Who knows. Who cares. He needs to face the fact that he is a one hit wonder. See if you can spot Chris Matthews in this vid

One and done and good riddance.

Key West Reader on May 11, 2011 at 7:34 PM

As someone who lives in and grew up in Texas, let me sum this up:

No friggin’ way.

Obama may make headway in Houston, a sanctuary city (thanks Mayor Bill White, Democrat), and perhaps the college town of Austin, TX, and perhaps some Latinos, but that’s it.

He lost big here in ’08 and the census changed the electorate in favor of Republicans further still in 2010. I see no way possible. A terrific waste of his time and money :)

A local radio talk show host commented that Obama will lose all of his bounce from bin Laden if he continues to demagogue the issue of border security with partisan remarks like he delivered in Austin and El Paso recently.

Let him keep it up. He’ll only hurt himself.

thedude on May 11, 2011 at 7:36 PM

And Obama’s NLRB attack on Right to Work states will hurt him too…

ninjapirate on May 11, 2011 at 7:15 PM

per facebook…..

“…. President Obama has the opportunity to prove that he cares about keeping jobs for working class families in America. He can speak up about his appointees at the National Labor Relations Board (NLRB) who have their boots on The Boeing Company’s neck. Does the President support the rights of businesses and working class people in right-to-work states to make sound decisions without government regulatory agencies unfairly punishing them?

Does the President realize the real concern here is not that businesses will choose to locate in one state over another? It’s that businesses will choose to locate in other countries because thanks to the Obama administration’s job killing policies and over-reaching regulatory boards the business climate in the United States is growing toxic. South Carolina’s Senator Jim DeMint reminded President Obama that the President said in his State of the Union address: “We have to make America the best place on Earth to do business.” I agree with this sentiment, Mr. President. If we want to keep good paying jobs for working class families in the United States then you shouldn’t pit South Carolina against Washington state because eventually every state will suffer when businesses declare “enough is enough” with these tactics and decide to relocate in more business-friendly countries.”

– Sarah Palin

tencole on May 11, 2011 at 7:38 PM

After giving Texans the proverbial shaft over those wildfires, I’d be amazed if takes that state.

JetBoy on May 11, 2011 at 7:00 PM

If Texas is in play then I’m Kermit the Frog.

annoyinglittletwerp on May 11, 2011 at 7:39 PM

We are going to have Voter ID this election, we’ll see how that hispanic vote works out for Obama this time.

Vigilante on May 11, 2011 at 7:44 PM

Now that we have voter ID, it will make it harder for dead, out of state, or illegal aliens to vote. NO, bho you don’t give the cowboys a tingle here in TX!
L

letget on May 11, 2011 at 7:44 PM

Has anyone in the O Admin stopped to think what a bad impression he is making on legal immigrants? The ones who did everything right? The ones who risked their lives to flee communism and socialism and went through the rigors to become a US Citizen?

Sometimes I think the only advisor to Obama is brain dead. Doesn’t he understand that all “Latinos” are not mexican? And that most of them risked life and limb for Freedom in America?

This is going to backfire on him, and it should.

Key West Reader on May 11, 2011 at 7:45 PM

We are going to have Voter ID this election, we’ll see how that hispanic vote works out for Obama this time.

Vigilante on May 11, 2011 at 7:44 PM

I take it that Perry signed it?

annoyinglittletwerp on May 11, 2011 at 7:45 PM

In other news, California will be in play for Republicans in 2012 and even more so in 2016. /sarc

hmfearny on May 11, 2011 at 7:45 PM

Vigilante on May 11, 2011 at 7:44 PM

Guess we were thinking the same thing when I did my post.
L

letget on May 11, 2011 at 7:46 PM

I live in a middle class Hispanic neighborhood (we’re the only white family for miles) and my district went for McCain.

Texas isn’t in play.

Vera on May 11, 2011 at 7:53 PM

I know lots of folks in Austin who voted for him, most now despise him. Both Anglo & Hispanic. And that’s the part of the state that actually liked him to begin with. I’ve never met anyone in Houston or Dallas that could stand him.

I don’t believe he’s ever been over 40% in the state. He won’t be competitive here next year, he just wants some of that Rob Roy & Northwest Hills liberal money.

lizzie beth on May 11, 2011 at 7:54 PM

don’t worry about TX, it’s my island

pecan pie on May 11, 2011 at 7:57 PM

This is going to backfire on him, and it should.

Key West Reader on May 11, 2011 at 7:45 PM

I wholeheartedly agree. My wife was born in Cuba, grew up in Venezuela. Most of her family fled Castro, her father not so lucky was caught in a concentration camp for 6 years. He later married and she was the last of 3 kids. A fortunate turn of luck allowed the other Cuban relatives, then living in Venezuela, to secure a Visa and get them out. They then went to live in Venezuela only to see Chavez take it over 11 years ago.

They have fled socialism/communism twice. Needless to say, every single member of the family is a very much conservative American citizen.

thedude on May 11, 2011 at 7:58 PM

…er, or something.

pecan pie on May 11, 2011 at 7:58 PM

I live in a middle class Hispanic neighborhood (we’re the only white family for miles) and my district went for McCain.

Texas isn’t in play.

Vera on May 11, 2011 at 7:53 PM

Zero’s about as popular in Lubbock as…a wildfire.

annoyinglittletwerp on May 11, 2011 at 7:58 PM

Not even cousin Pookie can save Texas for Barry.

SouthernGent on May 11, 2011 at 8:01 PM

Yeah it was the same in Florida … Then everybody figured out they were lied to by Obama-commie, and in 2010 took out every statewide candidate that ran.

Next we take out the only one left Sen Nelson.

tarpon on May 11, 2011 at 8:01 PM

Dream that impossible dream, Mr. Obama.

powerpro on May 11, 2011 at 8:02 PM

don’t worry about TX, it’s my island

pecan pie on May 11, 2011 at 7:57 PM

“Now tell me, what does that mean to be noble? Your title gives you claim to the throne of our country, but men don’t follow titles, they follow courage. Now our people know you. Noble, and common, they respect you. And if you would just lead them to freedom, they’d follow you. And so would I.”

:)

tencole on May 11, 2011 at 8:05 PM

annoyinglittletwerp on May 11, 2011 at 7:58 PM

OT: How is the job going!..I hope well!..:)

Dire Straits on May 11, 2011 at 8:06 PM

If they can get enough illegal aliens registered, they should have no problem winning Texas.

paulsur on May 11, 2011 at 8:08 PM

…er, or something.

pecan pie on May 11, 2011 at 7:58 PM

Or something what? er…

thedude on May 11, 2011 at 8:09 PM

Texas is in play? Tea Party central? He called us tea-baggers – Texans are southerners, that’s very poor manners on his part to be calling Texans a dirty name. Does he think they forgot? Independents in Texas are not leaning Democrat far from it.

Dr Evil on May 11, 2011 at 8:14 PM

Texas 2004:
George Bush: 4,526,917
John Kerry: 2,832,704

Texas 2008:
John McCain: 4,479,328
Barack Obama: 3,528,633

tetriskid on May 11, 2011 at 7:19 PM

That pretty much says it all…

thedude on May 11, 2011 at 8:14 PM

Obama winning Texas after he dissed Texas on the wildfires — no way — he wasn’t going to win down there anyway or any other place in the south including Florida this time who have had enough of Obama.

He has a much chance as Clinton had in winning Texas — zero, zip, nada.

PhiKapMom on May 11, 2011 at 8:14 PM

About half of that Hispanic population is ILLEGAL. Illegal immigrants can’t vote.

and I hate to be the bearer of bad news, but Hispanics do not vote in large numbers and 2010 was a huge, huge, huge win for republicans. After 2010 election, the Republicans in the state legislature hold the largest majority they have ever had in the history of the state. Republicans won huge at the local, state, and federal level. And not much has changed since 2010….not to mention the President’s flippant attitude towards Texas and all the lawsuits that have been filed against the state or to defend state’s rights since his election.

Sure Texas is in play. In the land of unicorns and rainbows, it’s in play.

ramrants on May 11, 2011 at 8:17 PM

…a series of perceived insults Obama has served the state: a refusal to issue disaster declarations for recent wildfires and droughts, health care reform and the decision to deprive Houston of a decommissioned space shuttle as a tourist destination.

(writing from dearest, darkest, dustiest DeepInnaHeata)

…every dime (of taxpayer and union money) that Mr. O pours into Texas will be deeply appreciated…sign and bumpersticker printers, TV stations and the folks who sell bus ads all need to make a buck.

…it just won’t do him much good. Good.

…Mr. O will always have the lockstep support of the ideological zombies who he’s consistently ignored and/or sold out…homosexual activists, the “close Gitmo” crowd, folks who put humans (particularly infants) on the same plane as endangered insects, unionistas, and any communist you’d care to name…he may be flawed, they’ll tell you, and may have betrayed their sacred principles, which seem to begin and end with telling you and I as from a great, pristine height what to do…it’s like they think they’re talking to ants…but his nose is still pointing in the right direction…to the left….

…furthermore, Mr. O can count on the wistful dreaming of those who buy into racially gerrymandering all of civic life, reducing people to “demographics” without any reference to either history or reality or humanity. These sorts are the folks who’ve been selling us the “diversity” canard…everybody must think and act alike, while being free to look as different as they want while doing so….

Living, as I do, between the Atascosa and the Nueces rivers, one cannot escape noticing the whole “hispanic” dimension in things political. Go down the road to the Wal*Mart and one hears Spanish as much as one hears English…and, allow me to stick my thumb right into the eye of the racial beancounters by observing that nobody seems to mind. Folks aren’t “oppressed” down here…broke, yes…and for that we can thank Mr. O and the Fed….

…but I digress….

…folks down here do vote Democrat. Our Congressmensch is Henry Cuellar, a who’s always in the paper talking about how much “free” money he’s been able to steal from other regions and steer our…but even he is smart enough to make socially conservative sounds when a sour wind blows his way…’cause folks here may be Democrats, but there’re also a mess o’ Republicans, and even more registered “I hate all the b*stards”, into which voter pool he and his party comrades must drop their hooks.

One must remember, also, there even now, after aberrations like McGovern, slickers like Clinton and losers like Gore and Kerry, Democrat means something slightly different in some parts of Texas than they do in, say, south Chicago.

The problem here (I can’t speak with any authority about Bexar county up north, or for any other Texas region, for that matter) doesn’t seem to be that Dems here feel that they have a lock, and that Republicans thus are all forlorn at their prospects…it’s just that, as we’re seeing nationally, the Republicans are about as inspiring as yesterday’s oatmeal…and about as organized.

…now, that doesn’t take into consideration the imminent expansion of Texas federal representation and the consequent racially gerrymandered electoral redisctricting, both federal and state. Last time the folks in Austin bit into that turd, the Dems hit the road to avoid a quorum both in the House and Senate…a’ la Wisconsin…prolly gave the folks up in Dairyland the idea, truth be told. And, with an overwhelmingly Republican legislature, the redistricting should be interesting…and should leave Mr. O’s folks smarting….

What there *IS* down here, within easy driving of San Antonio, is a pretty healthy Tea Party bunch. I’ve been to a couple of gatherings, and one meeting, and seeing as the gatherings were outdoors under the Texas sun (one in April, which can be blazing down here, and one in July), these people are stoked enough to risk a solar hammering. Heck, there was even a Tea Party do here in Atascosa County…which is to San Antonio what Hooterville is to the Big Apple….

I haven’t seen any corresponding anti-Tea-Party do’s…maybe there might’ve been one or two on one of the area colleges…but you can blame that on their being on campus…you know…subsidized by the folks, not very accountable, trolling for chicks with politics which suggest easy virtue…you know the drill….

…so, in my dusty little sunbaked bailywick, Mr. O — who seems to be viewed pretty universally as an oily and crooked Chicago pol, go figure — would be wise to circle his wagons up in Yankeeland to get the needed electoral juice. He’s DOA down here….

…except among true believers…and they seem few and far between locally…even the Dems down here don’t wear Birkenstocks…too many snakes….

Puritan1648 on May 11, 2011 at 8:25 PM

About half of that Hispanic population is ILLEGAL. Illegal immigrants can’t vote. ramrants on May 11, 2011 at 8:17 PM

Neither can Non Naturalized Immigrants they can be in the country legally on a visa but they still can’t vote. They aren’t a citizen of the U.S. It takes more than residency in Texas to be elligible to vote. I have never had a problem voting and it’s pretty regular down here. Now the Democrat primary system in Texas has seen some shenanigans

God Willing PUMA will be out in force running up to November 2012 election. They really are not happy with the 2008 Democrat primary outcome…..maybe those are the votes the Obama administration is counting on to swing Texas SNARK.

Dr Evil on May 11, 2011 at 8:27 PM

…damn, that was long…I gotta get a hobby….

Puritan1648 on May 11, 2011 at 8:28 PM

Just repeating what I said in the headlines blurb on this, Team Obama is putting this out at this time because they just swept through the pockets of Texas liberals and want to do it again in the future — they have to give liberals in the state some sort of hope their money will actually make a difference in Texas, not someplace 1,500 miles away. So they come up with this rah-rah spin.

The other flaw is their mindset that because California Hispanics, mostly with family connections to Mexico, break heavily for Democrats, Hispanics in Texas, mostly with family connections to Mexico, are going to break the same way. They aren’t — odds are they’ll be closer to the ideological breakdown for Hispanics in Florida in the long term.

California has a welfare state that overtly tries to get lower income people permanently onto public assistance and dependent on Democrats, and despite its size, only has a 150-mile wide strip of land along the Pacific Coast where the vast majority of its population is crammed, especially in the southern part of the state. Both are designed to inhibit upward mobility. Texas’ system is far more demanding that people go out and work, while at the same time the 800-mile wide border means you don’t have the concentration of poverty within the Hispanic community in any one area that you have in California, and a lot more land to expand the areas where the upwardly mobile can live. And the upwardly mobile (i.e. taxpaying) people are more likely to vote Republican.

That doesn’t mean Hispanics in Texas aren’t more supportive of Democrats right now, especially compared to Cuban-American support for Republicans in Florida, just that the ties to the Dems are far weaker than they are in California (Obama’s 63 percent of the Hispanic vote in Texas in 2008 may look good, but that’s just nine percent ahead of Obama’s national vote, and when you look at his record over the past 2 1/2 years, it’s hard to see him reaching that 63 percent total in Texas again in 2012, especially if the state’s economy continues to perform far better than the overall national economy).

jon1979 on May 11, 2011 at 8:34 PM

OT: How is the job going!..I hope well!..:)

Dire Straits on May 11, 2011 at 8:06 PM

It’s going long.*sigh*

annoyinglittletwerp on May 11, 2011 at 8:34 PM

It’s going long.*sigh*

annoyinglittletwerp on May 11, 2011 at 8:34 PM

I hear you!..I hope you success at it!..:):)

Dire Straits on May 11, 2011 at 8:44 PM

Texas has lots of money, most of it Republican but enough of it Democrat.

Obama wants some of that money.

So he is going to tell Texans with money that their donations will matter.

And the fools will believe him and send him even more money.

angryed on May 11, 2011 at 7:00 PM

…and how much of that money is in the hands of his “federal trough of swill” cronies? How much is union money? How much of it is *OIL* money…and how much of *THAT* does he hope to get?

Living as I do in an area which has seen a very recent upsurge in business and population thanks to oil drilling interest in the Eagle Ford oil deposits, I’ve seen more construction of truck parks, and have dodged more oilfield service trucks and fracking rig vehicles than Michelle Obama has dance moves. Should Mr. O listen to the siren song of his greeny friends (“Fracking is baaaaaaad!”), what sort of coin do you think he can squeeze out of their coffers.

…and a lot of those oil folks I’m rubbing elbows with now are out of Louisiana…the “permitorium” sent them ‘cross the Sabine to practice their magic…from Lousiana to Texas…paraphrasing Will Rogers, the folks who made that move lowered the IQs of both places….

That, and the folks out in Midland, etc., threatened with the shutting off of the oil tap for the sake of the sagebrush lizard (or whatever it’s called)…how friendly will they be to an extending the reach of “the man who mandates lightbulbs”? I don’t think that there are enough solar energy millionaires in the Lone Star State to offset the clout of oil in Texas.

So, come on, Barry…buy a vacation house in one of the tonier parts of Austin or Dallas or Houston…bring your twirly lightbulbs with you….

Puritan1648 on May 11, 2011 at 8:47 PM

ROFLMAO….the WH better worry more about WI, MI and OH staying blue than TX….

unseen on May 11, 2011 at 8:49 PM

Probably becaused the only polled Austin?

upinak on May 11, 2011 at 7:01 PM

…Two-Ton Mike Moore could run for office in Austin….

…with Naom Chomsky as his running mate….

…Austin isn’t in Texas…it’s the sump into which all of Texas’ toilets drain….

Puritan1648 on May 11, 2011 at 8:50 PM

There is one feasible way this could happen:

If all the blue-state ultra-liberals from California flee to Texas by 2012 for real jobs, and re-register.

Mutnodjmet on May 11, 2011 at 7:27 PM

Actually, there’s another way. All these anchor babies that have been dropped for years are now voters. Hispanics now make up over 50% of public schools and it grows exponentially. Texas, like CA, will eventually turn blue, and sooner than we think. Hispanics will vote democrat 90% of the time. They want the freebies. The way the hispanic population is taking over Texas, it won’t be long. Stop the anchor babies and illegals now and it may have a chance to stay red. What the GOP doesn’t realize is once Texas turns blue, they’ll never ever get the WH again. You can’t lose Texas and CA both, and still win.

TxAnn56 on May 11, 2011 at 8:53 PM

But he got Bin Laden!

JellyToast on May 11, 2011 at 7:08 PM

…I realize you had the “sarc button” mashed down with both thumbs, but I wanna use this to go on record:

The SEALs got Bin Laden….

…and, as to the current C-in-C, even a stopped clock is right twice a day….

Puritan1648 on May 11, 2011 at 8:55 PM

angryed on May 11, 2011 at 7:00 PM

It’s exactly like the GOP dreams of Whitman and Fiorina winning in CA in 2010. They raised a lot of money. They still lost.

alwaysfiredup on May 11, 2011 at 8:58 PM

Hispanics will vote democrat 90% of the time.

Not true. Obama only got 60% of the Hispanic vote last time around.

Vera on May 11, 2011 at 9:00 PM

Texas for little Bammie? It all depends on whether he can get the illegal alien vote. There’s a risk in illegals voting, though unfortunately it’s a tiny risk. Will they do it for little Bammie?

slickwillie2001 on May 11, 2011 at 9:00 PM

I hope this president doesn’t think that routine of his, called a speech, improved his chances in Texas. Texans know when they’re being screwed and they recognize who’s doing the screwing. I wonder how many Hispanics have been affected by the wild fires Obama is ignoring?

bflat879 on May 11, 2011 at 9:02 PM

Ummm no. Current political makeup of Texas:

GOP = governor, lt. governor, attorney general, both chambers of the legislature, both U.S. senators, all nine justices on the Texas Supreme Court, all nine judges of the Texas Court of Criminal Appeals, secretary of state

DEM = 0

Questions?

Erich66 on May 11, 2011 at 9:03 PM

Heh, dream on, even the alligators in Texas despise him.

atxcowgirl on May 11, 2011 at 9:04 PM

Obama in cowboy hat = Dukakis in tank.

OneVision on May 11, 2011 at 9:09 PM

Only by making all the illegals legal by executive order

michaelo on May 11, 2011 at 9:11 PM

Zero is counting on Holder to jack up the new voter ID law and redistricting. Count it. It still won’t deliver Texas, but you can be sure Holder is part of his strategery. I have lived in Texas all my life, and Holder is a foregone conclusion here. We are all watching our excellent AG to see how he handles things with Holder’s DOJ.

stvnscott on May 11, 2011 at 10:48 PM

Texas 2004:
George Bush: 4,526,917
John Kerry: 2,832,704

Texas 2008:
John McCain: 4,479,328
Barack Obama: 3,528,633

tetriskid on May 11, 2011 at 7:19 PM

Look at the county break up:
2004 by county
2008 by county
Now consider that there will be 2 more disricts and they’ll both be Republican districts, I’d say that Barry has a heck of a lot of work ahead of him.

mizflame98 on May 11, 2011 at 10:58 PM

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