Trump boomlet over?

posted at 1:35 pm on May 10, 2011 by Ed Morrissey

Donald Trump will announce this week whether he will pursue the Republican presidential nomination, or whether he will host another season of The Apprentice.  According to the latest survey from PPP, though, it appears that Republican voters may have already changed the channel (via OTB):

Donald Trump has had one of the quickest rises and falls in the history of Presidential politics. Last month we found him leading the Republican field with 26%. In the space of just four weeks he’s dropped all the way down to 8%, putting him in a tie for fifth place with Ron Paul.

Mike Huckabee and Mitt Romney are at the top of the GOP race with 19% and 18% respectively. Newt Gingrich and Sarah Palin are further back at 13% and 12%, followed by Trump and Paul at 8%, Michele Bachmann at 7%, and Tim Pawlenty at 5%.

What happened?  PPP finds that the more Republicans got to know Trump, the more they wanted to fire him.  Plus, the White House release of Barack Obama’s long-form birth certificate seems to have cut Trump off at the knees, a result that has to have produced a few smiles in the Oval Office:

As Trump got more and more exposure over the last month Republicans didn’t just decide they weren’t interested in having him as their nominee- they also decided they flat don’t like him. Only 34% of GOP voters now have a favorable opinion of Trump to 53% who view him in a negative light.

Trump really made hay out of the ‘birther’ issue and as the resonance of that has declined, so has his standing. In February we found that 51% of Republican primary voters thought Barack Obama was not born in the United States. Now with the release of his birth certificate only 34% of GOP partisans fall into that camp, and Trump’s only in fifth place with that now smaller group of the electorate at 9%.

PPP notes that Romney and Huckabee have begun to pull away from the rest of the pack, but I don’t see a lot of daylight in these numbers.  The survey was taken before Gingrich leaked that he would announce tomorrow, and he could get a little bump from that; he gets a 54/30 approval rating in the poll, not far off from Palin’s 61/31.  Only six or seven points separate the first tier from the second tier, a very small buffer indeed.

This is PPP, of course, a pollster that identifies itself as “a Democratic polling company,” but this is a survey of Republican voters alone, so sampling won’t be as much of an issue.  If this is accurate, Trump would do better to invest in his television series rather than a vanity campaign for President — and he’s probably smart enough to know it.


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Right…since no one examined his record in ’08 or anything…

cschande on May 10, 2011 at 3:17 PM

Different environment. The voters will be scrutinizing things differently in this Tea Party era than they did on ’08.

Brian1972 on May 10, 2011 at 3:21 PM

You know Trump took one night of hatred at the WHCd and he never fought back. He laid down and allowed the taunts and smears to stand.

unseen on May 10, 2011 at 2:35 PM

Love what you do for Palin, but this just isn’t true. Post WHC dinner Trump dissed the sh8t out of Seth Meyers in one sentence and slammed Obama about cracking jokes while Americans struggle financially and the price of gas rises.

The thing was, Obama ordered the execution of Bin Laden the next day at the hands of our hottie Navy Seals and the media moved on to the next big news item.

RepubChica on May 10, 2011 at 3:23 PM

aybe, though it was helpful of Brian1972 to remind people that the only way to remove a sitting…

If that’s not doable, you’ll just have to wait for the next election, which will be here in eighteen months anyway.

Aitch748 on May 10, 2011 at 3:14 PM

Yes, a practical and really only solution, put all of our efforts is removing Obama from office…and the only practical way is through the election.

right2bright on May 10, 2011 at 3:28 PM

the only people SERIOUSLY considering Trump as a candidate were Democrats.

GarandFan on May 10, 2011 at 3:29 PM

Aitch748 on May 10, 2011 at 3:14 PM

Of all the birther arguments I’ve seen here and elsewhere, that little fact of the Constitutional procedure never gets talked about.

I heard Mark Levin explain it to a birther caller about two weeks ago, and I thought, “damn, he’s right. That is the only way.”

Many seem to believe that a Supreme Court ruling would instantly invalidate the whole Obama administration and all the laws and executive orders he had signed.

Not true.

Brian1972 on May 10, 2011 at 3:33 PM

I think Trump took knock when the certificate was produced but the big hit was when Obama interrupted his show with that announcement. Trump could have taken one hit maybe but all that plus people actually started listening to the man himself… his foreign policy resembled Saddam’s… hardly material for a President.

lexhamfox on May 10, 2011 at 3:38 PM

There are so many conservatives that demand the nominee be a certain person…a person that in reality simply does not exist now that Reagan is gone.

Trump did one thing that no other GOP candidtate thus far has done, except Palin..and that is, beat the living hell out of Obama and then stick the microphones of the Obama media right up their as$. Obama instantly started losing ground. He started to be on defense for the first time in his life.

Trump has dropped off the radar the last few weeks and he might have decided all this BS from the communists who will try to make the Trump brand the next Koch Brothers is simply not worth it.

You people who want to tell us all what a joke Trump is or was need to thank the guy for showing the others in the GOP how to have some balls.

magic kingdom on May 10, 2011 at 3:47 PM

You people who want to tell us all what a joke Trump is or was need to thank the guy for showing the others in the GOP how to have some balls.

magic kingdom on May 10, 2011 at 3:47 PM

A little class and humility with those balls will go much farther.

His policy ideas are insane. Does that matter?

Brian1972 on May 10, 2011 at 3:58 PM

Trump said last night on Greta’s show on Fox that he would not run as an Independent because he realized that it would split the Republican vote, and then Obama would win. I don’t know how many Republicans would vote for him, but it’s nice to not have to worry about that along with everything else in this upcoming election.

Susanboo on May 10, 2011 at 4:13 PM

You people who want to tell us all what a joke Trump is or was need to thank the guy for showing the others in the GOP how to have some balls.

magic kingdom on May 10, 2011 at 3:47 PM

No we don’t. He was a joke and the only thing we’ll need to thank him for is getting out of the race. Being an obnoxious blow hard who rants about trivial matters isn’t the equivalent of “having balls”.

Scrappy on May 10, 2011 at 4:15 PM

Trump said last night on Greta’s show on Fox that he would not run as an Independent because he realized that it would split the Republican vote, and then Obama would win. I don’t know how many Republicans would vote for him, but it’s nice to not have to worry about that along with everything else in this upcoming election.

Susanboo on May 10, 2011 at 4:13 PM

That is indeed good news if Trump meant what he said.

Aitch748 on May 10, 2011 at 4:16 PM

Donald’s policies were terrible, but he had fire.

GardenGnome on May 10, 2011 at 4:19 PM

Profane filled MFer tirade seals doom!

Maybe he could run as a Dem and Primary OJesus?

PappyD61 on May 10, 2011 at 4:29 PM

there must be a reason the Democrat party in Hawaii refused to certifiy his constitutional eligibility.Stayright

No one has a problem answering that question. Everyone knows the answer, it’s just that there are a few that don’t want to admit to themselves what the answer is.

We all know zippy was not eligible, the people in Hawaii know he is not eligible, they didn’t want to swear to a lie. It’s so simple.

Redteam on May 10, 2011 at 4:29 PM

There are so many conservatives that demand the nominee be a certain person…a person that in reality simply does not exist now that Reagan is gone.

Trump did one thing that no other GOP candidtate thus far has done, except Palin..and that is, beat the living hell out of Obama and then stick the microphones of the Obama media right up their as$. Obama instantly started losing ground. He started to be on defense for the first time in his life.

Trump has dropped off the radar the last few weeks and he might have decided all this BS from the communists who will try to make the Trump brand the next Koch Brothers is simply not worth it.

You people who want to tell us all what a joke Trump is or was need to thank the guy for showing the others in the GOP how to have some balls.
I don’t care who he is, who he supports, what his positions have been in the past, that he had not specific policy points based in reality or what an idiot he is, he said really mean things about Obama so I support him for President!!!
magic kingdom on May 10, 2011 at 3:47 PM

New meaning to ham sandwich.

NextGen on May 10, 2011 at 4:31 PM

If that’s not doable, you’ll just have to wait for the next election, which will be here in eighteen months anyway.
Aitch748

Aitch, I wouldn’t really argue the point one way or the other but I believe impeachment is for a sitting president. If someone is usurping the office, he is a traitor, not a sitting president and I suspect arrest and imprisonment would effectively remove him from occupying the white house.

Redteam on May 10, 2011 at 4:35 PM

The thing was, Obama ordered the execution of Bin Laden the next day at the hands of our hottie Navy Seals and the media moved on to the next big news item.

RepubChica on May 10, 2011 at 3:23 PM

and Trump was never heard from after. Obama owned him after that. Sad really I was hoping Trump could be the answer to mitt

unseen on May 10, 2011 at 4:36 PM

Chris Barron hardest hit.

It's Vintage, Duh on May 10, 2011 at 4:44 PM

that little fact of the Constitutional procedure never gets talked about. Many seem to believe that a Supreme Court ruling would instantly invalidate the whole Obama administration and all the laws and executive orders he had signed.

Not true.

Brian1972

Brian, while mentioning ‘little facts’ about the constitution, one fact worth mentioning is that the president signs bills into law and the president nominates candidates for the Supreme Court, etc. Well, if zippy is not the president, then he can’t nominate anyone and anyone or anything that resulted from the actions of a non-president would most likely not be legal since they certainly would not be constitutional. Now that may be a minor point, but it may not be also. Zippido da, zipidi a

Redteam on May 10, 2011 at 4:46 PM

So Trump is out and Daniels is the next ABP person on deck I wonder how long he will last…..

Oh and Mitt is giving a speech on healthcare to “rebrand” his image. I hope he bombs. one less Rino to contend with.

the Speaker wants Mitch and Christie. You knwo the speaker that caved on the budget battle that will cave on the debt limit and the Rayn budget. no wanted he wants Mitch. he wants someone to have a truce with…..

Obama is going to win in a landslide if the GOp continues to take fighters like Trump off the field…

unseen on May 10, 2011 at 4:47 PM

Trump was just mad that Obama was giving other rich people corporate welfare and not him.

Speedwagon82 on May 10, 2011 at 4:53 PM

Aitch, I wouldn’t really argue the point one way or the other but I believe impeachment is for a sitting president. If someone is usurping the office, he is a traitor, not a sitting president and I suspect arrest and imprisonment would effectively remove him from occupying the white house.

Redteam on May 10, 2011 at 4:35 PM

This is where you are wrong.

Obama is a sitting President now. Like it or not.

If you want him out, you have two options.

Vote him out in 2012.

Impeach him through Congress, using his ineligibility as the evidence. Period.

There is no nullification by the Supreme Court, because of Separation of Powers.

The Congress, and only the Congress, has the Constitutional power to remove a President from office.

That’s it.

Brian1972 on May 10, 2011 at 4:55 PM

Obama is going to win in a landslide if the GOp continues to take fighters like Trump off the field…

unseen on May 10, 2011 at 4:47 PM

Stop this. Trump is not a fighter, Trump is not a conservative. Trump is in this for Trump.

The sooner he gets out of the way, the sooner we can get back to the serious issues affecting our country.

I am tired of him getting a pass on his buffoonery.

He has no philosophical foundation, no guiding principle other than the sensation of the moment. Period.

Brian1972 on May 10, 2011 at 4:59 PM

I am not ignoring anything, including the evidence that Obama has offered. I’m simply trying to make the pieces fit. You on the other hand…

Stayright on May 10, 2011 at 2:54 PM

These are the same kind of people on the Right who try to intimidate anyone who asks too many inconvient questions and refuses to drink the Grape Flavor Aid about Vince Foster.

You’re getting the exact same reaction from them as you would from the intellectuals over at DU, if you were ask them why anyone should trust someone like 0bamessiah who said He didn’t really know what Rev. Wright was all about, and that Ayers was just some guy who lived in His neighborhood. In other words, you’re wasting your time talking to obnoxious, shallow, incurious, miserable cretins, who’d rather shut you up and have your life be run by them instead of by yourself.

Bizarro No. 1 on May 10, 2011 at 5:05 PM

Brian1972 on May 10, 2011 at 4:59 PM

depends on your definition of buffoonery. I think Mitch is a bigger bufoon than trump on style. Now on policy I would agree with you. Now a big trump fan. Enjoyed the fireworks and enjoyed seeing Obama’s numbers tank. I don’t think Trump is the answer but my problem with the GOp establishment is that instead of attacking Trump on his policies which were pure goldmine to be attacked on. It seemed the rove’s of the world attacke dhim on style. Or in other words that will not attack Obama in anyway shape or form….

unseen on May 10, 2011 at 5:07 PM

should be not…. not now. Not a big trump fan….

unseen on May 10, 2011 at 5:08 PM

He was never going to run. He did get the BC off the table. Maybe someone else will get the passport, citizenship, college entrance forms, how he paid for college off the table.

Kissmygrits on May 10, 2011 at 5:16 PM

It seemed the rove’s of the world attacke dhim on style. Or in other words that will not attack Obama in anyway shape or form….

unseen on May 10, 2011 at 5:07 PM

He handed them the club to beat him with on style with that stupid idiotic profane f-bomb rant in Vegas.

Observe also how he ran straight into Obama’s trap with this certificate nonsense.

Palin was smart enough to steer clear of all this, even though interviewers repeatedly asked her to weigh in on it, she just said more power to him and left it at that.

The main point for me is what does he plan to do?

Start a trade war with China, seize oil fields in the Middle East, and back away from Paul Ryan.

Brilliant.

Where was he when the Tea Party was getting going?

He was donating campaign cash to Anthony Weiner, Chuck Schumer and Harry Reid.

He had nothing to say about any of this publicly at the time. Then he comes along now and says ” I’m a very conservative person” over and over like we voters are a bunch of morons. It pisses me off that he thinks people dedicated to this cause will fall for that crap.

He is a phony, and I’m sick of hearing about him altogether.

Sarah Palin has been hitting Obama upside the head on real issues for three years, almost everyday.

I would much rather hear her take him on with real conservative principled opposition than this dog and pony show Trump has been putting on.

Don’t lump those two together, it is an insult to her.

Brian1972 on May 10, 2011 at 5:17 PM

He was never going to run. He did get the BC off the table. Maybe someone else will get the passport, citizenship, college entrance forms, how he paid for college off the table.

Kissmygrits on May 10, 2011 at 5:16 PM

I’m not so sure. He may be arrogant enough to still want to run even now. He does live in a billionaire bubble with yes men around him all the time, so there is no telling what he will do really.

Thankfully, most people have come to their senses a little bit recently.

Brian1972 on May 10, 2011 at 5:19 PM

I hope he runs….. aa democrat

maineconservative on May 10, 2011 at 5:24 PM

If this is accurate, Trump would do better to invest in his television series rather than a vanity campaign for President — and he’s probably smart enough to know it.

Wanna bet?

ButterflyDragon on May 10, 2011 at 5:27 PM

His being quiet for the week might’ve hurt him. After O “got” OBL, Trump said publically that he’d let O have the week. He was back last night on Greta, giving a good interview. So, I’ll wait to see what happens when Trump’s back in the spotlight before writing him off completely.

It would be great if he started to question the bc ;) esp. those scribbled numbers in the margin that just happen to match that hoax of a Kenyan bc from a couple of years ago. But I do know that Trump will continue to question the school records.

-Aslan’s Girl

Aslans Girl on May 10, 2011 at 5:59 PM

one fact worth mentioning is that the president signs bills into law and the president nominates candidates for the Supreme Court, etc. Well, if zippy is not the president, then he can’t nominate anyone and anyone or anything that resulted from the actions of a non-president would most likely not be legal since they certainly would not be constitutional. Now that may be a minor point, but it may not be also. Zippido da, zipidi a

Redteam on May 10, 2011 at 4:46 PM

Darn, the time machine solution…I should have thought of that one!!

He was back last night on Greta, giving a good interview. So, I’ll wait to see what happens when Trump’s back in the spotlight before writing him off completely.

It would be great if he started to question the bc ;) esp. those scribbled numbers in the margin that just happen to match that hoax of a Kenyan bc from a couple of years ago. But I do know that Trump will continue to question the school records.

-Aslan’s Girl

Aslans Girl on May 10, 2011 at 5:59 PM

“Winning”

NextGen on May 10, 2011 at 6:06 PM

It would appear Trump is trying to repair his image…

NextGen on May 10, 2011 at 6:36 PM

I’m thinkin good riddance.

2ipa on May 10, 2011 at 7:27 PM

The Congress, and only the Congress, has the Constitutional power to remove a President from office.

That’s it.
Brian1972

True, but we’re not talking a president here, we’re talking a Mombasian Candidate. A person that is not eligible for an office cannot hold that office legally and if he’s not legal he can be removed by arrest and prison. Fraud is fraud. illegal is illegal.

Redteam on May 10, 2011 at 10:53 PM

Obama is a US citizen in fact. He is not a US citizen in spirit. He’s been systematically attempting to destroy the American way of life.

Sadly there is no provision that requires POTUS be an American in spirit. That was always a given. And it is probably a good thing that there is no way we can build in such a requirement as it would be so prone to misapplication as to be utterly odious.

{^_^}

herself on May 11, 2011 at 5:46 AM

Trump served his purpose – he flushed out the Birth Cert.

Now? He’s fired.

Wander on May 11, 2011 at 9:24 AM

No one could look past the F-Bombs in Vegas. What was he thinking? It was an insult to the American people, especially the conservatives. He’s fired and he knows it.

volsense on May 11, 2011 at 10:18 AM

Obama is going to win in a landslide if the GOp continues to take fighters like Trump off the field…

unseen on May 10, 2011 at 4:47 PM

Today’s headline…

Trump finally filmed in November, Trump was never going to announce his candidacy on May 22 show, it was all just a publicity stunt.

Funny…fighter…winning…

NextGen on May 11, 2011 at 12:03 PM

The certificate that was coughed up, still isnt real.

johnnyU on May 11, 2011 at 1:44 PM

I really believed Trump would run. But where he once referred to a possible bid for office in the future tense, now I note he switches into the past tense.

He ain’t running.

I’ve been grifted.

My dinner plans include crow.

I am told to chew it thoroughly and savor every bite.

Sigh….

Sherman1864 on May 11, 2011 at 8:01 PM

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